Connect with us

Crypto World

12 Nasdaq Stocks Doubled in 2026, But None Are Magnificent Seven

Published

on

Even with a substantial drop, SanDisk is a top performer.

Twelve Nasdaq 100 stocks have more than doubled in 2026, and none of them belong to the Magnificent Seven.

The Magnificent 7 stocks all have different primary focuses, even though they are grouped together as large, influential tech-adjacent powerhouses heavily tied to trends like artificial intelligence. But the biggest leaders was SanDisk, up 411% year to date, while Micron and Intel also more than doubled this year.

All 12 Nasdaq 100 Stocks That Doubled

The rest of the list skews heavily toward companies that build AI infrastructure hardware rather than software platforms.

  • Sandisk (SNDK) +406%
  • Micron (MU) +207%
  • Intel (INTC) +175%
  • Arm Holdings (ARM) +159%
  • Marvell Technology (MRVL) +157%
  • Western Digital (WDC) +152%
  • Lumentum (LITE) +142%
  • AMD (AMD) +126%
  • Nebius (NBIS) +125%
  • Applied Materials (AMAT) +110%
  • Fortinet (FTNT) +101%
  • Astera Labs (ALAB) +101%
Even with a substantial drop, SanDisk is a top performer.
Even with a substantial drop, SanDisk is a top performer. Image Source: Trading View

The Magnificent Seven Are Sitting This Out

Returns vary widely inside the group. Amazon leads with a 20% gain this year, followed by Nvidia at 14%, Apple at 13%, and Alphabet at 12%.

Microsoft has managed just a 4% gain. Meta has fallen 10%, and Tesla is down 27%, the group’s weakest performer. The S&P 500 has gained roughly 13% over the same period.

Advertisement

Ed Yardeni, founder of Yardeni Research, has tracked the reversal for months.

“The Impressive-493 has outperformed the Magnificent-7 since last November.”

Ed Yardeni,

Nvidia and Amazon are the only members keeping pace with the broader market this year with much expected from Nvidia as it continues to propel the AI chip market.

Advertisement

The gap leaves five of the seven trailing the broader index. It also leaves them behind the semiconductor suppliers that once traded in their shadow.

Why This Is Happening

Investors have rotated out of the Magnificent Seven and into companies building the physical AI infrastructure. Semiconductor and memory suppliers have absorbed capital that once flowed straight into mega-cap tech.

Wall Street’s own strategists have pushed the trade further. Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan have all said in recent weeks that the group’s underperformance has gone too far.

Morgan Stanley Wealth Management’s chief investment officer, Lisa Shalett, still called the semiconductor rally “meaningfully overbought.” She argued investors should now rebuild diversified exposure to the Magnificent Seven as AI infrastructure winners.

Advertisement

Why the AI Trade Moved Downstream

Most of these winners sell the physical building blocks of the AI boom. Sandisk and Western Digital make flash memory chips that AI servers, phones, and hospital scanners are now competing for.

That shortage has pulled in retail traders. Buyers kept adding to AI memory stocks even during a summer selloff in the sector.

Wall Street is split on how to trade the theme. JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley disagreed in July over the AI chip trade.

Jim Cramer took a side. He named five chip suppliers as the market’s preferred AI bet over Big Tech platforms.

Advertisement

The split leaves the Magnificent Seven trailing hundreds of smaller stocks in the S&P 500 this year. Whether that gap closes likely depends on how upcoming earnings treat AI hardware demand versus AI capital spending.

The post 12 Nasdaq Stocks Doubled in 2026, But None Are Magnificent Seven appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading
Click to comment

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Crypto World

Riot Platforms signs $9.1B AI deal reportedly with Anthropic

Published

on

Riot platform shares price chart, source: Google Finance

Riot Platforms has signed a 20 year data center agreement worth an expected $9.1 billion for 191 megawatts of computing capacity at its Rockdale campus in Texas, marking another major step away from relying solely on Bitcoin mining. 

Summary

  • Riot signed a 20 year lease for 191 MW, expected to generate $9.1 billion initially.
  • Bloomberg identified Anthropic as Riot’s unnamed frontier AI tenant, citing people familiar with the matter.
  • Riot expects full deployment by June 2028, after delivering 96 MW initially in December 2027.
  • Extension options could raise total contract revenue to $16.1 billion if Anthropic exercises both periods.
  • Riot secured $573 million from Morgan Stanley to fund initial construction while final financing progresses.

Riot described the customer in its Aug. 10 SEC filing only as a leading frontier AI lab.

Bloomberg subsequently identified the tenant as Anthropic, developer of the Claude artificial intelligence models, citing people familiar with the transaction. Neither company publicly confirmed Anthropic’s identity when Bloomberg contacted them. Riot declined to comment, while Anthropic did not respond. The distinction means the contract itself is confirmed, but the customer’s identity currently rests on Bloomberg’s reporting.

Advertisement

Riot Platforms turns Rockdale power toward AI

Riot’s official release says the agreement covers 191 MW of critical IT capacity at Rockdale. The first 96 MW is scheduled for December 2027, followed by another 95 MW by June 2028. The initial contract runs through June 2048.

The company says the agreement is “expected to generate approximately $9.1 billion” over its initial term. That figure is a company forecast rather than revenue already earned. Two optional five year extensions, exercisable by the tenant, could raise potential contract revenue to about $16.1 billion. Riot estimates cumulative net operating income of $7.3 billion to $8.2 billion during the base term, another forward looking projection dependent on construction and operating performance.

Rockdale was built around large scale Bitcoin mining. The Texas campus has 700 MW of developed, energized power capacity, along with existing fiber and electrical infrastructure that Riot says can be repurposed for high density computing. The company has said it intends to convert the site’s full gross capacity toward data center tenants over time.

The shift builds on a trend covered in earlier Riot coverage, when activist investor Starboard Value pushed the miner to accelerate its AI data center strategy. Starboard argued that Riot’s large U.S. power portfolio could command greater value when leased to computing customers.

Advertisement

Anthropic deal follows Riot’s AMD expansion

Riot already has another major technology tenant at Rockdale. AMD initially signed for 25 MW in January and exercised an additional 25 MW option in April. Riot completed delivery of the first 25 MW during the second quarter and expects another 10 MW in November 2026 and 15 MW in May 2027.

Combined with the newly announced 191 MW contract, Riot now has 241 MW of critical IT capacity under signed leases at Rockdale. Its earnings deck puts total expected contracted revenue from the two tenants at about $9.8 billion. AMD retains options that could expand its footprint further.

As crypto.news reported in previous earnings coverage, Riot began generating meaningful data center revenue this year as its AMD deployment moved online. Q2 data center revenue reached $23.2 million, including $4.9 million from operating leases and $18.3 million from tenant fit out services.

The broader strategy reflects how Bitcoin miners are monetizing access to scarce U.S. power infrastructure. In related industry coverage, Riot and several other miners were identified as potential beneficiaries because their existing grid connections can shorten development timelines compared with entirely new data center projects.

Advertisement

Bitcoin remains important as Riot funds the buildout

Riot has not exited Bitcoin mining. It produced 1,587 BTC during Q2, up from 1,426 BTC a year earlier. However, mining revenue fell to $113.7 million from $140.9 million as average Bitcoin prices declined and global network hash rate increased. Riot’s cost to mine one Bitcoin, excluding depreciation, was $49,912.

The company’s Bitcoin holdings are also helping finance its AI expansion. Riot ended June with 11,380 BTC valued at about $666 million, including 5,821 BTC held as collateral, alongside $548.9 million in cash. Its investor presentation explicitly says continued Bitcoin inventory sales are being used as a primary funding source for the equity portion of its data center spending.

That strategy follows earlier sales and transfers documented in recent Bitcoin reserve coverage. The company has increasingly treated its Bitcoin balance as a source of capital while maintaining an active mining operation.

Morgan Stanley backs construction as Riot targets 2028

Building the 191 MW project will require far more capital than Riot’s earlier AMD deployment. Management estimates construction spending of about $2.1 billion to $2.3 billion. Morgan Stanley has provided a $573 million interim financing facility to cover early development costs while an investment grade credit backstop is finalized.

Advertisement

Riot expects debt to fund 80% to 90% of the project’s costs, leaving an estimated equity requirement of $210 million to $460 million before capital recycled from its AMD financing. Those estimates remain subject to financing terms and construction costs.

Investors initially reacted strongly to Bloomberg’s identification of Anthropic. Riot shares jumped about 25% to $24.40 in late trading following the report. The move came after Riot reported Q2 revenue of $174.2 million, up 14% year over year, although the company also posted a $237.2 million quarterly net loss.

Riot platform shares price chart, source: Google Finance
Riot platform shares price chart, source: Google Finance

The next fixed milestones are the planned 96 MW delivery in December 2027 and full 191 MW deployment in June 2028. Riot must also finish the longer term financing package. Separately, its SEC filing says the company has a nonbinding letter of intent involving its Corsicana, Texas campus, giving Riot another potential route for converting former Bitcoin focused power infrastructure into U.S. AI capacity.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

South Korea Drops Crypto Travel Rule Threshold

Published

on

South Korea Drops Crypto Travel Rule Threshold

South Korea will expand its crypto Travel Rule to all transfers between registered virtual asset service providers (VASPs), removing the current 1 million won (about $700) threshold.

The country’s Cabinet approved amendments to the Enforcement Decree of the Act on Reporting and Using Specified Financial Transaction Information on Tuesday.

Under the changes, the Travel Rule will apply to all transfers between registered crypto service providers regardless of value. Receiving platforms will also be required to obtain sender and recipient information and may request missing information or reject transactions when required data is unavailable.

Removing the threshold is intended to prevent users from circumventing the rule by splitting transfers into smaller amounts, according to the Financial Intelligence Unit. 

Advertisement

It cited one case in which a user bought Tether USDt (USDT) after depositing about 200 million won into a crypto exchange and then made 216 withdrawals, each worth less than 1 million won.

Related: South Korea plans stablecoin rules as opposition pushes crypto tax repeal

South Korea tightens rules for overseas exchanges, personal wallets

The amendments also introduce new Anti-Money Laundering (AML) requirements for transfers involving overseas crypto exchanges and personal wallets.

Registered local VASPs will be required to determine which transfers they allow based on the risk posed by the counterparty. Transfers to low-risk overseas exchanges will be permitted, while transfers involving other foreign exchanges and personal wallets will generally be allowed when the sender and recipient are the same person.

Advertisement

However, transactions involving counterparties deemed high risk will be prohibited.

Crypto platforms will also have to establish their own suspicious transaction monitoring systems for transfers worth at least 10 million won involving foreign exchanges or personal wallets.

South Korean authorities said suspected money laundering involving overseas exchanges and personal wallets has increased as gaps in existing AML rules governing such transfers have been exploited.

The decree also strengthens registration requirements for crypto service providers, including financial health, internal controls, staffing and infrastructure standards, while expanding scrutiny of major shareholders.

Advertisement

The VASP registration provisions will take effect on Aug. 20, although existing providers will have an additional year to comply with some financial, staffing, infrastructure and internal control requirements. The expanded Travel Rule and other transfer-related AML requirements will take effect six months after the decree is promulgated.

Asia Express: Thailand’s 0% crypto tax. Bitcoin Red Team forced to use Chinese AI

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Decta Uses USDC for International Treasury Settlement

Published

on

Decta Uses USDC for International Treasury Settlement

Payments platform Decta will use USDC to settle its own funds internationally, bringing stablecoins into its back-end treasury operations.

Decta said Tuesday that it will use OpenPayd, a financial infrastructure company, to convert company funds into USDC for international settlement, according to an announcement shared with Cointelegraph.

“This is a proprietary treasury use case rather than a customer-facing payments flow,” Lux Thiagarajah, chief commercial officer at OpenPayd, told Cointelegraph.

“Decta transfers its own funds into OpenPayd’s regulated infrastructure, where they are converted into USDC via OpenPayd’s over-the-counter capabilities to support international operational settlements,” he added.

Advertisement

The integration shows how stablecoins are moving into traditional payments infrastructure as a tool for internal treasury and liquidity management, without making stablecoins part of its customer-facing payment services.

Stablecoins move into payments firms’ treasury operations

Decta said the integration will help it move funds between its entities internationally, manage liquidity and streamline treasury operations.

Scott Dawson, CEO of Decta UK, said the company wants technology to make its financial operations faster, simpler and more resilient while maintaining its existing controls and regulatory discipline.

Founded in 2015 in London, Decta is a payments platform that provides payment processing, acquiring, card issuing, banking and other financial infrastructure to businesses. The company operates across 32 countries and serves hundreds of companies, according to its announcement.

Advertisement

Related: Circle Q2 revenue falls short of Wall Street estimates

Decta has also explored stablecoin issuance in the past. In August 2024, Decta Limited and France-based Next Generation said they were exploring a potential euro-pegged stablecoin that Decta could issue under the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA), subject to regulatory approval.

OpenPayd, founded in London in 2018, provides financial infrastructure connecting fiat and digital assets. The company secured authorization under MiCA in June, allowing it to provide crypto services across the European Economic Area, including fiat-to-stablecoin on- and off-ramps. It counts Kraken, eToro, OKX and B2C2 among its clients.

Magazine: BIP-110 ends with a whimper, CLARITY vote punted: Hodler’s Digest, Aug. 9

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

BTCPay offers $190,000 bounty after bitcoin payment servers drained in exploit

Published

on

North Korean-backed hackers roll out new attack vector targeting crypto executives and firms

Node provider BTCPay Server said Tuesday it is funding a bounty for the return of bitcoin stolen from merchants last week, offering 10% of whatever is recovered up to a maximum of 3 BTC, worth roughly $190,000 at current prices.

The offer is open to anyone with useful information, including the attacker. The project asked people to write to its security address and said secure channels are available on request.

If several reports lead to a recovery, the bounty will be split with the victims according to how much each lost and how useful the information proved.

The project is also paying the researchers who found the flaw, donating 0.21 BTC each to developer Craig Raw and to the Bitcoin Red Team fund.

Attackers exploited the vulnerability last week to obtain credentials for LND, the most widely used software for running a Lightning node, and to drain the wallets associated with it.

Hardware-wallet maker Foundation and the bitcoin publication Citadel21 both reported losing funds. Neither BTCPay nor the victims have published a total so far.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

CT3 Begins Preparing Its Ecosystem for the Launch of the CT3GB Economy

Published

on

[PRESS RELEASE – London, UK, August 10th, 2026]

CT3 has announced the start of comprehensive preparations for the future listing of the CT3GB token. The company has begun scaling its data storage infrastructure, building financial and infrastructure reserves, and preparing its own tokenized economy, in which CT3GB will become the platform’s primary settlement asset. At the same time, the transition to a new data storage architecture based on specialized smart contracts is underway, while an independent audit of the entire core smart contract infrastructure will be conducted ahead of the listing.

Over the past several months, CT3 has significantly expanded the capabilities of its platform. One of the most important milestones was the implementation of automatic backup technology, following which demand for data storage services increased substantially. The growth in data volumes confirmed the platform’s readiness to support continuous data storage scenarios and became a signal to move on to the next stage of ecosystem development.

The company notes that further scaling cannot be considered separately from the platform’s economy. For this reason, preparations for the CT3GB listing began before the token enters the open market.

Advertisement

Transition to an In-House Settlement System

Today, most internal CT3 operations are carried out using the Polygon infrastructure. Following the launch of CT3GB, the company plans to transition all major financial processes within the platform to its own token.

CT3GB will be used to pay for data storage services, settle payments with infrastructure owners, distribute rewards, facilitate internal settlements between network participants, and carry out other operations required for the functioning of the CT3 Cloud ecosystem.

Thus, the token will become not merely an additional means of payment, but a fundamental element of the platform’s economy, facilitating the flow of value between users, storage infrastructure, and CT3 services.

Advertisement

Preparing the Economy Before the Listing

According to CT3, the sustainability of a tokenized economy is determined not by the moment of listing itself, but by the degree to which the infrastructure is prepared to operate after the listing.

That is why the company has already begun expanding its data storage network, increasing available computing capacity, and building reserves that will enable the platform to continue scaling without compromising performance.

Part of this strategy is being implemented through the Storage Contracts program. The company views it not as a separate stage of product development, but as one of the tools for building financial and infrastructure reserves. This approach makes it possible to gradually increase the network’s capacity while maintaining a high level of commercial utilization and, at the same time, creating the resource buffer required for the continued growth of the ecosystem after the listing.

Advertisement

A New Network Architecture

In parallel, CT3 continues to modernize its technology platform.

One of the key areas of development is the segmentation of the storage infrastructure into separate specialized smart contracts. Instead of relying on a single architecture, different products within the ecosystem are gradually being assigned their own contracts with independent capacity limits and resource accounting.

According to the company, this model will enable more efficient platform scaling, improve transparency in infrastructure utilization, and provide greater flexibility for developing new services without affecting products that are already operational.

Advertisement

Independent Audit Before the CT3GB Launch

Another mandatory stage of the preparation process will be an independent audit of the smart contracts.

Before CT3GB enters the public market, the company plans to complete a comprehensive review of the smart contract infrastructure that will support the token and the platform’s key services. The audit will focus on verifying the security of the contracts, the correctness of their business logic, and compliance with industry standards.

CT3 notes that the audit is considered an essential part of preparing for the public launch of the project’s economy and one of the factors that can help strengthen trust among users, partners, and cryptocurrency exchanges.

Advertisement

The Next Stage of CT3’s Development

The preparation for the CT3GB listing is part of CT3’s long-term development strategy aimed at creating a fully autonomous data storage infrastructure with its own economic model.

Once the preparations are complete, CT3GB will become the platform’s primary settlement asset and will be used for all internal operations across the ecosystem. At the same time, the value of the token will be driven not only by market demand but also by its practical utility in the day-to-day operation of CT3 Cloud services.

Infrastructure expansion, reserve creation, the implementation of a new storage architecture, and preparation for an independent audit are all part of a unified strategy designed to ensure that CT3GB launches within an ecosystem that is already prepared for further scaling and growth.

Advertisement

About CT3

CT3 is a technology company developing next-generation decentralized data storage infrastructure. The company’s ecosystem combines a distributed storage network, NFT-based access keys, automatic backup technologies, and a scalable smart contract architecture. CT3 solutions are designed for both individual users and the corporate sector, providing secure long-term data storage, backup, and protection of digital information.

The post CT3 Begins Preparing Its Ecosystem for the Launch of the CT3GB Economy appeared first on CryptoPotato.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

ZachXBT Traces $5M Crypto Thefts to US-Based Support Impersonation Scammer

Published

on

ZachXBT Disowns Copycat Meme Coins, Donates $25,000 to Venezuela Relief

Onchain investigator ZachXBT named a US-based threat actor, Tiffany Milanovich, who is tied to at least $5 million in crypto theft through fake support calls. 

According to his findings, Milanovich worked as a “caller,” phoning victims while posing as support staff and talking them into surrendering access to their funds. He said she recorded herself taunting victims after draining them.

How the Impersonation Scheme Worked

Milanovich worked as part of a group. As the caller, she impersonated the hardware wallet and centralized exchange support. 

A separate actor using the aliases “bled” and “harm” supplied the phishing-panel infrastructure, according to the report. 

Advertisement

In June 2026, a victim lost $1.2 million in Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) after the group drained the victim’s Trezor wallet. The attack began with a spoofed BitcoinIRA email sent under the alias “Patricia Massie.” ZachXBT said the bulk of the stolen funds remain dormant onchain.

An earlier theft in October 2025 cost a victim $500,000 in Bitcoin after the group drained a Coinbase account. ZachXBT said Milanovich complained about her cut and posted a screenshot of the withdrawal herself.

Follow us on X to get the latest news as it happens

How Milanovich Spent the Stolen Crypto

Milanovich openly displayed stolen proceeds, luxury purchases, and casino gambling on social media, the investigator said. She allegedly gambled a victim’s funds at a casino. He added that some “flex” videos appear to have been altered to inflate the apparent size of the thefts.

The report also ties Milanovich to John “Lick” Daghita, whom ZachXBT exposed in January for allegedly stealing crypto seized by the US government. Daghita was later arrested in Saint Martin in March.

“Tiffany, who was already close to John, recorded him on a call and shared it to troll him. In retaliation, John posted her name in his public Telegram channel,” the crypto sleuth said.

These scams sit within a growing wave of impersonation fraud. FBI data logged more than 80,000 tech-support and government-impersonation complaints in 2025, with losses above $2.9 billion. Chainalysis separately reported that crypto impersonation scams jumped nearly 1,400% that year.

Advertisement

Subscribe to our YouTube channel to watch leaders and journalists provide expert insights

The post ZachXBT Traces $5M Crypto Thefts to US-Based Support Impersonation Scammer appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

OpenAI Ships GPT-5.6-Cyber Through Gated Daybreak Red Access Tier

Published

on

OpenAI Ships GPT-5.6-Cyber Through Gated Daybreak Red Access Tier

OpenAI has released GPT-5.6-Cyber, a cybersecurity-specific model that gives approved defenders tools for exploit development and vulnerability research.

The company positioned the launch around a shrinking window for defense. It argues that threat actors will increasingly use AI to run attacks at greater speed and scale, including in fully autonomous ways.

OpenAI Gives Trusted Defenders Frontier Cyber Tools

GPT-5.6-Cyber is built on GPT-5.6 Sol, OpenAI’s standard model. Notably, the model reduces refusals for requests involving exploit chain development, authentication bypass, privilege escalation, and other advanced cybersecurity scenarios. 

OpenAI says it completes 95% of these requests, compared with 1.5% for its general-purpose GPT-5.6 Sol model.

Advertisement

The company said the model found two vulnerabilities in the V8 engine that powers Google Chrome. It reported them to Google as CVE-2026-15903. The model also surfaced more than 400 kernel vulnerabilities linked to privilege escalation. 

Meanwhile, OpenAI said it’s expanding Daybreak to two access tiers. Daybreak Blue offers general-purpose models with defensive safeguards. Daybreak Red provides access to purpose-trained cybersecurity models, including GPT-5.6-Cyber.

“Our answer is to put frontier intelligence in the hands of trusted defenders everywhere before attackers deploy offensive AI capabilities at scale,” the team said.

Follow us on X to get the latest news as it happens

Rogue AI Incidents Sharpen the Stakes

The release lands shortly after AI models breached outside systems during testing at three companies. OpenAI, Anthropic, and Meta each disclosed such an incident.

Advertisement

OpenAI’s agents escaped a sandbox and broke into AI startup Hugging Face. Anthropic said its Claude models reached three organizations’ systems. 

Meta confirmed one of its models breached an outside company’s systems. OpenAI stresses that GPT-5.6-Cyber was not involved in the Hugging Face breach.

Subscribe to our YouTube channel to watch leaders and journalists provide expert insights

The post OpenAI Ships GPT-5.6-Cyber Through Gated Daybreak Red Access Tier appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

The CLARITY Act may not pass in 2026, and here is what that means for crypto markets

Published

on

Ripple deploys CLARITY truck as Senate delay clouds crypto bill

Polymarket odds have collapsed from 82% to 16%. The Senate returns on September 14 with 14 working days, eight missing Democratic votes, and an ethics fight over a president who made $1.4 billion from crypto. If the bill dies, markets face a 15 to 30% correction and at least another year of regulation by enforcement.

Summary

  • Polymarket traders now give the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act a 16% chance of becoming law in 2026, down from an 82% peak in February, after the Senate adjourned for its August recess without scheduling a floor vote.
  • The bill needs 60 votes to clear the filibuster. Republicans hold 53 seats but are expected to lose Senators Hawley and Paul, meaning at least eight Democrats must cross over. Only two did so in committee.
  • The core sticking point is an ethics provision targeting President Trump, who disclosed more than $1 billion in crypto related income in 2025. Democrats call the enforcement mechanism toothless; Republicans say the constraint is already unprecedented.
  • Bernstein projects a 10 to 25% near term pullback for bitcoin if the bill fails, testing the $55,000 to $60,000 range, with altcoins facing steeper drawdowns of 15 to 30%.
  • Failure would leave the industry under the current patchwork of SEC enforcement actions and CFTC guidance until at least 2027, while 65% of institutional allocators say they need regulatory clarity before increasing crypto exposure.

The biggest piece of crypto legislation in a decade is running out of road. The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act passed the House in July 2025 by a comfortable 294 to 134 vote, promising to draw the line between which tokens the SEC oversees and which fall to the CFTC. Fourteen months later, the bill has not reached the Senate floor, prediction markets are pricing in failure, and the window to act before midterm politics consume Washington is measured in days, not months.

The Senate adjourned on August 7, 2026 without voting on the CLARITY Act. Majority Leader John Thune filed cloture on the motion to proceed just before recess, a procedural move that starts the clock but guarantees nothing. Senators return on September 14 with roughly 14 working days before midterm campaign season makes any controversial vote politically radioactive. What happens in those two weeks will shape how crypto is regulated in the United States for years.

Advertisement

What the CLARITY Act actually does

The bill creates a classification framework for digital assets. Tokens that function like traditional investment contracts remain under SEC jurisdiction. Sufficiently decentralized digital commodities move to the CFTC. Stablecoins get their own category. The framework applies registration requirements to exchanges, brokers, and custodians, replacing the current system where the SEC pursues enforcement actions based on case by case determinations that often contradict each other.

Two provisions deserve more attention than they receive. Section 20216 protects self custodied assets from state abandonment laws, which means that inactivity or dormancy is not grounds for seizure. This is federal preemption, meaning it overrides any state law. The bill also closes what regulators call the DINO loophole, short for Decentralized In Name Only, which has allowed platforms to claim decentralization to avoid anti money laundering requirements.

The math that does not work

Clearing the Senate requires 60 votes to overcome a filibuster. Republicans hold 53 seats. Senators Josh Hawley and Rand Paul have publicly stated they will vote against the bill, reducing the effective Republican count to 51. That means nine Democratic or independent votes are needed.

The track record is poor. When the Senate Banking Committee advanced the bill in May, only two Democrats crossed over: Ruben Gallego of Arizona and Angela Alsobrooks of Maryland. On the floor, seven additional crossovers are required. No Democratic senator has publicly committed to voting yes since the committee markup.

Advertisement

The obstacles are not purely ideological. Several Democratic senators who privately support market structure legislation have told reporters they are reluctant to hand the crypto industry a win before midterm elections, given the sector’s growing political spending and the unresolved ethics questions around the presidency.

The ethics provision nobody can agree on

The single biggest obstacle to passage is not the token classification framework or the DeFi provisions. It is a section that did not exist in the House version: ethics rules governing government officials and cryptocurrency.

President Trump disclosed more than $1 billion in crypto related income in 2025. The Senate version of the bill includes a provision that would prohibit sitting presidents, federal officials, and certain public figures from issuing or sponsoring digital assets. The White House has called this an unprecedented concession and urged Democrats to accept the constraint as sufficient.

Democrats disagree sharply. Senator Chris Van Hollen, a Maryland Democrat on the Banking Committee, called the bill “a corrupt piece of legislation that will do a lot of harm.” The core objection is enforcement: the provision would be overseen by a Department of Justice led by presidential appointees, creating what critics describe as a conflict of interest that renders the restriction meaningless.

Advertisement

This is not a technical disagreement that staff can resolve in markup. It is a structural problem that touches the separation of powers, and neither side has shown willingness to move.

What prediction markets are pricing

The deterioration in Polymarket odds tells a clear story. In February 2026, traders assigned an 82% probability that the CLARITY Act would become law by December 31, 2026. That figure dropped to 37% when Senate leadership acknowledged the bill would not reach the floor before the July 4 recess. After the August recess confirmation, odds collapsed to 16%.

More than $5.5 million in trading volume has moved through the contract as of August 9, making it one of the most liquid political prediction markets of the year. The current price implies that sophisticated bettors, many of whom have direct exposure to the bill’s outcome, see passage as unlikely but not impossible.

The 16% figure is worth interrogating. It is not zero, and for good reason. The September window is real. Thune filed cloture before recess, which means the procedural machinery is in place. If an ethics compromise emerges during recess negotiations, the bill could move quickly. The market is pricing a narrow path, not a dead end.

Advertisement

What happens to markets if the bill fails

The immediate impact would be a sentiment driven correction, not a structural crisis. Bernstein, the Wall Street research firm, expects bitcoin to test the $55,000 to $60,000 range if the CLARITY Act fails, representing a 10 to 25% pullback from current levels near $65,000. Altcoins would face steeper drawdowns of 15 to 30%, with tokens that benefit most from regulatory clarity, such as exchange tokens and DeFi governance tokens, bearing the heaviest losses.

The deeper damage is institutional. A 2026 survey of institutional crypto allocators found that 65% cite regulatory clarity as a prerequisite for increasing exposure. Spot bitcoin ETFs continue to attract more than $400 million in daily inflows, but the next wave of institutional products, including tokenized securities, on chain derivatives, and crypto lending platforms, depends on the legal framework that only legislation can provide.

Without the CLARITY Act, the SEC continues to regulate through enforcement. The CFTC continues to operate under limited authority. And every new crypto product launches into a legal environment where the rules depend on which regulator decides to act first.

Advertisement

The case that it does not matter

The strongest counterargument deserves its full weight. Bitwise chief investment officer Matt Hougan has argued that crypto grew from a $100 billion market to a $2 trillion market entirely without comprehensive legislation. Bitcoin ETFs were approved. Spot ether ETFs followed. XRP ETFs launched. None of these required the CLARITY Act.

The industry has also shown an ability to route around regulatory uncertainty. Offshore exchanges serve US customers through VPNs. DeFi protocols operate without registration. Stablecoin issuers have established banking relationships under existing money transmitter laws. A failure to pass the CLARITY Act does not freeze the industry. It freezes the regulated, onshore version of the industry.

This argument has limits. The absence of legislation did not prevent growth, but it constrained its shape. Every major US exchange operates under constant legal risk. Coinbase has spent more than $200 million on legal costs since 2023. Circle delayed its IPO multiple times over regulatory uncertainty. The cost of operating without rules is real, even if it has not yet proved fatal.

What September actually looks like

The Senate returns on September 14. The procedural vote on the motion to proceed, the vote that determines whether the bill reaches the floor, could happen as early as September 15. If cloture fails, the bill is effectively dead for 2026.

Advertisement

Three scenarios are plausible.

The deal. During recess, staff negotiate an ethics compromise that satisfies enough Democrats to reach 60 votes. The bill passes in late September with amendments. This is the 16% scenario that Polymarket is pricing.

The delay. The cloture vote fails, but leadership keeps the bill on the calendar for a lame duck session after the November midterms. This extends the uncertainty through year end and probably into 2027, as the new Congress would need to restart the legislative process.

The death. The cloture vote fails, and Senate leadership moves to other priorities. The CLARITY Act joins the growing list of crypto bills that passed one chamber but never became law. Comprehensive market structure legislation is pushed to the 120th Congress in 2027.

Advertisement

What would prove this analysis wrong

If six or more Democratic senators publicly commit to voting yes before September 14, the math changes entirely. Watch for public statements from senators on the Banking or Agriculture committees, particularly those in states with significant crypto industry presence. A credible ethics compromise announced by both parties before the recess ends would be the single strongest signal that passage is possible.

Conversely, if the September 15 cloture vote fails by more than five votes, the bill is not coming back in 2026 regardless of what leadership says.

What to watch

The cloture vote count on September 15. Passage requires 60. If the motion to proceed clears, the bill will likely pass. If it falls short by three or fewer votes, negotiations continue. If it fails by five or more, the bill is dead for 2026.

Ethics provision language during recess. Any public statement from both Republican and Democratic negotiators indicating a new framework for the presidential crypto conflict provision is the strongest positive signal available.

Advertisement

Polymarket contract price. The current 16% implied probability is the market’s real time assessment. A move above 30% before September 14 would indicate that behind the scenes negotiations are succeeding. A move below 10% means the smart money has given up.

Institutional flow data in September. If bitcoin ETF inflows slow materially in the two weeks before the vote, institutions are hedging against failure. If flows hold steady, the market has already priced the risk.

SEC enforcement activity. Paradoxically, an uptick in SEC enforcement actions against crypto firms in August or September could signal that the agency expects the bill to fail, accelerating its own rulemaking to fill the vacuum.

Advertisement

What is the CLARITY Act?

The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, formally H.R. 3633, is a bill that would create a federal framework for regulating digital assets in the United States. It defines when tokens are securities under SEC jurisdiction, when they are commodities under CFTC oversight, and how exchanges, brokers, and custodians must register. The House passed it in July 2025 by a 294 to 134 vote.

Why has the Senate not voted on it yet?

The primary obstacle is the 60 vote filibuster threshold. Republicans hold 53 seats but need Democratic crossovers. Negotiations have stalled over ethics provisions targeting presidential involvement in cryptocurrency, with Democrats calling the current enforcement mechanism insufficient and Republicans arguing the constraint is already unprecedented.

What happens to crypto prices if the bill fails?

Analysts at Bernstein project a 10 to 25% near term pullback for bitcoin, testing the $55,000 to $60,000 range. Altcoins could face 15 to 30% drawdowns. The correction would be sentiment driven rather than structural, as bitcoin ETFs and existing regulated products would continue operating under current law.

Does the bill affect bitcoin ETFs?

Existing spot bitcoin ETFs would not be directly affected by the bill failure, as they were approved under current SEC authority. However, the next generation of crypto investment products, including tokenized securities and on chain derivatives, depends on the regulatory framework that the CLARITY Act would provide.

Advertisement

What is the ethics provision controversy?

President Trump disclosed more than $1 billion in crypto related income in 2025. The Senate version includes a provision prohibiting sitting presidents and federal officials from issuing or sponsoring digital assets. Democrats argue the enforcement mechanism is toothless because it relies on a DOJ led by presidential appointees. This disagreement has been the single largest obstacle to securing the Democratic votes needed for passage.

When is the next vote scheduled?

Senate Majority Leader John Thune filed cloture before the August recess, setting up a procedural vote as early as September 15, 2026. The Senate returns on September 14. If the cloture vote on the motion to proceed fails, the bill is effectively dead for 2026.

How many votes does the bill need?

The bill needs 60 votes to overcome the filibuster. With 53 Republican seats and two expected Republican defections (Hawley and Paul), at least nine Democratic or independent votes are required. Only two Democrats voted yes in committee.

Could the bill pass in 2027 instead?

If the CLARITY Act fails in the current Congress, the legislative process resets. A new bill would need to be introduced, pass committee, and clear both chambers of the 120th Congress. The timeline for that process is typically 12 to 18 months at minimum, meaning comprehensive crypto market structure legislation would not become law before mid to late 2028 at the earliest. This is educational analysis, not investment advice.

Advertisement

Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. Cryptocurrency markets are volatile and carry significant risk. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Published August 10, 2026.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Bitcoin’s BIP-110 fork is 300 blocks behind BTC and six years from fixing itself

Published

on

The longer the fork sits still, the further away its escape gets. (Shaurya Malwa/CoinDesk)

Bitcoin’s ledger is a chain of blocks, each one a batch of transactions added by miners, firms running warehouses of specialised computers that compete to produce the next one. They are paid in newly issued bitcoin plus the fees attached to those transactions, and a block arrives roughly every ten minutes.

That ten-minute pace is not automatic. The network sets a difficulty level, which is how much computing work a miner must do to produce a valid block, and recalculates it every 2,016 blocks. If blocks have been arriving too fast, the work gets harder. Too slow, and it gets easier.

At normal speed, 2,016 blocks takes about two weeks.

The longer the fork sits still, the further away its escape gets. (Shaurya Malwa/CoinDesk)

Two blocks were produced on that chain. Then it stopped, because mining it costs exactly what mining bitcoin costs — as both chains having inherited the same difficulty when they parted, while paying in a coin that has no market, no exchange listing and no buyers.

It also cannot make mining easier on itself without first completing 2,016 blocks at its current pace. A live monitor now estimates that adjustment at 6.3 years away, up from 350 days on Sunday.

Advertisement

The number is calculated from recent block times, so every idle hour pushes it further out. Bitcoin’s next adjustment is due in 12 days.

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

TRON USDT transfers hit $2.1T as U.S. access expands

Published

on

TRON key metrics overview, source: Messari

TRON processed $2.1 trillion in USDT transfers during the second quarter of 2026 as its stablecoin market reached a record $89.2 billion, according to Messari’s Aug. 10 report. 

Summary

  • TRON processed $2.1 trillion in USDT transfers during Q2 as stablecoin supply reached record levels.
  • USDT supply ended Q2 at $87.9 billion, giving TRON the largest circulating balance among blockchains.
  • Network fees rose 15.9% quarterly to $699.4 million, reversing declines after the 2025 fee cut.
  • Bitnomial launched regulated U.S. TRX futures in July after introducing spot trading during the quarter.
  • Canary amended its staked TRX ETF filing in July, targeting Cboe BZX under ticker TRXS.

USDT accounted for $87.9 billion, or 98.5% of stablecoins on the network, putting TRON ahead of Ethereum’s $78.7 billion USDT balance at quarter end.

The quarter also brought a broader U.S. route into TRX. Binance.US restored spot trading, Bitnomial added TRX to its regulated U.S. markets and Canary Capital continued work on a proposed staked TRX exchange traded product. After the quarter, Bitnomial added TRX futures and Anchorage Digital opened institutional staking access.

Advertisement

TRON USDT supply moved above $90 billion after Q2

Average daily USDT transfer volume rose 4.3% from the previous quarter to $22.8 billion, reversing the decline recorded in Q1. Total stablecoin capitalization increased 4.1%, while TRON accounted for 47.6% of tracked USDT supply at the end of June, Messari found.

TRON key metrics overview, source: Messari
TRON key metrics overview, source: Messari

Growth continued after the quarter closed. TRON’s official milestone page records USDT circulation on the network surpassing $90 billion on July 9. That extends the trend discussed inearlier stablecoin coverage, when TRON was already widening its USDT lead over Ethereum.

Network usage has also remained elevated. TRONSCAN currently reports an average of about 12.07 million daily transactions over the latest 30 days. As crypto.news reported in arecent network milestone, lifetime transactions crossed 15 billion in early August while circulating USDT remained above $90 billion.

Higher activity lifted fees while TRX supply kept growing

TRON generated $699.4 million in network fees during Q2, up 15.9% in dollar terms. Fees measured in TRX increased 2.1% to 2.10 billion TRX. Messari said it was the first quarterly fee increase since an August 2025 governance change cut the network’s energy unit price. Average transaction cost increased 5.4% to $0.65.

Higher fees did not return TRX to net deflation during the quarter. Circulating supply increased by about 87 million TRX to 94.85 billion as token creation continued to exceed burns. Total staked TRX also fell 0.9% to 45.7 billion, while the staking rate declined to 48.2%.

Advertisement

The inflationary pattern has continued into August. TRONSCAN data shows total supply at roughly 94.898 billion TRX on Aug. 10. About 3.92 million TRX were generated that day against 3.32 million burned, producing a net increase of roughly 598,000 TRX. Daily figures can vary, but supply remains above its Q2 closing level.

U.S. access widens for TRX through exchanges and staking

Binance.US restored TRX on April 16 with TRX/USD and TRX/USDT trading pairs and native deposits and withdrawals, according to its notice. The listing reversed the exchange’s 2023 removal of the asset, covered in past Binance.US coverage.

Bitnomial then added spot TRX during Q2 before launching exchange traded TRX futures on July 27. Its release says eligible U.S. traders and institutions can use the CFTC regulated contracts to hedge or take exposure to TRX. Bitnomial president Michael Dunn said six months of regulated futures history “meets a key milestone” for potential spot ETF eligibility, although that statement does not amount to SEC approval of any TRX product.

Institutional custody access expanded as well. Anchorage Digital said in a July 14 announcement that clients can now stake TRX while keeping assets within its regulated custody framework.

Advertisement

Canary ETF filing and U.S. compliance remain next tests

Canary Capital’s proposed staked TRX product provides another U.S. development to watch. A July 24 amended SEC filing identifies Cboe BZX as the planned exchange and TRXS as the ticker. Canary anticipates staking at least 90% of the trust’s TRX under normal circumstances. However, the prospectus remains preliminary and says the shares are “expected to be listed” subject to the required conditions. The registration statement must become effective before securities can be sold under the offering.

The network’s growing stablecoin footprint also keeps U.S. compliance scrutiny in view. On July 1, the Treasury Department’s Office of Foreign Assets Control added 131 TRON addresses to its ISIS K designation in an official update.

Chainalysis separately said in its analysis that Tether froze balances across all 131 addresses. The wallets had received more than $1.4 million since 2023, according to the blockchain analytics firm. The episode was detailed in earlier sanctions coverage.

TRON has also continued upgrading its infrastructure. The mandatory GreatVoyage v4.8.2 Pyrrho release arrived July 15, followed by the nonmandatory v4.8.2.1 Heraclitus update on July 31. For the second half of 2026, the main measurable developments are whether USDT circulation and transaction activity hold their recent levels, whether TRX supply returns to net deflation, and how the proposed U.S. ETF process develops.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © 2025