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Crypto World

$33K Could Be Bitcoin’s Next Stop if History Repeats: Analyst

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Sell in May and go away is a popular saying in the financial markets, and renowned analyst Merlijn The Trader outlined a historical pattern that could be even more painful for BTC now.

His targets are quite worrying, with the worst-case scenario predicting a massive plunge to $33,000.

Another 60% Decline Soon?

Following bitcoin’s rejection at $82,000 earlier this week and the subsequent correction to a 15-day low of $78,000, the bearish sentiment in Crypto X skyrocketed, with several analysts outlining different scenarios in which BTC could crash further. The latest to hop on the bear bandwagon was Merlijn The Trader, who noted that the cryptocurrency has significantly underperformed in the three previous midterm election years, such as the current one.

According to his data, the asset fell by 61% in 2014, by 65% in 2018, and by 66% four years ago. He warned: “Three cycles. Three dumps. Zero exceptions.” If this pattern is to play out in the current mid-term year, then BTC could plunge to $33,000.

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Although there are a few potentially bullish factors now, such as the advancing CLARITY Act and some deals between the US and China, Merlijn added that “the calendar has never been wrong.”

Or Maybe Just $45K

In a separate post, Merlijn talked about a different historical pattern that bitcoin could be mimicking now – the 2021 phase. At the time, BTC experienced similar price moves that eventually led to a bigger crash. He outlined the six steps that the cryptocurrency went through at the time, and said the asset could be in the Accumulation phase now (step 4).

If that’s the case, then BTC could be on the verge of another decline. However, this scenario is slightly less bearish as Merlijn’s targets are somewhere between $45,000 and $59,000. The key to this setup playing out is the $78,000 support, which is currently being tested.

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If BTC is to lose that level, it could drop to Merlijn’s targets. However, if it manages to hold, then step 4 could be skipped, and the run might be closer than expected.

The post $33K Could Be Bitcoin’s Next Stop if History Repeats: Analyst appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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Q1 2026 Filings Reveal Massive De-Risking Across Wall Street’s Largest Portfolios

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • Q1 2026 filings show a widespread reduction in mega-cap tech exposure across major institutional portfolios.
  • Hedge funds executed aggressive exits from Microsoft, Google, Nvidia, and select industrial positions.
  • Berkshire Hathaway reshaped holdings, trimming assets and expanding cash reserves to near-record levels.
  • Capital allocation trends show rotation toward liquidity and defensive positioning across global funds.

Wall Street’s biggest funds entered Q1 2026 with a noticeable change in posture. They are stepping back from crowded trades in mega-cap tech while rebuilding liquidity buffers across global portfolios. 

Berkshire Hathaway’s Structural Reallocation and Liquidity Expansion

Berkshire Hathaway’s latest portfolio reshaping under Greg Abel reflects a notable contraction in equity breadth alongside a sharper focus on liquidity.

The holdings base was reduced from 40 positions to 26, marking one of the most concentrated structural adjustments in recent cycles.

The firm fully exited Amazon, UnitedHealth, and Domino’s while trimming Chevron and Bank of America exposure.

At the same time, Berkshire added a $2.65 billion position in Delta Air Lines and increased exposure to Alphabet. Cash reserves expanded toward $397 billion, reinforcing a defensive allocation stance.

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Operating performance remained stable with $93.68 billion in revenue and $10.11 billion in net income. Insurance underwriting and BNSF rail operations contributed to an 18 percent rise in operating earnings.

Share buybacks resumed at $234 million, signaling selective capital deployment amid elevated liquidity positioning.

Hedge Fund Exits Signal Technology De-Risking Cycle

Across hedge fund filings, a clear rotation away from concentrated technology exposure emerged during Q1 2026.

Bill Ackman nearly fully exited Alphabet, reducing both Class A and Class C holdings by more than 94 percent. The move reflected a decisive exit rather than incremental trimming.

Chris Hohn’s TCI Fund reduced Microsoft exposure from 10 percent of its portfolio to just 1 percent, citing AI-driven disruption risk to enterprise software economics.

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Daniel Loeb also fully exited Microsoft while cutting Nvidia exposure by more than 93 percent, alongside sharp reductions in Union Pacific and multiple industrial names.

This wave of exits extended beyond single names into broader portfolio compression, with Loeb closing 20 positions in total.

The pattern shows a shift from concentrated high-growth bets toward liquidity and risk dispersion. Capital flows increasingly moved into cash equivalents and lower volatility allocations.

The collective repositioning reflects how institutional capital is adjusting to valuation pressures and structural uncertainty in technology-heavy portfolios.

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Liquidity buffers are rising, while exposure to mega-cap equities is being reduced in favor of capital preservation strategies. Portfolio rotations are now being closely tracked across global fund disclosures.

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DeFi Lending Hacks Now Cost Users Just $3 for Every $10,000 Locked

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Total Value Hacked in DeFi

Lenders parking funds in DeFi borrowing markets on Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) chains and Solana lost roughly $3 for every $10,000 deposited over the past 12 months, putting realized hack losses at 3 basis points of Total Value Locked (TVL).

That loss rate sits close to the annual rate at which Americans die from slip-and-fall accidents. Keyring Network founder Alex McFarlane derived the figure from DefiLlama records on May 17, isolating lending markets and stripping out bridge incidents.

Lending Hack Losses Stay Small Against TVL

The research measures trailing 12-month non-bridge lending exploits at $30.9 million gross against $99.6 billion in average TVL. The reading came in at 3.1 basis points gross and 3 basis points net after recoveries, pulled through May 16.

For an individual lender, the math implies that spreading $10,000 across the largest EVM and Solana lending markets carried an annualized hack-loss expectation of about $3 over the past year.

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The figure excludes bridge risk, oracle failures, and bugs specific to any single protocol, and it assumes the deposit did not land inside a market that suffered a tail event.

DefiLlama records gross hack losses of $7.75 billion across the broader DeFi category over its full history. Excluding bridge incidents drops that figure to $4.52 billion, showing how one category distorts the picture for the rest of DeFi.

Total Value Hacked in DeFi
Total Value Hacked in DeFi. Source: DefiLlama

Crypto hackers pulled $606 million in April, the worst month since Bybit’s 2025 breach, with Kelp DAO and Drift hacks driving 95% of that month’s total losses.

“The key question for hack/crime risk is: how large are realized exploit losses relative to the amount of capital using the market? The probability of 3 in 10000 is approximately equal to the rate of Americans that die by slipping and falling over. On that basis, DeFi borrowing and lending look pretty good, despite the fear factor,” wrote McFarlane.

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Diversification and Recoveries Reshape the Risk

Hack sizes skew heavily, with a handful of mega-events driving most of the cumulative damage and the bulk of incidents staying small. On a logarithmic scale, the data approximates a lognormal distribution.

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Most exploits hit one component inside a market rather than draining an entire protocol, and larger markets absorb a smaller percentage hit when an incident does occur.

That pattern strengthens the case for spreading capital across DeFi lending protocols rather than concentrating it in one venue.

Recoveries also reduce the headline figure. Across all DefiLlama-tracked DeFi protocol losses, capped recoveries amount to about 8% of gross damage.

For EVM and Solana lending excluding bridges, the rate climbs to roughly 20%. Euler Finance produced the standout case, with the attacker returning all stolen funds after the 2023 flash loan exploit.

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Design Philosophy Shapes the Next Cycle

Builders are pushing toward leaner code as a security strategy. Morpho contributor Merlin Egalite argued that minimalism is the dividing line between safe and unsafe lending markets.

The $3 per $10,000 reading is realized history, not a guarantee. The data argues against alarmism without dismissing tail risk.

Aave and Morpho continue to absorb the bulk of new lending capital, and 2026 has already seen heavy single events, including the KelpDAO incident in April.

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Losses now sit within a measurable range that lenders, insurers, and allocators can actually price.

Subscribe to our YouTube channel to watch leaders and journalists provide expert insights 

The post DeFi Lending Hacks Now Cost Users Just $3 for Every $10,000 Locked appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Michael Saylor Hints at Another Bitcoin Purchase After 18th Tracker Update

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • Strategy tracker update revived speculation that Michael Saylor may be signaling new BTC purchases
  • Strategy holds 818,869 BTC worth about $64B, making it a dominant corporate Bitcoin holder globally
  • Earnings call comments introduced possible BTC sales for dividends, shifting investor expectations
  • Traders link Saylor’s “Big Dot Energy” post with historical accumulation signals and market timing

Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin “big dot energy” has stirred debate across crypto markets. Traders are watching for signs of renewed Bitcoin accumulation.

Social signals, past purchase patterns, and earnings have converged into growing speculation around the firm’s next move. 

Tracker Activity Fuels Accumulation Speculation

Market attention increased after Strategy released its latest tracker update, showing renewed visual signals tied to previous Bitcoin acquisition cycles. The recurring orange markers continue to guide trader expectations around potential accumulation windows. 

Historical behavior shows that these updates often precede official corporate announcements within short timeframes while reinforcing sentiment around institutional buying activity across the market. 

Market participants also compare current tracker patterns with earlier accumulation phases seen since 2020 across multiple macro cycles, a periodic review.

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Strategy currently holds one of the largest corporate Bitcoin positions, totaling 818,869 BTC, which reinforces its role as a major market influence. 

The scale of holdings continues to shape liquidity expectations and trading sentiment across both spot and derivatives markets, with investors closely tracking treasury movements for directional cues. Market reaction remains sensitive to any perceived change in accumulation pace or treasury allocation strategy by the company, signaling a shift.

Market observers continue monitoring Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin purchase, which references as part of broader sentiment tracking across institutional flows.

These signals are not confirmations, yet they often coincide with subsequent on-chain accumulation activity and updated treasury disclosures. 

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Both remain the primary verification method for Strategy Bitcoin movements. Traders rely heavily on filings and official statements before positioning around large-scale Bitcoin treasury actions.

Earnings Call Shift and Market Positioning

Recent earnings call remarks introduced a shift in Strategy’s communication around Bitcoin management, including the possibility of periodic sales to support dividend obligations for credit instrument holders.

This marks a notable departure from earlier messaging centered on uninterrupted accumulation policies. Market participants now reassess potential supply-side effects linked to corporate treasury flexibility.

During the earnings discussion, Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin purchase sentiments continued circulating across trading platforms as participants evaluated the balance between accumulation and potential liquidation scenarios. 

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Trading desks adjusted positioning strategies based on updated corporate treasury guidance and historical accumulation behavior patterns. Volatility expectations increased slightly following clarification around possible Bitcoin sales for dividend funding. 

Strategy CEO Phong Le clarified that Bitcoin sales would be limited to specific financial scenarios, including dividend payments and tax-related adjustments. He added that such actions should not be interpreted as directional market positioning decisions. 

Average Bitcoin trading volumes above sixty billion dollars continue to absorb institutional flows without structural disruption. These conditions maintain focus on official disclosures as the primary reference point for market interpretation.

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DOJ Charges Dream Market Admin in $2M Crypto-to-Gold Laundering Case

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • Dormant Dream Market wallets allegedly moved $2M crypto into new consolidated blockchain addresses.
  • Funds were routed through regulated crypto services, later used to purchase gold bullion abroad.
  • Investigators linked blockchain tracing with shipment records tied to gold bars sent to Germany.
  • US and German authorities coordinated the seizure of assets, including gold, cash, and crypto holdings.

US authorities have charged an alleged Dream Market administrator over a crypto laundering scheme tied to gold bars, revealing how dormant darknet wallets were allegedly reactivated and routed through regulated services, creating a cross-border financial investigation spanning blockchain and physical assets.

Dormant wallet activity and blockchain tracing patterns

Investigators in the Dream Market crypto-to-gold laundering case focused on dormant wallet activity that resurfaced years after the marketplace shutdown in 2019.

Blockchain analysts reportedly tracked fund movements from legacy addresses into consolidated wallets believed to be newly structured systems.

Weak points emerged when funds allegedly moved from dormant infrastructure into regulated conversion channels used for gold acquisition.

Authorities indicated that a regulated Atlanta-based crypto service played a central role in converting digital assets into physical bullion.

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Each transaction reportedly created compliance records that later helped investigators map cross-border fund flows across multiple jurisdictions.

Investigators also reviewed shipping documentation linked to gold bar deliveries allegedly sent directly to addresses in Germany under monitored procedures.

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Financial intelligence units coordinated between US and German agencies to verify the origin of seized bullion and associated accounts.

Law enforcement agencies stated that the conversion from crypto to gold complicated traditional blockchain tracing methodologies significantly.

Despite attempts to obscure origin points, analysts reconstructed transaction paths using exchange records and wallet clustering techniques. These findings contributed to the broader indictment timeline issued months before public disclosure of the case.

Authorities maintained surveillance over dormant wallet clusters while preparing coordinated enforcement actions across jurisdictions involving both financial and digital asset recovery teams during the ongoing investigation process review.

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Gold conversion channels and international enforcement response

Prosecutors described the gold conversion process as a structured attempt to move cryptocurrency proceeds outside blockchain visibility.

Funds allegedly passed through intermediary services before being used to purchase bullion from international dealers operating under regulated frameworks.

Authorities in Germany executed coordinated searches that resulted in the seizure of gold bars, cash, and digital asset evidence. The seized materials formed part of a broader evidence pool tied to alleged Dream Market operations and transactions.

Investigators emphasized that regulated conversion channels provided traceable entry points despite attempts to obscure fund origins.

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Cross-border cooperation between US and German authorities enabled synchronized enforcement actions across multiple jurisdictions.

Financial records from service providers were incorporated into the investigative timeline supporting the laundering allegations.

Blockchain mapping techniques allowed analysts to reconstruct wallet clusters linked to dormant marketplace infrastructure activity.

Shipping records associated with bullion deliveries provided additional corroboration for alleged asset conversion pathways identified by investigators.

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Each data point contributed to mapping financial flows that spanned both digital wallets and physical asset acquisition channels.

Authorities noted that structured laundering patterns often rely on converting liquid crypto assets into less traceable commodities.

These methods have been observed in multiple darknet investigations involving asset diversification across jurisdictions and financial systems. Investigations continue across multiple jurisdictions and agencies involved.

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Hyperliquid Founder Holds Washington Talks to Push Onchain Derivatives into the U.S. Market

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • Hyperliquid founder Jeff Yan visited Washington during the Clarity Act’s advancement to meet U.S. crypto policymakers.
  • Discussions covered both technical DeFi fundamentals and global user demand for onchain derivatives trading platforms.
  • ICE and CME Group previously pressured U.S. regulators to restrict Hyperliquid, adding hurdles to its U.S. expansion.
  • Yan confirmed the team is actively working toward compliant U.S. access, signaling a structured regulatory engagement strategy.

Hyperliquid founder Jeff Yan recently traveled to Washington, D.C., to meet with U.S. policymakers. The discussions centered on bringing onchain derivatives markets into the United States through proper regulatory frameworks.

Yan confirmed that the team engaged in both technical and introductory conversations with legislators. The meetings took place during the advancement of the Clarity Act, a key moment for crypto regulation in Congress.

Hyperliquid Engages Washington During Clarity Act Advancement

Jeff Yan shared details of the Washington visit through a post on X. He noted that the team met with policymakers alongside the Hyperliquid Policy Council. The timing aligned with the historic progress of the Clarity Act on Capitol Hill.

Some conversations were highly technical in nature. Policymakers demonstrated a strong baseline understanding of how Hyperliquid operates.

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This reflected a growing level of crypto literacy among U.S. legislators. Yan described the experience as encouraging overall.

Other discussions took a broader approach, covering the fundamentals of decentralized finance. These sessions introduced the promise of onchain markets from the ground up.

Policymakers were receptive to learning about the global demand for onchain trading. The conversations helped frame DeFi as a financial innovation with real user traction.

Bipartisan support for thoughtful crypto regulation was visible throughout the meetings. Yan noted this was a positive development for the industry.

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He expressed a commitment to continuing these conversations in Washington. His goal remains making Hyperliquid accessible to American users through compliant channels.

Regulatory Path for U.S. Users Remains a Key Priority

The road to U.S. access for Hyperliquid has faced notable resistance from traditional financial institutions. Intercontinental Exchange and CME Group previously lobbied U.S. regulators to restrict the platform.

These two legacy derivatives giants viewed Hyperliquid as a competitive threat. Their pressure added complexity to the regulatory conversation.

Despite the opposition, Yan remains focused on building a compliant path forward. The team is actively working toward enabling U.S. users to access the platform legally.

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The Washington meetings were part of that broader effort to engage regulators directly. Progress depends on establishing a clear legal framework for onchain derivatives.

The Clarity Act’s advancement in Congress offers a potential opening for platforms like Hyperliquid. Clear legislation could define how onchain markets operate within U.S. jurisdiction.

This would benefit both consumers and platforms seeking regulatory certainty. The timing of Yan’s visit was therefore strategically important.

Yan wrapped up his post by reaffirming his dedication to the regulatory process. He stated he looks forward to continued discussions in D.C. and working hard to make American access to Hyperliquid a reality. The team appears committed to working within the system rather than around it.

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Saudi Arabia Moves Trillion-Dollar Economy Onchain via $12.5B Tokenization Push

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • DroppRWA will digitize Saudi real estate into programmable on-chain assets
  • Blockchain deed transfer in 2026 cut settlement time from days to seconds across property markets
  • Stablecoin-based real estate settlement is targeted for rollout in Saudi Arabia by late 2026
  • Sovereign digital infrastructure aims to extend into energy and manufacturing under regulated systems

Saudi Arabia is advancing a large-scale shift toward digitized financial infrastructure through real-world asset systems.

The initiative led by droppRWA targets regulated settlement rails for property and broader economic sectors, positioning the Kingdom within emerging sovereign on-chain finance frameworks.

Real Estate Digitization and Institutional Buildout

The Kingdom’s digital asset program is gaining structure through droppRWA, which has secured $12.5 billion in mandates tied to property markets and investment zones.

The framework is designed to convert physical ownership into programmable financial units under regulated conditions.

A completed blockchain property deed transfer in early 2026 demonstrated near-instant settlement, reducing traditional processing delays from days to seconds. This execution is being used as a reference model for scaling across larger real estate pipelines.

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The broader system is aligned with national financial modernization efforts led by Faisal Monai, who previously helped architect Saudi Arabia’s digital payments infrastructure.

That network now processes billions of transactions annually, forming a base layer for further financial digitization.

Institutional engagement is increasing as global markets expand tokenized instruments. Tokenized US Treasuries reached $15.5 billion in May 2026, reflecting growing demand for digitally settled financial assets across regulated markets.

Plans also include extending digital settlement structures beyond property into energy and industrial assets. These sectors are being evaluated for structured on-chain representation under compliance-driven frameworks.

Stablecoin Settlement and Sovereign Financial Architecture

A regulated rollout of stablecoin-based real estate settlement is targeted for late 2026 under coordination between financial authorities and central banking institutions. The system is designed to enable faster capital flows while maintaining legal asset backing.

Monai has outlined a long-term transition toward sovereign-grade digital infrastructure by 2030, where settlement, issuance, and transfer mechanisms operate through unified financial rails. The model integrates blockchain-based execution with regulatory oversight.

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Rather than replacing existing global currency systems, the framework is structured to operate alongside them through multi-rail settlement channels. This approach maintains dollar connectivity while improving transaction speed and liquidity access.

Global stablecoin markets have surpassed $300 billion in capitalization, with transaction volumes exceeding $30 trillion in 2025. These figures indicate rising institutional reliance on programmable settlement layers across financial systems.

The architecture also reflects broader G20 discussions on digital asset regulation and cross-border settlement standards. Several jurisdictions are studying Gulf-led frameworks as reference models for sovereign financial digitization.

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SEC’s Reg Crypto Framework: New Rules on Wallets, Fundraising, and Tokenized Securities

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • The SEC clarified that crypto wallets relaying user decisions to the blockchain may avoid broker-dealer registration.
  • Reg Crypto for fundraising mirrors Hester Peirce’s Safe Harbor, offering crypto projects a clear decentralization pathway.
  • The SEC’s Crypto Task Force applies the Howey Test to determine when digital tokens qualify as securities.
  • An innovation exemption is being explored to allow tokenized stock trading on automated market makers without exchange registration.

The SEC is moving forward with new crypto regulatory guidance under the Reg Crypto framework. Landon Zinda, counsel to the chairman and senior advisor for the SEC’s Crypto Task Force, outlined these developments at the Solana Policy Institute Summit.

His remarks covered broker-dealer registration, fundraising pathways, and tokenization. The agency is taking steps to bring clarity to the digital assets space without yet issuing formal rulemaking.

SEC Addresses Broker-Dealer Registration for Crypto Wallets

On Monday, the 13th, the SEC’s Division of Trading and Markets released new guidance on crypto wallets. The statement clarified when wallets, interfaces, and front ends would not need to register as broker-dealers.

Platforms that simply relay user decisions to the blockchain fall outside that registration requirement. The key factor is whether the platform receives transaction-based compensation, which would classify it as a broker.

According to Zinda at the Solana Policy Institute Summit, the guidance focuses on platforms acting “as tools for users to execute their own decisions.”

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He noted that these platforms relay messages to the blockchain without engaging in the kind of compensation that triggers broker classification.

This distinction is central to how the SEC is drawing the line for registration. It offers a practical framework for developers and platform operators to assess their obligations.

The SEC’s Crypto Task Force consists of around 15 dedicated staffers working on regulatory pathways. The group has issued several statements clarifying the security status of different digital assets.

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Their work also involves applying the Howey Test to determine when tokens qualify as securities. This analysis remains central to how the SEC approaches crypto asset classification.

Zinda noted that the task force’s approach has relied on staff statements and commission interpretations rather than formal rules. Formal rulemaking is, however, expected to follow in the future.

The SEC is also coordinating with Congress and other regulators, including the CFTC. These efforts aim to support market structure and provide flexibility for the industry.

Reg Crypto for Fundraising Mirrors Hester Peirce’s Safe Harbor Proposal

Reg Crypto for fundraising is one of the more anticipated elements of the SEC’s emerging framework. The concept closely mirrors Commissioner Hester Peirce’s long-proposed safe harbor.

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It aims to give crypto projects a clear path for conducting fundraising activities. Projects would eventually decentralize to a point where they are no longer considered securities.

Zinda described the initiative as providing clarity on how crypto projects “can conduct fundraising and eventually decentralize.”

He added that decentralization reaches a meaningful threshold by “ceasing essential managerial efforts,” at which point the token may no longer meet Howey Test criteria.

This gives projects a defined window to build and transition responsibly. It addresses one of the most persistent uncertainties in crypto fundraising.

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On tokenization, the SEC staff is reviewing methods for tokenizing securities that carry rights similar to traditional stocks. They are also looking at tokens that simply represent value without those attached rights.

An innovation exemption is being explored to allow trading of tokenized stocks on automated market makers. This could reduce the need for traditional exchange or broker registration in certain cases.

Congress has also held hearings specifically focused on tokenization, showing growing legislative interest. The Clarity Act remains part of the broader legislative effort being tracked alongside SEC work.

Zinda described its passage as “an arduous but ongoing process involving significant effort from many individuals in Congress.” The SEC’s regulatory framework is being designed to align with that legislative direction.

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Bitcoin Head and Shoulders Pattern Signals $80K Neckline as a Risk Zone

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • The Bitcoin head and shoulders pattern shows neckline pressure near $80K after repeated rejection attempts across key trading sessions
  • Market structure reflects weakening momentum as the Bitcoin head and shoulders pattern forms following a failed breakout above prior highs
  • Measured move from the Bitcoin head and shoulders pattern places potential downside extension toward $40K if the breakdown continues
  • Price action around $80K remains decisive as the Bitcoin head and shoulders pattern structure depends on reclaim or rejection

Bitcoin trades near the $80K neckline zone, where repeated rejections have emerged. Market structure shows weakening momentum after a strong rally phase, drawing focus on potential trend continuation or breakdown scenarios.

Neckline Pressure at $80K Zone

The $80K region continues to act as a critical neckline within the Bitcoin head and shoulders pattern, shaping short-term price reactions across multiple sessions.

Price movement around this zone has shown repeated rejection attempts, with buyers struggling to maintain control after each recovery effort near resistance.

During the prior rally phase, Bitcoin established the left shoulder as momentum carried the price toward higher liquidity areas above previous trading ranges.

The head formation emerged near the all-time high, marking exhaustion in bullish continuation within the Bitcoin head and shoulders pattern structure.

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Following that peak, momentum weakened and failed breakout attempts confirmed distribution behavior, setting conditions for a developing right shoulder formation.

Market participants have noted that each retest of the neckline has produced diminishing bullish strength, suggesting reduced buying pressure at elevated levels.

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Repeated failure to sustain breakouts above resistance has reinforced the structural importance of the $80K zone in current trading conditions.

Technical structure suggests that sustained rejection at this level may continue to limit upside momentum, keeping price compressed below resistance while volatility increases across intraday sessions. 

Traders’ current behavior reflects hesitation typical of late-cycle consolidation phases in volatile markets across major assets.

Measured Move and Potential $40K Projection

The measured move derived from the Bitcoin head and shoulders pattern is calculated using the vertical distance between the head and neckline.

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This projection method maps potential downside by extending the same distance below the breakdown zone after confirmation of resistance failure.

With the neckline near $80K and the head formed at peak valuation levels, the structural range expands toward lower liquidity zones.

Market calculations place the extended target near $40K, aligning with historical accumulation areas from previous market cycles.

Price action around the neckline remains decisive, as sustained rejection could maintain downward pressure within the existing structure.

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Traders observing the Bitcoin head and shoulders pattern continue to evaluate whether a reclaim of $80K can invalidate bearish continuation scenarios.

Failure to regain this level would keep the market structure tilted toward sellers in the short term. Liquidity conditions typically weaken during extended retests, as participants reduce exposure amid uncertain directional momentum. 

Historical market behavior shows that breakdowns from major neckline levels often lead to accelerated volatility across both Bitcoin and altcoin markets.

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Aave Restores WETH LTVs to Pre-Incident Levels Across Six Networks in rsETH Recovery Plan

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • Aave has restored WETH LTV ratios to pre-incident levels across all six affected V3 network deployments.
  • Users can now borrow against WETH again, including through collateral and debt swap functions on Aave.
  • The restoration covers Ethereum Core, Ethereum Prime, Arbitrum, Base, Mantle, and Linea networks.
  • Aave founder Stani Kulechov confirmed the milestone, noting the phased rsETH recovery plan is progressing.

Aave has completed a major step in its rsETH technical recovery plan by restoring WETH loan-to-value ratios across all affected networks.

The update allows users to borrow against WETH once again, including through collateral and debt swap functions.

The restoration covers Aave V3 deployments on Ethereum Core, Ethereum Prime, Arbitrum, Base, Mantle, and Linea. This move brings WETH back to normal operating conditions across the protocol’s key deployments.

WETH Borrowing Resumes Across Multiple Networks

Aave’s restoration of WETH LTV ratios marks a clear turning point in the protocol’s recovery process. Users across six major networks can now access WETH borrowing functions without restrictions. The change directly affects those who rely on collateral and debt swap features within the Aave ecosystem.

Aave’s official account confirmed the update on X, stating that WETH LTVs on Aave V3 Ethereum Core, Ethereum Prime, Arbitrum, Base, Mantle, and Linea have returned to pre-incident values.

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The post further noted that WETH now operates as normal across all affected V3 deployments. This confirmation provided users with clarity on the current status of the protocol.

The networks covered in this update serve a broad base of DeFi participants. Arbitrum, Base, Mantle, and Linea are among the most active Layer 2 ecosystems in the space. Restoring LTV ratios across all of them at once reflects a coordinated and structured recovery approach.

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Aave Founder Confirms Recovery Milestone

Aave founder Stani Kulechov addressed the community directly following the update. He confirmed that the next step in the rsETH technical recovery plan had been completed successfully. His statement reinforced confidence in the protocol’s ability to manage and resolve technical challenges.

Kulechov noted that users can now borrow against WETH on Aave, including through collateral and debt swaps. This brings back key functionality that had been restricted during the incident period. The restoration of these features is a practical benefit for active Aave users managing their positions.

The recovery plan itself reflects the structured way Aave approaches protocol-level incidents. Rather than rushing fixes, the team implemented phased steps to restore operations responsibly.

As each phase completes, users regain access to features in a controlled and transparent manner.

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US DOJ Accuses Dream Market Admin of Turning Crypto Into $1.7 Million in Gold Bars

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US DOJ Accuses Dream Market Admin of Turning Crypto Into $1.7 Million in Gold Bars

The U.S. Department of Justice indicted Owe Martin Andresen, 49, over an alleged $2 million crypto laundering scheme. Prosecutors say the German citizen converted darknet proceeds into gold bars shipped to his home.

Authorities arrested Andresen in Germany on May 7. Investigators seized roughly $1.7 million in gold bullion and $23,000 in cash. Another $1.2 million in bank and crypto accounts was linked to the marketplace.

How the Alleged Scheme Worked

Prosecutors say Andresen operated under the moniker Speedstepper. He was the long-unidentified main administrator of Dream Market, which shut down voluntarily in 2019 amid law enforcement pressure.

According to the indictment, Andresen accessed dormant marketplace wallets in late 2022. He then routed the funds into new consolidated addresses.

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Beginning August 2023, he allegedly used an Atlanta-based crypto service to buy gold bars from international dealers. The dealers shipped the bullion directly to his German home address.

A Familiar Darknet Enforcement Pattern

Dream Market operated from 2013 to 2019 and hosted close to 100,000 listings at its peak. Buyers paid in Bitcoin (BTC) to obscure transaction trails.

Reportedly, the site facilitated sales of more than 450 kilograms of cocaine and 90 kilograms of heroin. DOJ figures also cite 36 kilograms of fentanyl moved through the platform.

Earlier prosecutions convicted Dream Market admins using the handles Oxymonster, KITT3N, and GOWRON. Speedstepper, however, remained unidentified for years.

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The indictment fits a broader crackdown on dormant darknet proceeds, including the recent recovery of $1 billion in Bitcoin tied to Silk Road.

Each of the 12 US counts carries up to 20 years in prison, while parallel German charges add up to five years each.

The case suggests that wallets once controlled by Dream Market’s senior administrators are finally back in circulation.

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