Crypto World
Anthropic tightens AI access as cyberattack risk looms for crypto
Anthropic has moved Claude Mythos Preview into a limited testing phase with a select group of enterprise partners after the model surfaced thousands of critical vulnerabilities across operating systems, web browsers and other software. The disclosure highlights both the immense potential of AI-powered security tools and the new, accompanying risks as capabilities proliferate in the wild.
The company described Mythos Preview as a general-purpose model that, during its internal evaluation, identified high-severity weaknesses across major platforms. Anthropic cautioned that such capabilities could spread rapidly if not managed responsibly, noting that adversaries may deploy these tools before safeguards are in place.
“Given the rate of AI progress, it will not be long before such capabilities proliferate, potentially beyond actors who are committed to deploying them safely.”
Security researchers have long warned that AI can accelerate cyberattacks by automating discovery and exploitation. In a broader landscape where AI-driven threats are increasingly common, Anthropic pointed to alarming trends. AllAboutAI reports a 72% year-over-year increase in AI-powered cyberattacks, and that 87% of global organizations experienced AI-enabled attacks in 2025. Against that backdrop, Anthropic emphasized the need for defensive AI tools to outrun the bad actors.
To shore up defenses, Anthropic announced Project Glasswing on the same day. The initiative unites more than 40 companies, including Amazon Web Services, Apple, Cisco, Google, JPMorgan, the Linux Foundation, Microsoft and Nvidia, with the goal of using Claude Mythos Preview’s capabilities to find bugs, share data with partners and patch critical vulnerabilities before criminals exploit them.
Key takeaways
- Claude Mythos Preview has identified thousands of critical vulnerabilities across operating systems, browsers and cryptography libraries, underscoring a broad surface area for potential exploitation.
- The majority of these flaws remain unpatched, with Anthropic noting that about 99% of the vulnerabilities it found have not yet been fixed.
- Project Glasswing mobilizes a cross‑industry coalition to operationalize AI-driven defense, aiming to accelerate bug discovery, disclosure and remediation across the software stack.
- The vulnerabilities span decades, hinting at long-standing fragility in widely used software and the persistent risk to critical infrastructure and crypto ecosystems.
AI-driven vulnerability discovery and decades‑old weaknesses
Anthropic’s early findings reveal a troubling reality: flaws that have lingered for years or even decades can still pose meaningful threats today. Among the examples cited were now-patched but historically significant bugs in OpenBSD—a 27-year-old vulnerability that resurfaced in testing—alongside a 16-year-old flaw in the FFmpeg library, and a 17-year-old remote code execution vulnerability in the FreeBSD operating system. The disclosures extended to multiple vulnerabilities within the Linux kernel, illustrating that even well-maintained open-source projects are not immune to latent risks.
Beyond operating systems, Mythos Preview flagged weaknesses in the cryptography landscape—areas that are foundational to secure communications and transactions. The model reportedly identified flaws in widely used libraries and protocols, including TLS, AES-GCM and SSH. Web applications emerged as a particularly fertile ground for vulnerability discovery, with a spectrum of issues ranging from cross-site scripting to SQL injection and cross-site request forgery, the latter often leveraged in phishing-style campaigns.
Anthropic stressed that many of these issues are subtle, context-specific or deeply embedded in complex code paths, making them hard to surface through traditional auditing alone. The implication for developers and operators is clear: even mature software stacks can hide critical flaws that AI could help uncover much faster than conventional methods.
The company also highlighted a stark statistic accompanying the findings: the majority of these vulnerabilities had not yet been patched, creating a window of exposure that could be exploited by opportunistic attackers if not addressed promptly.
Glasswing: a coalition for proactive defense
Project Glasswing is pitched as a proactive defense program rather than a retrospective analysis initiative. By pooling resources and expertise from participants across cloud providers, hardware developers, financial institutions and open-source ecosystems, Glasswing seeks to turn AI-driven vulnerability discovery into a learning loop that accelerates patch creation and deployment. The collaboration aims to share insights about emerging threats, coordinate disclosure with vendors and suppliers, and push for rapid remediation before exploitation becomes widespread.
Key participants span industry giants and pivotal security ecosystems: Amazon Web Services, Apple, Cisco, Google, JPMorgan, the Linux Foundation, Microsoft and Nvidia, among others. The initiative reflects a growing trend in which large technologist coalitions coordinate to harden software supply chains and reduce the window between vulnerability discovery and patching—an objective that is especially relevant to blockchain and crypto infrastructure, where security incidents can trigger cascading failures across networks and ecosystems.
What this shift means for crypto and cybersecurity ecosystems
For investors and builders in the crypto space, the Mythos Preview findings and Glasswing’s collaborative model lend a more nuanced view of risk and resilience. On the one hand, AI-assisted vulnerability discovery could markedly improve the security posture of crypto platforms, wallets, node software and smart-contract ecosystems by uncovering weaknesses that would have taken humans far longer to detect. On the other hand, early access to such powerful tools poses governance and safety questions: who controls the disclosure of findings, how quickly patches are issued, and how risk is priced for users in real-time markets?
From a market perspective, the activity around AI-enabled security tools could influence demand for security primitives, auditing suites and formal verification services within crypto infrastructure. It also underscores the importance of strong supply-chain security, given that a single zero-day in a widely used library or OS could ripple across decentralized networks, exchanges and custodial services.
Analysts note that the transition period for defense‑driven AI is likely to be fraught. In the long run, advocates expect defense capabilities to dominate, yielding a more secure software ecosystem, but the interim phase will be characterized by widespread misconfigurations, patch delays and evolving threat tactics as attackers adapt to new defensive technologies. Anthropic’s framing suggests that the shift toward AI-assisted defense will not be instantaneous; it will require sustained collaboration, standardized disclosures and rapid patch cycles to reduce the window of exploitation.
Beyond the immediate technical implications, industry observers are watching how policy and governance frameworks adapt to these capabilities. The balance between sharing threat intelligence and protecting sensitive vulnerability data will shape how quickly organizations can benefit from AI-driven defense, including in crypto-focused environments where liability, transparency and user trust are paramount.
As coverage in security circles notes, similar narratives have emerged around AI-enabled code security and the broader debate over how to regulate and deploy AI safely. The media and market response to these discussions has included volatility in cybersecurity equities, underscoring that investors are weighing the reliability of AI-driven defense against the risk of enabling more capable attackers.
In the near term, readers should watch how Glasswing translates the model’s findings into tangible patches and how quickly participating firms can operationalize the shared intelligence. The outcome will likely influence security budgets, developer workflows and incident-response readiness across both traditional tech and crypto-native ecosystems.
What remains uncertain is how quickly the industry can close the patch gap for the vast array of uncovered vulnerabilities and whether AI-assisted defenses can stay ahead of increasingly sophisticated exploitation techniques. The coming months will be telling for developers, operators and policymakers about the feasibility and effectiveness of large-scale, AI-enabled defense programs in reducing systemic risk.
For now, Anthropic’s disclosures reinforce a critical takeaway: as AI capabilities grow, so does the imperative to pair powerful discovery tools with disciplined, collaborative defense—especially in sectors where security is inseparable from trust and continuity.
Crypto World
Hegseth fires Army chief in Iran war
The political news from the Pentagon on April 2 shocked military officials: Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth fired Army Chief of Staff Gen. Randy George — the Army’s most senior officer — while the 82nd Airborne Division was actively deploying to the Middle East, replacing him immediately with Gen. Christopher LaNeve, a former personal aide to Hegseth.
Summary
- CBS News first reported the ouster; Axios confirmed with defense officials; Hegseth also fired Gen. David Hodne, commander of Army Transformation and Training Command, and Maj. Gen. William Green Jr., the Army chief of chaplains — three generals removed on the same day
- George, confirmed by the Senate as Army Chief in 2023 under Biden and three years into a typical four-year term, learned of the decision via a phone call from Hegseth while he was in a meeting; Pentagon spokesman Sean Parnell announced his retirement as “effective immediately”
- Two US officials confirmed to Axios the firing was driven by clashing personalities, not policy disagreement; it is the latest in a string of more than a dozen generals and flag officers Hegseth has removed since taking office, including Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. C.Q. Brown and Navy CNO Adm. Lisa Franchetti
As Axios reported, one US official’s response to the timing was blunt: “you fire him? In the middle of a war?” LaNeve, who previously called into the Commander in Chief’s Ball after Trump’s inauguration to congratulate the president, was described by Parnell as “completely trusted by Secretary Hegseth to carry out the vision of this administration without fault.” The firing coincides with the fifth week of the Iran war and the Army’s active deployment of forces for integrated air and missile defense.
George was not a figurehead. He was actively coordinating the deployment of 82nd Airborne forces and integrated air and missile defense systems to the Middle East — capabilities the Army is primarily responsible for delivering to the joint force. Two US officials told Axios that George was in a meeting working through those logistics when Hegseth called. His abrupt departure interrupts continuity at the senior-most level of Army coordination at the precise moment those functions are most operationally critical. Hodne’s simultaneous removal from Army Transformation and Training Command — a unit created months ago to accelerate technology deployment — leaves that mission without confirmed leadership during active combat operations.
A Growing Pattern of Wartime Leadership Disruption
Hegseth has now removed more than a dozen generals and flag officers since taking office. The firings have prompted concern from both military officials and bipartisan observers about the politicization of senior military leadership and the erosion of the tradition of frank, nonpartisan advice flowing from uniformed commanders to civilian leadership. Five former defense secretaries, including retired Gen. Jim Mattis, sent a joint letter to Congress in the past year describing the pattern as “reckless” and calling for hearings on national security implications. Congress scheduled none.
Why the Pentagon Purge Matters for Markets
The Iran war has been a consistent factor in bitcoin price consolidation throughout early 2026. As crypto.news has reported, BTC has remained range-bound between $65,000 and $73,000 with ceasefire signals producing brief rallies above $70,000 before reversing on hawkish news. As crypto.news has noted, geopolitical volatility in the Iran conflict has been a primary market signal in 2026 — and a destabilized military command structure during active combat introduces new uncertainty into that calculus.
Crypto World
SEC taps enforcement chief as predecessor’s exit raises questions
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission appointed David Woodcock as director of its Division of Enforcement, a move that comes as lawmakers demand clarity on the agency’s crypto-era enforcement priorities and the exit of a high-profile leader. The SEC said Woodcock would assume the role on May 4, with Sam Waldon remaining as acting director until that date.
The appointment, disclosed in an SEC notice, places a veteran litigator at the helm of the agency’s chief enforcement arm. Woodcock is a partner at Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher, where he chairs the Securities Enforcement Practice Group, and he previously ran the SEC’s Fort Worth regional office from 2011 to 2015. SEC Chair Paul Atkins framed the move as part of a broader effort to restore congressional intent by prioritizing cases that deliver meaningful investor protection and strengthen market integrity. Woodcock himself said he intends to “execute the Chairman’s vision” in his new role.
Key takeaways
- The SEC named David Woodcock as director of enforcement, effective May 4, with Sam Waldon continuing as acting director until then.
- Woodcock arrives with a private-practice pedigree: Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher’s Securities Enforcement Practice Group chair and former director of the SEC’s Fort Worth office (2011–2015).
- Lawmakers have pressed for clarity on the agency’s leadership changes in the wake of crypto-related enforcement decisions, including scrutiny over the departure of former enforcement chief Margaret Ryan and the handling of specific cases tied to the Trump era.
- New enforcement data for 2025 show a focus on crypto-registration issues and broker-dealer definitions, with the SEC saying some actions produced no direct investor harm and reflecting a reinterpretation of securities laws.
Leadership transition amid congressional scrutiny
Woodcock’s arrival arrives at a moment of intensified congressional interest in the SEC’s enforcement choices, particularly regarding crypto matters. Margaret Ryan, who led the division before resigning in March, left lawmakers wondering whether shifts in enforcement strategy—in some cases involving dismissals or settlements—played a role in her departure. In March, questions were raised by members of Congress about whether political considerations influenced enforcement decisions, especially those connected to former President Trump’s circle and associated crypto ventures.
Two senators have publicly pressed SEC Chair Atkins to explain whether Ryan faced resistance from SEC leadership over enforcement actions deemed sensitive due to political or partisan considerations. One high-profile reference point cited in sentiment around this issue is a February 2025 decision to drop a fraud case against Tron founder Justin Sun, linked to the World Liberty Financial project backed by the Trump orbit. The evolving narrative around these moves underscores how oversight politics increasingly intersects with crypto enforcement decisions.
Woodcock’s track record and mission
Woodcock’s background reflects a blend of private-practice experience and public-regulator familiarity. As a Gibson, Dunn partner, he has led the firm’s Securities Enforcement Practice Group, guiding clients through high-stakes regulatory actions. His prior tenure directing the SEC’s Fort Worth office is often cited as proof of a regulator who understands how investigations progress from inception to resolution. In announcing his appointment, Atkins framed the move as aligning with a broader objective: to prioritize enforcement that meaningfully protects investors and upholds market integrity. Woodcock, for his part, framed the role as a chance to carry forward the chairman’s strategic vision for the agency’s enforcement program.
Congressional pressure over past enforcement choices
The dynamics around the leadership change are inseparable from ongoing congressional scrutiny of the SEC’s crypto enforcement record. Lawmakers have pointed to decisions such as the drop of a fraud case against Justin Sun and related matters as potential signals of political influence shaping enforcement. In a letter circulated in early 2025, Senator Richard Blumenthal argued that there may have been preferential treatment for financial partners of the former president, arguing that the agency appeared to decline litigating credible fraud cases contrary to staff warnings. While the specifics of internal deliberations are not public, the disclosures have amplified a broader debate on independence and consistency in crypto regulation at the SEC.
Crypto enforcement posture in 2025 and what it signals
A key snapshot of the current enforcement climate came with the SEC’s assessment of its crypto-focused actions for the 2025 fiscal year. The agency reported seven crypto-related cases centered on registration issues and six cases tied to the definition of a broker-dealer. In its summary, the SEC argued that several of these actions did not yield direct investor harm and contended that some filings represented a misinterpretation of the federal securities laws. The report signals a tightening of the agency’s enforcement lens around registration and registration-related questions, even as it refrains from broad, near-term litigation in every crypto matter. The emphasis appears to be on clarifying how securities laws apply to crypto actors and on ensuring that market participants meet registration and disclosure expectations, rather than pursuing every possible fraud allegation.
Context for these shifts includes broader regulatory currents beyond the SEC. Coverage of related policy developments highlighted a continued focus on illicit finance and compliance at the federal level, with entities like the Treasury pursuing legislative initiatives designed to strengthen oversight in crypto markets. These dynamics collectively shape how the SEC and other agencies approach enforcement in the rapidly evolving crypto landscape.
Investors and industry participants will be watching closely how Woodcock prioritizes investigations and how his leadership may influence the agency’s handling of high-profile crypto cases, including those with political or policy sensitivities. Congressional oversight is likely to continue shaping the enforcement agenda, especially as lawmakers seek greater transparency around how enforcement decisions align with stated mission goals and investor protections.
Next steps will hinge on how the enforcement division under Woodcock interprets and applies rules to emerging crypto models, how it coordinates with other regulators, and whether additional leadership shifts or policy guidelines signal a more or less aggressive stance toward crypto actors as the market matures.
Crypto World
Morpho Launches Morpho Agents to Integrate AI into DeFi Lending
TLDR
- Morpho has launched Morpho Agents in beta, allowing AI systems to interact directly with DeFi lending protocols on Ethereum and Base.
- The release includes the User Agent, which enables AI agents to read, simulate, and write operations on the Morpho platform.
- Morpho introduced the Builder Agent to provide developers with essential tools, code examples, and recovery patterns for integration.
- Since January, over 130,000 AI agents have registered onchain identities, marking a major step in the shift to autonomous finance.
- Morpho’s new tools make it easier for AI systems to read documentation, simulate transactions, and engage in DeFi lending.
Morpho has officially launched its Morpho Agents in beta, aiming to integrate AI agents into decentralized finance (DeFi) lending. This launch introduces a machine-readable interface that enables AI systems to engage with Morpho’s lending infrastructure. With this update, Morpho enhances access to Ethereum and Base, creating more opportunities for AI-driven finance.
Morpho Launches User Agent and Builder Agent for Seamless Integration
The new release consists of two key components: the User Agent and the Builder Agent. The User Agent allows AI systems to perform read, simulate, and write operations on Morpho, making it easier for them to interact with the protocol. Through this integration, AI agents can now access and manage lending transactions, marking a significant shift in the DeFi ecosystem.
The Builder Agent complements the User Agent by providing developers with essential tools. It includes protocol knowledge, code examples, edge cases, and recovery patterns, enabling developers to create seamless integrations for Morpho. This tool makes it easier for AI agents to engage directly with lending systems and participate in the broader DeFi space.
This move by Morpho is part of a broader trend in crypto infrastructure towards enabling autonomous agents rather than just human users. The introduction of Morpho Agents highlights the growing role of AI in managing financial transactions on blockchain networks. Since January, over 130,000 AI agents have registered onchain identities, marking a major milestone in the industry.
Morpho has been adapting its platform to accommodate AI systems for some time. In March, the protocol released LLM-friendly documentation endpoints such as llms.txt and llms-all.txt. These tools help AI systems parse Morpho’s documentation more effectively, laying the foundation for smoother AI interactions with its infrastructure.
Competing with Other Blockchain Wallet Layers for AI Integration
Morpho’s latest launch adds to the increasing competition in the race for the wallet layer of autonomous finance. In February, MoonPay introduced its MoonPay Agents, providing noncustodial access to wallets and funds for AI agents. This initiative was followed by the release of the Open Wallet Standard in March, enabling agents to hold and manage assets across multiple blockchains.
Similarly, Coinbase is advancing its efforts with the AgentKit and Agentic Wallets. These tools, designed for secure wallet management and onchain tooling, enable AI agents to send payments and trade tokens. Coinbase’s efforts represent another significant step in the ongoing integration of AI agents into DeFi ecosystems.
Crypto World
Fuller wins Greene’s old seat
The election results in Georgia’s 14th Congressional District on Tuesday confirmed Republican Clay Fuller as the winner of the special election runoff — but the margin told a different story: Fuller defeated Democrat Shawn Harris by roughly 12 points in a district Donald Trump carried by 37 points just 18 months ago.
Summary
- The Associated Press called the race after 8 p.m. with approximately 56% for Fuller and 44% for Harris; the race only fills the remainder of Greene’s term through January 2027, meaning both candidates have already qualified for the May 19 primary to compete for a full two-year term
- Fuller, a district attorney and Air National Guard lieutenant colonel, received Trump’s endorsement in February and ran a campaign of total alignment with the president on every issue including the Iran war; Harris, a retired Army brigadier general and cattle farmer, raised $6.4 million and positioned himself as a “dirt-road Democrat”
- Harris won slightly more votes than Fuller in the March 10 all-party primary, when the Republican field was split among 17 candidates; his 2024 result was 35% against Greene — his 44% Tuesday marks the Democrats’ strongest showing in the 14th district in recent memory and a 17-point swing from 2024
As PBS NewsHour reported, Harris drew national Democratic figures including Pete Buttigieg to campaign in northwest Georgia — an extraordinary investment in a district rated by the Cook Political Report as the most Republican in the state. Greene resigned in January after falling out with Trump over his handling of the Epstein files. Fuller backed Trump on every issue at a March 23 debate, and the president made his support visible with a February rally at Coosa Steel in Rome, Georgia.
The headline result is a Republican hold. Fuller will be sworn in and will vote with the GOP caucus, giving Speaker Mike Johnson a slightly larger margin — important for a speaker who can only afford to lose one vote on party-line legislation. But the underlying math is what the Democratic Party has seized on. Charlie Bailey, chair of the Georgia Democratic Party, called Harris’s performance “a jaw-dropping overperformance in Marjorie Taylor Greene’s backyard.” Whereas Greene won by nearly 29 points in 2024, Fuller won by approximately 12. That is a 17-point shift in a single cycle, in a district where Republicans outperform the national average by 19 points. Harris told supporters after the result: “Tonight, we start campaigning for November.”
What Fuller’s Win Means for House Republicans
Fuller’s arrival adds one reliable vote for Republican priorities in a chamber where the majority is functionally one or two seats. The full-term primary on May 19 means Fuller faces a new Republican field immediately — six other Republicans have qualified — before he must campaign against Harris again in November. That compressed timeline makes the 14th district a repeated test of whether Trump’s direct endorsement continues to be the decisive factor it was Tuesday.
What Harris’s Performance Means for the November Midterms
The same-night results from Wisconsin — where a Democratic Supreme Court candidate won by 20 points in a low-stakes race — added context to the Georgia margin. Both results, in different states and different contests, pointed to Democratic enthusiasm running ahead of what 2024 results would predict. As crypto.news has reported, the composition of the House after November directly determines the pace of US crypto regulatory implementation, including GENIUS Act rulemaking deadlines. As crypto.news has noted, a narrower Republican House majority — or a Democratic flip — would materially change the landscape for stablecoin legislation, market structure bills, and the broader digital asset regulatory agenda that has advanced through the current Congress.
Crypto World
Gemini said Crypto markets surge following two-week ceasefire announcement: Crypto Markets Today
The crypto market enjoyed a much-needed boost on Tuesday evening after U.S. president Donald Trump announced a two-week ceasefire in Iran.
Bitcoin spiked to around $72,700 after settling in the $71,800 region, ether (ETH), meanwhile, is changing hands at $2,250 after posting a 6% gain in the past 24 hours.
The market remains trapped in the same range it has been since early February despite the overnight rise. Bitcoin will need to trade above $75,000 to confirm a breakout, while a rejection here could signal a move back to around $65,000.
Traders will be waiting cautiously for the ceasefire to end in a fortnight’s time to see whether a deal can be reached or the conflict will start up again.
Oil dipped heavily following the the news, with brent crude now trading at $94 per barrel, down from Tuesday’s high of $114.
Derivatives positioning
- Nearly $600 million in crypto futures bets have been liquidated for margin shortages in 24 hours. Bearish short positions account for over $420 million fo the tally, which shows that leveraged was skewed bearish likely anticipating intensification of military conflict between the U.S. and Israel. However, the ceasefire announcement caught the bears on the wrong side of the market.
- Still, cumulative open interest in crypto futures has increased by 7% to $114.26 billion, the highest since March 17, indicating renewed capital inflows.
- Ether open interest (OI) up 6% to 14.22 million ETH, the highest since March 29. This plus positive perp funding rates (longs paying shorts) and a positive 24-hour cumulative volume delta (CVD) scream traders bidding hard for upside.
- Bitcoin’s market displays a similar profile, with OI rising 1% alongside bullish funding rates and CVD.
- ZEC stands out with annualized perpetual funding rates at minus 56%. It shows that traders are aggressively chasing bearish short positions.
- Bitcoin’s 30-day implied volatility index, BVIV, continues to slide and has dropped to 46%, the lowest since Jan. 31. This signals market calm and bolsters the bullish case for spot prices.
- Ether’s 30-day implied volatility continues to fall as well, but remains slightly elevated relative to bitcoin.
- On Deribit, the relative richness of bitcoin and ether puts keeps narrowing versus calls, as the U.S.-Iran ceasefire clears the way for bullish spot price action.
- Block flows featured demand for ether strangles, a volatility-focused strategy.
Token talk
- Portions of the altcoin market outperformed bitcoin and its peers on Wednesday, with the likes of zcash (ZEC) posted a 23% move to the upside while layer 1 token monad (MON) increased by more than 15%.
- There were also notable gains for layer zero (ZRO) and ethena (ENA), which surged by 14% apiece to snap recent downtrends.
- AI tokens also performed well as NEAR, RENDER and TAO near double-digit gains.
- The bitcoin-dominant CoinDesk 20 (CD20) index is up by 4.9% in the past 24 hours, being beaten by the DeFi Select Index (DFX) and the CoinDesk Computing Select Index (CPUS), which are up by 7% each.
- The CoinDesk Overnight Rate (CDOR), which tracks lending and borrowing rates on Aave, continued its uptrend on Wednesday, hitting 3.51%, up from March 8’s total of 2.8%.
Crypto World
Fed Rate Cuts Shrink to One as Iran War Rattles Oil Markets and Inflation Outlook
TLDR:
- Fed held rates at 3.50–3.75%, cutting expected 2026 reductions from four down to one.
- Oil surging to $115 per barrel during the Iran conflict pushed short-term inflation further from the 2% target.
- A ceasefire sent oil below $95 within hours, raising hopes that the one remaining rate cut could arrive sooner.
- Kevin Warsh, known for favoring lower rates, replaces Jerome Powell in May, adding a new variable to Fed policy.
Fed rate cuts have become a closely watched topic as Middle East tensions reshape the economic outlook for 2026.
The Federal Reserve held rates unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75% at its latest policy meeting. Markets had previously anticipated four reductions this year.
Escalating conflict in the region, however, has brought that number down to just one. Oil prices surged to $115 per barrel at the height of the Iran conflict, worsening an already stubborn inflation reading of 3.0%. A fragile ceasefire has since changed the near-term picture, though uncertainty persists.
Oil Shock or Structural Problem? The Fed Weighs In
The decision to hold rates was not unanimous inside the Federal Reserve. Two members pushed for a cut but were outvoted by the majority. Most policymakers preferred waiting for clearer data before adjusting the rate path.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell addressed the oil price situation directly in the meeting minutes. He acknowledged that Middle East tensions are pushing short-term inflation numbers higher.
At the same time, he stressed that long-term inflation expectations have remained relatively stable. The Fed is treating the current situation as a temporary oil shock, not a structural inflation problem.
Market analyst account Bull Theory captured the shift on X, writing, “The Iran war just killed four Fed rate cuts” — with only one cut now remaining on the table for 2026.
That distinction between short-term and long-term inflation matters for markets and policymakers alike. Oil-driven inflation typically reverses once prices stabilize. The Fed’s current framework leaves room for cuts once that reversal shows up clearly in the data.
Ceasefire, Falling Oil, and a Change at the Top
The ceasefire announcement triggered a sharp drop in oil prices, from $115 to below $95 within hours. That move represents a meaningful shift in the near-term inflation outlook. Markets responded quickly by reassessing rate cut probabilities for the remainder of 2026.
April and May oil price trends will be the key numbers to watch going forward. If prices hold below $95, inflation could begin trending closer to the Fed’s 2% target. That outcome would likely pull the one remaining rate cut forward from late 2026 into an earlier window.
Another variable entering the equation is the scheduled change in Fed leadership. Powell steps down in May, with Kevin Warsh set to take over as chair.
Warsh is widely known to favor lower interest rates, a stance that could accelerate any easing if inflation data cooperates.
That said, the ceasefire is a two-week arrangement, not a permanent agreement. Iran has already declared three violations since the deal was announced.
Israel continues military operations in Lebanon, and the Strait of Hormuz remains partially restricted. The April Consumer Price Index report will serve as the first real test of whether the oil shock is easing.
Until that data arrives, Fed rate cuts in 2026 will remain unsettled.
Crypto World
Meta Launches Muse Spark: The AI Model Built to Deliver Personal Superintelligence
TLDR:
- Muse Spark is Meta’s first multimodal reasoning model supporting tool use, visual chain of thought, and multi-agent tasks.
- Meta collaborated with over 1,000 physicians to strengthen Muse Spark’s health reasoning and medical response accuracy.
- Contemplating mode runs parallel AI agents, scoring 58% on Humanity’s Last Exam to rival top frontier AI models.
- Muse Spark uses ten times less compute than Llama 4 Maverick while delivering comparable performance across key benchmarks.
Muse Spark, Meta’s newest AI model, marks a major step in the company’s push toward personal superintelligence.
Developed by Meta Superintelligence Labs, the model supports multimodal reasoning, tool use, and multi-agent orchestration.
It is now available at meta.ai and the Meta AI app. A private API preview is open to select partners. Meta also plans to open-source future versions of the model, widening access to its growing AI ecosystem.
Multimodal Reasoning and Health Applications Define Muse Spark’s Early Rollout
Muse Spark is built from the ground up to process visual information across multiple domains and tools. It performs well on visual STEM questions, entity recognition, and localization tasks.
These abilities enable interactive experiences, from troubleshooting home appliances to building custom minigames. Meta positions this as a foundational part of its personal superintelligence roadmap.
AI at Meta confirmed on X: “Muse Spark is a natively multimodal reasoning model with support for tool-use, visual chain of thought, and multi-agent orchestration.”
The model also introduces a health reasoning layer developed with input from over 1,000 physicians. Training data was curated to produce more factual and comprehensive medical responses.
Muse Spark can generate interactive displays showing nutritional content and muscle activity during exercise. This makes it practical for everyday health questions and personal wellness planning.
Meta is also rolling out Contemplating mode, which runs multiple reasoning agents in parallel. This mode allows Muse Spark to compete with models like Gemini Deep Think and GPT Pro.
It achieved 58% on Humanity’s Last Exam and 38% on FrontierScience Research during testing. The feature is rolling out gradually to users on meta.ai.
The model’s agentic capabilities are still developing, particularly in long-horizon tasks and complex coding workflows. Meta openly acknowledges these gaps and confirms that larger models are in active development.
Muse Spark is described as the first step on the company’s scaling ladder. Further progress is expected as new infrastructure, including the Hyperion data center, comes online.
Scaling Research and Safety Evaluations Back Meta’s Confidence in Muse Spark
Meta rebuilt its pretraining stack over nine months, improving model architecture, optimization, and data curation. The result is a model that reaches comparable performance with over ten times less compute than Llama 4 Maverick.
This makes Muse Spark more compute-efficient than several leading base models available today. Scaling laws applied to smaller models were used to verify these gains.
Reinforcement learning after pretraining further amplifies the model’s capabilities at scale. Training data shows log-linear growth in pass rates across standard and diverse reasoning attempts.
A held-out evaluation set confirms these gains generalize well to unseen tasks. Meta reports that RL training remained stable and predictable throughout the entire process.
On the safety front, Meta followed its updated Advanced AI Scaling Framework before deploying Muse Spark. Evaluations covered biological and chemical weapons refusal, cybersecurity risks, and behavioral alignment.
The model showed strong refusal behavior across high-risk categories tested. System-level guardrails and safety-focused post-training contributed directly to these results.
Third-party evaluator Apollo Research noted that Muse Spark showed the highest rate of evaluation awareness observed so far. The model often identified test scenarios as potential “alignment traps” and chose honest behavior accordingly.
Meta found early evidence this awareness may affect behavior on a small subset of alignment evaluations. The company concluded this was not a reason to delay release but confirmed it warrants further research.
Crypto World
Move over bitcoin and quantum risks. Anthropic’s Mythos AI changes everything for DeFi
Anthropic has built an AI model that can autonomously find and exploit zero-day software vulnerabilities at a level the company says surpasses decades of human security research and every automated tool in existence.
A closer look at its prowess suggests potential threats to crypto DeFi infrastructure. Let’s start by discussing its capability.
Cracks long-hidden vulnerabilities
Like finding a needle in a million haystacks, the model, Claude Mythos Preview, has a knack for uncovering software bugs that have long eluded human experts.
It found a 27-year-old bug in OpenBSD, an operating system built specifically to be hard to hack, for under $50 in compute.
It found a 16-year-old flaw in FFmpeg, the video software that powers most of the internet’s streaming infrastructure, that had been scanned five million times by automated security tools without anyone catching it.
It even wrote a browser exploit that chained four separate vulnerabilities together to break through two layers of security. And it took a publicly known Linux vulnerability and turned it into a full working attack in under a day for under $2,000, a job that would normally take a skilled human researcher weeks.
This has raised alarm bells in tech industry, and rightfully so, as Mythos already exists, is operational, and is uncovering vulnerabilities in code protecting user funds that no human or tool has found in 27 years. This stands in stark contrast to recent fears about quantum computing risks to Bitcoin, which remain largely theoretical.
Why should crypto developers care
The findings that matter most for crypto are in Anthropic’s technical blog, which says Mythos found security flaws in what the company calls ‘the world’s most popular cryptography libraries,’ including TLS, AES-GCM, and SSH. These are critical for internet security, securing HTTPS connections, encrypting data, and allowing developers to remotely access servers that support DeFi and exchange infrastructure.
Flaws or bugs in these could let someone forge certificates or decrypt private communications.
The risk is particularly high for DeFi protocols, which are open source software. Their code is publicly readable by anyone, including a model like Mythos that can autonomously catalog every weakness in a codebase at machine speed for near-zero marginal cost.
And while the roughly $200 billion locked in smart contracts across Ethereum, Solana, and other chains has been audited by humans and automated scanners, Anthropic claims Mythos operates beyond both.
The company noted that “mitigations whose security value comes primarily from friction rather than hard barriers may become considerably weaker against model-assisted adversaries.”
Multisig governance, which requires multiple people to approve a blockchain transaction, timelocks, which delay a transaction for a set period, and audit reports as proof of security are all friction-based defenses. In simple terms, it means that these measures slow things rather than blocking an attack at the code level.
So far, it hasn’t rattled market valuations. The CoinDesk DeFi Select Index has gained 7% in 24 hours, outperforming bitcoin and ether, as the temporary ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran has bolstered risk sentiment. But looking ahead, traders may want to keep an eye not just on macroeconomic factors, but also on developments around Mythos, given its potential implications for software and blockchain security.
All things said, the Mythos model will not be released to the general public yet, and is instead shared with a select bunch of 40 software giants, such as Google, Apple and Microsoft, under ‘Project Glasswing.’
Crypto World
Swiss banks push CHF stablecoin pilot to bridge blockchain, fiat payments
A consortium of six major Swiss banks joined forces with Swiss Stablecoin AG to test use cases for a Swiss franc-pegged stablecoin, the country’s largest bank UBS announced Wednesday.
UBS, PostFinance, Sygnum, Raiffeisen, Zürcher Kantonalbank and BCV, alongside Swiss Stablecoin AG set up a sandbox in a coordinated push to bring blockchain-based payments into Switzerland’s financial system, the statement added.
The group will run the stablecoin trial period through 2026, allowing banks and other institutions to test transactions in a live but controlled setting.
The Swiss franc-pegged stablecoin project is designed to allow participants to simulate real payment flows with limits on users and transaction volumes to manage risk.
Switzerland does not yet have a regulated Swiss franc stablecoin with broad use. The banks aim to test how such a token could support payments, improve settlement speed and connect blockchain-based applications with traditional money.
The project will focus testing payment processes and exploring how programmable money could support financial services.
The stablecoin testing period will remain open to other banks, companies and institutions, the statement noted. The group aims to gather operational experience and assess whether a full market debut of a CHF stablecoin can follow.
The Swiss stablecoin testing period follows a consortium of 12 top banks including BBVA, ING, and UniCredit teaming up to back Qivalis, a digital euro that will debut in the second half of 2026, with the primary purpose of becoming the European alternative to dominant dollar stablecoins such as Tether’s USDT and Circle’s USDC.
Crypto World
Ceasefire lifts bitcoin, but animal spirits may not return just yet: Crypto Daybook Americas
The crypto market is back on the front-foot after a two-week ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran removed some of the geopolitical uncertainty and sent oil prices tumbling. Still, energy market dynamics are such that it may be too early to assume the return of animal spirits to risk assets.
Bitcoin has jumped 3% to $71,600 in the past 24 hours while ether (ETH), XRP (XRP), and solana (SOL) have all gained more than 5%. The CoinDesk 20 Index has outperformed bitcoin, rising 4.2 percent, which is typical when altcoins outpace the market leader.
Oil has plunged after Iran agreed to open the Strait of Hormuz, a key route for global shipments. WTI crude futures trading on NYMEX are down nearly 16 percent to $95 a barrel. When crude drops sharply, inflation fears ease, Fed rate hike calls weaken and crypto tends to rally.
Supporting the move is a drop in bitcoin and ether 30-day implied volatility, which measures market fear. Since the debut of spot ETFs two years ago, these numbers have evolved into VIX-like metrics, spiking during sell-offs and calming as panic fades.
The mood could get another lift later if Morgan Stanley’s bitcoin ETF debuts with strong volumes and inflows on day one. That would reinforce the story of institutional adoption.
“The recent pattern has been institutional demand showing up again through ETFs. When inflows are present, dips are bought faster and the market holds higher levels even when momentum cools,” Marex said.
Still, there are reasons to be cautious. The overnight rally was partly fueled by short positions being unwound after traders betting on a U.S.-Iran escalation got caught off guard. Shorts worth $431 million were liquidated in 24 hours, the largest since March 4, according to Coinglass. In cases like this, the market often chugs along waiting for fresh demand. Without it, gains can quickly reverse.
While oil is down to $85, it’s still $30 higher than before the conflict started on Feb. 28. Moreover, the ceasefire is temporary and not a permanent fix and for oil to drop further, hormuz tanker traffic and insurance rates need to normalize to pre-war levels.
“This remains a pause rather than a durable settlement, with the ceasefire conditional on how Iran manages passage through Hormuz over the coming weeks,” QCP Capital said. “That caution matters because the physical damage narrative has not gone away.”
Until then, oil could stay near $100 and keep risk assets like crypto in check. Stay alert.
What’s trending
Read more: For a comprehensive list of events that would be shaping up this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.
Today’s signal

The chart shows bitcoin’s daily price swings in candlestick format since October. The yellow line represents the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of the price, and the white line shows the 100-day average.
As shown, the spot price has decisively moved above the 50-day average, a widely watched measure of near-term trends. The move indicates a strengthening of bullish momentum and follows the recent bounce from the trendline support at the February lows.
Prices, therefore, could see more upside ahead, with $76,100, the 100-day average, as the next level to watch. On the downside, the late March lows near $65,000 are expected to act as a demand zone, supporting pullbacks. If that level fails, prices could fall to $60,000.
Read more: For analysis of today’s activity in altcoins and derivatives, see Crypto Markets Today
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