In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events and market trends, shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for insights into financial markets to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!

In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson unpacks the strategic implications of the most critical events driving global markets.

👉 Key topics covered in this episode:

✔️ BoJ Interest Rate Decision
Japan is preparing for a potential interest rate increase as inflation risks become a greater concern for policymakers. Higher rates are expected to support the yen, which remains under pressure, while further policy tightening may continue through the end of the year. How could additional interest rate hikes affect the value of the Japanese yen and the country’s economy?

✔️UK Inflation Rate
Investors are closely watching upcoming UK inflation data, as it could influence expectations for future monetary policy and trigger volatility in the British pound. While no immediate interest rate change is expected, inflation trends remain a key factor in assessing the country’s economic outlook. Could the upcoming UK inflation report have a significant impact on the British pound and future monetary policy decisions?

✔️Fed Interest Rate Decision
Market attention is focused on the Federal Reserve’s upcoming meeting, as investors seek clues about future interest rate decisions. While rates are expected to remain unchanged, comments from policymakers could influence expectations for further tightening and drive volatility in financial markets. Why are investors closely monitoring the Federal Reserve’s statements even though no interest rate change is expected?

To summarise, market sentiment in the coming days will be driven by key economic data and geopolitical developments. Investors remain focused on Iran, global oil supply routes, and energy markets, while uncertainty persists despite signals that the conflict could be nearing a resolution. Traders continue to monitor new information closely and stay flexible in their market approach.

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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Bitcoin traded just below the $66,000 level on Monday as markets digested fresh claims from US President Donald Trump that the United States has brokered a peace deal with Iran—one that would reopen the Strait of Hormuz and remove the US naval blockade.

The remarks added to a broader “risk-on” tone that had already been building as traders positioned around expectations of reduced geopolitical tension following the escalation that began in February. Still, the path from announcement to implementation remains dependent on signing and final details that were not immediately available.

Key takeaways

• Bitcoin hit $65,881 on Coinbase during Monday morning trading, its highest level over the prior 12 days, driven by expectations of lower geopolitical risk.
• Trump said the deal is complete and authorized both “toll-free opening” of the Strait of Hormuz and removal of the US naval blockade, prompting positive market reaction.
• Observers caution that the market may be pricing headline risk before the deal is formally signed and implemented by both sides.
• Oil prices moved lower alongside the crypto rally—WTI fell about 5% and Brent dropped about 4.6% on the day.
• Additional volatility is possible this week with the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest-rate decision and the market’s sensitivity to new inflation data.

Headline-driven rally as Hormuz reopening enters the narrative

According to Trump’s posts on Truth Social late Sunday, the “deal with the Islamic Republic of Iran is now complete,” alongside authorization for the “toll-free opening of the Strait of Hormuz” and the “immediate removal” of the US naval blockade. In follow-up messaging, Trump urged that ships prepare to “start your engines” and for “oil” to resume flows.

Bitcoin responded quickly. TradingView data cited in earlier coverage shows BTC reaching $65,881 on Coinbase Monday morning, placing it just shy of $66,000. The move marked the highest trade level in roughly the last 12 days, with BTC having not gone above $66,000 since June 3.

Market reaction did not occur in isolation. Crypto had already been trading around the geopolitical backdrop tied to the Iran-related conflict, which began escalating earlier in the year with US-Israeli strikes. As those risks shifted in traders’ minds, Bitcoin’s sensitivity to “risk premium” appeared to reassert itself.

Why traders link geopolitics to Bitcoin’s risk premium

Andri Fauzan Adziima, research lead at Bitrue Research Institute, told Cointelegraph that a potential agreement could “remove a major geopolitical risk premium,” producing a “clear risk-on move as uncertainty fades.”

He also noted that BTC’s rise above $65,000 came alongside rotation back into crypto, citing both reduced oil pressure and a “broader stability narrative” tied to a pro-crypto political backdrop. Even so, Adziima warned that “last-minute signing issues” could still interfere with the market’s expectations if the agreement fails to clear final steps.

This distinction matters for investors because headline-driven rallies often unwind when details lag. The current uptick appears to be tied more to perceived probability and timing than to a fully verified implementation plan—meaning traders should watch whether confirmations progress beyond statements.

Deal details remain pending despite confirmations

While Trump claimed the agreement is complete, the article said the specific details of the US–Iran deal were not immediately available. Implementation was also described as contingent on Iran signing, which was expected on Friday, with Pakistan named as a mediator in reporting from the Associated Press.

Iranian officials signaled progress on the state side as well. The report referenced confirmation by Iran’s deputy foreign minister, Kazem Gharibabadi, on state television, and said Iran’s Supreme National Security Council secretariat stated that the war “on all fronts” would end immediately and permanently beginning that night and that the US blockade would be terminated “immediately and in full.”

Even with those assertions, the market still faces an important uncertainty: whether the deal’s operational elements—such as maritime access and enforcement—follow through on the timetable implied by Trump’s posts. That is the gap between “deal news” and “deal reality” that can separate a sustained repricing from a short-lived spike.

Oil lower, altcoins participate, and Fed risk looms

The crypto strength extended beyond Bitcoin. The broader crypto market was reported to have gained about 2% in total capitalization, with multiple altcoins outperforming, including Hyperliquid (HYPE), Zcash (ZEC) and Near Protocol (NEAR), some with double-digit daily gains.

At the same time, crude oil moved lower. WTI crude dropped roughly 5% to just over $80 per barrel, its lowest level since early March, while Brent fell about 4.6% to $83.30. The combination of easing energy pressure and a geopolitical de-escalation narrative can be important because both factors influence risk appetite and the inflation outlook investors associate with commodity-driven volatility.

For traders looking ahead, the environment is not only geopolitical. The article pointed to a potential catalyst on Wednesday: the Federal Reserve is scheduled to make its interest-rate decision, the first under new chair Kevin Warsh. While coverage noted the central bank chair appears more receptive to cuts, inflation pressures—including reports that inflation has topped 4% again—could support arguments for keeping rates higher.

Coincidentally, CME Fed Watch was cited as forecasting a 96.6% probability that rates will remain unchanged at 3.5% to 3.75%. That kind of near-consensus pricing can reduce immediate downside expectations around the decision, but it can also amplify market reaction if the Fed’s tone or accompanying indicators shift from what traders have modeled.

For the next trading sessions, the key watchpoints are whether Iran signing and the operational reopening of the Strait of Hormuz progress on schedule, and whether macro events—particularly the Federal Reserve decision amid persistent inflation concerns—change the risk appetite that has recently lifted crypto.

Key Highlights

• Belimo shares rallied approximately 8% to CHF 941 following Morgan Stanley’s rating upgrade from “equal-weight” to “overweight”
• Analyst price target increased to CHF 1,100 from CHF 860, fueled by expanding data center cooling requirements
• Data center operations represented 17% of Belimo’s 2025 revenue and contributed roughly 50% to overall company growth
• Analysts forecast data center segment could comprise 38% of total company revenues by decade’s end
• Hyperscaler capital expenditure projections increased 7% for 2026 and 18% for 2027

Shares of Belimo Holding surged approximately 8% during Monday’s trading session, reaching CHF 941, following an analyst upgrade from Morgan Stanley that elevated the Swiss valve manufacturer’s price target from CHF 860 to CHF 1,100.

BELIMO Holding AG, BLHWF

The rating revision moved from “equal-weight” to “overweight,” with analysts identifying the artificial intelligence-driven data center expansion as the primary catalyst for the bullish outlook.

Data center operations comprised 17% of Belimo’s CHF 1.12 billion total sales in 2025, representing growth from 11% during the previous year. This division generated approximately half of the company’s overall growth during the period, with Morgan Stanley calculating that data center revenue expanded more than 70% on a year-over-year basis in 2025.

Analysts now anticipate that data center operations will drive more than half of company-wide growth for a minimum of three years, ultimately representing 38% of aggregate revenues by 2030.

The Critical Role of Liquid Cooling Technology

The transition from traditional air-based cooling to liquid cooling systems in artificial intelligence data centers forms the foundation of Morgan Stanley’s investment case. This technological evolution drives demand toward Belimo’s premium product portfolio.

Belimo’s Energy Valve commands approximately $1,200 per unit, substantially exceeding the company’s average selling price range of $130 to $150. Control valve sales expanded 31.3% in local currency terms during fiscal 2025, significantly outpacing damper actuators which grew 14.4%.

During the company’s 2025 earnings discussion, management emphasized that within the advanced cooling sector — particularly for processors requiring direct liquid cooling solutions — Belimo maintains “an almost dominant market share.”

Morgan Stanley additionally increased its United States hyperscaler cloud infrastructure spending projections by 7% for 2026 and 18% for 2027 following first-quarter earnings releases. Analysts now forecast 82% year-over-year capital expenditure growth in 2026 to $815 billion, followed by 38% expansion in 2027 to $1.13 trillion.

Financial Performance Projections

Morgan Stanley anticipates Belimo’s revenue will climb to CHF 1.31 billion during fiscal 2026, CHF 1.53 billion in 2027, and CHF 1.78 billion by 2028.

Earnings per share projections stand at CHF 18.33, CHF 22.42, and CHF 26.20 for these respective fiscal years. The firm’s forecasts exceed consensus expectations by 2% for 2026, expanding to 9% above consensus by 2028 and 20% by 2030.

The stock presently trades at 47.7 times Morgan Stanley’s fiscal 2026 earnings projection. Analysts contend that on a growth-adjusted valuation basis, Belimo appears more attractively priced than ABB, Siemens, Halma, and IMI.

Morgan Stanley established a bull case scenario of CHF 1,510 and a bear case projection of CHF 600.

The primary risk identified involves potential architectural changes in data center design that could integrate more liquid-cooling components within coolant distribution units, diminishing Belimo’s independent specification authority.

Monday’s rally positions the stock near its 52-week peak of CHF 975. Belimo’s recent early-2026 trading announcement, which revealed higher sales compared to the corresponding prior-year period, provided additional support for the upgrade.

Key Takeaways

• DoorDash stock has declined approximately 31% year-to-date to around $150.58, yet analysts maintain a Strong Buy consensus with an average $240.59 price target
• First-quarter revenue climbed 33% year-over-year to reach $4.04 billion, while earnings per share of $0.42 exceeded analyst expectations by $0.06
• The company is diversifying beyond restaurant delivery, expanding into grocery, retail sectors, and international markets through its Deliveroo acquisition
• Adjusted EBITDA increased 28% to $754 million during Q1, accompanied by $420 million in free cash flow generation
• With 90.64% institutional ownership, DoorDash has secured partnerships with Dollar Tree and renewed its KFC Australia DashPass agreement through 2027

Shares of DoorDash (DASH) are currently hovering around $150.58, representing a significant 31% decline year-to-date and trading near the 12-month low of $143.30. This marks a substantial retreat from the stock’s 12-month peak of $285.50.

DoorDash, Inc., DASH

However, the underlying fundamentals present a contrasting narrative.

First-quarter total orders surged 27% year-over-year, reaching 933 million. Marketplace Gross Order Value (GOV) expanded 37% to $31.6 billion. The company reported revenue of $4.04 billion, marking a 33% year-over-year increase, while delivering earnings per share of $0.42 that surpassed the $0.36 consensus estimate.

The singular disappointment came from the revenue figure. At $4.04 billion, it fell slightly short of the $4.15 billion analyst consensus, potentially contributing to the stock’s underperformance throughout the year.

Adjusted EBITDA expanded 28% to reach $754 million. The company posted GAAP net income of $184 million. Free cash flow generation totaled $420 million. The adjusted EBITDA margin relative to GOV experienced a modest compression from 2.6% to 2.4%, as DoorDash integrates Deliveroo and maintains investment in expansion initiatives.

Diversification Beyond Traditional Restaurant Delivery

The restaurant delivery segment no longer defines the entire business model. DoorDash is experiencing substantial growth across U.S. grocery, retail, apparel, automotive parts, and hardware categories. The merchant onboarding process has become more efficient, with artificial intelligence-powered tools enabling restaurants to launch operations more than 35% faster.

On the international front, the Deliveroo integration is driving accelerated growth in Monthly Active Users, order volume, and GOV throughout major European territories.

Recent commercial partnerships are providing additional momentum. The platform now features over 9,000 Dollar Tree locations offering more than 10,000 products. In Australia, KFC has extended its DashPass zero-delivery-fee promotion through 2027.

Looking ahead to Q2, DoorDash has provided guidance for Marketplace GOV ranging between $32.4 billion and $33.4 billion.

Institutional investors control 90.64% of outstanding shares. Company insiders have divested $10.9 million in stock over the previous three months, including Director Stanley Tang reducing his holdings by 52.65% during April.

Analyst Sentiment Remains Positive

The analyst community continues to support the stock. Among 36 analysts tracking DASH, 22 assign it a Buy rating, two rate it Strong Buy, and nine maintain Hold positions. Zero analysts recommend selling.

Truist maintains a $330 price target alongside a Buy recommendation. Citigroup has established a $250 target, also rated Buy. Moffett Nathanson projects a $276 price objective. The consensus price target ranges between approximately $240 and $256 depending on the compilation source, suggesting roughly 60% potential upside from present levels.

The valuation framework is prompting analysts to maintain conviction. Trading at approximately $150 with projected EPS of $5.60 for the current fiscal year, the stock carries a multiple of roughly 27.6x earnings. Should Wall Street’s consensus growth projections materialize — approximately 40% EPS expansion in FY2027 and 35% in FY2028 — the forward multiple would compress to approximately 14.6x by 2028 at today’s share price.

This valuation perspective differs dramatically from what the year-to-date price action might suggest.

The 50-day moving average currently sits at $162.74. The 200-day moving average stands at $184.18. Market capitalization totals $65.61 billion, with the company maintaining a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27.

Key Takeaways

• Bybit integrates Plume vaults to transform dormant stablecoins into yield-generating fixed income assets.

• Partnership between Plume and Bybit delivers institutional bond access directly to crypto traders.

• Exchange users gain access to Stablecoin Yield opportunities via RWA-backed fixed income vaults.

• Plume’s vault infrastructure connects stablecoin deposits to credit instruments from PIMCO and CMBI.

• Bybit enhances its RWA Earn portfolio as stablecoin yields incorporate traditional credit markets.

Bybit has integrated Plume’s fixed income vault solutions into its RWA Earn platform, creating an additional pathway for users seeking Stablecoin Yield. This integration enables traders to redeploy dormant stablecoins sitting in their exchange wallets into institutional-grade credit instruments. The initiative marks Bybit’s continued expansion into real-world assets beyond traditional crypto lending mechanisms.

Bybit Delivers Institutional Fixed Income Through Plume Integration

The collaboration between Plume and Bybit streamlines the vault experience for everyday exchange traders. Participants can deposit stablecoins directly through Bybit Earn’s RWA interface without navigating external platforms. Consequently, Bybit establishes a seamless connection to Stablecoin Yield opportunities powered by fixed income instruments.

These vaults channel participant deposits into investment vehicles associated with PIMCO and CMBI. The underlying portfolio encompasses mortgage-backed securities, high-yield corporate debt, and investment-grade bonds from the Asia-Pacific region. This approach bases returns on credit market performance rather than cryptocurrency token volatility.

Bybit has positioned these vaults alongside its existing Earn products, creating intuitive access for stablecoin depositors. The platform also integrates the vaults with its existing custody and credit systems. This configuration delivers Stablecoin Yield while maintaining unified account oversight within Bybit’s ecosystem.

Crypto Exchanges Embrace Real-World Asset Distribution Channels

This product launch arrives amid growing interest from cryptocurrency exchanges in real-world asset offerings for yield-seeking participants. Tokenized government securities, bond-based funds, and credit-focused strategies have proliferated across leading trading platforms. As a result, Stablecoin Yield increasingly incorporates conventional financial market instruments.

Plume has developed multiple distribution channels for real-world assets throughout recent quarters. The platform previously collaborated with Ether.fi on a $100 million RWA vault designed for tokenized returns. That initiative featured credit pools, collateralized loan obligations, and bond ETF participation.

The Bybit integration advances this approach into a broader exchange ecosystem. It simultaneously provides asset managers with alternative access to cryptocurrency users without requiring direct token management. For participants, these vaults offer Stablecoin Yield sourced from securities markets rather than token-based reward mechanisms.

Plume Constructs RWA Infrastructure Around Accessible Yield Generation

Plume’s mainnet architecture emphasizes DeFi functionality integration with real-world asset products. The network supports staking mechanisms, lending protocols, and yield-generating tokens backed by off-chain assets. This Bybit collaboration aligns with Plume’s objective to simplify Stablecoin Yield accessibility.

These vault products also eliminate typical obstacles found in conventional fixed income investing. Traditional participants usually encounter higher minimum investments and extended verification processes for comparable instruments. Bybit and Plume have instead structured Stablecoin Yield through recognizable exchange product interfaces.

The offering maintains inherent risks associated with exchange operations, custody arrangements, and fixed income market fluctuations. Nevertheless, it demonstrates how centralized trading venues can facilitate access to regulated asset exposure via cryptocurrency accounts. Should user adoption increase, additional platforms may introduce comparable Stablecoin Yield solutions for inactive stablecoin balances.

The borrowing pushed the USD1 pool to 93% utilization, meaning retail depositors who had lent USD1 to the pool expecting to withdraw at will could not do so until the loans were repaid. WLFI repaid $25 million of the position, then minted $25 million in fresh USD1 days later, actively managing the token’s supply through April. World Liberty Financial did not respond to a request for comment on the report.

World Liberty is also in litigation with Justin Sun, the crypto tycoon and early buyer of WLFI governance tokens, who sued the company, alleging it improperly froze his holdings. WLFI countersued for defamation.

Some observers said the commercial impact of Sunday’s event is straightforward.

“Paying the fighters in the USD1 stablecoin would have the same economic function as writing them a check,” Todd Phillips, a crypto expert at the Klaros Group, told The Guardian. “Announcing to the world they are doing it in USD1 sounds like they are advertising to the world that USD1 is out there and that it is connected to the UFC and the White House.”

USD1’s circulating supply has grown to around $4.6 billion from $3.3 billion on Jan. 1.

The company has also applied for a banking license from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency.

Key Takeaways

• Brent crude tumbled more than 4% to trade under $84 per barrel following news of a US-Iran interim agreement
• The framework includes reopening the Strait of Hormuz, a critical waterway handling approximately 20% of worldwide oil shipments
• President Trump announced the “toll free opening” of Hormuz alongside the lifting of America’s naval blockade
• Officials plan to sign the formal agreement in Switzerland this Friday, followed by a 60-day ceasefire window
• Market experts caution that challenges persist, including potential mines in the passage and ambiguity surrounding implementation details

Global oil markets experienced a significant downturn Monday following confirmation that Washington and Tehran have negotiated an interim framework to conclude their extended confrontation and restore access through the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent crude declined more than 4% to approximately $83.79 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate slumped 4.6% to hover near $81. Both primary benchmarks reached their lowest points since March 10.

President Donald Trump unveiled the arrangement via social media platforms, declaring his authorization for the “toll free opening” of the Strait of Hormuz while simultaneously lifting the US naval blockade. “Ships of the World, start your engines. Let the oil flow!” his post proclaimed.

Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi verified that negotiators had finalized a deal. He indicated the complete text would remain confidential until the formal signing ceremony in Switzerland, scheduled for Friday.

The conflict erupted in late February following coordinated US and Israeli military operations against Iran concerning its nuclear development program. Tehran retaliated by blocking the Strait of Hormuz and executing attacks throughout the Persian Gulf region. Washington countered with its own naval blockade targeting Iranian-affiliated vessels.

During the height of tensions, Brent crude surged beyond $120 per barrel. Maritime disruptions, elevated insurance premiums, and concerns about extended supply constraints combined to drive prices upward.

Pre-Deal Price Decline Already Underway

Prices had been retreating over recent weeks as indicators mounted that negotiators were approaching an agreement. Reports suggested limited crude shipments through the strait had quietly resumed, while major industrialized nations accessed strategic petroleum reserves to alleviate supply pressures.

China, ranking among the globe’s largest oil consuming nations, simultaneously reduced its purchasing activity throughout the crisis period.

Framework Agreement Components

The preliminary accord establishes provisions for ceasing military operations and restoring Hormuz access within 30 days under Iranian management. Reports indicate the framework additionally encompasses sanctions relief, constraints on Iran’s nuclear activities, and measures to restore normal Iranian oil export operations.

The arrangement establishes a 60-day negotiating period focused on Iran’s nuclear program. Trump revealed to the New York Times that failure to secure an agreement on nuclear matters could prompt renewed military intervention.

Despite encouraging developments, market analysts recommended measured expectations. The waterway potentially contains uncleared mines requiring removal operations. Insurance companies may maintain elevated premium rates for vessels transiting the route.

“We still need to understand what the deal means,” said Chris Weston of Pepperstone Group. “Even with the strait slated to open on Friday, there could be mines still.”

Energy producers cautioned that reactivating oil production from idled Persian Gulf facilities could require several months due to infrastructure damage and operational complexities.

Reduced crude prices may diminish inflationary pressures confronting central banking institutions. The US Federal Reserve convenes for its policy meeting on June 16-17 and is anticipated to maintain current interest rates.