Crypto World
Bitcoin “bottom” timeframe tightens as BTC in loss nears 50 days
Bitcoin’s path toward a potential macro bottom is once again being traced with onchain “supply in loss” timing and investor cost-basis models that suggest the market’s late-bull momentum may be fading.
In a new read of historical patterns, K33 Research highlighted that more than half of the BTC supply has been held at a loss for the first time in this bear market—an inflection point that, in past cycles, has tended to precede the final leg of drawdowns and the start of a sturdier post-bottom recovery window.
Key takeaways
- According to K33 Research, BTC supply in loss crossed 50% on June 5, marking a key bear-market threshold.
- K33 says the period from that 50% crossing to a macro bottom has ranged from 13 to 101 days in historical bear markets.
- As of July 17, CryptoQuant data shows supply in loss at 46%, implying the “countdown” is still in progress.
- CryptoQuant’s realized cap variance model (RCV) is reported to be in the bottom 6% of its historical range, with a Z-score at -2.35—consistent with late-stage bear conditions.
Why supply in loss is again driving “bottom” timing
In its H1 2026 Round-Up report, K33 Research pointed to a classic onchain metric: the share of Bitcoin held at a loss, based on investor cost-basis versus current market price.
K33 frames supply in loss as a practical yardstick for where Bitcoin often is in the lifecycle of a bear market. The firm noted that once this measure moves above 50%, the subsequent time to a macro bottom has historically been limited to a relatively defined “window”—with the shortest observed case lasting just 13 days in 2022.
In longer or more drawn-out drawdowns, the metric has taken considerably more time. K33 cited examples from prior cycles: in 2018, the decline required 23 days after the 50% supply-in-loss mark; in 2014, Bitcoin continued to drop for roughly 101 days after the same threshold was reached.
For the current cycle, K33 said the 50% crossing occurred on June 5. With about 42 days having elapsed since that point, the current “bottom window” is now described as the second-longest on record for Bitcoin among bear markets studied—an observation that matters because it suggests this drawdown phase is not yet compressed into the earliest historical end-game, even if it is moving into the later stages.
K33 also added that returns over the year after these threshold-driven periods “tend to be very solid,” reinforcing why traders and long-term investors continue to watch the supply-in-loss gauge rather than relying solely on price action.
What the latest onchain readings imply for timing
While K33 anchored the narrative to the 50% supply-in-loss break, CryptoQuant’s dashboard data provides the near-term checkpoint. In earlier commentary, Axel Adler Jr., an onchain analytics contributor on CryptoQuant, suggested supply in loss was roughly “two months away” from levels historically associated with bear-market bottoms.
As of July 17, CryptoQuant data puts supply in loss at 46%. Combined with the June 5 crossing reported by K33, that difference helps explain why analysts are still treating the move as a countdown rather than a completed cycle signal: the market is below the historical 50% threshold only after having crossed it, and the current reading indicates the “loss-heavy” ownership phase is easing but not yet fully resolved.
For investors, the key is not the exact day count but the relationship between supply-in-loss behavior and how markets tend to transition from capitulation-heavy distribution toward stabilization. If the metric continues to normalize in line with past bear-market arcs, it supports the notion that risk may be tilting toward the later stages of the drawdown rather than the beginning of a fresh leg lower.
Cost-basis models add a “late bear market” signal
Beyond supply in loss timing, CryptoQuant also pointed to an investor cost-basis indicator it described as showing rare readings. The model in focus is realized cap variance (RCV), which compares realized cap to market cap and then tracks that spread relative to its rolling historical distribution.
In a CryptoQuant QuickTake blog post published on Thursday, contributor Crazzyblockk explained that RCV is designed to isolate how stretched or compressed investor cost basis has become versus current valuation, using the variance itself rather than price alone.
“When that variance compresses into deeply negative z-score territory, the emotional premium built during rallies has largely been priced out. The metric doesn’t read narrative, it reads the distribution of capital.”
The same post said the RCV currently sits in the bottom six percent of its historical range. It also highlighted the standardized Z-score value at -2.35, describing this as an indication that Bitcoin may be in the later stages of a bear market.
CryptoQuant’s commentary went further by noting precedent: the post reported that previous stretches spent extended time below a -2.0 Z-score—citing late 2018, mid-2022, and early 2015—before being associated with forward twelve-month returns above 75%. The historical comparison matters because it positions the present reading not just as “bear market,” but specifically as a regime that has tended to precede substantial improvement after the bottom phase.
The most extreme example referenced was a Z-score of -4.68 in November 2018, which the post said landed almost exactly on Bitcoin’s cycle bottom near $3,792.
What to watch next as the “countdown” unfolds
For now, the most actionable takeaway is that two independent onchain lenses—K33’s supply-in-loss threshold timing and CryptoQuant’s realized cap variance regime—are pointing to the same broad phase: late-stage bear market conditions rather than an early, fresh destabilization. Readers should watch how quickly supply in loss continues to drift down from the 50% crossing and whether RCV remains pinned in deeply negative Z-score territory, since those are the signals most likely to confirm whether the cycle bottom window is narrowing or extending further.
Crypto World
Consensys unknowingly outsourced developer work to North Korean

Through an introduction with a “reputable third-party service provider,“ the company took on a developer who, as part of an investigation, was revealed to be tied to North Korea.
Crypto World
Is there a Robinhood Chain token?
No. There is no official Robinhood Chain token, there is no airdrop, and there is no snapshot. Every token currently claiming that association is either a joke that admits it or a trap that does not.
Summary
- Robinhood has not issued a native token for Robinhood Chain. The network runs on ether for gas, which removes the main technical reason a chain needs a token of its own.
- Robinhood Markets trades as HOOD on Nasdaq. That equity is the only official way to own a piece of the company, and it is a stock, not a crypto asset.
- CASHCAT, the chain’s best-known token, is a community project with no affiliation to Robinhood. Its own website describes itself as fan fiction with a ticker.
- New tokens keep launching into the branding gap. STONKCAT opened a presale on July 16, and others are running alongside it.
- The absence of a token is the scam surface. Treat any airdrop claim, snapshot rumor, or official-looking token as false unless Robinhood confirms it through its own channels.
Ask the internet whether Robinhood Chain has a token and you will get a hundred confident answers, most of them wrong and several of them designed to be. The correct answer is short: no. Robinhood launched its blockchain on July 1, 2026 and did not issue a native token with it. What exists instead is a chain that runs on ether, a company stock that trades on Nasdaq, and a growing crowd of community tokens borrowing Robinhood’s branding without permission. Understanding why the chain has no token, and why that absence is precisely what makes the question dangerous, is worth more than any list of tickers.
The direct answer
Robinhood Chain has no official native token. There is no RHC, no HOODCHAIN, no chain coin.
The network is an Ethereum layer 2 built on Arbitrum’s Orbit stack, and it uses ether for gas. When you transact on Robinhood Chain, you pay fees in ETH, the same asset that secures Ethereum. That is a deliberate design choice and it is the single most important fact in this article, because gas is the primary reason most chains issue tokens at all. For readers new to the network, crypto.news has also explained the chain itself and its Stock Tokens.
The company’s only official tradable instrument is HOOD, the common stock of Robinhood Markets on Nasdaq. That is an equity: it carries shareholder rights, it is regulated as a security, and it is bought through a brokerage account. It is not a crypto token and it does not live on the chain.
Two other tickers cause confusion and neither is what people mean. USDG is the stablecoin used across Robinhood’s on-chain products, including as collateral for perpetual futures. It is not a Robinhood Chain token; it is a dollar stablecoin. LIT is the token of Lighter, the perpetuals exchange that partners with Robinhood Chain. Robinhood Ventures invested in Lighter and Lighter committed $11 million of LIT to the Robinhood community, which is a partner incentive and not a chain token.
So: ETH for gas, HOOD for equity, USDG for stable value, LIT for a partner protocol. No chain token.
Why the chain does not have one
Blockchains issue native tokens for three reasons, and Robinhood Chain has an answer for each.
Gas. A chain needs a unit to pay for computation. Most layer 1 networks mint their own. Robinhood Chain uses ether instead, inheriting Ethereum’s asset and its liquidity on day one. No new token required.
Governance. Some networks distribute tokens so holders can vote on protocol changes. Robinhood is a publicly listed brokerage running a chain as corporate infrastructure. It has shareholders and a board. It does not need a governance token, and issuing one would create an awkward second constituency with unclear legal standing next to the one that already owns the company.
Incentives. Chains hand out tokens to bootstrap usage. Robinhood has roughly 28 million customers across 38 countries and a distribution pipeline no new chain can match. It ran a 90-day gas fee subsidy instead, which achieves the same bootstrapping without issuing a security-shaped asset.
There is a fourth reason, unstated and probably decisive. Robinhood is a regulated broker with securities licenses in multiple jurisdictions. Issuing a token would invite an immediate question about whether that token is a security, from the same regulators who supervise its core business. The company has spent years building the relationships that let it offer Stock Tokens abroad and lending products at home. A native token would put all of that on the table in exchange for benefits it can already obtain without one.
The precedent supports the read. Coinbase’s Base, the most successful corporate chain to date, has no native token either, and Coinbase has repeatedly said it has no plans to issue one. Corporate chains built by regulated financial companies tend not to mint coins. That is the pattern, not the exception.
What CASHCAT actually is
CASHCAT is the token everyone means when they ask this question, so it deserves a direct treatment.
It is a community memecoin deployed on Robinhood Chain shortly after mainnet. It has a fixed supply of one billion tokens and its contract address is 0x020bfC650A365f8BB26819deAAbF3E21291018b4. It reached a market capitalization near $156 million within days and, at its peak, was worth roughly twelve times every tokenized real-world asset on the chain combined.
It has no affiliation with Robinhood. Not a partnership, not an endorsement, not a corporate project. The token’s own website says as much, disclaiming any connection to Robinhood Markets or to Vlad Tenev, and describing the project as fan fiction with a ticker. Asked what the utility is, the site answers that the utility is cat.
The name is where the confusion comes from, and it is a genuinely good story. Before Robinhood was Robinhood, Tenev and co-founder Baiju Bhatt called their company CashCat. The detail comes from a New Yorker profile and had been sitting in startup lore for years until someone realized it made a perfect memecoin. The token resurrects a discarded company name. That is the whole connection, and it is a connection of trivia, not of ownership.
What complicated matters is that on July 8, Tenev posted that while the company is building the chain to be the best for real-world assets, it works great for memes too, and he followed the token’s account. That is a CEO acknowledging something visible on his own network. It is not an endorsement, an affiliation, or a claim of ownership. But it is exactly the kind of signal that makes a retail buyer assume otherwise, which is why the disclaimer matters more than the follow.
The tokens filling the gap
The absence of an official token has not produced an absence of tokens. It has produced the opposite.
Within days of launch, Robinhood Chain hosted Cash Dog in Hood, Little John, Hoodrat, and Arrow, none of which existed before July 1. Noxa, the chain’s dominant launchpad, was averaging roughly 18,600 new token launches per day before it stopped accepting launches on July 11 and went dark two days later. Pump.fun added Robinhood Chain support on July 8, letting Solana’s memecoin crowd deploy without bridging. Crypto.news covered how memecoins took over the network as Robinhood’s RWA chain became dominated by speculative tokens.
The wave has not stopped. On July 16, STONKCAT opened a presale for $SCAT, pitching a community called The Litter and a running joke about a cat that never sells. A separate MemeToro presale is running alongside it, promising staking, AI-assisted launch tools, and prediction markets after the ecosystem expands.
Read the pattern rather than the individual tokens. Each new project borrows Robinhood’s branding, gestures at the chain’s legitimacy, and sells the association. None of them have the association. The branding gap that CASHCAT discovered is now a repeatable business model, and presales are where it converts fastest, because a presale asks for money before there is a market price to check.
How the scam works
This is the part worth internalizing, because the mechanics are predictable.
The airdrop rumor. New chains often reward early users with retroactive token distributions. Robinhood Chain will not, because there is no token to distribute. But the expectation exists, and it is exploited: posts claiming a snapshot has been taken, a claim window is open, or eligibility depends on connecting a wallet. Every one of those is false by construction. There is nothing to claim.
The official-looking token. A token deploys with Robinhood branding, a plausible ticker, and a website that mimics corporate design. It buys visibility. Retail buyers who have heard that Robinhood launched a chain assume this is the asset. It is not, and no amount of visual polish changes that.
The unaudited contract. CASHCAT itself illustrates the deeper problem: security audits of its contract were not possible because Robinhood Chain is too new for the tooling to have caught up. That applies across the chain. Tokens launching today are deploying into an environment where standard verification infrastructure does not yet exist, which removes the check that would normally catch a malicious contract.
Thin liquidity. CASHCAT’s trading pool has been worth far less than the token’s market capitalization, which means large trades swing the price hard in both directions. A nine-figure market cap sitting on a shallow pool is not a nine-figure asset. It is a small pool with a large number attached.
The defense is unglamorous and it works. Verify the contract address against a source you trust before buying anything. Assume any claim of official Robinhood affiliation is false unless Robinhood says otherwise on its own channels. Treat presales with more suspicion than listed tokens, since presales take money before price discovery. And accept the base case: there is no token, so there is nothing to be early to. That is also why understanding how token scams are structured matters before interacting with any new chain asset.
Why the question keeps getting asked
It is worth understanding why this particular question generates so much search traffic, because the answer explains the risk better than any warning does.
Crypto spent roughly four years training people that a new chain means a new token, and that being early to the token is where the money is. That training was accurate. Solana, Avalanche, Arbitrum, Optimism, and dozens of others issued native assets, and early participants in several of them did extraordinarily well. Airdrops turned unpaid testnet activity into five-figure windfalls. An entire behavioral pattern formed around it: hear about a new chain, find the token, get in before everyone else.
Robinhood Chain arrives carrying every signal that pattern responds to. It is new. It launched with a keynote. It is backed by a company with roughly 28 million customers and a Nasdaq listing. It has partners with real names, real volume, and real integrations. Every heuristic a crypto user has says there is a token here and being early to it matters.
There is not, and the mismatch between the expectation and the reality is the entire exploit surface. Scammers do not need to be clever when the audience has already convinced itself the thing exists. They only need to supply it. A token appears, the branding is close enough, and buyers who arrived expecting to find an official asset find something that looks like one. The pattern completes itself. That is why these tokens appear on new chains so quickly after launch.
The same dynamic explains why presales cluster here. STONKCAT opened a $SCAT presale on July 16 and a MemeToro presale is running alongside it, both pitching future products, staking, and ecosystem participation. A presale is the purest expression of the be-early instinct: it asks for money before there is any market price, any liquidity, or any way to verify what you bought is what was described. On a chain where audit tooling has not caught up, the ordinary checks that would flag a problem are also unavailable.
Notice too what the corporate structure means for anyone hoping the policy changes. If Robinhood ever issued a token, it would be a decision made by a listed company with a board, disclosed through filings and official channels, and scrutinized immediately by the regulators supervising its brokerage business. It would not leak through a countdown site or a Telegram group. The manner of any announcement would itself be evidence of whether it was real, and that is a more reliable filter than any list of red flags.
The uncomfortable framing worth sitting with: the reason there is no official token is the same reason the chain has institutional credibility at all. A regulated broker that minted a coin would be a different kind of company, facing a different set of questions, offering a different product. The absence people are searching for is not an oversight waiting to be corrected. It is the design.
What to watch instead
If the interest behind the question is genuine exposure to what Robinhood is building, three things are real and none of them are memecoins.
HOOD equity. The company’s stock is the direct instrument. Its crypto business is under real pressure, with transaction revenue down 47% year over year to $134 million in the first quarter of 2026 and native-app crypto volume down 48% to $24 billion. The chain is the response. Second-quarter earnings on July 29 are the first look at whether Stock Tokens are converting.
The chain’s real-world asset figure. This is the metric that matters and almost nobody quotes it. Tokenized real-world assets on Robinhood Chain total roughly $12.8 million against a network holding around $312 million in total value. If that number grows substantially while memecoin activity fades, the strategy is working. If it does not, the traffic never converted.
Whether the policy changes. Companies reverse themselves. If Robinhood ever does issue a token, it will announce it through its own channels, in filings and official communications, not through a countdown site. Until that happens, the answer to the question in the headline is the same as it was on July 1.
The honest summary is that the most valuable thing about Robinhood Chain having no token is that it tells you what kind of chain it is. Networks that mint coins are asking you to fund them. A network built by a listed brokerage running on someone else’s gas asset is asking you to use it. Those are different propositions, and only one of them has a ticker to chase.
The one number that answers everything
If you take a single thing from this article, make it this: the chain’s own scoreboard tells you whether any of it is working, and it is not the number anyone quotes.
Robinhood Chain holds roughly $312 million in total value locked. That figure gets cited constantly and it is close to meaningless, because value locked counts stablecoins parked, lending positions open, and assets sitting in automated market makers. It measures presence, not purpose. Transaction counts are worse, because a 90-day gas fee subsidy has been paying for activity since launch, which inflates the count and makes comparisons with chains like Base unreliable until the subsidy expires.
The number that means something is tokenized real-world assets: roughly $12.8 million, of which about $10.68 million is stocks and around $410,000 is Treasuries. That is approximately 4.1% of activity on a chain built entirely for that category. Every other metric on the network is measuring something the chain was not designed to do.
So the honest scorecard reads: enormous traffic, negligible product-market fit for the actual product, and a subsidy propping up the headline. That is not a verdict, because two weeks is not a verdict. It is a baseline. If tokenized assets grow well past $13 million while the memecoin volume fades, the speculation was the ignition sequence and Robinhood was right. If the assets stay flat while the traffic rotates to whichever chain is paying attention next, the chain attracted a crowd that was never going to convert.
Second-quarter earnings on July 29 are the first genuine look, because they will show Stock Token adoption from the company’s own books rather than from chain-level metrics that a subsidy is distorting. Watch that, and watch whether liquidity persists after the subsidy expires. Those two data points will tell you more than any token ever could, and neither of them requires you to buy anything.
Frequently asked questions
Is there an official Robinhood Chain token?
No. Robinhood has not issued a native token for the chain, which launched its public mainnet on July 1, 2026. The network uses ether for gas, which removes the primary technical reason a blockchain needs its own token. The only official way to own a stake in the company is HOOD, its common stock on Nasdaq, which is an equity and not a crypto asset.
Is CASHCAT the Robinhood Chain token?
No. CASHCAT is a community memecoin with no affiliation to Robinhood, no endorsement, and no partnership. Its own website disclaims any connection to Robinhood Markets or Vlad Tenev and describes the project as fan fiction with a ticker. The name references CashCat, the working name Tenev and co-founder Baiju Bhatt used before the company became Robinhood, which is a piece of trivia rather than a relationship.
Will there be a Robinhood Chain airdrop?
There is nothing to airdrop, because no token exists. Claims of a snapshot, a claim window, or eligibility requirements are false by construction and are a common scam pattern on new chains. If Robinhood ever changed this policy, it would be announced through official company channels and filings, not through a third-party claim site.
Why does Robinhood Chain not have a token?
Three technical reasons and one strategic one. Gas is paid in ether, so no new unit is needed. Governance runs through a listed company with shareholders and a board. Incentives come from roughly 28 million existing customers and a 90-day gas subsidy instead of a token distribution. Strategically, a regulated broker issuing a token would invite securities questions from the regulators supervising its core business.
Do other corporate chains have tokens?
Generally no. Coinbase’s Base, the most successful corporate chain to date, has no native token and Coinbase has repeatedly said it has no plans to issue one. Chains built by regulated financial companies tend not to mint coins, because the legal cost of doing so exceeds the benefit when the company already has distribution and a balance sheet.
What are USDG and LIT then?
USDG is a dollar stablecoin used across Robinhood’s on-chain products, including as collateral and quote asset for perpetual futures. LIT is the token of Lighter, the perpetuals exchange partnered with Robinhood Chain, in which Robinhood Ventures invested. Lighter committed $11 million of LIT to the Robinhood community as a partner incentive. Neither is a Robinhood Chain native token.
How do I avoid Robinhood Chain token scams?
Start from the base case that no official token exists, so any claim of one is false. Verify contract addresses against a trusted source before buying. Treat presales with extra caution, since they take money before any market price exists. Be aware that security audits are difficult on Robinhood Chain because the network is new enough that verification tooling has not caught up, which removes a check that would normally catch malicious contracts. Crypto.news has also explained verifying contracts before you transact as part of broader self-custody safety.
What should I look at instead?
If the interest is exposure to Robinhood’s strategy, HOOD equity is the direct instrument. If the interest is whether the chain is working, watch the tokenized real-world asset figure, which sits around $12.8 million against roughly $312 million in total value locked. Robinhood’s second-quarter earnings on July 29 are the first meaningful look at Stock Token adoption.
Disclaimer: This article is for information and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Memecoins are highly speculative, frequently trade on thin liquidity, and most participants lose money. Token affiliations, contract addresses, and project claims change and should be verified independently before any transaction. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy any token or security. Always do your own research. Information is accurate as of July 17, 2026.
Crypto World
Augur returns with decentralized layer for disputed prediction markets
Augur has returned with a proposed resolution system and a two-month token migration test as prediction markets draw increased institutional scrutiny.
Summary
- Augur has returned with a decentralized layer for resolving disputed prediction-market outcomes.
- REP holders are testing the system through a two-month Moon Fork migration.
- Wall Street banks are tightening employee rules as insider-trading concerns grow.
According to a press release shared with crypto.news, the Lituus Foundation announced the relaunch alongside the Augur Lituus whitepaper, which outlines a settlement layer for prediction markets facing disputed outcomes. Under the proposed system, markets could resolve contested events without depending on a company, committee, multisignature wallet, or governance council.
Rather than opening another trading platform, the foundation plans to offer the resolution layer as infrastructure that other prediction markets and protocols could use. Its design separates the process of determining an outcome from services such as trading, liquidity management, user interfaces, and customer distribution.
The whitepaper also compares several decentralized oracle systems, focusing on how each one may perform when participants have a financial reason to influence a result. According to the foundation, Augur Lituus uses economic incentives intended to make support for an accurate outcome more rational than backing a false one.
“Prediction markets are only as credible as their resolution process,” Lituus Foundation co-founder Phill said.
“As markets become larger and more influential, the question isn’t whether they can predict the future. It’s whether they can determine what actually happened when billions of dollars depend on the answer.”
Augur is testing settlement through a live token fork
Alongside the whitepaper, Augur has started what it calls the Moon Fork, a public test of its dispute and algorithmic fork process. The exercise stems from a prediction market connected to NASA’s Artemis II mission, according to the foundation.
During the test, REP token holders must choose which version of the protocol to support by moving their assets within a two-month migration period. The foundation said tokens remaining in versions that participants abandon would lose their economic relevance.
Unlike an internal simulation, the Moon Fork involves financial incentives and public participation. The foundation said the process would test token migration, user coordination and behavior when competing versions of an event’s outcome exist.
Augur originally introduced its prediction-market model during Ethereum’s early development. Its system allowed users to create markets tied to real-world events, while REP holders participated in settling their outcomes through economic incentives.
The project’s renewed focus comes after prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi attracted more users and attention. Many current platforms still depend on centralized operators or governance procedures to decide contested outcomes, according to the Lituus Foundation.
Institutional controls are increasing around event contracts
Prediction markets are also facing closer examination over how traders may use confidential information. As previously reported by crypto.news, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America have introduced or revised employee policies covering event contracts.
Those restrictions are intended to limit insider-trading and conflict-of-interest risks on platforms including Polymarket and Kalshi, crypto.news reported. Employees may hold information about elections, economic releases, corporate decisions or geopolitical developments before it becomes public.
Goldman Sachs has prohibited staff from trading contracts connected to the bank, elections, financial markets, macroeconomic data and geopolitics. The bank adopted the rules as regulators and companies began paying closer attention to employee activity on prediction platforms.
While those controls concern who may trade and what information they possess, Augur’s proposed system addresses a separate part of the market: how a disputed contract is settled after the underlying event has occurred. The foundation has not provided a launch date for general use of the Lituus resolution layer.
Crypto World
Sbi Holdings Acquires Coinhako Majority Stake In Singapore Crypto Push
SBI Holdings has acquired a majority stake in Coinhako after receiving regulatory approval for the Singapore transaction. The deal strengthens the Japanese financial group’s digital asset presence across Southeast Asia. Coinhako will operate as a consolidated subsidiary following the transaction’s completion on July 16.
Regulatory Approval Clears Coinhako Acquisition
The Monetary Authority of Singapore approved the acquisition before the companies completed the deal. SBI Holdings funded the transaction through its Singapore-based investment unit, SBI Ventures Asset Pte. Ltd. The group also purchased shares from several existing Coinhako investors as part of the transaction.
Neither party disclosed the investment amount, acquired ownership percentage, or Coinhako’s valuation. However, the majority position gives the Japanese financial group control over the exchange’s operations. Coinhako will retain its Singapore base while joining SBI Holdings’ consolidated financial network.
Coinhako operates through Hako Technology Pte. Ltd. and entered Singapore’s cryptocurrency market in 2014. The company holds a Major Payment Institution licence from the Monetary Authority of Singapore. Its affiliate, Alpha Hako Ltd., also maintains regulatory registration in the British Virgin Islands.
Singapore Exchange Expands Regional Crypto Network
SBI Holdings plans to combine Coinhako’s customers with its financial services and international digital asset operations. Singapore provides established regulations and direct access to expanding cryptocurrency markets across Southeast Asia. Coinhako also offers licensed infrastructure, local expertise, and an existing regional distribution network.
Chairman and President Yoshitaka Kitao linked the acquisition to plans for connecting exchanges across several countries. The proposed network could support cross-border trading and reduce restrictions caused by different national currencies. SBI Holdings expects Coinhako to hold a central position within that international exchange structure.
The companies plan services involving stablecoins, tokenized assets, cross-border trading, and on-chain finance. Coinhako co-founder Yusho Liu described the agreement as the company’s next stage after ten years in Singapore. The exchange gains access to SBI Holdings’ banking, securities, investment, and digital asset businesses.
Tokenized Products Support Wider Asia Strategy
SBI Holdings is also developing JPYSC, a yen-backed stablecoin, with blockchain company Startale. The group may connect the stablecoin with Coinhako’s services and established regional customer network. This integration could support payments, settlements, and transactions involving tokenized financial instruments.
SBI Holdings has also partnered with Ondo to distribute tokenized investment products through its customer network. Separately, SBI Global Asset Management launched the JX token with regulated real-world asset exchange DigiFT. The Solana-based product gives eligible investors exposure to a Japanese high-dividend equity strategy.
Coinhako adds a regulated Singapore platform to SBI Holdings’ expanding digital asset infrastructure across Asia. The exchange complements the group’s stablecoin development and recently launched tokenized investment products. SBI Holdings now controls a regional gateway linking Singapore customers with its wider financial network.
Crypto World
Galaxy Expands Texas Footprint with Texas Tech Stadium Deal
Digital asset and AI infrastructure company Galaxy Digital has signed a 15-year naming rights agreement with Texas Tech, renaming the university’s football stadium Galaxy Stadium beginning with the 2026 season.
The partnership also makes Galaxy the official data center and digital assets partner of Texas Tech Athletics, with the companies planning to collaborate on student-athlete name, image and likeness opportunities, artificial intelligence initiatives and workforce development programs.
According to Friday’s announcement, the stadium will debut under its new name on Sept. 5, when Texas Tech opens its season against Abilene Christian. Financial terms of the agreement were not disclosed.
The deal expands Galaxy’s footprint in West Texas, where it operates the Helios data center campus in nearby Dickens County, about 60 miles east of Lubbock. The site has 1.6 gigawatts of approved capacity for artificial intelligence and high-performance computing (HPC).
Related: Bitdeer stock jumps 14% as company expands US mining hardware production
Texas strengthens its crypto industry footprint
The partnership comes as Texas strengthens its position as a hub for the crypto industry, combining major Bitcoin mining investment with growing political influence and pro-crypto legislation.
The state is already home to some of the industry’s largest Bitcoin (BTC) miners and digital infrastructure operators, including Riot Platforms, Cipher Mining, Core Scientific, CleanSpark, IREN and Hut 8.
In February, Bitcoin mining hardware maker Canaan acquired a 49% stake in three operating Texas mining facilities from Cipher Mining for nearly $40 million, while earlier this month, MARA Holdings announced plans to acquire a 2-gigawatt powered site in Texas to develop a digital infrastructure campus supporting both HPC and Bitcoin mining.
Recently, Texas has become a focal point for crypto-backed political spending. In May, industry-affiliated political action committees spent more than $10 million supporting candidates in Texas congressional primary runoffs, with all six backed candidates winning.
The state has also backed the industry through public policy. Last year, Gov. Greg Abbott signed legislation creating the Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. In May, state officials began transitioning the reserve’s holdings from a spot Bitcoin ETF to directly custodied bitcoin.

Texas Senate Bill 21 established the Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. Source: Texas Legislature
Magazine: Gambling on random Pokémon cards: Onchain gagcha hits record high as crypto sinks
Crypto World
Trump Teleprompter Operator Earned $100K Betting on Kalshi via Speeches, ABC Reports
Regulators are reportedly in talks with a former White House teleprompter operator as the U.S. probes whether nonpublic information was used to profit from political prediction markets. ABC News reported that Gabriel Perez—who has supported the Trump teleprompter since 2016—has been accused of betting on Kalshi markets tied to words and topics appearing in the president’s speeches.
According to ABC, Kalshi’s surveillance identified activity linked to more than a dozen speech-related contracts over roughly three months, with profits reportedly exceeding $100,000. The report adds a familiar but thorny issue to the growing prediction market sector: when real-time access and politically sensitive timing can create opportunities for alleged “insider” advantages.
Key takeaways
- ABC News says Gabriel Perez, the teleprompter operator since 2016, allegedly profited from Kalshi “Mentions” markets tied to Trump speeches.
- Kalshi reportedly detected the trades and referred them to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, linking activity to more than a dozen speeches over about three months.
- ABC reports that Perez sometimes exited positions mid-speech when Trump skipped prepared passages containing wagered words.
- The White House placed Perez on unpaid administrative leave after the report, according to White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt.
- Congressional and regulatory attention has intensified as other prediction-market cases raised concerns about information timing and potential misconduct.
What ABC says happened on Kalshi
ABC News reported that Perez, a technical assistant who operated the president’s teleprompter, placed bets on Kalshi markets tied to phrases and topics expected to appear during Trump’s remarks. The contracts were part of Kalshi’s “Mentions” suite, which lets users trade on whether specific words, phrases, or topics will show up in public speeches.
Per ABC’s sources, the alleged conduct involved bets on more than a dozen markets associated with multiple speeches, including the State of the Union and remarks delivered at the World Economic Forum. The outlet also reported that the activity generated more than $100,000 in profits.
ABC further claims that Perez sometimes exited positions while speeches were underway, particularly when Trump skipped portions of prepared text that included words Perez had allegedly wagered would be mentioned. That detail—timing trades to the content that ultimately appears—could be central to how regulators evaluate whether the trades reflected privileged access or legitimate market behavior.
Kalshi’s surveillance and a CFTC referral
In ABC’s account, Kalshi detected the trades using its surveillance systems and referred the activity to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. For prediction market participants, the practical implication is straightforward: platform monitoring may increasingly focus not only on trading volume or profit patterns, but also on whether trades cluster around sensitive events in ways that could indicate information advantages.
The case also underscores how prediction markets, even when they are built around public speech formats and verifiable outcomes, can intersect with regulatory scrutiny if trading appears coordinated with nonpublic material.
White House response and administrative leave
Following ABC’s report, the White House placed Perez on unpaid administrative leave, according to press secretary Karoline Leavitt. Leavitt said Trump called the alleged conduct a “disgrace.”
While the report describes accusations and an ongoing regulatory engagement, readers should note that administrative leave is not the same as a final finding of wrongdoing. Still, the action signals that the alleged behavior—if confirmed—would represent more than a routine market dispute, given Perez’s role in the teleprompter operation and the claimed linkage to politically sensitive communications.
Why this matters to prediction markets now
This development arrives as prediction markets have faced mounting attention over potential insider trading risks, particularly as activity and visibility grow. Cointelegraph previously reported that Polymarket traders earned roughly $1 million after correctly betting on a U.S. strike against Iran before the end of February, raising questions about whether some traders may have had access to information ahead of public reporting. Bloomberg, citing analytics firm Bubblemaps, was also reported to have identified wallets placing bets only hours before explosions were first reported in Tehran.
Other cases described by Cointelegraph have similarly involved timing concerns. Cointelegraph reported on instances where wallets earned more than $1.2 million by betting on an onchain investigation into DeFi platform Axiom shortly before blockchain investigator ZachXBT published allegations involving an employee. Separately, another trader was reported to have made about $400,000 by wagering on a Venezuelan political event shortly before news became public, with subsequent disappearance reported by Cointelegraph.
Taken together, these examples highlight a recurring asymmetry in prediction markets: while outcomes are ultimately verifiable, the period between a potentially market-moving piece of information and its public release can create incentives to seek advantages. That tension is especially acute for contracts that map closely to political messaging, breaking news, or other time-sensitive developments.
Beyond enforcement, lawmakers have also begun to weigh in. Cointelegraph reported that Republican Representative Bryan Steil, who chairs the House subcommittee on digital assets, introduced legislation intended to bar members of Congress and their immediate families from trading prediction market contracts tied to public policy and political outcomes.
Kalshi’s referral to the CFTC and the reported involvement of a White House insider adds another dimension to the debate: even without legislative restrictions, platforms and regulators may increasingly treat “who had access to what, and when” as central to market integrity.
What to watch next
For market participants, the next signals to monitor are whether the CFTC’s involvement leads to formal charges, and how Kalshi and other prediction platforms refine surveillance and compliance measures for politically related or otherwise sensitive events. The broader question remains whether regulators will draw clear lines between ordinary trading behavior and trading that plausibly depends on nonpublic access—lines that will shape how confident users can be in the fairness of future prediction market outcomes.
Crypto World
SpaceX stock sinks to post-IPO low after Starship launch abort
SpaceX stock has fallen nearly 5% to a post-IPO low of $125 after the company aborted Starship’s 13th test flight shortly before liftoff.
Summary
- SpaceX stock fell nearly 5% to $125, slipping below its $135 IPO price.
- SpaceX aborted the Starship launch after two Super Heavy booster engines failed to ignite.
- Elon Musk confirmed engine replacements ahead of another launch attempt scheduled for July 20.
SPCX has slipped below its $135 initial public offering price and lost about 35% over the past 30 days. The decline extends a losing streak that began after enthusiasm surrounding SpaceX’s public debut cooled and early investors started taking profits.

Selling accelerated after SpaceX halted its latest Starship launch during pre-flight procedures. According to the company, at least two Raptor engines on the Super Heavy booster failed to ignite, preventing the rocket from proceeding with the planned test.
CEO Elon Musk later confirmed that SpaceX would replace the affected engines before making another launch attempt. His update pushed the flight into the following week, adding a fresh setback for a stock already trading well below its post-IPO peak.
Starship engine failure adds pressure on SpaceX stock
SpaceX’s launch cancellation gave traders another reason to reduce their exposure after several weeks of falling prices. While the company did not link the stock decline directly to the failed ignition, market commentary on X focused heavily on the timing of the abort and the subsequent 5% selloff.
Author and cognitive scientist Gary Marcus suggested that the failed attempt could deepen concerns about investor confidence in Musk’s ability to execute SpaceX’s plans. Clarifying his view later, Marcus argued that another record low appeared more likely than a sudden collapse in the company’s shares.
Investor and longtime Tesla supporter Sawyer Merritt took the opposite position. Commenting on the selloff, Merritt argued that shareholders were placing too much weight on a launch delay expected to last only a few days.
Investors selling SpaceX shares for that reason “shouldn’t have been in the stock in the first place,” Merritt wrote on X. His comment framed the market reaction as excessive, although the shares remained under pressure following the postponement.
Before the recent decline, demand surrounding SpaceX’s IPO had driven SPCX as high as $225.64. The stock has since surrendered much of that advance and now trades about 8% below its offering price.
Revised Starship launch offers the next test for investors
SpaceX has rescheduled Starship’s 13th test flight for Monday, July 20, at 6:45 p.m. ET, according to the company’s latest announcement. The updated timetable gives engineers several days to replace the two engines and prepare the Super Heavy booster for another attempt.
Merritt pointed to the revised date as evidence that the interruption may be brief. Marcus, however, continued to focus on the stock’s deteriorating performance, leaving two sharply different readings of what the aborted launch means for shareholders.
A successful flight could influence sentiment around SPCX, but that possibility remains dependent on SpaceX completing the test without another technical delay. Until then, price data shows that the shares remain caught in a month-long decline despite the company providing a new launch schedule.
Separate from the test flight, Binance has introduced a perpetual futures product linked to SpaceX stock, according to the exchange’s announcement. The contract gives eligible traders derivatives-based exposure to SPCX, adding another venue through which market participants can take leveraged positions on the company’s price movements.
Crypto World
Anthropic turns to Meta for $10B in computing power before IPO
Anthropic has proposed leasing up to $10 billion of computing power from Meta Platforms over two years as the AI developer prepares for a possible October IPO.
Summary
- Anthropic has proposed leasing up to $10 billion of computing power from Meta over two years.
- Meta is reviewing the deal, which could create a new revenue stream from its AI infrastructure.
- Bloomberg reports Anthropic is preparing for a possible IPO as early as October.
According to Reuters, which cited The New York Times, Meta is reviewing the proposal after Anthropic presented the terms in June. The planned agreement would require Anthropic to make monthly payments for access to Meta’s computing capacity.
Both companies could end the contract before the two-year period expires, the report added. Meta and Anthropic have not finalized the arrangement, leaving its value and duration subject to the outcome of their talks.
For Anthropic, the lease would provide access to the processing capacity needed to train and operate advanced artificial intelligence models. AI developers depend on large numbers of specialized chips and data centers, making reliable computing access a central part of their expansion plans.
Meta, in turn, could earn revenue from infrastructure built primarily for its own AI products and services. According to the report, the proposed lease would give the social media company another way to generate returns from its computing investments beyond its advertising business.
Meta could enter the AI infrastructure market
A completed agreement would place Meta in competition with CoreWeave and Nebius, two companies that supply computing infrastructure for AI workloads. Reuters reported that the Anthropic proposal could turn Meta into a provider of capacity to an external AI developer while it continues building models and products of its own.
The talks have emerged as technology companies compete for chips, electricity and data center space. Under the reported structure, Anthropic would secure capacity from a company that has spent heavily on AI infrastructure, while Meta would add a potential customer for resources within its computing network.
Anthropic has also pursued separate long-term infrastructure arrangements. Earlier this month, the company signed a 20-year data center lease with Bitcoin miner TeraWulf. The agreement is expected to supply additional computing resources for Anthropic’s future AI development.
Taken together, the Meta discussions and TeraWulf lease show how Anthropic is assembling the infrastructure required to support its models. Any assessment of the scale or financial effect of those agreements, however, depends on their final terms and the amount of capacity Anthropic ultimately uses.
Anthropic could reach public markets in October
Bloomberg reported that Anthropic is moving forward with preparations for a possible stock market listing. Banks working on the offering have begun arranging meetings between company executives and prospective investors, according to the report.
Those meetings could support an IPO as early as October, although Bloomberg’s timeline remains subject to market conditions and the company’s final decision. An October debut would put Anthropic in the public market before OpenAI, which Bloomberg reported is considering a listing in 2027.
Chinese AI developer DeepSeek is also preparing for an eventual public offering, according to the original report. Anthropic could therefore become one of the first major companies from the latest generation of AI model developers to list its shares.
Before the IPO report emerged, Anthropic had received approval from the US government to restore access to its Mythos 5 model for selected companies and federal agencies last month. Combined with its infrastructure agreements and investor meetings, the decision adds another development for banks and potential shareholders to examine as preparations continue.
Crypto World
OKX Europe Enables USDT-to-MiCA USDC Swaps for Traders
OKX Europe has introduced a “one-way conversion” tool that lets customers deposit Tether’s USDT and convert it into Circle’s MiCA-compliant USDC. The feature is aimed at clients who can no longer keep USDT supported on their accounts as European Union stablecoin rules tighten.
In an announcement shared with Cointelegraph, OKX Europe said the process is customer-controlled: users can deposit USDT into their OKX Europe account and convert it into USDC at their discretion, rather than being forced through a platform-imposed deadline. The exchange said the tool is meant to support customers whose existing venues no longer accept USDT or who plan to move balances automatically to compliant alternatives.
Key takeaways
- OKX Europe now supports conversion from USDT into MiCA-compliant USDC, without requiring a two-way transfer option.
- The feature targets customers affected by MiCA implementation, when many EU-facing platforms reduced USDT availability.
- OKX Europe positions the update as a migration path for users who want to preserve value continuity while shifting to USDC.
- Tether has not pursued MiCA authorization for USDT, which is central to why some platforms restrict or delist USDT in the EU.
- USDT remains the largest stablecoin by market share, according to DefiLlama, even as compliance-driven changes accelerate in Europe.
How OKX Europe’s one-way migration works
According to OKX Europe’s announcement, the new conversion feature allows customers to deposit USDT—Tether’s USDt—into their OKX Europe account and convert those tokens into USDC. USDC is described as one of the major stablecoins that fits the EU’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework.
The “one-way” aspect matters: the workflow is designed to move balances toward a MiCA-aligned stablecoin rather than enabling conversion in both directions. OKX Europe also emphasized that conversions can be completed at the customer’s discretion instead of via a strict cutoff determined by the exchange.
OKX Europe operates under its MiCA license across 30 EU and European Economic Area countries, positioning the feature as a practical bridge for users navigating where USDT is no longer supported.
MiCA rollout forces stablecoin support to change
The timing aligns with the EU’s stablecoin regulatory rollout. Tether has not obtained authorization to issue USDT under MiCA, a status that has led many European platforms to restrict deposits, remove trading pairs, or convert client balances into compliant alternatives as MiCA rules took full effect on July 1.
That regulatory friction is not marginal. DefiLlama data cited in the report shows Tether accounts for about 59% of the roughly $310 billion stablecoin market, with USDT market capitalization around $184 billion. Circle’s USDC is much smaller by comparison, at about $73 billion, but still one of the largest compliant options for EU-based platforms.
For investors and traders, these shifts can change liquidity and execution. When a major venue restricts deposits or delists pairs, users who depend on a stablecoin—whether for trading, hedging, or moving between exchanges—can face friction even if the underlying stablecoin remains available elsewhere outside the EU.
Tether’s stance on MiCA authorization
Tether has defended its decision not to pursue MiCA authorization for USDT, and the approach has shaped the behavior of European market operators. Cointelegraph previously reported that Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino has criticized MiCA, arguing that reserve requirements could introduce unnecessary risk by requiring part of reserves to be held with European credit institutions.
Ardoino has also suggested that the regulatory tradeoffs are not favorable for stablecoin issuers. In a May 2025 interview with Cointelegraph, he characterized MiCA’s approach as “very dangerous when it comes to stablecoins,” noting Tether’s choice not to seek authorization despite expectations that USDT could lose support on European exchanges.
More recently, in a July 2025 post on X, Ardoino said Tether would reconsider pursuing MiCA authorization only “when MiCA becomes safer for consumers and stablecoin issuers.” The messaging indicates Tether sees no near-term reason to change course—an implication reinforced by the continuing migration efforts from EU-facing exchanges and other service providers.
Broader industry response: from exchanges to retail apps
OKX Europe’s conversion tool reflects a wider trend across Europe: when MiCA restricts USDT access, platforms often re-route customers toward compliant stablecoins or withdrawal pathways.
One example highlighted in the same material is Revolut, a digital banking platform that said it will stop supporting USDT for customers in the European Economic Area and Switzerland. Revolut reportedly gave users until Aug. 31 to sell or withdraw their holdings, with any remaining balances expected to be automatically converted into the base currency.
These actions underscore a key asymmetry for USDT holders in Europe. While USDT remains globally dominant, users in MiCA-regulated jurisdictions may experience forced transitions—either by changing what can be deposited and traded on exchanges or by shifting stablecoin exposure within retail financial interfaces.
For traders, this can affect strategy execution. Stablecoin pairs tied to USDT liquidity may shrink, and conversion paths could introduce operational steps or timing variability. For users focused on custody or settlement, the migration choice also becomes a matter of which compliant stablecoin is supported on the platform they use day to day.
What to watch next for EU stablecoin migration
As MiCA compliance keeps reshaping which stablecoins are usable on EU-facing platforms, customers should watch whether more exchanges adopt similar “migration” features and whether USDT support continues to narrow to withdrawals and conversions rather than active trading. The next turning point will likely be how quickly the market’s liquidity consolidates around MiCA-approved alternatives like USDC—and whether Tether’s position evolves if regulatory conditions change.
Crypto World
AI Valuations Are Back in the Spotlight
Artificial intelligence remains the dominant investment theme of 2026, but investors are increasingly questioning whether AI stock valuations are keeping pace with reality.
💰 Big Tech continues to invest at an unprecedented scale, with hyperscaler AI spending projected to exceed $800 billion in 2026.
📈 TSMC’s latest earnings showed a 77.4% year-on-year increase in quarterly profit, highlighting that demand for AI chips remains exceptionally strong.
⚖️ At the same time, the Bank of England has warned that elevated valuations and rapidly rising investment expectations could leave markets vulnerable if earnings fail to justify current prices.
The debate is becoming increasingly clear.
📈 Bullish case: AI leaders continue to deliver strong earnings growth, record investment and genuine commercial demand.
📉 Bearish case: Valuations may already reflect years of future growth, leaving little room for disappointment if AI adoption or earnings slows.
The key question for investors is whether technology companies can continue turning record AI spending into sustainable earnings growth—or whether expectations have simply moved too far ahead of fundamentals.
Gain insights to strengthen your trading knowledge.
Watch it now and stay updated with FXOpen.
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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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