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Bitcoin Faces A Resistance Battle As The Monthly Close Below $80,000 Approaches

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Bitcoin Faces A Resistance Battle As The Monthly Close Below $80,000 Approaches

Bitcoin (BTC) heads into September still battling key resistance as markets flip hawkish on Federal Reserve policy.

Key points:

  • Markets see a 60% chance of the Fed hiking interest rates in September, with jobs data due this week.
  • Oil has experienced renewed volatility amid fresh US strikes on Iran and an unprecedented US-Venezuela oil-supply deal.
  • Bitcoin remains under a crucial patch of resistance below $86,000 heading into the August monthly candle close.

September rate hike bets return after Jackson Hole

The coming week will bring the release of multiple US employment indexes, each likely to shape expectations for policy changes from the Federal Reserve.

The Fed is already in the spotlight after last week’s Jackson Hole economic symposium, which featured its first keynote speech from new chair Kevin Warsh. Warsh remained characteristically tight-lipped on policy cues, describing forward guidance — a fixture of Fed PR for decades — as having “overstayed its welcome.”

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On inflation, Warsh described current data as too high, despite July’s lower-than-expected results for the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index.

“Each of these broad inflation measures have fallen significantly from their highs of a few years ago, but progress through the past couple of years has been more modest, and while this summer’s PCE and CPI readings were better than expected, they do not tell me that underlying trends have meaningfully improved,” he said.

Markets responded with increased expectations of interest-rate hikes, reverting to majority odds for a 0.25% hike at the Fed’s September meeting, per data from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool. At the time of writing, these odds stand at just below 60%, up from 41.4% last week.

Fed target-rate probability comparison for September FOMC meeting (screenshot). Source: CME Group

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Rates expectations could be tempered, however, by labor-market numbers. Friday will see August nonfarm payrolls data released. The economy is expected to have added 50,000 jobs last month, compared to a loss of 23,000 in June.

Private-sector employment numbers will precede nonfarm payrolls on Wednesday, followed by initial jobless claims on Thursday. 

“All eyes are on the labor market,” trading resource The Kobeissi Letter summarized in commentary on X, noting that this would form the last slew of jobs data before the September rate decision.

Kobeissi flagged major downward revisions to employment numbers, with weak labor-market conditions forming a potential hurdle to Fed policy tightening. Citing data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), it reported another 79,000 jobs removed in the 12 months through March this year.

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“This follows last year’s record -911,000 revision and marks the 4th consecutive annual downward adjustment, matching the streak that ended in 2010 after the 2008 Financial Crisis,” it added, describing the labor market as being “weaker than initially reported for years.”

US employment data revisions. Source: The Kobeissi Letter on X.com

Oil spikes on US-Iran escalation

Oil markets are at the forefront of macro volatility as the week begins thanks to a combination of geopolitical catalysts.

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Renewed US strikes on Iran sent Brent crude back above $90 per barrel on Monday, nearing its highest levels in a week. US WTI crude passed $85 per barrel, and was up 2.5% on the day at the time of writing.

CFDs on Brent crude oil one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

European stocks came under pressure as a result of the events, with Germany’s DAX down 0.7%. US president Donald Trump implied that Iran’s Kharg Island oil hub was once more a target. In a post on Truth Social, Trump uploaded an AI-generated video that appeared to show the bombing of oil infrastructure, describing the island as “being blown to smithereens.”

DAX one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

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The strikes followed news of a major energy deal granting the US significant control of Venezuela’s oil reserves. Numbers from Venezuela’s interim president Delcy Rodriguez quoted by CNBC and others referenced a daily oil-output target of 1.5 million barrels, with total reserves involved at 65 billion barrels, currently worth around $5.4 trillion.

In a Truth Social post, Trump described the takeover as the “biggest oil deal in history.”

Bitcoin battles multiple 50-week trend lines

Bitcoin saw late sell pressure into Sunday’s weekly close, with a brief trip below its 50-week exponential moving average (EMA) at $77,269, per data from TradingView. 

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Price defended the trend line, which we had previously flagged as important support, for a second consecutive week. In the wake of its recent rally, BTC had managed to reclaim the moving average with a weekly close for the first time since November 2025.

BTC/USD one-week chart with 50 EMA. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

In his latest market observations on X, Rafael Schultze-Kraft, cofounder of crypto analytics platform Glassnode, drew attention to the equivalent simple moving average (SMA) at $80,307. Here, BTC/USD still lacks a reclaim on the weekly time frame — something which has preceded additional price upside in the past, he showed.

BTC/USD chart with periods above and below 50-week SMA. Source: Rafael Schultze-Kraft on X.com

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Monthly close faces stiff resistance

Heading into the August monthly close, Bitcoin bulls face a key test as monthly gains for BTC/USD hover near 25%.

BTC/USD monthly returns (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

Despite the biggest crypto short liquidation event ever recorded, buyers have so far failed to reclaim key resistance above $80,000, analysis warns. 

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“Bitcoin is still hovering beneath the Macro Downtrending resistance, having upside wicked briefly beyond it,” trader and analyst Rekt Capital summarized about the current status quo in his latest analysis on X. 

“Still the pivotal resistance and by staying below it, Bitcoin continues its series of Macro Lower Highs.”

BTC/USD one-month chart. Source: Rekt Capital on X.com

Rekt Capital argued that a breakout above this resistance would have major implications for the four-year BTC price cycle, as it would mean that its latest bear market would be shorter than those before it.

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Beyond the trend line, however, additional resistance has already formed thanks to thickening ask liquidity on exchange order books. As Cointelegraph reported, this extends to $86,000, thus requiring even more buy-side momentum to effect a lasting breakout.

“Every overhead structure we track now sits between $81K and $86K; that band is where the recovery’s demand meets its test,” Glassnode wrote in research last week.

Larger buyers seen as pivotal to BTC price upside 

Glassnode calculated that 1.05 million BTC owned by long-term holders have a cost basis between $83,000 and $86,000. Long-term holders refer to wallets holding a given amount of BTC without selling for six months or more.

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Related: Supply absorption ‘key question’ as Bitcoin fails to reclaim $80K: Analysis

BTC supply distribution by wallet cohort. Source: Glassnode

In additional findings this week, onchain analytics platform CryptoQuant drew attention to the potential impact of large-volume investors going into September. These entities, its data showed, were behind buyer appetite this month, while smaller investors took profit or exited the market after their holdings returned to breakeven.

“From 1–30 August, wallets with 100+ BTC added about 60,000 BTC. Wallets with 1–100 BTC sold about 33,000. Wallets under 1 BTC sold about 14,000,” it wrote in a blog post on Monday. 

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“That split is the month. Large holders absorbed the breakout. Smaller holders used the rally as an exit.”

Bitcoin accumulation data by wallet cohort (screenshot). Source: CryptoQuant

CryptoQuant added that the view of large-investor accumulation would require reassessment should those entities start selling recently acquired supply below $80,000.

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Strategy’s First Corporate Bitcoin Buy Tops $370M Since June

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Crypto Breaking News

Strategy has resumed Bitcoin purchases after a brief pause, acquiring 4,603 BTC for $370 million, according to a Monday Form 8-K filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The transaction raises the company’s total treasury to 845,050 BTC.

In the filing, Strategy reports an average purchase price of $80,318 per Bitcoin, bringing cumulative acquisitions to $63.3 billion at an average cost of $75,413. The company funded the buy using net proceeds from a 602 million MSTR common stock sale, while also allocating part of those proceeds to corporate cash and share repurchases.

Key takeaways

  • Strategy bought 4,603 BTC for about $370 million at an average price of $80,318, lifting treasury holdings to 845,050 BTC.
  • The purchase was funded through net proceeds from a 602 million MSTR common stock sale, with additional uses including cash and STRC repurchases.
  • The deal marks Strategy’s first corporate Bitcoin acquisition since mid-June, when it purchased 1,587 BTC for roughly $100 million.
  • Preferred stock STRC remains central to Strategy’s funding model, and trading below par can constrain the company’s ability to raise capital via STRC sales.

A funded Bitcoin buy adds to Strategy’s 2026 accumulation

The SEC filing details how the 4,603 BTC acquisition was executed and financed. Strategy paid an average of $80,318 per Bitcoin, resulting in a total purchase price of $370 million. After this addition, its Bitcoin holdings stand at 845,050 BTC, reflecting ongoing accumulation rather than a shift to a hedging or diversification strategy.

Strategy also used the financing package to manage near-term corporate balance sheet priorities. The filing says $30 million of the net proceeds was directed to increase Strategy’s USD cash reserve, while $151.8 million went toward repurchasing preferred STRC stock. That split highlights a familiar pattern for the company: continuing BTC accumulation while simultaneously smoothing funding mechanics tied to preferred shares.

Why the STRC discount matters for future treasury moves

STRC—Strategy’s perpetual preferred stock—trades based on expectations for how the company will fund Bitcoin purchases and dividends. On Monday pre-market trading, Yahoo Finance data showed STRC changing hands at $97.33, about a 2.67% discount to its intended $100 par value.

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In practice, that discount can affect Strategy’s ability to raise funds efficiently through STRC issuance. The article’s background context notes that trading below par limits how much capital the company can attract via STRC sales. If that continues, investors may watch whether Strategy compensates by adjusting nominal dividend expectations to keep STRC competitive—potentially increasing pressure on its cash flows.

Strategy’s preferred-share structure has been a key part of its “capital framework,” which it outlined in a prior SEC filing dated June 29. Earlier coverage from Cointelegraph described how Strategy’s framework allows Bitcoin sales to fund dividends and increased the annual dividend rate on STRC to 12%. The combination of BTC accumulation, dividend policy, and STRC market pricing is the balance Strategy is currently managing as it scales treasury size.

Signals from Saylor and what changed since mid-June

The new purchase comes after a pause. Strategy’s most recent previously reported corporate Bitcoin acquisition occurred in mid-June, when the company bought 1,587 BTC for roughly $100 million. The Monday filing therefore marks a clear resumption of corporate buying after that earlier tranche.

The timing also aligns with messaging from Strategy’s co-founder and executive chairman, Michael Saylor. Cointelegraph previously reported that Saylor had signaled the company was “back to Bitcoin buying.” On Sunday, he posted “We’re Back” in a widely viewed X post—an approach he has used before major treasury announcements.

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While the purchase itself is confirmed by the SEC filing, the sequence of Saylor’s public signaling followed by an official 8-K underscores how investors often treat weekend social posts as potential precursors to larger corporate actions. For traders, the practical takeaway is that corporate treasury updates tied to preferred-stock financing may reintroduce event-driven volatility around MSTR and STRC even when spot market conditions are unchanged.

Market reaction and the next things investors should monitor

In pre-market trading on Monday, Nasdaq-traded MSTR was up less than 1%, after falling more than 7% on Friday, as reflected in the reporting context provided alongside the announcement. STRC, meanwhile, rose modestly in pre-market activity, up 0.44% to $97.33.

Looking ahead, investors should watch whether STRC continues to trade near its par value or remains discounted—because that can influence the company’s ability to fund future Bitcoin purchases using its preferred-share mechanism. The company’s next filings will also matter: Strategy has already shown it can adjust capital allocation across BTC purchases, cash reserves, and preferred-share repurchases, depending on where funding channels are most effective.

For now, the confirmed addition of 4,603 BTC provides another data point that Strategy’s treasury strategy is still actively tilted toward accumulation—while its financing structure, particularly STRC pricing versus par, remains a critical variable for how quickly it can scale further.

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Ethereum price could retest $2,250 if support fails

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Ethereum daily chart shows ETH consolidating near $2,455 below $2,550 resistance, with RSI at 68 and support around $2,247.

Ethereum price traded near $2,455 on Aug. 31 after buyers again failed to hold the price above $2,500, leaving ETH confined between major resistance and support near $2,400.

Summary

  • Ethereum price slipped about 1% from its Aug. 25 opening price despite retaining a 28% monthly gain.
  • The daily RSI cooled to 68.34 after moving above 70 during the August rally.
  • Liquidation clusters sit near $2,545–$2,575, while leveraged positions also gather around $2,390–$2,410.
  • A break above $2,550 could expose $2,650, but losing $2,400 would weaken the recovery.

Ethereum price action today

According to data from crypto.news, Ethereum (ETH) price opened the week at $2,481.78 before reaching an intraday high of $2,564.27 on Aug. 27. Sellers rejected the move, and ETH traded near $2,455 at the time of writing on Aug. 31.

The pullback placed the token about 1% below its weekly opening level. However, ETH remained up roughly 28% over 30 days after recovering from below $1,900 earlier in August.

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The daily chart shows that the recovery accelerated around Aug. 19, when ETH broke above a group of long-term moving averages near $1,900–$2,050. The price then climbed more than 30% in several sessions before entering consolidation.

ETH has since traded mainly between approximately $2,390 and $2,550. Repeated upper wicks near the top of the range show that buyers have tested the resistance several times without securing a sustained daily close above it.

The latest daily candle recovered from a low near $2,401, suggesting that buyers are still defending the lower end of the range. However, the price must reclaim $2,500 before it can challenge the Aug. 27 high again.

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Momentum cools after the August rally

Ethereum’s daily relative strength index stood at 68.34, down from levels above 70. The reading remains close to overbought territory but shows that momentum has eased as the price struggles below $2,550.

Ethereum daily chart shows ETH consolidating near $2,455 below $2,550 resistance, with RSI at 68 and support around $2,247.
Ethereum price daily chart — Aug. 31 | Source: crypto.news

The RSI’s moving average was higher at 75.33. An RSI move below its average after an overbought reading can accompany consolidation or a deeper pullback, although it does not determine the next price direction by itself.

ETH continues to trade above all five moving averages shown on the daily chart. The 20-day simple moving average sits at $2,246.73, making it the first major dynamic support if the current range breaks down.

The 50-day and 200-day averages stand at $2,031.57 and $2,026.20, respectively. Contrary to the earlier death-cross concern, the latest chart shows the 50-day average slightly above the 200-day line. The narrow gap means the longer-term trend has improved, but the signal has little room to absorb a sharp reversal.

The 100-day moving average sits near $1,897.27. ETH’s position well above that level reflects the strength of the August recovery, although the distance between price and its moving averages also leaves room for mean reversion.

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Ethereum faces liquidity near $2,550

The 4-hour chart places ETH inside a horizontal range extending from around $2,390 to $2,550. Price has tested both sides since Aug. 21 without producing a confirmed breakout.

Ethereum 4-hour chart shows ETH trading inside a $2,390–$2,550 range, while negative CMF signals mild selling pressure.
Ethereum price 4-hour chart — Aug. 31 | Source: crypto.news

Short-term momentum remains mixed. The Aroon Down reading stood at 71.43%, compared with 64.29% for Aroon Up, showing a slight bearish advantage after the latest rejection. However, both readings remain elevated, which is consistent with volatile price movement inside the range rather than a clear directional trend.

Chaikin Money Flow stood at minus 0.07 on the 4-hour chart. The negative reading points to mild net selling pressure, but its proximity to zero suggests that sellers have not established strong control.

The one-week CoinGlass liquidation heatmap shows a dense concentration of leveraged positions around $2,545–$2,550, followed by another liquidity band near $2,570–$2,580. A move into either area could trigger short liquidations, but the same zones may also attract renewed selling.

Ethereum one-week liquidation heatmap shows major liquidity near $2,545–$2,575, with downside clusters around $2,390–$2,410.
Ethereum liquidation heatmap | Source: CoinGlass

On the downside, visible liquidation concentrations sit near $2,410 and $2,390. A break below $2,400 could therefore force leveraged long positions to close and increase short-term volatility.

Key ETH levels to watch

A daily close above $2,550 would invalidate the upper boundary of the current range and clear the way for a test of the liquidation zone near $2,575. The next wider resistance area sits near $2,650, according to the price structure shared by market analyst Ted Pillows.

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Pillows said ETH had tried and failed to break $2,550 again. He expects further range-bound trading and “a small capitulation before reversal,” while his chart identifies approximately $2,250 as the first deeper support.

The immediate downside level remains $2,400. A 4-hour or daily close beneath it would shift attention toward the 20-day moving average near $2,247, which closely matches Pillows’ first support zone.

If that area fails, the 50-day and 200-day moving averages around $2,030 form the next major support cluster. A drop that deep would erase much of the late-August breakout and weaken the current recovery structure.

The bullish setup requires ETH to defend $2,400, reclaim $2,500 and close above $2,550. The bearish setup would gain strength below $2,400, with $2,247 and $2,030 serving as the main lower targets.

US policy remains a market catalyst

Market analyst Michaël van de Poppe said the ETH-to-Bitcoin pair was moving sideways near what he considered a potential entry zone. He expects ETH to outperform Bitcoin in the coming month based on his forecast that the CLARITY Act will receive approval.

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However, the legislation had not been enacted as of Aug. 31. An Aug. 5 regulatory filing said the bill passed the House in July 2025 and advanced through the Senate Banking Committee in May 2026, but negotiations remained ongoing, and its prospects were uncertain.

US spot Ethereum ETF flows provide another measure of institutional demand. U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs recorded $815.7 million in net inflows across the five trading days from Aug. 24 to Aug. 28, according to data compiled by Farside Investors. BlackRock’s ETHA led the weekly intake with $567 million, while the ETF group posted its largest daily inflow of the week on Aug. 27 at $225.8 million.

ETH therefore enters September with its monthly recovery intact but short-term momentum fading. The next confirmed move depends on whether buyers can clear $2,550 or sellers can break the support and liquidation zone around $2,400.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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Cardano News: ADA Anchors 500,000 Supply-Chain Records for Public Proof

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The Cardano Foundation and Brazilian technology firm Blockforce announced some big news. ADA is now live as the public proof layer inside Blockforce’s enterprise supply-chain traceability platform. The system is already running with Brazil’s largest fashion groups and has anchored more than 500,000 supply-chain records.

The structural problem this solves is straightforward. Regulated supply chains need outside parties to confirm a record is genuine without handing over the commercial data behind it. A fully private database gives brands no way to prove anything to an outsider. A fully public ledger proves everything but exposes pricing, supplier identities, and contract terms to anyone watching the chain.

Blockforce’s answer keeps detailed records for each supply-chain step on a permissioned network, visible only to the parties directly involved. Only the cryptographic proof of those records gets anchored to Cardano, where any auditor, regulator, or customer can confirm a record’s integrity without ever touching the underlying data.

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Cost is what kept this model stuck at the pilot stage. Anchoring hundreds of thousands of individual records publicly was never economically viable at enterprise transaction volume, which is precisely the scale regulated traceability requires once a program moves past a handful of pilot suppliers.

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How Blockforce’s Dual-Ledger Proof Layer Works in This Cardano News

Joint engineering between the two organizations cut the cost per record by 92%, which is the figure both sides point to as the unlock that moved public verification out of proof-of-concept territory and into production at real volume. More than 500,000 records are already anchored under that model.

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Supplementary technical material from Blockforce describes the permissioned side of the architecture as running on Hyperledger Fabric, with additional storage components referenced alongside it.

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The full architecture, including the uVerify component and the specific batching parameters used to group certificates into Cardano transactions, is laid out in the Cardano Foundation’s Blockforce case study.

Guilherme Pereira, Ecosystem Growth Specialist LATAM at the Cardano Foundation, framed the milestone in infrastructure terms rather than novelty terms:

“The milestone for me is seeing blockchain fit naturally into enterprise infrastructure, delivering the verifiability, traceability, and scale that companies need. Supply chain records are written today and questioned years later, and a public network is what keeps that proof intact for the full product life cycle.”

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Compliance and Traceability Implications

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The announcement itself does not certify compliance with any specific regulatory regime by name. It frames the model around giving auditors and regulators independent verification capability, not a compliance stamp.

Broader references to EU sourcing rules circulating in trade coverage should be treated as market context rather than claims made by the Cardano Foundation or Blockforce directly.

Suelen Joner, head of sustainability at Azzas 2154, described the practical goal driving adoption:

“Our goal is to trace 100% of the leather across our brands by 2030. To get there, we built a solution with Blockforce that works with the reality of the chain and uses the data suppliers already produce. Rather than asking them to adopt new systems, we start from that information and turn it into a single auditable record.”

Beyond fashion, the two organizations say expansion is planned into automotive, agribusiness, pharmaceuticals, and cosmetics, using the same dual-ledger structure.

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Aon CEO says USI deal seeks to build ‘premiere middle market’ insurance platform

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Aon CEO Greg Case: $17B USI deal 'establishes the premier U.S. middle-market platform'
Aon CEO Greg Case: $17B USI deal 'establishes the premier U.S. middle-market platform'

Insurance broker Aon announced on Monday it will purchase rival USI Insurance Services from private equity firm KKR

The $17 billion deal, which will be funded by Aon with new debt, is anticipated to close in the fourth quarter, subject to regulatory approvals.

CEO Greg Case in an appearance on CNBC’s “Squawk Box” Monday said that the merger will establish the “premier U.S. middle-market platform.”

“This means we’re going to be in a position to bring world class solutions to the underserved U.S. middle market, and … set a new standard of client leadership for the 200,000 middle-market companies in the U.S. and their 48 million employees,” he said. 

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The acquisition for Aon builds on the company’s purchase of NFP in 2024, another insurance broker focused on the U.S. middle market. 

An office building with the Aon logo is seen amid the easing of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) restrictions in the Central Business District of Sydney, Australia, June 3, 2020.

Loren Elliott | Reuters

USI, according to a press release announcing the deal, is the tenth largest insurance broker in the U.S. The company has more than $3 billion in annual revenue, and more than 10,500 employees. 

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Once a deal is closed, USI CEO Mike Sicard will transition to Aon’s president and global CEO of middle market. 

“Joining Aon represents a truly energizing next chapter for our firm and an opportunity to accelerate our momentum as part of the Aon United platform,” Sicard said in the release. “Our firms share strong, one-firm cultures with a deep commitment to working together to bring the best of our capabilities to clients.”

In a press release, KKR partner Chris Harrington said Aon is the ideal partner to support USI’s next growth chapter.

Shares of Aon slipped about 1% in premarket trading Monday. But despite the initial slide, Case said the opportunity to serve the middle market at the scale the company now can through the acquisition has tremendous value potential for shareholders.

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“Maybe the greatest I’ve seen in my 20-year career as CEO,” he said.

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BitMine Buys Another 53,501 ETH as Ethereum Stash Blows Past 5.9M

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The former bitcoin miner continues with its aggressive Ethereum purchases, acquiring more than 53,000 tokens over the past week as its massive treasury now contains 5.9 million ETH, equivalent to 4.9% of the asset’s total supply.

At ETH’s reported price of just over $2,500 (Sunday data), Bitmine’s Ethereum holdings alone are worth nearly $15 billion.

Ramping Up

The purchase announced today is substantially larger than the recent ones, including the one from last week, which was for 32,447 ETH. In the past two weeks alone, the company has acquired almost 86,000 ETH.

The firm now owns 5,901,112 tokens, which represents approximately 4.9% of Ethereum’s circulating supply of 120.7 million. Moreover, it puts Bitmine 98% of the way toward its self-described “Alchemy of 5%” goal of owning 5% of the entire Ethereum supply.

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What’s perhaps even more impressive is the highly consistent accumulation strategy. Even as other major crypto buyers, such as Strategy and Metaplanet, paused their acquisitions amid the market uncertainty, Bitmine purchased ETH during each of the past 65 weeks, as Chairman Tom Lee pointed out. Its first buy came with the launch of the Ethereum treasury strategy on June 30, 2025, and the firm hasn’t missed a single week since.

Bitmine remains the largest corporate Ethereum treasury firm and the second-largest crypto treasury entity overall behind Strategy, which resumed its BTC purchases after a two-month hiatus.

Keep Staking

Bitmine has long refrained from simply holding ETH as it continues to stake large amounts. As of the latest announcement shared by the firm, it has staked 5,067,309 tokens, or roughly 86% of its entire stash. In USD terms, the company has staked approximately $12.7 billion at reported ETH prices.

It estimates that its current staking operations could generate around $335 million in annualized revenue, based on its reported seven-day annualized yield of 2.63%.

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Separately, Bitmine’s total crypto, cash, marketable securities, and other investments have climbed to $15.6 billion, up from $14.9 billion last week. Aside from the ETH fortune, its treasury contains 211 BTC, $541 million in cash and marketable securities, and investments in Beast Industries and Eighto.

The post BitMine Buys Another 53,501 ETH as Ethereum Stash Blows Past 5.9M appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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Bitmine makes largest ether purchase since June as Tom Lee points to crypto's strong Q3

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Bitmine buys the dip as Tom Lee ties ether's pullback to rising oil prices


Company Chairman Lee said crypto’s recent outperformance could draw more institutional investors.

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Hyperliquid and Pump.fun Drive 90% of $638M Record Crypto Buybacks: FT

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Crypto Breaking News

Crypto projects are leaning harder into a strategy more familiar from traditional finance: buying back their own tokens. So far in 2026, projects have reportedly spent a record $638 million on token buybacks, according to data compiled by Allium Labs and cited by the Financial Times in a report released Monday.

That total highlights a clear concentration. Hyperliquid and Pump.fun together account for the majority of the year-to-date figure, with Hyperliquid responsible for roughly $370 million and Pump.fun nearly $200 million, as reported by the Financial Times based on Allium Labs’ dataset.

Key takeaways

  • Year-to-date token buybacks reached $638 million in 2026, per Allium Labs data cited by the Financial Times—up from $545 million over the same period in 2025.
  • Hyperliquid and Pump.fun dominate the activity, together accounting for roughly $570 million of the $638 million total.
  • Buybacks are still uncommon in crypto, but more issuers are now using revenue to fund repurchases and support token value.
  • Following an Ethena Foundation vote proposal for fee revenue to be used for ENA buybacks, ENA rose 10.7% on the day after the announcement, according to the report.
  • HYPE and PUMP have outperformed the broader crypto market decline so far in 2026, based on TradingView-reported performance data.

Record buybacks, concentrated among a few protocols

The Financial Times report framed token buybacks as the crypto analogue to share buybacks: instead of supporting equity prices directly, projects repurchase their own tokens in an effort to bolster token valuation and returns for existing holders.

While this approach remains relatively rare across the broader industry, the numbers show it is no longer an edge-case tactic. Allium Labs’ figures—reported by the Financial Times—indicate buyback spending has accelerated sharply over the past year, rising to $638 million year-to-date in 2026 from $545 million in the same period of 2025. The earlier baseline from Allium Labs cited by the Financial Times shows much lower activity in 2024, at just $366,000.

Crucially, the activity is not evenly distributed. Hyperliquid’s buyback spend of roughly $370 million and Pump.fun’s nearly $200 million together represent the bulk of the year’s token repurchase momentum, suggesting that revenue-rich protocols with clear treasury mechanics are currently driving most of the trend.

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How Hyperliquid and Pump.fun are funding repurchases

The performance of HYPE and PUMP appears tightly linked to that repurchase intensity. According to TradingView data cited by the report, HYPE is up 145% year-to-date and PUMP is up 109% year-to-date during a period when Bitcoin fell 10% and total crypto market capitalization declined by 11.9%.

Hyperliquid’s structure is especially aggressive: the report states Hyperliquid spends about 99% of its revenue on token buybacks. It adds that Hyperliquid reported $169 million in second-quarter revenue on Aug. 6, directing $141 million toward HYPE buybacks, citing prior coverage from Cointelegraph (link provided in the source material).

Pump.fun’s approach is similar in spirit but less extreme in percentage terms. The report says Pump.fun allocates about 50% of its net protocol revenue for token repurchases. It also notes the launchpad has $420 million in annualized revenue, based on average daily revenue over the past 90 days, referencing data presented in the source article.

For investors, the key takeaway is that these are not one-off buyback announcements; both projects appear to embed repurchases into how they use revenue. That can matter because sustained buyback programs may influence token holder expectations differently than occasional treasury actions.

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Ethena enters the buyback conversation

The broader market dynamic is also shifting. On Thursday, the Ethena Foundation opened a vote on a fee-switch proposal, under which 95% of the net revenue paid to it from Ethena’s core business lines would be used to repurchase ENA tokens, according to the report.

The same coverage noted that the ENA token rose 10.7% on the day after the proposal was opened, suggesting traders are actively pricing in the possibility that revenue earmarked for repurchases could tighten supply or otherwise support valuation.

This matters beyond one token. As governance proposals proliferate, buybacks could become a more common tool for protocols seeking to align treasury use with tokenholder interests—particularly when those protocols have measurable and recurring revenue streams that can be redirected.

Why this trend could spread further

Momentum around token buybacks is beginning to attract mainstream portfolio analysis within crypto. Earlier in August, Bitwise chief investment officer Matt Hougan said, as referenced in the source article, that “crypto valuations could double” in the next two years as protocols increasingly use revenue to fund token buybacks and burns, returning more value to investors.

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That prediction is not a guarantee, but the underlying logic is straightforward: if revenue consistently converts into repurchases (and potentially burns), the token’s economic value proposition can become more direct, rather than relying solely on speculation about adoption or network effects.

Still, readers should treat this as an evolving sector experiment rather than a uniform playbook. The same data point can have different implications depending on how a protocol determines buyback size, whether repurchases are executed regularly, and how token supply mechanics work in practice. Even within the report’s examples, the buyback intensity varies—Hyperliquid’s stated near-total revenue dedication versus Pump.fun’s roughly half.

Going forward, the most useful signal to watch is whether the next wave of proposals and repurchase programs matches the consistency seen in Hyperliquid and Pump.fun—or whether buybacks remain occasional. As governance votes move from concept to execution, traders and long-term holders will likely focus on how reliably protocols convert revenue into buy pressure and how quickly markets respond when those programs begin.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Strategy returns to bitcoin buys, adding $370 million of BTC last week

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Strategy returns to bitcoin buys, adding $370 million of BTC last week


It’s the first week of bitcoin purchases for the Michael Saylor-led company in about two months.

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Kalshi looks international, partners with brokerage Alpaca

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Kalshi looks international, partners with brokerage Alpaca

A supporter checks the gambling site ‘Kalshi” just before State Assembly member, Alex Bores (D-NY) gives a speech to supporters at his watch party at The Freehand Hotel after conceding the congressional race to Micah Lasher who will replace Rep Jerry Nadler (D-NY) in NY’s 12th Congressional District on June 23, 2026 in New York City.

Laura Brett | Getty Images

Prediction market platform Kalshi is working with brokerage and financial infrastructure startup Alpaca to bring its event contracts to an international audience. 

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Individuals and businesses who use Alpaca’s brokerage infrastructure will now have access to Kalshi’s event contracts using the same technology utilized on the former’s platform to trade other assets.

It comes after Alpaca registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to become a U.S.-licensed futures commission merchant, a brokerage that facilitates orders to buy or sell derivatives contracts, earlier this month.

Alpaca moved forward with a move into prediction markets because it has seen demand from its users for access to event contracts, chief brokerage officer Tony Lee told CNBC in an interview.

“Our mission is really to open up financial services to as many people around the world as possible, and you really have to go where the customer demand is,” Lee said.

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That global potential is what made a partnership with Alpaca appealing to Kalshi, vice president of business development Max Crowley said. 

Alpaca has partnerships with more than 300 financial institutions and reaches 14 million brokerage accounts globally. As Kalshi seeks to go international, Crowley said having Alpaca’s technology for brokerages in countries around the world to build on top of will make getting their prediction markets online in other markets happen faster, once local regulatory approval is received.

“They’re a trusted brand, they’re technology forward, their customers love working with them,” Crowley said. “It’s going to take us a lot of time to build the business globally, but this technical partnership enables that.”

The partnership is Kalshi’s latest move to go global. In June, it partnered with Canadian financial firm Wealthsimple to bring its markets north of the U.S. border. 

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Alpaca also has 83,000 monthly users of its Application Programming Interface, which allows individual developers to build their own personal software for trading assets. CNBC has reported about the lengths individual prediction market traders go to gain an edge against other traders, many of whom have developed personalized automated software. 

Yoshi Yokokawa, co-founder and CEO of Alpaca, also acknowledged that it will take time for Kalshi’s event contracts to scale internationally. But he said the potential crop of new traders that may come represents a major opportunity for prediction markets.  

“As that scales,” Yokokawa said. “I think it should be pretty meaningful for event contracts as an asset class in general.”

Disclosure: CNBC and Kalshi have a commercial relationship that includes customer acquisition and a minority investment.

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Stock Market Today: Dow Falls, Oil Prices Jump As U.S., Iran Exchange New Strikes

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Stock Market Today: Dow Rises On Key Inflation Data; Nvidia Earnings Next

Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the other major stock indexes dropped Monday, as Wall Street reacted to new U.S. strikes on Iran. Meanwhile, oil prices jumped on the stock market today. Ahead of Monday’s open, Dow futures fell 0.2% as S&P 500 futures moved down 0.3%. Nasdaq-100 futures slipped 0.2% in early morning trading. West Texas Intermediate…

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