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Bitcoin Likely Flat by Year-End, Skeptical on US BTC Buys

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Crypto Breaking News

Bitget CEO Gracy Chen says Bitcoin’s recent strength may not be enough to break it out of a relatively familiar trading band for the rest of the year. Speaking on Cointelegraph’s Trade Secrets podcast, Chen argued that macroeconomic conditions—especially interest-rate expectations—are likely to remain a major driver of the asset’s direction.

Chen cautioned that forecasting whether Bitcoin finishes 2024 above or below the $70,000 level is inherently uncertain. Her base case, however, points to Bitcoin staying “around the same range,” with a wide but defined margin of error.

Key takeaways

  • Chen expects Bitcoin to trade broadly near current levels through year-end, citing interest-rate and macroeconomic uncertainty.
  • Higher interest rates could theoretically weigh on prices, reflecting Bitcoin’s growing linkage to traditional finance.
  • She described a “more responsible” forecast: Bitcoin could end the year roughly $10,000 to $20,000 above or below current levels.
  • Chen is skeptical the US will begin active Bitcoin purchases for a national reserve before the end of President Donald Trump’s term.

Macro pressure and Bitcoin’s sensitivity to rates

Chen’s central point is that Bitcoin is increasingly influenced by the same forces that move risk assets—particularly interest-rate expectations. In her view, the debate for investors is not only about crypto fundamentals, but also about where rates and broader conditions settle as the year progresses.

When asked about the possibility of Bitcoin ending the year above or below $70,000, Chen said it’s difficult to make a clean call. She highlighted that the market could be pressured if interest rates rise. “If any of that happens, the price should go down, at least theoretically,” she said, linking her outlook to Bitcoin’s deeper integration with traditional finance.

That framing matters because it shifts the focus from purely crypto-specific catalysts to a wider macro calendar. In practical terms, traders looking for directional confirmation may need to pay close attention to how rate expectations evolve—rather than assuming momentum from recent rallies automatically translates into sustained upside.

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A forecast built around uncertainty

While Chen acknowledged Bitcoin could move meaningfully, she presented her outlook as a range rather than a target. “My guess is maybe around the same range,” she said, adding that Bitcoin could finish the year $10,000 to $20,000 above or below current levels.

Her “more responsible” forecast underscores a key theme: strong momentum does not remove the possibility of setbacks when macro variables turn less supportive. For market participants, the implication is that risk management may deserve more weight than prediction-making—especially when the expected outcome is a broad band rather than a single-number resolution.

US reserve strategy: what’s already in motion

Chen also addressed the question many investors have been tracking: whether the US government will escalate from holding seized or forfeited Bitcoin to actively buying BTC for a national reserve.

Her stance was skeptical. She argued that it is unlikely for the US to begin such purchases before the end of President Donald Trump’s term, calling the scenario improbable within the next two years.

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That skepticism comes after a relevant policy development. According to the White House, the administration established a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve in March 2025 using BTC already forfeited to the federal government, while directing officials to explore budget-neutral strategies for acquiring additional BTC.

The distinction between “using forfeited BTC” and “actively purchasing” is important. Chen’s comments suggest that, even in a broadly crypto-friendly political environment, turning reserve plans into sustained market purchases would likely require more than executive direction.

Why active purchases may face political friction

Chen said that actively buying Bitcoin would represent a larger policy decision. In her view, it would likely require debate across lawmakers and political parties, even if the administration has generally signaled support for the industry.

“From a policy perspective, it’s probably unlikely,” she said. “I just don’t see it coming right now.”

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On the current holdings side, Chen pointed implicitly to the existing government balance rather than a new buying cycle. BitcoinTreasuries.NET estimates the US government holds about 328,372 BTC, with much of it stemming from law enforcement seizures and asset forfeitures rather than direct purchases. The site’s government holdings page is available at BitcoinTreasuries.NET.

For investors, the takeaway is that the US reserve story may continue to develop on two tracks: (1) managing and reporting existing holdings formed through enforcement actions, and (2) evaluating whether any additional acquisition plans can be implemented in a politically and budgetarily feasible way. Chen’s comments indicate she does not expect the second track to accelerate soon.

Going forward, readers should watch how rate expectations and macro data shape sentiment around Bitcoin’s correlations with traditional markets, and how policymakers operationalize—or delay—any “budget-neutral” acquisition mechanisms tied to the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. Those two threads may ultimately determine whether Bitcoin keeps trading in its current band or escapes it.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Nvidia Stock Suffers Longest Losing Streak Since 2022: Will Q2 Earnings End It?

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Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Performance

Nvidia stock’s losing streak hit a sixth day on Friday. That is its longest run of declines in four years. The earnings report that could end it lands Wednesday.

So is Nvidia stock a buy after the slide? Every analyst covering it says yes. The reason for the selling, though, has not gone away.

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Why the Nvidia Stock Losing Streak Kept Going

The slide is small. It is also stubborn. Nvidia last closed higher on August 13, at $225.30. By Friday it sat at $214.75. That is 4.7% gone in six sessions.

Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Performance
Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Performance. Source: Yahoo Finance

The shape matters more than the size. Four of those six days lost less than 1%. A single session, August 18, did half the damage with a 2.34% drop. This is a slow leak, not a crash.

The 2022 comparison flatters it. Nvidia fell seven days straight into September 6, 2022, shedding 24% and closing at its lowest level since March 2021, data from the period shows. That slide was five times deeper than this one. The record here is the length, not the pain.

No single event set it off. The pressure dates to August 10. That day, Nvidia announced financing platforms with Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Goldman Sachs and KKR.

The plan is to raise more than $500 billion from outside investors. That money helps customers buy Nvidia computing power. The stock fell 2.9% on the news.

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Here is the worry in plain terms. Nvidia helps its customers find money. Those customers spend that money on Nvidia chips. Critics call it circular financing.

It is not a one-off. Last week, a securities filing revealed Nvidia had guaranteed up to $105 billion in lease obligations tied to an OpenAI campus in Ohio.

Is Nvidia Stock a Buy Before Wednesday’s Earnings?

Nvidia reports on August 26, after the closing bell. The quarter runs through July 2026.

Nvidia Earnings Date
Nvidia Q2 Earnings Date. Source: Nasdaq

Analysts expect earnings of $2.01 per share. That would be 103% above the $0.99 posted a year earlier. Revenue guidance points to roughly $91 billion, up from $81.6 billion last quarter. Nvidia has beaten estimates four quarters running.

Price targets stay bullish. All 26 analysts tracked by TipRanks rate the stock a buy, with none at hold or sell. Their average target of $301.82 sits about 40% above Friday’s close. Bank of America’s Vivek Arya has held a $350 price target into the print.

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Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Forecast & Price Target. Source: TipRanks

One number complicates that picture. Nvidia gained 19.7% over the past year. Its technology sector rose 37.1% in the same stretch. The company at the center of the AI trade has lagged the AI trade.

The recent record is stranger still. Nvidia has beaten estimates four quarters running. It has also fallen the day after every one of them.

Those four reports cost the stock 2.79% on average the next day and 5.31% across two days, by Motley Fool analyst Sean Williams’ count of the post-earnings moves. Beating Wall Street has not been enough to lift the shares.

Nvidia Keeps Buying Power, Not Just Chips

On Friday, Nvidia disclosed a minority investment in Cloverleaf Infrastructure. Terms were not disclosed.

Cloverleaf makes no chips and runs no servers. Founded in 2024, it buys land, secures grid power, and sells sites that are ready to build on.

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The company has sold more than 7 gigawatts of powered projects, including Wisconsin sites tied to Oracle and OpenAI, according to trade reporting. Its pipeline runs past 10 gigawatts.

Nico Caprez, vice president of global AI infrastructure growth at Nvidia, explained the thinking.

“AI factories are the infrastructure of the intelligence age, and land, power and shell are their foundation,” he said.

Electricity, not silicon, is now the hard limit on AI growth. So Nvidia is paying for the power years before the chips arrive.

So will earnings end the losing streak? On recent form, the report is at least as likely to extend it. The numbers have not been Nvidia’s problem. The assumptions built on top of them have.

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Until Wednesday, the circular financing debate is what traders are trading. After it, the question becomes whether even a record quarter is enough.

The post Nvidia Stock Suffers Longest Losing Streak Since 2022: Will Q2 Earnings End It? appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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3 American Stocks Showing the Same Setup That Sent Moderna Up 177%

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Intel Quadrupled, and Doubt Stayed

Moderna, the American pharma company that became popular for its COVID vaccine, has spent three days trading like a meme stock. Shares exploded 177% on Wednesday after its personalized mRNA cancer vaccine with Merck succeeded in a Phase 3 melanoma trial, adding roughly $30 billion in market value in a single session. 

Heavy short covering helped turn a major clinical breakthrough into an extraordinary market move. Then came the whiplash. Moderna fell 23.6% on Thursday, before buyers rushed back on Friday. 

Even after the violent pullback and another volatile session, Moderna was still up more than 140% for the week. BeInCrypto analysts now looked at three other US stocks that could potentially have a similar setup. 

Intel (INTC) Fits the Mold, Minus the Squeeze

Moderna’s day began with a collapse and a recovery, and Intel has both, sinking to $21.81 before quadrupling to $92.80 in a year, even as chip leaders wobbled.

Its Q2 revenue grew 25.4%, the best in 15 years, and CEO Lip-Bu Tan just put $10 million into the stock at $95 per share.

The doubt matches too. Intel is rated Hold, with only 5 of 29 analysts rating it a Buy, though the $116.84 average forecast implies 26% upside.

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Intel Quadrupled, and Doubt Stayed
Intel Quadrupled, and Doubt Stayed: BeInCrypto

The missing box is the squeeze, since Intel carries only 2.87% of its shares short and its put-to-call open interest, the standing money in options, sits dead even at 1.00.

Intc Put-Call Ratio
Intel Put-Call Ratio: Barchart

The price chart is the other open box. An inverse head and shoulders has formed since mid-July, low at $81.88 and trigger near $107, while selling volume has faded since August 12, even as bond yields hammered chips.

Intel Price Analysis
Intel Price Analysis: TradingView

A daily close above $106.91 projects 30% toward $139.60, and the 14A design kit reaching Apple this fall is its readout. Below $81.88, the ‘stocks like Moderna’ thesis fails.

Target (TGT) Is the Closest Match

Retail giant Target mirrors the template on a smaller scale. Its collapse was 67%, from above $250 in 2021 to an $83 low last November, and a Q2 beat lifted it just 4.28% to $159.

Target's Collapse Came First Too
Target’s Collapse Came First Too: BeInCrypto

The doubt is the sharpest match in the piece. The $152.71 average forecast is 3.95% below the price, while 11 of 22 analysts rate it Hold, and the latest calls lean Hold or Sell.

Wall Street is grading a stock at fresh highs as if it were still broken, the defining trait of stocks like Moderna.

Bears are positioned too, with put-heavy options at 1.03 and 3.70% of shares short, because the rally has run on fading volume.

Target Put-Call Ratio
Target Put-Call Ratio: Barchart

The price action stands on its own. Target has been climbing in an ascending channel since May 20, and a daily close above $161.96 reopens the channel’s upper line, where a breakout projects roughly 30%.

Target Price Analysis
Target Price Analysis: TradingView

Supports wait at $151.41 and $144.89. However, the weakening volume and a drop below $134.35 can weaken the thesis.

Macy’s (M) Ticks Every Box, Some Only Halfway

Department store chain Macy’s (M) meets all five of Moderna’s conditions, with two only partially. It never suffered Moderna-style collapse, and its chart is the weakest here. Yet, it wears the two clearest markers: analyst disbelief and bearish positioning.

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M Ticks Every Box, Some Only Halfway
Macy’s Ticks Every Box, Some Only Halfway: BeInCrypto

The $22.43 average forecast is 4.15% below the $23.40 price, with just 1 Buy rating among 8 analysts. JP Morgan’s $27 call sits among the Holds. Finally, it has the heaviest put lean of the three at 1.11, the nearest echo of Moderna’s loaded shorts.

Macy's Put-Call Ratio
Macy’s Put-Call Ratio: Barchart

The chart is the weakest of the three, but it just gave a reason for hope. Macy’s has held a rising channel since May 15, nearly lost it on August 16, and buyers defended the floor with the strongest buying volume since August 4.

Macy's Price Analysis
Macy’s Price Analysis: TradingView

Moderna’s own support at the $61.91 line held the same way before its readout, so a defended floor can spring a surprise.

Moderna Support
Moderna Support: TradingView

Resistance for M sits at $23.93. Yet the bigger gate sits at $25.33, up about 8%. Only above $29.01 does the tone turn bullish. Below $23.06, the channel fails. Earnings land on September 10, so this catalyst is still ahead.

Stocks Like Moderna
Stocks Like Moderna: BeInCrypto

Analyst’s View: Target matches Moderna’s setup best, but its big news was the Q2 beat that landed this week, and the stock has already moved a bit. Intel and Macy’s still have their news ahead, a $107 close for one and the September 10 report for the other.

And that is where the remaining upside lies, because a stock can only jump on a surprise that has not yet happened. If Intel loses $81.88 or Macy’s loses $23.06 before then, the idea is off.

The post 3 American Stocks Showing the Same Setup That Sent Moderna Up 177% appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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AVAX One CEO says $35.1M quarterly loss masks growth in its staking and treasury business

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AVAX One CEO says $35.1M quarterly loss masks growth in its staking and treasury business

AVAX One interim CEO Pete Wylie has said $33 million in non-cash charges accounted for most of the company’s $35.1 million second-quarter loss as staking helped revenue rise to $2.8 million.

Summary

  • AVAX One’s adjusted net loss was $2.2 million after excluding $33 million in non-cash charges.
  • Staking generated $2.1 million as quarterly revenue rose from approximately $500,000 to $2.8 million.
  • The company held 14.09 million AVAX and equivalents, with roughly 95% actively staked.
  • Wylie said AVAX One favors established yield partners and maintains a conservative approach to debt.

AVAX One interim CEO Pete Wylie told crypto.news that the reported loss did not capture the operating performance of the company’s staking, mining and digital infrastructure businesses.

“The $35.1 million number can be attention-grabbing, but it does not tell the full story,” Wylie said.

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“It includes about $33 million of what are called non-cash charges, most of that being an unrealized markdown based on current prices for the AVAX we continue to hold and accumulate.”

After removing the non-cash items, AVAX One reported an adjusted net loss of $2.2 million for the quarter. Wylie said the adjusted figure provided a clearer view of the operating business, although the company’s reported results remain closely tied to AVAX’s market value.

AVAX One’s loss was driven by digital-asset markdowns

According to AVAX One’s Aug. 13 earnings release, the company recorded a $29.8 million unrealized loss from changes in the market value of its digital assets. A further $2.6 million impairment came from its liquid-staking tokens, while share-based compensation and depreciation contributed approximately $600,000.

Operating expenses reached $36.2 million, up from $1.8 million during the same quarter of 2025. Excluding the $33 million in non-cash charges, AVAX One calculated adjusted operating expenses of $3.2 million.

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Net loss reached $4.41 per diluted share, compared with an $8.1 million loss, or $335.88 per diluted share, one year earlier. On the company’s adjusted basis, the latest loss was $0.27 per diluted share.

Although an unrealized loss does not require an immediate cash payment, AVAX One’s results show how a declining token price can reduce the recorded value of its treasury. Wylie acknowledged that volatility is built into the strategy but said staking rewards continue to accrue in AVAX regardless of the token’s dollar price.

“We earn revenue in ‘nominal’ form, AVAX tokens, and though the current value is lower than we expected for this period, if the token price rebounds, we get the benefit as our earned rewards tokens increase in value, even though we recognized initial revenue at a lower price,” he said.

Quarterly revenue rose to $2.8 million from approximately $500,000 a year earlier. Staking supplied about $2.1 million, or 75% of the total, while Bitcoin mining produced approximately $700,000.

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As of Aug. 13, the company held 14,091,424 AVAX tokens and equivalents. Approximately 95% of the holdings were staked at an annualized yield of about 5.4%, according to the earnings release.

Around 800,000 AVAX had been deployed into Treehouse. An AVAX One SEC filing describes Treehouse’s tAVAX as a liquid-staking receipt backed by BENQI’s sAVAX, with an AVAX redemption process that can take approximately 14 days.

The filing also lists smart-contract vulnerabilities, extreme market volatility, governance attacks and bridge failures among the risks associated with decentralized finance positions. AVAX One said it would typically absorb losses arising from an adverse event.

Liquidity and debt shape the treasury strategy

Wylie said AVAX One allocates capital according to where management believes each dollar can create the most shareholder value. Depending on market prices and available opportunities, the company can buy AVAX, repurchase its shares, or fund selected infrastructure projects.

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“Staking is the foundation of our Avalanche treasury strategy. Our Bitcoin mining operations contribute operating cash flow and provide a gateway for opportunities in the AI and high-performance computing space, an area we are actively exploring.”

During the second quarter, AVAX One repurchased approximately 144,755 common shares under its authorized $40 million buyback program. The company said it had repurchased approximately 417,537 shares since November 2025 on a split-adjusted basis.

Reported liquidity stood at approximately $21.2 million on June 30, down from $27.6 million at the end of 2025. The latest amount included $11.4 million in cash and cash equivalents, $5.4 million in restricted cash, and a $4.3 million escrow receivable.

Given AVAX’s volatility, Wylie said the company remains cautious about its capital structure, particularly debt. After the quarter closed, AVAX One retired and restructured approximately $6.8 million of convertible debt.

The August restructuring fully repaid debentures held by two institutional investors and reduced the principal owed to another investor. AVAX One also agreed to increase a covenant covering the minimum cash and Bitcoin it must maintain from $100,000 to $3.5 million.

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For U.S. investors, AVAX One offers public-market exposure to an Avalanche treasury through its Nasdaq-listed AVX shares. The structure also means shareholders face risks from both the company’s operations and changes in the value of AVAX recorded in its U.S. financial reports.

Wylie took over as interim CEO while retaining his chief operating officer role after Jolie Kahn left the company in July. As previously reported by crypto.news, the board retained ZRG Partners to search for a permanent chief executive while weak AVAX prices pressured the company’s treasury strategy.

AVAX One favors explainable yield over higher returns

With most of its AVAX working through staking, the company monitors yield and operating costs as it tries to increase the number of tokens held per share, according to Wylie.

“Our yield partnerships are with established, proven companies. We’d rather earn a yield we can explain than a higher one that seems too good to be true, because it probably is.”

AVAX One’s staking rewards accrue in tokens, leaving their dollar value exposed to changes in AVAX prices. Wylie said management focuses on keeping the assets productive while controlling operating expenses so the treasury can continue accumulating AVAX.

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Avalanche’s Helicon upgrade could provide more flexibility if its staking changes progress from testnet to mainnet. Helicon is live on the Fuji testnet and includes proposals to reduce the minimum primary-network validator commitment from 336 hours, or 14 days, to 48 hours.

Another proposal introduces automatic staking renewal, allowing validators to set a cycle period and an auto-compounding ratio. Avalanche’s documentation says the feature applies to primary-network validators, not Avalanche L1 validators or legacy subnet validators.

Wylie said shorter commitments could improve liquidity and reduce the barrier for institutions. Since the changes remain under testing, AVAX One has not yet gained its proposed benefits in its mainnet staking operations.

Avalanche adoption supports Wylie’s treasury conviction

Wylie tied the company’s long-term confidence to institutional activity across Avalanche, pointing to recent deployments involving tokenized securities, lending and stablecoin settlement.

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In July, Japan’s Progmat completed the migration of ¥452 billion in issued securities and underlying assets from Corda 5 to a dedicated Avalanche L1. Progmat said the transfer covered all active projects on its platform without disrupting participating financial institutions.

According to Progmat, its platform handles 45 of Japan’s 89 publicly disclosed security-token projects and accounts for 64.6% of the country’s market by issuance value. Internal tests cited by the company found that rights-transfer processing became three to five times faster after the migration.

Aave also deployed V4 on Avalanche on July 15, its first launch of the architecture outside Ethereum. Aave’s documentation says the deployment uses a core liquidity hub with main, foreign-exchange, and AVAX-linked lending sections.

Stablecoin payments supplied another institutional test. Hyundai Card completed a $20,000 remittance pilot between Hyundai Motor entities in the United States and Mexico using USDT on Avalanche. The company said the settlement took about seven minutes.

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BlackRock’s BUIDL fund, issued through Securitize, had also accumulated more than $900 million on Avalanche by July after adding approximately $436 million in one week. BUIDL invests mainly in U.S. Treasury bills, cash, and repurchase agreements, while access remains subject to investor eligibility and transfer controls.

Visa added Avalanche to its supported stablecoin settlement networks in 2025. An April 2026 company announcement said Visa’s nine-network stablecoin settlement pilot had reached a $7 billion annualized run rate, although Visa did not provide an Avalanche-specific share of that volume.

Outside its treasury operations, AVAX One is preparing an AI inference pilot at its Redwater facility in Alberta. The project is testing whether approximately 100 kilowatts of excess Bitcoin-mining capacity can support AI workloads, with the company working alongside infrastructure developer BlueFlare on additional AI and high-performance computing opportunities.

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Crypto advocates join in suing Illinois over digital asset tax

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Crypto advocates join in suing Illinois over digital asset tax


The Crypto Council for Innovation and the Blockchain Association added another lawsuit against the state for its recently approved 0.2% crypto tax.

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Canton Network tapped for US benefits pilot in 3 states

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Profit pressure persists for U.S. miners amid AI cloud mining boom

Digital Asset and the American Idea Foundation have selected Canton Network for a three-state US benefits pilot scheduled to begin in the first quarter of 2027, subject to federal approval.

Summary

  • Three US states are expected to begin testing the RISE program in early 2027.
  • RISE would combine separate benefits into monthly or twice-monthly payments.
  • Canton would apply spending rules while limiting access to recipients’ sensitive information.
  • The participating states and benefit programs have not yet been disclosed.

Digital Asset and the American Idea Foundation said in a Friday announcement that they will support three states preparing to test the Resources for Independence, Stability, and Employment program, known as RISE.

Former US House Speaker Paul Ryan founded the American Idea Foundation, a Wisconsin-based nonprofit focused on economic policy and programs designed to address poverty. Digital Asset created the Canton Network, which will provide the technology used to distribute and monitor benefits during the pilots.

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Subject to federal approval, the first programs are expected to begin in the first quarter of 2027. Neither organization identified the three states, the federal agencies involved in the approval process, nor the benefit programs that would take part.

RISE would combine separate benefit payments

Under the proposed model, states could combine assistance from several programs into one or two payments each month. Digital Asset and the foundation said existing programs often use separate eligibility requirements, reporting procedures, payment dates, and income limits, making them difficult for recipients and agencies to manage together.

RISE would let states assign money to categories such as food, child care, and cash while preserving the rules attached to each program. According to the announcement, the platform could verify a recipient’s identity and participation requirements, provide mobile access, and apply spending restrictions when funds are used.

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As household income changes, the system would also recalculate the amount of assistance available to a family. The organizations said the mechanism is intended to reduce sudden losses of support when recipients enter the workforce or earn more money.

Paul Ryan said the pilots would examine whether states can reduce such penalties while keeping benefit programs accountable.

“By combining fragmented benefits, reducing penalties as families earn more, and rigorously measuring results, these pilots can help show what a modern safety net should look like.”

Rather than maintaining separate records for every participating program, authorized agencies would receive access to information covering deposits, purchases, balances, declined transactions, and spending by benefit category. Nonprofit case managers and independent researchers could also view the information permitted for their respective roles.

Digital Asset said government dashboards would show enrollment records, pending approvals, completed tasks, payment eligibility, and the total value of distributed funds. Access would depend on each organization’s permissions, limiting the amount of personal or transaction data visible to parties outside a case.

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Canton Network would control data access and payment rules

Canton would coordinate the rules, permissions, and transactions behind each payment while maintaining controls over sensitive information, according to Digital Asset. States could encode individual benefit requirements into the distribution process instead of applying every rule after a payment has been made.

Transaction records would give agencies an audit trail showing how money entered the system and where recipients spent it. Digital Asset said participating governments could use the records to monitor compliance and identify payments that did not follow program conditions.

Yuval Rooz, Digital Asset’s co-founder and CEO, said Canton allows approved participants to coordinate transactions and share rules while retaining the privacy and control required by institutions. RISE would apply the network’s existing permission system to public-benefit administration rather than capital-market settlement.

The evaluation phase is expected to track employment, earnings, benefit use, education, training, housing, and household stability. According to the announcement, governments and independent evaluators would receive transaction and compliance data during the program instead of relying only on later reviews.

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Results from the first three states would inform further pilots. The organizations said later versions could be adapted to different state rules, case-management systems, benefit structures, and groups of recipients, although they did not provide a schedule for additional deployments.

Canton has tested private payments and government bonds

Canton’s earlier projects have concentrated on regulated financial transactions that require participants to share selected information without publishing complete records on a public ledger.

In June, crypto.news reported that Visa and Brale had begun a private stablecoin settlement test using SBC, Brale’s US dollar-backed token. The proof of concept examined whether financial institutions could settle payments while restricting confidential transaction data to involved parties and authorized regulators.

Four Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group companies launched a Japanese bond repo trial in August with Digital Asset and Progmat. The participants are testing automated processing and real-time settlement for transactions backed by Japanese government bonds.

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Supported through Japan’s Financial Services Agency Payment Innovation Project, the MUFG test also covers the possible use of tokenized deposits or stablecoins for the payment side of repo trades. A separate April trial involving Japan Securities Clearing Corporation, Mizuho, Nomura and Digital Asset examined whether Japanese government bonds could move as digital collateral while retaining their status under the country’s existing laws.

Institutional access expanded again in August when Interstice Digital introduced a cross-chain swap engine connecting Canton with Ethereum, Solana, and Robinhood Chain. FalconX supplies liquidity for the system, while Interstice said its structure does not require the company to hold users’ assets.

Canton Coin gains a direct US investment route

For US investors, Canton Network already has a connection to the regulated securities market through 21Shares’ exchange-traded fund. The asset manager launched the Nasdaq-listed Canton ETF under the ticker TCAN in May, giving brokerage customers exposure to Canton Coin without requiring them to hold the token directly.

21Shares listed the fund with a 0.50% gross expense ratio and described it as the first US ETF tied to Canton Coin. The issuer said institutions including Goldman Sachs, Microsoft and Deutsche Bank had participated in network testing, validation or governance, while cautioning that their involvement did not amount to an endorsement of the token or ETF.

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Canton Coin, used to pay transaction fees through the network’s Global Synchronizer, was trading near $0.107 on Aug. 21. Market data showed a capitalization of about $4.2 billion, a 23rd-place cryptocurrency ranking and a gain of roughly 9% over the previous seven days.

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Bitcoin Posts Biggest Week Since 2024 as Trump Pushes Senate on CLARITY Act

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Bitcoin Posts Biggest Week Since 2024 as Trump Pushes Senate on CLARITY Act


Bitcoin rose to its highest level in three months on Friday, capping a three-day rally that lifted every major token and broke a seven-week range, after President Donald Trump pressed the Senate to pass the CLARITY Act at a White House meeting with crypto executives on Wednesday. The Senate has a… Read the full story at The Defiant

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Solana Activates 350-Millisecond Slots on Mainnet

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Solana Activates 350-Millisecond Slots on Mainnet


Solana has activated a mainnet feature that cuts its target slot time from 400 milliseconds to 350 milliseconds, the network’s first slot-time reduction since its inception. The change shortens the window for leaders to complete blocks and is intended to give users faster transaction confirmations…. Read the full story at The Defiant

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Altcoins Could See Up to 1,000x Returns Post-Pullback, Analyst Predicts

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Altcoins could deliver returns ranging from 10x to 1000x after the latest market pullback, according to analyst Matthew Hyland.

He compared the June sell-off with March 2020 and argued that many alts could recover within months rather than years.

Hyland Compares June Altcoin Pullback to 2020

Hyland made the comparison on August 21, arguing that June was essentially an altcoin equivalent of the March 2020 market collapse. He pointed to Ethereum, Cardano, and other tokens as examples of assets that could deliver outsized gains if his comparison plays out.

“IMO you will see 10x-1000x returns from the maximum opportunity over the past few months the same way you did from the March 2020 prices,” the analyst wrote.

He later argued that many altcoins could fully recover within only a few months, with his reasoning resting partly on the speed of previous market recoveries rather than a specific price target.

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The market watcher used the S&P 500 as an example. He pointed out that the index took 13 weeks to recover from its March 2025 low by June 2025.

“I don’t know when but when it does start it won’t take years, it will be just a few months,” he wrote.

Other traders were also incredibly bullish, including CrediBULL Crypto, who claimed that the latest move had confirmed a macro bottom, with Bitcoin potentially heading above $100,000 and ETH above $3,500.

Sykodelic made a similar case, stating that BTC had “sliced through the 200D SMA like butter” on its way toward $75,000. The trader also pointed to previous Bitcoin moves after similar breaks, citing gains of 124% in 2019, 724% in 2020, and 511% in 2023.

However, that view comes with an important condition. According to Sykodelic, a fall below $65,000 would weaken the argument that the bottom is in.

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Bitcoin Rally Gives Altcoins Room to Catch Up

The latest price data shows why traders are revisiting altcoin recovery scenarios. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was above $76,000, up nearly 9% over 24 hours and more than 19% in seven days. Ethereum was near $2,400, having gained 5% in 24 hours and 26% over the week.

Several major altcoins have moved even faster, for example, XRP, which was around $1.32, up almost 18% in one day and about 29% on the weekly chart. Bitcoin Cash also gained 18% over 24 hours, while Dogecoin rose 12%.

The current run traces back to a Wednesday rally that took BTC from the low $60,000s past $70,000 and eventually to where it sits now, its highest level since May.

That move was helped along by the US Treasury doubling the size of its liquidity-support buybacks for longer-dated government debt and a White House meeting where President Donald Trump pushed for the CLARITY Act and floated further government Bitcoin purchases.

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Hyland expects the next phase to bring more attention to altcoins. According to him, the rally could become “the most hated rally in Crypto history” because many traders had concluded that crypto was finished.

The post Altcoins Could See Up to 1,000x Returns Post-Pullback, Analyst Predicts appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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Pentagon Fires Editor and Publisher of U.S. Military Newspaper

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Pentagon Fires Editor and Publisher of U.S. Military Newspaper

News of the firings also comes after Lederer announced on Tuesday that he plans to retire, effective Sept. 30. Lederer, who has been publisher of the newspaper for nearly two decades, said that he came to the decision after he realized that his “understanding of the value and mission of Stars and Stripes” diverged in “fundamental ways” from the Pentagon’s plans for the newspaper. He said he disagreed with parts of the modernization plan revealed in March, including the Pentagon’s desire to transition all print products to digital; Lederer said he worried that the move would affect the accessibility of Stars and Stripes for some service members.

“I think the right step is for me to step down, get out of the way, and let different leadership step in and continue to make this, the great organization that it is, even better,” Lederer told Stars and Stripes.

In April, the Department of Defense fired the newspaper’s ombudsman, Jacqueline Smith. As ombudsman, Smith was tasked with ensuring the organization’s editorial independence. Smith told her colleagues in a message at the time, which was seen by The Washington Post, that the Pentagon didn’t provide a reason for her firing, but that she believed the decision came down because she criticized the agency’s moves to overhaul the newspaper.

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Bitcoin reserve unlikely to buy BTC under Trump: Bitget CEO

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Inside the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve: promise vs reality

Bitget CEO Gracy Chen has put the chance of the U.S. government buying Bitcoin for its strategic reserve before President Donald Trump leaves office at close to zero.

Summary

  • The U.S. reserve holds an estimated 198,000 BTC obtained mainly through forfeiture proceedings.
  • Trump’s order permits additional acquisitions only through strategies that impose no extra taxpayer costs.
  • Chen said active purchases would require a much larger policy decision and political debate.
  • The no-sale rule removes potential government supply but does not create direct market demand.

Speaking in a recent interview, Bitget CEO Gracy Chen said the U.S. government is unlikely to begin buying Bitcoin for its strategic reserve within the next two years.

“From a policy perspective, it’s probably unlikely,” Chen said. “I just don’t see it coming right now.”

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Chen said buying Bitcoin would require a more substantial policy decision than retaining assets already controlled by the government. Lawmakers and political parties would need to debate how any purchase program would work, particularly if public money or changes to federal accounting were involved.

Her assessment places the focus on the reserve’s funding rules rather than the administration’s public support for crypto. Trump created the reserve in March 2025, but the order did not provide money for regular purchases on exchanges.

Bitcoin reserve rules limit direct government purchases

President Trump signed the March 2025 executive order establishing the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and the U.S. Digital Asset Stockpile on March 6, 2025.

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Under the order, the Treasury Department must maintain custodial accounts for Bitcoin that has been finally forfeited through criminal or civil proceedings or received through civil penalties. Federal agencies were also instructed to review their holdings and report eligible assets to the Treasury.

Bitcoin transferred into the reserve “shall not be sold,” according to the order, although existing laws allow exceptions for court orders, victim restitution, law enforcement operations and certain asset-forfeiture requirements.

The White House did not completely prohibit the government from obtaining more BTC. Instead, the order directed the Treasury and Commerce departments to develop acquisition strategies that are budget-neutral and impose no additional costs on taxpayers.

No funding mechanism or purchase schedule accompanied the directive. Any plan involving new federal spending would require congressional authorization, while alternatives such as revaluing U.S. gold certificates would face separate legal and political hurdles.

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An August reserve policy explainer from crypto.news said gold revaluation has been discussed as one possible funding route. Federal Reserve gold certificates are recorded at a statutory price of $42.22 per ounce, far below the metal’s market value, but using the difference to finance Bitcoin purchases would require legislation.

The reserve removes supply without adding demand

Public estimates have commonly placed U.S. government holdings near 198,000 BTC, equal to about 1% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply. The estimate includes coins connected to major forfeiture cases, though the government has not released a complete public audit confirming how much BTC has been finally forfeited and is eligible for the reserve.

The distinction between seized and forfeited assets matters because the government does not necessarily own every coin held in a federal wallet. Seized assets may remain subject to court proceedings, restitution claims, or eventual return to victims, while finally forfeited assets can become federal property.

At Bitcoin’s recent price near $78,000, a 198,000 BTC position would be worth about $15.4 billion. Its main market effect comes from the order’s prohibition on sales rather than an expected stream of government purchases.

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Before Trump established the reserve, the U.S. Marshals Service regularly auctioned Bitcoin obtained in criminal cases. The government sold about 195,000 BTC before the reserve order, according to White House estimates, and administration officials argued that earlier sales cost taxpayers billions of dollars in unrealized gains.

Removing a large federal position from potential sale reduces one known source of market supply. It does not provide the recurring demand that would come from Treasury purchases made at set intervals or price levels.

Bitcoin investors initially expected the reserve announcement to support active accumulation, but the order stopped short of creating such a program. The market’s response therefore depends more on whether the administration identifies a lawful, budget-neutral funding method or Congress passes separate legislation.

Treasury has previously ruled out active Bitcoin buying

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent gave a similar account of the government’s plans in August 2025, when he said the reserve would grow through confiscated assets rather than direct purchases.

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“We’re not going to be buying that [Bitcoin], but are going to use confiscated assets and continue to build that up,” Bessent told Fox Business, adding that the government would “stop selling” its holdings.

A June review of the reserve reported that Bessent valued the federal position at between $15 billion and $20 billion at the time. The report also noted that the executive order asked officials to examine budget-neutral acquisition methods without authorizing an open-market buying program.

Congress could replace the current arrangement with a statutory reserve. Senator Cynthia Lummis’s BITCOIN Act proposed purchasing 1 million BTC over five years, while the American Reserve Modernization Act, introduced in May 2026, proposed a 20-year holding period without retaining the same 1 million BTC target.

Neither proposal has created an active federal purchase program. Congressional approval would also provide firmer legal protection than an executive order, which a future president can amend or revoke.

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U.S. investors still face an uncertain reserve balance

For American investors, the reserve does not offer direct exposure comparable to shares in a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund. Its immediate relevance lies in federal supply management because the order limits when reserve coins can return to the market.

Public wallet trackers cannot determine the exact size of the reserve. Some services count Bitcoin held in government-linked addresses even when ownership, forfeiture status, or restitution obligations remain unresolved.

Federal custody activity can add to the uncertainty. In July, U.S.-linked wallets transferred nearly $297 million in seized Bitcoin and Ether to Coinbase Prime, including about 3,940 BTC valued at roughly $244 million at the time and 30,000 ETH worth about $53 million.

Coinbase Prime provides custody and trading services, so the transfers did not confirm a sale. Galaxy Research head Alex Thorn linked the Bitcoin to seizures involving Ryan Farace and the closed BTC-e exchange, while the Ether came from wallets tied to a separate federal case involving crypto storage and money laundering.

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