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Bitcoin Nears Key Resistance as Bearish Flag Persists Within Rising Channel Structure

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • Bitcoin trades near $72K, approaching strong resistance within a well-defined ascending channel range.
  • Analysts warn a move toward $77K may trigger a liquidity grab before a possible bearish reversal.
  • Strong support remains at $60K–$62K, where buyers have repeatedly prevented deeper declines.
  • Market remains in a compression phase, with a breakout or rejection likely to define the next move.

Bitcoin continues to trade within a defined range after a sharp decline, with price action showing controlled recovery.

Market participants remain cautious as resistance nears, while analysts monitor whether the current structure leads to a breakout or renewed downside pressure.

Bitcoin Trades Within Ascending Channel as Resistance Nears

A recent tweet by Captain Faibik outlines a cautious outlook for Bitcoin despite short-term upward movement. He maintains that a bearish flag remains active on the daily timeframe, even as price attempts minor recoveries.

According to his view, brief rallies have repeatedly shifted sentiment, though broader control still leans toward sellers.

The chart shared alongside the tweet shows Bitcoin recovering from a steep drop near the $95,000 to $100,000 range.

That decline extended toward the $58,000 to $60,000 zone, where strong buying interest emerged. Since then, price has formed a structured recovery, building higher lows and gradually moving within an ascending channel.

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Currently, Bitcoin trades near the $71,000 to $72,000 level. This places it in the upper-middle section of the channel, where momentum appears stable but constrained.

The upper boundary between $74,500 and $77,000 has acted as resistance, rejecting multiple attempts to move higher.

At the same time, the lower boundary around $60,000 to $62,000 continues to serve as a demand zone. Buyers have consistently stepped in at this level, preventing deeper declines.

As price approaches resistance again, traders are watching closely for either a breakout or another rejection.

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Bearish Bias Remains Despite Altcoin Activity

Captain Faibik noted in his tweet that a move toward the $77,000 to $78,000 region could occur before a potential decline.

He pointed to a possible liquidity grab followed by a drop toward the $54,000 to $56,000 range. However, he emphasized that confirmation is still required before taking positions.

He also explained his contrasting stance on Bitcoin and altcoins. While maintaining a bearish view on Bitcoin, he has remained active in select altcoins over recent months.

His allocation strategy reflects this approach, with roughly half of his funds held in stable assets and the rest split between midterm altcoin positions and swing trades.

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Meanwhile, key levels continue to guide market behavior. Immediate support sits near $70,000, while a mid-channel range between $66,000 and $68,000 acts as a balance zone.

Resistance remains firm below $77,000, and a clear break above this area would shift focus toward the $80,000 to $85,000 region.

Price action within the channel suggests a period of compression. This type of structure often precedes a sharp move once resistance or support gives way.

Until then, Bitcoin remains range-bound, with both upward continuation and downside rotation still possible.

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The tweet reflects a wait-and-see approach, with no active trades opened yet. Market participants continue to monitor price behavior near resistance, as confirmation will likely determine the next directional move.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin Down, Oil Up Amid US Strait of Hormuz Blockade

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Bitcoin Down, Oil Up Amid US Strait of Hormuz Blockade

US President Donald Trump said Iran did not want to compromise its nuclear weapons program, stating it was the only issue that “really mattered.”

Bitcoin fell as low as $70,623 on Sunday after the US announced a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz following failed peace talks with Iran.

The price of Bitcoin (BTC) initially fell 1.9% to $71,686 after US President Donald Trump confirmed the blockade in a post to Truth Social on Sunday, adding that peace talks collapsed because Iran refused to end its nuclear program — the only issue that “really mattered.”

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Bitcoin dipped further to $70,623 as the US futures markets opened late on Sunday, with oil shooting up 9.5% to $105 per barrel within half an hour of the market open, with Bitcoin down 2.7% over the day at the time of writing. 

The US-Iran dispute over control of the Strait of Hormuz — which handles one-fifth of global oil trade — has caused significant disruption in the financial markets over the past six weeks, particularly in oil markets, which have experienced their highest volatility since Russia invaded Ukraine in early 2022.

Oil’s change in price over the last month. Source: TradingView

In addition to the ceasefire announced on Tuesday, Iran wanted the US to pay for war reparations and to unfreeze blocked Iranian financial assets. 

Trump didn’t directly address those requests in the Truth Social post, instead blaming the fallout on Iran’s reluctance to end its nuclear weapons program.

Related: Paying Iran in crypto could put shippers at sanctions risk: Chainalysis

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He also labeled Iran’s use of mines on the waterway and demands for tolls as “world extortion,” ordering the US Navy to block any vessels that paid Iran and to destroy the mines.

Bitcoin up since the US-Iran war began

Despite the conflict, Bitcoin has risen about 7.4% to $71,194 since the US-Iran conflict started on Feb. 28, when a US airstrike killed Iran Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

Bitcoin has still managed to outperform the S&P 500 and gold since the US-Iran war started, though, clawing back some lost ground from October when Bitcoin hit a high of $126,080.

Magazine: Should users be allowed to bet on war and death in prediction markets?

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