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Crypto World

Bitcoin outperforms gold by roughly 36% since Iran war began

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Bitcoin’s Lightning Network clears record $1M transfer to Kraken

Since the start of the 2026 Iran war, Bitcoin has outperformed gold by roughly 35–36% on a relative basis, as BTC rose mid‑single digits while gold slipped and the BTC/gold ratio surged.

Summary

  • Since the start of the 2026 Iran war, Bitcoin has outpaced gold by about 35–36% on a relative basis, as the BTC/gold ratio surged.
  • BTC is up roughly 7–10% over the conflict period, while gold has been flat to down, a sharp reversal of the traditional “gold as safe haven” pattern.
  • Analysts say ETF inflows, the “digital gold” narrative, and macro positioning helped Bitcoin behave more like a risk‑sensitive alternative store of value than a classic crisis hedge.

Data from multiple market trackers show that since the escalation of the U.S.–Israel–Iran conflict on 28 February 2026, Bitcoin (BTC) has materially outperformed gold. Binance’s research feed put it bluntly in early May: “Bitcoin is outperforming gold by 36% since the start of the Iran conflict,” referring to the change in the BTC/XAU ratio rather than just absolute price moves.

BTC/gold ratio jumps as war escalates

A mid‑March analysis from Fortune noted that “since the start of the war, the original cryptocurrency is up about 7%, and on Wednesday was trading at around $71,000,” while gold was “nearly unchanged at about $5,240 an ounce.” Later work from Korea Economic Daily, summarized by Bloomingbit, found that Bitcoin rose about 7% in March while gold fell more than 3%, widening the performance gap as the conflict dragged on.

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CryptoNews.net’s recap of the period shows a similar pattern with slightly sharper numbers: at the onset of war, when Donald Trump ordered U.S. forces to join Israeli strikes, BTC was around $65,492 and gold near $5,279 an ounce; by March 23, Bitcoin had rallied to $70,700 while gold had slumped to roughly $4,300. That implies BTC up about 8% versus gold down around 18%, and a rapid rise in the BTC/gold ratio.

First real “war test” for Bitcoin as macro asset

What is different this time is not just that Bitcoin outperformed, but that it did so during a live shooting war where traditional safe havens usually dominate. A detailed explainer from Phemex argued that the Iran conflict was “the first real‑world stress test for Bitcoin as a portfolio‑level safe haven,” noting that over the first 16 days BTC outperformed gold by 9 percentage points and even outpaced the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.

JPMorgan analysts, quoted by RootData and The Block, observed that during the war “Bitcoin outperformed gold and silver, showing signs of inflows and increased activity, while precious metals faced significant outflows and position liquidations.” They pointed to nearly $11 billion in gold ETF outflows and a full reversal of prior silver ETF inflows, versus net inflows into Bitcoin products. That aligns with earlier crypto.news coverage in a story on how bitcoin and ethereum outpaced metals and equities in March, as spot BTC ETFs in the U.S. kept absorbing institutional demand even amid geopolitical tension.

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Capital.com’s breakdown, summarized in the Economic Times, stressed that BTC still traded like a high‑beta macro asset in the initial hours after the first strikes — plunging from about $66,000 to $63,000 as over $128 billion in crypto market cap was erased, while gold jumped. But over the full conflict window, Bitcoin recovered and moved higher, supported by ETF dip‑buying, short‑covering, and renewed interest in the “digital gold” narrative, while gold’s early spike faded under the weight of a stronger dollar and rising real yields.

For now, the scoreboard is clear: during the Iran war’s first months, a portfolio long BTC and short gold would have outperformed a classic “own gold in a crisis” stance by roughly a third. Whether that holds in the next geopolitical shock is an open question — but this episode has given Bitcoin one of the strongest empirical arguments yet for its role as a competing macro hedge.

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Saylor’s Strategy Targets Doubling Bitcoin Per Share to Boost Shareholder Value

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • Bitcoin per share (BPS) replaces EPS focus as Saylor links capital allocation to BTC per share growth.
  • Phong Le ties dividend funding and BTC sales to mNAV below 1.0 for per-share accretion logic.
  • Strategy posts $12.54B loss driven by $14.46B unrealized Bitcoin losses amid price volatility cycle.
  • BTC treasury model evolves as Strategy balances credit, dividends, and Bitcoin holdings above $60B.

Strategy’s Michael Saylor and Phong Le recalibrate dividend funding, Bitcoin sales, and balance sheet actions. The two linked shareholder value directly to BTC holdings, market conditions, and volatility pressures.

Saylor Reframes Strategy Around Bitcoin Per Share (BPS)

Michael Saylor redefined Bitcoin per share (BPS) as an EPS equivalent under the Bitcoin standard for capital allocation decisions. This framing links balance sheet strength directly to Bitcoin exposure per share across reporting cycles.

Phong Le reinforced Bitcoin per share (BPS) as the firm’s True North guiding equity and credit decisions. This approach now influences issuance timing and capital deployment choices across market conditions.

Strategy integrates Bitcoin per share (BPS) into preferred stock funding and digital credit structures to enhance BTC yield stability. It also reflects increasing integration between tax strategy, liquidity planning, and digital asset treasury management.

Additionally, leverage management aligns with Bitcoin accumulation goals while balancing liquidity needs across volatile market cycles continuously.

Capital structure flexibility remains key under fluctuating crypto market conditions. Capital discipline now emphasizes per-share Bitcoin growth over conventional earnings metrics.

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mNAV Threshold and Dividend Strategy in Focus

mNAV threshold guides Strategy decisions where Bitcoin sales become viable only when per-share accretion improves under the BPS model. This framework ties Bitcoin balance sheet movements directly to shareholder value per share outcomes across cycles.

CEO Phong Le stated Bitcoin may be sold to fund dividends if it strengthens Bitcoin per share (BPS). This approach reduces reliance on traditional earnings metrics while prioritizing Bitcoin exposure across funding decisions.

He added that tax credits and credit facilities influence liquidity planning alongside Bitcoin holdings valued at nearly sixty billion dollars. It also reflects increasing integration between tax strategy, liquidity planning, and digital asset treasury management. Capital structure flexibility remains key under fluctuating crypto market conditions.

Strategy reported a twelve point five four billion dollar loss driven by unrealized Bitcoin depreciation in Q1 2026. Volatility in Bitcoin prices continues to amplify unrealized gains and losses across reporting periods. Unrealized losses continue to affect quarterly earnings volatility and investor sentiment.

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Despite losses, Bitcoin per share (BPS) remains central to evaluating shareholder performance across volatile crypto market conditions.

Investors now track Bitcoin per share (BPS) as a proxy for underlying treasury efficiency and exposure. BPS adoption signals a shift toward a Bitcoin-native financial reporting framework structure.

Market sentiment improved slightly as Bitcoin traded above eighty thousand dollars. However, Strategy stock remains significantly below prior highs as volatility and capital structure concerns weigh on valuation.

Debt servicing costs and preferred dividend obligations continue influencing market perception of the Strategy’s risk profile. Overall, the long-term strategy focuses on aligning shareholder value with Bitcoin accumulation.

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TeraWulf (WULF) Stock: Q1 2026 Results Show AI Revenue Surge Despite $427M Loss

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WULF Stock Card

Key Highlights

  • Q1 2026 net loss reached $427M for TeraWulf, significantly higher than the $61.4M loss recorded in Q1 2025.
  • High-performance computing lease income surged 117% sequentially to $21M, representing approximately 60% of quarterly revenue.
  • Bitcoin mining income declined by half to approximately $13M.
  • Cash and restricted cash reserves totaled around $3.1B at quarter end.
  • WULF shares declined 2.6% Friday but remain up more than 105% for the year.

TeraWulf’s first quarter 2026 financial results revealed a net loss of $427 million, representing a significant increase from the $61.4 million loss the company reported during the corresponding period in 2025.


WULF Stock Card
TeraWulf Inc., WULF

Quarterly revenue totaled $34 million. The company’s high-performance computing lease segment generated $21 million — comprising roughly 60% of overall revenue — following a remarkable 117% sequential increase.

Revenue from Bitcoin mining operations, in contrast, plummeted 50% to approximately $13 million amid challenging conditions affecting the broader mining industry.

Shares of WULF declined 2.6% Friday in response to the quarterly report. Nevertheless, the stock has climbed more than 105% since the beginning of the year and has risen over 30% during the past 30 days.

HPC Business Emerges as Primary Revenue Driver

The high-performance computing revenue stemmed from 60 megawatts of active critical IT capacity at the Lake Mariner facility — recognized as among North America’s largest HPC installations — currently under lease to Core42.

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TeraWulf is simultaneously managing infrastructure deployment with partners including Fluidstack and Google. Multiple computing facilities, specifically CB-3, CB-4, and CB-5, are scheduled to become operational during the latter half of 2026.

CEO Paul Prager noted that the organization began 2026 equipped with essential contracts, infrastructure assets, and capital arrangements already secured, with leadership now concentrating on transforming these resources into sustainable recurring revenue streams.

During October 2025, TeraWulf finalized a 25-year lease agreement with Fluidstack — supported financially by Google — valued at approximately $9.5 billion in committed revenues. This arrangement built upon a previously announced 10-year commitment.

The Abernathy joint venture, encompassing a 168 MW HPC facility under a 25-year lease structure, continues progressing toward its anticipated Q4 2026 launch.

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CFO Patrick Fleury explained that the company’s capital framework is structured to synchronize extended-term financing with contractual cash flows. He noted that predictable AI infrastructure income could mitigate the volatile earnings patterns traditionally associated with Bitcoin mining activities.

TeraWulf concluded the first quarter holding approximately $3.1 billion in combined cash and restricted cash.

Strategic Power Sites Drive Growth Strategy

Beyond the Lake Mariner installation, TeraWulf is developing a nationwide portfolio of power-advantaged locations.

This expansion includes a recently acquired 480 MW facility in Hawesville, Kentucky, a 300 MW development in Lansing, New York, and a 210 MW location in Morgantown, Maryland — with expansion potential reaching 1 gigawatt.

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Prager characterized the company’s approach as constructing “a power-advantaged platform” that is becoming increasingly distinct in an industry constrained by electrical capacity access.

TeraWulf’s strategic shift reflects a wider transformation across the sector. Riot Platforms disclosed $167.2 million in total Q1 2026 revenue, with its data center operations generating $33.2 million, partially offsetting declining Bitcoin mining income.

Core Scientific has announced intentions to liquidate over 2,500 Bitcoin to finance AI infrastructure expansion and strengthen cash reserves.

MARA Holdings, Hive, Hut 8, and Iren have each begun transitioning mining capacity into high-performance computing infrastructure designed for AI workload deployment.

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For TeraWulf, the completion of CB-3, CB-4, and CB-5 computing facilities represents the company’s primary operational objectives for the remainder of 2026.

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Is Crypto Entering an Altcoin Season? Social Buzz Hits a 3-Month High

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Altcoin Season Social Volume

Altcoin season chatter has surged to a 3-month high across social media, but one chart is flashing a clear warning that the rotation may not be as healthy as recent token rallies suggest.

Santiment data shows mentions of “altcoinseason” and “altseason” climbing in early May, while Altcoin Vector argues weak Ethereum (ETH) leadership could undermine the move.

Altcoin Social Volume Hits Multi-Month High

On-chain analytics platform Santiment recorded social volume for “altcoinseason” surging to 544 on May 4, the strongest reading since February 5.

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Altcoin Season Social Volume
Altcoin Season Social Volume. Source: Santiment

Mentions of “altseason” on May 5 also hit their highest level since March 18, signaling renewed retail interest. The buzz follows fresh price action, with several altcoins staging notable rallies that have lifted hopes of a broader rotation away from Bitcoin (BTC). 

Together, the data points suggest sentiment is warming up after a stretch of muted retail engagement.

Why the ETH/BTC Chart Is Flashing a Warning

Despite the optimism, Altcoin Vector flagged a structural problem in how the rally is unfolding. The OTHERS/BTC ratio, which tracks the total altcoin market cap excluding the top 10 coins relative to Bitcoin, has started to recover.

However, the ETH/BTC ratio remains weak. This breaks the standard rotation playbook, in which Ethereum (ETH) typically leads altcoins higher before capital flows down the risk curve into smaller tokens.

“That divergence tells us alts may be front-running a potential rotation, skipping the usual ETH leadership phase. A healthy rotation usually starts with ETH,” the post read.

ETH/BTC Weakness
ETH/BTC Weakness. Source: X/Altcoin Vector

Whether the current altcoin push converts into a sustained rotation now hinges on Ethereum reclaiming relative strength against Bitcoin.

If ETH/BTC stays compressed, Vector’s warning suggests the gains across smaller altcoins could unwind quickly on any Bitcoin weakness.

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Strategy could sell 1 BTC to buy 10 more

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Michael Saylor’s Strategy buys 1,142 Bitcoin

Michael Saylor has moved to clarify Strategy’s position after recent comments raised questions about whether the company could sell part of its Bitcoin holdings.

Summary

  • Saylor says Strategy may sell Bitcoin but remain a net buyer over time.
  • Strategy holds 818,334 BTC after reporting a $12.54 billion Q1 loss.
  • Dividend costs and Peter Schiff’s Ponzi claims keep pressure on Strategy’s model.

The Strategy co-founder said his well-known “never sell your Bitcoin” line was less precise than the company’s actual policy. He said the clearer position is that Strategy should never become a net seller of Bitcoin.

Strategy may sell BTC to buy more later

Saylor said any Bitcoin sale would not mark a retreat from the company’s treasury plan. Instead, he argued that a limited sale could support a larger accumulation strategy.

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“Even if we were to sell one Bitcoin, we’d be buying 10 to 20 more Bitcoin,” Saylor said. 

The claim suggests Strategy could sell small amounts while still increasing its total BTC holdings.

Crypto.news recently reported that Strategy posted a $12.54 billion net loss for Q1 2026 and held 818,334 BTC as of May 3. The company’s Bitcoin was acquired at an average price of $75,537. 

The same report noted that Strategy’s preferred stock products carry about $1.5 billion in annual dividend obligations. That has fueled debate over whether Bitcoin sales may be needed to support payouts.

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Schiff renews criticism of Saylor’s model

Peter Schiff has again criticized Strategy’s Bitcoin-linked structure, claiming the model could face stress if Bitcoin weakens or dividend pressure grows.

Saylor rejected that view. He said critics who do not accept Bitcoin as “digital capital” are unlikely to accept financial products built around it. Strategy’s core message remains that Bitcoin is its main treasury asset, even if limited sales become part of its funding approach.

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Solana vs. Ethereum: Analyzing the Superior Investment Opportunity in 2026

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Ethereum (ETH) Price

Key Takeaways

  • Ethereum maintains a market capitalization of approximately $281 billion compared to Solana’s roughly $54 billion
  • Onchain stablecoin value strongly favors Ethereum at $164.1 billion versus Solana’s $15.45 billion
  • Solana demonstrates superior user engagement with 1.67M active addresses and temporarily dominated DEX trading during Q1 2026
  • The Solana Foundation partnered with major payment processors including Mastercard, Worldpay, and Western Union for its new developer platform
  • Ethereum faced analyst skepticism when Citigroup reduced its 12-month price projection due to declining user engagement

The two dominant smart-contract blockchain platforms beyond Bitcoin are Ethereum and Solana. Determining which represents the superior investment opportunity today requires examining your investment profile and risk tolerance.

According to CoinGecko data, Ethereum commands a market valuation near $281 billion, while Solana maintains approximately $54 billion. This substantial differential reflects market confidence in long-term sustainability.

Ethereum (ETH) Price
Ethereum (ETH) Price

Ethereum hosts $164.1 billion worth of stablecoins across its network, according to DefiLlama. The platform registers more than 565,000 active addresses daily alongside $1.343 billion in derivatives trading volume. These metrics demonstrate substantial, institutional-grade financial operations.

Solana presents contrasting statistics. The network processes activity from 1.67 million active addresses with $1.392 billion in daily decentralized exchange volume. While user participation exceeds Ethereum’s, the total capital deployed remains significantly lower.

Continuous Development Defines Ethereum’s Strategy

Ethereum development continues advancing rapidly. The Ethereum Foundation announced its Pectra upgrade successfully doubled blob capacity, increased maximum validator stakes, and accelerated validator onboarding processes. Fusaka has entered production deployment, with Glamsterdam and Hegotá scheduled for later in 2026.

These technical improvements enhance transaction processing efficiency, staking mechanisms, and overall network scalability. They reinforce Ethereum’s position as the infrastructure leader.

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Ethereum’s development timeline demonstrates commitment to sustainable network optimization. This approach appeals to institutional investors and large capital allocators prioritizing stability and reliability.

Solana Targets Enterprise Adoption

Solana has strategically evolved beyond its identity as a high-speed, low-cost retail blockchain. The Solana Foundation unveiled its Developer Platform in March, offering API-based infrastructure designed specifically for enterprise clients and financial institutions.

Solana (SOL) Price
Solana (SOL) Price

Initial platform adopters include payment industry leaders Mastercard, Worldpay, and Western Union. The infrastructure supports tokenized deposits, stablecoin operations, real-world asset management, payment processing, and trading applications.

This roster of enterprise partners signals Solana‘s ambition to capture institutional financial infrastructure contracts rather than merely facilitating retail speculation.

During Q1 2026, Solana captured the leading position for spot decentralized exchange activity with 30.6% market share, according to CoinGecko. Ethereum regained dominance in March, securing 27% versus Solana’s 26%.

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Solana excels at capturing short-term user enthusiasm. Ethereum consistently attracts capital when infrastructure reliability becomes paramount.

Understanding the Risk Profile of Each Network

Citigroup analysts reduced their 12-month Ethereum price forecast in March. The downgrade cited concerning user activity trends, though analysts acknowledged continued strength in stablecoins and tokenization use cases.

Solana presents a distinct risk configuration. The platform exhibits greater price volatility, maintains a declining inflation schedule, and requires sustained momentum to justify valuations.

Ethereum faces the risk of lagging performance during strong altcoin market cycles. Solana confronts the possibility of severe corrections when market sentiment deteriorates.

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Investment Conclusion

Investors seeking elevated upside potential who accept increased volatility should consider Solana the more aggressive opportunity. Those prioritizing superior liquidity depth, extensive institutional support, and proven operational history will find Ethereum remains the stronger choice. Both cryptocurrencies carry meaningful risks, and neither guarantees profitable returns.

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Gold ETFs Rebound With $6.6 Billion Inflows After Record Selloff

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Gold ETFs Rebound With $6.6 Billion Inflows After Record Selloff

Global physically backed gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) drew $6.6 billion in April, reversing March’s heavy outflows.

A record $12 billion drained from global gold ETFs in March, the steepest monthly outflow ever, as US-Iran tensions weighed on bullion. But as the chart below shows, investments rotated back into gold in April, with Europe and Asia bringing more capital into the market.

Global Gold ETFs Flipped Positive in April with European Investors Leading the Rotation. Source: World Gold Council

Gold Flows Reverse Course in April

The return of inflows came as gold prices stabilized. Bullion slipped 1.12% in April after plunging 13% in March, its sharpest monthly decline since 2008.

Year-to-date, global gold ETFs have recorded $19 billion in net inflows. Total assets under management rose 1% month over month to $615 billion, while collective holdings increased by 45 tonnes to 4,137 tonnes, the third-highest level on record.

The flow reversal coincided with a much shallower price drop. The bullion edged down just 1.12% during the month, compared with March’s 13% rout. That marked the steepest monthly decline since 2008.

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All regions contributed to April’s recovery. European funds added $3.7 billion, Asian funds $1.8 billion, and North American funds $1 billion. Year-to-date, global gold ETFs have pulled in $19 billion.

Those inflows lifted total assets under management by 1% month over month to $615 billion. In addition, combined gold holdings climbed 45 tonnes to 4,137 tonnes, the third-highest level on record.

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China’s Steady Bullion Bid

Meanwhile, China has remained a consistent gold buyer even through the war-driven volatility. The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) added over 8 tonnes of gold in April, extending its buying streak to 18 consecutive months.

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The PBoC’s April purchase was its largest monthly addition since December 2024, taking total holdings to roughly 2,322 tonnes.

The April figure follows 5 tonnes added in March. Together, the two months represent China’s largest two-month accumulation since the first quarter of 2025, per The Kobeissi Letter.

“Year-to-date, China’s central bank has bought +15 tonnes of gold, on track for its biggest annual purchase since 2023. Since 2022, the country has officially increased its gold holdings by +372 tonnes, or +19%, making China one of the strongest gold buyers in the world. China is buying the dip in gold,” the post added.

Thus, the April rebound suggests gold’s role as a portfolio anchor has not faded. Whether the recovery holds depends on Middle East tensions and expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes.

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Key Crypto Market Events to Monitor This Week: Regulation, Bitcoin, and Coinbase

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Bitcoin (BTC) Price

Key Takeaways

  • On May 14, the U.S. Senate Banking Committee examines the CLARITY Act, legislation that could establish regulatory frameworks for digital assets
  • The stablecoin rewards provision remains contentious, with traditional banks advocating restrictions while crypto companies seek operational freedom
  • Bitcoin maintains support above the $80,000 threshold but encounters significant resistance between $81,000 and $83,000
  • While Bitcoin ETF inflows show recent improvement, they haven’t offset the substantial outflows recorded from late 2025 through early 2026
  • Coinbase reported consecutive quarterly losses, with revenues declining from $2.03 billion to $1.43 billion compared to the previous year

Multiple significant developments converge this week that could influence cryptocurrency market trajectory. Regulatory proceedings, Bitcoin’s technical positioning, ETF capital flows, and major exchange financial results are simultaneously demanding investor attention.

The U.S. Senate Banking Committee has scheduled a review of the CLARITY Act for May 14. This proposed legislation seeks to establish clear distinctions between securities and commodities classifications for digital assets. Additionally, it would delineate distinct regulatory jurisdictions for the SEC and CFTC in supervising cryptocurrency markets.

Among the bill’s most controversial elements are provisions governing stablecoin rewards. According to Reuters reporting, the legislation would permit rewards connected to transaction activity while prohibiting yields on dormant stablecoin balances. Cryptocurrency companies are advocating for operational flexibility in offering payment-based incentives. Meanwhile, traditional banking institutions seek restrictions on any mechanism resembling deposit interest.

This debate carries significant implications since stablecoins underpin trading operations, payment systems, and decentralized finance applications. Establishing clear legal parameters could enable companies to develop products with reduced regulatory uncertainty. Conversely, restrictive outcomes might compel exchanges and issuers to restructure their user reward programs.

Bitcoin Maintains $80,000 Support While Testing Upper Boundaries

Bitcoin climbed beyond the $80,000 threshold last week, partially fueled by upward momentum in Asian equity markets. Market analysts suggest that confirming a stronger bullish structure requires breaking through the $81,000 to $83,000 zone, as Barron’s reported.

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Bitcoin (BTC) Price
Bitcoin (BTC) Price

Should Bitcoin sustain current price levels while ETF demand remains consistent, retail participation could accelerate. However, if price action stalls near resistance levels, market participants may adopt more conservative positioning following the recent upward move.

ETF capital movements form a critical component of this analysis. Demand for Bitcoin exchange-traded funds has strengthened in recent weeks. Nevertheless, CoinDesk noted that this recovery hasn’t completely compensated for the substantial withdrawals observed from November 2025 through February 2026.

This week’s daily flow data will provide crucial insights into whether institutional investors continue accumulating exposure. Robust inflows would validate the recovery narrative. Conversely, weak or negative flows would challenge the sustainability of the recent rebound.

Coinbase Reports Consecutive Quarterly Deficit

Coinbase announced another quarterly loss amid declining trading volumes. Revenue contracted to $1.43 billion from $2.03 billion year-over-year. Transaction-related revenue decreased 40% to $756 million, according to Reuters.

As a prominent publicly-traded cryptocurrency platform, Coinbase serves as a key barometer for crypto trading demand. Diminished trading metrics on the exchange often mirror reduced retail engagement throughout the broader digital asset market.

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Alternative cryptocurrencies are also drawing attention. When Bitcoin price action consolidates, investors frequently shift capital into Solana, Ethereum, and XRP seeking amplified returns. This week, narratives surrounding stablecoins, regulatory developments, and tokenization are expected to influence interest in associated tokens.

Alternative cryptocurrencies demonstrate heightened sensitivity to market sentiment fluctuations. Should Bitcoin falter near resistance zones or ETF flows underperform, smaller-capitalization tokens could experience accelerated downward pressure relative to the broader market.

The May 14 CLARITY Act review represents this week’s most significant singular event. Its conclusions could impact cryptocurrency exchanges, stablecoin issuers, and digital asset valuations across the entire sector.

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Bitcoin faces a miner reward problem, Avalanche founder warns

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Bitcoin Core maintainers face shake-up as Gloria Zhao revokes PGP key

Avalanche founder Emin Gün Sirer has warned that Bitcoin may face a long-term security issue as miner rewards continue to fall after each halving.

Summary

  • Emin Gün Sirer says Bitcoin’s future risk may come from falling miner rewards.
  • Up to 20% of Bitcoin miners may be unprofitable.
  • The debate centers on whether fees can replace shrinking Bitcoin block rewards.

Sirer argued that Bitcoin’s reward model could become a larger concern than quantum computing or rival tokens. His view centers on whether miners will still earn enough to secure the network when block rewards keep shrinking.

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Bitcoin’s security budget faces fresh debate

Bitcoin miners secure the network by using computing power to validate blocks. They earn block rewards and transaction fees for that work.

The problem is that block rewards fall by half during each Bitcoin halving. Over time, transaction fees may need to carry more of the cost of keeping miners online.

Crypto.news recently reported that CoinShares estimated 15% to 20% of the global Bitcoin mining fleet may be unprofitable under current conditions. Older machines and miners with high power costs face the most pressure.

The same report said Q4 2025 was the hardest quarter for Bitcoin miners since the April 2024 halving. CoinShares also said hashprice fell near five-year lows, while listed miners’ average cash cost to produce one Bitcoin reached about $79,995.

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Sirer points to a possible technical path

Sirer suggested Bitcoin could use a pre-consensus layer to reduce the load on the base network. He argued that such a design could help Bitcoin process activity more efficiently.

That idea may face resistance from Bitcoin users who prefer limited changes to the base protocol. Bitcoin’s community has often moved slowly on large technical changes, especially those seen as changing its security model.

Sirer’s warning that shrinking rewards pose a bigger risk than quantum computing remains a debated claim. It depends on future Bitcoin fees, miner costs, hardware gains, and market price.

CZ’s recent comment was also taken out of context by some accounts. He said Bitcoin could only be replaced in theory by better technology, while still calling BTC “global money.”

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PUMP Token Burns 36% of Supply as Platform Revenue Crosses $1B and Multi-Chain Expansion Grows

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • PUMP has permanently burned $370M worth of tokens, removing 36% of circulating supply via an irreversible smart contract.
  • Fifty percent of all platform revenue auto-executes buybacks and burns through a locked, coded smart contract mechanism.
  • PumpSwap recorded a single-day volume of $1.28B in January 2026, marking a record high for the Solana-based exchange.
  • PUMP holds roughly 70% of Solana token launch market share while expanding actively to Ethereum and Monad blockchains.

PUMP token has removed 36% of its circulating supply through a permanent burn mechanism, positioning itself as one of the more structurally deflationary assets on Solana.

The token currently trades at under $0.01, sitting 82% below its all-time high of $0.01214. With over $1 billion in lifetime platform revenue and expanding blockchain presence, PUMP is drawing renewed attention from the crypto community heading into mid-2026.

Burn Mechanism and Tokenomics Drive Deflationary Structure

Approximately $370 million worth of PUMP tokens have been permanently removed from circulation. The burn is coded directly into a smart contract, making it irreversible by design. This removes any reliance on team promises or future governance votes.

The protocol directs 50% of all platform revenue into a locked smart contract that automatically executes buybacks and burns.

With a fixed maximum supply of one trillion tokens and zero inflation, each burn cycle reduces available supply permanently. This structure creates consistent downward pressure on circulating tokens over time.

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Crypto analyst Crypto Patel noted on X that the burn mechanism is “coded, not promised,” pointing to the contract-level execution as a key differentiator.

The absence of inflationary supply expansion adds further weight to the deflationary thesis for long-term holders watching on-chain activity.

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Platform Revenue and Expansion Signal Operational Maturity

PUMP became the first Solana-based platform to cross $1 billion in lifetime revenue, a milestone that reflects real product usage rather than speculative activity.

PumpSwap, its native decentralized exchange, recorded a single-day volume of $1.28 billion in January 2026. That figure represents organic trading demand at scale.

The platform currently holds approximately 70% market share of all new token launches on Solana. That dominance translates directly into fee revenue, which feeds the buyback-and-burn contract on a continuous basis. The revenue loop is self-sustaining as long as launch activity remains active.

Beyond Solana, PUMP has expanded to Ethereum and Monad, broadening its addressable user base across chains. Additionally, a $3 million “Build in Public” hackathon is actively funding new developers building on the protocol.

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These moves suggest a platform focused on long-term ecosystem growth rather than short-term price performance.

The token is currently trading around 42% above its earlier accumulation zone of $0.0014–$0.0016, according to Crypto Patel’s post.

Despite that recovery, it remains well below previous highs, leaving a wide gap between current price and prior peak levels.

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CLARITY Act could bring crypto trading back to US

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CLARITY Act hits its final window on May 21

Consensys attorney Bill Hughes said the CLARITY Act could help bring more crypto activity back to the United States by giving companies clearer rules.

Summary

  • Bill Hughes says clear crypto rules could shift trading activity back to US-based platforms.
  • Banks are pushing back over stablecoin yield language in the bill.
  • HarrisX found 52% voter support as Senate lawmakers prepare for a key markup vote.

Hughes said the U.S. dollar remains the world’s largest fiat on-ramp for crypto, with more than $2.4 trillion in volume between July 2024 and June 2025. Still, he said much of the trading tied to that demand happens outside U.S.-based exchanges.

Hughes pointed to exchange market share data to show how far crypto trading has moved offshore. He said Binance handled more than 38% of centralized exchange trading volume in December 2025, while Coinbase was the only U.S.-based platform in CoinGecko’s top 10 exchange list.

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That gap has become a key argument for supporters of the CLARITY Act. They say clear rules could make it easier for firms to build, list assets, and serve users inside the United States.

Senate faces tight timeline

The Senate Banking Committee is expected to review the bill on May 14, according to Reuters. The measure aims to define when digital assets fall under securities or commodities rules.

Hughes warned that lawmakers have only a narrow window before the August recess and the 2026 midterm campaign season. He said the next broad chance for market structure legislation may not come until 2030 if Congress misses this window.

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Banking pushback

Crypto.news reported that banking groups are trying to slow the bill over Section 404, which deals with rewards tied to stablecoin holdings. The groups argue that some rewards may look like deposit interest under another name.

Senator Cynthia Lummis pushed back, saying the revised text reflects a compromise on yield. Senator Thom Tillis also warned that some traditional finance groups may oppose any version of the bill.

Hughes said the CLARITY Act would help “reshore” the crypto industry. That claim depends on whether the final bill passes, how regulators apply it, and whether major firms choose to move more activity back to the U.S.

A HarrisX poll found that 52% of registered U.S. voters support the bill, while 11% oppose it. Crypto.news also reported that prediction markets place passage odds above 60%, while Galaxy’s Alex Thorn estimated the odds near 50-50.

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