Connect with us
DAPA Banner

Crypto World

Bitcoin Price Holds Firm Without Historic Profit Reset

Published

on

Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR

  • Bitcoin price rose 3% in 24 hours and moved back above $68,000.
  • The 365-day average profitability remains high at 87.5%, showing no full market reset.
  • Analysts said past bear markets saw the long-term average drop near 63.8% before recovery.
  • Current data shows 66.4% of the Bitcoin supply remains in profit despite recent declines.
  • Bitcoin continues to trade above the $54,000 Realized Price level.

Bitcoin (BTC) price opened in April above $68,000 after a 3% daily gain, yet the broader trend remains downward. On-chain data shows long-term profitability remains elevated despite recent declines. Analysts state the market has not completed the deep reset seen in prior bear cycles.

Bitcoin Price Holds Above $68,000 as Long-Term Profitability Stays Elevated

Bitcoin price climbed 3% in 24 hours and traded above $68,000 at press time. However, price action still reflects a prevailing downtrend across higher time frames. Short-term rebounds continue, yet broader market pressure persists.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. said profitability metrics have not reached prior bear market lows. He stated that 66.4% of the Bitcoin supply remains in profit as of April 1, 2026. Meanwhile, the 30-day moving average stands at 69.1%, which reflects reduced short-term gains.

Adler highlighted the 365-day moving average, which remains elevated at 87.5%. He said previous cycles saw this metric fall sharply before full recovery phases began. In late 2017, the indicator reached 96% before dropping to 63.8% by May 2019.

He explained that this earlier decline confirmed a complete market reset. In contrast, the current 365-day average has not approached those historical lows. Therefore, long-term holders still retain strong profitability levels despite ongoing drawdowns.

Historical Reset Levels and Realized Price at $54,000 Remain Key Reference Points

Adler compared the current downturn with corrections in September 2023 and September 2024. He said those pullbacks weakened short-term profitability but left long-term averages intact. The 2026 decline pushed the metric down to 55.7%, while the 30-day average fell to 66.7%.

Despite deeper losses this year, the 365-day average remains near 87.5%. Adler stated, “As long as the 365DMA stays elevated, the market resembles an extended correction.” He added that a full capitulation phase would require a sharper long-term profitability drop.

Advertisement

Separately, analyst Ardi reviewed Bitcoin’s seasonal performance trends since 2014. He reported that April ranks as the third-strongest month historically, with a 9.1% average return. However, he said market context matters because 2026 reflects bear market conditions.

Ardi cited April 2014, when Bitcoin declined 2%, and April 2022, when it fell 18.7%. He also referenced April 2018, which delivered a 35.7% rebound within a broader downturn. According to him, strong monthly averages do not override prevailing trends.

CryptoQuant analyst Tugce focused on Bitcoin’s Realized Price, currently near $54,000. She said Bitcoin historically falls below this level before forming major cycle bottoms. Tugce stated, “The $54,000 area represents a key historical threshold during bear phases.”

She added that price could trade below the Realized Price for an extended period. Historical data shows previous bear markets reached that stage before recovery began. Bitcoin continues to trade well above $54,000 as of the latest market update.

Advertisement

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading
Click to comment

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Crypto World

Paradigm Targets Pro Traders and Market Makers in Latest Prediction Markets Push

Published

on

Venture capital firm Paradigm is reportedly developing a prediction markets trading terminal aimed at professional traders and market makers, according to Fortune.

Paradigm partner Arjun Balaji is spearheading the effort, which sources say has been underway since the late 2025.

The venture capital firm has been one of the most active backers of Kalshi, a leading prediction market platform. The firm participated in three successive funding rounds for Kalshi in 2025. 

The prediction market platform recently raised more than $1 billion in a new round, pushing its valuation to $22 billion.

Advertisement

“Matt Huang, the venture firm’s cofounder and managing partner, is on the startup’s board of directors. Paradigm’s development of a prediction markets trading terminal isn’t competitive with Kalshi’s platform, said a source,” the report read.

Follow us on X to get the latest news as it happens 

Beyond the terminal, sources suggest that Paradigm has considered establishing an internal market-making desk. A separate source said the firm has also engaged researchers to explore the feasibility of creating prediction market indexes.

Meanwhile, Paradigm has started to collect prediction market data into a public dashboard. 

A Sector Gaining Institutional and Retail Momentum

Paradigm’s infrastructure push arrives at a time of rapid growth. Prediction market transactions surpassed a record high of 207 million in March, according to Dune data

Advertisement

Monthly notional volume reached roughly $25.7 billion, up from $1.2 billion in early 2025. Meanwhile, major exchanges are also moving into the space. Binance is beta-testing an in-app prediction market feature inside its Wallet app.

Coinbase unveiled its prediction market offering through a partnership with Kalshi in January. Moreover, Crypto.com launched a standalone platform called OG.

Subscribe to our YouTube channel to watch leaders and journalists provide expert insights

The post Paradigm Targets Pro Traders and Market Makers in Latest Prediction Markets Push appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Trump Threatens to Hit Iran Extremely Hard in the Coming Weeks

Published

on

Trump Threatens to Hit Iran Extremely Hard in the Coming Weeks

Crude oil rose to over $100 a barrel while Bitcoin fell 2% after a national address by US President Donald Trump on the conflict in Iran, where he vowed to hit Iran “extremely hard” over the next few weeks. 

Speaking at the White House on Wednesday during an address to the nation, Trump said the US military is “very close” to finishing “Operation Epic Fury,” claiming to have wiped out Iran’s nuclear and naval capabilities while also significantly hampering its drones, missiles and weapon factories.

“I can say tonight that we are on track to complete all of America’s military objectives shortly. Very shortly, we are going to hit them extremely hard over the next 2 to 3 weeks.”

Stocks, crude oil, and crypto prices have been impacted by conflict in the Middle East over the last few months. Oil prices eased on Tuesday after Trump said the war would be wrapping up in the next few weeks, though his latest speech has seen it rise again. 

At the time of writing, the price of crude oil has spiked back above $100 per barrel to $103.59. Meanwhile, Bitcoin dipped by around 1% over the course of the speech and has since fallen further to $66,904, down 2% since the start of the speech.

Advertisement

However, Trump also said discussions are ongoing. Both sides have made key demands for ending the conflict, with the US pushing for Iran to dismantle its nuclear programs, open up commercial shipping channels and stop regional support for proxy groups.

Iran wants a permanent end to the war, compensation for damages and an end to US military presence in the region, among other demands.

“The new group is less radical and much more reasonable. Yet, if during this period of time no deal is made, we have our eyes on key targets.”

Source: The White House

Trump says oil blockade will end soon

Conflict in the Middle East intensified in February after the US and Israel launched strikes against Iran. This ultimately saw Iran respond by leading a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz in a bid to cut oil supply on one of the world’s busiest shipping channels.

Related: Who is Kevin Warsh? Trump’s Fed pick wants ‘regime change’ at central bank

Advertisement

The president claimed that the stock market will pick back up soon as the conflict begins to wind down, while gas prices will drop as he argued that Iran will remove the blockade “naturally” so that it can start rebuilding the economy.

“And in any event, when this conflict is over, the strait will open up naturally. It’ll just open up naturally. They’re going to want to be able to sell oil because that’s all they have to try and rebuild. It will resume flowing and the gas prices will rapidly come back down. Stock prices will rapidly go back up,” he said.

Magazine: A newbie’s guide to surviving crypto winter