Crypto World
Bitcoin price may stay below $82K until Fed decision: analysts
Bitcoin has fallen 0.8% to about $79,176 over the past 24 hours as analysts forecast continued trading between $78,000 and $82,000 before the Federal Reserve’s September policy decision.
Summary
- Bitcoin traded between $78,707 and $80,494 over the past 24 hours, according to CoinGecko.
- CoinEx expects the price to remain between $78,000 and $82,000 until the Fed meeting.
- US spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted $986.9 million last week, lifting three-week inflows to about $3.8 billion.
- CPI, Treasury yields, and spot demand could determine whether Bitcoin breaks its current range.
Bitcoin price remains capped near $82,000
Bitfinex analysts told crypto.news that Bitcoin’s current structure supports “continued consolidation with an upside bias” rather than a confirmed breakout, as ETF demand counters pressure from elevated Treasury yields and expectations of another US interest rate increase.
Bitcoin (BTC) was trading near $79,176 at the time of writing, down 0.8% over 24 hours, according to CoinGecko data. The asset moved between a low of $78,707 and a high of $80,494 during the period, while trading volume increased nearly 30% to about $24.4 billion.
The intraday retreat followed another failed attempt to remain above $80,000. Sellers entered as the price approached $80,500, keeping BTC inside the $77,200–$82,100 range identified by Bitfinex.
Jeff Ko, chief analyst at CoinEx, expects even tighter trading before the Fed announces its next interest-rate decision.
“I expect compression into a tight range, capped around $82,000 with support at $78,000–$79,000, and a directional resolution once the Fed is out of the way,” Ko told the publication.
A move below the lower end of Ko’s range would bring the $77,200 level identified by Bitfinex into focus. On the upside, Bitcoin would need to clear $80,500 before testing the stronger supply area around $82,000.
Earlier technical conditions also showed why that upper zone could remain difficult to cross. On Aug. 27, Bitcoin traded near $79,500 after climbing about 25% from its mid-August range, but daily relative strength index readings had reached overbought territory at 81.14. The 200-day SMA breakout kept the recovery structure intact, while fading short-term momentum and liquidity near $81,000 raised the risk of another pullback.
ETF inflows support Bitcoin price near $79,000
US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs absorbed $986.9 million in net inflows during the week ending Sep. 4, taking the three-week total to approximately $3.8 billion, according to Ko.
Institutional demand has helped Bitcoin remain near $80,000 even as markets have raised their expectations for another Fed rate increase. Ko, however, said three weeks of positive flows were not enough to confirm a sustained accumulation period.
“The $986.9 million of inflows brought the three-week total to roughly $3.8 billion, which is clearly constructive. But I would still like to see another few weeks of sustained net inflows, particularly if Bitcoin turns boring and trades sideways, before calling this a genuine accumulation phase.”
Ko argued that continued purchases during flat or falling prices would provide stronger evidence of allocation demand than inflows that follow a rapid rally. Bitcoin gained 25% in August, meaning some recent ETF purchases may have been driven by price momentum rather than long-term accumulation.
Data cited in an earlier report showed that US spot Bitcoin ETFs collected $3.52 billion during August, recording positive flows on 16 of 21 trading days. The funds maintained demand while Bitcoin climbed from the low-$60,000 area toward $80,000.
ETF products did not prevent losses earlier in 2026. During the first half of the year, the funds registered a combined $5.29 billion in net outflows as Bitcoin fell from approximately $94,000 to $63,000, according to the previous Fed and ETF analysis.
Bitfinex analysts said stablecoin supply growth has also provided support during the latest recovery. Even with fresh capital entering the market, profitable holders could add selling pressure as BTC moves toward the top of its range.
More than 71% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply is now held at a profit, compared with about 67% when the asset traded above $82,500 during its May consolidation. Bitfinex attributed the difference to summer accumulation, which lowered the short-term holder cost basis to $68,400 at its weakest point.
At similar prices, a larger share of holders can now sell without realizing a loss. Bitfinex said supply in profit is approaching its historical average of 74.7%, with previous moves above that threshold often occurring during transitions from bear to bull markets.
Fed decision and CPI could resolve the range
Interest-rate expectations remain the main external test for Bitcoin ahead of the Sep. 15–16 Federal Open Market Committee meeting. Markets are considering a 25-basis-point increase from the current federal funds target range of 3.50%–3.75%, Ko said.
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh adopted a hawkish tone during his Jackson Hole speech, after which CME FedWatch probabilities for a September increase climbed to around 66%. The estimate has moved with each subsequent economic release and should not be treated as a Fed commitment.
Stronger August employment figures renewed the case for tighter policy. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 162,000, while the unemployment rate remained at 4.1%, according to figures cited by Bitfinex. Manufacturing activity also expanded, with the Purchasing Managers’ Index reaching 54.6, although elevated input costs continued to raise inflation concerns.
US inflation data will provide the next evidence for policymakers. As previously detailed, the Producer Price Index is scheduled for Sep. 10, followed by the Consumer Price Index on Sep. 11 and the Fed decision on Sep. 16.
“A hot print that pushes yields and the dollar sharply higher would be the cleanest test of Bitcoin’s resilience,” Ko said.
The two-year Treasury yield recently moved above 4.34%, while Ko placed the 10-year yield near 4.8%. Higher yields can reduce demand for assets that do not pay interest by giving investors access to stronger returns from US government debt.
Bitfinex said the important signal would be continued ETF buying while short-term yields remain elevated. Persistent demand under such conditions would indicate that the policy rate no longer acts as Bitcoin’s main constraint, according to the analysts.
Treasury buybacks provide another liquidity test
The US Treasury’s expanded buyback operation on Sep. 9 will give investors another measure of bond-market liquidity before the inflation data and Fed meeting.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced in August that the maximum size of liquidity-support buybacks for 10-to-20-year and 20-to-30-year nominal coupon securities would increase from $2 billion to at least $4 billion per operation. The higher limits are scheduled to remain in place from Sep. 9 through Nov. 4.
After the announcement, the 30-year Treasury yield dropped from a 19-year high above 5.34% to 5.19%, while the 10-year yield fell to 4.647%. During the same period, Bitcoin climbed 8.2% from $64,100 to $69,500 in less than 12 hours, although Treasury officials did not establish that the buyback change caused the rally.
The move also triggered $1.44 billion in short liquidations across major crypto exchanges, including $1.29 billion within one hour, according to an earlier Treasury buyback report.
For the next breakout attempt, Ko said investors should track ETF flows, spot-market buying near current levels, and Bitcoin’s reaction to Treasury yields. He also wants to see whether futures open interest grows meaningfully alongside any move outside the $78,000–$82,000 range, with CPI due Sep. 11 and the FOMC decision scheduled for Sep. 16.
Polish prosecutors investigating cryptocurrency exchange Zondacrypto, have formally charged an individual, identified as Romana Ż., with participating in an organized criminal group and allegedly misappropriating 7.8 million zlotys ($2.1 million) in user funds.
Prosecutors also asked the Katowice-Wschód District Court to place the suspect in pretrial detention, citing concerns that he could flee or interfere with the investigation, according to an official announcement on Monday.
Romana Ż. was detained on Sept. 5 over concerns they might flee and was subsequently questioned by prosecutors. The suspect denied the charges and provided a statement, according to Poland’s National Prosecutor’s Office.
Prosecutors allege Romana Ż. acted with others to misappropriate funds entrusted to the exchange by making unauthorized changes to computer records and interfering with the processing and transmission of exchange data.
The charges come after three others detained on Sept. 2 were charged in the investigation over allegations including money laundering, misappropriation of company assets and participation in an organized criminal group. A Polish court ordered all three held in pretrial detention for up to three months.
As Cointelegraph previously reported, prosecutors estimated losses connected to Zondacrypto at no less than 350 million zlotys. The investigation was also merged in July with a probe into the 2022 disappearance of Sylwester Suszek, the founder of BitBay, which was later renamed Zondacrypto.
Zondacrypto’s Estonian operator, BB Trade Estonia, was declared bankrupt in August, with its first creditors’ meeting scheduled for Sept. 17.
Magazine: ‘White hats’ take 4000 BTC from Liquid, ETFs see best inflows of 2026: Hodler’s Digest
Polish prosecutors have expanded their criminal case involving crypto exchange Zondacrypto by formally charging an additional suspect, identified as Romana Ż., with allegedly taking part in an organized criminal group and misappropriating user funds.
According to an announcement from Poland’s National Prosecutor’s Office, prosecutors also requested that the Katowice-Wschód District Court order Romana Ż. to be held in pretrial detention, citing concerns that the suspect could flee or obstruct the investigation.
Key takeaways
- Romana Ż. has been formally charged in Poland’s Zondacrypto investigation with participating in an organized criminal group.
- Prosecutors allege the suspect misappropriated 7.8 million zlotys (about $2.1 million) in user funds.
- Prosecutors asked for pretrial detention, arguing the suspect may flee or interfere with the probe.
- The latest charges follow earlier detentions and charges of three other individuals connected to Zondacrypto.
- Earlier reporting and court actions cited far larger loss estimates tied to the exchange and related investigations.
New charges filed in the Zondacrypto case
Prosecutors said Romana Ż. was detained on Sept. 5 due to concerns about flight risk and possible interference with the investigation. After the detention, the suspect was questioned by prosecutors, according to the National Prosecutor’s Office. The suspect denied the allegations and provided a statement.
In their filing, prosecutors accuse Romana Ż. of acting with others to misappropriate funds entrusted to the exchange. The alleged conduct, as described in the prosecutor’s submission, includes unauthorized changes to computer records and interference with the way Zondacrypto processed and transmitted exchange data.
Prosecutors’ motion for detention was submitted to the Katowice-Wschód District Court on Monday, with the announcement pointing to the same stated risks: potential flight and interference with the investigation. The court’s decision on detention was not described in the announcement.
Poland’s National Prosecutor’s Office announcement (linked in the source)
Earlier detentions and the group-wide allegations
The Romana Ż. charges follow a broader escalation earlier in September. The National Prosecutor’s Office reported that three other individuals had been detained on Sept. 2 and subsequently charged. Those allegations included money laundering, misappropriation of company assets, and participation in an organized criminal group.
Polish court records referenced in the source indicate that the court ordered all three suspects held in pretrial detention for up to three months. This is important for investors and users watching the case: it suggests prosecutors are framing the alleged misconduct as systemic rather than isolated, and they are building a timeline intended to support an organized-crime theory.
Poland’s National Prosecutor’s Office announcement (linked in the source)
Loss estimates and the expanding scope of the probe
Earlier coverage from Cointelegraph, linked in the source material, said prosecutors estimated losses connected to Zondacrypto at no less than 350 million zlotys. That figure dwarfs the 7.8 million zlotys attributed to the newly charged suspect, highlighting how individual defendants may be tied to different alleged portions of a larger total.
Cointelegraph also previously reported that the investigation was merged in July with a separate probe into the 2022 disappearance of Sylwester Suszek, the founder of BitBay, later renamed Zondacrypto. The merger matters because it suggests prosecutors are connecting the exchange’s later operations and the alleged handling of user funds to broader events around its leadership and corporate history.
Earlier Cointelegraph coverage (linked in the source)
Bankruptcy proceedings for the Estonian operator
Beyond criminal charges, the case has already spilled into formal insolvency steps. The source notes that Zondacrypto’s Estonian operator, BB Trade Estonia, was declared bankrupt in August. It also states that the first creditors’ meeting is scheduled for Sept. 17.
For creditors and affected users, bankruptcy timelines can be as consequential as criminal proceedings. Criminal cases often determine responsibility and potential recovery routes, while insolvency processes are typically where claims are filed, assets are managed, and distributions may be negotiated or decided.
While the source does not detail whether claimants are expecting crypto-specific asset recovery or fiat distributions, the scheduled creditors’ meeting is likely to influence how quickly affected parties can formalize their requests and learn what portion—if any—may be recoverable.
What to watch next
The immediate next step is the Katowice-Wschód District Court’s decision on the detention request for Romana Ż. Separately, the Sept. 17 creditors’ meeting for BB Trade Estonia will be a key milestone for anyone seeking to understand their prospects for recovery as the criminal investigation continues to build its case against multiple defendants.
Hunter Biden, son of former US President Joe Biden, announced that he plans to launch a memecoin based on the reports of his infamous laptop, which has been subject to intense media scrutiny.
In a Monday announcement on X, Hunter Biden posted the memecoin’s ticker symbol, $LAPTOP, signaling a Wednesday launch. The Wall Street Journal reported that Biden would send 20% of the one-billion token supply to substack subscribers, members of a mailing list and investors in President Donald Trump’s memecoin, Official Trump (TRUMP), whose value has dropped by about 97% since reaching an all-time high price in January 2025.
Source: Hunter Biden
The basis for the memecoin’s namesake is Biden’s computer, whose existence and contents were subject to scrutiny before the 2020 election, in which his father was running against Trump. The laptop continues to be invoked by many right-wing media figures and was the subject of two lawsuits filed by Biden over privacy laws.
Since his father left office in January 2025, Biden has stepped up his rhetoric on crypto and blockchain, specifically criticizing the Trump family’s entanglements with the industry through its World Liberty Financial business.
In August, he called World Liberty “corruption at a scale we’ve never seen,” comparing its business practices with those of defunct crypto exchange FTX and pointing to its ties to foreign governments like the UAE. Biden also said in June that “decentralized digital currency and the blockchain are the inevitable future.”
Related: Real Trump Coins denies launching GOLD token, blames ‘bad actors’
The LAPTOP founders, holding 30% of the token supply, will reportedly burn up to 30% of the memecoins depending on the outcome of events, including a Democrat winning the presidency in 2028, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) reaching an all-time high and LAPTOP’s fully diluted value exceeding TRUMP’s.
CLARITY Act vote set for later this month
The LAPTOP memecoin, if launched as planned, could shine more of a spotlight on Trump’s crypto ventures at a time when lawmakers in Congress are considering a comprehensive market structure bill to regulate the digital asset industry. The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, also known as the CLARITY Act, is scheduled for a cloture vote in the Senate on Sept. 15.
Cointelegraph reached out to the White House for comment but did not receive an immediate response.
Magazine: Who is legally liable when an AI agent goes rogue?
Japan spent nearly $100 billion in August trying to strengthen the yen. Even after that intervention, the currency failed to reach 154 against the dollar.
Then traders pushed it there themselves. USD/JPY fell from 160.39 on Wednesday to 154.50 by Monday, meaning the yen strengthened 3.7% in three sessions without another confirmed rescue from Tokyo.
Now, why does this matter for the crypto market? Because a similar yen surge in August 2024 forced investors to unwind cheap yen-funded trades and dump risk assets, including Bitcoin.
Bitcoin Just Passed the Yen Test
The danger was always the speed of the move. BeInCrypto flagged the risk on September 1, when the yen was still near 159.75 per dollar.
In August 2024, a similar rush out of yen-funded trades forced investors to dump risk assets. Bitcoin and Ethereum fell as much as 20%.
This time, Bitcoin held above $79,000. That makes Monday’s move a useful stress test for a trade that hurt crypto badly last year. It also comes as Japan reveals how much the first intervention cost — and why another rescue may be harder to repeat.
This time, Bitcoin remains above $79,000, close to its highest level since May. That makes the current move an important break from the 2024 playbook.
Japan May Have Less Firepower Left
The Ministry of Finance also revealed where the first intervention money came from.
Japan’s foreign reserves fell $94.6 billion in August to $995 billion. Foreign securities alone dropped $87.8 billion, suggesting Tokyo sold short-dated US Treasuries to fund the defense.
That creates a political problem.
“Japan still has room to intervene given the amount of securities it holds, but given comments from Bessent, selling US Treasuries to fund further intervention could end up attracting pressure from the US,” Japan Research Institute economist Akira Nishimura said.
That leaves the Bank of Japan carrying more of the burden.
Markets now price around 75 basis points of cumulative rate hikes by April 2027, according to HSBC. A quarter-point increase next week would take rates to 1.25%, extending the tightening path BeInCrypto highlighted after July’s inflation data.
BOJ board member Hajime Takata has already pushed for faster action, urging policymakers to move “nimbly” against rising inflation.
The remaining question is how fast the yen keeps rising. Bitcoin has survived the first shock. A more violent move would be the real test.
The post Bitcoin Just Survived the Yen Shock That Crushed Crypto 2 Years Ago appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Significance of the financial pledges amid fraught geopolitical tensions
The investment package is a strong “signal” that Europe is committed to Greenland’s growth and security, says Katja Bego, senior research fellow at think tank Chatham House’s Europe programme.
“Traditionally, before the situation now with Trump, the E.U. and Denmark itself have been accused of not paying quite enough attention to Greenland, especially not enough to genuinely support economic development there,” Bego tells TIME.
Trump’s threats towards the territory have “put a bit of urgency behind the E.U.’s efforts,” Bego adds, but notes there are also other factors, such as the economic benefits of critical mineral mining.
The emphasis on improving satellite communications in the Arctic region is particularly interesting, experts tell TIME, given Greenland’s previous rejection of Starlink, the satellite internet technology made by Elon Musk’s Space X.
Crypto World
Axis Robotics Open-Sources One of the Largest Franka Arm Simulation Datasets for Physical AI
Axis Robotics has released Axis Sim Dataset V1, one of the largest open-source simulation datasets for Franka arm manipulation, with the full dataset, training code, and benchmarks publicly available. V1 is built from more than 50,000 human-teleoperated simulation trajectories across 207 manipulation tasks and 60,000+ scene variants on a simulated Franka Research 3 arm.
This dataset drew over 160,000 downloads, making it the most downloaded open-source simulation Franka manipulation dataset on Hugging Face. In benchmarks, continual pretraining on V1 lifted π0.5 and beat a volume-matched RoboCasa baseline, with every result open and verifiable.
Axis Robotics is building the ultimate compounding data engine for Physical AI, a vertically integrated system spanning large-scale simulation, egocentric real-world capture, humanoid loco-manipulation, and human-gated DAgger post-training. The company raised $12 million in seed funding led by Hack VC, with participation from Nomad Capital, Pi Network Ventures, 10K Ventures, and angel investors.
A Bet Against “Clean Data Only”
A common assumption in robotics is that demonstrations must be near-optimal to begin with — filter down to expert trajectories, standardize the setup, and discard anything noisy before it is safe to imitate. Axis’s thesis runs the other way: data quality lives at the distribution level, not the single trajectory. When a large and diverse enough crowd produces noisy, suboptimal trajectories and their errors are uncorrelated, the noise averages out and a working policy survives during training.
Axis Sim Dataset V1 puts that thesis to a public test. Its trajectories span pick-and-place, stacking, pouring, articulated-object manipulation, and tool use, all collected through Axis’s browser-based teleoperation platform, Axis Hub, by a distributed crowd rather than a single expert team. The dataset was built with researchers from UC Berkeley, Johns Hopkins, the University of Michigan, and other institutions.
Results That Scale
On LIBERO-Plus, continual pretraining on V1 lifts π0.5 from 83.9% to 88.8% success and outperforms a volume-matched RoboCasa365 baseline by 37.3%. Performance improves consistently as pretraining data scales from 25% to 100% of the dataset, with no saturation in sight, evidence that the gains come from diversity and coverage rather than a one-off bump. The largest improvements appear under camera, sensor-noise, and layout perturbations, the exact axes Axis randomizes during generation.
The team says V2 is already underway, scaling to 1.2 million trajectories across 1,200 tasks, with cross-embodiment generalization and results across multiple VLA models showing that suboptimal simulation data trains robust policies.
The Engine Behind the Dataset
The dataset is one output of a larger, actively compounding data engine. Where a traditional data vendor collects to a fixed spec and stops, Axis uses model performance and failure cases to determine what should be collected next, so every training round informs the next. That engine runs on a hybrid strategy across four data lines, and all four now run at scale:
- Simulation: over 200,000 distributed contributors on Axis Hub, a top-3 dApp on Base, producing 4.7M+ trajectories across 13 embodiments.
- Egocentric: a managed network of 1,000+ full-time, QC-trained collectors capturing first-person activity in real homes and businesses across 14 industries: 200,000+ hours already banked and growing by 4,000+ hours every day, with Vicon-verified hand pose.
- Loco-manipulation: 500+ hours combining mobility and dexterity on real humanoids (Unitree G1, Booster T2) through hardware-agnostic teleoperation.
- Human-gated DAgger post-training: 500+ hours of human-in-the-loop correction targeted at deployment edge cases.
Every task and trajectory is recorded on-chain on Base for provenance, and contributors are rewarded for verified work quality.
From Open Data to Commercial Deployment
Beyond open-sourcing simulation data, Axis works directly with robot embodiment companies to build customized, embodiment-specific data pipelines and model priors.
As Booster Robotics’ first sim-data partner, Axis rebuilt Booster’s real workspace as a task-aligned digital twin, had distributed contributors collect 42,000+ simulation episodes on it, and distilled them into a Booster-specific model prior. With just 30 real-robot demos, that prior reached 87.5% success versus 37.5% for an out-of-the-box π0.5, matching π0.5 using half the real-world demonstrations.
Other partners span embodiment companies (Feagine Robotics), model companies (Manycore Tech, Dexmal) and industrial automation (Lotus Cars, Geely Auto). Axis also supplies on-chain robotics networks: BitRobot on Solana and OpenRoboto on Bittensor.
Redefining Physical AI’s Data Foundation
“The future of Physical AI isn’t a static dataset you download once,” said Chris Feng, founder of Axis Robotics. “It’s an engine that keeps producing the data the model needs next. Scale gets you broad coverage. Diversity keeps the noise unbiased. The closed loop turns every failure into progress. That’s what compounds.”
Axis was founded by researchers from UC Berkeley, CMU, Georgia Tech, and SJTU, alongside serial founders who have scaled consumer platforms to over 30 million users. Its research is advised by Jiachen Li, Assistant Professor at Georgia Tech.
Paper Link: https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.21588
Project Page: https://axisaiorg.github.io/AXIS-V1/
Dataset Link: https://huggingface.co/datasets/axisrobotics/Franka-Dataset
Github Codebase: https://github.com/AxisAIOrg/Axis-V1-Training
The post Axis Robotics Open-Sources One of the Largest Franka Arm Simulation Datasets for Physical AI appeared first on BeInCrypto.
The AfD has used Merz’s flip flop on the debt brake against him and is questioning defense spending on Ukraine.
Upon taking office in May 2025, a little over a year ago, Merz promised to revive Germany’s stagnant economy and increase defense spending to position the country as Europe’s de facto military leader. An antagonistic Russia and an unreliable America have left Germany with few alternatives. German businesses are suffering with high costs, American tariffs and intensifying competition from China.
Merz also made another defining promise: to beat back the AfD and restore the centrist CDU’s claim to being the true conservative party in Germany. Instead, the election in Saxony-Anhalt will amplify calls, including from within his own party, for him to step aside.
Merz’s blunders over the past year cannot be dismissed as the mistakes of a political novice. He is a seasoned operator who, unlike many of his German peers, has extensive experience in the private sector. He promised an ambitious program of reforms to tackle Germany’s welfare and pension programs, but his proposals were too tepid and too late. And his poor communication style has also overshadowed his efforts on curbing migration and his diplomatic campaign across Europe to sustain support for Ukraine.
As the AI hype train rumbles on, venture capitalists and private equity are pouring more and more money into sillier and sillier ideas.
Recently, Starcloud, a data centers-in-space company, has received nearly half a billion dollars in funding and over a $2 billion valuation for an idea that already seems almost impossible to execute — and it just made it even stupider.
Starcloud has decided to begin mining BTC in space.
Whether you like Bitcoin or hate it, this is crazy. One of the most important aspects of BTC mining has been, and always will be, the ability to obtain the cheapest energy for running miners.
Sometimes this means that mining companies will completely abandon previously profitable locations for new locations, sometimes it will mean replacing every miner they’re currently running, and occasionally it means completely altering the type of energy being utilized (instead of solar, resorting to coal or natural gas, using hydro or wind instead of coal, etc).
Running ASICs in space instantly becomes more expensive than running them on Earth because you have to factor in launch costs, how expensive radiating heat is, an inability to change to an alternative form of energy, and maintenance costs in orbit.
So now Starcloud isn’t only pursuing likely impossible goals in regard to data centers, it’s mining the most expensive BTC in the history of cryptocurrency.
Read more: Bitcoin’s 90-day correlation with gold hits nine-year high
Starcloud data centers in space is already a bad idea
Even without BTC mining, Starcloud’s entire business model appears to have been debunked by the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) and YouTuber Real Engineering.
If it’s going to be able to realize its ambitious goal of creating gigawatts worth of processing power in space, it would take tens of thousands of launches and require a solar array and radiator cluster that’s four kilometers long and nearly one kilometer wide.
For reference, SpaceX is currently conducting just over 100 launches a year and the International Space Station, which took 13 years to build, is only 100 meters by nearly 100 meters.
On top of this, Starcloud has already sent one Nvidia H100 GPU into space. However, it can’t run it at full power because the satellite gets overheated.
None of the issues and problems discussed so far have even touched on other obstacles facing Starcloud that are unsolvable for now.
For example, even data centers on earth need a steady stream of replacement parts and maintenance, which would both be far more expensive to take care of 500 kilometers away from earth.
Additionally, GPUs would be getting bombarded by far more radiation in orbit than they do in a cooled building on Earth.
This hasn’t stopped the CEO from pumping the concept and having rich people cheering him on. In a recent interview with Y Combinator founders and partners, the group of hyper-wealthy investors sitting around Philip Johnston failed to ask him any difficult questions at all while seemingly being ready to hand over more of their own cash to support him.
This is all to say that if Starcloud accomplishes even a fraction of what it’s set out to do, it will take it well over a decade and cost far more than the half billion it’s raised so far.
Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news and investigations, follow us on X, Bluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.
Polymarket Ukraine odds for a Russia ceasefire by December 31, 2026, have crashed to just 13%, down from 40% yesterday. The nearer-dated October 31 contract was priced lower, at a 7% implied probability. Both figures depend on a resolution rule that requires more than a diplomatic announcement.
The Polymarket event resolves Yes only if a ceasefire takes effect by 11:59 p.m. Eastern European Time on the stated date and remains continuously in force for at least 10 calendar days.
A ceasefire announced on December 30 that ends before the 10-calendar-day requirement is met would not satisfy the market’s rule. That creates a materially higher bar than a diplomatic announcement alone.
On the other hand, Kalshi does not have an active market for a possible ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia, opting instead for whether Zelensky will visit Russia this year and whether he and Putin will meet.
Check Out The Ukrainian Conflict Markets on Kalshi and Claim $25 For Free
Polymarket Ukraine Odds for a Ceasefire: What the 13% Price Does and Doesn’t Measure
— Megatron (@Megatron_ron) September 7, 2026
According to the Ukrainian media “Glavkom” the new Trump peace plan brought by Kushner & Witkoff is total surrender in front of Russia:
– Complete ceasefire
– Withdrawal of Ukrainian forces from Donbas and Zaporizhzhia Oblast with possible deployment of UN contingent there… pic.twitter.com/CQ3OZA0DLh
The pricing implies that a qualifying ceasefire by year-end remains unlikely, rather than simply indicating that talks or a temporary lull in fighting are unlikely.
Those are distinct outcomes under the market rules. A short pause, a partial agreement, or an announced truce that does not remain in effect for 10 full calendar days would not meet the condition for a Yes resolution.
The snapshot reports about $1.8M in total volume, $327,300 in liquidity, and $621,390 in open interest. The source also states that no trader count is provided and that the dated contracts share a single event structure.
As a result, reported market depth does not establish broad, independent participation, and prices across the October and December timeframes may reflect concentrated views or correlated positioning rather than separate assessments of each deadline.
The market summary identifies the European Union’s individual-sanctions rollover around September 15 as a near-term policy test of Western cohesion, pressure on Russia, and diplomatic room.
EU individual sanctions were extended through September 15. A renewal, loosening, or visible disagreement could alter expectations for negotiations and a durable ceasefire, although the source notes that policy signals need not produce a ceasefire.
Earn $50 and Enter $300K Prize Draw on EdgeX
Scenarios that Could Reprice the Contracts
The market summary says a year-end ceasefire would become more plausible if autumn diplomacy produced a framework that survived the 10-day continuity test, particularly after the UNGA period and sanctions-related signaling in September.
It identifies sustained talks, a monitored pause in attacks, or a formal settlement mechanism accepted by both sides as developments that could support such a framework.
Conversely, the summary says the December deadline could lose support if negotiations stall, sanctions harden, or the war escalates into winter.
Its October analysis similarly describes a fast diplomatic breakthrough around UNGA week and a shift in EU sanctions politics as factors that could be needed to reach the earlier deadline.
The EU’s individual sanctions rollover, with listings extended through September 15, remains a policy checkpoint noted in the market summary. The UN General Assembly’s high-level week follows shortly afterward and may provide a concentrated period for diplomatic signaling or initiatives.
New participation or large position changes on the Polymarket Ukraine odds of a ceasefire could also move reported odds independently of real-world developments.
Because the breadth of participation cannot be verified from the available data, market prices should be read alongside its specific resolution rules, shared event structure, liquidity, and the possibility of concentrated positioning.
Make Your Prediction Count With $25 For Free on Kalshi
The post Polymarket Ukraine Odds for Russia Ceasefire Slashed to 13% appeared first on Cryptonews.
Trump’s habit of renaming things—often after America or himself
It also follows Trump signing an Executive Order renaming Lake Ontario as “Lake America” on Aug. 27, amid a widening trade war with Canada. The change was met with widespread disapproval from both U.S. lawmakers and Canadian politicians, who vowed Lake Ontario will continue to be called by that name.
The order applies to U.S. federal references of the lake and does not determine how Canada—or others—refer to the body of water. U.S. users of Google Maps and Apple Maps, however, will notice the change reflected.
Trump has often turned to name changes as a show of power and a way to undermine his perceived adversaries.
Houthis accuse Saudi Arabia of a strike on a prison in northern Yemen, killing 7
Trump says Bombardier ‘must’ manufacture aircraft in the US
Zondacrypto Investigation Expands as Prosecutors Seek Detention
-
Fashion3 days agoWeekend Open Thread: Beyond Yoga
-
Crypto World3 days agoBitcoin price stalls near $82K as key resistance holds
-
Politics3 days agoBest Gaming Laptops, CPUs, TVs, And Keyboards To Upgrade Your Set Up For GTA VI
-
Tech3 days agoThe Birds Outside, Drawn For You Automatically
-
Crypto World3 days agoIMF Says El Salvador’s Post-Review Bitcoin Purchases Used No Public Funds
-
Crypto World3 days agoU.S. added stronger than expected 162,000 jobs in August as labor market bounced back
-
Sports3 days agoAlexandre Pato consortium’s Northampton Town investment approved
-
Sports3 days agoCommanders’ Chig Okonkwo is a top breakout fantasy football candidate
-
Sports3 days agoGolden Eaglets Drawn in Group B for 2026 WAFU B U17 Championship
-
Crypto World3 days agoXRP price breaks falling channel as bulls target $1.53
-
Politics4 days agoA new European chapter for Gibraltar
-
Politics3 days agoHow To Avoid Winter Colds: 4 Everyday Habits That Spread Germs, Says Pharmacist
-
Politics3 days agoThe House | Bin the lectures, bring gossip and be ready to banter: how the new PM should prepare for his Trump encounter
-
Crypto World3 days agoFrom warning to listing: UK’s largest retail investment platform opens access to crypto ETNs
-
Crypto World3 days agoFinCEN flags $12.7B tied to Southeast Asia crypto investment scams
-
Tech3 days agoA Worthy Android Ereader, With Some Tradeoffs
-
Tech3 days agoHow To Edit Claude’s Memory
-
Crypto World3 days agoTrezor Data Breach Impacts 67,000 More US Customers
-
Politics3 days ago33 Cosy Autumn Home Decor Ideas: Blankets, Pumpkin Decorations, And Candles
-
Tech3 days agobeyerdynamic AVENTHO Y Debuts at IFA 2026 and Makes Wireless Headphones Less Disposable
You must be logged in to post a comment Login