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Bitcoin STH Inflows Drop to 25,000 BTC as Panic Selling Eases

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • Bitcoin STH inflows have fallen to their lowest recorded level of 25,000 BTC.
  • Panic-driven selling by short-term holders has declined fourfold since February.
  • Reduced STH inflows ease immediate selling pressure on Bitcoin exchanges.
  • Bitcoin is in a consolidation phase after dropping more than 50% from its ATH.

Bitcoin STH inflows have dropped significantly, indicating calmer behavior among short-term holders. After Bitcoin fell below $60,000, panic selling pushed around 100,000 BTC to Binance in early February.

Since then, inflows from short-term holders have declined steadily, reaching roughly 25,000 BTC. This reduction suggests that the market is experiencing lower selling pressure, while Bitcoin navigates a consolidation phase following a steep correction.

Short-Term Holders Reduce Exchange Transfers

Bitcoin STH inflows were at a peak in early February when short-term holders moved large amounts to exchanges. Cryptoquant analyst Darkfost highlighted this in his analysis, noting the previous seven-day total of nearly 100,000 BTC to Binance.

Panic selling dominated this period, particularly among younger investors who are highly reactive to price fluctuations.

The trend has changed as inflows have now decreased by four times. Current seven-day transfers from short-term holders are around 25,000 BTC, the lowest recorded level. This shift reflects a stabilization in investor behavior as market volatility begins to ease.

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Reduced STH inflows mean less BTC is available for immediate selling on exchanges. Consequently, short-term selling pressure has diminished.

The market is now experiencing calmer conditions, which support a more balanced environment for Bitcoin.

Market Consolidation Continues Amid Stability

Bitcoin is currently in a consolidation phase following a drop of more than 50% from its last all-time high. Such phases are common after large and rapid devaluations. The decline in STH inflows complements this stabilization by reducing short-term market reactions.

Short-term holders, known for their sensitivity, are transferring less BTC to exchanges. This behavior indicates a slower pace of reactive selling.

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Analysts note that this adjustment helps maintain steadier market conditions amid ongoing economic and geopolitical challenges.

Lower selling activity aligns with reduced volatility and contributes to market equilibrium. Exchanges see fewer panic-driven transactions, allowing prices to find a more consistent range. While Bitcoin faces external pressures, STH activity suggests a measured response rather than abrupt reactions.

This pattern illustrates how the market adapts after rapid declines. The decreased movement of coins from short-term holders signals patience and a reduction in immediate supply pressure. The consolidation phase, combined with lower inflows, reflects a more orderly market environment.

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Crypto World

Aave’s TVL Falls $8B After $293M Kelp DAO Hack

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Aave’s TVL Falls $8B After $293M Kelp DAO Hack

Total value locked on decentralized lending protocol Aave dropped by nearly $8 billion over the weekend after hackers behind the $293 million Kelp DAO exploit borrowed funds on Aave, leaving roughly $195 million in “bad debt” on the protocol and triggering withdrawals.

Data from DeFiLlama shows that Aave’s TVL fell from about $26.4 billion to $18.6 billion by Sunday, losing the top spot as the largest DeFi protocol. 

Aave v3’s lending pools for USDt (USDT) and USDC (USDC) are now at 100% utilization, meaning that more than $5.1 billion worth of stablecoins cannot be withdrawn until new liquidity arrives or borrows are repaid. 

$2,540 is available to be withdrawn from the $2.87 billion USDT pool on Aave v3 at the time of writing. Source: Aave

Aave’s TVL fall shows how rapidly risk from a single security incident can spread throughout the broader, interconnected DeFi lending market, potentially leading to a severe liquidity crisis.

The incident began on Saturday when hackers stole 116,500 Kelp DAO Restaked ETH (rsETH) tokens worth about $293 million from Kelp DAO’s LayerZero-powered bridge and used them as collateral on Aave v3 to borrow wrapped Ether (wETH).

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Crypto analytics platform Lookonchain said the move created about $195 million in “bad debt” on Aave, which contributed to the Aave (AAVE) token tanking nearly 20% from $112 on Saturday at 6:00 pm UTC to $89.5 about 25 hours later. 

Lookonchain noted that some of the largest crypto whales to withdraw funds from Aave were the MEXC crypto exchange and Abraxas Capital at $431 million and $392 million, respectively.

Source: Grvt

Several crypto networks and protocols tied to rsETH or the LayerZero bridge have paused use of the bridge until the problem is resolved, including DeFi platform Curve Finance, stablecoin issuer Ethena and BitGo’s Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC).

Aave has frozen several rsETH, wETH markets

Shortly after the Kelp DAO exploit, Aave said it froze the rsETH markets on both Aave v3 and v4 to prevent any suspicious borrowing and later stated that rsETH on Ethereum mainnet remains fully backed by underlying assets.

WETH reserves also remain frozen on Ethereum, Arbitrum, Base, Mantle and Linea, Aave said.

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This incident marks the first significant stress test of Aave’s “Umbrella” security model, which was introduced in June 2025 to provide automated protection against protocol bad debt while enabling users to earn rewards.

Related: Aave DAO backs V4 mainnet plan in near-unanimous vote

Earlier this month, the Bank of Canada found that Aave avoided bad debt in its v3 market by using overcollateralization, automated liquidations and other strategies that shifted risk to borrowers.

In comments to Cointelegraph, Aave defended its liquidation-based model, framing it as a core safety mechanism that protects lenders while limiting downside for borrowers.

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It comes as Aave parted ways with its longest-standing DeFi risk service provider, Chaos Labs, on April 6, following disagreements over the direction of Aave v4 and budget constraints.

Magazine: Are DeFi devs liable for the illegal activity of others on their platforms?