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Can XRP hold this key level and avoid a drop to $1.15?

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Can XRP break $100 in a single day? Retail investors are searching for passive income opportunities

Ripple’s native token (XRP) stayed under pressure on Friday as traders watched a key chart level and fresh signals from the Ripple ecosystem. 

Summary

  • XRP trades near $1.34 after recent declines as analysts identify a critical decision zone.
  • Analysts say reclaiming $1.80 and breaking $2.20 would confirm stronger upside momentum for XRP.
  • Ripple adds AI security tools while institutional exposure like Goldman Sachs positions remains active.

CoinGecko data showed XRP at about $1.34 on Friday, with a 24-hour trading volume near $2.61 billion. The same data showed XRP down about 3% on the day and about 8% over the past seven days, with a market capitalization near $81.9 billion.

Crypto analyst EGRAG CRYPTO said XRP was at a “very sensitive level” and described the current area as a point where market direction could be decided. The analyst said a hold at this zone could support a move higher, while a break could send XRP toward deeper support around $1.15.

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EGRAG also said the weekly structure matters more than short-term noise. In the post, the analyst pointed to $1.80 as a reclaim level and said a break and hold above $2.20 would be needed for stronger upside confirmation.

The analyst compared the current setup with earlier cycle behavior and said the signal had previously marked a zone near major bottoms rather than the exact low. “The cross marked a ZONE, not the exact bottom,” the post said.

Ripple adds AI tools to XRPL security process

Ripple said it is adding AI-assisted testing, a dedicated red team, and stricter review standards to strengthen XRP Ledger security before code reaches production. The company said the goal is to improve reliability as XRPL supports payments, tokenized assets, and institutional use cases.

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Ripple said the new process will use AI across the XRPL development lifecycle to scan for vulnerabilities, review code changes, and model threat scenarios. The company said this work is part of the next phase of XRPL growth as network complexity increases.

Moreover, reports this week said Goldman Sachs disclosed more than $152 million in XRP ETF exposure through a recent SEC filing. That figure suggested that some institutional investors are still maintaining XRP-linked positions through structured products even as price action remains weak.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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Retail FUD Sentiment Rises as Bitcoin Falls Below $70,000: What Are The Implications?

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After a brief improvement in sentiment, fear has returned to the crypto market and continues to dominate social discussions. Bitcoin has dropped back below $70,000, raising concerns among retail investors.

Although negative sentiment is spreading across social media, on-chain data paints a more complex picture of retail investors’ actual role.

Retail FUD Sentiment Surges. Will Bitcoin Recover?

Blockchain analytics platform Santiment recently recorded a spike in negative Bitcoin-related keywords on social media.

Terms such as “dip” and “crash” appear frequently in BTC discussions. This reflects a significantly elevated level of FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt) among retail investors.

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Santiment notes that extreme pessimism among retail investors often serves as a contrarian signal. When negativity becomes overwhelming, the market tends to recover as selling pressure nears exhaustion.

“Words like #dip, #pullback, #rejection, #crash, or #bloodbath, it’s usually a safe time to BUY,” Santiment stated.

Bitcoin Price vs Retail Sentiment. Source: Santiment.
Bitcoin Price vs Retail Sentiment. Source: Santiment.

Santiment’s chart illustrates this logic over the past year.

However, the picture goes beyond sentiment alone. A report from CryptoQuant reveals a concerning divergence between trading volume and the actual market share of retail investors.

Zizcrypto, an analyst at CryptoQuant, reported that the 30-day average small trade volume (0–$1,000) from retail stands at $96 million. This level aligns with the market bottom in early 2023.

Meanwhile, retail trading share (0–$10,000) has steadily declined since early 2023. It has dropped from over 2.4% to ~0.7% and has now stabilized.

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The divergence between trading volume and market share suggests that retail investors remain active, but their structural role in the market is no longer expanding.

Bitcoin Retail Volume Tracker. Source: CryptoQuant.
Bitcoin Retail Volume Tracker. Source: CryptoQuant.

“In this context, retail participation is primarily concentrated in short-term reactive flows rather than sustained engagement,” Zizcrypto stated.

Therefore, Santiment’s view may hold in the short term. However, it is difficult to use it as a basis for predicting a reversal similar to early 2023.

The latest analysis from BeInCrypto indicates that if Bitcoin closes a daily candle below $68,930, the price could continue to decline toward $65,550.

The post Retail FUD Sentiment Rises as Bitcoin Falls Below $70,000: What Are The Implications? appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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NYSE Owner ICE Pours Another $600 Million Into Polymarket

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NYSE Owner ICE Pours Another $600 Million Into Polymarket

Intercontinental Exchange has now deployed nearly $2 billion into the onchain prediction market, underscoring Wall Street’s growing conviction that event-based trading is here to stay.

Intercontinental Exchange, the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, on Friday announced a new $600 million direct cash investment in Polymarket, completing the exchange operator’s structured investment arrangement with the prediction market platform.

The investment is part of a broader equity capital fundraise by Polymarket, according to a press release from ICE. The company also expects to purchase up to $40 million in Polymarket securities from existing holders, which would close out its obligations under the deal first announced in October 2025. The valuation of Friday’s investment is expected to be disclosed after Polymarket completes its fundraising.

ICE made an initial $1 billion direct investment in Polymarket at that time, in what was the largest single investment ever made in a prediction market company. That deal valued Polymarket at roughly $8 billion pre-investment and established ICE as a global distributor of Polymarket’s event-driven data.

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ICE’s interest in Polymarket extends beyond a passive equity stake. In February, ICE launched the Polymarket Signals and Sentiment Tool, a product that normalizes real-time and historical prediction market data into structured feeds for institutional traders. The tool packages Polymarket’s crowd-sourced probability assessments as market signals alongside traditional financial instruments.

Prediction Market Arms Race

The capital injection comes amid an unprecedented wave of institutional investment into prediction markets. Rival platform Kalshi raised approximately $1 billion at a $22 billion valuation earlier this month in a round led by Coatue Management. Polymarket is reportedly targeting a valuation of around $20 billion in its current round, according to The Wall Street Journal.

Prediction market monthly volumes have grown 130-fold since early 2024, making it one of the fastest-growing categories in finance. Open interest across platforms crossed $1 billion for the first time in February.

Regulatory Crosswinds

The investment arrives against a complex regulatory backdrop. The CFTC recently issued an advance notice of proposed rulemaking signaling its intent to build a comprehensive regulatory framework for prediction markets. Meanwhile, some lawmakers have introduced legislation that would block prediction markets from offering contracts on war and sports outcomes.

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At the state level, regulators continue to challenge the industry — Arizona’s attorney general recently filed criminal charges against Kalshi, alleging it operates an illegal gambling business in the state.

Still, institutional capital appears undeterred by the regulatory uncertainty. For ICE, the completion of its nearly $2 billion investment arrangement signals that one of the world’s largest market infrastructure operators views prediction markets not as a passing novelty but as a category that may eventually sit alongside equities, futures, and fixed income.

This article was written with the assistance of AI workflows. All our stories are curated, edited and fact-checked by a human.

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Bitcoin Slumps on Oil Fears as March Monthly Close Risks Deeper Sell-Off

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Bitcoin Slumps on Oil Fears as March Monthly Close Risks Deeper Sell-Off

Bitcoin grabbed downside liquidity as oil-supply pressure sent BTC price action below $66,500 to its lowest levels since March 9.

Bitcoin (BTC) neared three-week lows into Friday’s Wall Street open amid reports of Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz oil route.

Key points:

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  • Bitcoin reacts badly to fresh oil-supply threats ahead of Friday’s Wall Street open.

  • BTC price action hunts bid liquidity, continuing a week of low-time frame liquidity grabs.

  • Another bear flag threatens to send the market below $50,000, analysis says.

Bitcoin eyes range lows into monthly close

Data from TradingView showed BTC price action slipping below $66,500 ahead of the Wall Street open.

BTC/USD four-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

US stocks futures trended down and US WTI crude oil eyed $97 per barrel as geopolitical tensions refused to let up.

Data from CoinGlass showed BTC/USD eating into a ladder of bid liquidity extending down to $65,000, with a wall of asks keeping price pinned below the $70,000 mark.

BTC liquidation heatmap (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

“$70-71k confirmed as resistance again,” trader Jelle wrote in analysis on X the day prior. 

“Still a bunch of liquidity built up below, generally not what you see at market bottoms. Expecting that liquidity to be taken out; sooner or later.”

BTC/USD chart. Source: Jelle/X

The latest market moves continued a theme of liquidity grabs seen throughout the week.

Continuing, crypto trader Michaël Van de Poppe said that he would not be “surprised” about further BTC price weakness into the March monthly candle close.

“Especially given that we’re currently anticipating a potential sweep of the lows,” he told X followers on the day. 

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“In that case, I remain to be interested to be buying in the lower $60K regions.”

BTC/USDT one-day chart. Source: Michaël Van de Poppe/X

BTC price gets $41,000 “measured target”

On longer time frames, market participants focused on a potential bearish support breakdown from Bitcoin’s second bear flag construction of 2026.

Related: US recession odds near 50%: Can Bitcoin copy 2020 comeback gains?

Previously occurring in January, the current bear flag has produced targets below $50,000.

“Bitcoin setting up for a rising wedge sell signal,” veteran trader Peter Brandt warned on Wednesday, joining those calls.

BTC/USDT one-day chart. Source: Peter Brandt/X

In his own X update, trader and educator Aaron Dishner continued the bearish tone around the flag structure.

“BTC is doing exactly what the bear flag setup called for. Price broke below the cloud yesterday on the daily, and today opened below it – currently down just 0.32% but that’s not a recovery, that’s hesitation,” he commented. 

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“The measured target from the January 14th high to the February 6th low, applied to the current flag structure, puts the downside at $41K.”