Crypto World
CFTC Chair Seeks to Reverse $5M Gemini Deal, Claims Political Motive
US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Chair Michael Selig has framed enforcement actions taken against Gemini as politically targeted by the Biden administration, arguing that the agency should reset its posture to a nonpartisan baseline. In remarks sent to mainstream media and reproduced in part in a CNBC interview, Selig contended that enforcement has been weaponized and pledged a fresh start focused on rule of law rather than politics. He also signaled that recent staff reductions in the agency may reflect an emphasis on addressing what he characterized as “lawfare” against the crypto industry.
“The Biden administration weaponized the federal agencies against the crypto industry and many other industries,” Selig stated. “They politically targeted people like the Winklevoss twins, and that’s not acceptable. We’re righting those wrongs. We’re gonna start fresh. The agency should not be used to engage in lawfare.”
According to the context provided by Cointelegraph, Selig’s remarks come as the CFTC pursued a nuanced realignment of its enforcement approach after a period of controversy surrounding Gemini. The agency, under his leadership, has also moved to reverse a prior settlement against Gemini—an action the commission described as part of its ongoing effort to revisit and, where appropriate, correct past positions.
In the same timeframe, the CFTC sought a federal court’s intervention to vacate a $5 million settlement with Gemini that had been reached in January 2025, prior to Selig’s accession as chair. Gemini’s co-founders, Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss, have longstanding political ties, including donations to Donald Trump’s 2024 campaign and attendance at White House events related to administration initiatives, including the GENIUS Act’s signature ceremony. Selig declined to discuss the specifics of the Gemini matter, noting that the investigation and litigation remain active, but underscored the broader aim of ensuring enforcement actions reflect neutral, nonpolitical application of the law.
“I’m not going to get into the facts, because this is an active investigation, litigation, but what is important here is that to the extent the agency was used to politically target folks, we’re reversing that, and we’re starting fresh,” Selig told CNBC in the interview. Cointelegraph notes that this framing fits into a broader narrative about regulatory reorientation under the current leadership.
Key takeaways
- The CFTC chair alleges political targeting of Gemini’s founders by the Biden administration, framing enforcement as partisan prior to his tenure.
- The agency moved to vacate a previously agreed $5 million settlement with Gemini, signaling a broader reexamination of past actions.
- Selig positions federal commodities law as superseding state prerogatives in certain market structures, reinforcing a centralized enforcement stance.
Gemini settlement, litigation, and enforcement posture
Under Michael Selig, the CFTC has actively pursued steps aimed at recalibrating prior enforcement outcomes. In a development cited by outlets familiar with the matter, the commission asked a federal court to vacate the January 2025 Gemini settlement, a move that would undo the framework of the previously agreed resolution. The timing and rationale for the move appear to align with Selig’s stated objective of “starting fresh” and ensuring enforcement actions are grounded in robust legal merit rather than political considerations. While the agency has not disclosed detailed grounds for seeking to unwind the settlement, the action underscores a willingness to revisit high-profile cases that occurred before his tenure.
Gemini’s founders, Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss, have publicly engaged in U.S. political fundraising and policy events in recent years, including help for President Trump’s campaign and participation in administration-led initiatives such as GENIUS Act signings. While Selig declined to discuss the factual matrix of the Gemini case during interview remarks, he reiterated that the ongoing investigation and litigation will dictate the procedural trajectory, even as he asserts a broader corrective aim at the agency’s enforcement posture.
Analysts note that this move—if sustained—could carry significant implications for normalization and predictability of CFTC enforcement, particularly for crypto platforms that navigated earlier settlements. It also frames the Gemini matter within a broader discourse about the independence of investigative actions from political influence, a concern repeatedly raised by lawmakers and industry observers.
Federal law, state authority, and the regulatory landscape
In his public statements and policy orientation, Selig has reaffirmed the CFTC’s stance that federal commodities law can supersede state regulations in certain domains—most notably in the governance of prediction markets. The agency has pursued litigation against state authorities, including Minnesota, challenging restive measures to curtail or ban such platforms. This posture signals a continued push to centralize regulatory authority over core crypto-futures and related markets, reinforcing a federal framework for compliance and enforcement that may limit state-level maneuvering by policymakers and market participants alike.
These dynamics come at a moment when U.S. policymakers, regulators, and industry participants are wrestling with a complex patchwork of jurisdictional authority, licensing regimes, and cross-border compliance considerations. The enforcement approach described by Selig—emphasizing the primacy of federal standards—could influence how crypto exchanges and prediction-market operators structure products, manage risk, and coordinate with supervising authorities across states and, where relevant, international jurisdictions.
Conversations around leadership and governance within the CFTC have intensified in 2025 and 2026, as resignations and departures contributed to Selig’s status as the agency’s sole commissioner. The absence of a complete bipartisan panel raises questions about policy continuity and the breadth of perspectives shaping rulemaking and enforcement priorities. In public statements, lawmakers have urged President Trump to nominate a bipartisan slate of commissioners to restore a full five-member leadership body, though no new appointments had been announced as of the latest briefings. The evolving leadership dynamic adds a layer of regulatory risk for firms seeking stable, long-term compliance expectations from the agency.
Legal and policy implications for the industry
The described reset carries practical implications for crypto firms, including exchanges, lenders, and market participants engaged in derivative-like products and paid-of-interest structures. A renewed emphasis on nonpartisan enforcement could affect risk management, internal investigations, and the cadence of regulatory disclosures. For entities operating in the United States, the shift may influence how material enforcement actions are communicated to investors, and how compliance frameworks are structured to withstand potential policy pivots at the federal level.
The policy trajectory also intersects with broader regulatory initiatives, including ongoing discussions around stablecoins, banking access, licensing regimes, and cross-border regulatory alignment. While specific rulemakings are not detailed in Selig’s public remarks, the broader context points to heightened scrutiny of crypto-native products under a centralized enforcement paradigm, with potential ripple effects on ancillary services such as custody, settlement, and risk management infrastructures.
Closing perspective
As the CFTC continues its review of past actions and charts a path toward what Selig describes as a “fresh start,” industry observers will monitor how the agency balances enforcement rigor with procedural fairness and transparency. The Gemini matter, the leadership question at the agency, and the broader federal-state dynamic together illustrate a regulatory landscape in flux—one that could shape compliance expectations, product design, and cross-border operations for years to come.
Crypto World
Warren Buffett AI Agent (WarrenAI) Predicts Incredible Bitcoin Price by The End of 2026
The number that stands out from Warren AI Bitcoin price predicts is not $140,000 or even $200,000. It is $50,000 to $55,000, because that is the bear case floor, and the fact that it frames that level as resilience rather than disaster tells you everything about how it views Bitcoin’s current position in the market cycle.
With BTC at $66,500, the downside scenario is a 17% to 25% pullback. The upside scenario is a 2x to 3x. That asymmetry is the whole argument.
The bull thesis runs on 3 converging forces. The post-halving supply cycle is still playing out, institutional infrastructure keeps deepening with every ETF filing and corporate treasury allocation, and macro conditions that are currently a headwind eventually rotate back to favoring scarce hard assets.
Warren AI is not predicting when those catalysts converge; it is predicting that when they do, the market cap math gets interesting fast.
A $140,000 to $200,000 Bitcoin implies a $3T to $4T market cap, which sounds aggressive until you remember gold alone sits north of $20T.
The bear case earns its place too. Higher-for-longer rates, tighter regulation, and a wave of crypto deleveraging could all conspire to push BTC back into the $50,000 to $55,000 band.
But the word choice is deliberate, resilient floor, not breakdown, not capitulation. Even Warren AI’s pessimistic scenario is framed as a buying opportunity rather than a trend change.
Bitcoin Price Prediction: The Bounce That Could Change Everything
What makes this moment interesting on the chart is that BTC just did something it has not done convincingly in months. It bounced.
Price sits at $66,572 after printing a low near $60,000 earlier this month, and that recovery candle off the June low is the first real sign of demand stepping in at a structurally meaningful level.
The $60,000 to $62,000 zone has now been tested twice this year, held twice, and rejected sellers both times. That is not a coincidence; it is the market telling you where the buyers live.
The overhead picture is less comfortable. Every recovery attempt since the $126,000 peak has rolled over, and the $70,000 to $72,000 region is now loaded with trapped longs from the May selloff who will be looking to exit.
Getting through that supply pocket cleanly is the real test before any conversation about $80,000 or beyond becomes credible.
The RSI is the most compelling piece of this right now. It is reading 44.87 with the signal line way down at 27.16, a gap of nearly 18 points.
That is not a small divergence. RSI spent weeks pinned in the oversold basement while price ground lower, and now it has ripped back through its average with serious velocity.
That kind of momentum recovery, especially when it leads price rather than follows it, tends to precede sustained bounces rather than fakeouts.
It does not guarantee the $140,000 case plays out, but it strongly suggests the $60,000 low is more likely a launchpad than a waystation on the way to $50,000. Warren AI’s end-of-year target starts with surviving this zone, and right now, the chart says the bulls are doing exactly that.
You Might Like What Warren AI Predicts About LiquidChain
The money that wins cycles never announces where it is going.
Large caps are not broken. They are out of the room. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP have been testing the same ceilings for weeks. Every macro catalyst has a new arrival date. Every institutional wave has a new quarter attached. Waiting on someone else’s decision is not a trade. It is a waiting room.
Capital that understands cycles moves before the destination has a name.
Small market cap infrastructure plays operate on physics large caps cannot replicate. A rotation that vanishes as noise at Bitcoin’s scale reprices an undiscovered project by multiples. The opportunity exists in the gap between what something is genuinely worth and what the market has assigned it. That gap closes permanently the moment discovery happens.
Multi-chain fragmentation has never been solved. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana exist as completely isolated systems with no shared architecture and no native interoperability. Every time value crosses those boundaries it pays for that in fees, slippage, and failed transactions. Every single time.
Warren AI predicts LiquidChain makes that crossing free. All 3 networks inside one execution environment. Single deployment. Complete ecosystem access. No tax on any interaction.
The presale is at $0.01454 with just over $830,000 raised. Early and undiscovered.
Execution is unproven. Adoption is unknown. Established assets offer predictability toward a ceiling the market already sees. LiquidChain is an entry point that disappears once the market finds it.
Explore the LiquidChain Presale
The post Warren Buffett AI Agent (WarrenAI) Predicts Incredible Bitcoin Price by The End of 2026 appeared first on Cryptonews.
Bitcoin has staged a notable recovery over the past few days after a sharp correction drove the asset toward a major demand zone around $60K.
The rebound appears to have been fueled in part by improving macro sentiment following the preliminary peace agreement between the U.S. and Iran, which significantly reduced geopolitical uncertainty and boosted risk appetite across global markets.
The easing of tensions triggered a broad rally in risk assets while supporting Bitcoin’s recovery from recent lows.
Bitcoin Price Analysis: The Daily Chart
On the daily timeframe, BTC remains within a broader corrective structure despite the recent bounce from the $60K psychological support zone.
This area once again attracted substantial demand, producing a strong reaction and allowing buyers to regain some control in recent sessions. However, Bitcoin is now approaching its first significant resistance cluster around $65K-$67K, which previously acted as support before turning into supply following the breakdown.
The current rebound appears constructive, but the broader structure remains bearish in the short term. BTC continues to trade below the broken channel and beneath the major resistance region around $72K-$74K. As a result, the ongoing move could still be interpreted as a relief rally unless buyers manage to reclaim higher supply levels.
Should Bitcoin face rejection from the current $65K-$67K supply zone, another corrective move toward the $62K support area remains a realistic scenario. Conversely, a successful breakout above this region would expose the next resistance zone around $72K-$74K.
BTC/USDT 4-Hour Chart
The 4-hour chart reveals that Bitcoin has recovered steadily from the recent bottom near $60K, forming a rising wedge/flag pattern while climbing from the lower boundary of the demand zone.
The latest surge has pushed the asset directly into the first supply zone between roughly $65.5K and $68K. This area represents the most important short-term obstacle for bulls, as it coincides with a previous consolidation range that eventually triggered the sharp breakdown.
Although momentum has improved considerably following the geopolitical developments, the market is now testing a region where sellers may attempt to regain control. A rejection from the current supply zone could lead to a pullback toward the wedge support and potentially the $62K-$63K area.
If buyers manage to absorb the supply and establish acceptance above $68K, the probability of a deeper recovery toward the higher resistance cluster near $72K-$74K would increase significantly. Until then, the price remains vulnerable to short-term retracements after the recent impulsive move.
Onchain Analysis
The UTXO Age Bands Realized Price chart provides an interesting view of investor positioning during the recent correction.
Bitcoin is currently trading below the realized price of the 1M-3M holder cohort, which is positioned around $75K, while remaining above the realized price of the 18M-2Y cohort near $74K. These levels often act as important psychological zones because they represent the average acquisition cost of different groups of market participants.
The recent decline below the short-term holders’ cost basis suggests that many newer investors are currently holding unrealized losses, a condition that typically weighs on market sentiment during corrections.
The continued upward trend in both realized price cohorts also suggests that capital entered the market aggressively throughout the previous advance. While this does not eliminate the possibility of additional downside volatility, it supports the view that the current phase resembles a correction within a larger cycle rather than a complete trend reversal.
For now, on-chain data remains constructive, but from a technical perspective, Bitcoin is approaching a critical resistance area where the recent relief rally may face its first meaningful challenge. A temporary pullback from the $65K-$68K region would therefore not be surprising before the market attempts a larger recovery.
The post Bitcoin Price Analysis: Can BTC Extend Its Rally After Reclaiming $66K? appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Moonrock Capital founder Simon Dedic has said that if the United States and Iran actually sign a peace deal on June 19 as has been reported, it could mark the start of a major rally across risk assets, considering how they behaved when past conflicts ended.
His argument is that, as the most volatile major asset class, crypto would be the first to benefit once the macro pressure from the situation in the Middle East eases.
The Case for a Crypto Rally
In a post on X published on June 15, Dedic started off with a disclaimer, saying that trying to predict anything based on what US President Donald Trump says or does was “a fool’s game.”
He compared the head of state’s unpredictability to that of his Official Trump meme coin (up over 20% in the past week), but he argued that if indeed the Iran deal gets signed as planned this coming Friday, the setup looks a lot like previous moments when conflict-related uncertainty cleared out of markets all at once.
For example, when the Korean War ended, the S&P 500 gained 44% in the following year, according to Dedic. It was the same after the Iraq war, with the S&P 500 rising 25% in the year after the guns went quiet. The analyst also pointed out that in 19 out of 20 conflicts that came after the Second World War, markets took an average of just 28 days to fully recover the minute hostilities stopped completely.
Per his assessment, the Iran war has been the biggest reason why risk appetite has been so low lately. He noted that Bitcoin (BTC) was sitting near $65,000, down almost 48% from its all-time high, with many altcoins faring even worse. But if that overhang gets removed, Dedic expects crypto to reprice quickly, considering how closely it follows changes in risk sentiment.
“Everyone who’s been looking like an idiot for the last few months will soon look like a genius,” he wrote.
Trump confirmed the “Great Deal” in a post on Truth Social, with market commentary account The Kobeissi Letter saying that the proposed agreement would extend the current ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and kick off negotiations around Iran’s nuclear program. It will also reportedly lead to discussions regarding the lifting of sanctions against the Islamic Republic as well as unfreezing its funds, including about $1 billion in crypto seized under Operation Economic Fury.
Markets Are Already Rebounding
Indeed, there was a reaction in the market soon after Trump’s post, with S&P 500 futures going up 0.8% and their Nasdaq counterparts gaining 1.3%, while BTC moved to its highest level in almost two weeks.
Ethereum (ETH) also climbed back above $1,800 after languishing below that level since June 5, only briefly coming up for air on June 9 when it hit $1,700, per CoinGecko data, before promptly diving back under.
Others like XRP, Solana, and Cardano also posted notable results following news of the peace deal, but among the majors, Hyperliquid had the best uptick, with its price just above $68 at the time of writing representing a 10% increase in one day.
The post Analyst Predicts ‘Massive Bull Rally’ if US-Iran Peace Deal Is Signed appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Standard Chartered’s head of digital assets research Geoffrey Kendrick says bitcoin may have already put in its low for the current market cycle, arguing that a combination of improving investor flows, corporate buying and easing macroeconomic pressures points to a stronger recovery ahead.
The latest call marks a shift in sentiment after several months in which crypto markets struggled with rising geopolitical tensions, concerns about inflation and persistent outflows from U.S. spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs.)
Last Friday, Kendrick told clients he believed bitcoin’s decline to roughly $59,000 represented the cycle low. At the time, however, he outlined three developments he wanted to see before gaining more confidence in that view: renewed bitcoin purchases by Strategy (MSTR), a return to positive ETF inflows and continued weakness in oil prices.
By Monday, all three had materialized.
Strategy, the largest corporate holder of bitcoin, disclosed that it purchased another 1,587 BTC last week. U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs posted net inflows of $86 million on Friday after a stretch of notable redemptions. Oil prices also continued to move lower, reducing concerns that higher energy costs could push inflation and bond yields upward.
An attacker drained roughly $2.1 million from a deprecated Aztec Connect smart contract on Sunday, three years after the privacy bridge was shut down, by abusing a flaw in how the contract verified zero-knowledge proofs. The exploit hit the RollupProcessorV3 contract at around 8:26 a.m. ET Sunday,… Read the full story at The Defiant
Crypto World
Bitcoin Tops $67,000 to Two-Week High After Trump Declares US-Iran Deal Complete and Hormuz Reopening
Bitcoin pushed above $67,000 on Monday, its highest level in roughly two weeks, after President Trump said the US-Iran deal was "complete" and that he had authorized reopening the Strait of Hormuz. The largest cryptocurrency traded around $67,170, up 4.9% over 24 hours, touching an intraday high… Read the full story at The Defiant
Ventuals is shutting down its on-chain pre-IPO trading platform and folding its team into another project building on Hyperliquid. The wind-down ends one of the first venues that let traders take leveraged positions on the valuations of private companies like OpenAI and Anthropic. The platform… Read the full story at The Defiant
The rest of the Clarity Act depends on that guarantee, because there is no digital asset market to regulate if the people who build it cannot afford to build it in the U.S. The provision survived the committee markup intact, despite a filed amendment that would have gutted it, and it must stay in through the final vote, fully and without dilution.
Here is why this matters to people who will never read a word of the statute. The engineers who write this software, from core Solana contributors to the designers of new DeFi protocols, publish code that anyone in the world can download and use. They hold no money. They cannot freeze an account or move funds, because they never touch them. Treating a software developer like a bank teller makes about as much sense as calling an email app’s engineer a mail carrier. Treasury’s 2019 FinCEN guidance already recognized that merely providing software or network tools used by money transmitters does not, by itself, make someone a money transmitter. The BRCA aligns the criminal code with that standard.
When laws are murky, regulators and prosecutors fill the gap. Treasury has pursued builders who wrote and released software but never held a customer’s assets. The conviction of Tornado Cash developer Roman Storm for conspiring to operate an unlicensed money transmitting business is the case people know, and it fits a pattern that should worry anyone who cares about American innovation. Cases like it are already pushing developers overseas.
Crypto World
Wallet V Launches Public Performance Benchmark for AI Trading Agents on Hyperliquid and Aster
[PRESS RELEASE – Road Town, British Virgin Islands, June 15th, 2026]
Wallet V, a self-custody Web3 wallet, launched a public performance benchmark for the AI trading agents that its users have configured on the third-party decentralized derivatives platforms Hyperliquid and Aster. The benchmark publishes aggregate cohort performance and is hosted on the Wallet V website.
The benchmark covers 688 agents created by Wallet V users over the prior two months. Each agent was configured by the user, used a large language model selected by the user to generate trading decisions, and executed on Hyperliquid or Aster. Wallet V aggregates the on-platform performance of those agents by underlying model. Performance is refreshed as new agents are deployed.
The cohort spans seven large language model families. Across the cohort, 42 percent of agents recorded a profit and loss balance of zero or higher over the period. Peak agent-level return on investment in the dataset ranged from negative 30 percent on the lowest-performing model to positive 307 percent on the highest. Models represented by fewer than 10 agents in the cohort are reported as directional rather than statistically conclusive.
Agents in the cohort executed strategies as perpetual futures across four asset classes available on Hyperliquid and Aster. These include major digital assets such as BTC, ETH, and SOL; equities, including pre-initial public offering equity exposure; commodities including gold, silver, and oil benchmarks; and major foreign exchange pairs. All instruments are accessed through third-party venues.
“At Wallet V, the focus has been on building infrastructure for the next phase of crypto. This benchmark is what that next phase looks like up close. Users now decide which AI model to configure their agent in the same way institutions evaluate managers, by reviewing observable performance over time,” said Adam Cai, Founder & CEO of Virgo Group.
Wallet V plans to extend the benchmark in subsequent releases. Future releases include the addition of newer model families, support for prediction markets, advanced analytics features for copilot trading and personalized AI prompt generation tailored to each user’s trading style.
The Wallet V applications for iOS and Android are available at dl.walletv.io.
About Wallet V
Wallet V is a Web3 self-custody wallet that gives users access to third-party AI models to configure AI agents and execute user-defined trading strategies. The application connects to third-party platforms supporting cross-chain swaps, perpetual futures, prediction markets, and onchain exposure to tokenized equities.
Wallet V is an incubation project by Virgo Group, a digital asset service provider led by CEO Adam Cai. Virgo Group is backed by investors including Draper Dragon, OKX Ventures, Vaulta Foundation, Cobo Ventures, Waterdrip Capital, and Sora Ventures.
Disclaimer
Trading crypto, perpetual contracts, tokenized assets, and prediction markets involves significant risk of loss and is offered by third-party platforms. Wallet V is a software provider that connects to external platforms and does not offer trading services or AI automation tools directly or indirectly. Wallet V does not provide investment, tax, or legal advice. Access to certain products may be restricted in some jurisdictions.
The post Wallet V Launches Public Performance Benchmark for AI Trading Agents on Hyperliquid and Aster appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Standard Chartered is projecting a major expansion of decentralized finance activity tied to tokenized assets, forecasting that the total value of tokenized assets actively used in DeFi could rise from today’s small base to roughly $2.7 trillion by the end of 2030.
In a research note released on Monday, Geoff Kendrick, head of digital assets research at Standard Chartered, said the growth would be powered by two streams: tokenized real-world assets (RWAs) finding their way into onchain lending, liquidity and trading venues, and crypto-native assets being routed through DeFi protocols.
Key takeaways
- Standard Chartered expects tokenized assets active in DeFi to grow 37x to about $2.7 trillion by 2030.
- Only a small portion of currently circulating stablecoins and tokenized RWAs are used in DeFi today, according to the bank.
- Standard Chartered forecasts the share of tokenized value used in DeFi to increase to 30% by 2030, from around 3.5% currently.
- The bank sees Uniswap as a plausible hub for tokenized markets as more assets move onchain.
- Other industry voices warn that tokenization alone does not ensure liquidity or unified markets, and may increase fragmentation.
Standard Chartered’s 2030 DeFi tokenization forecast
Kendrick’s central estimate is that the amount of tokenized assets “active in DeFi” will expand by a factor of 37 by the end of 2030. He framed DeFi protocols as the next major channel for wealth-building and scaling exposure to onchain assets.
The bank’s assumptions start from a relatively low present-day level of DeFi participation. Kendrick said only about 3% of stablecoins and roughly 10% of tokenized RWAs are currently used in DeFi. From there, Standard Chartered projected a substantial shift in utilization: the proportion of tokenized assets used in DeFi should rise to about 30% by the end of 2030, up from around 3.5% at present.
While the directional logic is straightforward—more tokenization could mean more onchain activity—Standard Chartered’s own math implies a demanding pathway. Reaching the $2.7 trillion outcome would require both rapid growth in the underlying stock of onchain assets and a steep increase in the fraction of tokenized value actually routed into DeFi protocols.
Previous RWA outlook, and why DeFi adoption is the crux
The forecast builds on earlier work from Standard Chartered, including a previous projection that non-stablecoin tokenized RWAs could reach $2 trillion by the end of 2028. That earlier view highlighted tokenized money-market funds and US equities as major components of projected growth.
However, Monday’s note puts the spotlight on utilization rather than issuance. Tokenization may increase the total addressable market, but investors ultimately benefit from an ecosystem where tokenized assets can be accessed, traded, and used efficiently—often through DeFi infrastructure.
This is where Standard Chartered’s numbers become both persuasive and challenging. A near ninefold rise in the share of tokenized value used in DeFi would be required to support the $2.7 trillion estimate, suggesting that liquidity routing, custody, compliance frameworks, and market-making would all need to evolve alongside the growth of tokenized supply.
Liquidity fragmentation remains a key concern
Some market participants have cautioned that tokenization does not automatically solve liquidity and market-structure problems. Axis CEO Chris Kim previously told Cointelegraph that issuing “the same asset” across multiple blockchains and formats can lead to siloed liquidity, pricing gaps, and higher costs—factors that can limit how easily tokenized assets trade even as overall market size increases.
Similarly, Oya Celiktemur, Ondo Finance’s sales director for Europe, the Middle East and Africa, said at Paris Blockchain Week in April that tokenizing an illiquid asset does not “magically” make it liquid. The implication for Standard Chartered’s outlook is clear: the path to a larger DeFi share likely depends on whether market design and distribution reduce fragmentation rather than amplify it.
Why Uniswap could matter for tokenized markets
Kendrick also pointed to decentralized exchanges as potential distribution and liquidity layers for tokenized assets. In his view, Uniswap could develop into a key hub for trading tokenized markets as more of these assets move onto public blockchains.
He cited Uniswap’s scale, its brand recognition, and its long operational history through multiple crypto market cycles. Kendrick argued these strengths could be especially relevant to traditional financial institutions, which are likely to prioritize security, reliability, and established operational risk management when integrating tokenized RWAs into onchain systems.
Standard Chartered further suggested that if Uniswap can “commercialise enough” and secure enough TradFi partnerships to scale, its market cap-to-transaction fees multiple could rise—potentially narrowing the gap with Coinbase, according to the bank’s framing.
What to watch next
For investors and builders, the next signal will be whether tokenized assets increasingly find meaningful DeFi usage—moving beyond issuance headlines into sustained liquidity, cross-venue trading efficiency, and deeper integrations with major market participants. Standard Chartered’s forecast may be directionally aligned with tokenization trends, but the durability of that growth will likely hinge on whether fragmentation and liquidity limitations can be reduced as adoption accelerates.
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