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Crypto World

Circle stock jumps after earnings, but major risks remain

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Circle stock price jumped by over 15% on Wednesday after the stablecoin company published strong financial results despite the ongoing crypto market crash.

Summary

  • Circle stock price jumped after publishing strong financial results on Tuesday.
  • The company’s revenue growth gained steam as the USDC volume continued growing.
  • There is a risk that the USDC growth has waned in the past few months.

Circle Internet soared to $73, its highest level since January 28, up sharply from the year-to-date low of $50.6. Its market capitalization rose to over $15 billion.

Circle published strong financial results, which were higher than its previous guidance and what analysts were expecting. The amount of USD Coin (USDC) in circulation jumped by 72% YoY to over $75.3 billion.

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This surge pushed its total revenue up by 77% to over $777 million. Most of Circle’s revenue comes from investing its stablecoin supply in short-term government bonds and keeping the interest.

Unlike other stablecoin issuers, Circle does not keep all its interest income. Instead, Coinbase keeps the interest income that the USDC volume in its platform generates. Its most recent results showed that its stablecoin revenue jumped to over $350 million.

Circle’s annual revenue jumped by 64% to over $2.7 billion, while its net loss jumped to over $424 million. This loss was mostly because of its initial public listing, which happened last year. The company paid millions of dollars to companies handling the listing.

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Circle achieved more milestones in the last quarter, including launching the public beta listing of Arc, its layer-1 chain that will focus on payments. It has achieved over 100 participants and is handling over 2.3 million transactions per day.

Additionally, Circle Payment Network continued growing, adding 55 financial institutions and 74 of them going through eligibility review. Circle hopes that CPN will continue growing and disrupting the cross-border payments industry.

Other main milestones were the growth of EURC, which has achieved over €310 million in assets, a 284% YoY increase. It also received a national bank charter in the United States, a move that will strengthen the USDC infrastructure.

Circle stock faces major headwinds 

The CRCL stock price faces some major risks ahead. First, there are signs that the USDC growth has stalled in the past few months as the crypto market crash continued. 

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Data compiled by CoinMarketCap shows that the supply of USDC has dropped in the past few months, a move that may lead to weaker revenue growth. The USDC market capitalization has dropped to $74.94 billion.

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USDC market cap | Source: CMC

The other main risk is that Arc may not be as successful as the company expects, as the layer-1 and layer-2 industry has become highly concentrated.

Additionally, the stablecoin industry continues to get highly concentrated, with top coins like Ripple USD, PayPal USD, and USD1 gaining market share.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin Circles $68,000 as Stocks Wobble on Iran War Rhetoric

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Bitcoin Circles $68,000 as Stocks Wobble on Iran War Rhetoric

Bitcoin (BTC) stayed near a key long-term trend line at Tuesday’s Wall Street open as markets waited for US-Iran war cues.

Key points:

  • Bitcoin and US stocks attempt to shrug off claims by US President Donald Trump that a “whole civilization will die” after his Iran deadline expires.

  • Oil eyes a rematch with multiyear highs as escalation fears take control.

  • Bitcoin traders see lower levels resulting from current indecision.

Bitcoin attempts to ignore Trump Iran comments

Data from TradingView showed BTC price action focusing on its 200-week exponential moving average (EMA) near $68,300.

BTC/USD one-hour chart with 200-week EMA. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Volatility briefly entered prior to the US trading session as President Donald Trump said that “a whole civilization will die tonight,” referring to his 8pm Eastern time deadline for a deal with Iran.

“I don’t want that to happen, but it probably will,” he wrote in a post on Truth Social, while keeping full details sparse.

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Source: Truth Social

The post was accompanied by news of strikes on Iranian oil infrastructure on Kharg Island.

Despite this, US stocks managed to avoid major losses on the day, leading commentators to suggest that Iran rhetoric was all but fully priced in.

“Markets have become numb to the headlines,” trading resource The Kobeissi Letter reacted on X.

S&P 500 one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The day prior, trading company QCP Capital noted that the same geopolitical pattern had been playing out for weeks.

“While the economic and humanitarian consequences of escalation would be severe, particularly via energy market disruption, markets are increasingly discounting the immediacy of this risk,” it wrote in its latest “Market Color” analysis. 

QCP described stocks as “broadly stable,” with crypto showing “resilience.”

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“After several weeks of weekend escalation rhetoric followed by early-week de-escalation signals, markets are beginning to recognise and fade this pattern,” it continued.

“Despite approaching deadlines and rising rhetoric, crypto markets continue to exhibit resilience rather than panic.”

CFDs on WTI crude oil four-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

WTI crude oil nonetheless passed $116 per barrel on the day, coiling below its highest levels in nearly four years.

BTC price surfs liquidity walls

Commenting on Bitcoin and wider market trajectory, crypto trader Michaël Van de Poppe suggested that an inflection point was coming.

Related: Bitcoin RSI ‘nearly perfectly’ copying end of 2022 bear market: Analysis

“Prime question for this is likely whether there will be a ceasefire in the Middle-East or not,” he told X followers. 

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“From a technical standpoint, it’s more likely that markets are turning downwards as the trend is clearly in that direction and (as I’ve mentioned earlier), sweeping the lows and grabbing that liquidity strengthens a potential reversal on the markets significantly.”

BTC/USDT one-day chart. Source: Michaël Van de Poppe

Trader LP flagged overhead resistance making $72,000 a problematic hurdle to clear for bulls.

“Orderbook pressure showed strong buy pressure between 63–66K, which helped drive price toward the 70K region. However, sell pressure is now stepping in around 71–72K, acting as resistance and potentially capping price if it persists,” an X post read.

BTC price chart with liquidity data. Source: LP/X