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Crypto Markets Surge as US-Iran Ceasefire Triggers Short Squeeze

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BTC Chart

Bitcoin touched a three-week high above $72,700 while $470 million in short positions were liquidated as geopolitical tensions eased.

Crypto markets rallied sharply on Wednesday as a surprise two-week ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran sent Bitcoin to its highest level since mid-March.

Bitcoin is changing hands at $71,638, up 4.3% over the past 24 hours, according to CoinGecko. Ethereum climbed 6% to $2,220, while the total crypto market capitalization rose nearly 4% to $2.51 trillion.

BTC Chart
BTC Chart

Ceasefire Sparks Short Squeeze

The rally kicked off on Tuesday evening after President Trump announced a conditional two-week ceasefire with Iran, agreeing to suspend military operations for two weeks pending further negotiations. Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif brokered the deal, with formal peace talks scheduled to begin Friday in Islamabad.

CoinGlass data showed approximately $654 million in crypto futures positions were liquidated over 24 hours, with bearish short bets accounting for roughly $470 million of the total.

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The Crypto Fear and Greed Index recovered to 17, up from a low of 9 earlier in the week, but it remains deep in “extreme fear” territory.

Oil markets moved sharply in the opposite direction. WTI crude dropped to roughly $94 per barrel from Tuesday’s highs above $112, as the ceasefire raised hopes that the Strait of Hormuz would reopen to tanker traffic.

Altcoins Outperform

Altcoins broadly outpaced Bitcoin on the day. Zcash (ZEC) led the charge, surging 23% to $332.

AI-sector tokens also posted strong gains: Render climbed 8% to $2.04, Bittensor’s TAO rose 7% to $332, and NEAR Protocol gained 8% to $1.34. Internet Computer climbed 9% to $2.50.

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Among large caps, Avalanche gained 6.5% to $9.19, Sui rose 6% to $0.92, Solana added 5% to $84, and XRP gained 4% to $1.35.

Morgan Stanley Launches Bitcoin ETF

Morgan Stanley’s spot Bitcoin ETF began trading on NYSE Arca on Wednesday under the ticker MSBT, making the bank the first major U.S. institution to issue a spot Bitcoin ETF under its own name.

The fund carries a 0.14% annual fee, undercutting BlackRock’s IBIT at 0.25% and every other spot Bitcoin ETF currently on the market. Coinbase provides BTC custody, while BNY Mellon handles cash custody and administration.

The debut comes on the heels of strong demand for existing ETFs.SoSoValue data showed U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs pulled in $471 million in net inflows on April 6, the largest single-day intake since late February. Spot Ethereum ETFs attracted $120 million, reversing prior outflows.

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Looking Ahead

Despite the sharp bounce, Bitcoin remains trapped in a multi-month range, trading between support at $62,000 and resistance at $75,000 since early February, a range defined largely by the geopolitical overhang from the Iran conflict.

Whether the rally continues depends on the ceasefire’s durability. Iran confirmed the two-week pause but cautioned that reopening the Strait of Hormuz faces “technical limitations” and requires coordination with its military. The country’s Supreme National Security Council stressed the agreement does not imply an end to the broader conflict.

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Crypto World

Secret Claude model ‘better than all but the most skilled humans’ at hacking

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Secret Claude model 'better than all but the most skilled humans' at hacking

Anthropic, the $380 billion AI giant responsible for the Claude tool, has a new AI model called Mythos that could become a crypto hacking nightmare.

Concerned about global panic if it were to release its frontier model too soon, Anthropic handed early “Mythos” access to JPMorgan Chase, Apple, Microsoft, and a few dozen other blue chip tech companies.

Unfortunately, Anthropic didn’t grant guest list access to any crypto company for its paternalistic Project Glasswing.

One Bitcoin developer asked Anthropic directly, “Why not cooperation with bitcoin/crypto projects?” Anthropic declined to reply.

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JPMorgan Chase got a head start. Crypto didn’t.

A wing of glass preventing Mythos from hacking crypto

Anthropic’s Glasswing cybersecurity sprint is permitting 50-60 companies early access to its unreleased model that “can find software vulnerabilities better than all but the most skilled humans,” according to the company. 

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It is also donating $4 million worth of AI credits and is “committing” up to $100 million in AI credits for Glasswing.

According to Anthropic, which obviously has an incentive to praise the powers of its unreleased model for media and fundraising purposes, Mythos has strong reasoning and coding skills and is considerably more dangerous as a software hacking tool than most human developers.

Anthropic claims Mythos is “very autonomous” and has already found “thousands of high-severity vulnerabilities,” including bugs in “every major operating system and web browser.” 

It withheld details about most of those bugs, except a 27-year-old bug in OpenBSD Unix software and a 16-year-old flaw in FFmpeg video software.

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Curiously, Anthropic has published professionally staged and videotaped promotional materials in which Anthropic stakeholders sound alarms about Mythos’ capabilities.

For media purposes, it carefully selected the name “Glasswing,” which refers to the Greta oto butterfly whose transparent wings resemble glass.

Read more: AI just bypassed the Cloudflare protection that DeFi needs

Crypto, excluded from Glasswing, is particularly vulnerable

If Mythos’ threat is real, crypto software is particularly vulnerable to hackers with access to it.

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Many implementations of crypto software are mostly or fully immutable, contain tremendous financial value, and have globally distributed deployment and upgrade cycles that prevent a quick defense.

Protos reported in December 2025 that even before Mythos, Anthropic had pitted its AI agents against 405 smart contracts.

Even with backdated knowledge and no internet access, its agents correctly predicted millions of dollars worth of available exploits on smart contracts which had gone live after researchers cut off the AI internet and knowledge access. 

Anthropic’s AI agents also uncovered novel zero-day vulnerabilities in thousands of fresh contracts with no previously known flaws.

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Those discoveries were before Mythos. According to Anthropic’s self-aggrandizing claims yesterday, Mythos can dramatically out-codes everything Claude has built previously.

Stifel analyst Adam Borg is convinced. “We read this as having the potential to become the ultimate hacking tool, and one that can elevate any ordinary hacker into a nation-state adversary,” Borg wrote about Mythos.

Anthropic says Glasswing partners will share their findings with the broader industry and patch major bugs prior to the public release of Mythos.

Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news, follow us on X, Bluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.

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Bitcoin Spot Demand Rises As $72K May Define Next Move

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Coinbase, Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Derivatives, Bitcoin Futures, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) rallied above $72,000 on Tuesday as BTC order book and derivatives data showed buyers returning to the market.

Bitcoin’s recent trading history suggests that holding the $70,000 level is the first task bulls need to master, but previous BTC price rallies were capped by short-term traders selling into the bullish momentum. Will this time be different?

Coinbase, Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Derivatives, Bitcoin Futures, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
BTCUSDT on the one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Bitcoin spot demand remains positive

Bitcoin held above $71,300 on Wednesday as the spot market demand strengthened over the past few days. The order flow across major exchanges shows a clear shift toward investor accumulation.

The 30-day spot net volume delta for Bitcoin, which tracks the net difference between market buys and sells, has turned positive on both Binance and Coinbase after persistent selling in February.

Coinbase, Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Derivatives, Bitcoin Futures, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
Bitcoin’s spot net volume delta on Coinbase and Binance. Source: CryptoQuant

Binance’s 30-day net volume moving average stands at $43.2 million, while Coinbase records $13.88 million. This marks a coordinated shift in behavior across the key crypto exchanges.

The derivatives data adds weight to the move. CryptoQuant data shows Binance’s cumulative volume delta (CVD) has increased to $5.6 billion on Wednesday, up $3.3 billion in April. The CVD measures the aggressive market orders, and the recent rise tracks an increase in taker-buy volume following Bitcoin’s brief drop below $65,000 on March 30.

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Coinbase, Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Derivatives, Bitcoin Futures, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
BTC: Binance Cumulative Net Taker Volume. Source: CryptoQuant

The current cumulative net taker volume on Binance has reached its highest level since early February, when CVD stood near $74 million. This indicates stronger buyer conviction than the muted activity seen during the previous consolidation phase.

Related: Bitcoin fades three-week highs as BTC price shrugs off Iran war ceasefire

$72,000 is Bitcoin’s line in the sand

Bitcoin’s interaction with $72,000 continues to shape its short-term positioning. The level has acted as a resistance since Feb. 4, with failed attempts to reclaim it on March 4 and March 16. Both rallies were met with sharp selling from the short-term holders, who sold roughly 26,000 BTC and 31,000 BTC, respectively.

Coinbase, Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Derivatives, Bitcoin Futures, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
Bitcoin short-term holder P&L to exchanges. Source: CryptoQuant

The current behavior shows a different pattern. After BTC’s rally to $72,000 on Tuesday, data shows short-term holder capitulation of nearly 3,000 BTC. The reduced selling pressure signals less urgency to exit positions at the current levels than in prior attempts.

The profitability metrics are also stabilizing. Bitcoin’s net realized profit/loss seven-day moving average sits at -$109 million, recovering from a low of -$2 billion on Feb. 7. The metric is approaching a positive bias for the first time since Jan. 22, indicating a gradual reduction in realized losses.

Coinbase, Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Derivatives, Bitcoin Futures, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
Bitcoin Net Realized Profit/Loss [USD]. Source: CryptoQuant

The reduced selling pressure and rising profitability point to a more balanced market in which buyers are gradually absorbing available supply. For a bullish expansion to occur, the trend needs to continue and the buyers need to defend the $70,000 to $72,000 zone over the next few days. 

Related: Cango sells 2,000 BTC, cuts Bitcoin production cost by 19% in March

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