Crypto World
Crypto’s great hope in Senate’s Clarity Act still has a path to survive tight calendar
April appears to be a lost cause for the crypto Clarity Act, but a U.S. Senate committee hearing sometime in May could keep the critical market structure legislation alive, as long as it can reach a final vote of the overall Senate by July, according to lobbyists and a lawmaker aide focusing on the market structure bill’s sluggish progress.
The legislative calendar is running out of room for this year, but a Senate aide told CoinDesk that a potential new delay of a couple of weeks — allowing Republican Senator Thom Tillis to finish discussions with bankers over stablecoin-yield concerns — is not yet pushing this work past the point of no return. The aide also said that earlier negotiations over decentralized finance (DeFi) protections are effectively settled, leaving few other impediments in the way of a committee approval.
One of the chief problems the crypto industry faces (if it can leap the stubborn hurdle of the banking sector’s objections about stablecoin rewards) is that the Senate Banking Committee hearing that the bill needs to clear would be only a first step of many.
Here’s the scheduling maelstrom the effort is now circling: The Senate will essentially flee Washington in August and be in election mode until the November congressional midterms arrive. It’s currently scheduled for about a dozen weeks of DC work before the elections, and it has some pressing matters on its plate during that time, including the funding battle over the Department of Homeland Security, clashes over the Iran war, the debate on voter identification and addressing nominations such as President Donald Trump’s pick to run the Federal Reserve, Kevin Warsh.
If the bill manages to finally get signoff from the Senate Banking Committee, the text needs to be merged with the version that passed the Senate Agriculture Committee. That merger work is the timing cushion that these current delays are eating into, the aide said.
The final legislation would likely be revised further as lawmakers add their final compromise on an ethics piece in which Democrats wanted to limit senior government officials (most pointedly President Trump) from profiting off of crypto interests. The aide said that language is now circulating back and forth on that point but that it won’t be in the banking panel’s version and would be added later. If they can get past that dispute and another demand about appointing a full slate of commissioners to oversee markets regulation, the bill may win enough Democratic support to pass.
Then the House would need to approve it again, because it’s very different from the version that chamber already advanced last year. But that would be expected to go quickly, as long as further disagreements don’t arise.
The last step, Trump’s signature, is expected to be the easiest, though he inserted some uncertainty in March when he said he wouldn’t sign any bill until he gets legislation approved that would demand voters prove their citizenship before they can cast ballots.
The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, if approved, would become the second major crypto bill to become law, joining last year’s Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act. But it’s an unresolved stablecoin matter from the GENIUS Act that has delayed progress on the Clarity Act since the start of the year, as bank lobbyists have drawn enough support from senators to back their worry that stablecoin rewards programs could be close enough to deposit yield that it jeopardizes the banks’ business model.
The debate — far afield from the central aims of the Clarity Act — has raged through White House interventions and tough rhetoric from crypto insiders. Coinbase, which stands to take a substantial hit if stablecoin reward programs are curtailed, has been at the forefront, and Chief Legal Office Paul Grewal posted Tuesday on social media site X with another push.
“You can’t be for CLARITY and against rewards,” he wrote. “It’s one or the other. Time to choose.”
Though key Senate negotiators had recently said they had an “agreement in principle” to move forward with a compromise, Republican Senator Tillis told reporters that earlier hopes for April progress was likely slipping into May. The White House has leaned into the crypto position on allowing some rewards that don’t look like interest on core bank deposits.
“It’s hard to explain any further lobbying by banks on this issue as motivated by anything other than greed or ignorance,” Patrick Witt, a top crypto adviser in Trump’s White House, said in how own recent posting on X. “Move on.”
In the current version, insiders say that the compromise has hovered steadily around an approach that would ban payment of yield on any product that looks or acts like insurance on a deposit, but it would still let firms such as Coinbase structure rewards programs that would be more akin to credit-card incentives. But the lawmakers have been shy about releasing text that could spark further negotiation drama, after letting both crypto and banking industry representatives review language last month.
“We’re too close to let this effort fail,” said Cody Carbone, CEO of the Digital Chamber, in a statement to CoinDesk. “A markup must happen to move this forward. It’s been three months since it was initially scheduled, and given the progress on all issues, especially the bipartisan stablecoin yield agreement, now is the time.”
Every day that passes without progress marks a decline in the odds for eventual Clarity Act success. The very next action should be the scheduling of the markup hearing and the sharing of the long-awaited bill text that the negotiators have been wrestling over.
“In our view, the odds of CLARITY being signed into law in 2026 are roughly 50-50, and possibly lower,” according to a research note that crypto investment firm Galaxy is planning on publishing this week. “The uncertainty stems not from any single issue but from the sheer number of unresolved questions that must be settled in sequence under severe time pressure.”
In other words, a single further blowup among the negotiators could be a fatal delay, though the period after the November elections could offer a final low-odds, last-ditch opening. The so-called “lame duck” session of Congress at the end of the year can be a period in which the outgoing Congress can still act, and more than one crypto insider has suggested that it’s not out of the realm of possibility that a hypothetically derailed Clarity Act could reappear then.
While crypto lobbyists are desperate for immediate action on the legislation, the industry is playing the long game on the political front. Crypto PACs have already devoted millions of dollars to keep adding to the list of its friends in Congress from both parties. The sector’s leading campaign-finance arm, Fairshake, is careful to back members of both parties, and many of their political picks will be joining next year’s Congress. If the Clarity Act is law by then, there are likely to be other pressing legislative matters for the industry, potentially including a tax overhaul and the establishment of a federal stockpile of bitcoin .
TLDR
- New York Attorney General Letitia James has sued Coinbase and Gemini over alleged illegal gambling on their prediction market platforms.
- The state seeks at least $2.2 billion from Coinbase and $1.2 billion from Gemini in penalties and forfeited profits.
- James claims the platforms allowed users aged 18 to 21 to place sports-related bets, which violates New York law.
- Coinbase argues that prediction markets fall under federal oversight by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
- The legal dispute adds to ongoing court battles between the CFTC and several U.S. states over event-based trading platforms.
New York Attorney General Letitia James has filed lawsuits against Coinbase and Gemini over their prediction market platforms. She alleges the companies offered illegal gambling services tied to sports and elections. The state seeks billions in penalties, restitution, and forfeiture of profits.
Coinbase Faces Claims Over Prediction Market Access
James filed the complaint in New York federal court and named Coinbase as a defendant. She claims the company allowed users to place event-based bets through a prediction market platform. The complaint seeks at least $2.2 billion in penalties and forfeited profits.
James said the platform allowed users between 18 and 21 to participate in sports-related contracts. However, New York law requires users to be 21 for mobile sports betting. She stated, “Gambling by another name is still gambling, and it is not exempt from regulation under our state laws and Constitution.”
She also argued that the platform lacked required safeguards under state gaming rules. Therefore, her office seeks restitution for affected users and permanent injunctive relief. The filing asks the court to bar further operations that violate New York gambling statutes.
Coinbase Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal responded publicly on X. He said, “Prediction markets are federally regulated by the CFTC.” He added that the dispute is now proceeding in New York federal court.
Grewal said Congress intended federal oversight for these markets. He stated that Coinbase will continue to defend that position in court. Earlier this year, Coinbase rolled out nationwide access through its partnership with Kalshi.
Kalshi operates under regulation by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Coinbase integrated the offering to expand its event-based trading services. The lawsuit now places that structure under judicial review.
Gemini Also Targeted in State Action
James also sued Gemini over its own prediction market operations. The complaint seeks at least $1.2 billion from the exchange. The state alleges Gemini Titan offered event-based contracts without state authorization.
According to the filing, Gemini allowed participation by users under 21. New York law bars individuals under 21 from mobile sports wagering. James argued that the platform functioned as an unlicensed gambling operation.
She stated that these services exposed young users to addictive platforms without guardrails. Her office claims the companies bypassed state constitutional limits on gambling. The lawsuit demands forfeiture of profits and restitution for users.
The regulatory dispute has expanded beyond New York. CFTC Chairman Michael Selig has said prediction market platforms fall under his agency’s exclusive jurisdiction. However, several states have challenged that view in court.
Earlier this month, the CFTC sued Illinois, Arizona, and Connecticut. The agency claims those states attempted to shut down federally regulated designated contract markets. The New York cases now add to the growing legal conflict over event-based trading platforms.
Crypto World
Silicon Valley’s ‘monitoring the situation’ MTS meme becomes a 24/7 news machine delivered by a16z
a16z is backing “Monitoring the Situation,” a 24/7 X livestream born from Polymarket meme culture, as tech VCs build their own news-industrial complex.
Summary
- Andreessen Horowitz has helped launch “Monitoring the Situation” (MTS), a 24/7 livestream show on X, leaning into crypto-prediction market culture.
- The meme, born from Polymarket’s “Monitoring the situation” bar in D.C., is now the brand for a16z’s latest media play in the always-on news cycle.
- The move shows tech VCs treating live news, prediction markets, and creator streams as an integrated “news-industrial complex” they can fund, own, and weaponize.
Andreessen Horowitz, also known as a16z, the Silicon Valley venture firm that has raised more than $15 billion for new funds, is now backing a 24/7 livestream called “Monitoring the Situation” (MTS) on X, Axios reports. The show takes its name from one of tech’s most viral catchphrases and extends a growing trend of VCs turning memes and niche internet culture into branded news and commentary channels they effectively control.
a16z turns a meme into a media product
“Monitoring the situation” first broke out as a kind of meta‑joke about online news addiction and real‑time crisis posting, before Polymarket leaned into it with a pop‑up bar in Washington, D.C.’s Foggy Bottom neighbourhood themed around its political prediction markets. Now a16z has lifted the phrase for its own live show, effectively knitting together prediction‑market aesthetics, X’s streaming tools, and venture-backed punditry into a single 24/7 product.
The MTS launch is part of a wider pattern in which tech money is moving from merely funding platforms to actively producing, packaging, and distributing news‑adjacent content. Axios frames the shift as Silicon Valley “building its own news‑industrial complex,” where crypto exchanges, prediction markets, and venture funds all operate quasi‑media brands that blur lines between journalism, influence, and marketing.
For crypto, the overlap is obvious. Prediction markets like Polymarket trade on headlines, while X-native livestreams and VC‑funded shows both shape and react to those same narratives in real time, creating a feedback loop between information, sentiment, and price. By minting “Monitoring the Situation” as both a meme and a 24/7 show, a16z is effectively betting that the next phase of online news will be less about written articles and more about infinitely scrolling, always‑live feeds where venture capital underwrites both the infrastructure and the voices that dominate it.
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading near $75,400 after rejecting $78,000 earlier this week. Price sits on the upper rail of an ascending parallel channel that has held for 75 days.
The setup places Bitcoin at a pivotal moment. A daily RSI triangle is compressing, and the 4-hour chart is flashing bearish divergence. A widely shared X post calls this the third rejection zone of the past eight months.
Descending Trendline Break Meets the Channel Top
The daily Bitcoin chart shows a descending trendline from the $126,195 peak set in October 2025. That line connects to the February 2026 cycle low at $60,000. Bitcoin broke above it for the first time this cycle on April 13.
Two ascending parallel channels define the recent structure. The first channel ran for 70 days before breaking down in late January. The current channel has now reached day 75, with price pressing the upper boundary.
The BBWP indicator at the bottom of the chart tracks volatility compression. Readings sit near cycle lows, a classic accumulation footprint that typically precedes a strong directional move.
Bitcoin must defend the $74,000 to $76,000 zone to keep the structure intact. A loss of that range exposes the descending trendline near $70,000 as secondary support. The next demand cluster sits between $64,000 and $66,000. Closest resistance is the 0.382 Fibonacci level between $85,000 and $87,000.
Daily RSI Carves a Tightening Triangle
The daily RSI is forming a symmetrical triangle built from three descending peaks and two ascending support tests. The first peak printed deep in overbought territory in October 2025.
The second peak formed in mid-January 2026 with RSI touching 70 before a sharp rejection. The third and most recent peak capped out near 68 earlier this month.
On the support side, RSI collapsed to oversold readings near 15 during the February selloff. A second test near 40 in March held firmly and confirmed the ascending line.
The triangle is now tight. A clean break into overbought territory would validate the bullish continuation scenario. A breakdown through the ascending support would flip the medium-term momentum bearish.
4-Hour Chart Flashes Five-Drive Bearish Divergence
Bitcoin on the 4-hour timeframe shows a short-term uptrend with higher highs and higher lows. The structure has held since late March, bottoming near $65,500, with an ascending trendline connecting those swing lows.
Price rejected the $78,000 zone earlier this week. That level matches the top of the daily parallel channel. Bitcoin now trades near $75,400, sitting directly on the ascending trendline that has guided every bounce since early April.
The 4-hour RSI has been posting slightly lower lows while the price made higher highs. That pattern forms a five-drive bearish divergence, signaling weakening momentum beneath rising prices.
The MACD has crossed below its signal line and is edging toward negative territory. A loss of $74,500 would confirm the short-term momentum shift and expose the daily ascending trendline.
Analyst Flags Third Rejection Zone
A chart posted to X by analyst ColdBloodedShiller highlights a key rejection zone for Bitcoin. The same band has capped every BTC advance in the past eight months. The three pink boxes mark October 2025 near $116,000, January 2026 near $96,000, and the current level near $76,000.
The trader frames this as the best risk-to-reward short setup currently available. Each prior visit to the upper band produced a sharp reversal. The pattern lines up with the daily trendline break and the 4-hour divergence above.
If this breaks up, it’s the most significant change to the market we’ve seen for the best part of 12 months.
Institutional flows, however, complicate the bearish thesis. Strategy, the largest corporate Bitcoin holder, added roughly $2.54 billion of BTC between April 13 and 19. Its average cost came in near $74,395. Sustained demand at these levels could weaken the recurring rejection pattern.
The next three to five daily candles should settle the dispute between the channel breakout and ColdBloodedShiller’s third rejection setup.
The post Analyst Predicts the Best Bitcoin Short Setup in a Year appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Pepeto Could Deliver 267x Returns Before the Bitcoin Forecast Plays Out in 2026
Bitcoin price analysis flipped bullish on April 21 as BTC reclaimed $75,000 on progress in Iran and Pakistan ceasefire talks per CoinDesk, firing a broad risk-on move across the top ten. Spot bitcoin and ether ETFs both posted strong inflows into the rebound even as perpetual funding rates sat negative, a classic short squeeze setup that rarely holds back long.
While the Bitcoin price analysis pulls institutional capital back in, a quieter setup is forming beneath the rally, one that carries multiples large caps can no longer reach. Pepeto is closing in on a Binance listing with $9.29 million raised and analysts modeling 267x before open market pricing catches up.
Bitcoin Price Analysis April 21: BTC Holds $75,000 as Ceasefire Talks Advance and ETF Flows Rebuild
Bitcoin climbed above $75,000 during the April 21 session as markets priced in progress on the Iran Pakistan ceasefire, with the current two week truce running to its Wednesday deadline per CoinDesk. Friday’s short squeeze wiped out $762 million in liquidations across 168,336 traders, $593 million of that on the short side per CoinGlass.
Spot BTC ETFs rebuilt inflows after March broke a four month outflow streak with $1.32 billion, and the April recovery added fresh weekly gains. IBIT keeps leading while smaller funds rotate.
The Bitcoin price sits near $75,851 per Fortune, about 40% below the $126,198 all time high from October 2025. Every Bitcoin price analysis tracking the move flags sustained ETF pressure, a CLARITY Act markup, and layered catalysts as the inputs to lift BTC back near that zone. Pepeto at $0.0000001865 with $9.29 million raised and a Binance listing approaching is where the real return distance sits.
Bitcoin Outlook and the Presale That Could Beat It
Pepeto: The Sharpest Crypto Entry of 2026
Most traders catch a token after it already printed 10x or 100x. Pepeto lets the wallet sit inside the trade before the move rather than chasing charts once the candle closes, and that matters more than any BTC coverage on a $1.49 trillion asset.
The platform is a complete trading stack engineered to protect capital from day one. Scan any listed contract for traps before you connect, and alerts flag danger before funds move.
Three products drive the build. PepetoSwap runs zero fee trades across three networks, keeping full position size with the trader. The risk scanner reads each contract for scam code and returns a clean verdict in seconds.
The presale passed $9.29 million with the Binance listing days out, and the built in bridge carries tokens between Ethereum, BNB Chain, and Solana without charging either side. The same founder who drove Pepe to an $11 billion run on a 420 trillion token supply with no utility behind it is now wiring a real exchange under this coin. Every contract cleared a full SolidProof audit, a former Binance engineer sits on the build squad, and 180% APY staking compounds positions that moved early.
Pepe touched $11 billion on nothing but a meme. Reproducing that outcome from $0.0000001865 lands 267x, and Pepeto ships the exchange tools Pepe never had. Wallets buying in now are locking positions BTC at this size would need months to approach.
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Can BTC Reach $100,000 After Reclaiming $75K on Ceasefire Progress?
Bitcoin trades at $75,851 on April 21 per CoinMarketCap, holding above the $74,000 zone traders flagged as the cleanest resistance to clear this week.
Standard Chartered still carries a year end target above $200,000 and Fundstrat models $130,000, with Benzinga pointing to the $94,000 yearly open as the next break if current momentum holds.
Even the $130,000 call locks a 72% return that needs the full cycle. Bitcoin price analysis produces real gains over long timelines, but that pace cannot match the 267x a presale packs into one listing day.
Conclusion
The Bitcoin price analysis case is solid, the ceasefire rally adds weight to it, and ETF flows back the direction, yet the biggest returns need an entry that delivers multiples a $1.49 trillion cap no longer can. Pepeto is that entry, the setup that gives what BTC at this size can no longer produce, and the Binance listing shrinks the window down to days.
Wallets buying at presale pricing today are stacking the positions the rest of the market will spend this cycle wishing they had taken, which is why sharp capital is already moving through Pepeto right now, while the entry still exists.
Click To Visit Pepeto Website To Enter The Presale
FAQs
What is the Bitcoin price forecast for 2026 after the ceasefire rally?
Standard Chartered carries a target above $200,000 and Fundstrat models $130,000 for Bitcoin in 2026. Spot bitcoin ETF flows rebuilt after March ended a four month outflow run with $1.32 billion in inflows per Benzinga.
Why are analysts pairing Pepeto with large cap entries like Bitcoin right now?
Pepeto is compared to large caps because it carries a presale to Binance listing path where 267x is still on the table at $0.0000001865. The Pepe cofounder, a SolidProof audit, and a live zero fee exchange put it ahead of tokens with no working product.
Disclaimer: This is a Press Release provided by a third party who is responsible for the content. Please conduct your own research before taking any action based on the content.
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X has launched Custom Timelines, a feature that lets users pin a specific topic to the home tab. The rollout supports more than 75 topics.
The feature is available first to Premium subscribers on iOS. Android support will follow, according to X Head of Product Nikita Bier.
Follow us on X to get the latest news as it happens
Custom Timelines taps Grok to interpret every post on X and combines that signal with the platform’s personalization system. Bier said the feature took months to build and works best for topics users already engage with.
Users previously relied on the For You tab. However, now, Custom Timelines converts topics into algorithmic feeds around a single subject, such as art, finance, or sports. That structure could benefit crypto traders and analysts who want a dedicated feed without the noise of other markets.
“This was a huge undertaking across many months, so we’re excited for you take it for a spin,” Bier wrote.
In a separate post, Bier also revealed another tool that lets users snooze topics on the For You tab, giving them more control over their feed.
“Today we’re also rolling out a tool to snooze topics on your For You tab—if you ever want to crank up or turn down the slop. Rolling out now on iOS and Web for Premium subscribers,” the post read.
X Custom Timelines Build on Smart Cashtags Push
The launch follows Smart Cashtags, a tool that adds live price data for stocks and crypto tokens inside posts. X first released it on iOS in the United States and Canada before extending access globally.
Cashtags generated roughly $1 billion in trading volume during its first 48 hours. A partnership with Wealthsimple also lets Canadian users execute stock and crypto trades without leaving the app.
The latest rollout aligns with Elon Musk’s wider push to position X as an “everything app.” Android access is expected soon, and Bier has not disclosed when non-Premium users will receive the feature.
The post X Debuts Grok-Powered Custom Timelines for Niche Topic Feeds appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Private key compromises are emerging as one of crypto’s costliest attack vectors, with hackers stealing more than $17 billion across 518 recorded incidents over the past decade, according to data platform DefiLlama.
In data shared Tuesday, DefiLlama’s dashboard shows a large share of those incidents stemmed from compromised private keys, alongside phishing and other credential-based attacks.
Around 22.3% of the incidents were attributed to private key compromises through “brute force,” 18.2% to private key compromises via “unknown methods,” and 10% occurred due to phishing attacks on multi-signature wallets.
The figures add to evidence that some of the industry’s biggest losses are increasingly coming from weaknesses in wallet security, signing infrastructure and user behavior, rather than from flaws in protocol code alone.
The findings come days after the crypto industry suffered its largest hack so far in 2026 on Saturday, when an attacker drained about 116,500 restaked Ether (rsETH), worth roughly $290 million to $293 million at the time, from Kelp DAO’s LayerZero-powered rsETH bridge.
DeFi protocols lost $600 million in two months: GSR Research
The recent wave of losses has also hit decentralized finance hard. More than $600 million was stolen from DeFi protocols over the past 60 days, according to a Monday report from crypto trading company GSR, with the Kelp exploit and the April 1 exploit involving Solana-based decentralized exchange Drift Protocol accounting for most of the total.
The attacks are raising new questions about whether improving smart contract audits alone is enough to protect users. In its report, GSR said attackers appear to be shifting toward “operational security, signing infrastructure, developer tooling, and the humans behind them” as smart contract security continues to improve.
That shift is pressuring a sector already facing narrower returns. “DeFi yields have compressed toward TradFi rates, raising the question of whether depositing onchain is still worth the risk,” GSR wrote.
“Lazy” hacks are spreading due to AI and malware
Cybersecurity companies say advances in malware and artificial intelligence are making social engineering and wallet-targeting attacks easier to scale, which involve scammers tricking victims into sending crypto to illicit addresses by first sending them small transactions, hoping that investors copy and paste the attacker’s address from the transaction history.
Related: ZachXBT asks MemeCore to explain valuation and token supply
The rise of hacking-as-a-service tools is also lowering the barrier to entry for would-be attackers, according to Dyma Budorin, co-founder and CEO of cybersecurity firm Hacken.
“If people are getting these links, their wallets can be completely drained,” Budorin told Cointelegraph in an interview at EthCC 2026. “The platform on the darknet will take the commission for their tools and [scammers] get the bigger portion of the drained wallets.”
Budorin added that hackers are usually seeking out the easiest targets that require the least effort to scam.
Web3 projects lost $482 million in the first quarter of 2026, as phishing and social engineering scams drove $306 million of those losses as the largest attack vector, according to a report by Hacken.
Even so, some parts of the threat picture have improved. Scam Sniffer said in a January report that losses tied to crypto phishing attacks fell sharply in 2025, suggesting users were becoming more aware of the threat, even as wallet-drainer scripts and new malware strains continued to circulate.
Magazine: 53 DeFi projects infiltrated, 50M NEO tokens could be ‘given back’: Asia Express
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The United Kingdom is revisiting its payments rulebook to support the adoption of new fintech and payment technologies such as stablecoins and tokenization.
In a Tuesday announcement, HM Treasury and Economic Secretary to the Treasury Lucy Rigby said the government will consult on reforms for payment services and electronic money rules.
The Treasury said the changes are meant to create a single framework for traditional and tokenized payments, including stablecoins and tokenized deposits. It also said it plans to bring forward legislation to reduce administrative burdens for companies seeking to offer stablecoin payment services.
The Treasury also named former Financial Conduct Authority veteran Chris Woolard as digital markets champion for its Wholesale Financial Markets Digital Strategy, where he will support efforts to drive adoption of tokenized digital assets.
Woolard highlighted the growing role of digitization in financial markets, emphasizing that collaboration and a dialogue between the private and public sectors will best support the UK’s global competitiveness as a leader in digital markets.
The package comes as the UK continues to develop its broader crypto regulatory framework, with legislation expected to take effect in 2027.
A package of comprehensive measures targeting digital markets
The new package was unveiled during UK Fintech Week in London, a series of industry events supported by organizations such as Innovate Finance, the independent industry body for the UK fintech sector.
A key part of the plan is bringing stablecoins and tokenization more deeply into the payments system, including through regulatory reform as a core measure.
“This will mean establishing a single, coherent framework for both traditional and tokenised payments, including both stablecoins and tokenised deposits,” the announcement said.
Related: BIS warns dollar stablecoins could strain banks and policy
The Treasury also said it wants to reduce administrative burdens for companies seeking to offer stablecoin payment services in a move to “cement the UK as a world-leading destination for digital assets.”
UK will seek how to adapt payment regulations to AI agents
Another part of the package is the government’s decision to explore how payment regulation should apply when AI agents make transactions on behalf of consumers or businesses.
Philip Belamant, co-founder of Zilch, an FCA-authorised consumer credit fintech listed among key stakeholders, said that AI will “fundamentally change how people interact with money,” shifting payments to something that is managed in the background.
“As this becomes a reality, it’s critical that regulation evolves to support innovation while maintaining strong consumer protections,” he said.
Magazine: How crypto laws changed in 2025 — and how they’ll change in 2026
A senior U.S. military commander reframed Bitcoin as more than a monetary technology, arguing that its underlying computer science could support national security aims by hardening cyber defenses and offering resilience in conflict scenarios. During a Senate Armed Services Committee hearing focused on the Indo-Pacific posture, Admiral Samuel Paparo described Bitcoin’s proof-of-work system as a mechanism that “imposes more cost” on attackers, while emphasizing that the technology’s value extends beyond finance into cybersecurity applications.
“It is a valuable computer science tool, as a power projection,” Admiral Samuel Paparo said during the session, adding that Bitcoin’s proof-of-work reduces attacker incentives by increasing the cost of compromising the network. “Outside of the economic formulation of it, it has got really important computer science applications for cybersecurity.”
The hearing examined broader strategic dynamics in the region, including ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, China’s rapid military modernization, and the spectrum of threats from state-backed actors. Paparo’s remarks align with a line of thought that has gained attention within U.S. defense and policy circles: that crypto technologies could play a role in national resilience and cyber deterrence beyond their role as stores of value or payment rails.
In a parallel thread from the U.S. Space Force’s ranks, Major Jason Lowery advanced a similar line of reasoning in December 2023, arguing that Bitcoin and other proof-of-work blockchains could help shield the United States in cyberwarfare by securing data, messages, or command signals—not merely funds. “As a result, this misconception underplays the technology’s broad strategic significance for cybersecurity, and consequently, national security,” Lowery said, highlighting the broader strategic calculus surrounding crypto security and national power.
Key takeaways
- National security framing: Senior military leadership describes Bitcoin as a practical tool for cybersecurity and deterrence, not solely as a monetary asset.
- Cyberwarfare context: The remarks come amid heightened attention to cyber threats and the broader conflict landscape in which adversaries rely on phishing, ransomware, and other disruptive techniques to gain advantage.
- Domestic mining policy on the radar: Legislation is moving to reinforce U.S. mining capabilities, with emphasis on domestic manufacturing and safeguarding critical infrastructure tied to hashing power.
- Strategic reserves and sovereignty: Proposals aim to codify concepts like a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, reflecting a push to integrate crypto assets into national strategy and supply-chain resilience.
- Supply-chain vulnerabilities acknowledged: While the United States hosts large reserves and hashrate, concerns persist about dependence on foreign-manufactured mining equipment and related security risks.
Policy moves and domestic implications
Following these remarks, lawmakers signaled a sharpened focus on how crypto infrastructure intersects with national security. United States Senators Bill Cassidy and Cynthia Lummis have introduced the Mined in America Act, a bill designed to encourage domestic production of Bitcoin mining hardware and related supply chains. By aiming to bring more of the mining manufacturing ecosystem back to the United States, the proposal seeks to reduce reliance on foreign equipment and mitigate associated security concerns.
The narrative also entwines with broader policy conversations dating back to executive actions intended to shape strategic crypto reserves. The bill’s sponsors frame it as a step toward codifying a framework for strategic Bitcoin resources, drawing on existing executive initiatives that have sought to formalize a national posture around Bitcoin’s role in national power projection. While detailed legislative language and funding paths remain under discussion, the thrust is clear: align mining capacity with national-security objectives and ensure U.S. control over critical infrastructure components.
U.S. policymakers are mindful of where Bitcoin sits in the domestic and global ecosystem. The United States currently holds a leading share of Bitcoin reserves and the largest share of hashrate, yet the heavy reliance on foreign-manufactured hardware has raised concerns about supply-chain vulnerabilities and the potential for geopolitical frictions to disrupt hashing capacity in a crisis. The Cassidy–Lummis initiative echoes those concerns while linking them to a broader narrative about strategic autonomy in advanced technologies.
For observers, the legislative push signals a broader reconsideration of how crypto assets and the hardware that powers them fit into national defense postures. If enacted, the policy framework could accelerate the domestic production of mining components, influence equipment standardization, and potentially reshape how the United States manages energy-intensive hashing operations in a way that aligns with security priorities rather than purely commercial considerations.
Geopolitical context and the cyber threat landscape
The debate around Bitcoin’s strategic value unfolds against a backdrop of escalating cyber operations by state and non-state actors. The Lazarus Group, a sanctioned cybercrime collective tied to North Korea, has been cited as one of the most prominent examples of crypto-enabled wrongdoing over the past decade, reportedly diverting billions of dollars in crypto to support its broader program. Such real-world activity underscores why some policymakers view crypto technologies as both potential risk and strategic asset, depending on how they are secured and governed.
Beyond North Korea, commentators have noted that China’s thinking on Bitcoin has evolved in recent years. Some of Beijing’s policy circles have begun to regard Bitcoin as a strategic asset, a stance that further complicates the global regulatory and strategic landscape for crypto. Against this backdrop, U.S. officials stress the dual-use nature of Bitcoin and the importance of resilient, domestically supported infrastructure to reduce exposure to external shocks.
In the cybersecurity domain, Bitcoin’s core feature—the proof-of-work consensus—has drawn attention for its potential role in defending critical data and communications. Proponents argue that the energy-intensive, permissionless nature of the network can deter attempted intrusions by raising the entry cost for attackers, thereby complementing conventional defense measures. Critics, meanwhile, emphasize energy considerations and regulatory complexities. The current discourse, however, reflects a growing legitimacy accorded to the idea that crypto systems might influence strategic outcomes in conflict, deterrence, and resilience planning.
For market participants and builders, the converging threads of defense policy, supply-chain security, and geopolitical risk create a nuanced backdrop. Domestic manufacturing ambitions could incentivize investment in hardware ecosystems and related services, while regulatory clarity around security standards and resilience requirements may shape how miners operate at scale. Investors are watching not only the price and mining economics but also how policy signals translate into funding, incentives, and potential national-security partnerships tied to critical infrastructure.
What comes next for investors and observers
As the dialogue evolves, several questions will shape the near-term trajectory. Will the Mined in America Act secure support and funding to rebuild a robust domestic mining supply chain, and how will contractors, energy providers, and hardware manufacturers coordinate to scale responsibly? How might a codified Strategic Bitcoin Reserve influence treasury-like thinking around crypto assets and the management of national reserves? And how will ongoing developments in China’s policy stance, North Korea’s cyber activity, and wider geopolitical tensions impact the calculus for investors and operators in the crypto space?
The ongoing debate also highlights a potential shift in how crypto assets are perceived by institutions traditionally wary of volatility and regulatory risk. If the United States emphasizes strategic autonomy for its mining ecosystem and positions Bitcoin as part of a national-security toolkit, capital could flow toward domestic-leaning infrastructure projects, security-focused hardware firms, and compliance-heavy mining operations designed to withstand scrutiny and align with public-interest objectives.
Readers should monitor congressional progress on the Mined in America Act and related policy proposals, along with any executive moves that might formalize a strategic posture around Bitcoin reserves or mining resilience. As geopolitics, cybersecurity, and technology policy continue to intertwine, Bitcoin’s role in national strategy could become a more tangible factor for investors, miners, and users who seek both safety and growth in a climate of evolving risk and opportunity.
Looking ahead, the key uncertainty remains how far policymakers will go in translating rhetorical support for Bitcoin’s strategic value into concrete, budgeted programs and enforceable standards. What is clear is that the intersection of defense readiness, supply-chain security, and crypto technology is moving from a theoretical debate to a policy-relevant reality that could shape the market’s fundamentals for years to come.
Sources embedded in the discussion include the Senate Armed Services Committee proceedings and related coverage on crypto policy developments. For deeper context on the evolving view of Bitcoin in national security discourse, see the official hearing materials and accompanying commentary from lawmakers and defense officials, as well as prior reporting on the Space Force’s cybersecurity arguments and the broader policy conversation around domestic mining manufacturing and strategic reserves.
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