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Ethereum’s Staking Tax May Already Be Obsolete Due To EthLabs

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Ethereum’s Staking Tax May Already Be Obsolete Due To EthLabs

Ethereum is running out of money, according to former insiders.

The warning has sparked one of the fiercest Ethereum governance debates in months: should the network fund developers by taxing staking rewards, or just rely on wealthy Ether holders to bankroll its ecosystem?

At the center of the debate is a controversial proposal from Kleros co-founder Clément Lesaege. He suggested redirecting up to 10% of validator rewards to ecosystem funding through a protocol-level mechanism called Validator Redirected Revenue.

Lesaege argued that this may be necessary to solve Ethereum’s “coordination failure” and reduce the underfunding of shared ecosystem work.

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The idea was met with a wave of backlash, with critics warning of cartel-like incentives and a dangerous precedent for validator-led redistribution.

Validator Redirected Revenue proposal. Source: Eth Research

But just as the Ethereum community was sharpening its knives, a “credibly neutral” solution was forming: Ethlabs.

Unveiled Monday by five former Ethereum Foundation researchers, the shiny nonprofit Ethereum research and development lab is backed by the ecosystem’s biggest supporters, including BitMine, Sharplink and ConsenSys founder Joseph Lubin.

Related: Ethereum Foundation sacks 20% of workforce amid strategic restructuring

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With large investors ready to dig into their pockets, the real question becomes less about whether Ethereum can fund itself and more about how it wants to be funded.

Ethereum’s ‘slow-burning funding crisis’

The latest ETH drama began on Friday when former Ethereum Foundation contributor Trenton Van Epps warned that Ethereum’s core development ecosystem could face a “slow-burning funding crisis” within three to nine months as older support programs dry up and Foundation spending falls.

He estimated that maintaining more than 10 client, research and coordination teams costs roughly $30 million a year, and that the Client Incentive Program and other support mechanisms were no longer enough to cover that bill.

Van Epps argued that Ethereum is entering an institutional “inheritance” phase in which the Foundation will move away from being the primary steward of protocol funding, and that new arrangements must replace the expiring programs he helped coordinate.

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Having spent much of the year dealing with leadership turnover, public criticism over priorities, and a growing debate over core protocol funding, Van Epps’ warning touched a raw nerve.

But some Ethereum voices pushed back, arguing that the EF has “enough funds to run for at least 30 years, so there is zero funding crisis.” Bitmine’s Tom Lee also rejected the warning, saying there was “zero chance” of Ethereum running out of funds for protocol development.

Ethereum Foundation Treasury Policy. Source: Ethereum Foundation

The Ethereum Foundation’s own treasury policy already points to a multi-year operating buffer and a planned reduction in annual spending.

In June 2025, the EF said it would maintain a 2.5-year operating expense buffer in cash and stablecoins, pledged to cap annual spending at 15% of total treasury assets and gradually reduce that spending rate toward a 5% baseline over five years.

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Related: Ethereum can quantum-proof accounts for just 7 cents, says Ethereum’s Kohaku lead

On Tuesday, Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin said the Foundation is decreasing its budget by roughly 40%, in line with that policy, as it transitions from spending around 15% of its funds annually before 2026 toward a long-term target of about 5% per year after 2030. It laid off 54 staff members.

The proposal everyone hates

So the Foundation may not run out of money, but it is tightening its belt and has a lot less cash to spend on research and development than in its glory days. Lesaege argued that Ethereum suffers from a coordination failure in which everyone benefits from shared infrastructure — but no one wants to foot the bill.

His proposal would require validators to signal how much of their staking rewards they are willing to redirect, a figure between 0% and 10%. If a majority of validators supported a non-zero rate, that redirect would become mandatory for all.

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At current staking levels, he estimated that even a 5%-10% redirect could generate roughly 50,000 to 70,000 ETH per year for ecosystem work, or roughly $82.5 million to $115.5 million at current ETH prices today.

Incentive to fund Ethereum growth. Source: Eth Research

Critics quickly zeroed in on the mechanism’s power dynamics, warning that it could entrench large validators, blur the line between operators and governance actors, and give a stake-weighted majority new leverage over ecosystem funding decisions.

What staking providers say

A spokesperson for Figment told Cointelegraph the proposal would compress margins, which “tends to consolidate the validator set toward larger, more integrated operators” serving institutional clients, like Figment.

This would come at the “cost of some operator diversity and potentially fewer net new ETH stakers,” the spokesperson said.

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Andrew Gibb, chief executive and co-founder of Twinstake institutional staking, told Cointelegraph that various investor segments would respond differently.

While long-term ETH holders may value the prospect of a better-funded ecosystem, shorter-term capital, such as retail participants, liquid multi-asset funds and reward-focused allocators may be less receptive.

He said the proposal would “narrow the addressable staking market at the margin,” with the most price-sensitive cohorts likely to “reduce or exit positions,” adding that he would expect some clients to reassess their staking allocations.

Related: Buterin fires back at Ethereum Foundation critics, recommits to neutrality

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Senior research associate at Bitwise, Max Shannon, told Cointelegraph that Ethereum staking participation has so far shown limited sensitivity to lower rewards.

He said that the staking annual percentage rate (APR) has fallen from about 4.6% in June 2023 to around 2.7% now, while staked supply and the staking ratio roughly doubled. However, additional reward compression would make “slashing risk and exit-queue liquidity risk more material relative to the return.”

He added that a lower net consensus-layer yield could push validators to rely more heavily on maximal extractable value (MEV) to make up lost APR, which could potentially weigh on censorship resistance.

How large is the problem, really?

On paper the funding gap is not that large. Shannon noted that if the annual shortfall is around $30 million and annual staking rewards are about $1.9 billion, so the gap could be filled with just 1.6% of staking rewards.

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That makes Lesaege’s proposal look modest, even though it remains politically radioactive. In economic terms, a single-digit haircut on staking rewards is manageable. In governance terms, many Ethereum participants see it as a line-crossing move that turns validators into a tax authority.

Shannon also argued that networks with hard-coded development funding are not necessarily better off just because they earmark rewards. In his view, protocol success is driven far more by token performance and contributor incentives than by any one developer funding mechanism.

A new funding model emerges

Tom Lee’s comment there was “zero chance” of an Ethereum funding crisis and that funds were “secured” foreshadowed the unveiling of the new non-profit EthLabs a few days later.

Rather than taxing rewards at the protocol level, Ethlabs enables large ETH-aligned institutions such as BitMine and Sharplink to fund development directly.

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Ethlabs nonprofit R&D for Ethereum. Source: Ethlabs

It does not replace the Ethereum Foundation, but complements it. EthLabs signals that the smart contract platform’s next phase may involve a more distributed funding model, where the EF remains central to the protocol’s core, while other labs and treasury-heavy institutions fund adjacent work.

In an X post on Monday, Ethereum co-founder Joe Lubin said there is still “an enormous amount of top tier talent” at the Ethereum Foundation that remain focused on “the cypherpunk core components” of the protocol. But he added that many other Ethereum R&D teams will now explore other dimensions.

Gibb said that the responsibility for funding ecosystem development sits with foundations and protocol treasuries. There are alternate mechanisms to explore, such as staking yield or priority fees, he added, “before making changes to validator economics at the protocol level.”

Whether Ethlabs proves sufficient remains to be seen. But its emergence has already shifted the debate from how Ethereum should tax itself to whether it needs to at all.

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Trump White House Negotiating CLARITY Act Ethics Deal With Senate Democrats

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Trump White House Negotiating CLARITY Act Ethics Deal With Senate Democrats


A Trump White House official is now directly negotiating an ethics compromise on the CLARITY Act with Senate Democrats, the last major sticking point standing between the crypto market structure bill and a Senate floor vote. The development was reported by journalist Pete Rizzo on Tuesday, citing… Read the full story at The Defiant

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Crypto PAC’s $5.5 million Congress pick gets Maryland win, more crypto allies advance

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Crypto PAC's $5.5 million Congress pick gets Maryland win, more crypto allies advance

In the same state, Fairshake backed incumbent Representative April McClain Delaney for $516,000, while also contributing ad spending in other states’ Tuesday primaries to Republican incumbent Representative Blake Moore in Utah and $1.3 million for one of the industry’s most reliable allies in the House, Representative Ritchie Torres, a New York Democrat. All of them also won their races or were winning, with McClain Delaney in an early lead with votes still being counted.

The most recent Federal Election Commission filings showed Fairshake with about $126 million still on-hand at the end of last month. But it’s spending heavily on the way to the November general elections in which the two-year destiny of the U.S. Congress will be decided.

If Boafo contributes to the rise of a new Democratic majority in the House, the crypto industry will have a campaign-finance bond with him and other Democrats the PAC has supported. A Democratic majority is set at 79% odds in betting on prediction market platform Kalshi, and if the party earns that status, it’ll have chairmanships of all the committees, complete with control of the chamber’s agenda and subpoena power.

Fairshake’s approach is to flood pro-crypto candidates from both parties with large-scale independent advertising that can’t legally be coordinated with the campaigns. The ads don’t typically mention crypto as a political issues but are instead just calculated to use whatever political message would be most helpful for the candidates.

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CFTC Sues Kentucky After Prediction Market Lawsuits

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CFTC Sues Kentucky After Prediction Market Lawsuits

The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission filed a lawsuit against Kentucky on Tuesday after the state sued prediction market operators last week, accusing them of operating unlicensed and illegal gambling platforms.

The lawsuit, filed in federal court, seeks to block Kentucky’s legal action against five prediction markets filed on Wednesday last week, calling for declaratory and injunctive relief. It names Kentucky Governor Andrew Beshear, Attorney General Russell Coleman and the Kentucky Horse Racing and Gaming Corporation, among others.

“Kentucky is the latest state attempting to shut down federally-regulated event contracts,” CFTC Chair Mike Selig said in a statement. “As I’ve consistently pledged, the CFTC is firmly committed to maintaining its exclusive jurisdiction over prediction markets, and today’s lawsuit against Kentucky is yet another example of the Commission protecting its federal interests.”

The CFTC has been ramping up its effort to maintain authority over prediction markets since Selig was appointed as chair in December. Kentucky is now the ninth state that the CFTC has sued over state authorities taking action against prediction markets.

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Source: Mike Selig

Kentucky sued Polymarket and Kalshi, along with Kalshi partners Coinbase, Robinhood and Webull, claiming they are “doing business without a Kentucky gaming license or following state regulations” and that their sports event contracts “fall squarely within the definition of ‘sports wagering’ under Kentucky law.”

Sports betting has been under the jurisdiction of the Kentucky Horse Racing and Gaming Corporation since 2023.

Related: Mark Zuckerberg ordered Meta staff to develop moneyless prediction market: NYT

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The state also alleged the platforms offer users “few or no resources” to identify or seek help for a gambling problem as required by state law.  

In its lawsuit, the CFTC argued that Kalshi and Polymarket are designated contract markets under its authority, and their event contracts are “swaps” under federal commodities law. 

It argued that Coinbase, Robinhood and Webull are CFTC-registered futures commission merchants that can offer event contracts in partnership with a designated contract market.

The regulator also took aim at Kentucky’s recent law that imposed a 14.25% excise tax on prediction market transaction fees, arguing it was an attempt to make prediction markets economically unviable in the state.

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“This tax essentially makes it impossible for prediction markets to operate in Kentucky,” the CFTC argued.

The lawsuit comes just weeks after CFTC similarly sued New Mexico to block the state’s efforts to apply state gaming laws to Kalshi.

In May, US President Donald Trump gave the CFTC moral support, saying it was “critically important” that the regulator was the authority on prediction markets.

Source: Donald Trump

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Trump’s son, Donald Trump Jr., has invested in and is on the advisory board for Polymarket and is an adviser to Kalshi.

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Congress Passes Fed CBDC Ban Through 2030, Sends Bill to Trump

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Congress Passes Fed CBDC Ban Through 2030, Sends Bill to Trump


Both chambers of Congress have passed legislation barring the Federal Reserve from issuing a central bank digital currency through 2030, with the bill heading to President Trump for signature after the House cleared it Tuesday. The House passed the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act with a large… Read the full story at The Defiant

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Ethereum Foundation Cuts Another 40% But Solana Founder Calls It Bullish

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Ethereum Price performance. Source: BeinCrypto

The Ethereum Foundation is cutting its budget by roughly 40% and reducing staff by about 20%, concluding a planned shift toward a leaner, endowment-style organization with a narrower set of priorities.

Co-founder Vitalik Buterin called the cuts a deliberate trade, not an efficiency drive. Solana co-founder Anatoly Yakovenko went further, arguing the leaner foundation will move faster and prove bullish for Ethereum.

What the Budget Cut Removes

The foundation confirmed it is cutting 54 roles, close to one-fifth of its staff. It is reorganizing into a seven-cluster structure built around protocol security, censorship resistance, and privacy.

Buterin did not frame the reductions as pure efficiency. He named concrete losses. These include a smaller Devcon, the wind-down of Privacy and Scaling Explorations, and fewer projects beyond Ethereum.

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The Ethereum co-founder also signaled his diminishing influence on the board.

The foundation’s June 2025 treasury policy set annual spending at 15% of holdings, with a 2.5-year cash buffer. It mapped a glide path to a 5% endowment baseline by about 2030.

To sell less ether (ETH), it now leans on staking and DeFi yield instead of principal.

“This year, the EF is decreasing its budget by roughly 40%, which entails some difficult decisions… the EF is transitioning into being a long-term-oriented endowment-based organization…” Vitalik Buterin wrote.

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Buterin tied the budget to Ethereum’s Strawmap, which he calls the network’s third iteration after the Merge.

He wants that core protocol overhaul finished, then a higher bar for new features. He also expects leaner shipping.

Buterin said more of the protocol will shift from client redundancy to AI-assisted formal verification, reducing upgrade costs.

Solana Co-Founder Sees Upside

Not everyone reads the cuts as a decline. Solana co-founder Yakovenko argued that tight budgets force focus.

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“Bullish… Budget constraints force prioritization and focus. Ethereum isn’t going away. A smaller and leaner EF will be more decisive and will move faster and will be able to course correct faster,” the Solana executive wrote.

Skeptics see risk. Former foundation contributor Trent Van Epps warned of a roughly $30 million annual funding gap for core development.

BitMine chairman Tom Lee dismissed the crisis talk, betting private backers and stakers will step in.

That bet is already taking shape. Days earlier, five former foundation researchers launched an independent nonprofit, Ethlabs. Lee and Ethereum co-founder Joe Lubin backed it to push institutional adoption.

Ethereum reflected the unease. Ether’s price action slid below $1,660, down about 5% over 24 hours. It retained its rank as the second-largest cryptocurrency, valued at about $200 billion.

Ethereum Price performance. Source: BeinCrypto
Ethereum Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto

The next treasury reports and protocol milestones will test the bet.

They will show whether a smaller foundation ships faster, as Yakovenko predicts, or whether the lost talent slows Ethereum’s most ambitious upgrade yet.

The post Ethereum Foundation Cuts Another 40% But Solana Founder Calls It Bullish appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Bitcoin Signals Potential $62K Support as Traders Eye Micron Volatility

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Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin traded with limited conviction at the start of Tuesday’s Wall Street session as earlier losses in Asia’s technology-heavy markets spilled into global risk sentiment. While BTC held its position near recent ranges, traders increasingly pointed to cross-asset volatility—particularly moves in major US indices and upcoming company-specific headlines—as a driver of short-term price swings.

On the crypto side, liquidation data underscored how thin the margin for error currently looks. CoinGlass reported that rolling 24-hour crypto liquidations were approaching $1 billion on Tuesday, after earlier liquidation totals neared $700 million in the prior day’s window.

Key takeaways

  • Bitcoin remained range-bound at the Wall Street open, with $62,500 emerging as a key near-term reference point.
  • Asia’s tech sell-off contributed to early downside pressure across equities, feeding into heightened market volatility.
  • Trader commentary linked BTC’s dips below $62,000 to short-term liquidity grabs and subsequent price resets.
  • CoinGlass data showed liquidation activity intensifying, with totals nearing $1 billion over a 24-hour rolling period.
  • Attention is focused on US earnings—especially Micron Technologies’ Q3 guidance—expected to influence broader momentum-driven trading.

BTC checks levels as equities wobble

According to TradingView data referenced by Cointelegraph, BTC’s movement on lower time frames looked indecisive, with traders watching $62,500 as a focal level. The day’s volatility had begun in Asia: two intraday dips pushed price action briefly below the $62,000 area as equities posted major declines.

The US open was less severe, but weakness carried over. At the time of writing, the S&P 500 was down about 1% and the Nasdaq Composite about 1.3%, reflecting that investors had started resetting risk positions after the earlier tech-led sell-off.

In commentary that tied the equity and crypto tapes together, The Kobeissi Letter said expectations around Micron Technologies’ upcoming Q3 earnings guidance were a key factor behind the current market turbulence. The firm’s post on X highlighted how sentiment around the stock could drive broader momentum-based moves, particularly given Micron’s large market value.

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“Speculation over Micron’s earnings is a key factor driving this volatility,” Kobeissi wrote on X.

Why Micron’s guidance matters to traders right now

Kobeissi also linked the broader market drop in Korea to legal concerns related to unrealized gains and to increased leverage among traders, arguing that these dynamics amplified volatility in both directions. It noted that the S&P 500 had already rebounded meaningfully from its opening low, reflecting a market that is quick to reverse when liquidity shifts.

“The result is amplified volatility in both directions, which also explains why the S&P 500 is already up +60 points from its opening low,” the account added.

The broader point for crypto participants is not the earnings event itself, but how it can influence risk appetite across correlated assets. If tech earnings expectations cause sharp swings in sentiment, BTC often feels the effect through liquidity conditions—especially when leverage is active in both directions.

Even as traders absorb the equity newsflow, the “AI narrative” underpinning parts of the tech complex remains a central theme, according to Kobeissi, which argued that volatility after a strong prior run can be “normal” rather than purely bearish. For BTC investors, the implication is that price may continue to oscillate rather than trend aggressively until the market’s next catalyst becomes clear.

Liquidations spike as BTC searches for liquidity

Despite the day’s broader uncertainty, BTC activity appeared to concentrate around nearby liquidity pockets—an environment where both longs and shorts can be forced out. CoinGlass data placed 24-hour crypto liquidations at nearly $700 million at one point during the session, with the overall rolling figure later described as climbing toward $1 billion over 24 hours.

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Trader Daan Crypto Trades commented that the $65K area failed to hold and that price subsequently moved to “grab the liquidity below $62K.” This type of commentary aligns with the observed pattern: dips below round-number support can accelerate liquidation cascades, then produce rebounds once stop orders and leveraged positions are cleared.

CoinGlass’s liquidation snapshots were also accompanied by market analysis from CryptoReviewing, which described the long-short imbalance as “ridiculous” and pointed to the rolling $1 billion figure on Tuesday. CryptoReviewing suggested that what comes next could still offer opportunities for bulls, but the immediate takeaway from the liquidation data is that the market remains highly leveraged and therefore sensitive to short-term shifts.

What to watch next: levels and catalysts

For now, BTC’s near-term direction looks closely tied to both US equity momentum and earnings-driven risk sentiment, with Micron’s guidance emerging as a near-dated catalyst highlighted by traders. As liquidation totals remain elevated, watching whether BTC can reclaim and hold above the $62,500 area—and whether equities stabilize or reintroduce downside pressure—may be the most practical indicators for the next move.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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What Andy Burnham Means for Crypto in the UK

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What Andy Burnham Means for Crypto in the UK

Amid waning poll numbers and pressure from inside the Labour Party, Prime Minister Keir Starmer has stepped down. 

During Starmer’s tenure, the government introduced a moratorium on cryptocurrency donations to political campaigns, citing concerns that crypto could become a vector for foreign influence in UK elections. Beyond the ban, the UK has charted a cautious path on crypto regulation under the Labour government. 

Starmer’s departure from Number 10 has started discussions about his successor. A frontrunner has emerged in Andy Burnham, a member of parliament for Makerfield and former Mayor of Greater Manchester. 

Burnham has expressed optimism about the blockchain industry’s ability to support economic development. But it remains to be seen whether that enthusiasm can translate into real policy moves.

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Burnham wanted Manchester to be a “Web 3 powerhouse”

A graduate of Cambridge, Burnham served as a Cabinet minister under both Tony Blair and Gordon Brown, both as Health Secretary and Culture Secretary. From 2010 to 2015, he served as Shadow Education Secretary and Shadow Health Secretary under Ed Miliband before unsuccessfully contesting the Labor leadership bid in 2015.

From 2015-2016, he was Shadow Home Secretary under Jeremy Corbyn before leaving Westminster to become Mayor of Manchester in 2017. 

As mayor, Burnham has consistently framed digital technology as an economic development tool and a way of driving growth and jobs in the city. This framing was evident at a Stand With Crypto and Manchester Blockchain Alliance event, where he said, “I’m bought in.”

He further noted his commitment to “make [Manchester] the Web3 powerhouse that we want it to be.”

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Whether this will translate into a coherent national policy is another matter. As mayor, Burnham championed a model dubbed “Manchesterism,” which prioritized devolution, regional economic control and public-private partnerships.

It’s a bottom-up approach that, some observers in the crypto industry say, needs to be amplified if it’s to bring national-level change to the industry.

Nick Jones, founder and CEO of UK digital assets services platform Zumo, told Cointelegraph, “Burnham’s rhetoric on crypto has to date been heavily influenced by his role as Mayor of Greater Manchester. For example, he has previously drawn parallels between digital innovation and historical developments, pointing out that Manchester was the home of the Industrial Revolution and has the potential to become the home of the Web3 revolution.”

“But such soundbites were to be expected in the context of his role. If he becomes Prime Minister, he will be well aware of the need to amplify that ambition and ensure the UK as a whole sits at the heart of the world’s future financial system,” he said.

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Related: UK central bank is warming up to stablecoins, but says industry input is lacking

Benoit Marzouk, the CEO of GBP stablecoin tGBP, told Cointelegraph that Burnham’s Manchester experience “is not a handicap.” Rather, his experience outside Westminster, “could help implement and accelerate the right policies for the digital asset industry across the UK.”

Burnham has not yet published a detailed digital assets policy. His public comments about crypto reflect broader enthusiasm rather than specific regulatory commitments. He has not yet addressed the Financial Conduct Authority’s crypto framework, stablecoin law, or the crypto political donation ban on public record. 

The donation ban, politics, and what Burnham could actually do

In March, Stamer’s government banned crypto donations to political campaigns over concerns of foreign influence in British elections. 

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The ban followed an independent review by Philip Rycroft, a former civil servant turned consultant, who found that the pseudonymous nature of crypto assets created unacceptable risks to political financing transparency.

Reversing a policy introduced on the recommendation of an independent review carries political risk. Labor’s left could scrutinize any move that appears to open the party to crypto money, which Reform UK has used to fund its leading performance in recent local elections.

According to Reuters, crypto donations from billionaires based overseas put Reform well ahead of Labour in the fundraising race. Reform’s leader Nigel Farage is under investigation for an undisclosed 5 million pound ($6.6 million) gift from British Thai-based businessman Christopher Harborne. 

Despite obvious ethics concerns, Farage said he should be able to spend the gift however he wishes, be it for campaigning, or on Ferraris and betting on horses.

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Amid political concerns over the temporary moratorium, a 180-degree ban reversal from Burnham seems unlikely. 

Marzouk expects Burnham to exhibit “pragmatism rather than political announcements.” For tGBP, success in the first year of a Burnham premiership would include a finalized stablecoin framework, pilot programs involving government and GBP stablecoins and continuing work on tokenization.

Tom Rhodes, chief legal officer for UK stablecoin issuer Agant, told Cointelegraph, “We don’t expect the next PM to interfere with any specific policies. The regulators remain independent and cryptoasset regulation is nearly settled.”

Jones said that Burnham is “on record strongly backing the underlying economic potential of our nascent sector.”

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“If he does become the next Prime Minister, it’s unlikely his position will change. I believe he would continue to pursue the current growth-focused policy approach.”

The transition period could be bumpy, stalling momentum, according to Jones. “Any potential cabinet reshuffle could displace ministers who are familiar with the evolving regulatory regime at the critical inflection point when regulators and industry alike are preparing for authorization, and that would be a problem.”

Labour is yet to announce an official timetable for replacing Starmer, although the former PM has said that he’d like to see nominations open on July 9, after a NATO summit. According to Sky News, it could be a week later, on July 16, when parliament goes on summer recess. 

The winner must receive more than half the votes cast. If no one receives the necessary votes, then ballots are recast based on preference. 

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Nearly 100 Catholic Leaders Oppose CLARITY Act Over Trafficking Safeguard Provisions

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Nearly 100 Catholic Leaders Oppose CLARITY Act Over Trafficking Safeguard Provisions


Close to 100 Catholic bishops and church leaders have sent a letter to Senate leadership opposing the CLARITY Act, arguing that one of its core provisions would weaken federal safeguards against human trafficking and other financial crimes ahead of a Senate floor vote. The letter, addressed to… Read the full story at The Defiant

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Digital Chamber CEO Carbone Presses Senate for CLARITY Act Vote, Citing Financial Friction Cost to Americans

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Digital Chamber CEO Carbone Presses Senate for CLARITY Act Vote, Citing Financial Friction Cost to Americans


Cody Carbone, chief executive of The Digital Chamber, testified before the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday pressing for passage of the CLARITY Act, arguing the crypto market-structure bill is a prerequisite for reducing financial costs that fall hardest on lower-income households. In written… Read the full story at The Defiant

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Mark Zuckerberg Wants Meta in Prediction Markets: Is This His Path to Trillionaire Status?

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Bets on Who will be the world's second trillionaire after Elon Musk. Source: Kalshi

Mark Zuckerberg has directed a small team at Meta to build a standalone prediction markets app called Arena, which will rival Polymarket and Kalshi, according to a New York Times report.

The news arrives days after Elon Musk became the world’s first trillionaire, and as Kalshi traders rank Zuckerberg among the most likely people to reach $1 trillion next.

Bets on Who will be the world's second trillionaire after Elon Musk. Source: Kalshi
Bets on who will be the world’s second trillionaire after Elon Musk. Source: Kalshi

Inside Meta’s Arena Prediction Markets App

Meta’s app, known internally as Arena, would run separately from Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp, the NYT reported.

The project fits a familiar Zuckerberg pattern of copying rivals, from Instagram Stories against Snapchat to Reels against TikTok and Threads against X (Twitter).

Users would not wager cash at first. Instead, the app would rely on a video-game-style points system, which sidesteps immediate gambling rules but also generates no direct revenue.

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However, the company has not ruled out real-money betting later.

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The prize is large. Interest in prediction markets climbed after the 2024 US election, and a 2026 funding round valued Kalshi at $22 billion, double its level months earlier, as annualized volume neared $178 billion.

These fast-growing prediction markets let people trade on elections, sports, and economic data, with Kalshi under US regulators and Polymarket on blockchain rails.

Scrutiny is rising too. Regulators are circling the sector, and one analysis found that most Polymarket users lose money.

What the Trillionaire Math Says

Musk reached first trillionaire status on June 12, after SpaceX’s Nasdaq debut. The title is volatile, though. A 16% slide in SpaceX shares has since erased about $240 billion from his fortune, bringing his fortune to roughly $1.08 trillion, Bloomberg‘s index shows.

Top 10 People on Bloomberg's Billionaire Index. Source: Bloomberg Billionaire Index
Top 10 People on Bloomberg’s Billionaire Index. Source: Bloomberg Billionaire Index

Unlike Musk, whose wealth spans SpaceX and Tesla, Zuckerberg depends almost entirely on one stock.

On Kalshi, traders gave Zuckerberg about 24% odds of joining the trillionaire club next on June 23, after Nvidia’s Jensen Huang at 50% and Jeff Bezos at 30%.

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That market is thin, however, with only about $7,500 traded, so the figure is soft.

Forbes puts Zuckerberg at $222 billion, fifth in the world. His fortune would need to roughly quintuple to reach $1 trillion.

Almost all of it sits in Meta stock, where he owns about 13%, so the company’s $1.45 trillion value would have to swell past $7 trillion.

META Stock Performance
META Stock Performance. Source: TradingView

Zuckerberg’s costly bets do not always land. Meta’s Reality Labs has lost more than $70 billion since 2020.

A points-based Arena would earn nothing at launch, leaving Meta’s AI and advertising engine to drive any real move toward $1 trillion.

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Kalshi’s trillionaire contracts run through 2033 on thin volume. Oxfam projected in 2025 that five people could cross $1 trillion within a decade, naming Zuckerberg among them.

Whether Arena becomes a real business or a quiet experiment, Zuckerberg’s road to that mark still runs through Meta’s core engine.

The post Mark Zuckerberg Wants Meta in Prediction Markets: Is This His Path to Trillionaire Status? appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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