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Senate Votes to Rein In Trump’s Iran Strike Authority: Oil Moves, Stocks and Bitcoin Do Not

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SPX, Oil, and Bitcoin Price Performance. Source: TradingView

The U.S. Senate passed a War Powers Resolution on Tuesday, voting 50-48 to rein in Trump’s war with Iran. Bitcoin (BTC), often pitched as a geopolitical hedge, barely moved.

The measure is the first of its kind to clear both chambers of Congress. Yet traders treated it as a formality, since the U.S.-Iran ceasefire is already weeks old.

SPX, Oil, and Bitcoin Price Performance. Source: TradingView
S&P500, Oil, and Bitcoin Price Performance. Source: TradingView

A Historic Rebuke Markets Had Already Priced

Four Republicans broke ranks to support the resolution. Bill Cassidy, Susan Collins, Lisa Murkowski, and Rand Paul joined the Democrats. Senator John Fetterman was the only Democrat to oppose it.

Congress has reached for the 1973 War Powers Resolution against this president before. In 2020, after the Soleimani strike, the Senate passed a binding Iran measure that Trump vetoed.

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This one is a concurrent resolution, so it never reaches his desk.

The vote followed a U.S.-Iran ceasefire reached earlier this month. That truce reopened the Strait of Hormuz and pulled oil back from its wartime highs.

Equities and crude had reacted to the earlier ceasefire relief long before Tuesday.

The White House dismissed the result as meaningless.

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“Concurrent resolutions do not go to the president and have no force of law,” a White House official made that point to CNN.

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The S&P 500 barely moved, just like oil, after tech sector sell-off hit the markets earlier in the day. However, oil price saw modest gains.

Bitcoin Marches to its Own Drum

BTC traded near $62,667 on Wednesday, down about 2.5% over 24 hours. Its recent price action has followed crypto-specific stress, not the politics in Washington.

Bitcoin Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto
Bitcoin Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto

A record 13-day run of outflows drained about $4.4 billion from U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) through early June. It was the longest streak since the funds launched in January 2024.

BlackRock’s IBIT, the largest fund, lost roughly $980 million in its worst week yet. A Federal Reserve in no hurry to cut rates has added to the strain. BTC now trades near half its October record around $126,000.

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The slide undercuts the safe-haven story crypto promoters often repeat. During the U.S. strikes on Iran this year, BTC slid with equities rather than rising like gold.

The pattern is familiar. BTC fell about 8% the day Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, then quickly rebounded. The move echoed its Ukraine war playbook.

For now, BTC trades on liquidity and interest rates, not geopolitics. Whether ETF flows turn around may matter more than any vote in Congress.

The post Senate Votes to Rein In Trump’s Iran Strike Authority: Oil Moves, Stocks and Bitcoin Do Not appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Strategy’s STRC slump is not a Terra repeat, Benchmark says

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Boris Johnson calling Bitcoin a ‘Ponzi’ draws rebuttal from Michael Saylor and others

A stablecoin promises to hold a fixed $1 value, but STRC never made that promise. It is a preferred stock, a class of equity that pays a set dividend, engineered to trade near $100 but with no peg to defend, so it cannot “depeg” the way UST did.

“Strategy’s objective has been to support STRC’s trading at a level near $100, not to guarantee it,” Palmer said. “In our view, what has happened with STRC is best described not as a depeg — something that was never pegged cannot be depegged — but as a market-driven reset of required yield.”

UST was algorithmic, holding its dollar value through a mint-and-burn loop with a sister token, LUNA, and no hard reserves behind it. When confidence broke, the loop unwound and both fell to near zero.

STRC has no such self-reinforcing mechanism. It is backed indirectly by Strategy’s bitcoin, which the company said Monday now totals 847,363 coins worth about $54.5 billion.

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The drop does affect Strategy’s buying engine, however. When STRC trades at or above $100, the company issues new shares and uses the cash to buy more bitcoin.

Below that level the channel stops working – explaining why Strategy has paused it.

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Arthur Hayes Sees $40,000 Bitcoin Bottom Within the Next Six Months

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Bitcoin Price Performance. Source: TradingView

Arthur Hayes expects Bitcoin (BTC) to bottom near $40,000 within the next six months, a prediction the BitMEX co-founder made even as his core positions stay heavily long.

Bitcoin changed hands around $62,278 on Tuesday, down about 3% over 24 hours and locked in a range it has held for weeks. A move to Haye’s target would constitute a 35% drawdown below current prices.

Bitcoin Price Performance. Source: TradingView
Bitcoin Price Performance. Source: TradingView

Arthur Hayes Eyes a $40,000 Bitcoin Floor

Hayes laid out the call during an interview with content creator EllioTrades on June 12. He said he holds put spreads as a hedge, while his long-term book stays large and strictly long.

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The $40,000 target would mark a steep retreat, and adds to a run of recent calls from Hayes, including a more bullish year-end Bitcoin target. His willingness to hedge, however, signals caution about the next few months.

“I’m going to stick with it,” Hayes said when asked if his $200,000–$250,000 target still holds with only weeks left in the year. “If I’m wrong it doesn’t matter… I’m long, I’m still happy either way.”

MicroStrategy Buys Help Bitcoin Reclaim $65,000

Bitcoin had recovered earlier in the week, and MicroStrategy’s buying helped it reclaim the $65,000 level. The company added 520 BTC and lifted its cash reserves by $300 million to $1.4 billion. That extended dividend coverage to nearly 10 months.

Analysts at QCP flagged that the buying likely came through a dilutive at-the-market stock program. Even so, investors took comfort in the liquidity rebuild, and the firm’s STRC preferred shares recovered above $90.

BTC will likely require a confluence of positive catalysts to break decisively out of its current range,” the analysts stated.

The accumulation has limits, however. Wintermute said MicroStrategy keeps buying at a slower pace as funding costs rise.

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It added that the two largest structural buyers, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and Strategy, now provide less marginal demand than before.

Hawkish Fed Keeps Bitcoin Boxed In

The bigger drag came from the Federal Reserve. Policymakers held the benchmark rate between 3.50% and 3.75%.

They also stripped the easing bias and tilted the dot plot toward a hike, lifting the median 2026 rate projection to 3.8% from 3.4% in March.

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That shift repriced expectations fast. The market now prices December rate hike odds near 37%, up from about 24% a month earlier, according to Wintermute. Most policymakers, 17 of 18, now see inflation risks tilted to the upside.

Conditional Meeting Probabilities. Source: CME FedWatch Tool
Conditional Meeting Probabilities. Source: CME FedWatch Tool

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish policy turn reinforced the message, signaling a committee set on fighting inflation. The stance held even as oil prices fell.

The backdrop leaves Bitcoin on the defensive. A collapsed US-Iran agreement and roughly $600 million in weekend long liquidations had already weighed on prices.

Traders now look to Thursday’s Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report, where consensus sees core inflation rising 0.3% to 0.4%.

Quarter-end could add to the swings. JPMorgan estimates institutions may shift as much as $165 billion from equities into bonds by the end of June.

That would rank as the largest such reallocation in at least four years. For now, Wintermute sees little sign of fresh demand.

This is a market stabilizing beneath the surface on lighter positioning and cleaner leverage, not one finding new buyers,” Wintermute analysts stated.

The post Arthur Hayes Sees $40,000 Bitcoin Bottom Within the Next Six Months appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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$170M Ether longs liquidated as crypto market tumbles: Is ETH doomed?

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$170M Ether longs liquidated as crypto market tumbles: Is ETH doomed?


ETH price hangs in the balance as a fresh wave of liquidations pressure the altcoin and spillover from Bitcoin’s struggles to hold $62,000 impact investor sentiment.

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Bitcoin Holds Key Price Floor Despite Weak Bullish Signals: Bitfinex Alpha

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Over the past week, bitcoin (BTC) has traded between $62,000 and $72,000. Despite bullish conditions not being fulfilled, the leading digital asset has managed to hold its floor.

Analysts at the crypto exchange Bitfinex revealed in the latest Bitfinex Alpha report that the current crypto market environment is being reshaped by shifting Federal Reserve expectations and inflation risks. These factors have created near-term pressure for risk assets like gold and BTC; regardless, the floor of the latter has remained intact.

Bitcoin in Limbo

On-chain data shows that neither bulls nor bears are firmly in control. With BTC trading within the $62,500–$72,000 consolidation zone, the market appears to be in limbo, rather than a sustained bearish phase.

Bitfinex analysts outlined two bullish tests for a potential sustained uptrend on lower timeframes, but they all failed. The tests were a sustained spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) market bid and a calming of the derivatives complex, with funding moving from neutral to negative.

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In the face of the failure, there are now two opposing forces pulling at market sentiment on inflation: the potential of softening energy risks following a peace deal between the U.S. and Iran and the Fed’s focus on inflationary heat rather than the immediate relief in crude prices.

For BTC to continue holding its floor, the Fed needs to be willing to “hold its nerve,” according to experts. It remains to be seen how the market will move until this happens.

Fragile Bullish Conditions

Analysts further explained that ETFs are currently the primary proof of the market’s indecisiveness. These products have failed to establish a bullish trend and have instead reverted to net redemptions. The total volume traded across ETFs has declined significantly, but it is still not low enough to support a bearish case. So they are also in a state of limbo, and not a bear market.

Nevertheless, a structural perspective indicates that BTC is trading below the active-investor cost basis. The $68,500–$72,000 zone remains the primary overhead supply band, and analysts expect further compression within the $62,000–$64,000 range, or broader movements between $60,000 and $70,000 in the coming days.

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As the market gives in to either the bulls or the bears, the $68,500–$72,000 range is expected to act as significant resistance, as many investors in this range are at a loss and are likely to sell at break-even. So, BTC now has three key levels: the $54,000 foundational floor, the $72,000 break-even point for recent buyers, and the $77,200 hurdle for short-term holders.

The post Bitcoin Holds Key Price Floor Despite Weak Bullish Signals: Bitfinex Alpha appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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CBOE eyes crypto perpetuals as Kalshi upends futures market

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CBOE eyes crypto perpetuals as Kalshi upends futures market

CBOE has begun evaluating a conversion of its Bitcoin and Ether futures into perpetual contracts after crypto perpetuals generated more than $8.5 billion in trading volume on Kalshi within weeks of launch.

Summary

  • CBOE is considering converting its Bitcoin and Ether futures into perpetual contracts after recent CFTC approvals.
  • Kalshi’s crypto perpetual futures have generated more than $8.5 billion in trading volume within weeks of launch.
  • CME has challenged the CFTC in court as perpetual futures trading expands across regulated and decentralized markets.

According to a June 23 report from The Wall Street Journal, CBOE Global Markets is considering turning its continuous Bitcoin and Ether futures into perpetual futures following recent regulatory developments in the United States.

The report cited Rob Hocking, CBOE’s global head of derivatives, who said the exchange is exploring the possibility after the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission approved cryptocurrency perpetual futures for prediction market operator Kalshi.

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While Hocking did not provide a timeline for any changes, the comments place one of the largest U.S. exchange operators among a growing list of firms responding to fresh competition in the perpetual futures market.

CBOE introduced its continuous Bitcoin and Ether futures contracts in December, offering products with expirations extending as far as 10 years.

According to The Wall Street Journal, the exchange is now studying whether perpetual contracts could provide an alternative structure following the CFTC’s decision to permit similar products on regulated U.S. venues.

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Kalshi’s rapid growth has drawn attention from incumbent exchanges

Trading activity has accelerated quickly since Kalshi entered the market. According to The Wall Street Journal, Kalshi’s cryptocurrency perpetual futures have recorded more than $8.5 billion in volume within weeks of becoming available.

The CFTC’s approval has not been welcomed by all established exchanges. Earlier this month, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange filed a lawsuit against the regulator, arguing that the decision allowing Kalshi to list perpetual futures violates federal law. CME claimed the approval caused “textbook competitive injury” to incumbent futures exchanges.

The dispute highlights the growing importance of perpetual futures, a product that has become the dominant form of crypto derivatives trading since being popularized by BitMEX. Unlike traditional futures contracts, perpetuals do not expire and instead use periodic funding payments to keep contract prices aligned with the underlying asset.

Perpetual futures activity continues to expand across crypto markets

Outside traditional exchange operators, trading firms and crypto platforms continue adding new perpetual products.

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Earlier this month, Coinbase launched perpetual futures linked to stock indexes, giving eligible U.S. traders leveraged exposure to sectors including artificial intelligence, defense, and Chinese equities. The rollout followed Coinbase International Exchange’s March launch of round-the-clock futures tied to U.S.-listed stocks for eligible traders outside the U.S.

Commodity-linked perpetual products are also gaining traction. BitMEX recently pointed to rising interest in commodity perpetual swaps as volatility in oil and gold markets increased.

Decentralized trading venues have become another major center for perpetual futures activity. According to data from DeFiLlama, decentralized exchanges processed more than $22.5 billion in perpetual futures volume during the past 24 hours and approximately $663 billion over the previous 30 days. DeFiLlama data showed that Hyperliquid accounted for most of that activity.

With regulated U.S. exchanges now receiving a pathway to offer perpetual futures, competition between traditional futures operators, crypto-native platforms, and decentralized venues is intensifying as firms move to capture trading activity that has historically been concentrated outside the U.S.

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Franklin Templeton closes 250 Digital acquisition deal and sets up new Franklin Crypto division

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Franklin Templeton proposes new funds that turn dividends into BTC: Crypto Daily

The $1.7 trillion asset manager Franklin Templeton is establishing a new dedicated active crypto investment management arm through acquisition of 250 Digital.

Franklin Templeton has established Franklin Crypto to offer institutional investors actively managed cryptocurrency strategies the asset manager said in a statement.

The San Mateo, California-based asset manager first announced the acquisition and the new crypto division in April as part of its increasing push into digital assets. It has not disclosed financial terms of the deal

The new division will combine the investment capabilities of the former 250 Digital team with Franklin Templeton’s global distribution. Franklin Templeton will also invest its own capital into these liquid strategies as part of the closing agreement.

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The new unit absorbs the entire 250 Digital investment team, alongside all liquid cryptocurrency strategies they previously ran under CoinFund, according to the statement.

Crypto industry veterans Christopher Perkins and Seth Ginns will co-lead the new division. Perkins will serve as Head of Franklin Crypto and Chief Investment Officer respectively.

Read More: Franklin Templeton proposes new ETFs that turn corporate dividends into bitcoin

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Michael Selig draws line between crypto perps and corn futures

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Michael Selig draws line between crypto perps and corn futures

CFTC Chair Michael Selig has defended crypto perpetual futures while stressing they are not suitable for agricultural markets, as regulated crypto perps continue expanding across U.S. venues.

Summary

  • Michael Selig said crypto perpetual futures are not a natural fit for agricultural markets that rely on physical delivery.
  • The CFTC and SEC have launched a joint review of swap definitions that could affect how crypto perpetuals are regulated.
  • CBOE is evaluating crypto perpetual futures after Kalshi’s products generated more than $8.5 billion in trading volume.

According to remarks delivered by Selig at the American Cotton Shippers Association Annual Convention on Tuesday, the CFTC recognizes that 24/7 trading and perpetual futures structures are not well suited to traditional agricultural markets that depend on physical delivery and operate during limited trading hours.

Drawing a contrast between the agency’s historic role overseeing products ranging from corn to livestock and its newer responsibilities involving digital assets, Selig said perpetual contracts tied to cryptocurrencies are not appropriate for every asset class, particularly in agriculture.

While emphasizing those differences, Selig’s comments come only weeks after the CFTC approved Bitcoin perpetual futures contracts for prediction market platform Kalshi and issued a no-action position allowing similar products on Coinbase. Following those developments, crypto exchange Kraken also launched perpetual futures trading for U.S. customers through its CFTC-regulated platform Bitnomial.

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Crypto perpetuals remain under regulatory review

Alongside the emergence of regulated crypto perpetuals, the CFTC and the Securities and Exchange Commission recently opened a joint public consultation seeking feedback on how U.S. regulations classify swaps, security-based swaps, mixed swaps, and related derivatives products.

As reported by crypto.news, the agencies said financial markets and trading practices have evolved since the original implementation of Title VII of the Dodd-Frank Act, prompting a review of whether current definitions still align with modern products. Comments will remain open for 60 days after publication in the Federal Register.

According to the agencies, the request covers jurisdictional questions, swap exclusions, alternative compliance frameworks, mixed swaps, and newly developed financial products. The review also includes event contracts and prediction market products that increasingly sit at the intersection of commodities and securities regulation.

Addressing the initiative, Selig said the consultation could help resolve what he described as longstanding ambiguities within Dodd-Frank. SEC Chair Paul Atkins separately stated that additional regulatory clarity is overdue, including for event-based products.

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A key issue emerging from the review involves crypto perpetual futures, which differ from traditional futures contracts because they have no expiration date. As crypto.news previously reported, Kalshi’s Bitcoin perpetual futures were permitted to remain listed under existing futures rules, subject to compliance with the Commodity Exchange Act and CFTC regulations.

If regulators eventually classify crypto perpetuals as swaps rather than futures, platforms offering the products could face different requirements covering execution, reporting, clearing, and regulatory oversight.

Traditional exchanges are taking notice

Growing interest in regulated crypto perpetuals has also attracted attention from established exchange operators.

According to additional reporting, CBOE has begun evaluating whether its Bitcoin and Ether futures products could be converted into perpetual contracts after crypto perpetuals generated more than $8.5 billion in trading volume on Kalshi within weeks of launch.

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At the same time, Selig’s handling of prediction markets and crypto perpetual approvals continues to face legal scrutiny. Last week, CME Group filed a lawsuit against the CFTC in the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia, alleging that the agency’s approvals violated the Commodity Exchange Act.

Further uncertainty surrounds the agency itself. Despite calls from lawmakers to fill vacant seats, President Donald Trump has not appointed additional commissioners, leaving Selig as the CFTC’s sole commissioner and chair following Caroline Pham’s departure in December 2025.

Meanwhile, the U.S. Senate is expected to consider the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act in the coming weeks. According to lawmakers and industry participants, the legislation could redefine how regulatory responsibilities are divided between the CFTC and SEC for digital asset markets.

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The EU Parliament approves digital euro framework to counter U.S.’s payment monopoly

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The EU Parliament approves digital euro framework to counter U.S.'s payment monopoly

“Strengthening the resilience of payments in Europe has become a geopolitical necessity,” Markus Ferber, a leading member of the ECON committee said on Tuesday.

“In a world marked by geopolitical tensions, we can no longer accept that digital payments are largely dependent on the goodwill of a few foreign providers,” he added, echoing concerns expressed across the EU.

The new rules voted by the ECON Committee cleared the way for the ECB to introduce both online and offline versions of the currency by 2029. Crucially, the offline version will allow users to swap digital euros directly from phone to phone without an internet connection, guaranteeing cash-like privacy that prevents the ECB from seeing what citizens are buying.

The EU’s central bank digital euro approval comes just hours after U.S. Senate voted to place a four-year ban on a CBDC. The bill now heads to the House of Representatives. If they follow suit it then goes to President Donald Trump for his signature.

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Commercial banks successfully lobbied for strict holding limits on how much a citizen can keep in a digital wallet to avoid a mass exodus of cash from traditional accounts during a crisis.

The ECB will now undertake a 12-month pilot phase using a beta version to test the infrastructure in real-world scenarios with select merchants and payment service providers.

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CryptoQuant’s MicroStrategy Warning Comes Two Weeks Late

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MicroStrategy Unrealized Profit/Loss.

CryptoQuant has urged MicroStrategy to stop buying Bitcoin (BTC) and rebuild its cash reserve. The research firm published that call on June 23, roughly two weeks after the Michael Saylor-led Bitcoin treasury had already started doing it.

By then, the company had spent two straight weeks steering most of its fresh capital into cash, not Bitcoin. That timing blunts the force of the recommendation.

Inside CryptoQuant’s MicroStrategy Warning

In its June 23 report, CryptoQuant said MicroStrategy’s annualized dividend obligations have nearly quadrupled to $1.2 billion in 2026.

Its US dollar reserve, the buffer for those payments, has fallen 38% over the same period.

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STRC, the variable-rate preferred stock Strategy markets as a stable instrument near $100, instead slid to $82.50 last week. That marked a record low, about 17.5% below par.

That gap cut dividend coverage from more than seven years to roughly 14 months, by CryptoQuant’s math. The reserve sat near $2 billion before May, when MicroStrategy spent about $1.5 billion buying back convertible notes due 2029.

Selling Bitcoin to refill the reserve would backfire, the firm argued. MicroStrategy sits on a $10.6 billion unrealized loss, since Bitcoin now trades well below its average cost near $75,000.

MicroStrategy Unrealized Profit/Loss.
MicroStrategy Unrealized Profit/Loss. Source: CryptoQuant

“The company’s strategic priority should be to pause Bitcoin purchases and rebuild its cash reserve,” stated Julio Moreno a CryptoQuant analyst.

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MicroStrategy Had Already Pivoted

Strategy’s weekly purchase updates show the shift began before the warning. In the week of June 22, it bought just 520 Bitcoin for about $35 million.

That same week, Strategy raised $335.5 million selling common stock. It routed $300 million into the reserve, lifting it to $1.4 billion.

A week earlier, it bought 1,587 BTC but still funneled most proceeds to cash. Across both weeks, Strategy was selling more stock than it spent on Bitcoin.

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MicroStrategy casts the cash build as protecting the credit quality of its preferred shares. The move marks a shift from its long-standing buy-only pledge.

The Real Debate Now

Bitcoin’s spot price hovered near $62,534, down about 2.5% on the day, keeping the treasury underwater.

CryptoQuant says the reserve must reach about $2.8 billion, or 24 months of coverage, before STRC can recover. At $1.4 billion, Strategy is only halfway there.

Strategy is not required to sell Bitcoin to defend STRC. It can raise the 11.5% dividend or issue more MSTR stock instead, levers it has already pulled.

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So the question is no longer whether to rebuild the reserve. It is whether MicroStrategy can do it fast enough to steady STRC.

The next purchase update will show whether it keeps cash ahead of Bitcoin.

The post CryptoQuant’s MicroStrategy Warning Comes Two Weeks Late appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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THORChain Resumes Trading After Month-Long Halt From $10.7M Exploit

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THORChain Resumes Trading After Month-Long Halt From $10.7M Exploit


THORChain restored full operations Tuesday morning, bringing signing, churning, swaps, and liquidity-provider actions back online after a halt tied to a $10.7 million exploit in May. The protocol's official account announced the restart just before 3 a.m. ET Tuesday, confirming that signing,… Read the full story at The Defiant

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