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Gold, Silver Rally to ATH But Ethereum Slips Below $3,100

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Ethereum Longs

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Ethereum and the broader cryptocurrency market declined over the past 24 hours as escalating geopolitical tensions between the US and European Union fueled risk aversion among investors.

Meanwhile, traditional safe-haven assets rallied sharply, with gold surging to fresh record highs and silver also touching new peaks amid flight-to-quality flows triggered by President Trump’s renewed tariff threats against several European nations over the Greenland dispute.

Spot gold climbed 1.1% to around $4,725 per ounce as of early trading on January 20, approaching its all-time high near $4,795 set late last year, according to market data.

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The metal has extended its relentless bull run into 2026, bolstered by safe-haven demand as investors brace for potential transatlantic trade disruptions.

The silver price also advanced by nearly 1% to hit a new record high of $95.3/oz.

ETH price was trading at $3,095 as of 4:29 a.m. EST after a 3.6% drop in the last day, as the crypto market also dropped over 2% to a $3.15 trillion market capitalization, according to Coingecko data.

Crypto Market Rattled As Trump Tariffs Dent Risk

During the weekend, Trump threatened that he would impose import tariffs of up to 25% on several major European nations, including Denmark, France, and the US, until they reached a deal to hand over Greenland to Washington.

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The US president’s demands were widely rejected by European leaders, with France seen preparing retaliatory economic measures against the United States.

The exchange between the two regions has sparked deep losses across global risk-driven markets, on concerns over a potential dissolution of NATO, as Trump plans direct steps to get Greenland.

To add to the tensions, Trump has said that he will impose a 200% tariff on French wines and champagnes, as he wants French President Emmanuel Macron to join his Board of Peace Initiative aimed at resolving global conflicts.

“I’ll put a 200% tariff on his wines ​and champagnes, and he’ll join, but he ​doesn’t have to join,” Trump said.

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This sent jitters in the crypto space, with total liquidations coming in at $361 million, $124 million being from Ethereum longs alone.

Ethereum LongsEthereum Longs

Moreover, the crypto Fear & Greed Index remains in the fear zone after several weeks of extreme fear, which shows that investor sentiment has softened but is still cautious, and the market may be undervalued.

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crypto Fear & Greed Indexcrypto Fear & Greed Index

Ethereum Price Analysis: The Drop Is A Warning Sign

Ethereum’s price is currently trading around the $3,050–$3,150 range, attempting to stabilize after a sharp decline. While buyers are defending the $3,000 psychological support, the overall price action suggests caution rather than strength.

The recent move lower followed a strong rejection from the $3,600–$3,700 region, where Ethereum failed to hold above the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA).

This barrier triggered sustained pressure from the bears, sending the price down toward the $2,750–$2,800 demand zone, a historically important support area aligned with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement.

Ethereum is currently trading near the 50-day SMA ($3,090), which is acting as short-term support. However, the price remains decisively below the 200-day SMA near $3,660, which continues to act as a major overhead resistance.

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Momentum indicators also reflect this caution. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering around 45, below the neutral 50 level. This suggests that bearish momentum has eased, but bullish momentum has not yet returned.

ETH/USD Chart Analysis Source: TradingViewETH/USD Chart Analysis Source: TradingView
ETH/USD Chart Analysis Source: TradingView

ETH Price Prediction: $2,600 Level In Sight

Failure to hold $3,000 would increase the risk of another pullback toward $2,800–$2,750 near the 0.786 Fibonacci level. A breakdown below this demand zone would expose the $2,620 cycle low, which still acts as a critical level for the bulls to defend.

Conversely, it may attempt another push toward the $3,350 resistance zone, an area that has repeatedly capped and barred any upside moves.

A breakout above this range could open the door for a retest of $3,660 on the 200-day SMA level.

For Ethereum to realistically re-enter a bullish structure and target the $4,000 region, it would need a sustained trend reversal, starting with a decisive close above the 200-day SMA.

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Federal Authorities Transfer Bitcoin (BTC) From Bitfinex Hack to Coinbase Prime Custody

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

Key Takeaways

  • Federal authorities transferred approximately $606,000 worth of Bitcoin (8 BTC) connected to the 2016 Bitfinex security breach to Coinbase Prime
  • The cryptocurrency is associated with Ilya Lichtenstein, responsible for stealing 119,756 BTC from Bitfinex in 2016, valued at roughly $72M during the theft
  • Legal statutes mandate the confiscated Bitcoin must be returned directly to Bitfinex rather than liquidated for government revenue
  • Bitfinex has outlined plans to utilize recovered assets for redeeming Recovery Right Tokens and burning LEO tokens
  • Federal wallets currently contain 328,361 BTC with an estimated value approaching $24 billion

Federal authorities executed a transfer of roughly $606,000 in Bitcoin to Coinbase Prime this past Thursday. On-chain records verified the movement of 8 BTC, with the assets directly traceable to cryptocurrency stolen during the 2016 Bitfinex security incident.

Blockchain intelligence provider Arkham detected and reported the transaction, establishing a connection between the coins and Ilya Lichtenstein, the individual responsible for orchestrating one of the digital currency industry’s first significant exchange compromises.

When government-held cryptocurrency moves to trading platforms, it typically sparks speculation about possible liquidation. However, this particular situation differs significantly—legal requirements explicitly mandate the coins be restored to Bitfinex rather than converted to cash.

This transaction represents the third such movement from government wallets, following similar transfers documented on March 3 and April 10, both relating to distinct cryptocurrency enforcement actions.

On August 2, 2016, Lichtenstein leveraged a security flaw in Bitfinex’s multi-signature wallet infrastructure. Through fraudulent authorization of more than 2,000 separate transactions, he successfully diverted 119,756 Bitcoin into a wallet under his exclusive control.

The stolen Bitcoin represented approximately $72 million in value when the breach occurred. With current market prices hovering around $74,000 per unit, that identical quantity now carries a valuation of roughly $8.9 billion.

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Following the security breach, Lichtenstein collaborated with his spouse, Heather Morgan, in an extensive five-year operation attempting to obscure the funds’ origins. Their methods included utilizing cryptocurrency mixing services, darknet marketplace transactions, cross-chain transfers, and physical gold acquisitions.

During February 2022, FBI investigators successfully decrypted archived files within Lichtenstein’s cloud storage infrastructure. The breakthrough revealed a detailed spreadsheet cataloging more than 2,000 private cryptographic keys, providing law enforcement complete access to virtually all stolen assets. Officials ultimately seized approximately 94,636 Bitcoin, representing $3.6 billion at that time.

Disposition of Recovered Cryptocurrency Assets

Early in 2025, federal judicial proceedings established definitively that confiscated coins require in-kind restoration to Bitfinex. Government agencies lack authorization to liquidate the cryptocurrency and redirect revenues to federal coffers.

Bitfinex has publicly outlined its strategy for handling returned assets. The platform commits to completely redeeming all outstanding Recovery Right Tokens, which represent digital instruments issued to account holders who sustained losses during the breach.

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No less than 80% of any surplus net proceeds will fund the repurchase and permanent removal of its UNUS SED LEO token from circulation, adhering to previously established whitepaper obligations.

Lichtenstein received a five-year federal prison sentence in November 2024. Morgan was assigned 18 months.

Federal Cryptocurrency Portfolio Overview

Lichtenstein secured release in January 2026 through provisions of the First Step Act. He publicly expressed gratitude to President Donald Trump via X platform following his release.

Federal authorities presently maintain custody of 328,361 Bitcoin distributed across various government wallets, representing approximately $24 billion in current valuation. Additional holdings include roughly $146 million in Ethereum alongside diverse alternative cryptocurrencies.

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Government officials announced previously that confiscated Bitcoin reserves would contribute toward establishing a national strategic Bitcoin reserve program.

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Key Figure Behind $20 Million Meta-1 Coin Fraud Receives 23 Years

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Key Figure Behind $20 Million Meta-1 Coin Fraud Receives 23 Years

A Texas man found guilty of helping orchestrate a cryptocurrency scam project that defrauded $20 million from nearly 1,000 investors has been sentenced to 23 years behind bars by a US judge on Tuesday.

US District Judge LaShonda Hunt sentenced Robert Dunlap, who served as a trustee of the project that sold the fictional token Meta-1 Coin, to prison and ordered him to pay restitution to victims of the fraud, according to the Illinois US Attorney’s office.

Assistant US attorneys Jared Hasten and Paige Nutini said in the government’s sentencing memorandum that Dunlap was “unrepentant” and that his lies grew “over the years.”

“Would-be criminals planning to engage in similar conduct need to know that such actions will be met with a serious repercussion that includes loss of one’s liberty for an extended period of time,” they added.

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Source: US Attorney’s Office

Regulators and authorities are turning up the heat on crypto scammers. In March, a man accused of hacking defunct DeFi platform Uranium Finance was charged with one count of computer fraud and one count of money laundering.

Token backed by $44 billion in gold, rare artworks

A federal jury in the Northern District of Illinois convicted Dunlap in November on two counts of mail fraud, each carrying a possible sentence of up to 20 years in federal prison.

He was accused of conspiring with others to market and sell Meta-1 Coin through a Meta-1 Coin Trust from 2018 to 2023, making false and misleading statements to investors, including that the token was backed by a $1 billion art collection made up of works by Pablo Picasso and Vincent van Gogh and $44 billion in gold.

Related: There’s more to crypto crime than meets the eye: What you need to know

Dunlap and his co-conspirators used automated trading bots to artificially inflate the market price and trading volume of the Meta-1 Coin on the Meta Exchange, a website Dunlap created, according to authorities.

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In March 2020, the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) ordered an asset freeze and other emergency relief orders to stop Dunlap, another alleged accomplice, Nicole Bowdler and former Washington state Senator David Schmidt from marketing and selling Meta-1 Coin.

The defendants allegedly told investors that Meta-1 Coin was risk-free and could offer returns of up to 224,923%. Instead, the coins were never distributed and the funds were used to cover personal expenses and buy luxury cars, including a Ferrari, according to the SEC.

Magazine: Forget stablecoin yield, how does the CLARITY Act treat DeFi?