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How to launch your crypto exchange software in Georgia in 2026?

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Bybit and Bitget, both amongst 10 crypto exchange software by global trading volume, entered Eastern Europe with Georgian Virtual Asset Service Provider registration in 2025. That wasn’t random but strategic.

Since then, Bybit has treated Georgia as a launchpad, not a checkbox jurisdiction. The rollouts have been deliberate and aggressive:

  • Bybit Georgia with one-click crypto purchases
  • A crypto card launch in January 2026, bridging spending and trading
  • Upcoming neobank features, including IBAN accounts expected in February

This is not how cryptocurrency exchanges behave in unstable and speculative markets. This behavior reflects predictable regulations, workable banking access, and long-run expansion economics make sense.

Georgia fits that profile.

If you’re any of those planning your cryptocurrency exchange development for launch in Georgia:

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  • Entrepreneurs building long-term exchange businesses
  • Stock exchanges evaluating crypto and tokenized assets
  • Brokerage firms expanding into digital markets
  • Fintechs launching regulated trading infrastructure

This guide is for you.

Why is Georgia Quietly Becoming a Crypto Exchange Software Base?

Until 2023, cryptocurrency exchanges in Georgia operated in a grey, lightly supervised environment, but not anymore.

    • The National Bank of Georgia (NBG) now regulates crypto under a defined VASP framework.
    • Exchanges register instead of negotiating regulatory uncertainty.
    • AML and KYC are enforced proportionally, aligned with FATF guidance.
    • Entry and compliance costs remain far lower than in the EU, UK, or US.

To date, Georgia is officially legally clear for operators and investable for institutions that can’t touch unregulated markets.

  • Small Population, Outsized Impact

With over 3.7 million people, Georgia ranks among the top three countries in the 2025 Chainanalysis Global Crypto Adoption Index (population-adjusted). And even more important than ownership is Georgian behavior, as testified by various recent research.

    • Eastern Europe remains underbanked but crypto-active.
    • Retail traders actively move between spot trading, wallets, and DeFi protocols
    • On-chain usage remains strong relative to population size.
    • Regular use of crypto beyond speculation
    • Users are comfortable with self-custody, stablecoins, and cross-platform movement.

This creates a real user base that understands trading mechanics, adopts new financial tools quickly, and does not require heavy education to onboard. All of this also reduces friction at the launch of the crypto exchange software.

  • Favorable For Operators & Traders

Georgia’s crypto appeal is not driven by retail hype but operational hype. 

    • 0% capital gains tax for individual crypto holders
    • VAT exemption on crypto transactions
    • Crypto exchanges can scale operations without an early tax drag. They don’t pay tax when they earn profit or reinvest it, but when they pay dividends, 5% tax applies. 
    • Affordable licensing and entity setup
    • No political or regulatory hostility toward crypto businesses

For exchange founders, this directly impacts:

    • User acquisition efficiency
    • Market maker participation
    • High-frequency and professional trading activity
    • Long-term retention of active users

It also creates a clear path for stock exchanges and brokerages to introduce regulated crypto trading, tokenized assets, and hybrid digital markets. 

  • Remittances and Stablecoin Effect 

One of the strongest drivers of crypto usage in Georgia is remittances.

    • Georgia receives over $2 billion annually in cross-border remittances.
    • Major remittance corridors for Georgia include the US, Russia, and Turkey.
    • Traditional remittance fees often range between 7-10%.

Stablecoins, primarily USDT and USDC, offer a cheaper and faster alternative to traditional remittance systems, and users in Georgia already understand fiat-pegged crypto assets. Those seeking a cryptocurrency exchange software development company must build with those who can implement fiat on/off ramps along with P2P rails within crypto exchanges. 

  • Mining Legacy and Infrastructure Advantage

For years, Georgia was an active mining hub due to low energy costs and early openness to crypto operations. While large-scale mining has since normalized globally, its impact on local adoption patterns remains.

    • Georgia’s crypto adoption did not begin with trading apps. It began with infrastructure. In markets without a mining or infrastructure phase, crypto usually enters as a price chart, meme, or quick-profit instrument. In Georgia, crypto entered earlier as hardware, energy economics, wallets, custody, long-term holding, and not as a speculative instrument. That changes user psychology.
    • Mining-heavy ecosystems produce wallet-native users and not just app-only users who are comfortable with private keys and custody. They have a higher tolerance for advanced products such as derivatives, tokenized assets, on-chain settlement mechanisms, etc. So, it ultimately lowers onboarding friction and education costs for those planning advanced cryptocurrency exchange development.

For cryptocurrency exchange software operators planning an initial launch, Georgia becomes a launchpad that enables:

    • Liquidity bootstrapping with high-intent users
    • Active, stablecoin-heavy order books
    • Early adoption of new products such as derivatives, tokenized assets, yield products, etc.  

Georgia vs “Popular” Crypto Jurisdictions

Jurisdiction Regulatory Clarity Tax Burden Cost to Launch Institutional Viability
EU (MiCA) High High Very High Strong, slow
USA Fragmented High Very High Legally risky
UAE High Medium High Strong
Offshore hubs Low Low Low Weak
Georgia High Low Low Strong

Regulatory Framework for Crypto Exchange Software in Georgia

Georgia’s crypto regulation doesn’t live in assumptions or interpretations but is driven by processes, filings, and enforcement. This section breaks down how the Georgian crypto exchange registration regime works in practice.

1. Who Regulates Crypto Exchange Software in Georgia?

As stated above, crypto exchange operators in Georgia have been regulated by the National Bank of Georgia (NBG) under the Law on the Registration of VASP since July 1, 2023. The Georgian Lari remains the only legal currency. However, crypto trading, custody and exchange operations are explicitly regulated under the VASP framework.

The National Bank of Georgia (NBG) does not operate like a product gatekeeper. It does not:

  • Approve or reject individual tokens
  • Certify each trading pair
  • Review every new crypto product before launch

Instead, it regulates the cryptocurrency exchange software operator, not each asset. It only evaluates whether a VASP:

  • Has proper AML/KYC controls
  • Can monitor and report suspicious activity
  • Has governance, risk, and operational controls in place
  • Can prevent market abuse, fraud, and illicit finance

Once a VASP is registered, the responsibility for what it lists lies with the exchange, not with NBG, provided it stays within the regulatory boundaries.

2. Who Must Register as a VASP?

Any entity providing crypto-related financial services from or within Georgia must register as a VASP with the NBG.

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This includes, but is not limited to:

  • Centralized crypto exchanges: Platforms facilitating spot, derivatives, or margin trading
  • Custodial wallet providers: Services holding private keys or assets on behalf of users
  • Crypto/fiat service providers: Fiat on-ramps, off-ramps, and settlement platforms
  • OTC desks and brokerage-style platforms: Particularly relevant for institutions, high-net-worth clients, and mining firms

For stock exchanges and brokerages planning cryptocurrency exchange development, this means operations cannot be treated as a side or unregulated activity. If digital assets are offered, VASP registration becomes mandatory.

3. VASP Registration Requirements

Georgia’s VASP registration is documentation-driven and process-oriented.

A. Corporate Structure & Disclosures

Crypto exchange software applicants must submit:

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  • Legal entity details (Georgian incorporation or registered branch)
  • Ownership structure and ultimate beneficial owners (UBOs)
  • Business model description (products, markets, target users)
  • Operational flow of funds and assets

B. AML / KYC Systems

VASP applicants applying for their wallet or crypto exchange development projects must demonstrate:

  • Risk-based customer onboarding procedures
  • Identity verification aligned with FATF guidance
  • Transaction monitoring systems
  • Suspicious activity reporting workflows
  • Sanctions screening and record retention

Georgia does not allow anonymous or privacy-focused assets that prevent traceability. Exchanges must be able to explain how illicit activity is detected and mitigated.

C. “Fit and Proper” Management Checks

Key personnel among crypto exchange software operators are assessed for:

  • Professional competence
  • Relevant financial or compliance experience
  • Clean legal and regulatory history

This applies to directors, senior management, and compliance officers

D. Reporting & Ongoing Obligations

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Registered VASPs are required to:

  • Maintain transaction and customer records
  • Submit periodic activity and volume reports
  • Cooperate with regulatory inspections
  • Notify the NBG of material changes (ownership, services, governance)

Non-compliance can result in financial penalties, operational suspension, and deregistration as a VASP

E. Costs Associated With Georgian Cryptocurrency Exchange Software Registration

The State registration fee is approximately 1,500 GEL, and there are no excessive capital lock-up requirements. This keeps Georgia accessible for:

  • Startups with serious intent
  • Regional exchanges
  • Stock exchanges that are testing digital asset markets
  • Fintechs expanding into crypto trading

Step-by-Step: How to Launch a Crypto Exchange Software in Georgia in 2026 

1. Define the Business Model & Jurisdictional Structuring

Before the incorporation of their crypto exchange software or licensing, founders must lock in three decisions:

  • Target users (retail, institutional, remittance, regional)
  • Asset focus (crypto-only, stablecoins, tokenized assets)
  • Operating footprint (Georgia-only vs regional hub)

Those planning their crypto exchange development must learn that Georgia works best when treated as a safe gateway into Eastern Europe and a regulated operating base, and not as a domestic market or loophole jurisdiction.

Also, when you’re deciding on cryptocurrency exchange software models, you must not clone any existing random exchange. The best way is to pick models that regulators and banking environments support.

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Top Cryptocurrency Exchange Software Development Models For Launch in Georgia Include:

A. Centralized Exchanges: Best suited for crypto exchange software development projects building fiat on/off ramps, compliance-heavy trading environments, or those targeting institutional and professional traders.

Why this works in Georgia:

  • Georgian banks are most compatible with custodial structures.
  • Easier alignment with AML and reporting expectations under the National Bank of Georgia.
  • Market makers prefer centralized custody and execution predictability.

For stock exchanges or brokerages entering crypto, a centralized exchange development model is quite low-friction. 

B. Hybrid Custody Exchange: Hybrid custody crypto exchange development combines centralized order books and matching engines with self-custodial as well as centralized wallets. 

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Why this fits Georgia well:

  • Compliance remains centralized and auditable
  • Custody models can evolve gradually
  • Supports future expansion into tokenized assets

Georgian stock exchanges and financial institutions extending existing infrastructures without abandoning established governance models can leverage such models.

C. Niche Exchanges: Those planning a domestic cryptocurrency exchange software development must not build retail-focussed platforms but can go for focused niches including:

  • Stablecoin-focused remittance exchanges (USDT/USDC corridors)
  • Mining-community and professional trading 
  • Regional liquidity hubs serving Eastern Europe and CIS markets

2. Entity Setup in Georgia and VASP registration

Once the cryptocurrency exchange software model is finalized, it’s time to:

  • Incorporate a Georgian legal entity or register a branch
  • Define ownership and beneficial controllers
  • Appoint directors and compliance officers aligned with VASP requirements

A cryptocurrency exchange software development company can help structure an entity based on:

  • The exchange model selected above
  • Future product scope (derivatives, tokenized assets, custody)

After setting up the entity, all crypto exchange software must register as VASPs.

3. Crypto Exchange Software Development

Collaborate with your cryptocurrency exchange software development company to bring these essential components together and weave them with compliance and security.

  • High-performance matching engine and order management
  • Wallet and custody infrastructure (hot/cold segregation)
  • User accounts, balances, and permissions
  • Admin and compliance dashboards
  • APIs for liquidity providers and market makers

Now, since businesses need to build for the Georgian market, they need to devise the right fiat and banking settlement strategy to establish a workable fiat on/off ramp. They must have clear custodial structures, transparent fund flow documentation, and strong AML alignment for compliance with Georgian banks.

Also, cryptocurrency exchange software development won’t work in 2026 and beyond until it aligns with top Georgian digital asset trends. Modern platforms are expected to support:

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  • Tokenized asset readiness, including tokenized stocks, bonds, and commodities, with clear separation between primary issuance workflows and secondary market trading, ownership traceability, transfer controls, and secondary-market structures suitable for institutional participation rather than unrestricted retail issuance.
  • Stablecoin-centric market design, where USDT and USDC function as core base pairs, enabling fiat-light settlement flows, efficient cross-border remittance use cases, and treasury, margin, and liquidity management denominated primarily in stablecoins.
  • Embedded, institutional-grade compliance technology, covering real-time transaction monitoring, on-chain analytics and risk scoring, automated regulatory and activity reporting, and rule-based alerts with full audit trails to meet ongoing supervision expectations under the NBG.

4. Security and Liquidity:

Strong cryptocurrency exchange development liquidity directly impacts regulator confidence, banking relationships, and institutional adoption. So, crypto trading platforms must implement the following security essentials:

  • Hot and cold wallet segregation
  • Key management and access controls
  • Custody auditability
  • Incident response procedures

Also, for initiating trading instantly, crypto exchange software solutions need to plan liquidity mechanisms that align with the exchange model, target users, and asset scope. Georgia-based cryptocurrency exchanges typically rely on:

  • Professional market makers
  • Liquidity aggregation APIs
  • Stablecoin-denominated order books
  • OTC partnerships for large trades

5. Go-live, Audits & Scaling

Before the public launch, operators must collaborate with a cryptocurrency exchange software development company to:

  • Conduct internal and third-party audits
  • Test compliance reporting workflows
  • Validate banking and settlement flows

Post-launch, they can scale on the following:

  • Regional expansion
  • New asset classes
  • Tokenized markets
  • Institutional partnerships

Final Takeaway

Georgia’s VASP regime is designed to filter out anonymous operators, compliance-averse exchanges and regulatory arbitrage plays. It also supports predictable licensing timelines, banking relationships, institutional participation, and expansion into tokenized assets and regulated crypto products.

If you’re serious about launching a regulated crypto exchange in Georgia, Antier offers custom and compliance-ready white label cryptocurrency exchange infrastructure that regulators approve and that users trust.

Share your project requirements today!

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Where Is The Best Place To Turn $500 Into $5,000? Remittix Rewards Presale Investors With 300% Bonus

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Where Is The Best Place To Turn $500 Into $5,000? Remittix Rewards Presale Investors With 300% Bonus

As investors search for high-upside opportunities in a cautious crypto market, Remittix is drawing serious attention. The PayFi-focused project has already raised over $28.9 million, launched a live wallet and is now offering a limited 300% bonus to presale participants.

With real product traction and tightening supply, Remittix is increasingly viewed as a rare early-stage setup with asymmetric potential.

Why Remittix Is Drawing Capital Right Now

Remittix is not competing on hype. It is competing on usefulness. The project is building a full PayFi ecosystem that allows users to convert crypto into fiat and send funds directly to bank accounts worldwide. No delays. No hidden charges. No complex steps.

This focus on everyday payments is resonating with both retail investors and businesses. Remittix solves that problem directly.

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Momentum is already visible. Over 701 million tokens have been sold and the token price has climbed steadily to $0.123. The Remittix Wallet is live on the App Store. This will give users hands-on access to the ecosystem before the core crypto-to-fiat feature launches on February 9th 2026.

Security and credibility also matter in this stage of the market. Remittix has been fully verified by CertiK, with audited smart contracts and a public development roadmap. Exchange exposure is lining up as well, with BitMart confirmed and LBank announced.

These factors explain why many analysts now describe Remittix as a best crypto to buy now for investors seeking real utility rather than narrative-driven speculation. With the presale entering its final stretch, some are already framing RTX as a top crypto under $1 that still offers early-entry dynamics.

The 300% Bonus Is Driving Urgency

The strongest short-term catalyst is the limited 300% bonus, available for just 72 hours. This incentive dramatically increases token allocation for early participants and has accelerated inflows across the presale.

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Combined with a referral program that rewards community growth, the structure favors fast movers rather than passive observers.

What presale investors are getting right now

  • A time-limited 300% bonus that multiplies initial token allocation
  • A 15% referral reward paid in USDT and claimable every 24 hours
  • Confirmed centralized exchange listings starting with BitMart
  • A live wallet product with crypto-to-fiat functionality launching next

This combination is why some investors believe Remittix offers one of the clearest risk-reward profiles currently available. Turning $500 into $5,000 is never guaranteed. However, bonus mechanics, fixed supply and early-stage pricing significantly shift the math.

At $0.123, RTX still sits firmly in top crypto under $1 territory. With supply tightening and bonuses expiring, many see this window as unusually short. That urgency is also why Remittix keeps appearing in conversations around the best crypto presale opportunities this cycle.

A Long-Term PayFi Thesis With Short-Term Catalysts

Beyond bonuses, Remittix is structured for durability. The project targets the global payments market. This is a market estimated in the tens of trillions annually. That means that even modest adoption translates into sustained demand for the RTX token.

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Unlike meme-driven assets, Remittix benefits from usage. Every transfer, every settlement and every business integration reinforces the network. That is why some analysts are already labeling it a best new altcoin candidate with staying power beyond launch.

Upcoming exchange listings are expected to enhance both liquidity and market visibility. The wallet rollout reduces onboarding friction for new users, while the planned February 2026 crypto-to-fiat launch completes the PayFi loop. Together, these milestones are advancing at a rapid pace.

From an investment perspective, this mix of near-term incentives and long-term utility is rare. It is also why Remittix is increasingly compared to earlier breakout projects that combined real-world relevance with early-stage pricing. Some market watchers even position RTX as a next big altcoin 2026 contender if execution continues as planned.

The referral program adds another layer of momentum, encouraging organic growth rather than paid hype. Community-driven expansion has historically supported stronger post-launch price stability.

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For investors scanning the market for the best crypto to buy now, Remittix ticks multiple boxes at once. It pairs a best crypto presale structure with tangible delivery, clear timelines and shrinking availability. With the 300% bonus clock running down and tokens moving quickly, the question for many is not whether Remittix will launch, but how much of the early allocation will still be available when the window closes.

That same calculus is why some are already treating RTX as a potential next big altcoin 2026 story in the making, rather than just another short-lived presale.

Discover the future of PayFi with Remittix by checking out their project here:

Website: https://remittix.io/

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Socials: https://linktr.ee/remittix


Disclaimer: This is a Press Release provided by a third party who is responsible for the content. Please conduct your own research before taking any action based on the content.

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Is Hyperliquid Losing Ground? On-Chain Data Highlights Rising HFDX Adoption

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Some parts of the crypto world think Hyperliquid might be slowing down. That talk comes as new numbers show traders and capital flow shifting toward new DeFi projects like HFDX. On-chain data shows trading patterns and volume trends that hint at real changes in where users spend their time and capital.

Meanwhile crypto prices, news, and expert views shape how people see these projects today. In this piece, we look at Hyperliquid’s recent situation and then contrast it with what HFDX is doing. The goal is to give you a clear snapshot of the current state of play.

Hyperliquid: On-Chain Data, Price Moves and What Experts Say

Hyperliquid’s native token HYPE has had a mixed run lately. Some reports show that HYPE had strong periods of trading and network activity in 2025. At times, its prices climbed after large on-chain liquidity and network upgrades that lowered fees and drew traders to its perpetual markets. On-chain figures show huge trading volumes and growing open interest, which helped push HYPE toward past price highs.

But recent market chatter suggests pressure on the token. Some news points to price slides or sideways trading around current levels, even though earlier in late 2025 it rallied thanks to on-chain liquidity innovations.

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Analysts and price prediction models still talk about potential upside for HYPE into future years. Some long-term price outlooks suggest that if adoption and volume remain strong, HYPE could trade significantly higher in the medium term.

Still, not all views are upbeat. Some experts say the market overall remains weak, and the hype around early growth may fade as users look for fresh opportunities. The idea that Hyperliquid is losing ground is tied to how traders react to alternatives and look for new ways to manage capital and risk.

HFDX: On-Chain Futures and Structured Yield Momentum

HFDX is a newer protocol that offers non-custodial perpetual futures trading along with structured yield frameworks based on real protocol revenue. It targets active traders and investors who want precise tools without giving up control of their assets. HFDX runs entirely on-chain, and all actions, whether trades or liquidity participation, happen in smart contracts.

On-chain data shows some traders migrating from legacy decentralized exchanges to HFDX because of its risk-managed liquidity strategies and transparent fee structure. Reports that Bitcoin perpetual traders have been splitting volume between Hyperliquid and HFDX point to a real shift in user priorities. HFDX’s structured approach draws those who want returns tied to actual trading revenue and borrowing fees rather than just speculation.

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HFDX’s technical design mixes deep liquidity with risk controls that appeal to DeFi-native users. The liquidity loan note (LLN) strategies let participants put capital into protocol liquidity and receive fixed rates that reflect real activity. This model may attract users seeking a different balance of risk and return.

What HFDX offers:

  • On-chain perpetual futures with full user custody
  • Trades that clear against shared liquidity pools
  • Pricing based on decentralized oracle feeds
  • Liquidity Loan Note strategies with fixed terms
  • Yield tied to trading fees and borrow costs
  • Smart contracts that manage risk rules on-chain

Experts Note A Shifting Landscape

In the short term, Hyperliquid still holds significant on-chain volume and active user counts. Its upgrades and network features helped it achieve strong adoption in earlier phases, and experts continue to discuss its price prospects. Still, recent market signals and trader behavior hints that some of its user base is looking elsewhere.

HFDX’s rise does not mean Hyperliquid is done. It just shows the market is evolving. Traders now split capital, test new products, and choose platforms based on what fits their goals. HFDX’s structured yield options and transparent execution are part of that shift. The next few months will be critical for both protocols as price trends, on-chain metrics, and user choices play out in real time.

Make Your Money Work Smarter And Unlock A Wealth Of Opportunities With HFDX Today!

Website: https://hfdx.xyz/ 

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Telegram: https://t.me/HFDXTrading 

X: https://x.com/HfdxProtocol 


Disclaimer: This is a Press Release provided by a third party who is responsible for the content. Please conduct your own research before taking any action based on the content.

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Pudgy Penguins, Known For NFT Toys, Dives Deeper Into Soccer

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Pudgy Penguins, a globally recognized non-fungible token brand known for creating NFT-inspired toys, has expanded into soccer through significant NFT partnerships with two leading football clubs. Pudgy Penguins NFT team, which partnered with Spain’s soccer club CD Castellón last year, has now partnered with England’s Premier League soccer club Manchester City. In this article, we shall explore this expansion journey further.

Pudgy Penguins’ Journey From Toys To Soccer

Over the weekend, the Pudgy Penguins team, via its official X account, confirmed that it has dived deeper into the world of soccer. Launched in July 2021, the Pudgy Penguins is a digital asset incubation studio known for creating Pudgy Penguins, a globally recognized non-fungible token collection featuring a fixed set of 8,888 unique digital penguin characters on the Ethereum blockchain network.

Pudgy Penguins is also the brainchild behind Lil Pudgy, a non-fungible token series that features a fixed supply of 22,222 smaller NFTs hosted on the Ethereum blockchain network, Pudgy Rod, a companion collection of fishing rod NFTs that were airdropped to original holders in 2021 and are now used as multipliers in the ecosystem and soulbound tokens, a non-transferable tokens such as ‘Opensea x Penguins SBTs’ launched to recognize community engagement, loyalty, and licensing participation.

Pudgy Penguins entered the physical retail space in May 2023 with the release of its first line of toys. Initially launched online through Amazon, the collection sold over 20,000 units in its first 48 hours and generated more than $500,000 USD in sales. This was clear evidence of a strong demand beyond the NFT community. Later that year, the toys were stocked in more than 2,000 Walmart stores across the U.S., and within 12 months of launching, over 1 million plushies had been sold worldwide. These plushies are now available in the United States, Europe, Asia, and Hong Kong.

Pudgy Penguins Dives Deeper Into Soccer

Pudgy Penguins NFT team partnered with the Spanish soccer club CD Castellón in January 2025 to feature their characters on the team’s official jerseys and shorts. As part of the collaboration, an open edition NFT was released, and some holders of that NFT were eligible to be featured in some way related to the partnership. Pudgy Penguins and Lil Pudgys characters appeared directly on CD Castellón’s jerseys.

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In the latest news, the Pudgy Penguins NFT team has announced a “landmark partnership” with English Premier League champions Manchester City to launch a premium co-branded NFT line targeted at an adult audience. This move is considered one of the highest-profile crossovers between a web3-native brand and a global sports giant, aimed at bringing the Pudgy Penguins intellectual property to a massive, mainstream audience. The merchandise drop was scheduled for January 17, 2026.

These ventures are part of the Pudgy Penguins’ broader strategy to evolve beyond their digital origins and toy lines into a mainstream, global intellectual property (IP) through real-world utility and high-profile brand building, bridging the gap between digital assets and traditional markets. This integration will provide tangible ways for NFT holders to feel part of the brand’s journey, reinforcing holder identity and community.

Related NFT News:

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XRP Risks Another 23% Drop as Price Slides Below $1.60

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XRP Risks Another 23% Drop as Price Slides Below $1.60

XRP (XRP) price dropped below $1.50 over the weekend, its lowest level in over 14 months. Now, a bearish technical setup on the charts suggests that the downtrend may extend throughout February.

Key takeaways:

  • XRP’s bear pennant on the four-hour chart targets $1.22.

  • XRP futures open interest dropped to $2.61 billion, which gives some hope for the bulls.

XRP/USD daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

XRP price chart shows a textbook bear pennant

On Saturday, XRP price fell about 14% from a high of $1.75 to a low of $1.50, losing the $1.60 support level for the first time since November 2024. 

The latest drop has put it into the breakdown phase of its bear pennant setup, as shown on the four-hour chart below.

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Related: Price predictions 1/30: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, SOL, DOGE, ADA, BCH, HYPE, XMR

XRP dropped below the pennant’s lower trendline on Tuesday, then rebounded to retest it as support. The price is likely to drop lower if the retest fails and a four-hour candlestick closes below this level at $1.58.

The measured target of the bear pennant, calculated by adding the height of the initial drop to the breakout point, is $1.22, representing a 23% drop from the current price.

XRP/USD four-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

XRP’s recovery to $2.40 in January turned out to be a “fakeout” as the price continued to form “price formed a fresh lower lows,” pseudonymous analyst AltCryptoGems said in a recent post on X, adding:

“The downtrend remains intact and we are on the verge of a disastrous collapse in a huge no-support zone.”

XRP/USD daily chart. Source: AltCryptoGems

Trader and investor Alex Clay said that after breaching the support line of a double bottom pattern at $1.60, the path is now cleared for a drop toward $1 or lower.

Cryptocurrencies, XRP, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch
Source: X/Alex Clay

As Cointelegraph reported, XRP’s next major support level is near its aggregated realized price at $1.48. If this level is lost, it would put the average holder underwater, a setup that closely matches the 2022 bear phase that ultimately ended in a 50% drawdown toward $0.30.

XRP buyers step back

The 90-day Spot Taker Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD), a metric that tracks whether market orders are driven by buyers or sellers, reveals that buy-orders (taker buy) have been declining sharply since early January.

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While demand-side pressure has dominated the order book since November 2025, buy orders have dropped sharply over the last 30 days, according to CryptoQuant.

This indicates waning enthusiasm or exhaustion among XRP investors, signaling reduced bullish momentum and increasing downside risk for the price. 

Previous sharp drops in spot CVD have been accompanied by 28%-50% price drawdowns within weeks.

XRP spot taker CVD. Source: CryptoQuant

However, in the current downtrend, one hope for the bulls is the declining XRP futures open interest (OI). It has dropped sharply to $2.61 billion on Wednesday, from $4.55 billion on Jan. 6. 

When OI declines in combination with falling prices, it indicates a weakening bearish trend or a potential trend reversal.

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This could provide some fuel for the bulls to test the important overhead resistance at around $1.85, a level that served as support throughout most of 2025.

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XRP Open Interest. Source: CoinGlass