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Crypto World

Hyperliquid’s HYPE Breakout Targets $100 Mark

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Crypto Breaking News

Hyperliquid’s native token HYPE has extended its rally, climbing more than 30% in just five days to approach a fresh record near $74. A textbook bull pennant breakout has traders eyeing a potential push toward the $100 area, supported by a surge in open interest and a tightening price pattern that could point to a sustained move higher.

Over the weekend, HYPE breached the upper boundary of a bullish continuation formation, adding weight to the case that the recent run is not merely a short-lived pump. If the breakout holds, the measured target from the pennant suggests a rise toward about $105.30, a roughly 45% upside from current levels. Yet, as the token edges into uncharted territory, investors should watch for momentum fatigue and a potential pullback near key moving averages that could referee the pace of gains.

Key takeaways

  • HYPE broke out of a bull pennant and could target roughly $105, about 45% above current price levels.
  • Hyperliquid’s open interest has surged to a record $3.5 billion, signaling growing leveraged participation as price discovery accelerates.
  • Open interest-weighted funding has stayed modestly positive, indicating a persistent bullish tilt in perpetual futures trading.
  • Hyperliquid has overtaken Ethereum in 30-day app revenue, generating $57.9 million, with 99% of protocol fees funneled into the Assistance Fund, which buys HYPE on the open market.
  • US-listed HYPE ETFs have drawn $122.2 million in net assets since their May 12 debut, underscoring institutional demand for crypto exposure.
  • The broader market backdrop has improved, with the CFTC recognizing perpetuals as price-discovery instruments, a point noted by industry coverage as supportive for the sector’s risk management framework.

HYPE’s breakout: a classic pennant setup with an outsized target

Technical observers note that HYPE’s late-May surge formed the “flagpole” of a bull pennant, followed by a brief consolidation inside a tightening range. The pattern’s hallmark is a series of lower highs and higher lows that condense volatility ahead of a decisive move. When the price breaks above the flag’s upper boundary, the expected move is often quantified by adding the height of the preceding rally (the flagpole) to the breakout point. In HYPE’s case, the breakout occurred with rising volume over the weekend, a sign of renewed conviction behind the move.

Market participants tracking the chart view a potential climb toward the mid-$100s as a plausible near-term objective, with the measured target sitting near $105.30 and a timetable that could span June to July. Still, the trajectory remains sensitive to momentum preservation; a pullback toward the 20-day exponential moving average around $58 in June would complicate the bullish narrative and could invite further consolidation.

Chart data and technical annotations have been monitored on TradingView, which provides the framework for understanding how the pattern translates into potential price trajectories. While a pennant breakout is not a guaranteed predictor of upside, the near-term setup appears favorable so long as buyers maintain control and volume sustains its advance.

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Derivatives markets backing the move: liquidity, leverage, and pressure relief

Beyond price action, derivatives metrics paint a corroborating picture of intensified participation and a tilt toward upside risk appetite. Open interest has surged to a record $3.5 billion, up from roughly $1.41 billion at the start of the year, according to data tracked by CoinGlass. The acceleration in open interest implies more capital is being deployed in leveraged bets as HYPE moves through price discovery.

The funding dynamics align with a bullish bias: the open-interest-weighted funding rate hovered near 0.0050% every eight hours as of Monday and has remained predominantly positive through the rally. This regime indicates long positions are paying a modest premium to maintain perpetual futures exposure, a sign that buyers are willing to finance the uptrend rather than exiting en masse at key price levels.

On the liquidation front, the squeeze narrative has been active. Since May 20, roughly $126.28 million in short liquidations contrasted with about $68.85 million in long liquidations, underscoring a scenario in which weak hands were forced to cover as prices moved higher. Such dynamics can amplify the pace of gains as shorts exit and buyers repopulate the market, reinforcing the ascent toward the $100–$105 target zone.

Fundamental momentum: revenue, buybacks, and institutional interest

HYPE’s on-chain fundamentals add a compelling layer to the technical backdrop. DefiLlama data show Hyperliquid overtaking Ethereum to become the second-largest blockchain by app revenue over a 30-day rolling window, with reported app revenue of $57.9 million. A key feature of Hyperliquid’s economic model is that 99% of protocol fees flow to the Assistance Fund, which is used to buy HYPE on the open market. This buy-and-burn-like mechanism creates a recurring demand channel for HYPE that is closely tied to network activity and token economics, potentially creating a reinforcing feedback loop between on-chain activity and market demand.

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The broader narrative for perpetuals has also gained traction. Earlier this week, coverage highlighted the CFTC’s recognition of perpetual contracts as valuable tools for price discovery and risk management. While Hyperliquid itself is not a direct beneficiary of this regulatory acknowledgment, the shift helps normalize perpetuals within the crypto trading ecosystem and can bolster confidence among traders and institutions that rely on robust price signals and hedging tools. In the wake of the CFTC update, HYPE-related interest has surged, with price action and volumes reinforcing a narrative of strengthened liquidity and market participation.

Additionally, the readiness of traditional crypto vehicles seeking exposure to HYPE appears buoyant. Since May 12, US-listed HYPE exchange-traded funds from Bitwise and 21Shares have attracted a combined net asset inflow of about $122.2 million, according to SoSoValue data. This inflow signals that a segment of institutional capital is seeking regulated access to Hyperliquid’s performance dynamics, which could translate into sustained demand even if a portion of the market turns cautious on the spot token itself.

Broader market context: a more constructive environment for tokenized demand

The confluence of a technical breakout, rising open interest, constructive funding, and real-world revenue-backed buyback mechanics contributes to a more favorable backdrop for HYPE. The token’s dual momentum—on-chain economics via the Assistance Fund and off-chain demand via ETF inflows—paints a more nuanced picture than a typical one-sided rally. As investors evaluate risk, price targets, and liquidity, the interplay between leveraged bets and the fund’s buy pressure will be crucial to watch in the coming weeks.

What to monitor next includes whether the breakout sustains through upcoming sessions, whether the $58 area acts as a magnet for profit-taking, and how ongoing ETF flows evolve in response to evolving market sentiment and regulatory signals. If the momentum persists, the $100–$105 zone could become a magnet for additional buyers, while any relapse below the 20-day moving average might spark a consolidation phase that redefines the near-term trajectory.

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In sum, HYPE’s current arc is anchored in a blend of disciplined technicals, a strong chain-level revenue story, and a broader market that is gradually embracing perpetuals and crypto-backed exposure as legitimate investment instruments. As investors weigh the risks and opportunities, the coming weeks will be telling for whether Hyperliquid can convert brisk momentum into a lasting ascent or settle into a new trading range.

What to watch next: continued price action around the $74–$105 range, the evolution of open interest and funding signals, and the pace of ETF inflows and buyback-driven demand on the underlying token. The regulatory backdrop, particularly around perpetuals, will also shape how market participants price risk and navigate the next phase of Hyperliquid’s growth.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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US-Iran Agree on 60-Day Deal Roadmap: Markets Open Monday

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US CPI Data is Critical for Bitcoin and Gold This Week

The first session of high-level US-Iran talks concluded in Switzerland on Monday. Mediators from Qatar and Pakistan confirmed a roadmap toward a final deal within 60 days under the framework of the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding.

The joint statement confirmed the creation of a High-Level Committee providing political oversight, with chief negotiators leading dedicated working groups on nuclear issues, sanctions, and dispute resolution.

The parties also formed a communication line to prevent incidents and ensure safe commercial passage through the Strait of Hormuz. A de-confliction cell involving the US, Iran, and Lebanon will enforce the termination of military operations there. Technical talks continue through the remainder of the week at Burgenstock.

What to Expect When Markets Open

The statement resolves the sharpest fear heading into Monday’s session. A reported Iranian walkout on Sunday had raised Black Monday fears across oil and crypto, keeping traders on edge into the open.

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Oil is the most direct read. The Strait of Hormuz communication line, confirmed explicitly in the joint statement, is the detail markets will price most aggressively. When the original June 14 memorandum was announced, oil fell over 12% and the Dow Jones hit a record high. A credible, institutionalized Hormuz mechanism could extend that oil price relief.

Equities should follow, with lower energy costs easing inflation expectations and improving the earnings outlook. That same macro channel feeds crypto. Bitcoin has tracked risk sentiment tightly throughout the conflict, rising on de-escalation and selling off on fresh strikes, with BTC holding near $64,200 ahead of Monday.

The ceiling on any rally remains the Federal Reserve. The Fed’s hawkish hold on June 17 erased post-MoU gains across stocks and crypto. The Lebanon de-confliction cell is the geopolitical tripwire to watch, Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi called it the “first real test” of the agreement, and any renewed fighting there is the fastest path back to risk-off across all asset classes.

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Charles Hoskinson defends Cardano’s AI push as Midnight City expands

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“It’ll Get Worse. It’ll Get Redder.”

Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson has defended recent AI content tests after users criticized an AI-generated post shared through Input Output’s X account. 

Summary

  • Hoskinson said AI agents could help Cardano scale updates, community tasks and Midnight City activity.
  • Midnight City uses autonomous agents to test privacy views for users, auditors and regulators alike.
  • The debate followed backlash over AI-generated influencer content shared through Input Output’s X account recently.

The discussion followed his June 20 post titled “AI Slop, IOG X, and the Future of Marketing,” where he addressed how the team is testing new tools for communication.

Hoskinson said the AI-generated influencer came from work around Midnight City and was shared in good faith. He said the goal was to show what new systems can do, not to replace people or mislead the community. The response showed that parts of the Cardano audience remain careful about synthetic media.

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Midnight City becomes test ground for agents

Midnight City is an interactive simulation tied to the Midnight Network. It uses autonomous AI agents that work, trade and create economic activity inside a digital city. The project lets users watch activity through different views, including public, auditor and regulatory lenses.

The platform also serves as a testing area for privacy tools. Midnight Network uses zero-knowledge technology and selective disclosure to protect data while still allowing approved parties to see needed information. This design supports the project’s wider pitch around private but compliant blockchain activity.

Marketing plans move toward AI agents

Hoskinson said Cardano and Midnight cannot rely only on human teams if the user base grows by millions. 

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“We’re going to need agents and AI to be able to organize and sort all that out and broadcast on a regular basis what’s going on in Midnight City,” he said.

He also linked the discussion to OpenClaw, an open-source AI agent platform. Hoskinson described AI agents as tools that could support community management, media updates and broadcasting. He said the team is watching “where the future is going with AI CMOs” and lifelike content systems.

Cardano context and next steps

The comments come as Midnight remains one of the main projects connected to Cardano’s next phase. Crypto.news earlier reported that Midnight launched its federated mainnet on March 31, 2026, with a privacy model built around programmable disclosure. The network also uses NIGHT for governance and DUST for transaction costs.

Cardano has faced a harder market backdrop in recent weeks. As previously reported by crypto.news, ADA fell below $0.20 earlier this month, hitting its lowest level in more than five years. 

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Meanwhile, at press time, the token traded at $0.16, indicating over 2% decline in the past 24 hours (per crypto.news market data). That price pressure has kept attention on whether Midnight can bring more builders, users and activity to the ecosystem.

Hoskinson said the team will keep testing AI standards as Midnight City grows. “It’s why it’s one of our most important projects,” he said, adding that the team plans to explore where the technology goes next. He also said agentic trading and affiliate relationships could help bring more users to Midnight.

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Secret Network Bridge Loses $4.7M to ‘Infinite Mint’ Flaw

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Crypto Breaking News

An attacker exploited an “infinite mint” vulnerability in a smart contract on the Secret Network, creating wrapped Axelar assets without proper backing. The incident resulted in a reported $4.67 million loss, according to blockchain research firm Common Prefix.

The breach occurred on June 10 but was identified a week later, on June 17, after a failed cross-chain transaction triggered an “insufficient funds” error tied to the drained account, Common Prefix said in a report released Friday. The funds were then routed to Ethereum and distributed across multiple wallets before being moved to exchanges, the firm added.

Key takeaways

  • Common Prefix attributes the $4.67 million exploit to an infinite-mint flaw in a Secret Network contract that minted unbacked Axelar-wrapped tokens.
  • The issue was traced to missing verification of the source of inbound transfers before minting, allowing forged deposits on an attacker-controlled channel.
  • Wrapped assets affected included saUSDT, saUSDC, saDAI, saWETH, saWBTC, saWBNB and sawstETH.
  • Secret Network said holders of Axelar-bridged saXXX tokens may face loss, while both Secret and Axelar emphasized that Secret’s token SCRT and Axelar’s infrastructure were not directly compromised.

How the exploit worked on Secret’s Axelar bridge

Secret Network is a privacy-focused layer-1 blockchain built on the Cosmos ecosystem. Axelar, meanwhile, is designed to enable interoperability between different blockchain networks. The exploit targeted a smart contract handling Axelar-wrapped assets on Secret, where wrapped “saTokens” are expected to represent collateral held in escrow.

Common Prefix reported that the contract failed to verify the provenance of inbound transfers before minting. As a result, the attacker could “forge” deposits over an attacker-controlled channel, triggering the minting of “genuine saTokens with no assets backing them,” the firm said.

After minting, the attacker redeemed the Axelar-wrapped assets back through legitimate channels. Common Prefix said the redemption drained the real Axelar-wrapped assets held in escrow, converting the unbacked representations into backed value.

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Timeline and discovery: from June 10 to June 17

While the exploit itself took place on June 10, the crucial indicator of trouble appeared later. Common Prefix said the breach was discovered on June 17 after a cross-chain transaction failed due to an “insufficient funds” error connected to the account that had been drained.

This delay matters for users because it highlights how bridge or escrow-related systems can continue operating normally—or at least not immediately signal obvious failures—until specific downstream actions surface the shortfall. In practice, that can mean the window between minting and detection may be long enough for assets to be redistributed before investigators fully connect the dots.

Where the stolen funds went

Common Prefix reported that after exploiting the wrapped tokens, the attacker moved the assets to the Ethereum blockchain and converted them to Ether (ETH). The firm also said the attacker split the proceeds among roughly 30 wallets.

Those wallets were then used to move funds into exchanges, including KuCoin, ChangeNow, and HitBTC, according to the report. The multi-wallet approach is a common tactic in laundering activity, aimed at complicating tracing by breaking up transaction flows and distribution patterns.

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Which tokens were affected—and what Secret said to users

The affected Axelar-wrapped assets minted without backing included saUSDT, saUSDC, saDAI, saWETH, saWBTC, saWBNB and sawstETH. Common Prefix emphasized that the backing of these tokens was compromised, meaning token holders may not be able to redeem them for their intended collateral.

On Saturday, Secret Network issued a security notice stating that holders of Axelar-bridged saXXX tokens on Secret should expect their backing to be affected and that their funds “may be lost.”

Secret’s own native token, Secret (SCRT), was not reported as impacted by the incident. However, the notice underscores that this was not a general compromise of the network itself, but a targeted weakness in the minting path for specific bridged assets.

Axelar’s response: not compromised, firewall contained impact

Axelar acknowledged the incident on Saturday after “some confusion” emerged around the breach. In its statement, Axelar said neither Axelar nor IBC (Inter-Blockchain Communication) was compromised.

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Axelar added that the exploited token smart contract “was not developed, deployed, or maintained by Axelar,” and that Axelar’s firewalling prevented the impact from spreading to other chains.

For investors and builders, the distinction is significant: it narrows the likely source of failure to the contract logic on the Secret side rather than Axelar’s core interoperability infrastructure. Even so, cross-chain systems remain tightly coupled through assumptions about escrow, message integrity, and minting verification—exactly where this exploit appears to have broken those assumptions.

Part of a wider wave of protocol attacks

This breach arrives amid a broader pattern of cross-chain and protocol exploitation. Common Prefix noted it is among a series of hacks and exploits occurring this month, with at least 22 incidents reported by DeFiLlama’s ongoing hack tracking.

Within that same recent period, other reported bridge-related losses included Humanity Protocol and Syscoin Bridge, which earlier this month suffered reported losses of $32 million and $8 million respectively, according to coverage referenced in Common Prefix’s context.

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While each event has its own root cause, the recurring theme is similar: many of the highest-value failures occur where bridging logic meets asset accounting—especially when systems mint representations based on messages or deposits that are not strongly authenticated end-to-end.

Going forward, users holding affected saTokens should watch for further announcements from Secret and for any guidance on whether and how remaining balances can be redeemed. The key open question is how quickly and completely the affected minting pathway can be audited and patched—because in cross-chain ecosystems, even small verification gaps can translate into real, backed-value drains once an attacker finds a redemption route.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Secret Network Loses $4.67M in Infinite Mint Exploit

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Secret Network Loses $4.67M in Infinite Mint Exploit

An attacker has used an “infinite mint” bug in a vulnerable smart contract on the Secret Network to create unbacked, wrapped versions of Axelar-wrapped assets, resulting in a $4.67 million exploit. 

The exploit happened on June 10 but was discovered a week later on June 17, after a failed cross-chain transaction caused by an “insufficient funds” error in the drained account was detected, blockchain research firm Common Prefix reported on Friday.

The attacker redeemed the Axelar-wrapped assets (saTokens) back over legitimate channels to drain the real Axelar-wrapped assets held in escrow because the smart contract did not verify the source of the inbound transfer before minting, so “deposits forged over an attacker-controlled channel minted genuine saTokens with no assets backing them,” Common Prefix said.

It is the latest in a series of crypto protocol hacks and exploits this month, which now number at least 22, according to DeFiLlama. The Secret Network was one of the largest, behind the Humanity Protocol and Syscoin Bridge, which lost $32 million and $8 million, respectively, earlier this month.

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The Secret Network is a privacy-focused, layer-1 blockchain built on the Cosmos ecosystem, and Axelar is a decentralized interoperability network that connects different blockchain ecosystems.

The Axelar-wrapped assets minted without backing in the exploit included saUSDT, saUSDC, saDAI, saWETH, saWBTC, saWBNB and sawstETH.

Related: Aztec Connect’s abandoned smart contract exploited for $2.1M

The attacker moved the exploited assets to the Ethereum blockchain and converted them to Ether (ETH). They then split the haul between around 30 wallets, eventually depositing the funds into exchanges including KuCoin, ChangeNow, and HitBTC, according to Common Prefix.

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“If you hold Axelar-bridged saXXX tokens on Secret, please be aware their backing was affected, and your funds may be lost,” the Secret Network said on Saturday. 

Stolen funds split into multiple wallets for obfuscation. Source: Common Prefix

The Secret Network’s token, Secret (SCRT), was not impacted by the incident, but it remains down 99% from its 2021 all-time high, currently trading at $0.058. Axelar’s native token, Axelar (AXL), is in a similar state, trading at $0.045, down 98% from its 2024 peak. 

Axelar posted a confirmation on Saturday following “some confusion” around the incident.

“Neither Axelar nor IBC [Inter-Blockchain Communication] was compromised. The exploited token smart contract was not developed, deployed, or maintained by Axelar. Axelar’s firewalling prevented the impact from spreading to other chains,” it said. 

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Lummis Says CLARITY Act Will End Crypto Developer Prosecution for Writing Code

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Fake Bridge Messages Let Hacker Drain $815,000 From Alephium

Senator Cynthia Lummis wrote on X: developers should not need lawyers to know if their code is legal. The CLARITY Act, she argues, is the fix.

The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act has recently cleared two major legislative hurdles, passing the House in July 2025 with a 294-134 bipartisan vote before the Senate Banking Committee advanced it 15-9 in May 2026. The bill now sits on the Senate Legislative Calendar awaiting a floor vote.

When Writing Code Became a Federal Risk

The case that brought this debate into focus is that of Roman Storm, a co-founder of Tornado Cash, an open-source privacy protocol built on Ethereum (ETH).

On August 6, 2025, following a four-week trial, a jury found Storm guilty of conspiracy to operate an unlicensed money transmitting business. The jury was deadlocked and unable to reach a verdict on the two more serious charges: conspiracy to commit money laundering and conspiracy to violate sanctions.

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The charge carries a maximum sentence of five years in prison.

The conviction turned on a contested legal question that the CLARITY Act is aiming to address. Tornado Cash provides an open-source protocol that breaks the link between senders and recipients of cryptocurrency in order to enhance privacy. Once deployed, neither the platform itself nor its creators ever took custody of the assets at issue.

Storm’s defense argued that holding a developer liable for what independent users do with self-executing code sets a dangerous precedent. The case asked whether writing and deploying open-source privacy software can expose its creator to criminal liability for how others use it, and after the verdict, that question remains only partially resolved.

The Tornado Cash case was not isolated. The SEC issued a Wells Notice to Uniswap Labs in 2024, alleging the primary developer of the world’s largest decentralized exchange protocol was operating an unregistered broker-dealer.

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) separately pursued the Ooki DAO developers, arguing that participating in open-source governance made individual contributors personally liable for how end-users interacted with the platform.

What the CLARITY Act Changes for Developers

The CLARITY Act addresses this directly through Section 604, drawn from the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act (BRCA). The provision codifies a principle from FinCEN’s 2019 guidance: that developers and infrastructure providers who do not take custody or control of user funds are not money transmitters under federal law.

Writing open-source software, running a node, or validating transactions would not trigger Bank Secrecy Act obligations.

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More than 60 CEOs and founders across the industry, including executives from Coinbase, Uniswap, Kraken, a16z crypto, and Paradigm, signed a letter to Senate leadership in June calling on the full Senate to pass the bill with the developer protections intact, describing Section 604 as a non-negotiable condition of their support.

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Taiko Exploit Adds to June Tally of Over 20 Crypto Hacks

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Fake Bridge Messages Let Hacker Drain $815,000 From Alephium

Taiko lost roughly $1.7 million on Monday after an attacker compromised the chain-state verification mechanism. 

The latest hack adds to the growing list of attacks targeting crypto networks in 2026.

Taiko Becomes Latest of 20-Plus Crypto Hacks This June

Taiko runs as an Ethereum-equivalent-based rollup that settles its activity back to the mainnet. Earlier today, Blockaid flagged an ongoing exploit in a post on X (formerly Twitter).

Taiko confirmed the compromise in a security notice and warned that bridge security assumptions could no longer be trusted.

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Meanwhile, on-chain data shared by Lookonchain shows the attacker has already started cashing out. The wallet moved 1.99 million TAIKO, worth about $189,000, to MEXC. The same address still holds 870.8 ETH valued at nearly $1.52 million. 

Taiko said it is working with its Security Council and ecosystem partners to contain the incident. In addition, Taiko signaled that it may take technical and legal action against the attacker.

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The team has asked centralized exchanges to suspend TAIKO deposits until it issues an official all-clear.

“We strongly advise all users to withdraw their funds from all bridges deployed on Taiko immediately,” the team said.

Meanwhile, it also shared 4 attacker addresses:

  • 0x7506DeA0c38ca0B55364B22424374c5A1ae1B76a  
  • 0x5fbc60a12bc6635e7d587d8dac52e4b1388b4990   
  • 0x3cc936b795a188f0e246cbb2d74c5bd190aecf18   
  • 0x9108828e30f2de407aadb0af677b4a9228e4acd4

Historically, bridges have ranked among crypto’s costliest weak points, and 2026 has been no exception. A tracker from DefiLlama counts more than 20 crypto hacks in June alone.

The published addresses of attackers give investigators a trail to follow as funds move. Whether Taiko can recover the stolen assets may hinge on how fast exchanges freeze the flagged wallets.

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Fed Hawkishness Displaces Hormuz Noise as the Dominant Market Risk

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The S&P 500 has been climbing since the first mention of peace back in April

Global markets are entering the week of June 22 with a clearer pecking order of risk. The Strait of Hormuz and Trump’s war is no longer the dominant driver; the Federal Reserve is.

After months of whipsaw headlines from the US-Iran conflict, traders have largely stopped flinching at each new diplomatic twist. The bigger force repricing oil, gold, stocks, and Bitcoin (BTC) is Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish debut at the June 17 FOMC meeting.

Oil Deflates as War Premium Fades

Brent crude settled around $80 on Friday, June 19, after US-Iran talks were abruptly called off, yet the reaction was muted. WTI traded near $76, down roughly 34% from conflict highs.

Three Saudi supertankers carrying roughly six million barrels transited the strait last week. Tanker owners report cautious but growing confidence in the waterway. The war premium that once consumed markets is unwinding, even without a signed peace deal.

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Warsh Reframes Gold and Stocks

Gold fell to around $4,150 per ounce on Friday, as the dollar climbed to a one-year high. The driver was not geopolitics but the Warsh hawkish FOMC shift, where nine of 18 officials now project at least one rate hike in 2026.

Goldman Sachs cut its year-end gold target to $4,900 from $5,400. US equities held up better, with the S&P 500 recovering from Fed-day losses, closing its 11th winning week in 12.

The S&P 500 has been climbing since the first mention of peace back in April
The S&P 500 has been climbing since the first mention of peace back in April. This is despite the back-and-forth and uncertainty around the conflict. Image Source: Trading View

Bitcoin Caught Between Two Headwinds

BTC trades near $64,000, holding above recent lows but unable to build meaningful momentum. As BeInCrypto reported, Warsh’s press conference sent Bitcoin lower alongside gold, with rate hike odds now at 66% squeezing liquidity expectations that had supported risk assets earlier in the year.

Bitcoin is trading nearly 50% below its October 2025 all-time high of $126,198. The week ahead brings US GDP and PCE data, two readings that will either reinforce Warsh’s hawkish lean or give Bitcoin price a brief reprieve.

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FedEx, Micron Earnings and PCE Data Set to Shape Markets This Week

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FedEx, Micron Earnings and PCE Data Set to Shape Markets This Week

Three catalysts are converging this week that could shift sentiment across equities, chips, and the inflation outlook. FedEx earnings, Micron’s fiscal Q3 results, and the May Personal Consumption Expenditures price index are all due in the coming days.

The combination arrives at a tense moment for markets still digesting the Iran war’s economic fallout and reassessing when the Federal Reserve might next move on interest rates.

FedEx Breaks New Ground Tuesday

FedEx (FDX) reports fiscal fourth-quarter results Tuesday, June 23. The print marks the company’s first as a pure-play logistics and parcel firm following the June 1 spinoff of FedEx Freight.

A calendar shift to a December fiscal year adds another layer of complexity, making year-over-year comparisons difficult. Analysts expect revenue for the quarter to reach $24.04 billion, up 8.8% from a year earlier, while full-year earnings per share are projected at $19.78, up 8.7% from fiscal 2025.

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Micron Carries the AI Trade Wednesday

Micron Technology (MU) reports fiscal Q3 results Wednesday, June 24. After a roughly 280% gain in 2026 built almost entirely on the high-bandwidth memory that feeds AI accelerators, the print is the single clearest test of whether that boom is a durable, structural shift or another memory cycle that has run ahead of itself.

Micron has shown impressive growth year-to-date. Image Source: Trading View

Analysts at Deutsche Bank and TD Cowen both raised price targets to $1,500 ahead of the Micron earnings results, citing AI demand outrunning supply through 2028. Key customers remain able to secure only between 50% and two-thirds of their bit demand requirements, with no expectation of supply catching up in the near term.

PCE Data Thursday Tests the Oil Relief Narrative

The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the PCE price index for May, drops Thursday, June 25. Research from the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas estimates the Iran war pushed headline PCE inflation up 1.7 percentage points at an annualized rate in the first quarter of 2026, with effects expected to remain elevated through the third quarter.

However, WTI crude settling near $76 a barrel last week, down sharply from above $90 throughout May, could provide meaningful relief in the months ahead. Whether the chipflation risk from rising AI memory costs offsets some of that energy-driven easing remains an open question heading into the data.

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Trump Declares Starmer Will Resign, Blames North Sea Oil Ban

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Donald Trump took to Truth Social to stated Keir Starmer would step down

Donald Trump has all but confirmed reports that UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer is set to resign, singling out his government’s ban on new North Sea oil licences as a central cause of his political collapse.

In a Truth Social post on Saturday, June 21, Trump wrote that Starmer had “failed badly” on two issues, immigration and energy, demanding the UK “open North Sea oil.”

North Sea Ban Under Fire as Energy Bills Surge

The UK government announced on November 26, 2025 that it would grant no new oil and gas exploration licenses. It became the largest economy to take that step. The move drew immediate criticism, and its political cost has grown sharply since.

 Donald Trump took to Truth Social to stated Keir Starmer would step down
With nothing confirmed yet, Donald Trump took to Truth Social to stated Keir Starmer would step down. Image Source: Truth Social

The ongoing US-Israel conflict with Iran disrupted oil and gas flows across the Middle East and triggered a sharp rise in UK energy prices. Since the outbreak of the conflict, Brent crude surged from around $73 a barrel to nearly $114 — while June gas futures on the Dutch TTF jumped nearly 50%.

The impact of the conflict is clearly visible on the six-month price chart for Brent Crude
The impact of the conflict is clearly visible on the six-month price chart for Brent Crude. Image Source: Trading Economics

Ofgem confirmed a 13% rise in the household energy price cap from July. This lifted the annual dual-fuel bill from £1,641 to £1,862, with gas bills climbing 24% and electricity rising 5%.

Critics have pointed to the North Sea ban as compounding British exposure to that shock. Although analysts from Oxford’s Smith School note that even maximum North Sea extraction would save households only between £16 and £82 per year. This is because any domestic oil is sold at global market prices regardless of origin.

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Starmer’s Position Collapses

Trump had previously told reporters that Starmer is “a nice man” but warned he needed to “straighten out immigration” and “start drilling”. Sunday’s post dropped the ambiguity entirely.

Starmer’s political position had weakened significantly following major losses in local elections. Andy Burnham’s decisive win in the Makerfield by-election didn’t help either. There are also around 100 Labour MPs formally requesting his resignation.

UK media reported widely on Sunday that an announcement was expected Monday.

The post Trump Declares Starmer Will Resign, Blames North Sea Oil Ban appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Regulatory Probe? Bitcoin Drops 40% as STRC Strategy Tool Faces Scrutiny

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MicroStrategy’s flagship Bitcoin funding vehicle, Strategy’s Stretch (STRC), has traded at a persistent discount to its $100 liquidation preference since late July 2025, prompting renewed scrutiny of its capital-raising design. As STRC’s market price fell to new lows in the lead-up to mid-2026, critics framed the move as evidence that the structure may rely on continuous inflows to meet shareholder expectations.

At the same time, other analysts argue the steep drawdown reflects leverage dynamics rather than a fundamental deterioration in Strategy’s Bitcoin accumulation plan. For institutional stakeholders, the episode matters not only for how STRC functions economically, but also for how such instruments fit within broader oversight and investor-protection frameworks—particularly as leveraged exposures and yield-linked terms raise compliance and risk-management questions.

Key takeaways

  • STRC was structured to trade near its $100 par (liquidation preference) via adjustable dividends tied to that benchmark.
  • In mid-2026, STRC traded materially below $100, with reports indicating a late-day close below par after a record low intraday print.
  • The widening discount has coincided with a slowdown in Strategy’s weekly Bitcoin additions, increasing attention on funding efficiency.
  • Critics—including Peter Schiff—reiterated claims that the instrument resembles a “centralized Ponzi,” while analysts counter that leverage wipeouts better explain the move.
  • STRC’s dividend mechanics are being debated in terms of how the liquidation preference converts into an effective yield for discounted entry prices.

Why STRC’s discount to $100 is drawing regulatory-style scrutiny

STRC was introduced in July 2025 as a preferred-equity style instrument designed to remain close to its $100 par value, supported by adjustable dividends. The practical objective, as described by market participants around the offering, is to create a predictable redemption/return framework while enabling Strategy to raise capital to purchase additional Bitcoin.

According to the reported trading updates, STRC fell to an intraday record low of $82.53 and closed around $88.59—still below the $100 liquidation preference. While a discount can occur for many reasons in credit-like and preferred structures, sustained divergence from par tends to intensify investor-protection concerns: it can indicate that the market assigns a higher probability of stress scenarios than the instrument’s contractual yield implies.

That dynamic is now fueling accusations that STRC depends on ongoing capital formation to sustain returns—an argument Peter Schiff has repeated, describing STRC as “a classic centralized Ponzi.” Critics’ central compliance-adjacent concern is not the existence of leverage per se, but the possibility that the structure’s economics may become self-reinforcing in a way that disadvantages later entrants if market prices cannot stabilize near par.

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Strategy has not, in recent public statements cited in the reporting, directly engaged with the “Ponzi” characterization. Instead, it continues to position STRC as preferred equity supported by its Bitcoin treasury strategy. Nevertheless, the market’s focus has shifted to the contract terms that link dividends to the $100 benchmark and to the implications for investors who adopt leveraged positions.

From an institutional monitoring perspective, this is the kind of dispute that can evolve into formal regulatory or litigation scrutiny: when the price relationship to a stated benchmark deteriorates, supervisors and compliance teams typically ask whether disclosure and risk labeling adequately reflect the instrument’s downside behavior, including margin-call pathways for leveraged holders.

Dividend mechanics and the effective yield debate

Reportedly, STRC uses an adjustable dividend framework with a currently stated 11.5% annualized rate, with proceeds primarily directed toward acquiring Bitcoin. However, the instrument’s market price movement changes how discounted investors interpret return.

Analysts cited in the coverage argue that STRC dividends are calculated relative to the $100 liquidation preference rather than the current market price. Under that interpretation, a discounted entry can produce a higher effective yield than the headline rate. For example, one analyst noted that at $90, the effective yield would be approximately 12.8%, while at $85 it could be around 13.5%, assuming the dividend rate remains anchored to the $100 liquidation preference.

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This distinction matters in practice because it highlights a structural tension: a vehicle can offer an attractive contractual yield while still trading far below par due to market-implied stress, forced deleveraging, or holder expectations about future dividend adjustments and redemption outcomes.

Strategy’s next dividend rate announcement has been reported as scheduled for June 30, with the company reportedly retaining alternative funding options such as issuing additional Strategy shares and using cash reserves—elements that, from a governance standpoint, influence whether the instrument is likely to remain within a stable pricing band or whether it will continue to trade at a deep discount.

Slower Bitcoin purchases and funding-efficiency questions

Alongside the price drawdown, reporting indicates that Strategy’s pace of Bitcoin accumulation moderated as STRC traded below par. The company added 1,550 BTC for $101 million in the week ending June 8 and 1,587 BTC for $100 million in the week ending June 15, taking total holdings to 846,842 BTC.

These additions were meaningful, but the weekly dollar amounts were reported to be much smaller than earlier in 2026. For comparison, Strategy was reported to have bought 34,164 BTC for $2.54 billion in a single week during April, and 24,869 BTC for roughly $2.01 billion in May—figures that underscore how the “cash-in-to-BTC” conversion can change when the funding vehicle trades at a discount.

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In addition, a small Bitcoin sale was reported earlier in June—32 BTC, worth approximately $2.5 million—described as potentially linked to dividend obligations. While the sale was minimal relative to the size of Strategy’s overall treasury, it reflects a key operational reality for dividend-linked structures: even if the primary plan is to finance purchases via issuance proceeds, cash requirements can still require asset sales when market conditions weaken.

In institutional terms, this is where compliance and risk governance intersect with capital markets execution. A vehicle that depends on continuous issuance can face liquidity and market-impact constraints when its own price dislocates from its stated preference benchmark, potentially affecting obligations to income-seeking or leveraged investors.

Leverage wipeout vs. structural failure

Not all analysts interpret STRC’s decline as a sign of failing fundamentals. Jesse Myers, head of Bitcoin strategy at The Smarter Web Company, argued that the move resembles a leverage wipeout rather than an impairment in Strategy’s broader positioning. In the cited commentary, Myers suggested that STRC holders might assume stable trading near the $99–$100 band and that once the price fell, margin calls and forced selling amplified the downward momentum.

Other market commentators similarly focus on how leveraged investors can create nonlinear liquidation dynamics: a discount that begins as a repricing can become accelerated when position sizing is calibrated to assumptions that do not hold.

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Still, the debate remains unresolved for compliance observers because both narratives—leverage-driven volatility and structural dependence—can coexist. The instrument may behave as expected under certain conditions while also exhibiting fragile performance when market participants reduce exposure or when funding terms become less favorable. That uncertainty is precisely what supervisors and institutional risk teams often seek to clarify through documented scenario analysis, stress testing, and disclosures around redemption, dividend adjustment triggers, and investor suitability.

Closing perspective

With STRC continuing to trade below its $100 liquidation preference and with dividend-rate decisions and capital-raising activity tied to that benchmark, the next dividend announcement and any further changes in issuance patterns will likely determine whether the discount stabilizes or deepens. For institutional compliance and legal teams, the episode highlights the importance of monitoring how leveraged investor behavior and contract-linked yield mechanics interact with pricing—especially for instruments positioned as central to a broader Bitcoin treasury strategy.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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