U.S. inflation in July was in line with expectations, leaving expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hike broadly unchanged.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.1% in July from the previous month, compared with economists’ forecast for a 0.1% increase and June’s 0.4% decline.

On a year-over-year basis, CPI rose 3.4%, in line with forecasts and slightly lower than June’s 3.5% reading.

Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.2% month over month in July, compared with forecasts for a 0.2% increase and an unchanged reading in June. On a year-over-year basis, core CPI rose 2.5% as expected by analysts and edging lower from June’s 2.6%.

Bitcoin BTC$63,520.23 fell from $64,400 to $64,080 in a knee-jerk reaction before stabilizing, still largely flat over 24 hours. Nasdaq 100 futures traded 0.7% higher.

Treasury yields remained under pressure, maintaining pre-CPI weakness. The two-year hovered at 4.19%, down 3.6 basis points on the day, and the 10-year yield stood at 4.66%, also down three basis points.

Already a key data point for markets, July’s CPI report took on added importance after a weaker-than-expected U.S. employment report showed that the economy unexpectedly shed 23,000 jobs in July.

Standard Chartered-led Anchorpoint Financial has started a limited rollout of HKDAP, its Hong Kong dollar-backed stablecoin, four months after securing one of the city’s first two issuer licences.

The initial rollout will focus on institutional payments and settlement before adding more access channels and cross-border applications.

HashKey Exchange and OSL Group joined as authorized distributors, allowing eligible institutions and professional investors to obtain HKDAP through their apps and other supported channels, according to separate announcements.

HashKey said it had completed its first minting and redemption transaction for the token, including conversions between HKDAP and fiat currency.

Anchorpoint, a joint venture between Standard Chartered, Animoca Brands and HKT, plans to use distributors and commercial partners to bring the token into payments, settlement and other financial applications. HKDAP stands for “Hong Kong dollar at par.”

Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies with values pegged to an external reference such as fiat currencies. Stablecoins are widely used to finance crypto trading, serve as a means of payment and facilitate cross‑border capital flows. The combined market cap of all stablecoins was nearly $287 billion as of this writing.

The latest issue started with a bad internet route from Teraswitch’s Miami facility that then spread to data centers across Europe and Asia, cutting off validators in London, Amsterdam, Frankfurt, Singapore and Tokyo. North America stayed online. The company fixed the issue in about 10 minutes, and traffic was flowing again by 4:16 a.m. UTC.

One single network operator, identified as AS2032, controlled more than a quarter of all the tokens people had locked up to secure the network, which was more than the Solana-prescribed safety limit. Almost all of those tokens went offline at the same time. Other companies lost another 14 million tokens in the same short period. Most of the affected validators, including the big one called Helius, stayed offline for the full 33 minutes because their backup systems never switched on.

This whole event is a clear warning: if more than one-third of the network’s tokens ever go offline at once, the entire blockchain freezes for every single person holding SOL, and there is no quick way to fix the bigger damage that would follow.

Pi Network price rose more than 5% toward $0.090 on Aug. 12 as the Protocol 26 deadline passed and softer U.S. inflation data supported speculative assets.

Pi Network price action today

According to data from crypto.news, Pi Network (PI) price climbed more than 5% to approach $0.090 on Aug. 12, while trading activity reportedly increased by about 35%. PI traded near $0.0883 at the time of writing after giving back part of its intraday advance.

The move followed the Aug. 11 deadline for Mainnet node operators to complete the Protocol 26 upgrade. The Pi Core Team previously said nodes that missed the cutoff would lose Mainnet connectivity until they installed the required update.

No widespread network disruption had been reported by the time of writing. However, the team had not published figures showing how many operators completed the upgrade, making it difficult to confirm the participation rate across Pi Network’s node infrastructure.

Protocol 26 improves smart contract safety, state management, interoperability, and cryptographic functions. The upgrade is also intended to prepare the network for Protocol 27, the final planned step in the current protocol update sequence.

Cooling US inflation supports PI recovery

U.S. macroeconomic conditions provided a second tailwind for PI and the broader crypto market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Consumer Price Index rose 0.1% in July and 3.4% from a year earlier.

Annual inflation slowed from 3.5% in June, while core CPI increased 0.2% month over month and 2.5% annually. Both annual readings eased from the previous month.

Slower inflation can reduce pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates further. Lower rate expectations generally support risk assets by improving liquidity conditions, although PI’s immediate move remained closely tied to the network upgrade and retail trading activity.

PI’s price is still more than 95% below its February 2025 peak, leaving the token exposed to sharp swings as short-term traders respond to technical breakouts and project updates.

Supply also remains an important risk. Data attributed to PiScan indicates that approximately 775.8 million PI could be unlocked by the end of 2026. Unlocks do not guarantee immediate selling, but they may increase the amount of PI available in the market if recipients choose to sell.

PI price holds above short-term support

The daily chart shows PI trading above its 20-day simple moving average at $0.0853. Reclaiming the average marks an improvement from the sustained downtrend that pushed the token from above $0.20 in March to a July low near $0.071.

Bull-bear power has also turned slightly positive at 0.00166, indicating that buyers have gained limited control around the current range. Price has nevertheless failed to produce a decisive trend reversal.

PI remains below the 50-day moving average at $0.0961, which forms the first major resistance zone. The 100-day and 200-day averages sit much higher at $0.1215 and $0.1489, respectively, showing that the broader daily trend remains bearish.

A daily close above $0.096 would strengthen the recovery case and place the psychological $0.10 level in focus. Clearing both barriers could allow buyers to target the 100-day average near $0.12.

Failure to hold $0.0853 would weaken the current setup. Sellers could then test $0.080, followed by the July support area between $0.071 and $0.075.

4-hour indicators show weak but improving momentum

PI’s 4-hour chart shows price consolidating between approximately $0.085 and $0.092 after recovering from the late-July low. Buyers have repeatedly defended the lower end of the range, but rallies have lost momentum around $0.090–$0.093.

The 4-hour Relative Strength Index stood at 49.79, just below the neutral 50 level. The reading shows that selling pressure has eased without confirming strong bullish momentum.

MACD offered a slightly more constructive signal. Its histogram turned positive at 0.00006 as the MACD line moved above the signal line, although both remained below zero. The setup points to an early recovery attempt rather than a confirmed breakout.

A 4-hour close above $0.093 would improve the short-term structure and expose the $0.096–$0.10 resistance zone. Losing $0.085, however, would invalidate the immediate bullish setup and raise the risk of another move toward $0.080.

Analyst sees $0.15 target after triangle breakout

Crypto analyst Crypto With Gopal said PI was compressing between descending resistance and rising support, creating a large triangle pattern.

According to the analyst’s chart, a clean break above approximately $0.10 could trigger a larger move toward $0.15. Such a move would require PI to reclaim its 50-day and 100-day moving averages before challenging the 200-day average near the analyst’s target.

Until PI closes above $0.10, the pattern remains unconfirmed. The token’s position below its major long-term averages and the pending supply unlocks continue to limit the strength of the bullish case.

Trump isn’t the only President to execute a decoy mission

A coalition of crypto companies and industry groups has asked frontier artificial intelligence (AI) labs to provide Bitcoin developers and other open-source “defenders” early access to their most capable models. The request comes in a letter published Monday by the Bitcoin Policy Institute (BPI), arguing that current access arrangements can leave critical infrastructure teams operating behind the pace of rapidly advancing AI-assisted cyber capabilities.

In the letter, signatories say many defenders—including Bitcoin Core developers—can be limited by the absence of dedicated “trusted-access programs” and by guardrails applied to publicly available frontier systems. As a result, they contend that qualified teams may be forced to rely on less capable open-weight models, even as attackers may use more powerful AI tooling to probe for weaknesses.

Key takeaways

• The Bitcoin Policy Institute letter calls for “standing trusted-access programs” so open-source financial infrastructure defenders can use top-tier frontier AI before widespread public release.
• Signatories argue that guardrails and limited access to advanced models can hinder security research and response for Bitcoin and broader crypto systems.
• The letter links the push to the rising scale of AI-enabled vulnerability discovery and threats, citing multiple reports from open-source maintainers.
• Industry data referenced in the letter points to a sharp jump in monthly crypto hacks, with April 2026 losses exceeding $634 million.
• The coalition includes major ecosystem participants such as Anchorage Digital, BitGo, Bitwise, Blockstream, Kraken, Ledger, and Trezor, among others.

Why the letter centers on “trusted access”

The BPI says the economics of security research and cyber operations are shifting as frontier AI models become more capable. According to the letter, advanced systems can search large codebases, surface potential weaknesses, and compress timelines for complex technical work—benefits that apply not only to attackers, but also to defenders responsible for maintaining open-source financial infrastructure.

Without early, dedicated access programs, the letter warns that defenders may struggle to keep pace with evolving threats. It also argues that cyber incidents exploiting open-source vulnerabilities can translate directly into real-world harm, including the risk of losing “life savings,” given how widely open-source software underpins digital finance.

To address this asymmetry, the letter asks frontier AI labs to “establish or expand standing trusted-access programs” for qualified open-source defenders. The focus is less on broad public access and more on structured access channels for teams charged with safeguarding infrastructure.

What data and security commentary are used to support the case

The letter points to recent increases in hack activity across the sector. It cites DefiLlama data showing that total monthly crypto hacks surged in April 2026, with malicious actors stealing more than $634 million from cryptocurrency platforms—described as the highest monthly total since the Bybit hack. That earlier incident, the letter notes, contributed to losses of roughly $1.4 billion in February 2025, again according to DefiLlama.

In addition to incident volume, the letter frames AI as a force multiplier for vulnerability discovery. It references concerns raised across the crypto security industry as newer AI systems make it easier to automate parts of the probing and exploit development cycle.

Earlier coverage cited within the letter highlights comments from Mitchell Amador, CEO of bug bounty platform Immunefi, who characterized the moment as a “vulnerability apocalypse” in relation to developments in AI-assisted research. The letter also mentions the emergence of newer frontier models—described in the article as Claude Opus 4.8 and ChatGPT 5.5—as part of the broader shift raising security stakes.

Who signed the request

The open letter is co-signed by a broad cross-section of the crypto industry, signaling that the concern is not confined to one segment of infrastructure. Alongside the Bitcoin Policy Institute, the signatories include organizations such as the African Bitcoin Institute, Anchorage Digital, BitGo, Bitwise, Blockstream, Bull Bitcoin, MARA, Kraken, Ledger, and Trezor, among others.

By bringing together companies spanning custody, exchanges, analytics, wallet infrastructure, and Bitcoin-focused organizations, the letter underscores the “system-wide” nature of the risk it describes: open-source code and shared software dependencies can affect multiple products, operators, and user bases at once.

Implications for Bitcoin developers and the broader security community

If frontier AI labs establish or expand trusted-access programs as requested, the most immediate practical impact would be on the speed and effectiveness of defensive work around open-source financial infrastructure. In the letter’s framing, having early access to capable models could improve how maintainers audit code, identify potential weaknesses, and respond to new exploit techniques.

The request also highlights a tension that many in security research recognize: attackers may benefit from advanced tools faster than defenders can. By arguing that public guardrails and limited availability of powerful models can block legitimate defense work, the letter effectively calls for a policy-like solution—one that treats certain defenders as authorized users of frontier capabilities.

At the same time, it remains unclear what “standing trusted-access programs” would look like in practice, including how labs would vet applicants, what models would be shared, and how output would be handled. The letter is a policy request rather than a technical specification, so builders and investors should watch for follow-up actions that clarify implementation details.

For now, the key signal is the coalition’s insistence that time-to-defense matters as AI capabilities scale—especially as hack activity remains elevated and AI-assisted vulnerability discovery accelerates. The next phase will likely involve whether frontier AI labs respond, and whether any program structures emerge that could help Bitcoin and other open-source maintainers close the gap between defensive capacity and adversarial capability.

London, United Kigdom, August 12th, 2026, Chainwire

HCB Advisory has published a new analysis examining the role of market sentiment in financial markets and how changes in investor behaviour, demand, and expectations can influence short- and medium-term asset price movements.

Financial markets are shaped not only by economic indicators and fundamental developments, but also by the behaviour and expectations of market participants. Changes in investor confidence, risk appetite, demand for particular assets, and reactions to new information can contribute to significant changes in market dynamics.

According to HCB Advisory, analysing market sentiment can provide an additional perspective when assessing financial markets. By observing how participants respond to economic developments, corporate news, monetary policy decisions, and changes in broader market conditions, analysts can gain a better understanding of the factors influencing price movements.

“Market sentiment can provide important context when analysing short- and medium-term changes in asset prices,” Blake Rees said a representative of HCB Advisory. “Investor behaviour, changes in demand, and reactions to new information can all contribute to market dynamics. Understanding these factors allows analysts to evaluate price movements from a broader perspective.”

Understanding Market Sentiment

Market sentiment describes the general attitude and expectations of participants toward a particular asset, market, or the broader financial environment.

Sentiment can change as investors respond to new information, economic data, company announcements, central bank decisions, geopolitical developments, or changes in financial conditions.

Periods of positive sentiment may be associated with increased risk appetite and stronger demand for certain assets. Conversely, declining confidence can lead investors to become more cautious and reduce exposure to assets perceived as carrying greater uncertainty.

HCB Advisory notes that sentiment is not necessarily uniform across all market participants. Different investors can interpret the same information differently, creating a range of expectations and contributing to changes in market activity.

Investor Behaviour and Market Dynamics

Investor behaviour represents an important component of sentiment analysis.

Market participants continuously evaluate available information and make decisions based on their expectations about future conditions. These decisions can affect buying and selling activity and, consequently, the balance between supply and demand.

According to HCB Advisory, observing changes in investor behaviour can help analysts understand why an asset may experience increased activity even when there has been no major change in its underlying fundamentals.

Behaviour can also change rapidly when new information enters the market. Unexpected economic data, policy announcements, or significant corporate developments can alter expectations within a short period of time.

For this reason, monitoring behavioural changes can complement traditional market analysis.

Changes in Demand

Demand is another important indicator when assessing market sentiment.

An increase in demand can indicate growing interest in a particular asset or market segment, while declining demand may reflect a reduction in investor interest or a shift toward alternative opportunities.

HCB Advisory considers changes in demand alongside other market indicators rather than treating them as an independent signal.

Trading volumes, price movements, liquidity, and broader market conditions can provide additional context when evaluating whether changes in demand represent a temporary development or part of a broader shift in sentiment.

Understanding these relationships can help analysts develop a more complete view of market behaviour.

Identifying Potential Trading Signals

Changes in sentiment and investor behaviour can also be incorporated into the process of identifying potential trading signals.

A trading signal does not necessarily represent a prediction of future market performance. Instead, it can serve as an indicator that a particular market condition or change in participant behaviour may require additional analysis.

For example, a significant increase in trading activity accompanied by a change in investor sentiment may indicate that market participants are responding to new information.

Similarly, a sharp change in demand may prompt analysts to investigate the factors behind the movement and determine whether it is connected to broader market developments.

According to HCB Advisory, such signals should be evaluated together with other analytical factors rather than used in isolation.

Combining Sentiment With Market Analysis

Market sentiment is only one component of a broader analytical framework.

Traditional market analysis can include economic indicators, interest rates, inflation, corporate developments, valuation measures, liquidity conditions, and other factors relevant to a particular asset.

HCB Advisory believes that combining these areas of analysis with information about investor behaviour can provide a broader perspective on market conditions.

For example, a change in asset prices may be driven by fundamental developments, changing expectations, or a combination of both. Understanding the role of sentiment can help analysts examine the behavioural component of the movement.

This approach is particularly relevant when evaluating short- and medium-term market changes, where investor expectations can influence price dynamics over relatively short periods.

Technology and Sentiment Analysis

Modern financial technologies are creating new opportunities for analysing market sentiment.

Analytical platforms can process large volumes of information from financial markets, news sources, economic publications, and other data channels. Advanced data-processing systems can help identify changes in activity and highlight developments that may require further investigation.

Artificial intelligence and machine learning technologies can also assist with processing large datasets and identifying patterns in market behaviour.

According to HCB Advisory, these tools can support analysts by improving the speed at which information is collected and organized.

However, technological systems still require interpretation. Changes in sentiment can have different meanings depending on the broader market environment, making professional analysis an important part of the process.

Short-Term and Medium-Term Market Movements

Sentiment analysis can be particularly relevant when examining short- and medium-term price dynamics.

In the short term, markets can respond quickly to changes in expectations, news events, and investor positioning. Over longer periods, sentiment can interact with economic and fundamental developments to influence broader market trends.

HCB Advisory emphasizes that distinguishing between temporary changes in sentiment and more persistent shifts is an important part of the analytical process.

A short-lived increase in demand may have a different significance from a sustained change in investor behaviour that continues across multiple trading sessions or market cycles.

Avoiding a Single-Indicator Approach

HCB Advisory stresses that no single sentiment indicator can provide a complete explanation of market behaviour.

Investor sentiment can change quickly, and indicators based on historical or current activity may not fully reflect future developments.

For this reason, the company advocates combining sentiment analysis with broader market research.

Analysts can consider price dynamics, trading activity, economic conditions, liquidity, fundamental developments, and other relevant information alongside changes in investor behaviour.

This multi-factor approach can provide greater context when evaluating potential market scenarios.

Looking Ahead

Financial markets are becoming increasingly data-driven, while investors have access to information from a growing number of sources.

As information becomes more readily available, understanding how market participants respond to that information may become increasingly relevant to financial analysis.

According to HCB Advisory, the combination of traditional market research, behavioural analysis, and modern data-processing technologies can provide additional insight into changing market conditions.

The company concludes that understanding investor behaviour and changes in market sentiment can help analysts evaluate the reasons behind short- and medium-term price movements more comprehensively.

About HCB Advisory

HCB Advisory is a financial research and advisory company focused on financial markets, investment analysis, market intelligence, and modern financial technologies. The company publishes research and industry insights covering global economic developments, market trends, investor behaviour, investment processes, and the evolution of financial decision-making.

Website: https://hcbadvisory.com/

Disclaimer

This press release is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. Market sentiment and behavioural indicators cannot guarantee future price movements or investment outcomes. The information presented is for general informational purposes and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument, security, digital asset, or investment product.

Contact

Caleb Grant
marketing@hcbadvisory.com

Key takeaways

• Harmony’s ONE token plunged roughly 40% following an apparent exploit that created about 4 billion tokens.
• The unauthorized issuance was equivalent to approximately 26% of ONE’s existing supply.
• Harmony released an emergency software update to prevent further minting and urged network operators to install it immediately.

Harmony’s ONE token fell approximately 40% on Wednesday after an apparent exploit reportedly created around 4 billion new tokens.

Harmony confirmed the attack and instructed the network operators responsible for maintaining the blockchain to install an emergency software update. The project said the patch would prevent the attacker from minting additional ONE tokens.

However, the update does not resolve the status of tokens that were already created. Harmony is still evaluating how to isolate or remove those assets from circulation.

The scale of the incident triggered intense selling pressure as traders assessed the risks of token dilution, exchange deposits, and a potential reversal of blockchain transactions.

Unauthorized issuance equals 26% of ONE supply

Approximately 15 billion ONE tokens existed before the exploit. The creation of another 4 billion represents a sudden supply increase of roughly 26%.

Such a large unauthorized issuance can severely dilute existing holders. If the attacker successfully transfers the newly created tokens to exchanges and sells them, the additional circulating supply could place further downward pressure on ONE’s price.

Harmony has not officially confirmed the total number of tokens minted or explained how the reported 4 billion figure was calculated.

The network was once among the cryptocurrency industry’s largest projects, reaching a market capitalization of approximately $4 billion in January 2022.

Harmony temporarily paused its token bridge to prevent potentially compromised assets from moving between networks.

The project also asked centralized exchanges to block and freeze funds traced to four wallet addresses associated with the incident. By flagging those addresses, Harmony hopes trading platforms can prevent the attacker from converting or withdrawing the newly minted tokens.

Cooperation from exchanges may limit the damage if the assets remain identifiable. However, recovery becomes more difficult if the tokens are swapped through decentralized exchanges, transferred to other networks or divided among additional wallets.

Blockchain transaction monitoring may still allow investigators to trace some movements, but it cannot guarantee that all unauthorized assets will be recovered.

Harmony’s software update is intended to close the vulnerability and stop any additional ONE from being created.

Network operators must adopt the new software for the patch to become effective across the blockchain. A coordinated upgrade is therefore essential to ensure that validators and other infrastructure providers follow the corrected network rules.

Harmony has not publicly identified the vulnerability, disclosed how the attacker gained minting authority or confirmed whether any additional parts of the protocol remain at risk.

Until the project releases a complete technical explanation, uncertainty may continue to weigh on ONE and applications operating on the network.

“We are working on a patch and rollback options,” Harmony said, promising further updates as its investigation progresses.

A rollback would return the blockchain to a state recorded before the exploit. The network would then resume from that point, removing subsequent transactions from its accepted history.

This approach could erase the creation of unauthorized tokens still on Harmony. However, it could also reverse legitimate transactions completed after the selected rollback point.

Will ONE recover following the massive dip?

The ONE/USD 4-hour chart is extremely bearish and efficient, as ONE has lost 40% of its value in the last 24 hours.

The coin briefly dropped to the $0.000605 level before bouncing back to now trade above $0.00074.

The technical indicators suggest that the bears are currently in control. The RSI of 12 means that ONE is currently in an oversold territory. The MACD lines also support the bearish narrative.

If the bearish trend persists, ONE could retest the daily low of $0.000605 before heading towards the $0.00050 psychological level.

However, if the bulls regain control, they would likely seek efficiency on the 4-hour chart at the $0.00112 level in the near term.