Crypto World
Japan registers Nomura’s Laser Digital as first new crypto entrant in four years
Nomura-backed Laser Digital has become Japan’s first newly registered crypto asset exchange service provider in about four years, securing approval as the country prepares to move digital assets under a financial-instruments framework.
Summary
- Laser Digital has become Japan’s first newly registered crypto asset exchange service provider in about four years.
- The Nomura-backed firm will initially provide liquidity services to domestic virtual asset service providers.
- Laser Digital plans to expand into institutional digital asset trading, though no launch date has been announced.
- Japan is preparing to bring crypto under its financial instruments framework, with new rules expected to take effect in 2027.
According to Laser Digital, its Japanese subsidiary has completed registration as a crypto asset exchange service provider and will initially supply liquidity to domestic virtual-asset service providers before considering trading services for institutional investors.
The company has not disclosed when the institutional offering will launch or the full range of services it intends to provide. The registration, however, gives Laser Digital a regulated route into a market where institutional demand has been rising, according to research conducted by Nomura and the digital-asset firm.
A 2026 survey by Nomura and Laser Digital found that 79% of respondents planned to invest in crypto assets within the next three years. Laser Digital said the findings support its decision to build services designed for professional investors in Japan.
Laser Digital gains Japan entry after a four-year registration gap
The approval follows months of regulatory work by the Nomura subsidiary, which had been preparing to establish a regulated trading operation for institutional clients.
In October 2025, crypto.news reported Laser Digital plans to seek a Japanese crypto trading license after the firm entered preliminary discussions with the Financial Services Agency. At the time, Laser Digital was considering broker-dealer services for traditional financial institutions, crypto companies and digital-asset exchanges operating in the country.
Those plans have now moved into the registration stage, although the company’s first services will focus on liquidity for locally registered crypto businesses. Institutional trading opportunities are expected to follow, subject to the company’s final service structure and launch schedule.
Laser Digital was established by Nomura in 2022 as the investment bank expanded into digital assets. The business has since developed operations across asset management, trading and venture investment, while its Japanese subsidiary has been working toward establishing a regulated local presence.
Outside Japan, the company received a full crypto business license in Dubai in 2023. Laser Digital has also launched investment products including Bitcoin and Ethereum-focused funds designed for institutional investors.
Its Japan strategy has included other parts of the digital-asset market. During its earlier licensing discussions, Laser Digital was also exploring yen- and dollar-pegged stablecoins with GMO Internet Group, including services covering regulatory support, blockchain infrastructure and backend operations.
Jez Mohideen, co-founder and CEO of Laser Digital, said the Japanese market was reaching “a new phase of maturity” as professional investors increase their exposure to the sector.
“As institutional investors increase their interest in this asset class, there remains a need for trusted counterparties and infrastructure designed specifically for their requirements,” Mohideen said.
Japan crypto rules are moving digital assets closer to securities
Laser Digital’s registration comes shortly after Japan completed legislation that changes how cryptocurrencies are treated under the country’s financial laws.
Japan passed its crypto law in July, classifying digital assets as financial products under the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act and creating a separate legal category alongside products such as stocks and bonds. The legislation followed years in which crypto assets were primarily regulated under the Payment Services Act.
Under the amended framework, Japan will introduce insider-trading restrictions for crypto transactions and annual disclosure requirements for issuers of certain digital assets. Penalties for businesses operating without registration will also increase once the rules are implemented.
The legislation also establishes a legal basis for changing how crypto gains are taxed. Japan currently treats individual crypto profits as miscellaneous income, with rates that can reach about 55%, while the planned system could place qualifying gains under separate taxation at an effective rate of about 20%.
Tax provisions are expected to take effect in January 2028 because enforcement is scheduled during Japan’s 2027 fiscal year, according to CoinPost reporting cited in the July coverage. The amended financial law itself is expected to take effect within one year of promulgation, with cabinet ordinances and supervisory guidelines setting out the detailed requirements.
Japan’s revised framework also provides the legal groundwork for domestic spot crypto exchange-traded funds. The Japan Exchange Group has been considering local crypto ETF listings as early as 2027, although approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs has not yet been confirmed.
Nomura is preparing for more institutional crypto products
Traditional financial groups were already positioning for new crypto investment products before the latest law was completed.
By May, major Japanese brokerage groups including SBI, Rakuten and Nomura were preparing or studying crypto investment trust products as regulators worked on rules allowing funds to hold digital assets. SBI Securities and Rakuten Securities were developing products internally, while Nomura, Daiwa and firms linked to SMBC and Mizuho were examining similar offerings.
The planned investment trusts could allow Japanese investors to gain crypto exposure through conventional securities accounts once regulatory requirements are completed. Japan’s roadmap has also included plans that could eventually allow investment trusts and ETFs to hold assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Laser Digital has already built products around that institutional demand outside its Japanese exchange operation. Nomura launched the unit’s Bitcoin Adoption Fund in 2023, giving institutional investors long-only Bitcoin exposure, followed by other digital-asset investment products.
The company has also expanded into tokenized finance through projects linked to institutional funds and blockchain infrastructure, placing regulated trading, asset management and tokenized products within the same digital-asset business.
For its Japanese operation, however, the immediate focus remains liquidity provision to registered domestic crypto firms. Laser Digital has said details covering the launch timetable and the scope of future institutional trading services will be announced later.
Steve Ashley, co-founder and executive chairman of Laser Digital, said professional investors globally were increasingly seeking digital-asset access alongside infrastructure capable of supporting institutional trading.
“Sophisticated investors are increasingly looking for access and the necessary quality of infrastructure behind it,” Ashley said.
Crypto World
How a Treasury buyback tweak helped bitcoin surge 25% to nearly $80,000 in days

Treasury buybacks are not QE, analysts said, but the move helped pull long-term yields off 19-year highs and triggered a record short squeeze in a market already leaning too bearish.
Crypto World
XRP Explodes 65% and Flips BNB as Altcoins Steal the Show: Weekend Watch
The cryptocurrency market is on the move again, but this time the altcoins have taken the spotlight. Ripple’s XRP has reemerged from the $1.00 support and skyrocketed past $1.65 for the first time in many, many months, surpassing BNB on the way.
Meanwhile, bitcoin has rebounded from the dip to $76,200 and sits well above $78,000 now.
XRP Overtakes BNB as Alts Explode
What a time to be an altcoin investor, right? Let’s take XRP, for example. It dipped below $1.00 less than a week ago and fought for that level for days. However, the broader market’s rebound on Wednesday helped it recover significantly. It first flew to $1.40 but managed to break out even further and now trades above $1.65. This means it has soared by over 65% since Wednesday. Moreover, it’s now ahead of BNB in terms of market cap, even though the latter has soared by 10% on its own.
SOL, HYPE, DOGE, ADA, LINK, XLM, BCH, CC, and LTC have also posted double-digit gains today. ZEC has stolen the show with a 40% surge to $820. ETH has reclaimed the $2,500 level after another 7% pump.
Official Trump (TRUMP) has gone on a tear as well. It’s back in the top 100 alts by market cap after skyrocketing by over 60% in the past day.
The cumulative market cap of all crypto assets has added another $100 billion daily (and $500 billion since Wednesday) and is up to $2.760 trillion on CG.

BTC Eyes $80K Again
The primary cryptocurrency led the charge on Wednesday when it exploded from under $65,000 to $70,000 at first. After a brief pause, it went on the offensive again in the following days, surging to $72,000 and $75,000 later on.
The culmination, at least for now, took place on Friday when it came inches away from tapping $80,000 for the first time in just over three months. However, it was stopped there after gaining $15,000 in 48 hours and slipped to just over $76,000.
The bulls have managed to defend that level, and BTC now trades over two grand higher. Its market cap is at $1.575 trillion, while its dominance over the altcoins has been reduced slightly from 57.9% to 57.1%.

The post XRP Explodes 65% and Flips BNB as Altcoins Steal the Show: Weekend Watch appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Dario Amodei Claude AI Predicts Solana Could Be Heading for a Bigger Comeback Than Expected
Storing an account on Solana used to cost $0.16 and now costs $0.016. Dario Amodei Claude AI predicts that a tenfold reduction changes what developers can build, and the price prediction places SOL at $110 to $120 by year-end 2026, with $115 as the realistic base case.
Agave 4.2 was activated the week of August 17. Alongside the storage cut, it expands transaction size 3.3x. Now, both changes lower the cost floor for DeFi and gaming applications directly. Cheaper primitives mean designs that were uneconomic become viable.
Speed is moving in parallel. Slot times are already being staged down from 400ms toward 200ms.

Alpenglow’s roughly 150ms finality upgrade is targeted for Q3 via Agave 4.3. Capital is arriving alongside the technical work.
Solana ETFs just logged a seventh straight week of net inflows, taking in $10.26M last week. Polymarket prices a 30.5% chance that SOL touches $100 during August alone.
The bear case is technical. SOL has stalled below its 100-day EMA near $78 repeatedly this month. A failed reclaim risks a slide back to $70. That level sits far below where the price now trades.
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Solana Price Prediction: Claude AI Predicts A Tenfold Storage Cut Rewrites The Cost Floor
The daily chart has just broken a year-long ceiling. SOL peaked above $250 last September before an extended decline. November cut the price from $200 toward $120. February brought the capitulation move to roughly $67.
Spring settled into a range between $80 and $98. June broke it, marking the low near $61. July and August rebuilt patiently in the mid $70s. The past two sessions have surged, clearing $90 for the first time since May.
The close reads $92.09, up 5.08%, and $4.45. The daily range covered $87.55 to $93.38. Support sits at $85, then $78 at the EMA Claude names, with $70 beneath it. Resistance appears at $98, then $110, and $120.
RSI reads 81.86 with its signal line far below at 58.57. That gap of more than 23 points confirms an abrupt shift in buying pressure. The oscillator is now deeply overbought. Momentum is strongly bullish, though such extremes typically cool before extending.
Claude’s base case sits 25% above this close, and that gap has narrowed fast. Holding above the reclaimed $78 EMA is what keeps the path clean.
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The platform offers markets around crypto, economic data, Fed policy, politics, and other events that can move asset prices. Instead of buying SOL after a sharp rally and taking exposure to every variable affecting the token, traders can focus on the specific event they have conviction on.
That matters with Alpenglow still ahead and SOL already deeply overbought. A successful rollout could validate the breakout. A delay or weaker-than-expected impact could change the setup quickly.
Kalshi lets traders act on that uncertainty before it is fully reflected in price.
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The post Dario Amodei Claude AI Predicts Solana Could Be Heading for a Bigger Comeback Than Expected appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong Sees Crypto Bull Market Starting Soon
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong says crypto spot trading is close to its next bull market, citing prior bear cycles that each ran roughly 370 to 380 days.
He spoke on CNBC after President Donald Trump hosted crypto executives and regulators at the White House. Bitcoin (BTC) has since climbed above $78,000.
Trading Activity Had Been Sliding for Months
Armstrong’s call follows a long stretch of thinning volumes and volatile prices. Spot turnover across 14 major exchanges dropped 21.7% in July to $429.0 billion from $547.9 billion in June, according to Wu Blockchain.
Every one of the 14 venues posted a monthly decline. Binance led with $196.5 billion, or 45.8% of the total. Coinbase recorded a 26.4% drop, the second steepest after Bitfinex at 59.7%.
Derivatives cooled too, falling 11.1% to $3.03 trillion. However, the futures-to-spot ratio climbed to 7.06x from 6.21x, showing traders leaned harder into leverage.
Sentiment also stayed depressed well into August, with the Fear and Greed Index sitting at 29 on August 13.
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A Bond Market Move Started the Turn
The mood shifted sharply on August 19. The Treasury doubled its bond buyback operations to at least $4 billion each and raised them from two to four per quarter, a plan that starts September 9.
Yields dropped on the news. The 10-year note closed 5.7 basis points lower at 4.647%, while the 30-year fell 9 basis points to 5.196%, according to CNBC.
Furthermore, President Donald Trump suggested that a sizable government purchase of Bitcoin has been discussed. Bitcoin has gained roughly 22% since that day and traded near $78,700 on Saturday.
Sentiment has flipped with it, and the Fear and Greed Index reached 71 at press time.
Armstrong Builds His Bull Case Around the Clock and the Calendar
Armstrong’s argument for a bull market with the cycle length. He said spot crypto trading has been in a bear market for about a year, and that each prior bear phase lasted roughly 370 to 380 days.
“We’re basically coming right up against that where people, you know, they’re going to say, well, this one’s about over. It’s time for the next bull run in crypto,” he stated.
Two catalysts sit on top of that. Armstrong pointed to the September 15 Senate vote for the CLARITY Act and to October through December, months he described as traditionally strong for Bitcoin under halving cycles.
“So I think there’s a good chance we’re on the cusp of the next bull market for spot trading in crypto,” he said.
Nonetheless, analyst Benjamin Cowen still puts a “decent chance” of one final selloff if prior midterm years repeat.
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The post Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong Sees Crypto Bull Market Starting Soon appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Capital.com plans UAE spot crypto launch after license
Capital.com plans to introduce spot cryptocurrency services in the United Arab Emirates after its affiliate, Capital Vault, received a virtual asset license from the UAE Capital Market Authority.
Summary
- Capital Vault received a UAE license covering virtual asset dealing, matching, custody, execution and settlement.
- UAE clients will eventually buy and hold actual crypto assets through the Capital.com application directly.
- Capital Vault will operate separately, with dedicated governance, custody and risk management arrangements for clients.
- The planned spot service differs from CFDs, which provide exposure without ownership of underlying cryptocurrencies.
- Capital.com has not announced the service launch date, supported cryptocurrencies, pricing or minimum account requirements.
Capital.com announced the approval on Aug. 21. The license authorizes Capital Vault to deal in virtual assets as an agent or matching principal and provide custody services for clients.
Once the service launches, eligible UAE customers will be able to buy and hold actual crypto assets through the Capital.com application. Capital Vault will handle trade execution, custody and settlement.
Capital.com did not disclose a launch date, list of supported cryptocurrencies, trading fees or minimum account requirements. The availability of every product may also depend on customer eligibility and local regulatory conditions.
Capital.com will offer ownership beyond CFD exposure
Capital.com currently provides crypto market exposure through contracts for difference in supported jurisdictions. A CFD tracks the price of an asset without transferring ownership of the underlying cryptocurrency to the trader.
The planned spot service changes that structure. Customers will acquire crypto held through Capital Vault rather than entering a derivative contract with exposure to price movements.
This distinction also changes how the product operates. Spot customers require custody and settlement arrangements, while CFD positions remain contracts between the broker and its clients.
Crypto ownership does not remove financial risk. Spot assets can lose value, and customers also depend on the custody provider’s operational, security and withdrawal procedures. Capital.com has not yet published detailed customer terms for the UAE service.
The company already operates a separate UAE brokerage entity, Capital Com MENA Securities Trading. Capital.com’s disclosure lists that business under CMA license number 20200000176 for its existing financial services.
Capital Vault will keep crypto operations separate
Capital Vault will operate as a separate regulated entity. Its governance, custody and risk arrangements will remain separated from Capital.com’s other regulated businesses, according to the announcement.
The affiliate has opened an Abu Dhabi office and is building a local digital asset team. The company did not disclose the number of employees hired or the size of its planned UAE investment.
Capital Vault’s authorization comes from the federal Capital Market Authority. It should not be confused with licenses issued inside the Abu Dhabi Global Market or by Dubai’s Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority, which operate under separate regulatory structures.
Capital Vault also has a European entity. Cyprus regulator CySEC’s public register lists Capital Vault Ltd as an authorized crypto asset service provider under the European Union’s Markets in Crypto Assets framework.
The European authorization covers custody, crypto exchanges, order execution and transfer services. However, the Cyprus and UAE entities remain subject to their respective local rules.
UAE framework expands regulated crypto activities
The Capital Market Authority introduced an updated virtual asset framework in April 2026. It expanded the number of regulated activities from three to eight.
The framework covers dealing, brokerage, custody, portfolio management, transfer services and alternative trading systems. It also establishes requirements for business conduct, capital, governance and anti money laundering controls.
The new rules provide a federal route for companies operating outside the UAE’s financial free zones and Dubai’s VARA jurisdiction. Capital Vault’s license gives Capital.com a path to add spot ownership alongside its established leveraged trading business.
Other companies have also broadened regulated digital asset services in the UAE. As previously reported, Binance secured exchange, clearing and custody permissions in Abu Dhabi through separately regulated entities.
In related coverage, Crypto.com received approval supporting regulated UAE payment services, while Bitpanda expanded into Dubai through a broker dealer license.
Capital.com must now complete its product and operational rollout. The next confirmed developments should include the launch date, available assets, fees, custody terms and rules governing deposits and withdrawals.
Crypto World
anatomy of crypto’s biggest liquidation event since 2021
Six weeks of bearish positioning ended in 24 hours. Here is how the trade unwound, who got caught, and whether the squeeze has legs.
Summary
- More than $3 billion in leveraged short positions were liquidated across crypto derivatives markets on Aug 19 and 20, 2026, making it the eighth largest liquidation event on record and the largest concentrated short squeeze since November 2021.
- Bitcoin climbed from an intraday low near $64,100 to a peak above $72,000, while Ethereum surged roughly 18% in 24 hours, its strongest single day move since March 2024.
- The U.S. Treasury doubled the maximum size of its liquidity support buyback operations for long dated bonds from $2 billion to $4 billion per operation, compressing yields and pushing risk assets higher.
- Binance absorbed approximately $518 million in liquidations, Hyperliquid roughly $513 million, and Bybit around $303 million, with short positions accounting for 92% of all forced closures.
- The expanded buyback program runs only through Nov. 4, 2026. If long end yields stabilize by then, there is no guarantee that the larger operation size continues, limiting the macro tailwind.
Crypto derivatives markets had been building toward this moment for six weeks. Open interest in Bitcoin perpetual futures climbed steadily through July, with funding rates drifting negative as traders added to short positions. Bearish bets outnumbered bullish ones on every major exchange. On Binance, shorts held 51.64% of open interest. On OKX, 51.13%. On Bybit, 52.25%. The consensus was clear: the market was going lower.
Then, over the span of 24 hours, it went violently higher.
What triggered the squeeze
The first catalyst landed on Aug. 19 at approximately 2:30 PM UTC, when the U.S. Treasury announced it would at least double the maximum size of its liquidity support buyback operations for 10 to 20 year and 20 to 30 year nominal coupon securities. The cap moved from $2 billion to $4 billion per operation, effective Sep. 9 through Nov. 4.
Treasury buybacks are not quantitative easing. The department buys back illiquid, off the run bonds and replaces them with fresh, on the run issuance. The net effect on the government balance sheet is roughly neutral. But the market impact is not. By removing duration from the market, buybacks compress long end yields and improve liquidity conditions across risk assets. For more on the mechanics, see our breakdown of how the $4 billion Treasury buyback moved Bitcoin 8% in a day.
Bitcoin responded within minutes. The price moved from $64,100 to $66,800 in the first hour after the announcement. That initial move was enough to trigger the first wave of margin calls on leveraged shorts, and the cascade began.
The liquidation cascade
The mechanics of a short squeeze in crypto derivatives are straightforward but brutal. When a short position on a perpetual futures contract falls below its maintenance margin, the exchange liquidates it by placing a market buy order. That buy order pushes the price higher, which triggers more liquidations, which generates more buy orders. The feedback loop continues until the selling pressure from remaining shorts can absorb the forced buying.
On Aug. 19 and 20, the loop ran for roughly 18 hours before stabilizing.
Total liquidations across all major exchanges exceeded $3 billion. Short positions accounted for approximately $2.77 billion, or 92% of the total. Long liquidations were a rounding error at $264 million. According to CoinGlass data, roughly $1.29 billion in short positions closed within a single hour, the fastest concentrated squeeze of 2026. As we reported when Bitcoin first broke past $68K on the initial $1 billion short squeeze wave, the cascade was just beginning.
The breakdown by exchange reveals how concentrated the pain was. Binance saw approximately $518 million in liquidations. Hyperliquid, the decentralized perpetuals exchange that has grown rapidly this year, absorbed roughly $513 million. Bybit recorded around $303 million. The remaining liquidations spread across OKX, dYdX, and smaller venues.
Bitcoin shorts accounted for approximately $1.37 billion of the total, while Ethereum shorts contributed roughly $1.01 billion. The remainder came from altcoin positions, with Solana, XRP, and Dogecoin among the most affected.
The exchange level data reveals a secondary pattern that the headline numbers obscure. On Hyperliquid, a decentralized exchange that does not use a traditional order book for liquidations, the insurance fund absorbed roughly $47 million in losses during the cascade. The fund, which stood at approximately $380 million before the event, dropped to $333 million by the time the squeeze stabilized. On Binance, the auto deleveraging system activated twice during the peak liquidation hour, forcing profitable long traders to partially close their positions to cover the counterparty shortfall. These mechanisms prevented cascading failures at the exchange level but added to the speed and violence of the price move.
The altcoin liquidation data adds granularity that the Bitcoin and Ethereum headlines miss. Solana perpetual futures saw approximately $187 million in short liquidations, driven by the same macro catalysts plus the additional momentum from cumulative SOL ETF inflows crossing $1.16 billion earlier in the week. XRP shorts lost roughly $142 million, with the asset rallying 10% alongside the broader market. Dogecoin, which had seen a buildup of speculative short positions during a quiet July, contributed approximately $89 million. These figures matter because altcoin liquidations tend to be more violent per dollar of open interest. Altcoin perpetual markets are thinner, with fewer market makers and wider spreads. When liquidations cascade through these markets, the price impact per dollar liquidated is significantly larger than in Bitcoin or Ethereum.
Why the positioning was so extreme
The bearish lean in crypto derivatives markets did not appear overnight. It built over six weeks, from early July through mid August, during a period when multiple headwinds converged.
The CLARITY Act, the most comprehensive crypto market structure bill to reach the Senate floor, stalled after its procedural vote was postponed to September. The SEC finalized its “Regulation Crypto Assets” framework, which some market participants interpreted as an attempt to preempt Congressional legislation. For more on how these two frameworks conflict, see our analysis of SEC regulation crypto assets vs the CLARITY Act. Bitcoin had traded in a narrowing range between $60,000 and $66,000 since late June, with each rally attempt meeting selling pressure near the upper bound.
Funding rates on Bitcoin perpetual futures turned negative in late July and stayed negative through mid August, meaning that short traders were being paid to hold their positions. That dynamic attracted more shorts, creating a self reinforcing cycle of bearish positioning.
The numbers tell the story precisely. On Aug. 18, one day before the squeeze, the eight hour funding rate on Binance Bitcoin perpetual futures stood at negative 0.012%, a level that had persisted for three consecutive weeks. At negative funding, traders holding short positions receive a payment from traders holding long positions every eight hours. The payment is small in absolute terms but compounds meaningfully over weeks. A trader with a $10 million short position at negative 0.012% funding received approximately $3,600 per day simply for maintaining the position. That dynamic attracted capital into shorts not because of a directional thesis but because of the yield. When the forced unwind came, many of these yield seeking shorts had no thesis to defend and no plan for a stop loss.
The result was a market that was heavily one sided. When the Treasury announcement provided a fundamental reason for risk assets to rally, the positioning was too extreme to absorb the move without forced buying.
The second catalyst: the White House summit
The Treasury announcement alone might not have been sufficient to produce a $3 billion liquidation event. But it was followed within hours by reports that President Trump would host a crypto industry summit at the White House, attended by senior SEC officials and executives from major exchanges.
The summit, confirmed for late August, signaled that the administration remained committed to a regulatory framework favorable to the crypto industry. Coming on top of the Treasury buyback expansion, it created a second wave of short covering that pushed Bitcoin from $68,000 to above $71,000 on Aug. 20.
The combined effect of both catalysts was greater than either alone. The Treasury announcement provided the fundamental case for higher prices. The White House summit provided the narrative. Together, they forced the most aggressive unwind of bearish positioning since the collapse of FTX sent the market into a tailspin in November 2022.
How Ethereum outperformed
Ethereum’s 18% single day move was the standout of the squeeze. While Bitcoin gained roughly 8%, Ethereum outperformed by a factor of more than two. The reason lies in the composition of the short positions that were liquidated.
Ethereum shorts on major exchanges had grown disproportionately through July and August, partly because of skepticism about the Pectra upgrade timeline and partly because of persistent outflows from Ethereum spot ETFs. The net short positioning in Ethereum perpetual futures was, relative to open interest, more extreme than in Bitcoin.
When the squeeze began, Ethereum’s thinner order books amplified the price impact. Trading volume on Ethereum pairs surged 402% in 24 hours, according to AMBCrypto data. The asset moved from approximately $1,920 to above $2,270 before stabilizing near $2,250. For our full Ethereum price prediction, see our dedicated analysis.
The rally also exposed a structural risk in DeFi. On Aave, the largest decentralized lending protocol, just 9% of positions carry roughly half of the platform’s total debt. These positions are built around a leveraged Ethereum staking correlation trade, using WETH debt against liquid staking collateral like weETH, rsETH, and wstETH. The average health factor on these positions sits near 1.06, meaning an 8% to 9% wrapper discount could trigger a liquidation cascade on chain.
The staking correlation trade that dominates Aave’s risk profile operates on a simple premise that conceals significant complexity. A trader deposits weETH, a liquid restaking token issued by EtherFi, as collateral on Aave. The trader then borrows WETH against that collateral at a loan to value ratio near 90%. The borrowed WETH is restaked through EtherFi to produce more weETH, which is deposited again as collateral. Each loop multiplies both the staking yield and the leverage. At 10 times leverage, the effective annual yield on the trader’s equity approaches 40% to 50% before accounting for borrowing costs and gas fees. The trade is profitable as long as weETH maintains its peg to ETH within a narrow band. The moment the wrapper discount exceeds the health factor buffer, the entire recursive structure unwinds through liquidation.
The Aug. 20 rally did not trigger that cascade because ETH moved higher, not lower. But the concentration of risk in a small number of highly leveraged positions remains a vulnerability. If Ethereum corrects sharply from current levels, the same positions that survived the upside squeeze could face liquidation on the way down.
The institutional side of the trade added another layer to Ethereum’s outperformance. U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs, which had recorded net outflows for much of July and early August, posted net inflows of approximately $189 million on Aug. 19 alone. The reversal in ETF flows suggests that institutional investors were not only covering short positions in derivatives but also adding long exposure through regulated products. Weekly ETF inflow figures strengthened in tandem, signaling that the squeeze may have catalyzed a broader reassessment of Ethereum’s near term prospects among allocators who had been underweight the asset.
What the data says about follow through
Not every short squeeze leads to a sustained rally. The question is whether the forced buying created genuine demand or simply cleared out weak hands.
The evidence is mixed. On one hand, Bitcoin’s move above $72,000 broke a six week trading range and set a new short term high. Open interest has declined by approximately 15% since the squeeze, suggesting that leveraged positioning has been significantly reduced. Funding rates have turned positive, indicating that the market is no longer paying traders to be short.
On the other hand, the fundamental catalyst has a built in expiration date. The Treasury’s expanded buyback program runs only through Nov. 4, 2026. After that window closes, Treasury will reassess whether to maintain the larger operation size. If long end yields have stabilized by then, there is no guarantee that the program continues at its current scale.
The derivatives market structure itself has changed in ways that make comparisons to previous squeezes imprecise. Hyperliquid did not exist during the November 2021 squeeze. The decentralized exchange now handles roughly 15% of all crypto perpetual futures volume, and its liquidation mechanism operates differently from centralized exchanges. On Hyperliquid, liquidations are processed through a decentralized backstop pool rather than an insurance fund controlled by a single entity. The pool’s participants absorb losses in exchange for a share of liquidation fees during normal operations. During the Aug. 19 cascade, backstop participants absorbed approximately $47 million in losses, raising questions about whether the pool’s capitalization is sufficient for events of this magnitude.
The macro backdrop also remains uncertain. The Federal Reserve has not signaled rate cuts, and the next FOMC meeting in September could introduce volatility regardless of the crypto specific catalysts. The interplay between macro policy and crypto positioning has rarely been this tight, and the next two weeks will determine whether the squeeze was a reset or a turning point.
Historical parallels
The Aug. 19 squeeze is the eighth largest liquidation event in crypto history by total dollar value. But context matters. Measured as a percentage of total open interest, it ranks higher because the derivatives market in 2026 is smaller than it was during the 2021 bull market peak.
The closest parallel is the November 2021 squeeze that followed Bitcoin’s run to $69,000, which produced roughly $4.2 billion in liquidations. That event marked a local top. The March 2024 squeeze, which preceded Bitcoin’s all time high above $73,000, produced approximately $2.1 billion in liquidations and preceded a sustained rally. The bank custody race that followed the March squeeze suggests institutional infrastructure was a key factor in sustaining that rally.
The difference between a top signal and a continuation signal lies in what happens to open interest after the squeeze. If new positions rebuild quickly on the long side, the market may be setting up for another round of leverage driven volatility. If open interest stays depressed, the squeeze may have cleared the decks for a more organic move higher.
Another variable that distinguishes 2026 from previous squeeze events is the regulatory environment. In November 2021, crypto regulation in the United States was largely absent. By August 2026, the SEC has finalized its Regulation Crypto Assets framework, the CLARITY Act is moving through the Senate, and multiple spot crypto ETFs trade on regulated exchanges. This regulatory infrastructure creates both a floor and a ceiling for price action. The floor comes from institutional capital that can now access crypto through regulated products. The ceiling comes from the compliance costs and operational constraints that regulation imposes on market participants. Whether the post squeeze rally finds sustained support may depend less on derivatives positioning and more on whether the regulatory catalysts produce concrete outcomes before their momentum fades.
What to watch
The aftermath of a squeeze of this magnitude typically unfolds over two to four weeks. The initial move is mechanical, driven by forced buying. The follow through depends on whether new capital enters the market or whether the same participants simply reposition. In 2024, the March squeeze preceded a sustained rally because spot Bitcoin ETFs were absorbing supply at a rate that exceeded the forced buying from liquidations. In 2026, the question is whether the combination of Treasury buyback expansion, a potential White House summit, and the CLARITY Act’s September procedural vote creates a similar supply absorption dynamic or whether the squeeze was a one time clearing event that exhausts bullish momentum. The answer lies in the data that will emerge over the next 14 days, and five indicators in particular deserve close monitoring.
- Funding rates over the next two weeks. If perpetual funding stays positive but moderate (below 0.03% per eight hours), the market is resetting rather than overheating. If funding spikes above 0.05%, leveraged longs are replacing the liquidated shorts, recreating the same vulnerability in the opposite direction.
- Treasury buyback execution from Sep. 9. The first operation under the expanded program will reveal whether the $4 billion cap is the floor or the ceiling. Larger than expected operations would compress yields further and support risk assets.
- Aave health factors on the wstETH/weETH correlation trade. The 9% of positions carrying half of Aave’s debt have average health factors near 1.06. A sharp ETH correction of 8% or more could trigger on chain liquidations that amplify the move.
- Open interest rebuild pace. If total open interest on Bitcoin perpetual futures recovers to pre squeeze levels within 10 days, traders are re leveraging quickly and another squeeze (in either direction) becomes likely.
- White House crypto summit outcomes. The late August meeting between the administration and crypto industry executives could produce concrete policy signals that either sustain or undercut the current rally.
What caused the $3 billion crypto short squeeze on Aug. 19?
The U.S. Treasury doubled its liquidity support buyback operations for long dated bonds from $2 billion to $4 billion per operation. The announcement compressed yields, pushed risk assets higher, and triggered a cascade of margin calls on leveraged short positions across crypto derivatives markets.
How much were total crypto liquidations on Aug. 19 and 20?
Total liquidations exceeded $3 billion across major exchanges, with short positions accounting for approximately $2.77 billion (92%) and long liquidations totaling roughly $264 million.
Which exchanges had the most liquidations?
Binance recorded approximately $518 million, Hyperliquid roughly $513 million, and Bybit around $303 million. The remainder spread across OKX, dYdX, and smaller venues.
Why did Ethereum outperform Bitcoin during the squeeze?
Ethereum had more extreme net short positioning relative to open interest, thinner order books, and a 402% surge in trading volume. These factors amplified the price impact, producing an 18% gain compared to Bitcoin’s roughly 8%.
Is the Treasury buyback program permanent?
No. The expanded $4 billion per operation program runs only from Sep. 9 through Nov. 4, 2026. Treasury will reassess after that window closes based on whether long end yields have stabilized.
What is the Aave concentration risk related to the Ethereum rally?
Just 9% of Aave positions carry roughly half of the platform’s total debt. These positions use leveraged Ethereum staking correlation trades with average health factors near 1.06. An 8% to 9% wrapper discount could trigger on chain liquidations.
How does this squeeze rank historically?
It is the eighth largest liquidation event in crypto history by total dollar value. By percentage of total open interest liquidated, it ranks higher because the 2026 derivatives market is smaller than the 2021 peak.
Could the squeeze reverse quickly?
If the Treasury buyback program does not continue after Nov. 4 and the Federal Reserve maintains restrictive monetary policy, the macro tailwind driving the rally could fade. However, the reduction in open interest suggests that leveraged positioning has been cleared, reducing the risk of an immediate reversal. This is educational analysis, not investment advice.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Cryptocurrency markets carry substantial risk. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Published Aug. 21, 2026.
Crypto World
President Trump crypto profits called inappropriate by 63%: poll
Most Americans believe President Donald Trump and his family should not earn money from cryptocurrency while he holds office, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Aug. 19.
Summary
- 63% of surveyed Americans called Trump family crypto profits inappropriate, while 32% considered them appropriate.
- 69% of Republicans considered the profits appropriate, while 92% of Democrats described them as inappropriate.
- 1,166 adults participated in the four-day Reuters/Ipsos poll with a three-point overall sampling error margin.
- Reuters calculated more than $1.4 billion in 2025 crypto income from Trump’s financial disclosure filing.
- 69% said private business interests influence presidential decisions, extending concern beyond cryptocurrency earnings and investments.
The survey found that 63% of respondents considered the Trump family’s crypto profits inappropriate. Another 32% viewed the activity as appropriate, while the remaining respondents did not answer the question.
Reuters and Ipsos conducted the nationwide online survey between Aug. 14 and Aug. 17. The poll included 1,166 U.S. adults and carried a margin of error of about three percentage points.
Trump crypto profits expose a partisan divide
Views differed sharply by political affiliation. About 69% of Republicans considered the family’s cryptocurrency earnings appropriate, according to the reported results. By comparison, 92% of Democrats said the activity was inappropriate.
The poll also examined broader concerns about private commercial interests. Around 69% of respondents said they believed Trump’s business interests influenced his presidential decisions. That included approximately two-thirds of independent respondents and nine in ten Democrats.
The findings measure public opinion and do not establish that Trump violated any law or influenced government policy for financial gain. The White House has consistently rejected allegations of a conflict.
“There are no conflicts of interest. The President only acts in the best interests of the American public,” White House spokesperson Anna Kelly told Reuters.
Trump has also said his investments are managed independently and that he does not participate in the family businesses’ daily operations.
Financial filing puts crypto income above $1.4 billion
The poll followed the publication of Trump’s annual financial disclosure in June. A Reuters analysis of the filing calculated that Trump reported more than $1.4 billion in income connected to cryptocurrency ventures during 2025.
The figure represents reported income rather than the current value of Trump’s personal cryptocurrency holdings. As crypto.news reported, the disclosure included more than $1 billion in crypto-related income from projects including World Liberty Financial and the Official Trump memecoin.
Companies linked to the Trump family received almost $800 million from World Liberty Financial activities, Reuters calculated. The total included more than $520 million connected to token sales and over $250 million from the sale of business interests.
The filing also reported approximately $635 million from licensing arrangements associated with the TRUMP token. In related coverage, blockchain analysis found that many buyers recorded substantial losses while Trump-linked entities continued receiving transaction-related revenue.
These figures should not be treated as a calculation of personal net profit. The disclosed revenue flowed through several companies and agreements, and some proceeds were shared among Trump family members and business partners.
Ethics concerns overlap with U.S. crypto policy
The debate comes as the Trump administration promotes legislation establishing clearer federal rules for digital assets. Lawmakers have disagreed over whether crypto market legislation should include restrictions on elected officials and their families.
As previously reported, proposed ethics provisions have become a central obstacle to advancing crypto legislation. Supporters argue that broad market rules remain necessary, while critics want stronger safeguards covering officials with financial interests in digital-asset businesses.
World Liberty Financial also received conditional approval on Aug. 14 to establish World Liberty Trust Company as a national trust bank. The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency listed the decision in its official records. Conditional approval does not allow immediate operations because the company must satisfy the regulator’s requirements before opening.
Congressional scrutiny, future financial disclosures and the conditions attached to World Liberty’s proposed trust bank will provide further tests of the separation between Trump’s public duties and family business interests. The Reuters/Ipsos results indicate that most Americans remain unconvinced that the current arrangements adequately address those concerns.
Crypto World
Shinhan taps Solana for Korean won tokenized fund
South Korea’s Shinhan Asset Management signed a four-party memorandum on Aug. 21 to test a Korean won tokenized fund using the Solana blockchain.
Summary
- Shinhan Asset Management signed a four-party agreement to test a won-denominated tokenized investment fund workflow.
- The Solana pilot covers investor checks, issuance, distribution and onchain liquidity during proof of concept.
- Etherfuse supplies tokenization infrastructure while Orca supports onchain liquidity design for fund distribution testing workflows.
- Korea’s amended securities laws are expected to take effect in early 2027 after preparations conclude.
- The project remains a proof of concept and has no confirmed public launch date yet.
The agreement brings together Shinhan Asset Management, the Solana Foundation, tokenization platform Etherfuse and decentralized exchange Orca. The participants will conduct a proof of concept covering the fund’s issuance and distribution process.
The planned product would invest in short term Korean won bonds and target overseas institutional investors. However, the participants have not announced the fund’s size, expected yield or public launch date.
Shinhan will test the complete tokenized fund process
The proof of concept will examine the steps needed to issue and distribute a regulated tokenized fund. These include know your customer checks, anti-money laundering controls, token issuance and onchain liquidity arrangements.
Shinhan will provide asset management and regulatory expertise. Etherfuse will supply infrastructure for creating and managing the tokenized assets. Orca will help design the liquidity system used to distribute or exchange the fund tokens on Solana.
The Solana Foundation said the model draws from BlackRock’s BUIDL fund, one of the largest tokenized money market products. The comparison refers to the blockchain based distribution model. It does not mean the proposed Shinhan fund will hold the same assets or offer the same legal rights.
BlackRock’s product primarily invests in U.S. Treasury bills, cash and repurchase agreements. By comparison, Shinhan’s test concerns a Korean won product backed by short term domestic bonds.
Solana expands its institutional fund activity in Asia
Solana offers low transaction fees and rapid settlement, which could support frequent subscriptions, redemptions and transfers. However, those technical features do not remove securities registration, custody or investor protection requirements.
The network has already attracted other Asian asset managers. As previously reported, SBI Global Asset Management launched a tokenized Japanese equity fund on Solana in July. That product targets institutional and accredited investors through regulated tokenization platform DigiFT.
Shinhan has also been testing more than one blockchain. On Aug. 14, the asset manager signed a separate agreement with Plume to develop a demonstration for a won-denominated tokenized fund.
The parallel projects suggest Shinhan is examining different technical and distribution models rather than committing exclusively to Solana. Results from the tests could determine which infrastructure the manager uses after South Korea’s regulatory framework becomes effective.
Korea’s 2027 framework will determine any launch
South Korea’s National Assembly passed amendments supporting tokenized securities on Jan. 15. The legislation recognizes distributed ledgers as valid securities registries and permits qualifying investment contract securities to circulate through licensed securities companies.
The Financial Services Commission said issuers will still need to satisfy existing securities registration and disclosure obligations. Unlicensed companies will not be allowed to broker tokenized securities.
The amendments are expected to take effect one year after their promulgation, with implementation anticipated in early 2027. Regulators are preparing account management infrastructure and investor protection rules before the rollout, according to the FSC’s official statement.
As crypto.news reported, South Korean authorities are preparing rules for stocks, bonds and funds alongside a blockchain platform operated for the Korea Securities Depository.
Market forecasts remain uncertain
Solana said the existing tokenized real world asset market was worth about $36 billion. The announcement also cited a Boston Consulting Group projection suggesting the sector could reach as much as $30 trillion by 2030.
That projection should be treated as a forecast rather than an expected outcome. BCG’s more recent middle scenario estimates tokenized real world assets could reach $14 trillion by 2030 and $55 trillion by 2035. Its faster growth scenario places the market as high as $88 trillion by 2035.
Current adoption remains much smaller. In related coverage, publicly visible onchain assets grew to approximately $30 billion by mid-2026, led by private credit and tokenized government debt.
The next stage will involve completing the proof of concept and aligning the fund structure with Korea’s final rules. Any commercial launch will depend on regulatory approval, operational testing and demand from eligible overseas institutions.
Crypto World
We Asked 3 AIs if BTC’s Bull Run Has Started After the 25% Surge to $80K: The Answers Encouraged Us
The cryptocurrency markets have the tendency to change the overall sentiment and narrative in very short periods of time. Although some might have forgotten about this quality due to the prolonged sluggishness over the past several months, what transpired in just 48-72 hours reminded us of the market’s real nature.
Bitcoin’s price stood still below $65,000 for weeks before it initiated its most impressive rally of the year, surging by 25% in days to almost $80,000 on Friday. This became its highest price tag since the May run. The question now is whether this marks the end of the bear market and the commencement of the bull phase, or whether there will be another rejection.
Yes, But With a Catch
To gain further perspective on the matter, we touched upon three of the most popular AI chatbots – ChatGPT, Gemini, and Grok. OpenAI’s platform began on a high note, indicating that the bear market “probably ended at the July low” when the cryptocurrency dipped below $58,000 for the first time since late 2024.
However, the AI said there’s no official confirmation yet and added that it would put a 70% probability that $57,800 was the cycle bottom and a 30% chance that BTC’s surge to $80,000 was an “exceptionally violent bear-market rally.”
Interestingly, Gemini and Grok agreed to a large extent. The former said, “Declaring the absolute end of a bear market requires macroeconomic confirmation, but the structural data from late 2026 strongly suggests we are at a major pivot point.” Grok was cautiously bullish as well, noting that BTC appears to be out of the woods unless another major bearish catalyst emerges, such as war escalation in the Middle East, rising interest rates in the US, or something entirely unexpected.
No Victory Yet
It’s worth noting that all three AIs brought the mid-May rally that drove BTC to $83,000. And all three warned that there are no guarantees that bitcoin won’t follow the same fate and slump again. As such, ChatGPT noted that the real test for the cryptocurrency is not here yet.
While some analysts, such as Ali Martinez, believe the next major resistance lies at $83,000, OpenAI’s platform noted that BTC has to surge past the $85,000-$90,000 cluster so that the bulls can declare victory. Meanwhile, Grok added:
“BTC began 2026 around $88,500 and surged above $97,000 in January. Even at $80,000, it’s still approximately 37% below the $126,000 ATH. In other words, bitcoin has produced a spectacular rebound but has not yet repaired the entire bearish market structure.”
Gemini also warned that one aggressive move doesn’t erase a multi-month downtrend. To do so, BTC would have to retain its recent gains and establish the upper $70,000 range as new support over the next month. If it does, then the “bear cycle can confidently be called over.”
The post We Asked 3 AIs if BTC’s Bull Run Has Started After the 25% Surge to $80K: The Answers Encouraged Us appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Strategy Bitcoin treasury returns to profit above $75,385
Strategy’s Bitcoin treasury briefly returned to an unrealized profit on Aug. 21 after Bitcoin climbed above the company’s $75,385 average acquisition price.
Summary
- Strategy holds 840,447 Bitcoin acquired for $63.36 billion at $75,385 per coin including expenses overall.
- Bitcoin climbed above Strategy’s average acquisition price during an 8.5% daily market rally on Friday.
- At $75,613, Strategy’s holdings carried approximately $192 million in unrealized gains before prices changed again.
- BitMine reported 5,815,164 ETH with 5,067,309 tokens staked through its validator network currently in operation.
- Ethereum near $2,371 leaves BitMine’s treasury deeply below the reported $3,366 average cost estimate currently.
Bitcoin reached approximately $75,613 during the rally, placing Strategy’s 840,447 BTC about $228 per coin above its disclosed cost basis. Multiplying that difference by its holdings produced an estimated unrealized gain of approximately $191.6 million.
The gain changed rapidly with Bitcoin’s price. Crypto.news price data later placed BTC near $75,500, reducing the estimated surplus to about $97.5 million. These figures are snapshots rather than fixed company results.
Strategy Bitcoin holdings cross their cost basis
Strategy reported that its remaining Bitcoin was acquired for approximately $63.36 billion, including fees and expenses. The position carried an average purchase price of $75,385 per coin as of Aug. 16.
Bitcoin rose about 8.5% over 24 hours, trading between approximately $69,498 and $75,528, according to crypto.news market data. The move brought the asset above Strategy’s average price for the first time since its recent decline.

The company’s Bitcoin position remains below its June peak of 847,363 BTC. Strategy sold several batches during the summer to support preferred share payments, repurchases and its U.S. dollar reserve.
As previously reported, the company sold 1,690 BTC for $108.6 million during the week ending Aug. 9. It used those proceeds to repurchase approximately 1.15 million STRC preferred shares.
Strategy made no Bitcoin purchases or sales during the following week. It instead raised $333.7 million by issuing MSTR common shares, according to its latest regulatory disclosure.
Unrealized gains remain sensitive to Bitcoin price
Strategy needs Bitcoin to remain above $75,385 for its current treasury to stay above the disclosed aggregate purchase cost. A $1,000 movement in Bitcoin changes the position’s market value by approximately $840.4 million.
An unrealized gain does not provide cash unless Strategy sells Bitcoin or uses the holdings in a financing transaction. It also does not account for the company’s debt, preferred stock obligations, cash holdings or software business.
Under current U.S. accounting rules, qualifying crypto assets are measured at fair value, with changes recognized through earnings. However, accounting results can differ from the simple comparison between market value and aggregate purchase cost.
MSTR gained approximately 7.8% during Thursday’s session and closed near $112.39. The stock’s performance can differ from Bitcoin because shareholders also face dilution, financing costs and claims from securities that rank above common stock.

In related coverage, Strategy CEO Phong Le said the company plans to resume Bitcoin accumulation during 2026. The company has not announced a date or amount for its next purchase.
BitMine remains below its reported Ethereum cost
BitMine Immersion Technologies reported 5,815,164 ETH as of Aug. 16 after adding 9,926 tokens during the preceding week. Its company release also listed 198 Bitcoin and other investments.
Third-party treasury data estimated BitMine’s average ETH acquisition cost at approximately $3,366. BitMine’s latest company release confirmed the token balance but did not provide that average cost figure. It should therefore be treated as an outside calculation rather than a company-confirmed amount.
With Ethereum trading around $2,371, the difference from the reported average cost was approximately $995 per token. Applied across 5,815,164 ETH, that produces an estimated unrealized loss of about $5.79 billion.
As crypto.news reported, BitMine increased its holdings to 5.82 million ETH while staking approximately 5,067,309 tokens. The staked balance represented about 87% of its reported ETH holdings.
The company projected $250 million in annualized staking revenue using recent yields. That figure remains a management forecast because staking rates, token prices and active balances can change.
What happens next for both treasuries
Strategy’s next weekly SEC filing will show whether it maintained its Bitcoin holdings, resumed purchases or sold more coins. Its future position relative to cost will depend primarily on whether BTC holds above $75,385.
Strategy must also balance Bitcoin accumulation against its preferred dividends, security repurchases and dollar reserve. Its previous filings showed that recent share sales were directed toward liquidity rather than additional Bitcoin purchases.
BitMine’s position requires a larger price recovery to return to the reported average cost estimate. Ethereum would need to rise about 42% from $2,371 to reach $3,366, assuming the estimated cost and treasury balance remain unchanged.
Future BitMine disclosures will also show whether staking rewards and further purchases reduce its effective average cost. Until those figures are reported, comparisons between the two treasuries remain market value estimates rather than realized corporate gains or losses.
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