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Kalshi, Polymarket tighten user bans to deter insider trading

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Crypto Breaking News

Two leading prediction-market platforms have rolled out tighter guardrails on Monday to curb insider trading and suspected market manipulation in event-based contracts, as lawmakers in Washington step up scrutiny of a sector that blends finance, law and politics.

Kalshi and Polymarket argued that their updates are designed to prevent the exploitation of confidential information and to reduce the risk that markets skew the outcomes of real-world events. The moves come amid a broader policy push in the United States to regulate or restrict prediction markets that resemble gambling or sports betting.

Key takeaways

  • Kalshi and Polymarket introduced new guardrails to combat insider trading and manipulation in event contracts.
  • Kalshi will preemptively bar political candidates from trading on their campaigns and exclude individuals connected to college and professional sports from relevant markets.
  • Polymarket expanded prohibitions to forbid trades based on stolen confidential information or those who can influence market outcomes.
  • A bipartisan bill, the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act, would bar CFTC-registered platforms from listing event contracts that resemble sports bets or casino-style games.
  • The policy debate highlights tensions over jurisdiction, licensing and the boundaries between financial markets and entertainment-oriented betting.

Guardrails tighten as Congresseye rules intensify

Kalshi said it would preemptively ban political candidates from trading on their own campaigns, along with individuals known to be involved in college and professional sports—such as athletes, staff, and referees. The exchange described the move as part of a long-running effort to align with evolving regulatory guidance and proposed legislation addressing insider trading and market manipulation in prediction markets.

In a separate but related move, Polymarket unveiled broader prohibitions intended to close loopholes that could enable insiders to benefit from confidential information or influence the outcome of a contract. The company said its updated rules aim to make the market more resistant to manipulation and to protect the integrity of events traded on its platform.

The changes come on the heels of intense public debate about whether some well-timed bets on political or geopolitical events reflect legitimate market activity or exploit privileged information. In recent coverage, observers noted bets placed around high-profile events such as U.S. and Israeli actions in Iran and a U.S.-led operation related to Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro, with some traders appearing to use multiple accounts to mask activity. The Guardian reported that the Iran-strike bets were made by users who could be perceived as having inside information, underscoring the ongoing concerns about insider knowledge shaping market outcomes.

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Kalshi described its policy evolution as a proactive response to the regulatory environment and to proposed congressional action. The company, which is a member of the Coalition for Prediction Markets, argued that these guardrails are part of preparing for potential legal guidance and legislative developments that address insider trading and market manipulation in prediction markets.

Policy spotlight: bipartisan efforts and legal tensions

On Monday, Democratic Senator Adam Schiff and Republican Senator John Curtis introduced a bipartisan bill, the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act, that would bar Commodity Futures Trading Commission-registered entities from listing event contracts that resemble sports betting or casino-style games. In their view, sports prediction contracts are effectively sports bets—an assertion Schiff has repeated to emphasize the public-law implications of these instruments when they resemble gambling more than information-driven markets.

The proposed legislation would withdraw a key allowance for platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket by limiting what contracts they may offer in the United States. Schiff’s office framed the issue as one of regulatory clarity and consumer protection, while Curtis stressed maintaining state authority over broader gaming and betting activities.

Kalshi’s chief executive, Tarek Mansour, reacted to the bill by framing the move within a broader “casino lobby” effort. He argued that the legislation is not about protecting consumers but about preserving entrenched monopolies, a line he shared publicly on social media. His comments underscore how industry actors view the political dynamic surrounding prediction markets and their place in the U.S. financial-regulatory landscape.

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Legal tension has already surrounded prediction-market operators in several states, which have asserted that sports-event contracts constitute gambling that requires a state license. Platforms such as Kalshi, Polymarket andCoinbase have contended that their offerings are not illegal betting and, regardless, fall under the exclusive jurisdiction of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission rather than state authorities.

The policy debate is not theoretical for traders and developers who rely on prediction markets for hedging and information discovery. As reported by Cointelegraph, the U.S. Senate has been weighing bills aimed at curtailing or redefining the reach of these markets, alongside state-level actions that challenge the legality of specific contracts. The ongoing legal and regulatory discourse creates an environment of uncertainty, even as platforms push for clearer rules that would allow compliant operation in the United States.

For context, Cointelegraph’s reporting has highlighted instances where traders leveraged event-driven markets to capitalize on geopolitical developments, reinforcing concerns about information asymmetry and the potential for manipulation. The new guardrails by Kalshi and Polymarket are thus part of a broader effort to reconcile the commercial appeal of prediction markets with legitimate safeguards against abuse.

What to watch next in the evolving landscape

As lawmakers advance their proposals and courts consider disputes over jurisdiction and licensing, the trajectory of prediction markets in the United States remains uncertain. If the proposed act passes, CFTC-approved platforms could face tighter restrictions or even a narrowed set of permissible contracts, potentially dampening growth but improving trust and regulatory compliance.

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For users, traders and builders, the key questions are how the guardrails translate into practical trading limits, whether state or federal rules will ultimately prevail, and how enforcement will unfold in a landscape that often intersects with political sentiment and sports governance.

The next chapter will likely hinge on legislative momentum in Congress and any legal clarifications from federal or state authorities. Watch for updates on whether the bipartisan bill gains traction, how the industry responds with further rule adjustments, and whether there are new developments in the ongoing legal actions against these platforms. The balance between innovation and integrity in prediction markets remains delicate, and investors should monitor both regulatory signals and platform-level safeguards as the market evolves.

Sources: Kalshi newsroom announcements on guardrails; Polymarket rule updates; U.S. Senate press releases announcing the proposed act; coverage of insider-trading concerns around event contracts; The Guardian reporting on Iran-strike bets; ongoing state-level legal actions against prediction-market operators.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Crypto World

Hostplus Pension Fund Eyes Crypto Options for Members Amid Growing Demand

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • Hostplus manages over A$150 billion and is now exploring Bitcoin access for self-managed retirement accounts.
  • CIO Sam Sicilia confirmed member demand is driving the fund’s renewed interest in digital currency options.
  • Any crypto offering through Choiceplus requires full regulatory approval before launching in the next financial year.
  • Australia’s pension sector holds little crypto exposure, making Hostplus a potential industry trailblazer here.

Australia’s Hostplus pension fund, managing over A$150 billion, is exploring cryptocurrency investment options for its members.

Chief Investment Officer Sam Sicilia confirmed the fund is reviewing Bitcoin and other digital assets. This move could make Hostplus one of the first major Australian pension funds to offer crypto access. Any rollout depends on regulatory approval and remains in the design phase.

Hostplus Eyes Bitcoin Access Through Choiceplus Platform

The fund is looking at offering crypto through its Choiceplus investment option. This platform allows members to self-manage their retirement savings portfolios. Currently, Choiceplus accounts for roughly 1% of the fund’s total assets under management.

Member demand is a key driver behind this consideration. Sicilia pointed directly to member correspondence as evidence of that interest.

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“There’s certainly a demand from some of our members who write in and say ‘why can’t I have access to cryptocurrency?’” he said.

Digital asset products could potentially be available as early as next financial year. However, consumer protections and regulatory compliance must come first. Several design and structural questions still need to be resolved before any launch.

Sicilia also noted that crypto has matured considerably since Hostplus first evaluated it nearly a decade ago. “We’re now at the stage where we’re revisiting digital currencies, not just Bitcoin, but just the broader range of digital currencies,” he said.

That broader scope reportedly includes assets such as music rights alongside traditional cryptocurrencies.

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Regulatory Approval Remains Central to Any Crypto Rollout

Australia’s pension sector, worth A$4.5 trillion, has largely avoided cryptocurrency exposure. AMP became the first major fund to announce a Bitcoin futures investment back in 2024. Hostplus taking a similar step would mark a notable shift in industry posture.

The fund has been firm that it will not move forward without full regulatory clearance. Sicilia made the fund’s position clear on timing.

“We’d love to get regulatory tick off, even if it means waiting another six months,” he said. That patience reflects the fund’s broader investment philosophy.

“We are long-term investors. Six months doesn’t really move the dial for us,” Sicilia added. The fund is prioritizing a compliant and well-structured rollout over a rushed launch. Member protections remain at the center of that approach.

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Outside major pension funds, Australia’s self-managed super funds hold around A$3 billion in crypto. These SMSFs represent about A$1.2 trillion of the broader pension system.

That existing exposure shows retail appetite for crypto within retirement structures is already present. Once approvals are secured, a structured crypto offering could follow within the next financial year.

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As Mass Adoption Approaches, Crypto Has Forgotten Its Roots

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As Mass Adoption Approaches, Crypto Has Forgotten Its Roots

Opinion by: Dr Corey Petty, chief evangelist at Logos

When early cryptocurrencies were conceptualized, the vision was not one of complex leverage strategies, celebrity rugpulls and government treasuries. Rather, cypherpunks sought, through cryptographic tools, to empower people through the privacy-given freedom to exchange goods and services without the threat of government overreach and mass corporate surveillance

The crypto landscape is turning from one of decentralized networks into an extension of traditional finance. Centralized exchanges regularly account for over 80% of daily crypto transactions. If crypto is to hold onto its original ethos, privacy cannot be optional.

Privacy is a tool for carving out the most important properties that support individual freedom in the digital realm: permissionlessness and censorship resistance.

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Privacy as a principle to surveillance capitalism

In this era of regulation, blockchain’s peer-to-peer value proposition means little to institutions. With a pro-crypto administration in the United States, institutions have poured billions into decentralized finance (DeFi). This liberatory technology is quickly becoming a backend for institutional finance, complete with surveillance architecture and walled gardens.

A recent report by Samsung showed that nine out of 10 Europeans are worried about their online privacy while remaining unaware of the options available to them, like the potential of blockchain to safeguard this privacy. Policies like the UK’s push for crypto firms to report customer data have been accepted across industries. Protocols are hardwiring surveillance architecture and compliance-heavy frameworks that mandate data tracking into their offerings — all in an effort to secure institutional validation and large-scale inflows.

Prioritizing profit over purpose by design, perpetuates inequality. The unique properties of blockchain allowed for censorship-resistant solutions that have more recently been used to leverage highly lucrative airdrops, memecoins and casino-style trading strategies, as flagship cryptocurrencies have grown in value.

Products have begun to alienate the very people that crypto was designed to uplift. Instead of get-rich-quick schemes and institutional lobbying, DeFi should be prioritizing accessible financial tools: low-cost layer-2 solutions that reduce transaction fees to pennies, intuitive user interfaces that don’t require technical expertise and products that address real-world needs with the end goal of enabling financial freedom for millions of people.

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From a lost cause to a brighter future

If DeFi will not advocate for crypto’s potential for self-sovereignty, then it is up to the remaining cypherpunks to find other avenues to apply it. Self-governance is perhaps the most comprehensive example of such an application, offering freedom of choice for people over how they wish to be governed and by whom, providing an exit from financial institutions and state-corporate surveillance.

In blockchain governance, the same ledger that supports transparent financial transactions ensures open and immutable voting systems. Tokenized citizenship models can enable fluid participation and serve as an anonymous yet functional digital ID, ensuring access to services.

Using smart contracts, cyberstates — also called network states — enable communities to form voluntary associations based on shared values rather than geographic boundaries. Citizens can exit oppressive jurisdictions and opt into governance systems that align with their principles, creating competitive markets for governance where the best systems attract the most participants.

Rather than being subject to the surveillance and control of traditional nation-states through cryptographically secured systems that take privacy as a cornerstone principle, individuals can organize in decentralized communities, govern themselves through direct democracy, and return sovereignty to the individual, fulfilling the original cypherpunk vision.

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Related: Network states will one day compete with nation-states 

Early visions are already being built. Charter cities and projects are pioneering experiments that combine blockchain governance with physical communities. Meanwhile, decentralized physical infrastructure networks are demonstrating that blockchain has transformative functions far beyond finance, enabling communities to collectively own and operate real-world infrastructure from agricultural supply chains to computing power.

As blockchain technology reaches the masses and institutional adoption becomes inevitable, it is time to reclaim the founding mission. The technology that was built to free individuals from centralized control must not become another tool of that control.

Opinion by: Dr Corey Petty, chief evangelist at Logos.

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