Crypto World
Kalshi valuation hits $22bn after $1bn Series F
Kalshi’s valuation has hit $22bn after a $1bn Series F led by Coatue, doubling its worth in just five months.
Summary
- Kalshi raised $1bn in a Series F round led by Coatue at a $22bn valuation, doubling the $11bn it achieved just five months ago.
- Institutional trading volume on the platform surged 800% in six months, while annualized trading volume tripled from $52bn to $178bn.
- Kalshi accounts for over 90% of US prediction market activity and reports $1.5bn in annualized revenue with two million monthly users.
Kalshi’s valuation has hit $22bn after a $1bn Series F led by Coatue, doubling its worth in just five months. The New York-based prediction market platform confirmed the round on May 7, formalizing a Bloomberg report from March. Sequoia Capital, Andreessen Horowitz, IVP, Paradigm, Morgan Stanley, and ARK Invest all participated in the raise.
The round is Kalshi’s third in seven months, with each successive raise roughly doubling its valuation. The company was valued at $5bn in a $300m round less than two months before the $11bn Series E, making its current $22bn valuation roughly quadruple what it was under a year ago.
Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour said in a statement: “There are few categories in recent history that have scaled this quickly outside of AI. Event contracts could become a trillion-dollar market, and we’re still in the early stages of that transition.”
What the growth numbers show
Annualized trading volume on the platform has more than tripled in six months, growing from $52bn to $178bn. Institutional trading volume specifically surged 800% over the same period.
Kalshi says it accounts for more than 90% of US prediction market activity and generates $1.5bn in annualized revenue from two million monthly users.
Kalshi will use the new capital to scale adoption across hedge funds, asset managers, proprietary trading firms, and insurance companies, and will expand its product suite including recently launched block trading capabilities and deeper broker integrations.
As crypto.news reported, Kalshi’s first bespoke institutional block trade, brokered by Greenlight with Jump Trading providing liquidity on a carbon allowance contract, marked a signal shift toward direct event-risk exposure for large institutional players.
Regulatory headwinds persist
The growth sits against a clouded regulatory backdrop. Nevada, New Jersey, Illinois, and several other states have issued cease-and-desist orders or launched legal challenges against Kalshi, arguing some event contracts resemble unlicensed sports betting.
Kalshi has pushed back, saying its exchange falls under CFTC oversight and that state-level challenges are jurisdictionally misplaced.
The SEC also delayed more than two dozen proposed prediction market ETFs this week, asking issuers for more information on mechanics and investor disclosures.
As crypto.news tracked, Kalshi is also exploring crypto perpetual futures as its next expansion move, a product that would place it in direct competition with Binance, Coinbase, and Kraken in derivatives trading.
Crypto World
Fidelity International Launches Tokenized Fund With Chainlink Support
Fidelity International, a global asset manager with about $1 trillion in client assets, has launched a tokenized liquidity fund assessed by Moody’s Ratings.
The new Fidelity USD Digital Liquidity Fund (FILQ) is issued on blockchain infrastructure linked to Chainlink and was launched through Sygnum Bank’s tokenization platform.
According to Sygnum, the fund received a AAA-mf assessment from Moody’s Ratings, a designation used for money market funds that signals strong credit quality and liquidity.
“This marks an important milestone in the evolution of capital markets, demonstrating how tokenized liquidity products can bring high-quality, yield-bearing liquidity on-chain in a regulated and scalable way,” said Fatmire Bekiri, Sygnum’s head of tokenization.
Cointelegraph approached Fidelity International for comment regarding the news but did not receive a response at the time of publication. Bermuda-based Fidelity International and US-based Fidelity Investments are separate companies that operate in different jurisdictions through their subsidiaries and affiliates.
Chainlink expands role in real-world assets
Fidelity International’s FILQ adds to Chainlink’s growing presence in the tokenized real-world asset (RWA) sector, as the platform is focused on connecting blockchain applications with external real-world data that cannot be accessed natively onchain.
As part of the collaboration, Chainlink will provide onchain net asset value (NAV) and distribution data for the fund, allowing international investors to track fund value and payouts in near real time.

Source: Chainlink
“By adopting Chainlink’s industry-standard platform to deliver verifiable, real-time NAV and distribution metrics, FILQ utilizes the tamper-proof transparency required to securely bridge traditional finance with the onchain economy,” said Fernando Vazquez, president of capital markets at Chainlink Labs.
JPMorgan will provide approved daily NAV data for the fund, Chainlink mentioned.
Related: DTCC to use Chainlink to power 24/7 collateral management network
Chainlink previously collaborated with both Sygnum Bank and Fidelity International for onchain NAV data integration in 2024, marking an earlier production use case for tokenized assets tied to the latter’s Institutional Liquidity Fund.
Tokenized funds expand across markets
The launch comes as large asset managers continue moving traditional cash and treasury products onto blockchain networks. Firms from BlackRock to Franklin Templeton have already debuted tokenized money market funds aimed at bringing short-term yield products onchain.
On Tuesday, JPMorgan filed with the US securities regulator to launch a tokenized money market fund on Ethereum, allowing stablecoin issuers to hold reserves backing their stablecoins.
Boston, Massachusetts-based Fidelity Investments also previously issued the Fidelity Digital Interest Token (FDIT), a tokenized money market fund in which Ondo Finance’s OUSG fund serves as the primary anchor investor and accounts for the vast majority of its assets.
Magazine: eToro founder timed Bitcoin top perfectly due to belief in 4 year cycles
Crypto World
ZachXBT Links Teen Crypto Flaunter to $19M Theft Network
Blockchain investigator ZachXBT has linked US-based alleged threat actor Dritan Kapllani Jr. to more than $19 million in crypto thefts carried out through social engineering attacks targeting cryptocurrency holders.
In a series of posts on X, ZachXBT alleged that Dritan frequently showcased luxury cars, designer watches, private jets, and nightlife activities across social media while interacting with other threat actors online.
Crypto Laundering Network Exposed
According to the investigator, Dritan was recently recorded during a Discord “band 4 band” (B4B) call on April 23, 2026, wherein he displayed an Exodus wallet allegedly holding $3.68 million in cryptocurrency in an attempt to prove he possessed more funds than another individual on the call.
ZachXBT identified the Ethereum wallet address shown during the exchange and connected it to a major Bitcoin theft that took place on March 14, 2026. The investigator claimed the address traced back to the theft of 185 BTC, worth around $13 million at the time, from a victim targeted through social engineering tactics.
According to the findings, Dritan’s wallet allegedly received approximately $5.3 million from the theft on March 15. ZachXBT stated that by the time the Discord call took place, six weeks later, nearly $1.6 million had already been spent or laundered. The allegations surfaced one day after US authorities unsealed a criminal complaint against Trenton Johnson for his alleged role in the 185 BTC theft.
ZachXBT claimed Dritan was identified in the complaint as “Co-Conspirator 1,” although he has not been formally charged. The investigator also noted that meme coin influencer “yelotree” was charged for allegedly helping launder stolen funds through a Miami-based rental car business and could face up to 30 years in prison if convicted.
Link to “Lick” Investigation
ZachXBT further connected Dritan to an earlier January 2026 investigation involving John Daghita, also known as “Lick,” who was accused of stealing $46 million from the US government. According to the prominent on-chain sleuth, one of Dritan’s previously used wallet addresses was exposed in a deleted Telegram post shared by Daghita. ZachXBT claimed the wallet was tied to at least five additional social engineering thefts in 2025 that stole more than $5.85 million.
The investigator said he delayed publicly sharing his findings until charges connected to the 185 BTC theft became public and added that Dritan had avoided prosecution partly because he was a minor until recently turning 18.
The post ZachXBT Links Teen Crypto Flaunter to $19M Theft Network appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Polymarket Records First Drop in Monthly Trading Volume Since August
Monthly trading volume on the Polymarket prediction market fell by about 8.9% in April, the first decline in month-to-month activity since August as rivals like Kalshi increased their market share.
Polymarket and its US-based trading application collectively generated more than $10.2 billion in volume in April, compared to more than $11.2 billion in March, according to data from Dune Analytics.
However, rival Kalshi’s April trading volume surged by about 13%, climbing to about $14.8 billion, Dune data shows.
The total monthly trading volume for prediction markets also increased to about $29.8 billion in April from about $26.5 billion in March, an increase of about 12.4%.

Monthly volume figures for prediction markets. Source: Dune
Polymarket’s volume drop came as the company attempts to fully integrate US markets again, amid increased legal and regulatory scrutiny of prediction markets by US lawmakers after the sector experienced a meteoric growth during the 2024 elections.
To be sure, prediction markets are proving to be attractive to a slew of new competitors.
Prophet, an AI-native prediction market platform, last week launched its first live trading tranche, introducing a system where an AI model acts as the counterparty using real capital. Earlier this week, financial technology company MoonPay debuted an AI technology tool for trading strategies on prediction markets.
Related: Dutch users still access prediction markets despite Polymarket ban
Polymarket eyes US expansion as prediction markets come under fire
Polymarket is seeking to expand its presence in the US after exiting in 2022 as part of a settlement with the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which barred the platform from allowing US residents on its main, global exchange.
In a bid to regain a foothold, the company launched a dedicated app for US customers in December 2025, albeit a platform that is siloed off from the Polymarket’s global platform and its liquidity.
Several US lawmakers and regulatory officials have raised concerns about insider trading on prediction markets, particularly in markets related to war, energy prices, and other geopolitically sensitive issues.

A letter from Senator Elizabeth Warren and other US lawmakers asks the CFTC to crack down on insider trading. Source: Senator Elizabeth Warren
In March, Senator Elizabeth Warren and more than 40 Congressional representatives wrote to the CFTC demanding a ban on government insiders using prediction market platforms to profit while in office or serving in an official capacity.
“The CFTC maintains that event contracts are a type of swap subject to its jurisdiction, and, therefore, it should ensure that federal employees understand existing restrictions on prediction market insider trading,” the lawmakers said.
Wisconsin Attorney General Josh Kaul also filed lawsuits against Kalshi, Polymarket, and other prediction markets in April, accusing the platforms of violating state sports betting laws.
Magazine: Should users be allowed to bet on war and death in prediction markets?
Crypto World
BNB Chain Unveils On-Chain Agent Identity and Payment Framework With ERC-8004 Standard

BNB Chain introduced a framework enabling autonomous agents to obtain verifiable on-chain identities, receive payments, hire other agents, and build reputation through new token standards and skill integrations.
Crypto World
Telecom giant KDDI to acquire 14.9% stake in Coincheck Group in $65 million deal
KDDI, one of Japan’s largest telecom companies, is set to hold a 14.9% stake in local crypto exchange operator Coincheck Group (CNCK) after agreeing to a $65 million deal.
The telecom giant will subscribe for 28.5 million newly issued Coincheck Group shares at $2.28 each, Coincheck said on Wednesday. The deal is expected to close in June.
Coincheck and KDDI also signed what both firms called a business alliance covering customer referrals, revenue sharing and referral fees. The companies said the partnership is aimed at expanding crypto access in Japan through KDDI’s consumer channels and Coincheck’s trading, custody, staking and asset-management services.
KDDI has been building around crypto and Web3 since at least 2023, when it launched αU, a metaverse and Web3 service with a non-fungible token (NFT) marketplace and crypto wallet.
The company deepened that push through a capital and business alliance with HashPort, a Japanese Web3 wallet developer. The deal was tied to plans allowing users to convert Ponta loyalty points into stablecoins and crypto, and convert those assets into au PAY gift cards.
KDDI will receive registration rights for the shares and the right to nominate one non-executive director to Coincheck Group’s board at its next annual general meeting, expected in September.
Coincheck’s Dutch parent listed on Nasdaq in late 2024 under the ticker CNCK, after a delayed plan to go public through a SPAC deal. The company has since pushed into institutional crypto services, including through its acquisition of digital asset prime broker Aplo.
KDDI, as of December 2025, had over 72 million mobile subscriptions. J.P. Morgan advised Coincheck Group on the deal. De Brauw Blackstone Westbroek and Simpson Thacher & Bartlett acted as legal counsel.
Crypto World
eToro Profits Rise as Commodities Rally Offsets Crypto Trading Slump
Etoro reported a robust first quarter, with net income of $82 million, up 37% from the same period last year, as gains in commodities trading helped offset softer activity in crypto. The earnings beat was driven by a higher trading contribution and an improved profitability profile, even as the crypto segment faced headwinds that echoed broader industry softness.
The company announced adjusted EBITDA of $109 million, up 35% year over year, while net contribution rose 19% to $258 million. On the revenue side, funded accounts climbed 12% to 4.02 million, and assets under administration rose 15% to $17 billion. Etoro also held $1.3 billion in cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments as of March 31. In a related trend, Etoro said that assets under administration reached $18.7 billion in April, up 19% year over year, with total money transfers for the month totaling $1.4 billion, up 53% from a year earlier.
Commodities trading was the standout driver in the quarter, accounting for roughly 60% of trading commissions, with volumes up nearly fourfold versus a year earlier. The shift helped the firm diversify revenue streams even as crypto volumes and on-chain activity faced a softer backdrop. In addition to expansion in traditional markets, Etoro expanded its equities footprint, adding Japanese stocks to bring its exchange coverage to 26. The broker also activated its BitLicense to enable crypto trading in New York, a milestone that aligns with its strategy to bridge traditional finance with on-chain infrastructure. Separately, Etoro completed the acquisition of Zengo, a self-custodial wallet provider, on April 30, a move CEO Yoni Assia described as advancing the firm’s bridging objectives between fiat and crypto rails.
Crypto trading volumes retreat even as product innovation advances
Despite the resilience of its commodities business, Etoro’s crypto trading volumes deteriorated in April. The company disclosed that crypto trade volumes fell 32% year over year to two million trades, with the average invested amount per trade dropping 22% to $207. The softness in crypto activity comes amid a broader crypto market backdrop that has challenged exchanges and brokers to translate on-chain interest into sustainable revenue growth.
On the product side, Etoro has been moving to diversify its crypto offerings and improve user onboarding. The firm rolled out an AI-powered Agent Portfolios feature and deepened its collaboration with xAI, embedding Grok 4.2-powered market sentiment into Tori, its AI investing assistant. These enhancements aim to give users sharper market signals and a more interactive experience, even as overall trading volumes remain volatile.
Market observers noted that Etoro’s results sit within a broader pattern seen in listed crypto platforms. For instance, Coinbase reported a net loss of $394.1 million in the first quarter, its second consecutive quarterly loss, with revenue of $1.41 billion, reflecting a 40% drop in transaction revenue and a 13.5% decline in subscription and services revenue. The quarter also saw overall crypto market cap and trading volume retreat by more than 20% quarter over quarter. The juxtaposition highlights how firms with diversified revenue mixes—combining conventional asset classes with crypto—are navigating contrasting dynamics in traditional markets and digital assets.
Growth in users and on-ramp activity amid regulatory and strategic moves
Etoro’s top-line resilience rests not only on trading activity but also on user growth and capital deployment. The jump in funded accounts and the expansion of assets under administration suggest a broadening audience, supported by stronger cash reserves and liquidity. The company’s strategic push into New York crypto trading, backed by BitLicense authorization, signals a continued commitment to regulatory compliance as a pathway to broader market access. The Zengo acquisition further reinforces this trend by enabling on-chain self-custody options for users, potentially expanding wallet and custody capabilities across Etoro’s platform.
From a strategic standpoint, these moves indicate Etoro’s intention to blend the familiarity of traditional trading with evolving on-chain infrastructure. The addition of Japanese equities broadens its international reach, offering clients additional diversification options while leveraging the company’s growing global footprint. The April 30 closing of Zengo closes a loop in Etoro’s product strategy: a self-custody pathway that complements its hosted custody and trading experiences, providing a more complete platform for users who want direct control of their crypto assets.
Industry context and what to watch next
Etoro’s quarterly results arrive as the crypto sector grapples with a delicate balance: growing adoption of on-chain products and cross-asset wallets against persistent volatility in crypto volumes and macro headwinds in several geographies. The company’s mixed performance underscores the value of diversified revenue streams while spotlighting the fragility of relying heavily on active trading in a cyclic market.
Investors and users should monitor several developments in the coming quarters. First, whether commodity-driven revenue can sustain earnings momentum as crypto volatility persists. Second, the impact of product enhancements—such as AI-powered advisory features and improved sentiment analysis—on user engagement and average revenue per user. Third, regulatory movements, particularly in major markets, and how they shape the pace at which Etoro and peers can expand crypto trading and custody services. Finally, the effectiveness of the Zengo integration and the broader strategy to blend traditional finance with on-chain infrastructure will be key to assessing Etoro’s long-term growth trajectory.
As the sector evolves, Etoro’s Q1 performance offers a nuanced view: while crypto volumes may swing, a well-rounded platform that folds commodities, equities, and on-chain capabilities into a cohesive service can still deliver meaningful profitability and user growth. The question for readers and investors is how these dynamics unfold in the next few quarters, and whether the company’s regulatory-first approach and product diversification translate into durable, multi-asset momentum.
What’s next to watch: any sustained uptick in total money transfers and assets under administration, the cadence of new crypto product features, and the continued integration of Zengo’s wallet framework into Etoro’s platform. Those factors will help determine whether the current quarterly strength in non-crypto trading can offset ongoing pressures in crypto activity and what that means for Etoro’s overall margin profile in a shifting market.
Crypto World
Ahead of Sentencing, US Seeks $1M Forfeiture From Ex-Celsius Exec
A former Celsius executive is set to forfeit more than $1 million ahead of a sentencing hearing in the U.S. district court system, according to court filings. The U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York indicated that Roni Cohen-Pavon consented to a judgment of $1,070,000 representing proceeds traceable to his alleged crimes, with credit for funds—whether cash or cryptocurrency—held in Celsius that may be available through the platform’s bankruptcy process.
Cohen-Pavon pleaded guilty in September 2023 to fraud and conspiracy to commit price manipulation tied to Celsius’s CEL token. In advancing the case, U.S. authorities did not prescribe a specific sentence but requested the judge consider a potential sentencing reduction for substantial assistance rendered by the defendant. He is scheduled to appear for sentencing in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York on Thursday.
The Celsius collapse stands among the crypto industry’s most consequential bankruptcies of 2022. It unfolded in a period that also saw the Terra ecosystem’s downfall and contributed to a broader wave of distress that culminated in FTX’s Chapter 11 filing. In a related development, former Celsius CEO Alex Mashinsky was sentenced to 12 years in prison in May 2025 after pleading guilty to commodities and securities fraud and agreeing to a forfeiture exceeding $48 million.
In April, Cohen-Pavon’s counsel sought leniency, asking for a sentence of time served, underscoring the cooperation agreement and Cohen-Pavon’s potential role in Mashinsky’s guilty plea. They argued that the Celsius executive had taken “full responsibility for his conduct.” In a letter to Judge John Koeltl, Cohen-Pavon stated, “I pleaded guilty because I am guilty … I participated in the manipulation of the CEL token. I did not stop it when I should have, and I did not leave when I could have. I take full responsibility for that.”
Key takeaways
- The court-approved forfeiture amounts to $1,070,000 linked to proceeds traced to Cohen-Pavon’s wrongdoing, with potential offsets for Celsius assets under bankruptcy.
- Cohen-Pavon pleaded guilty to fraud and conspiracy to manipulate the CEL token price in September 2023; sentencing factors will consider substantial cooperation with prosecutors.
- The Celsius case is part of a broader post-2022 enforcement narrative targeting crypto firms, market manipulation, and misrepresentation in crypto lending ecosystems.
- Separately, Judge Lewis Kaplan ordered that $10 million of assets tied to Sam Bankman-Fried be applied to his forfeiture obligations as part of the FTX proceedings, with Bankman-Fried sentenced to 25 years and a liability exceeding $11 billion; appeals remained pending as of the latest filings.
- In related filings, prosecutors and defense teams have highlighted cooperation and ongoing policy implications for crypto governance, market integrity, and bankruptcy treatment of digital assets.
Forfeiture, sentencing, and the enforcement context for crypto executives
The Cohen-Pavon matter illustrates how U.S. prosecutors pursue financial penalties that trace to illicit conduct in crypto markets and how those penalties interact with bankruptcy procedures. The $1.07 million judgment signals the government’s effort to recover proceeds believed to originate from manipulation schemes associated with a high-profile token tied to a bankrupt platform. The court filings also reflect a structural tension in crypto enforcement: penalties are pursued in parallel with complex asset recovery processes that cross into bankruptcy estates and digital asset holdings.
From a regulatory and compliance perspective, the case underscores several practical implications for crypto firms, exchanges, and platform operators. First, it highlights the risk that executives and employees can face aggressive enforcement actions for market manipulation and related fraud in crypto markets. Second, it reinforces the role of cooperation credits in sentencing, a factor that may influence corporate governance considerations, internal investigations, and the design of compliance programs. Third, it emphasizes the importance of transparent asset tracing and the treatment of digital assets in bankruptcy contexts, an area that has grown increasingly intricate as crypto assets are exchanged, stored, and audited in real-world estate-like processes.
Broader context: Celsius, Terra, and the evolving enforcement landscape
The Celsius collapse was a watershed event in 2022, signaling vulnerabilities in crypto lender models and the liquidity risks tied to yield strategies that relied on volatile token economics. Analysts note that the episode occurred in a tumultuous period that also involved the Terra collapse and major platform distress that culminated in the FTX bankruptcy. In the wake of these events, U.S. authorities intensified scrutiny over market manipulation, disclosures, and the legality of complex tokenized instruments used by crypto firms to attract and retain customers.
The broader enforcement environment continues to evolve, with agencies such as the Department of Justice (DOJ) and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) pursuing cases that touch on securities, commodities, and payment token questions. In parallel, the criminal-justice approach to enforcement intersects with regulatory regimes abroad, including the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA), which aims to harmonize licensing, investor protection, and market integrity standards. For institutions, this convergence reinforces the necessity of robust AML/KYC frameworks, rigorous internal controls, and clear governance structures to manage legal risk across cross-border operations.
Enforcement actions tied to the SBF case and implications for policy
In a separate but contemporaneous action, SDNY Judge Lewis Kaplan ordered that $10 million in assets associated with Sam Bankman-Fried be applied toward his forfeiture agreement. Bankman-Fried, who was sentenced to 25 years in prison, faces a total liability exceeding $11 billion for the fraud and misappropriation of customer funds. As of the latest proceedings, his attempts to seek a new trial had been denied, and his appeal to overturn the conviction remained under review by the Second Circuit. The Kaplan decision highlights how asset recovery and forfeiture play a central role in high-profile crypto prosecutions, alongside traditional sentencing considerations.
For policymakers and compliance professionals, the Bankman-Fried case and related Celsius developments illustrate ongoing tensions between rapid innovation in crypto markets and the need for robust oversight. The enforcement trajectory reinforces the expectation that regulators will scrutinize token economics, disclosures around custody and custody arrangements, and the handling of customer funds in the context of corporate restructuring. It also underscores the importance of coordinated actions across jurisdictions as regulators pursue cross-border asset tracing and restitution in complex digital-asset ecosystems.
Looking ahead, market participants and observers should monitor how potential sentencing outcomes, asset-recovery decisions, and regulatory developments interact with ongoing bankruptcy proceedings, licensing considerations, and international regulatory alignment. The convergence of criminal enforcement, bankruptcy law, and regulatory oversight is likely to shape governance standards for crypto firms, influence licensing decisions, and inform AML/KYC policy design in the period ahead.
Closing perspective: The sequence of cases surrounding Celsius and FTX-era executives reinforces a clear priority for enforcement authorities—establishing accountability for market manipulation, fraud, and misuse of customer assets within digital-asset platforms. As regulatory frameworks mature and cross-border cooperation intensifies, institutions engaging in crypto activities should expect continued scrutiny, greater emphasis on compliance infrastructure, and a measured but persistent risk of execution actions tied to misconduct in crypto markets.
Crypto World
Should Bitcoin Investors Be Worried?
Key takeaways:
- A successful Hyperliquid whale opened a $70 million short position, but data suggests this is a technical move.
- Rising oil prices and Fed liquidity injections could devalue US Treasuries, boosting Bitcoin as a scarce macro asset.
Bitcoin below $80,000 as Hyperliquid whale flips bearish on crypto
Bitcoin (BTC) failed to sustain bullish momentum on Wednesday, retreating below the psychological $80,000 level. Traders grew anxious as persistently high oil prices applied pressure to inflation and consumer spending. A Hyperliquid whale with $42 million in historical profits flipped bearish, leaving investors to question whether the recent rally is losing its foundation.

Hyperliquid whale 0x8def…992dae profit/loss, USD. Source: CoinGlass
The Hyperliquid whale at address 0x8def…992dae recently opened a $70 million bearish position on various cryptocurrencies and synthetic tokens tied to major technology stocks. According to the Hyperdash trading and data platform, the address belongs to Loracle, an early developer within the Hyperliquid ecosystem. This account began betting more aggressively in September 2025.
Related: Bitcoin price targets $79K as US PPI inflation hits highest since 2022
Interestingly, the majority of this whale’s past profits were generated through bullish bets, including several successful trades over the last month. A long position in Bitcoin, Zcash (ZEC), and Toncoin (TON) closed on Monday, netting a $9.2 million profit in just two weeks. On Thursday, the same entity secured a $3 million profit on bullish synthetic tokens linked to oil prices after a nine-day hold.

Hyperliquid whale 0x94d373…c933814 position on May 13. Source: app.trade.xyz
Over the past week, this whale flipped bearishly by accumulating a massive $49 million short position on HYPE. These bets on downside price movements expanded to include a $12.5 million short in Bitcoin, alongside $8 million in synthetic tokens tracking chipmaker Sandisk (SNDK US) and the Nasdaq-100 Index.
Why is the whale shorting BTC, HYPE, and tech stocks?
This bearish assessment is further supported by a $1.7 million long position in a gold-backed stablecoin. However, trade data analysis from app.trade.xyz reveals an algorithmic trading style, with positions typically lasting less than a week. These findings suggest the whale is reacting to short-term technical moves rather than a fundamental breakdown in risk-on assets.

Brent crude oil (left) vs. US 5-year Treasury yield (right). Source: TradingView
The ongoing war in Iran has pushed Brent crude oil prices above $100. This spike likely pushes the US Federal Reserve to expand its balance sheet as US Treasury yields spiral out of control. As US fiscal budget issues mount, investors are increasingly incentivized to seek shelter in scarce assets, especially since higher inflation expectations reduce the appeal of fixed-income investments.

US Federal Reserve total assets, USD millions. Source: St Louis Fed
The US Fed has begun accumulating bonds and mortgage-backed assets to relieve pressure on financial institutions. While providing liquidity eases immediate concerns, this intervention causes inflation to accelerate. This remedy, though efficient, curbs the potential for expansionist monetary policies, as the Fed has less room to trim interest rates effectively.
Even if Bitcoin and tech stocks initially react negatively to signs of an overheating economy, traders will likely eventually exit fixed-income investments as the expansion of the monetary base becomes evident. Lower demand for US Treasuries indicates eroding trust in monetary policy, which serves as a positive driver for Bitcoin over the medium term.
Ultimately, little reason exists to fear this Hyperliquid whale’s bearish bets, even when accounting for the entity’s successful track record.
Crypto World
Retiring With Bitcoin by 2030: Hoax or Real Financial Strategy?
Despite its extreme volatility, Bitcoin emerges as a disruptive option for retirement planning while inflation erodes the purchasing power of traditional pensions throughout the developed world. Over the last 4-year period, the asset is still up 166.7%.
So, is it still possible to retire with BTC? It always depends on the price trajectory. We review the projections from major banks, how many BTC you need to retire, and the risks of the five-year plan.
How Much Bitcoin Do You Need to Retire in the Coming Years?
To retire with Bitcoin in the next five years, an investor would need between 2 and 5 BTC, depending on the asset’s price and the withdrawal rule applied. These projections are based on the standard portfolio calculation to generate $100,000 annually, adjusted for inflation.
The most discussed projection comes from VanEck. Matthew Sigel, head of digital assets research at the firm, recently declared that Bitcoin could reach $1 million by 2031. He described it as the firm’s base case, driven by demographic trends and sustained institutional buying.
Other banks handle more conservative but still bullish estimates. Standard Chartered, Bernstein, and Fundstrat place the asset between $120,000 and $ 250,000 by the end of 2026. For the long term, Michael Saylor projects $1 million while Cathie Wood at ARK Invest aims for $1,2 million dollars in 2030.
The 4% rule from the Trinity study serves as the initial reference for calculations. Applied to a traditional portfolio, an investor seeking $100,000 annually would need approximately $ 2.5 million accumulated.
If Bitcoin reaches $500,000 by 2030, 5 BTC would be enough to generate that income.
More aggressive models discussed at the Bitcoin 2026 Conference suggest withdrawal rates of 6% to 8% for Bitcoin, given its appreciation potential.
Under this scenario, a 35-year-old person could need only 4.41 BTC to generate $100,000 dollars annually, adjusted for inflation by 2030.
Specialized tools facilitate personalized calculations. Calculators like the Bitcoin Retirement Calculator from Unchained or Bitcoin Well allow users to simulate scenarios that incorporate monthly contributions, expected inflation, and different asset growth rates over the defined timeframe.
Pension Funds are Accelerating their Bet on Bitcoin
Institutional adoption accelerates the optimistic scenario for Bitcoin-based retirement plans. Vehicles such as the New York State Common Retirement Fund and the Texas Teachers Pension Fund recently increased their positions in Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) as a proxy for indirect exposure to the digital asset.
Other public funds followed the same strategic path. The pension plans of Ohio, California (through CalPERS), and Louisiana revealed similar exposures in their recent reports.
Some faced temporary losses due to MicroStrategy’s recent volatility, but maintain the positions as a medium-term bet.
This trend marks a clear inflection point. Bitcoin stops being a purely speculative asset for retail investors and formally integrates into institutional retirement plans under strict regulation.
In the United States, regulations facilitating Bitcoin in 401(k) and IRA accounts expand access to trillions of dollars in retirement savings.
The integration has important long-term implications. When public pension funds allocate capital, they do so with horizons of 20 to 30 years and rigorous approval processes. The institutional decision alone provides qualitative validation that no individual technical analysis can replicate.
What Risks Does Retiring with Bitcoin by 2030
Despite institutional optimism, retiring exclusively with Bitcoin by 2030 carries substantial risks. The asset recorded drops of more than 70% in previous cycles, a volatility incompatible with the stability that a traditional retirement plan requires, given fixed monthly commitments.
Some analysts anticipate additional turbulence in the short term. Peter Brandt foresees a possible low investable point between September and October 2026, before a new sustained bullish cycle.
This reading aligns with the warnings from Geoffrey Kendrick, then at Standard Chartered, during the first quarter of the year.
Diversification is the universal recommendation among traditional financial experts.
Publications like The Motley Fool suggest that investors close to retirement should allocate no more than 1% to 5% of their total portfolio to Bitcoin. The proportion changes depending on individual risk profile and the available timeframe.
Specific strategies exist to mitigate exposure.
- The HODL method involves holding the asset long-term without selling.
- Bitcoin-collateralized loans allow generating liquidity without liquidating the position and avoiding taxes.
- Flexible percentage withdrawals adjust the amount withdrawn based on the asset’s annual behavior.
The final critical factor is the actual time horizon. Those who invest today with five to ten years ahead have greater room to absorb volatility than those needing immediate liquidity.
The universal crypto rule remains valid: never invest more than you can afford to lose.
The post Retiring With Bitcoin by 2030: Hoax or Real Financial Strategy? appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
CLARITY Act vote triggers anticipated Bitcoin move to $90K
Bitcoin (BTC) traders are eyeing the path to higher ground as the U.S. Congress prepares to debate the CLARITY Act this week. With BTC hovering near the $80,000 level and the 200-day exponential moving average serving as a major overhead hurdle, market participants see a setup that could spark a rapid move higher if momentum holds and short-term selling eases.
Key takeaways
- Bitcoin remains near $80,000, with the 200-day EMA acting as a critical resistance line that could determine the trajectory in the near term.
- More than $3 billion in leveraged long positions cluster between $79,000 and $78,000, suggesting a potential test of price support before any sustained breakout.
- On-chain signals point to improving market conditions: short-term holder loss pressure has been zero for five consecutive days, and the share of supply held by short-term traders sits at 22.2%, the lowest in roughly 90 days.
- The CLARITY Act, which seeks clearer regulatory guidelines for crypto markets and stablecoins, has drawn significant attention as lawmakers filed more than 100 amendments ahead of a markup session.
- A looming resistance zone around $83,400–$84,600—the next Fibonacci-related hurdle—could temper gains and prompt profit-taking if BTC reclaims the 50% retracement level near $78,983.
Bitcoin market signals a potential breakout
Over the past week, Bitcoin traded around the $80,000 level as traders weighed the possible implications of the CLARITY Act vote. The 200-day EMA continues to loom as a robust resistance point, and a cluster of leveraged long positions—estimated at more than $3 billion—has formed between $79,000 and $78,000. This setup implies that a brief retest of that range could occur before BTC attempts another push above the long-term moving average.
“If this continues to grind upwards, with the upcoming CLARITY Act tomorrow, I would assume we might see a fast move to $90K in a matter of days for Bitcoin.”
That sentiment from Michaël van de Poppe, founder of MN Capital, reflects a broader expectation that improving market conditions could translate into a sharper upside once the regulatory event passes and funding flows resume their upward tilt.
On-chain analysis adds nuance to the price narrative. Bitcoin researcher Axel Adler Jr. highlighted that short-term holder loss pressure has remained at zero percent for five consecutive days, a signal that new buyers are not yet capitulating into pain. In addition, Adler noted that the share of Bitcoin supply held by short-term traders has fallen to 22.2%, a 90-day low. Taken together, these metrics suggest a cooling of near-term selling pressure and potential buoyancy for a sustained rebound if price starts to move higher.
However, a counterpoint remains in the charts. Crypto trader Zord warned of a potential resistance band ahead, pointing to a zone between roughly $83,400 and $84,600 after BTC reclaims the 50% Fibonacci retracement level near $78,983. In the perspective of technical analysts, this zone represents a 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci resistance, where short-term profit-taking could slow BTC’s ascent and prompt a pause before any continued breakout.
Policy backdrop: CLARITY Act in focus
The CLARITY Act is aimed at providing clearer rules for regulators overseeing crypto markets and stablecoins. In a development that underscores the bill’s high-stakes nature, Senate Banking Committee members filed more than 100 amendments in the run-up to Thursday’s markup, reflecting diverse viewpoints on how to regulate crypto exchanges, stablecoins, and crypto developers. A leaked version of the draft suggested limits on stablecoin rewards that resemble traditional interest-bearing accounts, signaling a potential rethink of incentive structures across platforms.
Industry observers have framed the debate as a push to separate stablecoins used for everyday payments from products that behave more like bank deposits. XWIN Japan described the drafting as signaling a deliberate shift toward distinguishing payment-focused stablecoins from yield-bearing crypto products, a distinction with wide market implications if it solidifies into policy.
Meanwhile, stablecoins continue to grow their footprint across networks. CryptoQuant and other researchers have highlighted parabolic growth in ERC-20 stablecoin active addresses in recent years, illustrating the ongoing liquidity and usage of stablecoins as the backbone of crypto market activity. The broader narrative is that stablecoins remain a central conduit for capital in crypto markets, potentially supporting longer-term investment in Bitcoin as adoption widens and financial products linked to digital assets mature.
What could come next for BTC
Looking ahead, the critical question is whether BTC can clear the looming resistance zone around $83,400–$84,600 and sustain a move beyond the 200-day EMA. If the price can pierce this band with aided demand from on-chain support and stablecoin-driven liquidity, a swift advance toward higher targets, including the $90,000 region, would be plausible in the short to medium term. Conversely, if sellers saturate this zone, a retest of the lower boundary around the $80,000s or a deeper pullback could reassert itself as market participants reassess risk ahead of regulatory milestones.
Beyond price action, the evolving regulatory backdrop will continue to shape market dynamics. Investors should monitor the CLARITY Act developments—particularly amendments related to stablecoins and crypto incentives—as they may affect exchange offerings, product design, and the calculus of risk and return for Bitcoin and associated assets.
In the near term, the ongoing growth of stablecoins and their use in funding flows into crypto markets remains a crucial backdrop. If stablecoin adoption continues its current trajectory, it could bolster liquidity and demand for Bitcoin over time, even as short-term price volatility persists. As always, readers should stay attuned to both price catalysts and regulatory signals to gauge how the balance of supply, demand, and policy could steer Bitcoin in the days and weeks ahead.
Readers should watch the CLARITY Act developments closely and track on-chain dynamics for cues about Bitcoin’s next move in the near term.
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