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Kraken Enables Retail Access to Jersey Mike’s IPO via Tokenized Shares

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Crypto Breaking News

Kraken is expanding its tokenized-IPO offering to retail investors with access to Jersey Mike’s upcoming public listing. The exchange says eligible US customers will be able to request allocations of Jersey Mike’s shares at the IPO price, while customers outside the US can request tokenized shares designed to be backed 1:1 by the underlying stock.

The development adds another well-known US consumer brand to the small but growing menu of tokenized equities accessible through major crypto venues. It also comes after recent friction in similar campaigns—most notably around SpaceX—highlighting that investor demand for tokenized IPO access can exceed the supply of underlying shares.

Key takeaways

  • Kraken will let eligible US retail users submit interest in book-entry Jersey Mike’s shares at the IPO price, while global users can request tokenized shares backed 1:1 by the stock.
  • Tokenized shares will trade 24 hours a day, five days a week on Kraken and participating xStocks Alliance platforms, while the underlying Jersey Mike’s shares will trade only during regular US market hours.
  • Allocations for the IPO are determined by the underwriter and are not guaranteed.
  • Kraken says the tokenized shares can be transferred across participating xStocks Alliance platforms, moved onchain, and used with compatible decentralized finance (DeFi) applications.
  • This marks another tokenized-IPO rollout following SpaceX’s debut, but the earlier listing faced oversubscription that led some platforms to cancel and refund.

How Kraken’s Jersey Mike’s access works

Kraken’s planned offering gives two routes depending on where a user is located. Eligible US customers can express interest in Jersey Mike’s shares in book-entry form at the IPO price. For customers outside the US, Kraken offers JMKEx, a tokenized version of the stock.

Kraken describes JMKEx as being backed 1:1 by underlying Jersey Mike’s shares held in regulated custody. In both cases, the IPO process controls outcomes: Kraken states that allocations are selected by the IPO underwriter and are not guaranteed.

The practical distinction for users is trading access. Once the IPO closes, Kraken says JMKEx will run on a near-continuous schedule—24 hours a day, five days a week—on Kraken and participating platforms in the xStocks Alliance. Meanwhile, the underlying Jersey Mike’s shares will trade according to normal US market hours.

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Why tokenized IPO shares matter for investors

Tokenized equities are often discussed as a bridge between traditional capital markets and blockchain-based settlement. Kraken’s framing underscores that investors may not only buy exposure more flexibly, but also move that exposure in ways standard broker accounts typically do not allow.

Kraken says tokenized shares can be:

  • Transferred across participating xStocks Alliance platforms
  • Moved onchain
  • Integrated with compatible DeFi applications

For market participants, that combination matters because it changes where equity-linked exposure can live. Instead of being confined to brokerage infrastructure, the tokenized wrapper is designed to be compatible with broader onchain systems—potentially improving interoperability for users who want to combine public equity exposure with onchain strategies.

At the same time, Kraken’s emphasis on underwriter-determined allocations and non-guaranteed access serves as a reminder that the tokenization layer does not remove core IPO constraints: if there are not enough underlying shares, token allocations can be limited.

Jersey Mike’s IPO details and what users should watch

Jersey Mike’s is a US sandwich chain with more than 3,300 locations. In its IPO announcement, the company said it expects to price the offering between $21 and $25 per share and to list its Class A shares on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker JMKE. (Source: PR Newswire IPO announcement)

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Those price expectations are relevant not only for standard IPO participants but also for users planning to request tokenized shares through Kraken. Because the token product is intended to be backed 1:1 by the underlying shares, the token’s credibility depends on the custody and redemption mechanics associated with the backing shares—areas Kraken states are supported through regulated custody.

What remains uncertain for investors is allocation availability. Kraken is explicit that the IPO underwriter—not the exchange—determines allocations. That means eligible users should be prepared for the possibility that demand could outstrip supply, as occurred during other tokenized-IPO rollouts.

Lessons from the SpaceX tokenized IPO rollout

Kraken’s Jersey Mike’s plan is not happening in isolation. It follows SpaceX’s tokenized IPO access in June, which multiple crypto platforms rolled out with similar structures tied to the underlying shares.

According to earlier coverage from Cointelegraph, other platforms—including Binance, Bybit, Blockchain.com, Bitget Wallet and MEXC—also launched products connected to SpaceX’s offering. However, demand appears to have been far higher than the underlying share supply. Cointelegraph previously reported that the SpaceX IPO was more than four times oversubscribed, forcing tokenized-IPO platforms to compete for limited allocations.

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In the aftermath, Cointelegraph reported that several exchanges—including Binance, Bybit, Bitget Wallet and MEXC—ultimately canceled their tokenized IPO campaigns and refunded users after they were unable to secure enough underlying SpaceX shares to meet customer allocations.

The price path for the underlying listing also reflected the typical volatility that can follow oversubscribed offerings. Cointelegraph noted that those Nasdaq-traded shares have declined from their $135 IPO price, with last trading at roughly $115 on Tuesday (as cited in the earlier report).

Kraken’s Jersey Mike’s campaign is therefore best understood as a continued test of whether tokenized-IPO distribution can scale to match real-world IPO demand. For users, the key watch item is not only whether the token product goes live, but whether allocations are successfully secured for the participating customer base.

Despite the operational challenges seen in the SpaceX rollout, growth in the broader tokenized equities market has continued. Data cited from RWA.xyz indicates the sector’s distributed value rose from well under $500 million in mid-2025 to about $1.87 billion, including a 29.4% increase over the prior 30 days (Source: RWA.xyz).

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Next, investors should focus on two practical milestones: whether Kraken confirms sufficient underlying share allocations for eligible customers once Jersey Mike’s IPO closes, and how smoothly tokenized trading and transfers work across xStocks Alliance platforms once JMKEx begins its extended-hours schedule.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Bitcoin’s quantum plan assumes some algorithms break. AI just weakened one in 60 hours

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Key initiatives aimed at quantum-proofing the world's largest blockchain

BIP-360, the proposal to give bitcoin quantum-resistant addresses, specifies three algorithms NIST has already standardized, and includes several deliberately so users have fallbacks if one is later broken by quantum or classical advances.

What changed is the speed of the classical side. BIP-361, the companion proposal that would freeze more than a third of bitcoin’s supply, argues that the migration window is closing because cryptographic attacks are improving by up to 20-fold. Anthropic’s results align with that trend, with a model behind it.

Against HAWK’s smallest parameter set, Anthropic said the expected cost of recovering a key fell from about 2^64 operations to 2^38. Larger keys remain impractical to attack, but doubling key sizes to compensate removes most of what made HAWK attractive.

The company disclosed the attack to HAWK’s authors in June and coordinated publication with NIST’s public mailing list.

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A second result improved attacks on a deliberately weakened version of AES, the cipher used across the industry to encrypt wallet files, by factors of 200 to 800.

Importantly for crypto developers, Anthropic said the model produced smaller improvements, under tenfold, against Poseidon, the hash function that underpins many zero-knowledge proof systems, including those securing rollups and privacy protocols.

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US Sanctions Iran-Linked HormuzSafe, Cites Bitcoin Payments

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US Sanctions Iran-Linked HormuzSafe, Cites Bitcoin Payments

The US Treasury has sanctioned two Iranian maritime firms involved in an alleged Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC)-backed insurance network, saying one accepted Bitcoin (BTC) and other digital assets to bypass Western sanctions. 

On Wednesday, the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) said that Persian Gulf Marine Insurance Company and HormuzSafe Marine Services Authority were integral to what it described as an IRGC-backed insurance network that required commercial vessels to buy approved coverage before transiting the Strait of Hormuz. The firms were designated for operating in Iran’s financial sector.

The action comes after earlier reports that Iran was considering a Bitcoin-based maritime insurance platform. US authorities now allege the network generated revenue for the IRGC. Treasury also sanctioned eight companies linked to Iran’s shadow fleet and identified eight vessels as blocked property.

OFAC said HormuzSafe accepted BTC and other crypto as part of efforts to evade sanctions. It alleged that the platform generated revenue on behalf of the IRGC while helping Iran exert greater control over shipping through the strait. 

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“The United States will not allow Iran to hold global commerce hostage,” Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said, accusing the regime of using international shipping to finance the IRGC. 

HormuzSafe shifts from reported proposal to sanctions target 

On May 18, screenshots of the HormuzSafe website had circulated online offering “digital insurance” for maritime cargo, with policies payable in Bitcoin. At the time, reports suggested Iran was still considering the insurance-based model, and the website was inaccessible when checked. 

Iranian state-linked media Fars News Agency said the proposed platform could issue marine insurance policies and certificates of financial responsibility while potentially generating over $10 billion in revenue. 

The Strait of Hormuz handles about one-fifth of the global oil trade, meaning efforts to monetize or control traffic through the waterway carry significant implications for international energy markets.

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Related: Bitcoin threatens $62K in risk-asset rout as President Trump says US will ‘run’ closed Hormuz Strait

Earlier reports, citing the Bitcoin Policy Institute, said Iran accepted oil toll payments in Chinese yuan, Tether USDt (USDT) and Bitcoin, though there was no onchain evidence that any Bitcoin payments had yet been made.

Bitcoin may be attractive to sanctioned actors because it has no centralized issuer capable of freezing funds, unlike centralized stablecoins whose issuers can block addresses. In April, US authorities froze $344 million in USDT stablecoin linked to Iran. 

Magazine: Inside the ‘fake police raid’ that forced a $1M Bitcoin transfer

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Ether, XRP flat as chip stocks steady on Samsung’s 250-fold profit surge

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Micron Technology (MU) surged 16% after blowout earnings and strong guidance

Crypto’s largest tokens were close to unchanged on Thursday as the semiconductor selloff that has driven markets for two weeks showed its first real sign of easing.

Ether traded at about $1,905 and bitcoin at $64,100, both flat on the day, with XRP at $1.07, solana at $74, BNB at $572 and TRON at 33 cents. Hyperliquid’s HYPE slipped to $54. Volumes were modest, with roughly $28 billion changing hands in bitcoin and $10 billion in ether.

Electronics giant Samsung said chip profit rose more than 250-fold on AI memory shortages, and the Kospi swung between a 6% gain and a 2% loss before settling, after a stretch that took the index down more than 40% from its June peak.

Samsung’s reaction is the tell on how high the bar has become. Profit up 250-fold moved the shares 2%. SK Hynix reported profit up 557% on Wednesday and fell 17%. Results are not the problem, expectations are.

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U.S. earnings split overnight. Microsoft gained nearly 9% in extended trading on its fastest cloud growth in four years, while Meta fell 8% on a weak revenue forecast. Nasdaq 100 futures rose 1% after the index entered a technical correction on Wednesday.

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European Institutions Launch RL1 Blockchain Network

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European Institutions Launch RL1 Blockchain Network

Ten European financial institutions have launched Regulated Layer One (RL1), a jointly owned blockchain cooperative designed for regulated financial markets and tokenized assets. 

On Tuesday, the group announced that RL1 had been established as a European Cooperative Society in Luxembourg and had begun operations with founding members including ABN AMRO, Cecabank, Chartered Investment, Crédit Mutuel Alliance Fédérale, DekaBank, DZ BANK, LBBW, Natixis CIB, SC Ventures and Seturion. 

RL1 said each member will have equal decision-making rights over the network’s governance and development.

The private, permissioned network is based on infrastructure developed by German fintech Secure Worldwide Interbank Asset Transfer (SWIAT), which has now transferred ownership of the network to the cooperative. 

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SWIAT said the platform has processed more than 50 transactions worth over 700 million euros (about $808 million) during three years of production use.

The blockchain is designed to support institutional use cases including digital money, tokenized bonds, collateral and blockchain-based settlement. RL1 said the shared network could reduce fragmentation caused by financial institutions operating separate distributed ledger systems. 

Former SWIAT managing director Henning Vollbehr will lead RL1. KfW and L-Bank will continue supporting the initiative, while RL1 said it is in discussions with additional institutions, including NatWest, about joining the network. 

Related: CoinShares debuts Bitcoin mining ETF in Europe entrance

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This article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or recommendations. All investments and trades carry risk; readers are encouraged to conduct independent research.

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Luno Lays Off 20% of Staff Amid July Job Cuts Across 12 Firms

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Crypto Breaking News

Crypto exchange Luno is reportedly cutting about 20% of its workforce as it restructures operations and reallocates resources toward institutional clients, financial infrastructure, and business-to-business services. The move, first reported by Bloomberg, reflects a broader cost-and-efficiency push in the crypto industry amid pressured growth expectations and tighter budgets.

According to the report, Luno CEO James Lanigan said the company’s previous investments in automation and operational upgrades have changed what it needs to run the business. Alongside further cost trimming aligned with market conditions, Luno plans to continue investing in areas including compliance, core infrastructure, and retail products—suggesting the reorganization is intended to reduce burn without abandoning key regulatory and product priorities.

Key takeaways

  • Luno is reportedly cutting roughly 20% of global staff as it shifts resources toward institutional and infrastructure-focused lines of business.
  • Company leadership attributes the reduction to automation and operational improvements that have reduced the resources needed to run day-to-day activities.
  • In addition to cost cuts, Luno plans to keep investing in compliance, core infrastructure, and retail offerings.
  • Luno’s layoffs fit a wider industry pattern: job cuts across crypto companies have increasingly been linked to efficiency drives and automated operations.
  • CryptoJobsList data shows July restructuring activity across multiple firms, though the dataset includes crypto-adjacent tech and is skewed by some very large reductions.

Luno’s restructuring: fewer people, different priorities

Luno, founded in South Africa and owned by Digital Currency Group, serves about 16 million users across Africa and the Asia-Pacific region. While the exchange has historically been associated with retail trading, the firm has broadened its business into crypto infrastructure and institutional services—areas that can demand different operating capabilities than consumer exchange support.

Bloomberg reports that the latest job cuts are part of that operational pivot. Lanigan reportedly said the company invested in automation and broader changes to how work is performed, which altered staffing needs. The company will also trim costs while investing in compliance and core infrastructure, according to the same account.

For investors and market observers, the key point is that the cuts are not presented as a retreat from regulation-heavy infrastructure or core product development. Instead, Luno appears to be aiming for a more scalable operational model—one that can support institutional and business-to-business customers without matching headcount growth to revenue expectations.

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Not Luno’s first workforce reduction

Luno’s reported 20% cut follows earlier staffing actions. In January 2023, the exchange cut 35% of its staff, affecting nearly 330 employees, as turbulence across the technology and crypto sectors weighed on its growth and revenue. That earlier round was covered by Cointelegraph, highlighting that Luno has already been navigating a challenging environment for crypto companies seeking consistent expansion.

Taken together, the two waves suggest Luno is actively recalibrating its cost structure rather than treating layoffs as a one-off response. This matters because repeated restructuring can change how quickly an exchange adapts to market shifts—particularly when compliance requirements and infrastructure demands continue to rise even when retail activity becomes more cyclical.

Crypto layoffs in July: a pattern of efficiency-driven cuts

Luno’s move aligns with broader industry downsizing and reorganization efforts. CryptoJobsList, a tracker of crypto and related job changes, recorded layoffs or restructurings at 12 crypto and crypto-adjacent companies during July. Disclosed figures in that period total 894 jobs affected.

The data is useful as a high-level indicator, but CryptoJobsList also notes that it includes financial-technology adjacent companies and that the figures can be skewed by large reductions. For example, Block’s 4,000-person reduction in February—also tracked in CryptoJobsList’s reporting—means some months can look unusually severe even when the rest of the sector is less affected. Earlier coverage from Cointelegraph has also described how AI, automation, and operational efficiency have become recurring explanations behind staff reductions across crypto.

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Earlier in July, crypto wallet company Exodus announced plans to cut 25% of its staff while reorganizing around a full-stack card-issuance and stablecoin-payments platform. Exodus said the plan could generate between $10 million and $13 million in annual operating savings, according to Cointelegraph reporting.

Separately, blockchain infrastructure developer Gnosis reportedly took steps linked to its consumer-facing Gnosis App. On Tuesday, it invited companies to contact it for introductions to former employees affected by a recent restructuring. The company said on July 17 that it had reduced its workforce after reviewing the Gnosis App, as referenced by a report on the Gnosis forum.

Why this matters: the industry is shifting labor toward infrastructure

Luno’s layoffs are framed not just as belt-tightening, but as a response to changed operational requirements. In practice, that often means fewer roles tied to manual processes and more emphasis on areas like compliance and core infrastructure—especially where institutional clients and regulated financial partners are involved.

At the same time, the pattern visible across July reporting suggests companies across crypto are treating headcount as a variable they can re-engineer through automation, AI-enabled workflows, and redesigned products. The uncertain part for employees and the market is how these efficiency moves translate into sustainable growth: cost reductions can stabilize budgets, but they may also reflect caution about near-term demand.

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Looking ahead, readers should watch whether Luno’s institutional and infrastructure focus delivers measurable traction in new partnerships and service expansion, and whether the broader wave of restructurings continues to concentrate around automation-led operating models rather than a broader collapse in activity.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Luno Cuts 20% of Staff as Crypto Layoffs Widen in July

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Luno Cuts 20% of Staff as Crypto Layoffs Widen in July

Crypto exchange Luno is reportedly cutting about 20% of its global workforce as it restructures operations and shifts more resources toward institutional clients, financial infrastructure and business-to-business services. 

According to a Bloomberg report on Tuesday, Luno CEO James Lanigan said the company had invested in automation and broader operational improvements that changed the resources needed to run the business. Luno will also trim costs in line with market conditions while investing in compliance, core infrastructure and retail products. 

Luno has previously made larger workforce reductions. In January 2023, the exchange cut 35% of its staff, affecting nearly 330 employees, as turbulence across the technology and crypto sectors weighed on its growth and revenue.

Founded in South Africa and owned by Digital Currency Group, Luno serves about 16 million users across Africa and the Asia-Pacific region. The company has expanded beyond retail trading into infrastructure and institutional services, including providing crypto infrastructure for banks and fintech firms.

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Luno’s rationale for the layoffs reflects a wider industry trend, with several crypto companies citing AI, automation and operational efficiency when cutting staff.

Related: BitGo cuts 15% of staff to sharpen focus on AI, stablecoins

Crypto layoffs spread across industry

Jobs tracker CryptoJobsList recorded layoffs or restructurings at 12 crypto and crypto-adjacent companies in July, with disclosed figures totaling 894 jobs affected. CryptoJobsList has tracked more than 7,254 disclosed job cuts across 47 companies in 2026, with market conditions cited most often as the reason. 

The data serves as a broad industry indicator rather than a definitive crypto-only total, as it includes adjacent financial technology companies and is heavily skewed by Block’s 4,000-person reduction in February.

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Layoffs by month. Source: CryptoJobsList

Earlier in July, crypto wallet company Exodus announced plans to cut 25% of its staff while reorganizing around a full-stack card-issuance and stablecoin-payments platform. Exodus said the move could produce between $10 million and $13 million in annual operating savings.

On Tuesday, blockchain infrastructure developer Gnosis invited companies hiring across engineering, product, design, marketing, developer relations and customer relations to contact it for introductions to former employees affected by a recent restructuring. The company said on July 17 that it had reduced its workforce following a review of its consumer-facing Gnosis App.

Magazine: Ethereum risks losing No. 2 spot as stablecoins gain ground

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Bitcoin Could Hit $380K-$450K by March 2028, Says Analyst

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Bitcoin (BTC) could climb to between $380,000 and $450,000 from March 2028, according to crypto analyst Sykodelic, whose latest market outlook has sparked a heated debate on X over whether the current bear market is actually a mid-cycle correction.

The forecast stands out because it argues that BTC has not yet completed its broader bull cycle, even with many traders believing that the market topped in October 2025.

Analyst Says Bitcoin Is Still in the Middle of a Larger Cycle

In a July 29 newsletter preview shared on X, Sykodelic said the current bear market is a mid-cycle correction and not the end of the cycle, comparing it to stretches from 2011 to 2013 and 2019 to 2021. With that in mind, the analyst predicted the OG cryptocurrency will reach between $380,000 and $450,000 starting in March 2028.

His price target leans on two tools: the 200-week simple moving average multiplied by five and a quantile-95 statistical band already sitting near $330,000.

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“Every cycle top has hit the 200w SMA x5. That already sits at $320,000,” he wrote. “As price moves higher that will go up.”

The market watcher pointed out that from BTC’s current price level to $380,000 is only a 5.5x move, way smaller than the asset’s 23x run from $3,000 to $69,000 in 2020, meaning such a jump isn’t just possible but quite probable.

At the time of writing, the asset was changing hands above $64,000 after recovering modestly over the past day. That recent weakness was linked to several factors, including investor caution ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s policy decision, weakness across broader financial markets, and continued outflows from spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds.

Naysayers Dig In

That forecast drew immediate criticism. One of the doubters, X user Bitcoin Daily, who identified themselves as a data scientist, said they ran Sykodelic’s own 890-day spacing rule backward from the October 2025 high and landed in spring 2023, which, by his own framework, would make October 2025 the top, not the midpoint.

They also noted that Sykodelic’s chart had entirely skipped the 2015 to 2017 cycle. Furthermore, his two reference rallies measured different things, with June 2011 being a full cycle top followed by an 89% drop, while June 2019 was a bear market rally high that fell 55%.

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Another thing Bitcoin Daily highlighted was that the last three cycle tops landed 525, 546, and 534 days after their halving. Meanwhile, March 2028 falls 38 days before next year’s halving, meaning Sykodelic’s $380,000 top would come in a period where such an event has never happened before.

“No Bitcoin top has ever arrived before a halving,” the data scientist stated.

Additionally, running the 890-day spacing from four other local highs since June 2024 produced targets spanning May 2027 to October 2028, a 17-month window that, according to Bitcoin Daily, shows Sykodelic’s March 2028 date was chosen and not calculated.

Sykodelic dismissed those objections, questioning the claim that spring 2023 could be considered a mid-cycle high only months after the November 2022 bear market low. He also said that he didn’t include the period between 2013 and 2019 since it never experienced a mid-cycle correction.

The post Bitcoin Could Hit $380K-$450K by March 2028, Says Analyst appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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Pi Network Begins Ninth Protocol Upgrade Ahead of Final Version 27

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Pi Network (PI) Price Performance.

Pi Network (PI) saw a modest rise as the Pi Core Team began rolling out Protocol 26, the first of two remaining upgrades to its Mainnet.

Node operators have until August 11 to finish the update to maintain their connection to the Mainnet.

Pi Network Sets an August 11 Deadline for Node Operators

The Pi Core Team announced the rollout on Wednesday and directed operators to its node page for instructions.

“This migration is straightforward and should complete in under 5 minutes; in rare cases, restarts may take longer—please allow them to finish. Do not perform it to all of your nodes at the same time,” the instructions read.

Protocol 26 is the ninth protocol upgrade Pi has shipped over the past few months. Protocol 27 will close the current sequence.

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The team stated that together, the two releases will bring the Mainnet up to date with the network’s latest protocol features and functionality.

Follow us on X to get the latest news as it happens

Upgrade News Lifts PI Price, but Rallies Keep Fading

Meanwhile, PI price ticked higher on the upgrade development. The token was up 6.66% to $0.0822 over 24 hours, outpacing the broader crypto market’s 0.71% gain.

Pi Network (PI) Price Performance.
Pi Network (PI) Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto Markets

A similar reaction followed the network’s product work. PI gained more than 3.5% in mid-July when Pi redesigned its mining app menu and profile page.

The rebound remains narrow, however. PI trades down 11.7% over the past 7 days and 29% over the past 30 days.

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Earlier upgrades produced the same pattern. Pi activated Protocol 25 on July 22, and PI briefly tagged $0.103 days earlier before losing the $0.10 level.

Supply explains part of that ceiling. PiScan data showed roughly 4.25 million PI unlocking each day, with about 1.71 billion scheduled to enter circulation over 12 months.

The August 11 cutoff hands traders another dated catalyst. Prior deadlines delivered short bounces rather than a durable trend, and the upcoming upgrades will test whether that changes.

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The post Pi Network Begins Ninth Protocol Upgrade Ahead of Final Version 27 appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Perplexity AI Just Dropped a Bitcoin Predicts That Has Traders Worried

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Perplexity AI Just Dropped a Bitcoin Predicts That Has Traders Worried

Perplexity AI predicts an explosive rally for Bitcoin, and this Bitcoin price prediction does not hold back on the number. The call is $180,000 to $230,000 by the end of 2026, a target built on what the model calls a slow bull institutional phase rather than a sharp speculative spike.

Record ETF inflows are projected to top $300 billion, layered against sovereign adoption through a US Strategic Reserve. That combination is framed as overwhelming the post-halving supply shock entirely, meaning demand simply outpaces the reduced flow of new coins hitting the market.

Potential Fed rate cuts add a second structural bid on top of that. Enhanced liquidity tends to push capital toward risk assets, and Bitcoin has historically been a major beneficiary of exactly that kind of environment.

Source: Perplexity AI Bitcoin Price Prediction

Regulatory clarity through the GENIUS Act rounds out the case. Perplexity frames this as the piece that legitimizes corporate treasury allocation, effectively giving more companies permission to hold Bitcoin on their balance sheets the way a handful of early movers already have.

Even the base case here is aggressive. A new all time high near $150,000 to $200,000 is treated as the expected outcome rather than the stretch scenario.

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The bear case is not dismissed though. If ETF flows stall or a macro recession triggers deleveraging, Perplexity sees Bitcoin retesting support between $60,000 and $80,000.

The model still frames a collapse below current levels as increasingly unlikely, arguing the institutional floor beneath this market has genuinely strengthened compared to prior cycles.

Bitcoin (BTC)
24h7d30d1yAll time

Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Has Spent Six Months Retracing The Same 20,000 Dollar Range

Price closed at $63,835, up 0.22%, in a session ranging between $62,684 and $64,035. That modest green day sits inside a chart that has been repeating itself since spring.

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Zoom out and the shape is unmistakable. Bitcoin topped near $128,000 in October 2025, then broke down hard through January, gapping from above $96,000 to under $72,000 in a matter of weeks.

Since that crash, price built a rounded recovery through spring that peaked near $82,000 in May, then rolled over into a sharp flush back to $60,000 in June. The climb since that June low has been steady, and it has now pushed BTC price back to almost exactly where the May rally first started.

Support sits at $60,000, the level defended through June. Below that, $52,000 marks the last major shelf from earlier in the cycle.

Resistance stacks at $66,000, then $70,000, then the heavier May ceiling near $82,000 that has already rejected one full rally attempt this year. Momentum here is mildly positive but not extended, consistent with a market grinding sideways rather than breaking out in either direction.

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For Perplexity’s base case to gain real traction, Bitcoin needs to clear $82,000, a level this exact chart has already failed at once this year. Until that happens, this remains the same range it has been trading since May, just retraced from a different direction.

Don’t Miss Out on Our $1,000 USDT Airdrop on ByBit

Here is What Perplexity AI Predicts About LiquidChain

The rotation has already happened. Most people will realize it too late.

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Large caps are boxed in. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP keep testing the same ceilings with nothing giving way. Every macro catalyst has a new date. Every institutional wave arrives next quarter. Waiting on someone else’s timeline is not a trade.

A capital that has navigated enough cycles moves before the destination has a name.

Small market cap infrastructure plays on different physics entirely. A modest rotation that vanishes as noise at Bitcoin’s scale can reprice an undiscovered project by multiples. The returns live in the gap between what something is genuinely worth and what the market has assigned it. That gap closes permanently the moment discovery happens.

Multi-chain fragmentation bleeds DeFi every single day. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana run as completely isolated systems. Every user crossing those boundaries pays in fees, slippage, and failed transactions. Every single time.

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Perplexity AI predicts LiquidChain fixes that will entirely fix it. All 3 networks inside one execution layer. One deployment. Zero cross-chain tax anywhere.

The presale is at $0.01454 with just over $900,000 raised. The market has not found this yet. That is exactly the point.

Execution is unproven. Adoption is unknown. LiquidChain is an entry point that disappears the moment the market looks up.

Visit LiquidChain.

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XRP at $100 Requires Collateral Lock-Up, Not Payment Flow, Analyst Shows

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🧵

The dominant Ripple bull case, that processing SWIFT-scale payment flows alone could justify a $100 token price, is mathematically flawed, according to crypto analyst xrpl_Adam. Because XRP settles transactions within seconds, the same tokens can be reused repeatedly throughout the day, limiting the amount of capital that needs to remain in circulation. Under that model, payment volume by itself does not create the scarcity needed to support extreme valuations.

In a July 29 thread on X, xrpl_Adam argued that “volume doesn’t set the price. Idle inventory does.” He compared XRP to gold, whose value comes largely from long-term holdings, collateral, and reserve status rather than transaction throughput. The argument is that XRP would need to become an asset institutions hold as collateral instead of simply using it for settlement if it were ever to reach triple-digit prices.

XRP has a maximum supply of 100 billion tokens, with roughly 59 to 60 billion currently in circulation, while the remainder is largely held in escrow under Ripple’s release schedule. At a $100 price, XRP’s fully diluted valuation would approach $10 trillion, while a $1,000 price would imply around $100 trillion. Those figures far exceed what a payment utility alone could reasonably support, making institutional reserve demand the central requirement behind the thesis.

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Ripple Is Building Infrastructure, but the Missing Piece Remains

The idea has attracted attention because Ripple is expanding its institutional infrastructure. The company completed its $1.25 billion acquisition of Hidden Road, giving it control of a global prime brokerage business that provides clearing, financing, and collateral services to institutional clients. Prime brokers play a key role in determining which assets qualify as eligible collateral across financial markets.

Ripple has also strengthened Hidden Road’s institutional profile. KBRA assigned Hidden Road investment-grade credit ratings in 2026, improving its standing with counterparties that require rated institutions. However, neither Hidden Road nor Ripple has publicly listed XRP as eligible collateral under any published margin or collateral framework. Brad Garlinghouse has discussed that possibility as a long-term objective rather than an existing feature.

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Xrp (XRP)
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XRP is currently trading around $1.06, so replace this with your API data. Likewise, remove the references to $1.09, 2% daily gains, 5% weekly losses, and the claim that XRP remains 70% below its all-time high of $3.65 unless your live pricing supports them. The all-time high should also be verified before publication.

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Collateral, Not Payment Volume, Is the Key Question

Institutional interest in XRP continues to expand through products such as spot ETFs, although ETF ownership and collateral lockups are fundamentally different. ETF investors can buy and sell shares freely, whereas collateral pledged against institutional positions remains encumbered until those positions are closed. That distinction is central to xrpl_Adam’s argument that idle inventory, rather than payment activity, would be the real driver behind a sustained supply shock.

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Exterior view of the modern glass facade of the Goldman Sachs headquarters building at dusk. ripple

The broader trend toward tokenized collateral is also gaining momentum as traditional finance adopts more on-chain infrastructure. That could eventually strengthen the case for XRP, but no major institution has formally recognized the token as eligible collateral. Until that changes, payment volume alone is unlikely to justify a $100 XRP valuation, making collateral adoption the milestone investors should watch most closely.

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The post XRP at $100 Requires Collateral Lock-Up, Not Payment Flow, Analyst Shows appeared first on Cryptonews.

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