Bitcoin (BTC) starts a new week in fighting form as $80,000 returns after a three-month absence.

• Bitcoin finally taps the $80,000 mark for the first time since late January, as a trader brings $88,000 and higher back into focus.
• The Bitcoin bear flag construction is in the spotlight, while some still see a new macro breakdown coming.
• Dissent at the Federal Reserve contrasts with record highs for the S&P 500, but analysis warns that stocks are not safe.
• Oil is done and the overall supply overhang will drive a comedown, new research says in a potential risk-asset tailwind.
• Bitcoin’s MVRV ratio metric is now at its highest levels since late January.

BTC price can hit $88,000 and higher next: Trader

It started with a break through a key 21-week trend line last week, and now, Bitcoin is back at $80,000 for the first time in three months.

Data from TradingView shows new local highs of $80,617 on Bitstamp.

The weekly close did not disappoint, becoming Bitcoin’s highest since late January and only its second above the 21-week trend line since October 2025.

BTC/USD one-week chart with 21EMA. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Correspondingly, market participants are daring to forecast even highs levels next. For crypto trader and analyst Michaël van de Poppe, $88,000 is just the start.

“Bitcoin looks primed for upwards momentum,” he wrote in one of his latest posts on X. 

“Very keen to see how the markets will react when the US opens, especially given the positive ETF flows of last Friday. Breakout above $79K opens the opportunities all the way towards $86-88K for coming period.”

BTC/USDT one-day chart. Source: Michaël van de Poppe/X

Van de Poppe referred to Friday’s $630 million net inflows for US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

As a result of February’s drop to the $60,000 zone, which he described as “one of the strongest corrections in its existence,” Van de Poppe suggested that a reset of onchain indicators had now locked in.

“That means: we can easily run to $92-95K without any breakdown of the bear market trend, and we can easily start a bull market from here,” another post stated on Sunday.

Traders split over Bitcoin’s bear flag

Bitcoin pushing to $80,000 has implications for a multi-month bearish structure on the daily BTC/USD chart. This bear flag, Bitcoin’s second of 2026, is now tantalizingly close to being left behind.

At the same time, a failure to break higher leaves price vulnerable to a comedown — possibly to new macro lows.

“If it does lose this structure, a deeper move down in that 30–40% range wouldn’t be surprising and the whole market probably feels it,” trader and investor Crypto Storm wrote in a post on X. 

“Only real shift in this view is a clean daily close back above 80K, that would flip things bullish again.”

BTC/USDT one-day chart. Source: CryptoStorm/X

Trader BitBull is among those seeing failure as the likely outcome, telling X followers that they would soon begin building short positions with a $60,000 target.

“$BTC bear flag is very close to completion,” they summarized.

BTC/USDT one-day chart. Source: BitBull/X

Consensus, however, is far from unanimous about where BTC/USD will go next. For trader Jeff Sun, the signals are clear that Bitcoin bulls have already won out.

“Spot has now reclaimed $80,000 for the first time since January 31, 2026. This is a position I have been building via ETF since early March,” he reported on Monday.

Sun described the structure as “not a bear flag” based on the latest three-month price highs.

BTC/USD one-day chart. Source: Jeff Sun/X

Like Sun, late last month, Jurrien Timmer, director of global macro at Fidelity Investments, pointed to Bitcoin’s rebound from the $60,000 area in early February. 

“The rally off the $60,033 low could still be described as a bear flag (not unlike the bear market rally last fall), but my sense is that Bitcoin continues to build a large base here in preparation for the next major up wave,” he told X followers at the time.

Fed rate cuts “over for now” as officials spar

As the US-Iran war grinds on for a third month, its impact on inflation is increasingly on officials’ minds.

The Federal Reserve’s latest interest-rate meeting underscored the Iran tensions, along with near three-year highs in its “preferred” inflation gauge.

Consensus over policy was noticeably under strain, and dissent from four members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) made for the most conflicted meeting statement since the early 1990s.

“The primary reason for dissent was against language in the meeting statement indicating an easing bias,” trading resource Mosaic Asset Company commented on the topic in the latest edition of its regular newsletter, The Market Mosaic. 

“Leading indicators of the fed funds rate indicates that the Fed’s easing cycle is over for now.”

Fed target rate probabilities (screenshot). Source: CME Group

As multiple senior Fed figures take to the stage this week and Chair Jerome Powell is replaced by Kevin Warsh on May 15, data from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool shows that easing is the last thing that markets now expect this year.

Risk assets traditionally struggle when policy is at risk of tightening. So far, however, stocks have shaken off any cold feet, with the S&P 500 hitting new record highs last week.

Continuing, Mosaic said that those highs were driven by a “sharp jump in corporate earnings.”

“If inflation does start accelerating further in the months ahead, that could add significant pressure to stock valuations,” it warned. 

“High inflation tends to lead to high interest rates, which makes the present value of future corporate profits worth less in present value terms.”

S&P 500 one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Oil gains “fully priced in” despite Iran war

In analytics circles, there is growing conviction over the fate of global oil prices.

In his latest Commodity Report on Monday, analyst Lukas Kuemmerle said that despite the ongoing supply squeeze, the overall trend still points to supply outweighing demand. 

“Brent crude is currently trading around $112 per barrel, up from $61 at the start of the year. The price has tested the March and April highs three times in the past month — and each time it has been rejected,” he noted. 

“This is classic technical behaviour for a market where the bullish story is fully priced in.”

Crude oil futures one-day chart. Source: Lukas Kuemmerle

Kuemmerle said that markets have not forgotten the “supply growth” narrative for 2026, and that an oil-price comedown is all the more likely because of it.

“Even Goldman Sachs, the most war-bullish of the major banks, sees Brent averaging $85 with the Hormuz disruption fully priced in,” he continued.

Brent spot passed $120 per barrel for the first time since 2022 last week, subsequently cooling before returning to $115 to start the week.

Spot Brent crude oil one-week chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Kuemmerle, meanwhile, adds that “hedge funds that wanted to be long the Iran story are already long.” 

“The flow has turned,” he concluded, saying that smart money “has already repositioned for the reversal.”

Bitcoin MVRV ratio shows ongoing recovery

A key Bitcoin onchain metric is increasingly supporting the bull case this month.

Data from onchain analytics platform CryptoQuant this week flags multimonth highs in Bitcoin’s market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio tool.

MVRV ratio compares Bitcoin’s market cap to the price at which the supply last moved, also known as its “realized cap.”

Values below 1 suggest oversold conditions, with the metric dipping to lows near 1.1 during Bitcoin’s trip to $60,000.

“The Bitcoin MVRV Ratio is currently reading around 1.45, a significant level as it represents one of its highest readings since the beginning of 2026,” CryptoQuant contributor Arab Chain now notes. 

“This signal reflects a clear improvement in Bitcoin’s market valuation relative to its realized value, suggesting that the market has begun to regain an important portion of its momentum following a period of decline and rebalancing during the first months of the year.”

Bitcoin MVRV ratio. Source: CryptoQuant

Arab Chain describes MVRV as showing a “gradual improvement in investor profitability.”

“If the indicator continues to climb in the coming period, it could point to the market entering a stronger and more mature phase within the broader upward trend,” it adds.

Key Highlights

• AI company launches $1.5B initiative focused on private equity portfolio businesses
• Leading investment firms commit substantial capital to enterprise automation deployment
• New platform will deliver AI capabilities for financial operations, data analysis, and customer support
• Financial sector deepens commitment to commercial artificial intelligence applications
• Portfolio companies stand to benefit from standardized AI-powered business solutions

A groundbreaking $1.5 billion collaboration is taking shape between Anthropic and leading financial institutions including Blackstone and Goldman Sachs. This strategic partnership aims to deliver comprehensive AI automation solutions to businesses backed by private equity investors. The initiative represents a significant shift toward enterprise-focused artificial intelligence deployment led by prominent Wall Street players.

Major Financial Institutions Rally Behind AI Deployment Initiative

According to reporting from the Wall Street Journal, the collaboration will see Anthropic, Blackstone, and Hellman & Friedman each contributing approximately $300 million to the initiative. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs is expected to allocate around $150 million to the effort. Additional financial institutions may participate as the partnership structure moves toward finalization.

The initiative’s primary focus will be delivering AI-powered solutions to businesses within private equity portfolios. Such companies typically require enhanced reporting capabilities, operational efficiency improvements, and cost reduction measures. As a result, this approach provides Anthropic with strategic access to enterprises already operating under sponsor-driven improvement frameworks.

Planned AI applications span enterprise software integration, customer support automation, business intelligence, financial management, and operational workflows. The platform may additionally enable portfolio companies to implement consistent technology standards across multiple divisions. Sources indicate a public announcement could materialize as soon as May 4.

Investment Giants Strengthen Corporate Technology Footprint

Blackstone’s participation provides the collaboration with extensive connections throughout the private equity ecosystem. The firm’s involvement can facilitate widespread adoption among portfolio enterprises seeking enhanced digital infrastructure. Goldman Sachs contributes substantial financial resources and extensive corporate networks that position the platform for rapid expansion.

Hellman & Friedman’s participation further reinforces the venture’s foundation within the private equity sector, given its significant presence across software, business services, and financial technology sectors. The firm’s anticipated $300 million investment underscores the partnership’s grounding in private equity expertise. This framework combines cutting-edge AI development with organizations experienced in enterprise cost optimization and operational transformation.

The collaboration emerges amid growing demand from financial sponsors for actionable AI solutions beyond experimental software implementations. Numerous portfolio companies seek quantifiable improvements in customer service, analytical capabilities, financial reporting, and administrative functions. This venture emphasizes practical business applications rather than consumer-oriented experimentation.

Corporate AI Adoption Accelerates Through Private Equity Channels

Anthropic has attracted increasing interest as organizations evaluate AI platforms for sophisticated workplace applications. Reports have also surfaced regarding potential fundraising activities at significantly elevated valuations. Nonetheless, this partnership primarily underscores market appetite for direct enterprise distribution mechanisms and expanded commercial implementation.

The enterprise AI landscape remains highly competitive, with OpenAI similarly pursuing private equity collaborations. Such initiatives demonstrate how AI developers seek connections to expansive corporate networks and scalable implementation pathways. Furthermore, financial sponsors can accelerate technology adoption when portfolio businesses share comparable operational requirements.

Anthropic has additionally engaged in preliminary discussions with UK-based chip developer Fractile regarding inference processing resources. Such specialized processors enable faster model execution with reduced computational expenses. Therefore, Anthropic is coordinating software expansion efforts with computational infrastructure planning as enterprise AI requirements intensify.

U.S.-listed cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase has integrated trading protocol DFlow, allowing traders to exchange value across spot and prediction markets natively on Solana, the companies said on Monday.

Coinbase adding DFlow as its primary router will mean eight times less trade failures. The move also increases liquidity on tokens that were previously untradeable, and improves the prices users receive, according to a press release.

The DFlow aggregator, which services over a million active traders per month, was tapped by prediction market giant Kalshi in December. Coinbase said that before DFlow, roughly one in 30 trades on Coinbase’s Solana product could not be routed due to insufficient liquidity coverage; now it’s one in 250.

In addition, many smaller Solana tokens previously returned “no liquidity” when users tried to sell them. DFlow finds routes that other aggregators miss, turning failed trades into successful ones, particularly on the sell side, according to a press release.

“The best trading experience means trading infrastructure that works 24/7, has the best coverage, and provides the best price. Adding DFlow helps with all three of those,” said Richard Wu, Onchain Trading at Coinbase.

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Crypto markets are set for a busy token unlock period between May 4 and May 11. 

According to Tokenomist data shared by WuBlockchain, large cliff and linear unlocks will release more than $229 million in tokens this week.

These releases include Hyperliquid, Ethena, Space and Time, RedStone, Opinion, Rain, Solana, Corn, TRUMP, Worldcoin and Bittensor. Traders often track unlocks because new supply “could” add short-term selling pressure if demand does not absorb it.

HYPE and ENA lead cliff unlocks

Hyperliquid will unlock 422,000 HYPE tokens worth about $17.51 million. The release equals 0.11% of adjusted released supply, making it one of the largest cliff unlocks by dollar value this week.

Ethena will also release 171.88 million ENA tokens worth around $17.28 million. The unlock accounts for 2.12% of adjusted released supply. ENA is the governance token of Ethena, the Ethereum-based protocol behind the USDe synthetic dollar.

SXT, RED and OPN add more supply

Space and Time will unlock 387.64 million SXT tokens valued at about $5.96 million. The release represents 23.20% of adjusted released supply, making it the largest unlock by supply ratio among the listed cliff unlocks.

RedStone will release 40.85 million RED tokens worth about $5.54 million. The amount equals 12.20% of adjusted released supply. Opinion will also unlock 32.09 million OPN tokens worth about $5.45 million, equal to 12.22% of adjusted released supply.

Linear unlocks add daily market pressure

Tokenomist data also shows large linear unlocks from May 4 to May 11. Rain leads this group with 10.47 billion RAIN tokens worth $78.39 million, equal to 2.19% of circulating supply.

Solana follows with 464,650 SOL worth about $38.90 million. The release equals only 0.08% of circulating supply, giving it a smaller supply ratio despite its larger dollar value.

Corn will unlock 191.71 million CC tokens worth $28.36 million, equal to 0.50% of circulating supply. TRUMP will release 6.33 million tokens worth $14.75 million, equal to 2.72% of circulating supply.

Worldcoin will unlock 37.23 million WLD tokens worth $9.70 million. Bittensor will release 25,200 TAO tokens worth $7.29 million.

Capital B has secured fresh backing from Blockstream CEO Adam Back through a 1.1 million euro ($1.28 million) warrant issuance, deepening the cryptographer’s exposure to the French-listed Bitcoin treasury firm.

According to a Monday announcement from Capital B, Back subscribed to 10 million warrants priced at 0.11 euros ($0.13) each, with every warrant granting the right to purchase a new share at an exercise price of 0.84 euros ($0.98). The company said the exercise price aligns with its market net asset value, placing mNAV at 1.1 per share.

Already among the firm’s largest investors, Back’s position expands further through the deal. Capital B said his holdings now exceed 39.5 million shares, representing 9.97% ownership on a fully diluted basis. Back, known for creating Hashcash, contributed one of the proof-of-work systems cited in the Bitcoin white paper.

Capital raise strengthens Bitcoin accumulation push

Capital B said the proceeds will be directed toward accelerating its Bitcoin treasury strategy, a move that coincided with a positive reaction in its share price. Data from Yahoo Finance shows the company’s stock rose more than 6.5% on Monday following the announcement, although it remains down over 16% since the start of 2026.

Bitcointreasuries.net data places Capital B as the 25th-largest corporate Bitcoin holder, with 2,943 BTC valued at roughly $234 million.

Activity across similar firms has diverged in recent weeks as companies adjust to market conditions. Capital B and UK-based Connecting Excellence Group were the only Bitcoin treasury firms in Europe to raise capital over the past month, according to available disclosures. Connecting Excellence Group raised $794,000 on April 23, also with backing from Back.

Elsewhere, companies have taken a more defensive approach. On April 24, Nasdaq-listed Nakamoto said it had launched an actively managed derivatives program designed to generate income from volatility while hedging downside exposure on its Bitcoin holdings. In a March 30 filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Nakamoto disclosed the sale of 284 BTC, worth about $20 million at the time, making it the largest treasury firm this year to report trimming its holdings.

Meanwhile, Genius Group said it had liquidated its entire Bitcoin treasury of 84 BTC in February, raising about $5.7 million to repay an $8.5 million debt obligation, according to disclosures submitted to the SEC.