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Market Analysis: Gold Hit Hard While WTI Crude Oil Rallies on Intensifying Iran Crisis

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Market Analysis: Gold Hit Hard While WTI Crude Oil Rallies on Intensifying Iran Crisis

Gold price extended losses below $4,500 before the bulls appeared. WTI Crude oil prices are rising and could climb further higher toward $105.00.

Important Takeaways for Gold and WTI Crude Oil Prices Analysis Today

· Gold price failed to clear $5,000 and declined heavily against the US Dollar.

· There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $4,525 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.

· WTI Crude oil prices are moving higher above the $95.00 resistance zone.

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· There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line at $97.00 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.

Gold Price Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price failed to settle above $5,000 and reacted to the downside, as discussed in the previous analysis. The price traded below $4,800 and $4,650 to enter a bearish zone.

There was a sharp drop below $4,500. The price settled below the 50-hour simple moving average, and RSI dipped below 30. Finally, it tested the $4,320 zone. A low was formed at $4,319, and the price is now consolidating losses.

Immediate resistance on the upside is $4,420 or the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $4,734 swing high to the $4,319 low.

The first major hurdle sits at $4,525. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $4,525 and the 50% Fib retracement. A close above $4,525 could initiate a recovery wave to $4,635. An upside break above $4,635 could send Gold price toward $4,735. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward $5,010.

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If there is no fresh increase, the price could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $4,320 level. The first key area of interest might be $4,300. If there is a downside break below $4,300, the price might decline further. In the stated case, the price might drop to $4,200.

WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price started a strong increase from $91.80 against the US Dollar. The price gained bullish momentum after it broke $95.00.

There was a sustained upward movement above $95.50 and $98.00. More importantly, there was a break above a connecting bearish trend line at $97.00. The bulls pushed the price above the 50-hour simple moving average, and the RSI climbed toward 60.

A high was formed near $99.42 before there was a minor pullback. The price declined below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $91.77 swing low to the $99.42 high.

However, the bulls are active above $95.00. Immediate resistance is $99.40. If the price climbs further, it could face hurdles near $100.00. The next major stop for the bulls might be $102.00. Any more gain might send the price toward $105.00.

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Conversely, the price might correct gains and retest the 50-hour simple moving average at $95.60 and the 50% Fib retracement. The next area of interest on the WTI crude oil chart could be $94.70.

If there is a downside break, the price might decline to $91.80. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward $85.00.

Start trading commodity CFDs with tight spreads (additional fees may apply). Open your trading account now or learn more about trading commodity CFDs with FXOpen.

This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

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Bitmine (BMNR) buys 65,341 ETH worth $138 million betting on crypto slump ending

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Bitmine (BMNR) buys 65,341 ETH worth $138 million betting on crypto slump ending

Bitmine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) said Monday it bought 65,341 ether (ETH) last week, extending a recent surge in purchases as the firm continues to lean into the market downturn.

The latest acquisition, worth roughly $138 million at current ETH prices, lifted the firm’s total holdings above 4.66 million tokens, cornering 3.86% of ETH’s circulating supply, according to a Monday update.

Bitmine has now increased its pace of buying for three consecutive weeks, stepping up from a prior average of around 50,000 tokens per week. Meanwhile, the firm also increased its cash holdings to $1.1 billion.

Chairman Thomas “Tom” Lee said the increase in buying pace reflects the firm’s view that crypto markets are nearing the end of a prolonged slump.

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“Our base case is ETH is in the final stages of the ‘mini-crypto winter,’ he said in a statement.

The firm is still sitting on an estimated $7 billion unrealized loss on its ether purchases, DropsTab data shows, as crypto prices tumbled over the past months.

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Coinbase users blast ‘March Madness’ push notifications

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Coinbase users blast 'March Madness' push notifications

Coinbase users are complaining about receiving multiple push notifications per day urging them to “predict” sports gameplay during “March Madness” college basketball.

Indeed, so many complaints were reported via X that it became a trending topic yesterday.

Many customers, echoing allegations by state attorneys general in Michigan and Arizona, described the annoying promotions as de facto advertisements to gamble on sports.

Coinbase, is one of the longest continually-operated bitcoin (BTC) exchanges which safeguards billions of dollars’ worth of assets for customers.

However, rather than focus on long-term investments like BTC, Coinbase regularly floods its app with short-term promotions, all-or-nothing predictions, memecoins, leveraged derivatives, and other high-risk wagers. 

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Full-screen promotions tempt many users into risky trades while many customers don’t see a single mention of BTC during their entire Coinbase app experience.

Indeed, the homepage of the app as of Protos’ last check, featured a “March Madness” advertisement at the top of the homescreen with no mention of BTC above the fold.

One customer and Coinbase stockholder posted screenshots of the basketball notifications, which arrived several times daily. “This is essentially encouraging me to gamble,” he wrote.

‘Very bad for our industry’

CEO Brian Armstrong responded the same afternoon, calling it “a fair point” and promising customization options. However, the concession only drew sharper criticism.

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Alexander Leishman, founder of BTC exchange River, replied to Armstrong: “It’s long term very bad for our industry to be pushing sports betting. The blowback will impact all of us.”

Days earlier, a Messari researcher had posted a nearly identical complaint. “Why am I getting notifications from Coinbase about betting odds for college basketball games?” he wrote.

“This is just reinforcing the notion that crypto is just another gambling product, and not an actual investment to be taken seriously.”

Crypto attorney Ariel Givner compared the moment to Juul’s rise and fall.

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Other users were more blunt. “Every time I open your d*** app, I’m getting bombarded with gambling notifications,” one wrote, tagging Coinbase directly.

Read more: NHS exec warns that crypto trading could fuel problem gambling

Coinbase sports ‘event contracts’

Coinbase launched prediction markets in all 50 states in January 2026 through a partnership with Kalshi.

Users can place “prediction” trades on sports, politics, and culture outcomes, funding trades with cash or USDC. Under federal law, these are legally “event contracts,” not sports bets.

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Coinbase has sued regulators in Connecticut, Michigan, and Illinois who disagree.

The legal distinction hasn’t convinced everyone.

Nevada, Illinois, and Connecticut have all argued these contracts are functionally gambling while a class action lawsuit in New York alleged that Kalshi “dupes consumers… when they are actually gambling against the house.”

Illinois regulators stated plainly that athletic competitions aren’t economic instruments. Chris Christie told CNBC, “If it looks like a duck and quacks like a duck, it’s a duck. It’s a sports bet.”

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Coinbase disagrees entirely and is suing various regulators who have likened its prediction markets to gambling.

Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news, follow us on X, Bluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.

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Stablecoins Key Role in Agentic AI, Despite Limited Adoption: Bernstein

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Stablecoins Key Role in Agentic AI, Despite Limited Adoption: Bernstein

Stablecoins could benefit from the rise of AI-driven payments over time, even as early adoption remains limited and contested, according to a new report from Bernstein.

In a Monday note shared with Cointelegraph, the broker said stablecoins could help unlock machine-to-machine payments by making microtransactions viable and enabling programmable, conditional payments between software agents without a human in the loop.

But Bernstein said traction so far has been limited. The note said Stripe and Tempo’s machine payments protocol recorded about $5,000 in stablecoin volume in its first week, while Coinbase’s x402 protocol handled no more than $25 million over the last 30 days.

Bernstein’s chart put x402 volume at about $24 million over that period. x402 is a payment standard developed by Coinbase that lets AI agents automatically make payments over the internet.

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The bigger point for Bernstein was that stablecoins do not need machine payments to succeed in order to keep growing. The note said stablecoin demand is already being driven by cross-border business payments, remittances, card-linked products and neobanking, making AI payments an upside case rather than the core thesis.

The report follows growing interest in autonomous payment solutions. On Thursday, Visa’s crypto division launched a tool allowing AI agents to make same-day payments, while Stripe-backed Tempo launched its blockchain and payment protocol.

X402 protocol payment flow. Source: Bernstein

Bernstein said broader payment use cases are still the real growth engine for stablecoins. Its note estimated total stablecoin payment volume rose to $375 billion in 2025 from $213 billion in 2024, led by consumer-to-consumer flows, while business-to-consumer, business-to-business and consumer-to-business activity also increased.

Related: Stablecoin issuers and fintechs race to own payment rails

Coinbase, Circle remain best “proxies” for stablecoin adoption

Cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase and stablecoin issuer Circle remain the “best proxies for stablecoin upside” due to their USDC (USDC) partnership, according to Bernstein.

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It also argued that USDC is likely to capture a dominant share of machine-payment activity because it is the most liquid and regulated stablecoin among likely candidates.

So far in 2026, USDC recorded $2.4 trillion in adjusted transaction volume while Tether’s USDt (USDT) recorded $1.4 trillion.

Total adjusted stablecoin transaction volume, in trillion. Source: Bernstein

Wash trading concerns cloud early metrics

Some of the headline machine-payment numbers have already drawn skepticism.

AI Agent payment volume on x402 only amounted to $1.6 million after applying the wash trading filter developed by Artemis Analytics, which is significantly lower than the initial $24 million reported by news outlet Bloomberg, according to a16z partner Noah Levine.

Source: Noah Levine

“$1.6 million is not a big number. But the infrastructure being built around it is,” wrote Levine in a March 11 X post, adding that x402 was already integrated by the likes of Stripe, Cloudflare, Vercel and Google’s agent payments protocol.