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Markets Roar Back as Nasdaq and Russell 2000 Wipe Out War Losses in Powerful Rally

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • Nasdaq and Russell 2000 have fully recovered losses from the March selloff, rising nearly 9% from recent lows.
  • Strong liquidity conditions and rising global M2 supply continue to support equity market resilience and recovery.
  • ISM data holding above 52 for three months signals steady economic activity backing market strength.
  • Large-cap stocks lead the recovery while small caps follow, reflecting improving but cautious risk appetite.

U.S. equities have staged a swift recovery, with major indices erasing losses linked to recent geopolitical tensions. Market data shows both large-cap and small-cap benchmarks rebounding sharply, supported by strong liquidity conditions and steady macroeconomic signals.

Nasdaq Leads Recovery as Large Caps Approach Record Levels

A recent post by Bull Theory noted that both the Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000 have fully recovered from declines tied to the US-Iran conflict. The Nasdaq 100, in particular, has climbed back near its all-time highs after a sharp March 2026 drop.

Weekly data shows the Nasdaq opened at 24,143 and closed at 25,116, after reaching a high of 25,226. The index had fallen toward the 23,000 level during the geopolitical selloff. However, buyers returned quickly, pushing prices back above key support at 24,000.

The broader trend remains upward, with the index rising from around 16,500 to near 26,000 before the correction.

Earlier disruptions, including tariff-related concerns in 2025, did not slow the longer-term move. Instead, price action shows consistent recovery patterns after each macro-driven decline.

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Current levels place the Nasdaq close to resistance between 25,500 and 26,000. Market behavior suggests continued strength, with multiple bullish weekly candles forming after the March low. This pattern reflects sustained demand, particularly in large-cap technology stocks.

At the same time, the speed of the rebound indicates that market participants are responding more to liquidity conditions than short-term geopolitical risks. The absence of extended consolidation also points to strong underlying momentum.

Russell 2000 Follows With Steady Gains as Risk Appetite Builds

The Russell 2000 has also recovered, though it remains slightly below its previous highs. According to the Bull Theory update, the index is up roughly 9% from its March bottom, mirroring the Nasdaq’s recovery pace.

Weekly figures show the Russell opened at 2,527 and closed at 2,630, with a high of 2,646. During the March decline, it dropped toward the 2,400–2,450 range. That move marked an approximate 11% pullback before buyers stepped in.

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The index has since reclaimed the 2,600 level, supported by a series of strong weekly gains. Still, it trails the Nasdaq in reaching its peak, with resistance seen between 2,650 and 2,700. This slower recovery aligns with typical market behavior, where large caps often lead before smaller stocks catch up.

Earlier tariff-related volatility in 2025 also triggered a sharp dip near 1,800, followed by a rapid rebound. That pattern has repeated, reinforcing the view that recent declines were driven by external shocks rather than internal weakness.

Across both indices, synchronized movements suggest a shared macro influence rather than isolated sector stress. The quick recovery from the March selloff reflects stable demand conditions and continued capital flow into equities.

Supporting data adds context to the rebound. Global M2 money supply has reached record levels, while ISM readings have stayed above 52 for three straight months. Inflation trends also remain contained, near multi-year lows.

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As markets approach resistance zones, price action around these levels will guide the next phase. A sustained move above recent highs could extend the rally, while rejection may lead to a consolidation range.

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Billionaire Tim Draper Predicts Bitcoin Will Reach This Price in 18 Months

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Billionaire Tim Draper Predicts Bitcoin Will Reach This Price in 18 Months

Venture capitalist Tim Draper recounted his Bitcoin (BTC) history, renewing his call for a $250,000 price target.

The billionaire said his BTC journey began with a failed attempt to buy at $4 per coin. He had arranged for Peter Vessenes to mine Bitcoin using Butterfly Labs chips. However, the manufacturer allegedly used the chips for its own mining before shipping them.

A Series of Losses Led to a Defining Bet

By the time Vessenes received the equipment, BTC had already climbed above $30. The mined coins were stored on Mt. Gox, the dominant exchange at the time.

When Mt. Gox collapsed in 2014, Draper lost his entire position.

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The loss prompted deeper research. Draper found that BTC was being used for remittances and paying unbanked workers. That conviction led him to the US Marshals Service auction in July 2014. He bid $632 per BTC and won all nine lots, totaling roughly 29,656 coins.

He then appeared on Fox Business and predicted BTC would hit $10,000 in three years.

That forecast proved accurate almost to the day in November 2017.

Draper Eyes $250,000 Within 18 Months

Draper now suggests BTC could reach $250,000 within 18 months. He cited inflationary pressures and a weakening dollar as tailwinds.

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“I have reason to believe that Bitcoin will reach $250k in 18 months… and eventually I expect the number to be higher as Bitcoin rises and the dollar falls to inflationary pressures,” he wrote in his latest post.

However, it is worth noting that Draper has issued a Bitcoin price target of $250,000 in the past, yet BTC has gotten nowhere close in six years.

Bitcoin Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto

BTC traded near $74,205 at the time of writing. Other prominent voices, including Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson, have also targeted $250,000. That level remains more than three times the current price.

The post Billionaire Tim Draper Predicts Bitcoin Will Reach This Price in 18 Months appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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BTC completes rebound from Feb. 5 crash

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BTC completes rebound from Feb. 5 crash

Bitcoin touched $75,900 in mid-morning U.S. trading hours on Tuesday, marking its highest level since before February 5, when the price crashed down to $60,000.

Optimism about developments in the Iran war is sparking solid gains across risk assets and continued declines in oil prices. The Nasdaq was ahead 1.2% and WTI crude was lower by 6% to $93 per barrel.

Crypto-related stocks were higher across the board as well. Strategy (MSTR) was up 7.6, Coinbase (COIN) 6.2%, Circle (CRCL) 11% and Galaxy Digital (GLXY) 8.3%.

Bitcoin miners — most of which have altered their business plans to focus on AI-related data center buildouts — were also making large upside moves, led by the former Bitfarms, now Keel Infrastructure (KEEL), which was up 20.5%. MARA Holdings (MARA) was ahead 5.8% and Hut 8 (HUT) 4.8%.

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The broader macro backdrop has also turned more supportive. With the Nasdaq reaching its highest level since early February, ether (ETH) also outperformed bitcoin, underscoring the risk-on tone across markets, said Joel Kruger, market strategist at LMAX Group.

“Overall, the past 24 hours reflect a market that is beginning to show signs of re-engagement,” Kruger said, pointing to improving technicals and broader participation.

The next test for the crypto rally comes at current levels. Kruger said the $76,000 level for bitcoin, where the mid-March rebound rolled over, is a key resistance.

A decisive move above — alongside sustained strength in ether (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency — would be key in determining whether the rebound can evolve into a more durable bullish trend, he said.

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Foundation unveils $1M audit subsidy program

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Why cautious TradFi firms love staked ether

The Ethereum Foundation is doubling down on one of the ecosystem’s most critical needs: security.

On Tuesday, the organization unveiled a new initiative aimed at tackling a persistent challenge in crypto development—the high cost of smart contract security audits.

Through its “Audit Subsidy Program,” the foundation is partnering with leading audit providers and ecosystem firms to make professional security reviews more accessible to builders.

Backed by a $1 million subsidy pool, the program is designed to lower financial barriers that have historically prevented many teams from undergoing comprehensive audits, despite their importance as an industry best practice.

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The initiative is part of the foundation’s broader Trillion Dollar Security Initiative, which focuses on strengthening Ethereum as it scales to support increasingly complex applications and larger amounts of value on-chain.

The program includes partners such as Nethermind, Chainlink Labs and Areta, and connects builders with more than 20 top-tier audit firms, helping streamline access to trusted security expertise across the ecosystem.

Alongside the rollout, the foundation also introduced a new framework it calls the “CROPS principles,” short for censorship resistance, open source, privacy and security. The framework is intended to guide how applications are built and evaluated across the Ethereum ecosystem.

Builders can submit their projects for consideration, after which an expert committee reviews applications. Selected teams receive subsidies that can be applied directly to audit services through Areta’s platform. The program is open to all Ethereum mainnet builders, regardless of size or stage.

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“The subsidy program makes audits accessible and strengthens the Ethereum ecosystem,” the foundation wrote on X.

Read more: Ethereum Foundation publishes new mandate defining its role, core principles

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Coinbase Reportedly Courts Anthropic to Bolster Exchange Security Infrastructure

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Coinbase Reportedly Courts Anthropic to Bolster Exchange Security Infrastructure

Coinbase is reportedly in talks with Anthropic to gain access to Claude Mythos Preview, the AI company’s restricted frontier model with advanced cybersecurity capabilities.

The outreach, first reported by The Information, reflects growing urgency among crypto exchanges to defend against increasingly sophisticated AI-driven threats.

Project Glasswing Raises the Stakes for Crypto

Anthropic launched Project Glasswing in early April 2026, a defensive cybersecurity initiative giving select partners limited access to Mythos.

The model identified thousands of previously unknown zero-day vulnerabilities during testing, including a 27-year-old flaw in OpenBSD and a 16-year-old bug in FFmpeg.

Founding partners include Amazon Web Services, Apple, Google, JPMorgan Chase, Microsoft, and Palo Alto Networks. Over 40 additional organizations maintaining critical software also received access.

Anthropic committed $100 million in compute credits and $4 million to open-source security groups for the program.

For Coinbase, the largest US crypto exchange, the timing is significant. The platform dealt with a major insider breach in 2025 that exposed personal data of roughly 70,000 users after overseas support agents were bribed by criminals.

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Coinbase refused a $20 million ransom demand and instead posted a matching bounty for information leading to arrests.

Anthropic’s own research has shown that AI agents can autonomously exploit smart contract vulnerabilities, generating millions in simulated stolen funds.

That finding indicates why exchanges may view Mythos access as essential rather than optional.

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Mythos will not reach general availability. Anthropic plans to integrate its capabilities into future Claude releases with strengthened safeguards.

Post-preview pricing sits at $25 per million input tokens and $125 per million output tokens.

Whether Coinbase secures formal partnership status or broader Glasswing access remains unclear.

The exchange already uses Claude for customer support operations across more than 100 regions.

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The post Coinbase Reportedly Courts Anthropic to Bolster Exchange Security Infrastructure appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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SEC Approves Elimination of Pattern Day Trader Rule and $25,000 Minimum: FINRA

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SEC Approves Elimination of Pattern Day Trader Rule and $25,000 Minimum: FINRA

The SEC granted accelerated approval to FINRA’s rule change eliminating the Pattern Day Trader designation and its $25,000 minimum equity requirement for day traders.

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on Tuesday approved FINRA’s proposed rule change eliminating the Pattern Day Trader designation, the $25,000 minimum equity requirement, and all related day-trading buying power provisions under FINRA Rule 4210. The accelerated approval removes longstanding restrictions that have governed retail day trading for decades.

The SEC simultaneously approved new intraday margin standards requiring broker-dealers to monitor and address real-time risk exposure in customer margin accounts. The regulatory shift represents a substantial change to day-trading accessibility and compliance frameworks for retail investors in U.S. equity markets.

Sources: WatcherGuru | WatcherGuru

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This article was generated automatically by The Defiant’s AI news system from publicly available sources.

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Global recession inevitable if Strait of Hormuz stays shut

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Global recession inevitable if Strait of Hormuz stays shut

Ken Griffin, chief executive officer of Citadel Advisors LLC, at the Semafor World Economy Summit during the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank Spring meetings in Washington, DC, US, on Tuesday, April 14, 2026.

Aaron Schwartz | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Citadel CEO Ken Griffin said Tuesday that the global economy is headed toward a recession if the Strait of Hormuz stays shut for much longer.

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“Let’s assume [the strait is] shut down for the next six to 12 months — the world’s going to end up in a recession,” Griffin said on stage at the Semafor World Economy conference in Washington, D.C. “There’s no way to avoid that.”

As a result, the world is going to see a massive shift toward alternative fuel sources, including wind, solar and nuclear, he added. To be sure, the hedge fund leader thinks the consequences of the war would have been worse if the U.S. delayed any strikes until Iran’s military capabilities had grown.

Stocks have managed to rebound back to where they were before the U.S. first attacked Iran in February, but the optimistic sentiment among investors is contingent on the duration of the war in the Middle East. Many expect risks of an escalation in tensions between the two countries are not at all priced into the market.

Global economies especially in Asia remain vulnerable to spikes in oil prices, which remain elevated at around $100 a barrel. That’s off their highs during the conflict, but remain far above where they were before the war, at just below $70 a barrel.

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Paxos Labs Raises $12M to Launch Crypto Yield and Lending Platform

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Paxos Labs Raises $12M to Launch Crypto Yield and Lending Platform

Paxos Labs has raised $12 million in a strategic funding round led by Blockchain Capital to expand its Amplify platform, a suite of tools that lets companies offer crypto yield, lending and stablecoin issuance through a single integration.

The Amplify suite includes three modules — Earn, Borrow and Mint — allowing platforms to generate yield on digital assets, enable crypto-backed loans and issue branded stablecoins with a single integration designed to unlock additional features over time.

According to Tuesday’s announcement, the platform provides a single SDK with configurable controls, while Paxos Labs manages liquidity, counterparty vetting and backend operations, and shares a portion of generated revenue with integrating partners.

The company said partners including Aleo, Hyperbeat and Toku are already using the platform, with Hyperbeat reporting more than $510,000 in assets under management since launching on April 9. The raise also included participation from Robot Ventures, Maelstrom and Uniswap.

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