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Polymarket Unveils Perpetual Futures In Time To Beat Kalshi’s Crypto Launch

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Polymarket’s V2 Overhaul Goes Live Next Week – Here’s Everything To Know

Polymarket announced perpetual futures trading on April 21, letting users go long or short on prediction markets around the clock.

The announcement arrived just hours after reports surfaced that rival Kalshi plans to launch its own perpetual product, codenamed “Timeless,” on April 27.

Prediction Market Perps Race Heats Up

Polymarket’s new perps feature will allow traders to take leveraged positions on prediction market outcomes without waiting for a contract to expire.

The platform framed the product as a way to “go long or short the markets you know 24/7,” according to its official announcement.

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The timing appears strategic. Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour teased “Timeless” on April 13 with a cryptic video revealing an April 27 launch date in New York.

Kalshi’s product will also include crypto perpetual futures, putting it in direct competition with exchanges like Coinbase and Robinhood.

Both platforms have grown aggressively in recent months. Prediction market transactions surpassed 192 million in March 2026, an all-time record.

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Kalshi, now valued at $11 billion, processes over $100 billion in annualized trading volume. Polymarket, valued at $9 billion, has seen weekly notional volume consistently exceed $1 billion through Q1 2026.

The rivalry between the two platforms mirrors a broader shift. Prediction markets increasingly resemble TradFi products, and perpetual contracts could accelerate that trend by attracting institutional-style trading flow.

Whether Polymarket’s head start translates into a lasting advantage may depend on how quickly both platforms can build liquidity for their new offerings.

The post Polymarket Unveils Perpetual Futures In Time To Beat Kalshi’s Crypto Launch appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Coinbase Lobbying Hit $1.07M in Q1 on Crypto Laws

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French Hill says CLARITY Act could fix gaps left by GENIUS Act

Coinbase lobbying activity for Q1 2026 totaled $1.07 million, the company disclosed in a new Lobbying Disclosure Act filing, targeting the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, the GENIUS Act stablecoin law, and digital asset tax treatment legislation.

Summary

  • The filing covers lobbying on the CLARITY Act’s market structure provisions, implementation of the GENIUS Act stablecoin law, and general crypto policy discussions across multiple congressional committees.
  • The Q1 spend comes after a turbulent period in Coinbase’s relationship with the CLARITY Act, which began with CEO Brian Armstrong withdrawing support hours before a January markup, followed by a reversal after a Treasury-brokered compromise on stablecoin yield.
  • Coinbase derives roughly one-fifth of its total revenue from stablecoin-related activity, making the terms of the CLARITY Act’s yield provisions a direct financial stake rather than a policy preference.

Coinbase lobbying in the first quarter of 2026 reached $1.07 million as the company pressed Congress on the two pieces of legislation most directly affecting its business model. The LDA filing lists multiple specific topics covered, including general discussions on digital asset tax treatment, market structure provisions of the CLARITY Act, and all provisions of the GENIUS Act stablecoin law signed into law as P.L. 119-27.

The filing provides a concrete dollar figure for Coinbase’s Washington engagement during one of the most consequential quarters in US crypto legislative history. The GENIUS Act passed and became law. The CLARITY Act stalled and restarted. Coinbase first killed and then revived its support for the market structure bill within the span of three months.

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The company’s relationship with the CLARITY Act in Q1 2026 was the most consequential lobbying story in crypto. Armstrong posted opposition to the bill on X on January 14, hours before the Senate Banking Committee’s scheduled markup, causing the session to be postponed. The central objection was the bill’s treatment of stablecoin yield, which banking industry lobbyists had pushed to restrict.

What the Filing Covers and Why It Matters

The LDA disclosure lists the following subjects: general discussions on digital asset tax and digital asset tax treatment, provisions related to Title I and market structure of the CLARITY Act, all provisions of the GENIUS Act, general discussions on crypto policy and market structure, and discussions on implementing the GENIUS Act. That list covers the full legislative agenda facing the crypto industry in 2026.

The CLARITY Act remains the primary pending legislation. Its market structure provisions would formally define the regulatory division of authority between the SEC and CFTC over digital assets. For Coinbase, which operates the largest US crypto exchange and custody platform, those definitions affect every product it offers. The company’s subsequent reversal on the bill came after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent published a Wall Street Journal op-ed advocating for a compromise framework on the stablecoin yield question that left room for activity-based rewards while restricting direct interest payments.

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The Scale of Coinbase’s Financial Stake

Coinbase reported $355 million in stablecoin-related revenue in Q3 2025. The company derives approximately one-fifth of its total revenue from stablecoin activity, primarily through interest earned on USDC reserves and rewards paid to users. How the CLARITY Act defines permissible stablecoin yield programs determines whether that revenue stream survives in its current form or must be restructured.

The company’s Agentic Market launch on Monday, which routes AI agent transactions through USDC over the x402 protocol, adds a second dimension to its USDC stake. If stablecoin transaction volume from AI agents grows as Armstrong has predicted, the regulatory treatment of USDC’s underlying economics becomes even more valuable to protect. $1.07 million in Q1 lobbying is a modest investment against that exposure.

How the Q1 Spend Compares to the Legislative Outcome

Armstrong reversed his CLARITY Act opposition by March 2026, with Coinbase publicly stating it was “ready to do its part” to get the bill passed. The Q1 lobbying period therefore captures both the opposition and the reversal, along with continued engagement on implementation of the GENIUS Act that was already law. For a company with Coinbase’s revenue base, $1.07 million in quarterly lobbying is a standard operating cost for an industry participant with direct exposure to pending federal legislation. What distinguishes Coinbase’s Q1 from previous quarters is that the legislation being lobbied on was active, consequential, and moving during the period covered.

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Prospective Fed Chair Pressed on Potential Conflicts of Interest

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Federal Reserve, Government, Senate, Donald Trump

The nominee to lead the US Federal Reserve, Kevin Warsh, on Tuesday faced criticism and backlash from Democrats questioning his financial disclosures and potential conflicts of interest.

Heading into today’s Senate Banking Committee confirmation hearing, it was clear that the independence of the Fed remains a key issue for many lawmakers concerned about US President Donald Trump’s influence over any Senate-confirmed candidate. 

With Jerome Powell’s term as the US Federal Reserve Chair set to expire next month, lawmakers are scrambling replace the long-serving official. 

Under questioning from Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren, the committee’s ranking member who repeatedly referred to Warsh as a “sock puppet” for the president’s policies, the prospective Fed chair sidestepped answering whether Trump lost the 2020 US election and identifying any issue on which the two disagree.

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Warren said confirming Warsh could result in the Fed “granting special accounts to [the Trump family’s] crypto company or bailouts to his friends on Wall Street if they get into trouble” and create “more opportunities for Trump’s corruption.”

Warsh faced similar questions from Rhode Island Senator Jack Reed and other Democrats on his position on lowering interest rates — an action Trump has repeatedly called for and signaled his pick would push if confirmed.

“The president never once asked me to commit to any particular interest rate decision, period, and nor would I ever agree to do so if he had, but he never did,” said Warsh in response to a question from Republican Senator John Kennedy.

Federal Reserve, Government, Senate, Donald Trump
Kevin Warsh speaking at a Tuesday hearing. Source: Senate Banking Committee

Related: US senator urges delay of CLARITY Act Senate markup until May: Report

The nominee faced at least one direct question on crypto from Wyoming Senator Cynthia Lummis, responding that digital assets were “part of the fabric of our financial services industry in the United States.”

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Warsh has pledged to divest from his financial holdings, which include investments in crypto and AI companies, before taking the oath of office if confirmed. The potential conflicts of interest, coupled with Trump’s repeated attempts to oust Powell before his term expires, have many questioning whether any Fed chair picked by the president could remain independent.

“While we want the Fed to be independent, we also recognize that there has to be collaboration between the administration, Congress and the Fed,” said Committee Chair Tim Scott in a Tuesday CNBC interview. “The independence is in making sure they do their job as it relates to the dual mandate.”

Prediction market users don’t anticipate a new Fed chair anytime soon

Powell’s term as chairman is set to end on May 15, giving lawmakers a matter of weeks to confirm Warsh or another Fed chair. He may be allowed to serve in a temporary capacity until his successor’s Senate confirmation, and will remain a member of the Fed’s Board of Governors until 2028.

The likelihood of a delay in Warsh’s confirmation is fueling an active event contract on prediction markets platform Polymarket, where many users are betting that the Senate may not act to confirm him until June. Some 37% of the positions gave took a chance he would be confirmed by May 15, while 78% are betting it won’t happen before June 30.

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Federal Reserve, Government, Senate, Donald Trump
Active event contract on Kevin Warsh’s confirmation date. Source: Polymarket

Magazine: Will the CLARITY Act be good — or bad — for DeFi?