Crypto World
Privacy is a property of the route
Introduction
SimpleSwap and SecureShift have been routing swaps for each other for five years. Over that time, one thing has stayed constant on both sides: we build around privacy, and we take it seriously enough to argue about what it means. For most of crypto’s history, the answer was a coin. You held Monero, or you did not. In 2026, the question has moved to how value travels: which networks a swap touches and what each leg leaves behind.
For the anniversary, we did something more useful than a press release. Each team wrote down the observations it believes will shape where privacy goes next, an aggregator on one side and an instant exchange with a hybrid XMR model on the other. Six in total; none of them made a prediction about price. Read them, disagree with them, and tell us where you see it differently.
Part 1. What SimpleSwap sees
1. A private asset’s guarantees end at the swap boundary
In its Big Ideas for 2026, a16z crypto’s Ali Yahya called privacy the most important moat in the industry and put the problem in one line: bridging tokens is easy; bridging secrets is hard. Once a shielded asset becomes a different asset on another chain, the original asset’s properties remain behind.
SimpleSwap’s H1 2026 Swap Report shows how often that boundary gets crossed: 91.8% of swaps moved value between two networks, seven in ten had a leg outside the four largest chains, and stablecoins ended the half with a 9.2-point net gain in the share of sent vs. received. The typical swap changes both the asset and the rate. Privacy has to be discussed at the route level, because that’s where the guarantees change hands.
2. Privacy now has a number
The case for on-chain privacy used to rest on principle. In 2026, it rests on data. Blockworks’ Q1 2026 Zcash report put the shielded pool at 5.16 million ZEC, 31.0% of circulating supply, up from 18% in October 2025 by The Block’s count. Shielding requires an on-chain action, so analysts read it as usage rather than positioning. Regulated wrappers followed: The Block reported the Grayscale Zcash Trust’s daily volume doubling in April 2026 to about $1.7 million.
What is built into this demand is not concealment but selectivity: viewing keys and proofs that a transaction meets a rule without exposing the transaction itself. SimpleSwap’s own position is descriptive. The service is self-custodial: funds move between wallets the user controls, and the platform applies risk-based controls, including transaction screening and monitoring, as set out in its Anti-Financial Crime and KYC Policy. The reason is the nature of a public ledger. Crypto funds carry a history from previous wallets and counterparties, and that history can affect a transaction without the current sender knowing. When information identified during screening requires further review to meet legal or compliance obligations, the swap may be paused, and KYC may be required to ensure transaction security and compliance. A pause is not an accusation; it means the transaction context has to be clarified before the case can move forward. A private user and a controlled service are not opposites; the interesting engineering of 2026 lies at their intersection.
3. The leak moved from the chain to the browser
On 25 June 2026, Polymarket confirmed that a compromised third-party vendor had injected malicious JavaScript into its frontend. External investigators estimated that close to $3 million in PUSD was drained from at least 11 wallets before the dependency was removed. Polymarket said affected users would be refunded in full. Its smart contracts were not touched. The attacker inserted themselves between the user and the interface, and the interface constructed the transactions that the wallets then signed.
A connected wallet exposes an address, a balance, an approval history, and a signing surface to every script a page loads. A deposit-address swap exposes far less: the user receives an address and sends from a wallet they control, with nothing to connect and nothing to sign in a browser. The domain and the receiving address still need to be checked manually. In August, the work at SimpleSwap went into what sits behind those routes: new routes were added to the pool, and private transfers became available on selected pairs.
“Users think about privacy at the level of the asset. Routing forces you to think about it at the hop level. Every network boundary is where one set of properties ends, and another begins, and an aggregator sees more of those boundaries than any single venue does.” Stefan Lauer, Head of Infrastructure at SimpleSwap
Part 2. What SecureShift sees
4. Privacy is becoming a property of the route, not just the asset
SecureShift’s hybrid DEX model reflects a practical problem with moving between Monero and transparent assets. The decentralized side of the swap handles the transparent-chain legs, while XMR can be accessed through a custodial bridge using USDC or USDT as the intermediary asset. In other words, the route does not treat XMR as an isolated endpoint. It treats the swap as a sequence of different settlement environments, each with its own properties.
That distinction matters because a swap between XMR and a transparent asset does not preserve the same privacy characteristics across all legs. The XMR portion has Monero’s own transaction model, while the intermediary stablecoin leg operates on a transparent blockchain. SecureShift’s current DEX infrastructure supports XMR alongside BTC, ETH, SOL, BNB Chain, and other networks, with XMR pairs visible across its live swap activity.
The broader lesson is that privacy cannot be evaluated only by asking which asset is being received. It has to be evaluated by asking how the value got there.
5. XMR demand is spreading across routes and networks
One change SecureShift has observed in 2026 is that privacy-related demand is increasingly expressed through the routes users choose rather than through a single dedicated privacy market. XMR is now part of a broader multi-chain swap environment: SecureShift currently lists Monero alongside Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, BNB Chain, Arbitrum, and other networks, while its live activity shows XMR being exchanged against BTC, ETH, USDT, and other assets.
That matters because the user’s decision is no longer simply whether to hold a privacy-oriented asset. It is also which network to enter from, which asset to use as an intermediary when necessary, and where the final asset will settle. SecureShift’s wider exchange currently supports thousands of currencies and reports an average exchange time of 2 to 10 minutes, showing that privacy-related routes increasingly reside within the same infrastructure as ordinary cross-chain swaps rather than existing as a separate category.
From the exchange side, the interesting signal is therefore not just demand for XMR itself. It is the continued demand for routes that include XMR as one leg of a larger cross-chain transaction.
6. The next privacy layer is route transparency
The growth of multi-chain swapping creates a second privacy question: not only what a user sends and receives, but what happens between those two points. A route can cross several networks, assets, and liquidity sources before the final asset reaches the user’s wallet. Each additional leg can have different transaction visibility and different assumptions about custody.
SecureShift’s DEX architecture is built around this multi-chain reality. Its DEX supports cross-chain swaps while keeping the settlement of supported decentralized legs on-chain, and the platform currently lists more than 1,300 token pairs on its DEX interface. The hybrid XMR model adds another layer by using USDC or USDT as a bridge when moving between the XMR environment and transparent networks.
This suggests a change in how privacy should be discussed. Users increasingly need to understand the route itself: which asset is used at each stage, which network records each leg, and where custody enters the process. Privacy is no longer a single feature attached to the coin. It is something assembled, and sometimes lost, one hop at a time.
“Privacy is no longer only about the asset someone holds. In a multi-chain swap, it also depends on how that asset travels, which networks it touches, and what each leg reveals.” Sanket Mishra, Founder & CTO, SecureShift
What stays on the user’s side
A piece about privacy written by two services should end where the responsibility sits, not with the services. None of this is exotic.
- Check the domain before every deposit. SimpleSwap’s only official domain is simpleswap.io; SecureShift’s is SecureShift.io. Lookalike domains are the most common way funds vanish.
- Verify the receiving address character by character on a device you trust.
- Select the network deliberately. An asset sent on the wrong chain is usually not recoverable by any service.
- Know what a route exposes. A swap from a private asset to a transparent one results in a transparent transaction. Decide whether that matters before you send.
- Never share a seed phrase or private key. No swap service needs it.
- Save the order ID before sending. It is the only handle support has if a transaction stalls.
Privacy in 2026 is not something a token grants, nor something a service guarantees. It is a property of a route, assembled from choices the user makes one leg at a time.
About SimpleSwap and Secureshift
SimpleSwap is a self-custodial, multi-source swap aggregator that helps users exchange crypto wallet-to-wallet with more control, without having to compare providers and routes themselves. It supports direct wallet-to-wallet swaps across 20+ liquidity providers and 2,800+ swappable assets, combining liquidity from well-known CEX and DEX sources under the hood.
SecureShift is a hybrid, self-custodial crypto swap platform that helps users exchange digital assets wallet-to-wallet with greater control, without having to manually compare providers and liquidity routes. It combines liquidity from centralized exchanges and decentralized protocols to find efficient swap routes across a wide range of networks and assets, including BTC, ETH, XMR, SOL, ZEC, TRX, SUI, and more. SecureShift also supports advanced swap features, including private swaps, DEX routing, and automated AML-based refund handling.
Crypto World
OpenAI Agent Breached Australia’s Medicare Statistics Portal
An OpenAI research agent bypassed blocks on an Australian government health data portal, accessed non-public files and wrote files to an internal server in June, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese said Thursday.
The government has opened a forensic investigation and announced a review of how it handles AI-related cyber incidents.
OpenAI did not notify the Australian government until Sept. 10, nearly three months after the incident, according to Albanese, who criticized the delay.
The incident adds to concerns over autonomous AI agents as tech leaders and governments debate slowing the development of cutting-edge models and researchers uncover agent activity extending into crypto.
OpenAI agent “didn’t accept no”
Australia’s incident began on June 18, when an OpenAI research team used an internal AI model to gather publicly available data on medicine spending, according to Albanese.
After being repeatedly blocked, the agent “didn’t accept no for an answer” and gained unauthorized access to other areas of the Medicare Statistics Reporting Portal. The public-facing portal contains non-sensitive Medicare data, including statistics on government spending, the prime minister said.
“No personal information is believed to have been accessed at this stage, but investigations are ongoing,” Albanese said.
Authorities are also examining activity at three other government websites, though Acting Prime Minister Richard Marles later said the interactions there appeared normal and involved public information.
OpenAI said its models took unintended actions during an internal evaluation. Its review found no evidence that patient records were accessed, according to a statement provided to ABC News.
OpenAI did not immediately respond to Cointelegraph’s request for comment.
Speaking to the United Nations Security Council on Wednesday, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman called for “accurate and speedy incident reporting.” He also warned that increasingly capable and autonomous systems could “make decisions that people no longer understand or control.”
AI agents attempt crypto trades on Quidax exchange
Separately, on Wednesday, nonprofit research lab Transluce reported that it found signs of AI agent activity targeting crypto exchange Quidax on Sept. 19 and 20.
Across 15 public reports from web-scanning service urlquery.net, the researchers identified repeated attempts to place trades, an HTML injection attempt and probes of Quidax’s application programming interface.
The trade orders were not submitted, while authentication requirements and Cloudflare blocked the API probes, Transluce said.
Transluce said the Quidax activity used services and techniques seen in earlier agent activity, some of which researchers tied to an OpenAI swarm. It did not attribute the Quidax attempts to OpenAI.
Magazine: Who is legally liable when an AI agent goes rogue?
Crypto World
XRP Slumps Hard After Another $1.60 Rejection, BTC Slips Below $84K: Market Watch
After the explosive start to the business week, in which BTC gained $7,000 in 12 hours or so, the asset was primed for a correction, which began yesterday evening and culminated today with a price drop to under $84,000.
The altcoins have followed suit as they usually do, with ETH slumping below $2,700 and Ripple’s XRP plunging by more than 7% to under $1.50. LTC is among the few exceptions today.
BTC Dips Below $84K
After the seemingly negative week in terms of macro developments, in which the CLARITY Act was voted down and the Fed hiked rates in the US, BTC had dropped to $75,000 last Wednesday, and the overall sentiment had flipped. However, the asset ended the week on a strong note, surging past $80,000 on Friday to the surprise of many.
It climbed to $82,000 on Saturday, where it was stopped, and slipped to $80,300 after the new escalations on the two major war fronts. Bitcoin couldn’t be contained on Monday, though. In the span of just 12 hours or so, the asset blasted through a few major resistance levels and skyrocketed to an eight-month peak of over $87,000.
It pulled back to $85,000 on Tuesday but went on the offensive again on Wednesday morning and topped $87,000 for the second time in 48 hours. However, another rejection followed that drove it south to under $84,000, where it currently struggles while analysts debate whether this is just a healthy correction or there’s more to the story.
For now, its market cap has dropped to $1.680 trillion on CMC, while its dominance over the alts stands flat at 59%.

Alts See Red
Ripple’s native token is among the poorest performers in the past 24 hours. The asset flew to over $1.60 just yesterday, but the subsequent rejection has pushed it south hard, and it now struggles below $1.50. Other major losers include DOGE, ADA, XLM, BCH, UNI, CRO, ZEC, NEAR, and RAIN.
ETH, BNB, SOL, TRX, HYPE, and XMR are also in the red, albeit in a less painful manner. In contrast, LTC has rocketed by almost 8% to $68. BTC and MORPHO are also slightly in the green among the larger-cap alts.
The total crypto market cap has shed nearly 3% daily and it’s down to $2.850 trillion on CMC.

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Crypto World
Why ZEC and NEAR are winning crypto’s alternative asset bid in 2026
Zcash and NEAR Protocol have emerged as two of crypto’s strongest alternative trades in 2026, a move Bankless co-founder David Hoffman believes is being driven by investors moving some capital away from Bitcoin and Ethereum toward assets with stronger return narratives.
Summary
- David Hoffman says ZEC has captured the Bitcoin bid as some BTC holders allocate capital to the smaller privacy asset.
- NEAR has emerged as a smart contract alternative as traders look beyond established assets such as ETH and SOL.
- Hoffman says the trend could leave Bitcoin and Ethereum competing for capital as investors seek higher returns from smaller crypto assets.
Hoffman said in a Sept. 23 post that ZEC has become what he calls the latest winner of the “Bitcoin Bid,” while NEAR has captured a similar position among smart contract platforms.
His argument centers on the size of Bitcoin’s existing pool of wealth. Bitcoin carries a market capitalization of roughly $1.7 trillion, while Zcash remains a fraction of that size even after its rally. Hoffman said only a small portion of Bitcoin holders would need to allocate some of their capital to ZEC for the smaller asset to experience substantial buying pressure.
Zcash’s market capitalization has climbed to roughly $26 billion after starting from a much smaller base, according to figures cited by Hoffman. The move has coincided with growing interest in privacy, quantum computing risks and regulated access to the asset.
The privacy coin market has grown nearly fivefold over the past year, according to a Sept. 22 report from 21Shares cited by crypto.news. The sector expanded from $6.2 billion to roughly $30 billion, while CoinGecko valued the category near $36.9 billion at the time.
Hoffman sees ZEC drawing from Bitcoin’s pool of capital
Hoffman compared the current ZEC trade with Ethereum’s run in 2021, when ETH moved from a market capitalization near $12 billion at its cycle bottom to roughly $554 billion at its peak.
His thesis does not suggest that Bitcoin holders are abandoning BTC altogether. Instead, Hoffman believes enough holders may be allocating a small part of their portfolios to ZEC as a hedge or complementary position.
Zcash gives that group several narratives to work with. The network shares Bitcoin’s fixed maximum supply of 21 million coins while offering optional transaction privacy through shielded addresses. Concerns over the long term effect of quantum computing on existing cryptographic systems have provided another part of the investment case cited by ZEC supporters.
Institutional access has changed as well. Grayscale converted its Zcash Trust into the ZCSH spot ETF on NYSE Arca on Aug. 25, launching with roughly $304 million in assets under management. ZEC crossed $1,000 in early September as assets in the fund moved above $400 million.
Hoffman argued that ZEC’s dollar gains alone do not explain the trade. He instead pointed to the difference between the size of Bitcoin and Zcash, saying the pool of BTC wealth potentially available for rotation remains far larger than ZEC’s market value.
“There’s $1.7T of BTC out there, and it only takes a very small amount of Bitcoiners to agree that ZEC is valid,” Hoffman wrote.
He said investors could reach that conclusion because of privacy, concerns around quantum computing or simply a desire to hedge their Bitcoin exposure.
The argument remains Hoffman’s interpretation of the source of demand rather than direct evidence tracing ZEC purchases to Bitcoin holders. He acknowledged that point himself, saying he believed few capital allocators would skip BTC, ETH and the rest of the crypto market to buy ZEC solely on its own merits.
NEAR has become the smart contract alternative, Hoffman says
A similar capital rotation may be playing out around NEAR Protocol, according to Hoffman, although he sees the source of that demand as more dispersed.
“I think NEAR has won the ‘smart contract bid’ trophy of 2026,” he wrote.
NEAR was trading around $4.28 on Sept. 24 after gaining more than 60% over the previous seven days, according to CoinGecko. Its rally has come alongside several developments across the network and its trading markets.
On Sept. 23, NEAR spot trading went live on Hyperliquid through a NEAR/USDC market. NEAR perpetual open interest on Hyperliquid stood near $344 million at the time, while positive funding rates showed long positions were paying shorts.
Network development has provided another part of NEAR’s 2026 narrative. The protocol has spent much of the year building around artificial intelligence, chain abstraction and autonomous agents.
In July, NEAR introduced staking based AI payments, allowing users to lock NEAR and receive monthly compute credits for AI services. The system covered 43 AI models at launch and allowed users to access confidential inference and autonomous agents without paying through a credit card.
Hoffman said the capital supporting NEAR is probably coming from a more varied group than the investors he believes are moving from BTC into ZEC.
Ethereum has historically faced more competition among smart contract networks than Bitcoin has faced within the store of value category, he argued. Solana has already challenged Ethereum for users, activity and investor attention, leaving the smart contract market less concentrated around a single asset.
For Hoffman, the difference means NEAR does not need to pull capital from one clearly defined group. Traders looking beyond ETH, SOL and other established smart contract assets could contribute to the same effect.
Bitcoin and Ethereum face what Hoffman calls a blue chip problem
Hoffman framed the moves in ZEC and NEAR as part of a larger issue for the crypto market’s biggest assets.
Investors seeking large multiples may be less willing to allocate new capital to assets that already carry hundreds of billions or more than $1 trillion in market value, he argued. Smaller networks can offer more room for price appreciation if they attract a meaningful portion of existing crypto wealth.
Hoffman called the situation the “Blue Chip Curse.”
Bitcoin still needs to establish itself more firmly as an alternative to gold, in his view, while Ethereum faces the question of what could produce another major revaluation after years of growth.
The comparison comes as the total cryptocurrency market remains much smaller than the traditional financial system. CoinGecko data placed the global crypto market capitalization near $2.96 trillion on Sept. 24, with Bitcoin accounting for roughly 57% of the total.
Hoffman said crypto could continue producing new winners even if BTC and ETH do not deliver the multiples investors saw during earlier cycles. He pointed to Hyperliquid, Venice, Lighter, Ethena and Morpho as examples of projects bringing new products and infrastructure into the industry.
His concern is where the economic value from that activity ultimately ends up.
Hoffman argued that Robinhood, Coinbase, Apollo and traditional brokerage businesses could be positioned to capture part of the value created by the latest generation of crypto products, while the extent to which BTC and ETH benefit remains uncertain.
For the industry’s overall value to move materially higher, Hoffman said total crypto market capitalization would eventually need to grow far beyond its current level. He raised $10 trillion as a level he hopes the market can reach during the current cycle, while contrasting it with a possible $30 trillion market needed for a much larger expansion of the sector.
Crypto World
3 Reasons Bitcoin’s Bullish Trend Remains Intact Despite the Drop Below $84K
The primary cryptocurrency rallied strongly earlier this week, briefly exceeding $87,000 for the first time since January. However, bulls couldn’t sustain the momentum, and BTC retraced to the current $83,800 (per CoinGecko).
While some might fear the bears are about to regain full control, three key factors suggest the asset remains positioned for further upside.
Whales and More
BTC lost over $3,000 in value over the past 24 hours, yet institutional interest remains quite solid. Data shows that spot Bitcoin ETFs have posted five green days in a row, attracting more than $2.5 billion during that period. September 21 was the strongest day, when the financial vehicles accumulated almost $1 billion.

This development suggests pension funds, hedge funds, and other conservative investors have increased their exposure to the asset, setting the stage for further gains.
Next on the list is the declining amount of BTC sitting on cryptocurrency exchanges. According to CryptoQuant, the figure has dropped to a four-month low of around 2.7 million, indicating that many investors have shifted from centralized platforms to self-custody solutions. This is considered a bullish sign since it reduces immediate selling pressure.

Last but not least, we shall mention the whale activity. The analytics platform Santiment revealed that large investors (holding between 100 and 1,000 BTC) have purchased almost 114,000 units since mid-July. Their collective holdings have grown by 2.22% to roughly 5.24 million BTC, representing 26% of the asset’s circulating supply.
This aggressive accumulation matters because it leaves fewer coins available on the open market, which, combined with steady or rising demand, should trigger a price pump. It also signals strong confidence among these market participants and may encourage smaller players to follow suit, bringing fresh capital into the ecosystem.
The Bull Market Has Begun?
Earlier this week, renowned analyst Ali Martinez outlined several factors, such as rising activity on the BTC network and growing appetite for spot Bitcoin ETFs, suggesting the asset’s price may continue its uptrend all the way to $100,000.
Shortly after, he spotted a double-bottom formation on the price chart, which signals that the $82,500 neckline is likely to hold as support, meaning that the $100K target remains in the cards.
CryptoQuant’s analysts have also weighed in. They noted that BTC recently closed above its 365-day moving average (around $80,500) for the first time since March 2023. According to them, the development confirms the start of a new bull run, reminding that similar breaks in 2019 and 2023 have been precursors to major rallies.
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Crypto World
XRP News: SEC Opens AMM Door for Tokenized Stocks as XRPL Already Has the Tech
The latest XRP news is putting the XRP Ledger back in the spotlight after the SEC opened a new path for tokenized stocks to trade through automated market makers. The SEC’s September 17 decision created a temporary exemption for certain blockchain-based venues to facilitate tokenized U.S. stocks through permissioned AMM liquidity pools.
The decision does not specifically mention XRP, Ripple, or the XRP Ledger. Instead, it establishes a framework for Tokenized Securities Venues, allowing eligible platforms to operate AMM-based markets under certain conditions.
Why could it be bullish for XRP? XRP Ledger already has a native AMM. Its AMM amendment went live on Mainnet in March 2024, giving the network built-in liquidity pools alongside its existing decentralized exchange. That makes the latest SEC decision particularly interesting for the XRP ecosystem.
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SEC Opens AMM Door for Tokenized Stocks
The SEC’s Innovation Exemption provides temporary relief from certain securities rules for Tokenized Securities Venues. These venues can use automated market makers and liquidity pools to bring buyers and sellers of tokenized National Market System stocks together.
The exemption is conditional rather than a blanket approval for tokenized equities across crypto markets. The SEC said participating venues must operate permissioned systems and comply with specific investor protection requirements.
Among those requirements, tokenized stocks must provide holders with the same rights and privileges as the equivalent traditional shares. That includes rights such as dividends and voting.

The framework also gives the original stock issuer an opportunity to object when a third party tokenizes its shares. Trading must also stop when trading in the underlying stock is halted on its primary listing exchange.
For crypto markets, however, the most notable part may be the SEC’s explicit recognition of AMM liquidity pools as part of an onchain securities trading structure.
The SEC said its order also provides conditional relief for certain liquidity providers supplying tokenized stocks to these pools. The exemptions are scheduled to last five years, giving regulators time to observe how the market develops.
That has created a new conversation around blockchain networks that already have native AMM infrastructure.
Discover: The Best Token Presales This Bullrun
XRP News Turns to the XRP Ledger’s Existing AMM
This is where the XRP Ledger enters the discussion. XRPL’s AMM functionality was introduced through the XLS-30 amendment, which became active on Mainnet on March 22, 2024.
Unlike a separate application running above the network, the AMM is integrated into the XRP Ledger’s decentralized exchange. Users can create liquidity pools for asset pairs, provide liquidity, and receive LP tokens representing their positions.
The XRPL’s documentation says its DEX can combine order-book liquidity and AMM liquidity when executing trades, allowing transactions to use whichever route provides the better exchange rate. That native design is now more relevant as regulators begin addressing onchain securities markets.
Still, it would be premature to say the SEC has approved tokenized stocks on XRPL. The Innovation Exemption is technology-neutral and establishes requirements for eligible Tokenized Securities Venues rather than approving individual blockchains.
For XRP holders, the significance is therefore more about infrastructure than an immediate new use case for XRP.
If regulated tokenized equity markets eventually expand onto public blockchains, networks with existing AMM and DEX infrastructure could have an established foundation to build upon. XRPL already has that foundation, while the SEC has now provided a regulatory framework that explicitly contemplates AMM-based trading.
The next question is whether financial firms actually choose public networks such as XRPL for these markets. The SEC has opened the door, but the industry still has to walk through it.
For now, the XRP news story is less about an SEC endorsement of XRP and more about a regulatory development that could make XRPL’s existing AMM architecture increasingly relevant to tokenized assets.
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Crypto World
Bitcoin Price Prediction: StarkWare Discounts Quantum-Safe Solution by 79%
Bitcoin price trades near $84,000, down by a huge 3.5% on the day, but the more interesting number this week has nothing to do with its prediction. It’s $67. That’s the new estimated cost to build a quantum-resistant Bitcoin transaction, down from $320 when StarkWare mined the first one on mainnet back in August, a 79% reduction achieved in a single week of open optimization work.
The move came out of the Quantum-Safe Bitcoin Optimization Challenge, a joint effort between StarkWare, Yukon Research, and Eigen Labs. According to the report, they invited developers, researchers, and even AI agents to shrink the GPU-hours needed to construct the transaction.
StarkWare’s own dashboard now shows the figure sitting at $66, with the team noting bluntly: “A construction that costs a few hundred dollars per transaction is a demo. One that costs $67 is closer to something a holder with a large unexposed balance might reach for in an emergency.”
This is good news. Quantum risk to Bitcoin has long been theoretical enough to ignore, until the cost of defending against it starts looking like a rounding error next to a whale’s transaction fee. Against that backdrop, Bitcoin’s price action this week tells its own story of consolidation after a sharp round trip.
Discover: The Best Token Presales
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Can BTC Hold $84,000 This Week?
Bitcoin’s pullback to the $84,000–$84,500 zone followed hotter-than-expected PMI data that pushed Treasury yields higher and dented risk appetite across crypto, with total market cap falling 3% in the session. That’s a sharp reversal from the rally that took BTC to roughly $87,500 after U.S. spot ETFs pulled in an estimated $998.95 million in net inflows on September 21.
The $84,000–$84,400 band is now the line in the sand. It overlaps a key Fibonacci retracement zone and the recent breakout shelf. Lose it, and $82,193 followed by $78,571 comes into play. Hold it, and a retest of $86,381, then the $87,400 ceiling, is realistic. Recent technical work flags $90,000–$92,000 as the next real resistance if momentum returns, with $104,433 floated as a stretch target should the recovery extend.
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Bitcoin Hyper Targets Early Mover Upside as Bitcoin Tests Key Levels
A rejection near $87,000 followed by a slide back under $85,000 is the kind of chop that tests conviction, not confidence. Bitcoin holding six figures away from $100,000 while yields tighten is a reminder that beta exposure at this size doesn’t move fast.
Bitcoin’s market cap is simply too large for outsized short-term returns, even on good news like a 79% cost cut to quantum defenses. That’s pushed a chunk of trader attention toward earlier-stage infrastructure plays building directly on top of Bitcoin’s base layer.
Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is positioning itself as the first Bitcoin Layer 2 with SVM integration, aiming to bring Solana-grade execution speed to Bitcoin’s ecosystem without touching its consensus security. The presale has raised more than $33 million to date, with tokens priced at $0.0136867 and staking rewards on offer at a high 30% APY.
Its Decentralized Canonical Bridge targets the slow-transaction, high-fee, zero-programmability problems that have kept Bitcoin’s base chain largely inert for smart contract activity.
Research Bitcoin Hyper directly before the presale window ends.
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Crypto World
Binance to list HYPE with 3 spot pairs on Sept. 24
Binance has scheduled Hyperliquid (HYPE) spot trading for Sept. 24 at 11:00 UTC, with three pairs opening as the token carries a market capitalization near $21 billion.
Summary
- Binance will open HYPE spot trading against USDT, USDC and TRY at 11:00 UTC Thursday.
- HYPE receives Binance’s Seed Tag, requiring eligible traders to complete risk quizzes every 90 days.
- Withdrawals are scheduled for September 25, while Binance charges zero BNB as HYPE’s listing fee.
- CoinGecko data puts HYPE’s September 24 market capitalization near $20.9 billion with billion-dollar daily volume.
- Hyperliquid generated $429.04 million through September 15, leading CoinGecko’s adjusted 2026 crypto revenue ranking overall.
Binance, in its Sept. 24 listing notice, announced HYPE/USDT, HYPE/USDC and HYPE/TRY as the initial spot markets. The exchange said deposits would become available one hour after its announcement, while withdrawals are expected to open at 11:00 UTC on Sept. 25. Binance set the listing fee at zero BNB.
Binance HYPE listing opens three spot pairs
Spot Algo Orders are scheduled to become available when HYPE trading starts at 11:00 UTC. Binance said Trading Bots and Spot Copy Trading would follow within 24 hours of the spot listing. Users running copy-trading portfolios can add the new pairs through Binance’s Personal Pair Preference settings.
Access to HYPE/TRY carries a separate restriction. Binance said the Turkish lira pair will only be available to customers with verified Binance TR accounts. TRY represents fiat currency in the listing and is not another digital asset.
Trading eligibility depends on location and account verification. Residents of the United States and its territories cannot trade the three new pairs through Binance, according to the exchange. The restricted list currently includes Canada, the Netherlands, Iran, North Korea, Syria and several other jurisdictions. Binance said the list may change in response to legal or regulatory requirements.
The listing gives HYPE another centralized spot venue while Hyperliquid remains focused heavily on on-chain trading. In related coverage, crypto.news reported that Coinbase added more than 290 Hyperliquid perpetual markets to its Base App in August, offering leverage of up to 50x to eligible users. U.S., U.K. and Canadian users were excluded from that product at launch.
HYPE Seed Tag adds a recurring risk quiz
Binance has attached its Seed Tag to HYPE, a designation the exchange uses for newer projects that it says may carry higher volatility and risk than other listed assets. Binance said HYPE “poses a higher than normal risk” and “will likely be subject to high price volatility.”
Users seeking access to Seed Tag tokens must complete Binance’s risk quiz every 90 days and accept its terms of use. The requirement applies through Binance Spot and Margin where supported, while a risk-warning banner appears on tagged token pages.
Binance introduced the Seed Tag in 2023 to replace its former Innovation Zone designation. Its guidance says tagged projects undergo periodic reviews covering trading volume, liquidity, development activity, network security, team commitment and responses to due-diligence requests.
The designation does not change the announced HYPE launch schedule. Binance said withdrawals are planned for Sept. 25 at 11:00 UTC but described that time as an estimate. The exchange directs users to its withdrawal page for the actual opening status.
HYPE enters Binance listing day near a $21 billion value
CoinGecko’s Sept. 24 data shows HYPE with a market capitalization of $20.91 billion and trading volume of roughly $1.13 billion. The token closed Sept. 23 at $93.98 after closing at $97.19 one day earlier. CoinGecko had not posted a Sept. 24 closing price at the time of its current daily snapshot.
The recent price history shows HYPE climbing rapidly during the preceding week. CoinGecko recorded a $76.92 close on Sept. 15, followed by $85.06 on Sept. 17 and $92.54 on Sept. 18. The token closed Sept. 20 at $93.64 before reaching $94.05 on Sept. 21.
An immediate post-announcement price move has been reported by third-party market coverage. BeInCrypto, citing TradingView’s HYPE/USD market on Coinbase, reported an increase of roughly 1.5% within ten minutes of Binance publishing the listing notice, with the move briefly approaching 1.9%. The figures describe a short intraday reaction and do not establish that Binance’s announcement caused subsequent HYPE price movements.
Recent activity has taken place alongside rising protocol revenue. As crypto.news reported in its coverage of Hyperliquid’s $429 million 2026 revenue lead, CoinGecko calculated $429.04 million in revenue from Jan. 1 through Sept. 15. The figure represented 12.62% of the $3.40 billion comparison pool used in CoinGecko’s adjusted ranking.
Hyperliquid remains first in normalized perp DEX volume
Current DeFiLlama data ranks Hyperliquid first among tracked perpetual DEXs by 24-hour normalized trading volume. Hyperliquid recorded approximately $7.42 billion, compared with $2.08 billion for Aster and $1.93 billion for Lighter. Its reported 30-day perpetual volume stood near $220 billion in the same dataset.
Open interest on Hyperliquid stood at approximately $9.06 billion, according to DeFiLlama. The platform accounted for more than half of the $15.30 billion in open interest shown across the tracked perpetual DEX market at the time of the snapshot. The figures change continuously with trading activity.
Hyperliquid’s own documentation states that perpetual and spot trading fees use volume-based tiers, while HYPE staking can reduce trading fees. Accounts linked to more than 500,000 staked HYPE qualify for the highest published 40% fee discount, while qualifying high-volume market makers can receive rebates reaching 0.003%.
Trading fees routed to Hyperliquid’s Assistance Fund are automatically converted into HYPE, according to the protocol’s documentation, with acquired tokens burned from supply. Crypto.news recently reported on Hyperliquid adding trailing stops to its perpetual markets, allowing trigger prices to follow favorable market moves before executing a market order after a specified retracement.
Crypto World
Mid-Sized Bitcoin Wallets Add 113,950 Bitcoin as Price Rally Nears Test
Wallets holding between 100 and 1,000 BTC have added 113,950 Bitcoin since July 15, lifting their combined holdings 2.22% to 5.24 million BTC, according to Santiment. The accumulation run coincides with Bitcoin price briefly tapping $87,000 earlier this week before retracing and stabilizing near $84,000.

Is this durable demand building a base for a breakout, or is it a squeeze-driven bounce that stalls the moment leverage unwinds?
Not everyone is convinced this move reflects a genuine shift in risk appetite. Trace Finance co-founder Bernardo Brites says that the speed of the recovery was partly a function of a short squeeze, and that the bigger question is where the new money is actually coming from.
“I wouldn’t read this as a broad return of risk appetite. Bitcoin rallying through a rate hike, $100 oil, and elevated yields suggests some investors are treating it as a hedge against inflation, fiscal and geopolitical risk rather than as a bet on easy money,” Brites said.
That framing matters for anyone reading the current resistance structure as a clean technical setup rather than a macro hedge trade layered on top of one.
Santiment has tracked this 100-to-1,000-BTC wallet cohort for five years, and its activity has historically aligned closely with market direction. Periods of heavy accumulation have often preceded or coincided with stronger price moves. The current data shows the cohort continued buying through the recovery, which at minimum indicates the rally isn’t being carried by retail flow alone.
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What Bitcoin Needs to Breach the $88,000-$90,000 Resistance?
The technical picture underneath the whale and ETF data is straightforward. Bitcoin reclaimed its 365-day moving average near $80,500, a level it last broke back above in March 2023 – a move that preceded a much larger rally at the time. It also cleared the $76,000-$81,000 supply band that had capped price action for weeks.
That $88,000-$90,000 Bitcoin price band matters specifically because of where the coin supply sits, not because of round-number psychology. A large concentration of Bitcoin clustered in that range means sellers are likely to show up in size the closer the price gets to it, which is exactly why the $90,000 target is treated as the next real test.
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ETF Demand at the Bitcoin Price Resistance Test
The two-sided framing gives traders a concrete way to read what happens next rather than guessing. A continuation of ETF inflows alongside renewed stablecoin supply growth would, in our view, build a stronger base under the rally as it approaches resistance. A stall in either, particularly a fade in ETF demand while price sits below $88,000, leaves the move vulnerable to giving back gains as leveraged positioning unwinds.
CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju has separately argued this cycle is more likely to produce a 3-to-5x rally than a repeat of past 10x blow-offs, citing a maturing market and growing institutional participation as dampeners on extreme volatility.
That view doesn’t confirm where Bitcoin goes after $90,000; it simply lowers the bar for what counts as a strong outcome this cycle, a distinction worth keeping in mind while watching the longer-term structural recovery play out against this specific resistance test.
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The post Mid-Sized Bitcoin Wallets Add 113,950 Bitcoin as Price Rally Nears Test appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
StarkWare says Bitcoin quantum-safe “last resort” cut 79%
StarkWare says optimization efforts connected to its Quantum-Safe Bitcoin (QSB) work have driven down the estimated computational cost of constructing a quantum-resistant Bitcoin transaction to under $67—down from about $320 for the first QSB transaction demonstrated on mainnet in August. The latest figure, published in a Sept. 23 update and reflected on the Yukon QSB dashboard, suggests the benchmark cost has continued to edge lower to roughly $66.
While the QSB approach is designed to improve resilience against future quantum threats without requiring changes to Bitcoin’s consensus rules, StarkWare cautions that the new numbers are based on benchmark tests. The development nonetheless matters for anyone evaluating practical “emergency” defenses for large holders who may be most exposed if public keys are later compromised by quantum-capable machines.
Key takeaways
- StarkWare reports QSB transaction construction costs fell to about $66–$67 after a week of optimization.
- The cost decline follows the Quantum-Safe Bitcoin Optimization Challenge, which generated improvements across the benchmarked transaction-building steps.
- The earliest mainnet QSB demonstration required ~3,100 GPU-hours and cost around $320 in compute, excluding Bitcoin network fees.
- QSB is positioned as an “emergency” measure; StarkWare says broader, long-term protection likely still requires a consensus-layer soft fork.
- StarkWare emphasizes the latest optimizations are verified via benchmarks, not renewed full mainnet demonstrations.
From a $320 demo to a sub-$67 benchmark
StarkWare’s update ties the cost reduction to participant work in the Quantum-Safe Bitcoin Optimization Challenge, a collaborative effort involving Yukon Research and Eigen Labs. The initiative focused on reducing the GPU computation needed to prepare a QSB transaction.
In August, StarkWare said a QSB transaction was mined and confirmed on Bitcoin’s mainnet. According to that earlier account, the engineering effort behind the demonstration involved Tomer Giladi and submission via MARA’s Slipstream service. Preparing the transaction required approximately 3,100 GPU-hours across roughly 100 GPUs, translating to about $320 in compute cost, excluding network fees.
The new update describes how the challenge achieved a sharper efficiency gap. StarkWare reports that the competition produced 62 accepted improvements across two computational tasks required to build a QSB transaction. Based on benchmark testing, these changes reduced the estimated computing cost by about 79%—bringing it down to the current $66–$67 range shown on the Yukon dashboard.
Why QSB is framed as an “emergency” defense
The broader motivation for QSB is the risk that a sufficiently powerful quantum computer could break the elliptic-curve digital signatures Bitcoin relies on. If that future capability arrives, attackers could potentially steal coins whose public keys are exposed, making timing and practicality important for holders who need protection under constrained conditions.
StarkWare’s QSB design, first published by researcher Avihu Levy in April, aims to add hash-based protection against quantum attacks without changing Bitcoin’s consensus rules. That non-consensus approach is part of what makes QSB attractive as an add-on defense—particularly if consensus changes remain difficult or slow.
However, Levy previously characterized QSB as a “last resort measure,” citing cost, complexity, and limited applicability. StarkWare’s latest messaging continues that framing: even with a nearly 80% reduction, a few hundred dollars per transaction still signals that QSB remains closer to an emergency tool than a fully routine mechanism for all holders.
The challenge’s impact—and what remains unproven
The Optimization Challenge opened on Sept. 16, inviting developers, researchers, and AI agents to refine the software needed to generate QSB transactions more efficiently. StarkWare says the resulting improvements were accepted across two computational tasks that together determine the overall benchmark cost.
The key point for investors and builders is the distinction between benchmark performance and real-world transaction preparation at full scale. StarkWare’s update presents the new $66–$67 number as an estimated computational cost derived from performance tests. That means the update demonstrates algorithmic and engineering efficiency, but it does not, by itself, confirm that the most recent optimizations have been used to create and confirm additional QSB mainnet transactions.
Still, the direction of travel is meaningful: getting from roughly $320 to under $67 transforms the practicality of the technique for larger holders who may prioritize the ability to execute a protective transaction when conditions warrant it. In its Sept. 23 update, StarkWare argued that a construction costing a few hundred dollars is “a demo,” while costs closer to $67 are more plausible for emergency use by holders with significant balances—without requiring network rule changes.
Soft forks remain the long-term focus
QSB exists within a broader debate on how Bitcoin should prepare for quantum threats. StarkWare says it continues to favor a soft fork—a change to Bitcoin’s consensus rules—as a better “long-term answer” for wider, more reliable quantum protection across the ecosystem.
This matters because emergency add-ons, while potentially useful, are inherently narrower in scope: they do not automatically provide the systemic coverage that consensus-level changes can offer. The latest cost reductions therefore read less like a final end-state and more like progress toward making an interim strategy less prohibitive while the community works through governance, implementation, and security trade-offs for longer-range solutions.
For now, readers should watch the Yukon QSB dashboard for whether the benchmark estimates keep moving and whether the community follows up with additional mainnet demonstrations using the newly optimized construction pathways. The biggest open question remains whether benchmark gains translate into repeated, end-to-end operational readiness when real constraints—beyond compute estimates—come into play.
Crypto World
Citi sees no Fed rate cuts until June 2027, crypto in trouble?
Citigroup has pushed its forecast for the Federal Reserve’s next interest rate cut to June 2027 after stronger US jobs data reduced concerns over the labor market, leaving Bitcoin and the crypto market facing the prospect of higher borrowing costs for longer.
Summary
- Citi now expects the Fed’s first rate cut in June 2027 after US employers added 162,000 jobs in August, well above forecasts.
- Bitcoin initially fell below $80,000 as stronger jobs data raised rate hike expectations, but later recovered above $86,000.
- Higher rates remain a pressure point for crypto, although ETF demand and short covering have helped Bitcoin withstand tighter Fed policy.
Reuters reported that Citi had previously expected the Fed to cut rates in October and December 2026 and again in January 2027. The bank has replaced those calls with three reductions in June, September and December 2027 after August payrolls came in well above forecasts.
US employers added 162,000 jobs in August, compared with economists’ expectations of 53,000, while the unemployment rate remained at 4.1%. The monthly payroll gain was the strongest since March, and the labor force participation rate rose by 0.2 percentage point.
Earlier employment figures were revised higher as well. July payrolls were changed to a gain of 21,000 from a previously reported loss of 23,000, while the June figure was raised by 11,000.
Citi economists Andrew Hollenhorst and Veronica Clark said the figures suggested Fed officials would see employment conditions as broadly stable and focus more closely on inflation.
“The unemployment rate was unchanged and labor force participation rebounded noticeably,” they wrote.
Strong jobs data changed Fed expectations and hit Bitcoin
The jobs report quickly reached the crypto market as traders raised their expectations for tighter monetary policy.
Bitcoin fell below $80,000 following the August employment data, reversing from an intraday high around $81,370 as markets repriced the outlook for US interest rates. As crypto.news previously reported, BTC was trading near $79,600 after the release, down around 1.5% over 24 hours.
Rate futures at the time placed a 61% probability on a Fed hike at the Sept. 15 to 16 meeting, up from 52% before the employment figures were released, according to Reuters.
The Fed has since delivered that increase. Policymakers raised the benchmark rate by 25 basis points on Sept. 16, taking the federal funds target range to 3.75% to 4%. It was the central bank’s first rate hike since July 2023.
New projections released with the decision showed that 16 of 18 Fed officials expected at least one more rate increase before the end of 2026.
Citi’s revised forecast now places the first expected cut roughly nine months after the September hike. The bank had previously been among the more dovish forecasters on Fed policy, with its earlier projections calling for three cuts between October 2026 and January 2027.
Higher rates remain a pressure point for Bitcoin and crypto
Bitcoin has repeatedly reacted to changes in US interest rate expectations this year as inflation, employment and energy prices changed the path investors expected the Fed to take.
A stronger labor market gives policymakers less reason to lower borrowing costs to support employment, while persistent inflation has kept attention on the other side of the Fed’s dual mandate.
Inflation has remained above the central bank’s 2% target for more than five years. Fed officials have consequently kept open the possibility of tighter policy if monthly inflation readings fail to show sufficient moderation.
That backdrop has already produced periods of pressure across crypto markets. Ahead of the September Fed meeting, the global crypto market lost more than 2% as the probability of a 25 basis point rate increase moved above 92%. Bitcoin fell below $76,000 during the move.
Treasury yields and the US dollar can compete with risk assets for capital when investors expect rates to remain elevated. Crypto assets do not generate interest simply from being held, while higher yields on government debt can give investors another place to park capital.
Market behavior since the Fed meeting, however, has not followed a simple higher rates equals lower Bitcoin pattern.
Bitcoin has recovered despite the Fed rate hike
Bitcoin briefly moved toward $75,000 after the Sept. 16 decision but later recovered, eventually climbing above $86,000 as ETF demand returned, Treasury yields eased and short sellers were forced to close bearish positions.
The cryptocurrency briefly touched $87,000 this week, its highest level since late January. US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $433 million in net inflows on Sept. 18 after heavy withdrawals earlier in the week.
HashKey Group senior researcher Tim Sun said ETF inflows confirmed the rally instead of starting it, while the move through $82,000 triggered short covering that helped carry BTC higher.
BitGo Research has similarly argued that Bitcoin absorbed the Fed hike better than might have been expected. Research chief Greg Cipolaro pointed to Bitcoin’s recovery following both the Fed decision and the failed Senate cloture vote on the CLARITY Act.
The interpretation remains a market view rather than proof that Bitcoin has become insulated from monetary policy. BTC’s rebound coincided with several developments, including renewed ETF demand, falling Treasury yields, lower oil prices and short covering, making it difficult to attribute the move to one factor.
Citi’s new rate path therefore arrives as Bitcoin trades in a different environment from the one immediately following the August employment report. Markets have already absorbed one Fed hike, while policymakers have signaled that another increase remains possible before year end.
Fed Governor Christopher Waller and New York Fed President John Williams have said they favor holding rates steady as long as inflation continues to moderate on a monthly basis. Waller and Fed Governor Michael Barr have left the door open to further increases if incoming figures fail to show continued progress on prices.
Citi now expects the first reduction in June 2027, followed by cuts in September and December, replacing the three reductions it had previously forecast between October 2026 and January 2027.
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