Prediction markets are exciting, but they’re not reliable wealth builders for retail users.
Research by Citizens shows that retail prediction market users are losing more money than legal sports bettors, with the sharpest traders and market makers capturing returns on the other side of their flow which. The research note also reveals the platforms are drawing a younger demographic than traditional sportsbooks.
The median return for a prediction market user was -8% from July 2025 through mid-March, compared with -5% for sports book users over the same period, Citizens JMP Securities analyst Jordan Bender wrote, citing transaction data from analytics company Juice Reel.
Individuals trading more than $500,000 on prediction markets generated a median ROI of +2.6%, consistent with sharp-bettor benchmarks validated by professional players. Every cohort below that level was negative, sliding to -26.8% for users trading less than $100.
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No cohort within legal sports betting was profitable either, but the decay is less severe: the $500,000-plus sports betting cohort posted -0.6%, and the smallest accounts came in at -29.3%.
One of the major differences between the two platforms is who is on the other side of the trade.
Prediction markets do not limit or ban profitable users the way regulated sportsbooks do, concentrating informed flow on the platforms. That flips the traditional model. In sportsbooks, the house manages risk and filters out winning players. In prediction markets, retail traders are directly exposed to professionals, market makers, and high-volume participants who consistently take the other side of less informed flow.
Two professional bettors on a Citizens JMP call last week said prediction markets offer a more attractive path to positive returns precisely because retail users provide the liquidity, the note reads.
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Are prediction markets a threat to online gambling?
Gaming CEOs have dismissed the threat of prediction markets, according to the Citizens JMP report, which compiled executive commentary from 4Q25 earnings calls.
DraftKings’ Jason Robins said prediction markets are not materially incremental to existing customers. Flutter’s Peter Jackson said the company found no evidence of material cannibalization. BetMGM’s Adam Greenblat estimated a low-to-mid-single-digit percentage impact on betting revenue. Citizens JMP’s own estimate is around 5%.
The bigger issue may not be cannibalization but acquisition. About 24% of Kalshi users are under 25, with a median age of 31, compared with just 7% for DraftKings and FanDuel, where the median age is closer to 35, according to Sensor Tower data cited in the report. Roughly 90% of DraftKings revenue comes from users over 30, the report said.
FanDuel and DraftKings downloads fell 18% and 13% year-over-year from September 2025 through February 2026, per Sensor Tower data cited by Citizens JMP. Over the same stretch, Kalshi logged 6.3 million downloads.
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Prediction markets may not be pulling existing sportsbook users away. They may be intercepting the next generation before they ever download DraftKings.
Bittensor’s native token TAO (TAO) moved higher on March 25 as traders tracked rising subnet activity, fresh staking data, and the network’s first halving event.
Summary
AO rose to $350 as traders tracked subnet growth, halving effects, and stronger market activity.
TAO staked across Bittensor subnets jumped past $620 million as the ecosystem expanded over months.
Only part of TAO sits in subnets, leaving room for more rotation from Root staking.
Consequently, the token traded at $350 at press time, with a 24-hour trading volume of $887.8 million, a daily gain of 12%, and a seven-day increase of 25%.
The move came as Bittensor’s subnet ecosystem posted rapid growth over the past year. Market participants also watched new comments from analysts and ecosystem figures as TAO reached its highest level since November 2025.
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Moreover, Bittensor held a market capitalization of $3.35 billion, based on a circulating supply of 9.6 million TAO. The token ranked among the better-performing digital assets in the top 100 by market value over the past 24 hours.
Recent gains followed a broader move that started earlier in March. TAO had already moved above $300 after Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang referred to the Covenant-72B model during an appearance on the All-In Podcast, while market data also pointed to buying pressure and a short squeeze during the run-up.
CryptoRank data showed that the total TAO staked across subnets rose from about $74,400 to more than $620 million over the past 12 months. The increase came as more users moved into subnet participation, which plays a central role in Bittensor’s decentralized AI network.
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Network activity also grew through the number of subnets. The count rose from about 80 to more than 120 over the same period, while several subnet projects posted monthly gains, including Templar at 171%, Quasar at 146%, NOVA at 66%, Targon at 36%, and iota at 29%.
Most TAO still sits outside subnets
Despite the rise in subnet staking, a large share of TAO remains outside subnet allocations. Mark Jeffrey, partner at Bittensor Fund and Stillcore Capital, said only 19% of TAO is staked in subnets, while about 48% remains in Root. He said,
“Once the first subnet zooms to $1B+, I expect Root stakers will start rushing into Subnets. Even if NO NEW TAO is bought, Subnets could 3x or 4x just because of that alone.”
His comment pointed to the scale of capital that could rotate within the ecosystem without fresh buying.
In addition, CoinGecko said TAO gains came after the network completed its first halving event, which cut token emissions by half. The reduced issuance added a new catalyst as traders assessed supply dynamics alongside ecosystem growth.
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Crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe also commented on the move. He wrote,
“What an absolutely wonderful morning with the strength of $TAO. Again; it’s in a new bull run, higher lows, higher highs. Next area of resistance: $500.”
Bittensor (TAO) price chart | Source: Michaël van de Poppe/X
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
Gold price staged a defiant recovery on Wednesday, climbing 1.6% to settle at $4,550 even as geopolitical narratives shifted the analysis rapidly. The rebound was fueled by declining oil prices and reports of a potential Washington-brokered proposal to end the conflict in the Middle East.
While President Trump suggested negotiations with Tehran are active, Iranian officials have issued a stern denial, creating a volatile backdrop for safe-haven assets.
Spot markets reacted swiftly. Gold futures delivery surged over 3%, last seen at $4,545.50 per ounce. However, the broader trend remains concerning for bulls. Since March 4, the metal has suffered a 10% drop, significantly underperforming digital assets like Bitcoin, which has retraced only 4.5% in the same period. This divergence suggests that while headlines move prices momentarily, the underlying capital rotation favors digital scarcity.
BREAKING: Gold futures surge above $4,550/oz, now up +4% on the day, as optimism grows over US-Iran peace talks. pic.twitter.com/nUZfmY9uyb
Gold Price Analysis: Can XAU Sustain Gains Above $4,550?
Tether Gold (XAUT), the crypto-native proxy for the metal, mirrors the spot recovery, trading at $4,553. This bounce, while welcome, does not erase the technical damage inflicted earlier in the month. The asset is currently trading in a noise vacuum, lacking the clearly defined support levels visible in the crypto market.
Analysts are watching the correlation between gold’s recovery and the digital asset market’s resilience. Bitcoin currently holds a critical floor above $70,000, with resistance stacking up near $74,500. If the safe-haven narrative flips decisively back to digital assets, driven by the “remarkable relative strength” noted by institutional researchers, gold’s current rally could prove to be a localized bull trap.
Recent data indicate a similar volatility pattern in silver markets, suggesting this is a sector-wide liquidity test rather than a gold-specific breakout. Unless gold can reclaim the structural highs lost in early March, the path of least resistance remains sideways to down.
LiquidChain Targets Cross-Chain Upside as Commodities Stall
Gold’s volatility, driven by contradictory war reports rather than fundamental demand, has pushed growth-focused traders toward high-beta infrastructure protocols. Metals may preserve wealth (sometimes), but they rarely multiply it overnight. As the macro landscape remains murky, smart money is rotating into Layer 3 solutions that solve liquidity fragmentation.
Enter LiquidChain ($LIQUID). This emerging Layer 3 protocol is building a unified execution environment that fuses Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana ecosystems into a single liquidity layer. The project has demonstrated significant early traction, raising $600K right now, from early backers.
The token is currently priced at $0.0143, with more than 1700% APY in staking rewards.
While early-stage tokens carry valid vesting risks, the LiquidChain presale presents a rare opportunity to enter a critical infrastructure play before mainnet valuation.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Crypto assets are highly volatile. Do your own research.
Investors fled major gold funds as geopolitical tensions escalated, marking a distinct shift in capital allocation strategies. While gold spot ETFs bled, Bitcoin price has demonstrated resilience, holding the $70,000 level amid prediction of market whipsaws. This divergence suggests a potential changing of the guard, according to Bloomberg analyst.
The latest data paints a stark picture of this rotation. In the last week alone, top gold ETFs like GLD and IAU saw approximately $3.8 billion in exits. Conversely, Bitcoin investment products absorbed roughly $2 billion over the past few weeks, signaling that institutional appetite is shifting toward digital scarcity.
“Since the Iran strike, Bitcoin, surprisingly, has looked like a good safe haven and gold hasn’t,” noted Eric Balchunas, senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence.
BTC XAUT, TradingView
Currently, Bitcoin trades above $71,000, noting a fractional bounce by 0.3% in the last 24 hours.
This decoupling challenges the traditional narrative that crypto assets are purely risk-on vehicles. With Bitcoin behaving as a store of value while gold falters, we are closely watching the $70,000 support zone for the next directional cue.
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Can BTC Hold $70,500 Support Amid Volatility?
Bitcoin’s price action over the last 48 hours has been defined by tight consolidation, oscillating between a high of $72,000 and a low of $69,000. While the asset remains down 18% year-to-date, the immediate short-term structure shows buyers stepping in aggressively near the $68,000 mark.
Volume data indicates a standoff and cautious optimism. However, overhead resistance at $71,800 remains a formidable barrier. If bulls fail to reclaim this level, a retest of the monthly low at $65,000 becomes a viable bearish scenario. Conversely, a breakout above $72,500 could open the path toward this year’s high.
BTC USD, TradingView
The technical setup suggests a market in waiting. Geopolitical catalysts are currently priced in, but the lack of a clear breakout keeps margin traders largely sidelined. For those seeking aggressive multiples, Bitcoin’s maturity into a “safe haven” may limit short-term explosive upside compared to emerging ecosystem plays.
Bitcoin Hyper Targets Early Mover Upside as L2 Narrative Heats Up
While Bitcoin stabilizes as a macro asset, the race to scale its network is accelerating. Capital is rotating into infrastructure layer-2 solutions that promise to unlock programmability for the world’s largest digital asset. Leading this charge is Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER), the first-ever Bitcoin Layer 2 to integrate the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM).
The project is capitalizing on the demand for high-speed, low-cost execution on Bitcoin. By utilizing the SVM, Bitcoin Hyper delivers transaction finality faster than Solana itself, addressing Bitcoin’s core limitations—slow transactions and high fees—while maintaining a decentralized canonical bridge to the main chain. The market response has been quantifiable: the presale has already raised more than $32Million.
Early participants can enter at a price of $0.0136 per token with 36% APY on staking rewards. Beyond the technology, the protocol offers high APY staking incentives to secure the network early. As Bitcoin continues to trade sideways in the $70k range, the risk-reward ratio for pre-market infrastructure plays like $HYPER is drawing attention from traders looking to front-run the L2 ecosystem boom.
Ethereum price entered a pivotal stretch this week, trading at $2,170, a subtle +0.73% in the last 24 hours, as the network confronts deep existential questions regarding its roadmap prediction.
Following critical remarks from co-founder Vitalik Buterin regarding the ecosystem’s fragmented scaling approach, markets are reacting with caution. Data from prediction markets currently imply downside risks.
[X] I affirm the direction set out in the mandate, will help translate it into thoroughly reasoned strategies for my domain, and will maintain an exclusive and energetic focus on the mission-critical tasks necessary for its implementation, from today until my last day at the EF. https://t.co/D3puYiQzhB
The technical landscape has shifted violently in early 2026. While developers previously assumed applications would absorb complexity, Buterin argues that current Layer-2 (L2) proliferation may not fully deliver on Ethereum’s original design goals. This introspection arrives as the network attempts to secure itself against quantum threats and integrate AI capabilities.
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This uncertainty regarding scaling architecture often leads capital to rotate. As established networks grapple with legacy cohesion, the market is pricing in the next generation of infrastructure plays.
Ethereum Price Prediction: Can ETH Hold Support This Week?
Ethereum’s price action suggests a battle for directional control. Currently changing hands at $2,170, ETH remains pinned between a critical support floor at $2,100 and overhead resistance at $2,350. Recent data reveals seller-skewed order books (47/43), indicating that bears are attempting to force a retest of the psychological $2,050 zone.
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Technical indicators flash warning signs. While the MACD remains positive at 6, the histogram has turned red (-1.93), signaling that the bullish momentum seen during recent L2 testnet expansions is fading. A break below the 9-day DEMA at $2,300 has already occurred, forcing bulls to defend the lower range.
ETH USD, TradingView
The 24-hour trading range ($2,150-$2,180) reflects tight consolidation. If ETH can reclaim $2,300 and close above $2,400, analyst targets suggest a breakout toward the 200-EMA at $3,260 is possible.
LiquidChain Targets Unified Liquidity as Ethereum Segments
While Ethereum struggles with the fragmentation caused by disconnected Layer-2s—a concern highlighted explicitly by Buterin—investors are looking toward protocols that solve the liquidity fracture. This narrative shift has directed significant volume toward LiquidChain ($LIQUID), a Layer-3 infrastructure project designed to unify execution across chains.
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Unlike current scaling solutions that isolate liquidity, LiquidChain fuses Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana into a single execution environment. The project’s presale has already raised more than $600K, with more than 1700% APY rewards.
Priced at $0.0143 during the current tranche, the project offers a verifiable settlement layer that appeals to traders fatigued by bridging risks. While high-cap assets like ETH face resistance in established price channels, early-stage infrastructure plays like LiquidChain are capturing the “solution utility” premium.
Investors holding silver positions opened in early this year are staring at significant unrealized losses today. Silver price finished yesterday’s session down to $68 per ounce, a sharp retraction from the $120 highs seen in late January following a turbulent market analysis.
Following a volatile trading window where prices collapsed as low as $61 during the Asian session, market participants are scrambling to reassess the geopolitical premiums previously baked into the commodity. This 40% drawback highlights the dangers of chasing assets that climb “like fireworks.”
Silver Price Analysis: Can The Metal Stabilize After Double-Digit Drop?
$69 is the number currently defining traders’ screens. The session low of $61, printed at 3 a.m. ET, now serves as the critical support floor. The volatility stems directly from macro-geopolitical developments involving the United States and Iran, specifically regarding the Strait of Hormuz. While the threat of immediate escalation has been postponed by five days to allow for talks, the market reaction suggests the risk premium is eroding faster than bulls anticipated.
Technical indicators scream caution. The swift drop from $120 suggests the parabolic phase has fractured. Volume on the downdraft was significant, indicating institutional liquidation rather than mere retail panic.
XAG USD, TradingView
If the $61 level fails to hold during the next testing of liquidity, analysts suggest further downside is probable. Conversely, a stabilization here requires a distinct shift in sentiment, perhaps fueled by safe-haven narratives reversing back to precious metals. Capital seems to be rotating, and fast.
Bitcoin Hyper Targets Early Mover Upside as Commodities Stumble
While silver investors lick their wounds from an 18.5% correction, smart capital is actively hunting for infrastructure plays that offer yield rather than just a volatile store of value. The heavy volatility in traditional commodities is driving a rotation into programmable assets—specifically Bitcoin Layer 2s.
Enter Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER), the first-ever Bitcoin Layer 2 solution integrating the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM).
This project is not relying on geopolitical fear; it is building structural utility. Bitcoin Hyper has already raised an exact $32 million in its presale, signaling massive demand for high-speed Bitcoin infrastructure.
By bridging Bitcoin’s trust with Solana’s speed, $HYPER offers low-latency transaction execution and high APY staking with 36% rewards. The token is currently priced at $0.0136.
Investors tired of commodity whiplash are increasingly looking to research Bitcoin Hyper as the next growth frontier.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency and commodity investments are highly volatile. Please do your own research.
A magistrate court in Thane, India, has granted bail to CoinDCX co-founders Sumit Surendra Gupta and Niraj Ashok Khandelwal, ruling that no prima facie case was made out against them in a 71 lakh Indian rupees ($75,000) cheating complaint linked to a fake trading platform posing as the Indian crypto exchange.
The court’s common order on March 23 on their bail applications concluded that they were entitled to bail because no case was made out against them, even on an initial look at the available evidence. The founders were taken in for questioning on Saturday and remanded over the weekend after a complaint alleged they had duped an investor.
In the order, the magistrate recorded that the investigation officer had “no objection” to their release and that the applicants were not present in Mumbra when the alleged offence took place, adding that “some other person by representing as accused cheated the informant,” a fact the informant has admitted in court.
CoinDCX says bail order backs “third‑party impersonation”
In a March 24 statement on X, CoinDCX said the court proceedings supported a “third-party impersonation” scenario and that the fraud occurred on a lookalike site, coindcx.pro, which it said had no connection to the company.
The judge noted that the informant filed an affidavit stating that another accused, Rana, had repaid him the cheated amount and that the applicants are not the persons he met at a café in Kausa Mumbra where the fraudulent deal was struck.
With the matter “amicably settled” between the informant and the main accused, the court said there was no question of the founders tampering with evidence or witnesses.
Each was ordered released on bail upon executing a 50,000 Indian rupee bond (roughly $530) on condition that they cooperate with the investigation and trial.
CoinDCX framed the episode as part of a broader rise in impersonation and phishing scams targeting well-known brands in India’s financial and crypto sectors, urging users to verify domains and only interact with the exchange’s official platform and social media profiles.
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Prior scrutiny surrounding CoinDCX
Established in 2018 and headquartered in Mumbai, CoinDCX ranks among India’s most prominent cryptocurrency exchanges. The company reached an estimated valuation of around $2.45 billion following a funding round led by Coinbase Ventures in October 2025.
The platform has previously come under scrutiny for security concerns after a July 2025 incident in which hackers drained approximately $44 million from one of its internal operational accounts, although CoinDCX emphasized that no customer funds were compromised.
Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently. Read our Editorial Policy https://cointelegraph.com/editorial-policy
SWIFT is building blockchain-based cross-border payment infrastructure with more than 40 global banks targeting a live scheme by mid-2026, and the plumbing it is laying quietly positions XRP crypto as an optional liquidity rail inside that network.
The mechanism is not a partnership announcement or a headline integration, it runs through Thunes, a payments company now embedded in SWIFT’s network, whose connections reach Ripple’s payment products and, by extension, XRP’s on-demand liquidity functions.
The market is watching because SWIFT’s blockchain push is no longer a pilot program. Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, HSBC, Deutsche Bank, BNP Paribas, and Lloyds Bank are among the institutions involved. That is not a proof-of-concept roster. That is the institutional settlement stack deciding which rails to wire.
Key Takeaways:
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Settlement Context: SWIFT’s blockchain scheme, targeting an MVP in H1 2026 with 40-plus banks, completed ISO 20022 migration in November 2025 and has run successful trials involving USDC, tokenized deposits, and tokenized bonds.
XRP Position: The SWIFT-Thunes integration gives more than 11,000 banks optional access to Ripple’s liquidity products, including XRP as a bridge asset — but participation is not mandated.
Market Signal: Institutional infrastructure decisions like this create structural demand optionality for XRP, not guaranteed volume; the difference matters for how traders should frame this narrative.
How the SWIFT-Thunes-XRP Connection Actually Works
The mechanics are not theoretical. SWIFT completed its full migration to the ISO 20022 messaging standard on November 22, 2025, enabling richer, structured data flows that are prerequisite infrastructure for digital asset settlement.
That migration was the foundation. What is being built on top of it is a blockchain-enabled shared ledger scheme with enforceable rules on fees, FX rates, and traceability, with Chainlink providing interoperability between private and public blockchains while remaining ISO 20022 compliant.
The Thunes integration is where XRP enters the picture. SWIFT connects to Thunes’ pay-to-bank service, which now sits inside SWIFT’s network and links to more than 11,000 banks worldwide. Thunes can offer Ripple’s payment products. Those products can leverage XRP for on-demand liquidity, specifically as a bridge asset, eliminating the need for pre-funded nostro accounts in destination currencies.
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What if sending money across borders felt as seamless as sending it domestically? Last year, we set out to transform the cross‑border payment experience with the launch of a new Swift payments scheme – designed to deliver fast, predictable and transparent payments worldwide.… pic.twitter.com/bDsfV64nVk
The routing sequence: a company sends a payment via SWIFT; SWIFT routes through Thunes; Thunes offers access to Ripple’s ODL infrastructure; XRP settles the leg. No step in that chain forces a bank to use XRP. The optionality is built in, not mandated.
That optionality is structurally meaningful. SWIFT ran a successful trial with Citi using USDC in November 2025 and completed a proof-of-concept with HSBC and Ant International for tokenized deposit transfers the following month.
A January 2026 trial with BNP Paribas Securities Services, Intesa Sanpaolo, and Societe Generale FORGE settled tokenized bonds against fiat and digital payments. The institution is stress-testing every digital asset rail available — and XRP’s rail is now wired in.
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What this unlocks is distribution at a scale XRP has not had access to through direct Ripple partnerships alone.
Why SWIFT’s Pivot Changes the Cross-Border Rail Debate
For years, the XRP settlement narrative rested on Ripple’s direct bank partnerships and regulatory outcomes. SWIFT’s blockchain pivot reframes the question entirely.
The debate is no longer whether banks will adopt blockchain for cross-border payments, SWIFT’s 40-bank scheme settles that. The debate is over which digital asset serves as the liquidity provider when payments require real-time currency bridging.
Chainlink’s interoperability role in SWIFT’s scheme also hints at a multi-asset settlement environment rather than a single-winner outcome.
MASSIVE: $XRP JOINS OIL AND GOLD AS A MAJOR COMMODITY ASSET According to several sources interpreting recent statements by the SEC and CFTC, @Ripple's $XRP token is now deemed a digital commodity in the eyes of US regulators.$XRP is not the only asset to have claimed… pic.twitter.com/f7ZEXIAkSV
The infrastructure phase of cross-border payments is being decided now. Institutional players are wiring digital settlement rails into legacy systems across the board, and first-mover positioning inside those rails compounds. XRP’s advantage is that it is already connected. Its risk is that connected does not mean preferred.
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The asset that becomes the default settlement infrastructure inside SWIFT’s network will not announce it. The volume data will.
CoinDCX co-founders Sumit Surendra Gupta and Niraj Ashok Khandelwal have secured bail from a magistrate court in Thane, India, after a cheating complaint linked them to a fake platform that posed as the crypto exchange.
Summary
CoinDCX founders received bail after the court found no prima facie case against them initially.
The court said another person impersonated the accused and carried out the cheating scheme there.
CoinDCX linked the complaint to a fake website and warned users about phishing risks.
Meanwhile, the court said no prima facie case was made out against them in the 71 lakh Indian rupees complaint and allowed their release on bond. The magistrate court issued a common order on March 23 on the bail applications filed by Gupta and Khandelwal. The order said the available material did not show a case against them, even at an initial stage.
The court also recorded that the investigation officer had “no objection” to their release. It added that the two founders were not present in Mumbra when the alleged offence took place, which weakened the complaint filed against them.
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The case began after an investor claimed he had been cheated in a deal linked to CoinDCX. The founders were taken in for questioning on Saturday and remained in custody over the weekend before the court heard their bail plea.
During the hearing, the court noted that “some other person by representing as accused cheated the informant,” and said the informant had admitted that fact in court. This point became central to the bail order because it shifted focus away from the CoinDCX founders and toward other individuals tied to the alleged fraud.
In a March 24 statement posted on X, CoinDCX said the court process supported a “third-party impersonation” case. The company said the fraud took place through a lookalike website, coindcx.pro, which it said had no link to its official business.
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The judge also referred to an affidavit filed by the informant. In that affidavit, the informant said another accused, Rana, had repaid the lost money and confirmed that the two CoinDCX founders were not the people he met at a café in Kausa Mumbra where the deal happened.
Bail conditions and fraud warning
The court said the matter had been “amicably settled” between the informant and the main accused. Based on that, it found no risk that the founders would interfere with witnesses or evidence if released.
Each founder was granted bail on a 50,000 Indian rupee bond. They must cooperate with the investigation and trial. CoinDCX later said the case reflects a wider rise in phishing and impersonation scams in India’s financial and crypto sectors, and urged users to verify website domains and use only official company channels.
BNB price surged back towards the $650 mark as futures traders aggressively positioned for further upside following a bullish prediction. After touching an intraday low of $627 on Sunday, the asset rebounded to $645, signaling a potential sentiment shift across the broader altcoin market.
The bounce coincides with a cooling of geopolitical tensions and a sharp decline in crude oil prices below $90. This macro relief has injected liquidity back into risk assets, pushing Bitcoin back above $71,000 and dragging major altcoins upward.
While the spot market shows recovery, the derivatives data paints a more aggressive picture; open interest for BNB futures has spiked 6.5% to $891 million in just 24 hours. The market is waking up.
Source: CoinGlass
This surge in leverage suggests institutional confidence is returning to the Binance ecosystem despite recent regulatory quiet periods. With bulls targeting a breakout, current price action hinges on reclaiming key resistance levels established earlier in the quarter.
BNB Price Prediction: Can Open Interest Drive Prices to $690?
The technical structure and prediction for BNB price has shifted from consolidation to accumulation. Trading at $646 at the time of this analysis, the price action is respecting a multi-week ascending trendline that has served as dynamic support. As long as the token holds above the $630 floor, the path of least resistance appears upward.
Derivatives metrics provide the strongest bullish signal. Data from CoinGlass indicates a long/short ratio of 2.11 on Binance, meaning buyers are overwhelming sellers by more than two to one. This creates a high-pressure environment where a move past immediate resistance could trigger a short squeeze.
Source: CoinGlass
Analysts are eyeing the $690 level as the critical breakout point. A clean 4-hour close above this line could open the door for a rapid extension toward the $700-$720 range. Conversely, failure to hold the $639 7-day SMA would invalidate the immediate bullish thesis, potentially sending price action back toward $620 support.
Traders Rotate to L3 Infrastructure as Gains Consolidate
While BNB offers stability and consistent ecosystem growth, the sheer market capitalization of major L1s often limits the potential for exponential short-term multiples (can a $90B asset 10x overnight? Unlikely). Consequently, volume often rotates from established giants into emerging infrastructure plays during consolidation phases.
Smart money is increasingly tracking Layer 3 (L3) solutions that promise to unify fragmented liquidity. LiquidChain ($LIQUID) has emerged as a focal point in this narrative, positioning itself as the “Cross-Chain Liquidity Layer” capable of fusing Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana execution environments.
The project distinguishes itself through a “Deploy-Once Architecture” and single-step execution, aiming to solve the user experience nightmare of bridging assets manually. The LiquidChain presale has already raised more than $600K, with early participants securing an entry price of $0.0143 with more than 1700% APY bonus. The contract is also audited by Certik, a benchmark in crypto safety.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always do your own research.
Siren price shot up 127% to $2.34 on Monday morning, becoming the best-performing crypto asset of the day.
Summary
SIREN surged 127% to an intraday high of $2.34, driven by a sharp rise in futures demand, with open interest jumping nearly 120% to $121 million.
The rally occurred without major fundamental updates, with derivatives positioning showing a bullish bias as the long-short ratio remained above 1.
The token remains vulnerable to a reversal, with past price action showing a 70% drop from its peak amid concerns over high supply concentration among large holders.
According to data from CoinGecko, Siren (SIREN) price soared to an intraday high of $2.34 on Monday morning before stabilizing at $2.19 at the time of writing. Its market cap stood at $1.56 billion, making it the 50th largest crypto asset in the market.
While there was no particular news on development or ecosystem updates to account for SIREN’s rally today, it was likely linked with significant demand for the token in the futures market.
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Notably, data from Coinglass show that SIREN futures open interest surged nearly 120% to $121 million over the past 24 hours. At the same time, the long/short ratio sat at over 1, a sign that more traders were going in with a bullish outlook.
While such rallies often spark excitement, it should be noted that they often face a deep retracement as investors rush to book in profits.
For instance, Siren previously rallied to an all-time high of $3.61 on March 22 after climbing up for several straight days owing to its rebrand into an autonomous AI agent on the BNB Chain and a successive perpetuals listing on multiple major crypto exchanges like Binance, Bybit, and MEXC. However, it came crashing down by over 70% from its peak after concerns about its supply concentration gained traction.
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As reported by crypto.news earlier, on-chain data compiled by Bubblemaps revealed that nearly 50% of SIREN’s supply was held in one cluster. Subsequently, later reports revealed that the concentration could be as high as 88% of the total supply.
While the token has regained some momentum as seen by today’s surge, the token could be at risk of a reversal again should those large holders decide to sell off their positions.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
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MASSIVE: $XRP JOINS OIL AND GOLD AS A MAJOR COMMODITY ASSET
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