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Sam Altman ChatGPT AI Predicts Suprising World Cup Group Stage Winners

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Sam Altman ChatGPT AI Predicts Suprising World Cup Group Stage Winners

ChatGPT AI just did something most pundits are too scared to do. It filled out the entire 2026 World Cup group stage, top two in all 12 groups, no hedging, no “it depends,” just twelve clean verdicts.

So let me walk you through what the machine is thinking, because it is a fascinating mix of playing it ice cold and then suddenly getting a little brave.

Start with the easy stuff, the picks nobody is going to argue with. Mexico to top Group A. Brazil to stroll through Group C. Germany, Belgium, the Netherlands all winning their groups.

These are the layups. Picking Brazil to win a group is like predicting the sun comes up, and ChatGPT AI knows it, so it pockets the obvious and moves on. No ego here, no trying to look clever by fading a giant. When a team is that far ahead, you take it and you shut up.

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Source: Polymarket

Then there is Spain, which is the pick the AI is most sure about on the entire card. And honestly, fair enough. This is a team riding a ridiculous unbeaten run, and the machine slots them first with Uruguay trailing in second.

Spain is the heaviest group favorite on the board, priced around 98% on Polymarket to win Group H. ChatGPT AI did not blink. Spain first, Uruguay second, next group please.

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The Robot Finally Grows A Spine

Now we get to the good part, because a prediction card with zero surprises is boring, and the AI clearly knows that too.

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Group I is where it raised an eyebrow. France to win, obviously, no genius required there. But for second place it snubbed Norway and Erling Haaland, one of the scariest strikers alive, in favor of Senegal.

That is a genuinely bold shout. The market actually leans the other way, but ChatGPT AI is betting that Senegal’s pace and power travels better than a Norway side that leans heavily on its stars.

It is the kind of call that looks brilliant if it lands and gets you roasted if it does not. Respect the conviction.

Source: ChatGPT World Cup Group Stage Prediction

Group D is the other one that makes you sit up. The AI took the United States first and Turkiye second, which tells you it believes in the home crowd lifting the hosts over the line.

This is the tightest group on the whole card, basically a coin toss between those two, and the machine planted its flag on the Americans. A patriotic little lean, or just cold logic about home advantage. Either way, it committed.

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Group B has a similar flavor. Switzerland gets the top spot, which is sensible, but then the AI hands second place to co-hosts Canada ahead of more established names.

You can almost feel it weighting the home soil factor again, betting that playing in front of your own fans is worth a few extra points. It is a theme across this card. ChatGPT AI clearly thinks hosting matters in 2026.

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What The Full World Cup ChatGPT Card Tells You About Its Brain

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The back third is where it goes chalk again, and smartly so. Argentina, Portugal, England all winning their groups, each paired with a solid, unsurprising runner-up.

Portugal getting the nod is a nice tip of the cap to Cristiano Ronaldo rolling into a record sixth World Cup, the old king still expected to drag his team through.

England over a fading-but-stubborn Croatia. Argentina barely breaking a sweat in Group J. These are the picks of an AI that has decided not to overthink the easy ones.

So here is the personality that comes through. ChatGPT AI is not a chaos merchant. It is not out here predicting Haiti shocks the world or Curacao goes on a run.

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It backed the favorite to win all 12 groups, which is the move of something that trusts the form book over fairy tales. But it is not a total robot either.

It found two or three spots, Senegal over Norway, the host nations sneaking into second, where it trusted a hunch over the obvious answer. That blend is what makes the card fun. Mostly disciplined, occasionally daring, and confident enough to put a number next to every single group without flinching.

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European Blockchain Convention Returns to Barcelona for Post-MiCA Gathering

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European Blockchain Convention Returns to Barcelona for Post-MiCA Gathering

EBC12 brings together speakers from J.P. Morgan, the Financial Conduct Authority, Invesco, Coinbase, Fidelity International, and more than 300 leaders from the banks, regulators, and asset managers shaping Europe’s digital asset market.

Barcelona, Spain, July, 2026, Eleven weeks after MiCA’s deadline, the 12th edition of the European Blockchain Convention (EBC12) returns to Barcelona. It is the region’s first major institutional gathering since the world’s first comprehensive cross-border digital asset regulation took full effect, and a key venue for digital-asset deal flow.

MiCA is now fully in force. For European markets, the focus shifts to what comes next: CASP licensing, stablecoin issuance, and the role of CBDCs in cross-border settlement. EBC12 will host that conversation this September.

Rather than chasing mandates city by city across London, Paris, Frankfurt, Zurich, and Barcelona, EBC12 compresses the European digital asset market into a single two-day commercial arena. It takes place on September 16-17, 2026 at the Palau de Congressos de Catalunya.

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Europe has set the pace for compliant digital asset markets, giving the industry a clearer framework for how crypto can scale within regulation rather than around it. Recent institutional moves illustrate the shift: Deutsche Börse has invested $200 million in Kraken; Santander’s digital bank, Openbank, has expanded its crypto trading for customers across Germany and Spain. Both will be among the institutions discussing what comes next in Barcelona this September.

EBC expects 80 of Europe’s top 100 banks in Barcelona this September, up from 50 last year. Institutional interest in digital assets continues to accelerate.These institutions will gather at EBC12 to work out what comes next.

“Eight years ago, we built EBC because we believed Europe would be where this industry matured. A lot of people thought we were early. In 2026, European banks are deploying capital, institutional products are live across major markets, and the regulatory framework is in place. EBC is where the people driving that change meet once a year to do real business,” said Victoria Gago, Co-CEO of European Blockchain Convention and Digital Assets Forum.

Sessions cover institutional capital allocation, real-world asset tokenization, regulatory market structure, and the future of stablecoins and CBDCs as global settlement infrastructure.

Confirmed speakers include Emma Landriault, Head of Kinexys Labs at J.P. Morgan; Mohamad Zaraket, Head of Digital Assets Strategy EMEA at BNY; Kathleen Wrynn, Global Head of DA, Invesco; Victor Jung, Vice President, Digital Assets & Currencies, Hamilton Lane; Previn Singh from Fidelity and Colin Payne, Head of Innovation at the Financial Conduct Authority, among more than 300 speakers from across banking, asset management, infrastructure, and policy.

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Alongside the main program, EBC12 features 10,000 pre-arranged one-to-one meetings, a Buy Side Breakfast for allocators and institutional investors, and a dedicated press room with direct access to speakers.

EBC12 expects over 5,000 attendees from 90+ countries for two days of market intelligence, strategic networking, and commercial momentum at the Palau de Congressos de Catalunya, a new premium venue reflecting the event’s institutional evolution.

About European Blockchain Convention

Founded in 2018, the European Blockchain Convention has grown into a key driver of European deal flow in digital assets, bringing together banks, asset managers, regulators, infrastructure providers, and builders annually, drawing over 5,000 attendees each year across its editions. Alongside EBC, the Digital Assets Forum series extends this reach across London, Abu Dhabi, and New York throughout the year.

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For more information, visit eblockchainconvention.com

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BetFury Releases H1 2026 Report Highlighting $140M Returned to Players

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[PRESS RELEASE – Curacao, Curacao, July 30th, 2026]

BetFury, a leading crypto casino, today released its H1 2026 Performance Report, highlighting more than $140,000,000 returned to players across its casino and sportsbook between January and June 2026. The report provides a public analysis of the platform’s performance during the first half of the year, including key operational metrics, major achievements, and the company’s strategic priorities for the coming quarters.

The Half of 2026 in Numbers

Players placed over 14.1 billion bets over the six-month period with total wager volume up 15% compared to the previous half-year. Besides, the relationship between the number of bets and the total sum of withdrawals carries more weight than either figure on its own. When comparing these values ​​to the first half of 2025, the total number of bets decreased by 6.15%, and the total amount of payouts increased by 4.36%. This indicates that the overall skill level of players has boosted significantly during the year, given the rise in profits with a smaller number of bets.

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A Wider Player Base

In H1 2026, the number of registrations has increased by 40%. The number of active users also continues to grow thanks to retention, even without taking into account such a rapid expansion of the player community.

Crypto Deposits and BetFury’s GGR

The number of deposits increased by 20%. At the same time, about 84% of them are cryptocurrencies. This highlights the dominance of cryptocurrencies on modern online gaming platforms. For complete transparency, it is worth mentioning GGR. It grew by 31%. Considering other metrics such as the increased total withdrawal amount, this figure clearly argues for the stability of the platform as a healthy ecosystem.

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What Do Players Choose to Play?

Among all 13,000+ games on the platform, we have identified the most popular. BetFury users made the most bets in the first half of 2026 precisely on Original titles.

Dice ✦ Limbo ✦ Keno ✦ Space Dice ✦ Plinko

A slightly different picture can be seen if you consider various games from the perspective of total wager:

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Sugar Rush Super Scatter ✦ Dice ✦ Keno ✦ Space Dice ✦ 6 Jokers

This data demonstrates the high popularity of Original games created by the BetFury team for its community. They are easy to understand, have a low minimum bet threshold, high-quality design, and many in-game features.

BetFury stated that the H1 2026 results reflect continued growth, with more players, increased payouts, and an expanding user community. The company highlighted that $140 million was withdrawn by players during the six-month period, describing the milestone as part of its ongoing efforts to improve and strengthen the platform.

Looking Ahead to H2 2026

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The focus for the next quarter centers on expanding into new geographic markets with localized product experiences, deepening partnerships with leading iGaming providers, and strengthening BetFury’s position as a crypto-first platform. Each of these directions builds directly on what H1 demonstrated: a growing, engaged player base that expects more from its platform.

About BetFury

BetFury is a leading crypto casino founded in 2019. The platform offers over 13,000 slots, 20+ Original games with RTP up to 99.28%, and 80+ sports for betting with odds higher than the market average. Beyond gaming, BetFury provides a full suite of crypto tools: Crypto Staking with up to 60% APR, Futures, Crypto Swap, etc. Moreover, it has a BFG Staking for accumulating more native tokens or collecting payouts in USDT, ETH, BTC, BNB, and TRX. BetFury continuously evolves based on user feedback and is committed to responsible gambling practices. User can learn more at betfury.com.

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Crypto exchange Luno cuts 20% of staff amid automation push and retail trading slumps

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Crypto exchange Luno cuts 20% of staff amid automation push and retail trading slumps

Cryptocurrency exchange Luno is cutting about 20% of its global workforce as weaker retail trading and automation push the company toward a leaner structure and more institutional business, according to a report by Bloomberg on Thursday.

The firm’s CEO James Lanigan confirmed the cuts to Bloomberg but declined to disclose the number of employees affected. Lanigan said investments in automation and other operational improvements over the past year had changed the resources needed to run the business.

Luno will continue investing in its retail products, infrastructure and regulatory compliance while expanding its business-to-business offering.

The layoffs are Luno’s second major workforce reduction in three and a half years. The exchange cut 35% of its staff in January 2023 citing an “incredibly tough year” affecting the market.

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Luno’s new structure combines its 16 million-user retail exchange with a white-label service allowing banks, fintechs and telecommunications companies to offer crypto products through their own brands. Luno supplies the liquidity, wallets and compliance infrastructure.

The weaker retail trading business reflects the broader picture across the crypto industry, which has seen exchanges BitMEX and BitMart wind down their operations.

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Ethereum Price Prediction: Foundation Adds Pascal Caversaccio to Its Board

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eth logo

Ethereum price is trading near $1,920, and its prediction is getting bullish. The move comes as the Ethereum Foundation signals a shift in long-term priorities. While governance changes rarely move prices immediately, they often shape the network’s future direction.

Pascal Caversaccio, better known on chain as pcaversaccio, has joined the Ethereum Foundation‘s board for an initial one-year voluntary term. He joins Aya Miyaguchi, Vitalik Buterin, and Swiss legal counsel Patrick Storchenegger on the four-member governing board. The board sets the Foundation’s vision and provides oversight of its management.

Caversaccio brings deep security experience to the role. He co-founded SEAL 911, wrote the Ethereum Cypherpunk Manifesto, and serves in the Foundation’s Silviculture Society. That group focuses on censorship resistance, privacy, open source development, and Ethereum’s long-term resilience.

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Meanwhile, the appointment arrives as Ethereum navigates mixed spot ETF flows and a cautious macro backdrop. Traders are still watching how institutional demand develops after the latest Federal Reserve decision. Governance alone is unlikely to drive the next breakout, but stronger security and privacy efforts could reinforce Ethereum’s long-term investment case.

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Ethereum Price Prediction: Push Toward $2,000 This Week?

ETH price has ranged between $1,875 and $1,930. That leaves the area just below $1,930 as the immediate technical hurdle. A clean close above it would put the $2,000 psychological resistance back in focus.

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Near-term model projections for August still span a wide range, highlighting uncertainty rather than a clear forecast. Most estimates continue to place support around the upper $1,700s if ETH pulls back. With the current price holding comfortably above that area, the technical structure remains constructive.

Ethereum (ETH)
24h7d30d1yAll time

The bullish case is unchanged. ETH needs to defend the $1,870 support zone and break above $1,930 with convincing volume. If buyers succeed, the next targets sit around $2,000 and $2,100. Sustained spot ETF inflows would provide another tailwind.

The base case favors continued consolidation between $1,870 and $1,930 as traders digest the latest macro developments. On the downside, a daily close below the upper $1,700s would weaken the medium-term structure. That could shift attention back toward the $1,600 to $1,680 range.

Long-term projections remain mixed. Conservative models continue to favor gradual appreciation over several years. Meanwhile, more optimistic analysts still see cycle highs reaching well above current prices if institutional adoption continues to expand.

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Maxi Doge Targets Early Mover Upside as Ethereum Tests Key Levels

ETH at $1,914 is constructive, but let’s be direct: a large-cap asset grinding toward $2,000 isn’t the kind of trade that generates life-changing asymmetry. That’s not a knock on ETH’s long-term case — it’s just math. For traders looking for the kind of early-stage exposure that blue-chip moves can’t offer, the Ethereum ecosystem’s presale layer is where that risk/reward lives right now.

Maxi Doge ($MAXI) is an ERC-20 meme token built on Ethereum, currently priced at $0.0002831 with $4.8 million raised in its presale. The project positions itself around a “1000x leverage trading mentality,” gym-bro culture meets DeFi degeneracy, with holder-only trading competitions, leaderboard rewards, and a Maxi Fund treasury earmarked for liquidity and ecosystem partnerships.

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Dynamic staking APY adds a yield layer for holders who aren’t purely speculating on price. Meme tokens live and die by community momentum, and $MAXI’s viral gym-bro marketing angle. The tagline is “Never skip leg-day, never skip a pump” is self-aware enough to actually.

Research Maxi Doge before sizing any position.

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Australia Sues Telegram as Russia Charges Pavel Durov While Gram Climbs to $1.41

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Crypto Breaking News

Australia has launched legal action against Telegram over alleged failures to remove extremist content from its platform. The case comes as Russia files criminal charges against Telegram founder Pavel Durov. Meanwhile, GRAM traded at $1.41, recovering after a sharp weekly decline despite growing regulatory pressure.

Australia Targets Telegram Under Online Safety Act

Australia’s eSafety Commission has started civil penalty proceedings against Telegram in the Federal Court. The regulator alleges the messaging platform failed to meet safety obligations under the country’s Online Safety Act. Authorities are seeking penalties that could reach A$54.6 million if the court finds Telegram breached the law.

The action follows a lengthy investigation into Telegram’s handling of harmful online material. Regulators examined whether the company had effective systems to detect and remove extremist content. The review also covered child exploitation material and violent criminal content distributed through the platform.

The commission stated that Telegram left prohibited material available after receiving notifications. The regulator identified videos linked to the 2019 Christchurch mosque attack and the 2022 Buffalo shooting among the reported content. Australian authorities argue that the platform failed to meet mandatory safety standards for digital services.

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Global Pressure on Pavel Durov Continues

The legal action in Australia adds to broader regulatory pressure facing Telegram and its founder, Pavel Durov. Russian authorities recently charged Durov with facilitating terrorist activities through the platform. The country’s Federal Security Service also placed him on an international wanted list after issuing an arrest warrant.

French authorities have also investigated Telegram over concerns about illegal content and cooperation with law enforcement agencies. Prosecutors examined whether the company responded adequately to official requests involving criminal investigations. Those inquiries have increased scrutiny of Telegram’s moderation practices across several jurisdictions.

Telegram has maintained its focus on user privacy despite increasing legal challenges. The company continues to oppose requests that could weaken encryption or create backdoor access. At the same time, Telegram recently introduced network improvements and reduced transaction fees on its ecosystem to almost zero.

Gram Price Recovers Despite Regulatory Challenges

GRAM traded at $1.41 during the latest session after recovering from recent losses. The token gained around 2% over several hours following a weekly decline of approximately 12%. Trading activity placed the daily range between $1.38 and $1.43.

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The recovery came even as legal developments surrounding Telegram continued to dominate headlines. Market participants saw the token stabilize after sustained selling pressure during the previous week. Even so, the price remains below levels recorded before the recent decline.

GRAM has historically reacted to major developments involving Telegram because of the close association between the platform and its ecosystem. Regulatory actions have often influenced short-term market activity. However, broader market conditions also continue to affect the token’s price performance.

Australia’s latest legal action represents another significant challenge for Telegram as governments increase oversight of online platforms. Russia’s charges against Pavel Durov further add to the company’s legal and regulatory pressures across multiple jurisdictions. The combined developments highlight growing international efforts to enforce stricter online safety standards while Telegram continues to defend its privacy-focused approach.

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Australia Files Suit Against Telegram Over Alleged Terror Content Failures

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Crypto Breaking News

Australia’s eSafety Commissioner has taken Telegram to court, launching civil penalty proceedings in the Federal Court over allegations that the messaging platform failed to address terrorism-linked content under the country’s Online Safety Act. The action was filed on Thursday, according to an eSafety statement.

The regulator’s complaint focuses on what it describes as repeated failures to remove pro-terror material after becoming aware of it, along with insufficient steps to prevent repeated breaches. The case is likely to add pressure to Telegram as governments across Europe and beyond continue testing how large platforms should moderate harmful content.

Key takeaways

  • eSafety says Telegram breached obligations under Australia’s Online Safety Act by not responding adequately to multiple user complaints about pro-terror content.
  • The regulator alleges some unlawful material remained visible for as long as three weeks after Telegram was aware of it.
  • eSafety also claims Telegram did not take sufficient measures to curb repeat distribution, including removing accounts, channels, and groups tied to the content.
  • The proceedings seek civil penalties, with potential fines under Australia’s online safety rules reaching up to 54.6 million Australian dollars.
  • The case follows heightened legal scrutiny of Telegram and CEO Pavel Durov in other countries, including recent Russian actions.

Australia’s civil penalty case centers on alleged moderation failures

In its filing, Australia’s online safety regulator alleges Telegram failed to remove certain unlawful material after it had notice of the content. eSafety described a year-long investigation that, in its view, showed Telegram did not act in time once it became aware.

According to eSafety, the issue wasn’t limited to a single piece of content. The regulator alleged that reported pro-terror material continued to be visible for up to three weeks, even after warnings were raised. It also claims Telegram did not do enough to prevent repeat violations by adequately disrupting the accounts and communities used to distribute the content.

The allegations include failures to detect known extremist material—specifically footage connected to two major mass shootings: the 2019 Christchurch mosque attack and the 2022 Buffalo mass shooting—before the material was later removed, eSafety said.

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Why this matters for Telegram users and platform compliance

Beyond the immediate legal stakes, the case underscores how regulators are increasingly tying platform expectations to concrete operational outcomes: timeliness of takedowns, responsiveness to reports, and the ability to limit repeat distribution. For Telegram users, the dispute highlights a growing tension between broad claims about speech and encryption-based design choices versus statutory duties that require platforms to manage certain categories of harmful content.

For Telegram, the compliance challenge is not only about removing content after it is identified, but also about demonstrating systems that can detect and disrupt known extremist material and prevent reappearance via networks of channels, groups, and related accounts. eSafety’s emphasis on alleged repeated violations suggests the regulator may treat moderation as an ongoing obligation rather than a one-off response to individual reports.

Regulatory pressure is widening internationally

The Australian proceedings arrive amid a broader wave of legal scrutiny targeting Telegram’s moderation approach. The case adds to pressure on both the company and its CEO, Pavel Durov, as multiple governments seek more direct accountability from major communication platforms.

eSafety’s move comes a day after Russia’s Federal Security Service (FSB) charged Durov with facilitating terrorist activity and said it had started steps to add him to an international wanted list. Russia’s allegations include claims that Telegram failed to remove channels, chats, and bots used by Ukrainian intelligence services, terrorist groups, and extremist organizations to coordinate attacks, recruit operatives, and carry out cyber fraud.

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Telegram has not issued an official statement on the Australian case. However, the platform’s official X account posted content described as related to “freedom of expression.” In response to international criticism, Telegram has repeatedly framed moderation and legal pressure through the lens of free speech and user rights.

France and Russia-related cases continue to develop

Durov is also facing legal exposure in France following his August 2024 arrest at Le Bourget Airport. French prosecutors have charged him with offenses that include complicity in the distribution of illegal content, including material related to organized crime, through Telegram.

The broader regulatory environment has also shaped Telegram’s public positioning. Durov has criticized what he described as increasing threats to online privacy, arguing that governments were rolling back protections for the free internet. In a post on X dated October 2025, he warned that the promise of free information exchange was being turned into a “tool of control.”

While the Australian case is not identical to the allegations in Russia or France, the common thread is that regulators are increasingly testing whether Telegram’s platform model can meet legal expectations around harmful content—particularly content connected to terrorism and violent extremism.

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As the Australian proceedings move forward, investors, traders, and builders will likely watch not only for any outcomes in court, but also for whether Telegram changes its moderation and enforcement processes in a measurable way—especially around response timelines, repeat distribution, and the handling of clearly identified extremist media.

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Founder of Russia’s largest crypto mining operation transferred to a detention center

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Founder of Russia's largest crypto mining operation transferred to a detention center

A Russian court transferred Igor Runets, the founder of the country’s largest crypto mining company BitRiver, to a pretrial detention facility to face trial for fraud, Pravo.ru reported on Thursday.

Runets is charged with “large-scale” fraud, according to the news service. Investigators allege he caused damages exceeding 1 billion rubles ($12.5 million) by failing to deliver equipment to Infrastructure of Siberia, a subsidiary of En+, a multibillion-dollar corporation that produces 5% of the world’s aluminum and also manages digital, technology and crypto mining infrastructure projects.

Russian law enforcement officials say that in 2023, Runets entered into an equipment supply contract worth $8 million that it never fulfilled, according to Pravo.ru.

Runets, a crypto mining pioneer in Russia, was reportedly detained and placed on house arrest in February on three charges of tax evasion. The Stanford University MBA graduate began building a crypto mining data center in Siberia in 2017, the same year he founded BitRiver. He later expanded the operation to 15 data centers with more than 175,000 servers.

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Following the closure of several of his crypto mining centers due to a six-year government ban across 10 regions, BitRiver began facing financial issues. A regional arbitration court opened insolvency proceedings against its controlling shareholder, Group of Companies Fox, which owns 98% of BitRiver’s authorized capital, in February.

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Completion of This Chart Pattern Could Send BTC to $220K, Says Analyst

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Sen told his 270,000 X followers on Thursday that Bitcoin has just completed a multi-year cup-and-handle pattern with a breakout and perfect retest. This structure, which took years to build, has now been confirmed, he added.

“Cup-and-handle breakouts don’t move 20%, the move hundreds of percent,” he said before making a bold price prediction.

“The launch is next … $220K is the minimum target.”

Previous Patterns Ended in Big Breakouts

The cup and handle is a classic bullish continuation pattern in technical analysis. It resembles a teacup on a chart, and a breakout above the handle’s resistance often signals strong upside, with a measured target equal to the cup’s depth added to the breakout point.

Bitcoin has formed this pattern previously, often preceding major rallies. During the 2020 to 2021 cycle, a multi-month cup formed from 2019 highs down to the 2020 low, with a handle in summer 2020. The breakout led to the run toward the peak at $69,000 in November 2021. Through 2022 and 2023, Bitcoin formed a massive, rounded bottom on the weekly chart as institutional accumulation picked up.

By early 2024, the price consolidated in the $60,000 to $69,000 range, forming the handle, before an explosive breakout to over $100,000. However, there may be a little further to go with this handle, as many analysts have targeted October as the bottom and cycle inflection point.

Swissblock reported that Bitcoin’s Risk Index peaked in late June before transitioning into low risk, “allowing selling pressure to ease and price to stabilize.”

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However, a divergence is forming with Bitcoin risk remaining subdued while the VIX has returned to the fear zone. The VIX is the CBOE Volatility Index, which is often called the “fear index” as it measures the market’s expectation of 30-day forward-looking volatility in the S&P 500.

A rising VIX often signals deteriorating market conditions that weigh on BTC, while a low and stable VIX supports risk appetite favorable to crypto.

“If the VIX continues rising and Bitcoin Risk reignites, the canary will begin singing again,” said Swissblock.

The $220,000 price prediction comes just after another one, a lot more bullish, set a massive target of up to $450,000 per BTC. The time horizon for that one is by March 2028.

BTC Price Outlook

Bitcoin has been choppy over the past 24 hours following the Federal Reserve decision to keep rates unchanged. The asset tapped intraday highs of $64,500 three times before retreating to the high $63,000 zone during the Thursday morning Asian trading session.

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Volatility could increase as the US has resumed military strikes on Iran late on Wednesday. “The strikes are a powerful response to yesterday’s attempted Iranian attacks on US forces based in the Middle East,” stated Central Command.

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Bitcoin Price Prediction: Bitcoin ETFs End 4 Day Outflow Streak

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Bitcoin price prediction. FOMC paused rates, Bitcoin shrugged off volatility, while Ethereum traded sideways as markets digested the decision.

U.S.-listed Bitcoin ETFs have snapped a four-session outflow streak, and the timing matters for the Bitcoin price prediction. Bitcoin trades near $64,000, recovering after briefly slipping below that level during Wednesday’s session. The rebound in ETF flows is modest, yet the change in direction offers a clearer signal of institutional sentiment.

Wednesday’s net inflows reached $32.1 million, ending four straight sessions of outflows totaling more than $500 million. Monthly net inflows for US spot Bitcoin ETFs now stand above $220 million. Meanwhile, cumulative lifetime inflows remain above $51 billion, highlighting their growing role in Bitcoin demand.

Bitcoin price prediction. FOMC paused rates, Bitcoin shrugged off volatility, while Ethereum traded sideways as markets digested the decision.
Bitcoin ETF Flows, Coinglass

Spot Ether ETFs moved the other way on Wednesday, recording $18.65 million in net outflows. Even so, Ether ETFs still hold stronger monthly inflows than their Bitcoin counterparts. That contrast suggests institutions remain selective instead of pulling capital from digital assets altogether.

The Crypto Fear and Greed Index remains at 28, keeping sentiment firmly in the fear zone. Still, ETF inflows returned despite cautious retail positioning. That gap between institutional buying and hesitant retail traders is the key setup heading into the FOMC decision.

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Bitcoin Price Prediction: Can BTC Reclaim $65,000 as ETF Flows Stabilize?

Bitcoin is trading near $64,000, holding within a technically important range. The session low around $63,300 tested a support zone that has repeatedly attracted buyers. Meanwhile, the intraday high near $64,400 remains intact, showing sellers are still defending overhead resistance.

ETF flows are once again acting as a real-time gauge of institutional sentiment. Earlier this year, a 13-session outflow streak erased roughly $4.3 billion before inflows finally returned. A similar pattern has emerged again on a smaller scale. BlackRock’s IBIT has led buying during each reversal, and Wednesday’s return to net inflows follows that trend.

Bitcoin (BTC)
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The bullish case sees daily ETF inflows consistently exceeding $50 million, while a less hawkish Fed helps Bitcoin reclaim $65,500. That would put $68,000 into focus. The base case keeps Bitcoin between $63,000 and $65,500, allowing the price to build a stronger foundation before the next breakout.

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The bearish scenario appears if the Fed surprises with a hawkish stance or ETF outflows resume. In that case, Bitcoin could lose $63,000 support and revisit the $60,000 to $61,500 demand zone. Until then, ETF flows remain one of the market’s clearest signals.

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Bitcoin Hyper Targets Early Mover Upside as Bitcoin Tests Key Levels

Bitcoin’s mid-$64,000 consolidation reflects an asset at full price discovery, and $51 billion in cumulative ETF inflows already priced in. The asymmetric upside for most traders is narrowing as each ETF flow reversal generates diminishing surprise. That’s where the risk/reward calculation shifts toward earlier-stage infrastructure plays built on Bitcoin’s own rails.

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Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is positioning itself as exactly that. It is the first Bitcoin Layer 2 with full Solana Virtual Machine (SVM) integration, targeting the core limitations that have historically kept developers off Bitcoin: slow throughput, high fees, and limited programmability.

The architecture delivers sub-second finality and low-cost smart contract execution while inheriting Bitcoin’s security model, or a combination no other L2 has shipped. The presale has raised close to $33 million at a current price of $0.0136839, with staking already live.

Research Bitcoin Hyper as a satellite position to a core BTC holding, not a replacement for it.

Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio

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Robinhood Reports Record $1.3B Q2 Revenue, Crypto Declines 38%

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Robinhood’s Q2 revenue grew 32% year-over-year, hitting a record $1.31 billion as growth across options, equities, and event contracts surged. Wall Street had predicted $1.26 billion in revenue for Robinhood during Q2.

Despite the impressive numbers, the platform’s crypto revenue fell substantially, declining 38% year-over-year to $100 million.

Robinhood’s Record Quarter

Robinhood has reported robust growth across its equities, events contracts, and options segments. According to the company’s earnings report, its net income grew 48% year-over-year to $573 million, while diluted earnings per share increased 48% to $0.62. The quarterly results also include $129 million in gains tied to the deconsolidation of the Robinhood Ventures Fund I. Chief Financial Officer Shiv Verma stated,

“We delivered record revenues and drove new highs across equity, option, and event contract volumes, as we continue to win market share.”

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Robinhood’s record numbers were primarily driven by a surge in transaction-based revenue, which increased 44% year-over-year to $776 million. The platform generated $156 million from events contracts, a 10x increase from the previous year. Revenue from options jumped 29% to $342 million, and equities revenue jumped 95% to $129 million. Revenue from net interest rose 9% to $389 million. However, these gains were partly offset by lower short-term interest rates and securities lending activity. CEO Vlad Tenev stated,

“Whether it’s the Robinhood Chain, Robinhood Ventures, or Trump Accounts, our product velocity is focused on one goal: making everyone an owner.”

Meanwhile, Robinhood’s operating expenses rose 33% year-over-year to $734 million, largely due to investments in marketing and growth, restructuring charges linked with its June workforce reduction, and other expenses related to Trump Accounts and Rothera. Lastly, Adjusted EBITDA rose 35% to $741 million. Despite the strong numbers, HOOD is trading around $89.84, down over 3%.

Crypto Business Struggles

While Robinhood’s numbers are impressive, its crypto business struggled, declining 38% year-over-year to $100 million. The decline can be attributed to a broader downturn in the cryptocurrency market due to geopolitical and policy headwinds. However, the trading platform reported record trading activity, including an equity notional trading volume of $956 billion, 774 million options contracts, and 13.6 billion events contracts. Robinhood reported a crypto notional trading volume of $40 billion, with $18 billion through the Robinhood app and $22 billion through Bitstamp.

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Analysts Bullish On Robinhood

Market analysts are bullish on Robinhood, with Bernstein raising its price target on HOOD from $130 to $160. Analysts expect the platform’s retail trading, prediction markets, and equities businesses will drive significant growth. They also expect new revenue from perpetual futures and Robinhood Chain. Bernstein analysts have applied a calendar-year earnings-per-share estimate of $4.56 for 2028, with revenue from prediction markets estimated to reach $1.7 billion by 2028.

Robinhood debuted in the prediction markets space in October 2024, offering presidential-election contracts. It launched a dedicated prediction markets hub in March 2025, and Rothera, a CFTC-licensed exchange and clearinghouse, in June. Rothera is independently managed via a joint venture with Susquehanna International Group.

Robinhood Chain

Robinhood recently launched Robinhood Chain, a layer-2 network built using Arbitrum’s tech stack. The total value locked (TVL) in Robinhood Chain is $325 million as of Tuesday. CEO Vlad Tenev stated Robinhood Chain has seen “great initial traction,” and decentralized exchanges have processed over $12 billion in trading volume. Tenev added that Robinhood Chain has already surpassed 150 million transactions and was the fastest to reach 100 million.

Disclaimer: This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

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Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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