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Software Stocks Under Stress: Is Bitcoin at Risk?

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Software Stocks Under Stress: Is Bitcoin at Risk?

Software stocks have faced notable market headwinds amid growing investor fears regarding artificial intelligence disruption.

The broader equity pullback is also raising concerns for Bitcoin (BTC), which has closely tracked software stocks.

Why Are Software Stocks Down?

According to the Global Markets Investor, the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) has fallen 15% in February alone, putting it on pace for its worst monthly performance since 2008. The ETF is now testing its April 2025 lows and sits roughly 35% below its peak.

“Software stocks are having their WORST month since the Great Financial Crisis,” the post read.

Artificial intelligence sits at the center of the recent drawdown, with investors selling shares of companies perceived as vulnerable to disruption by advancing AI tools. Two major developments in recent days have accelerated the downturn.

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On February 20, Anthropic introduced “Claude Code Security,” a new capability embedded within Claude Code. The tool scans codebases for security vulnerabilities and recommends targeted patches for human review, aiming to detect and fix issues that traditional security tools may overlook.

The announcement triggered an immediate reaction across cybersecurity stocks. According to The Kobeissi Letter, CrowdStrike erased $20 billion in market value within two trading sessions. Furthermore, IBM shares fell more than 10%.

“The software selloff continues, w/cybersecurity stocks particularly hard hit following the release of Anthropic’s Claude Code Security due to fears that this code-focused tool will change the industry. This indicates that there is nowhere to hide when it comes to software stocks. Even the Goldman Sachs basket of supposedly AI-immune software stocks has come under heavy pressure recently,” said Holger Zschaepitz, Senior Editor at the Economic and Financial desk of the German daily Die Welt and its Sunday edition Welt am Sonntag.

Pressure intensified again on Monday after Citrini Research published a report. The report presents a hypothetical scenario set in June 2028 in which AI automation drives higher corporate profits. 

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At the same time, it models significant disruption to white-collar employment, weaker consumer demand, rising credit stress, and structural economic challenges.

“What follows is a scenario, not a prediction. The sole intent of this piece is modeling a scenario that’s been relatively underexplored. Hopefully, reading this leaves you more prepared for potential left tail risks as AI makes the economy increasingly weird,” the report read.

Following the report’s release, shares of delivery, payments, and software companies moved lower. 

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Rising Tech Volatility Tightens Grip on Bitcoin 

The impact is not confined to traditional equity markets. Grayscale observed that Bitcoin’s price action closely mirrored US software stocks during the latest wave of selling.

Several market participants have highlighted the correlation between US software stocks and Bitcoin. This suggests that, rather than behaving as a hedge, Bitcoin has at times traded like a high-beta extension of the tech sector.

Thus, if software stocks continue to weaken, Bitcoin may also remain under pressure. Prolonged weakness in high-growth equities can contribute to tighter financial conditions through wealth effects, higher equity risk premia, increased volatility, and systematic deleveraging across high-beta assets, including cryptocurrencies.

However, a divergence remains possible. If investors begin to view Bitcoin as a monetary hedge against structural AI-driven labor disruption, currency debasement, or policy responses such as aggressive stimulus, its correlation with software equities could weaken.

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Crypto World

Russia Reportedly Investigates Telegram CEO Over Facilitating Terror

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Russia Reportedly Investigates Telegram CEO Over Facilitating Terror

Russian authorities have initiated a criminal investigation into Telegram co-founder and CEO Pavel Durov, according to state media reports.

Durov is being investigated in Russia as part of a criminal case involving allegations of facilitation of terrorist activities, official state publication Rossiyskaya Gazeta reported on Tuesday, citing the Federal Security Service (FSB).

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov reportedly confirmed the investigation, saying the news reports were based on materials from the FSB, which was “carrying out its functions.”

The latest news adds to an ongoing pressure campaign against Telegram in Russia since state media regulator Roskomnadzor tightened messenger restrictions in early February.

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Telegram had not responded to the reports by the time of publication. Cointelegraph contacted Telegram for comment but did not immediately receive a response.

Telegram refuses to cooperate with Russian authorities

The reported investigation builds on Telegram’s refusal to comply with Roskomnadzor’s demands to remove what it said was extremist-linked content.

According to the state-linked Komsomolskaya Pravda, Telegram has not removed almost 155,000 channels, chats and bots flagged for illegal or harmful content locally.

The largest categories include 104,093 channels containing false information, 10,598 promoting extremism, 4,168 justifying extremist activity and 3,771 related to drugs.

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The investigation could lead to the entire platform being labeled as extremist, former Russian presidential internet adviser German Klimenko reportedly warned. He said that could criminalize payments for Telegram Premium subscriptions and advertising on the platform.

Durov accuses Russia of attacking Telegram to promote state-owned messenger

Durov has previously said the pressure is aimed at steering users toward a new state-backed messenger called MAX.

Source: Pavel Durov

He added that other countries, including Iran, have attempted similar strategies and failed. “Despite the ban, most Iranians still use Telegram and prefer it to surveilled apps,” Durov wrote on his Telegram channel on Feb. 10.

“Restricting citizens’ freedom is never the right answer. Telegram stands for freedom of speech and privacy, no matter the pressure,” Durov added.

Related: TON Pay aims to turn Telegram into a crypto checkout layer for TON

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The Russian investigation comes as Durov remains under scrutiny abroad. Durov is also part of an ongoing inquiry in France since his arrest in August 2024.

French authorities lifted Durov’s travel ban in November 2025 after previously saying he could face up to 10 years in prison.

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