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Solana Prepares for the Alpenglow Upgrade. How Will SOL React?

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Solana Price Performance

Solana has started preparing validators for Alpenglow, a major upgrade that aims to make transactions final much faster.

Today, Solana can take about 12 seconds to fully confirm a block. Alpenglow aims to cut that time to around 150 milliseconds. In simple terms, a payment or trade could become final almost instantly.

The upgrade changes how validators confirm activity on the network. Validators are independent computers that check transactions and agree on the correct version of the blockchain.

How Solana is Changing with Alpenglow

Under the current system, validators send large amounts of voting data to the network. Alpenglow will combine many of those votes into one small digital certificate.

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For example, it is similar to replacing hundreds of separate approval letters with one signed document that shows everyone has agreed. This reduces the amount of data Solana needs to process.

As a result, the network should have more space for normal transactions. This could help trading platforms, payment apps, and DeFi services process activity faster during busy periods.

Validators must first register new BLS public keys. Solana expects to roll out the upgrade in stages between August and October 2026, although the timetable could change during testing.

Solana’s Price Reacts Ahead of the Upgrade

SOL currently trades near $77, giving it a market capitalization of about $45 billion and a rank of seventh among cryptocurrencies.

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The token has dropped 61% over the past year. It has still gained nearly 5% over the past month, a mixed setup for its current price outlook.

Solana Price Performance
Solana Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto Markets

What Comes Next Before Mainnet Goes Live

Alpenglow’s activation window still runs from August through October 2026, and Solana has not set an exact date within that range.

The upgrade cannot switch on until enough validators register their keys and the Validator Admission Ticket (VAT) is active. The VAT checks each key before a validator can vote under the new system.

Solana also rolled out governance voting tools this month alongside its Securitize listing on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).

Analysts tracking Solana’s seasonal price patterns note that past upgrades have sometimes preceded renewed trading activity. That pattern has not held every time. Whether Alpenglow repeats it will depend on how smoothly validators clear registration before the window closes in October.

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U.S. seeks forfeiture of $25 million in crypto tied to romance and investment scams

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U.S. seeks forfeiture of $25 million in crypto tied to romance and investment scams

Federal prosecutors filed five civil forfeiture complaints seeking more than $25 million in cryptocurrency that investigators say came from international romance and investment scams targeting people in the U.S. and Canada.

The complaints, filed in U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia, stem from separate Secret Service investigations.

Agents traced funds through hundreds of wallet addresses and frozen crypto linked to more than 270 suspected investment scam transactions, more than 200 romance scam victims and several victims in the Washington area, according to the U.S. Attorney’s Office.

The two largest cases seek about $12.1 million tied to online romance schemes and $10.4 million linked to fraudulent investment platforms. Another three complaints seek roughly $1.23 million, $2.39 million and $285,000.

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In one case, scammers cut off contact after a victim tried to withdraw money from what appeared to be a crypto investment account. In another, fraudsters contacted someone who had already lost money and claimed they could recover it for a fee in what’s known as a recovery scam.

The cases are part of the Scam Center Strike Force, which launched in November 2025. The U.S. Attorney’s Office said the task force has recovered more than $800 million.

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4 Important Binance Announcements Concerning Tron (TRX), Zcash (ZEC), and Other Alts: Details

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The world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange will temporarily suspend certain services later this month.

Additionally, it will delist numerous trading pairs “to protect users and maintain a high-quality trading market.”

The Upcoming Disruptions

Binance will perform a wallet maintenance for the Tron Network on July 23, and to support the process, it will briefly pause TRX deposits and withdrawals. The operation is expected to take about one hour, following which everything should resume normally. In addition, the exchange will support an upcoming Zcash hard fork and, as a result, temporarily suspend ZEC deposits and withdrawals.

“The network upgrade and hard fork will take place at block height 3,428,143, or approximately 2026-07-28 13:00 (UTC),” the disclosure reads.

In both cases, token trading will not be impacted, while Binance promised to handle all technical requirements involving users.

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Such efforts are quite common and usually cause no serious implications for clients. Less than a month ago, Binance briefly halted deposits and withdrawals on the Bitcoin (BTC) network to perform similar wallet maintenance.

Prior to that, it took similar actions to support improvements across various ecosystems, including Ethereum (ETH), Cardano (ADA), and more. There haven’t been reports or complaints of major issues, and everything was restored promptly.

The Other Updates

Binance is known for closely monitoring all services and digital assets listed on its platform to ensure they meet industry standards, such as team commitment, development activity, trading volume, liquidity, network stability, and more. Based on its latest review, it decided to remove the spot trading pairs: ACX/USDC, ALGO/BTC, CVC/USDC, LPT/USDC, ONG/BTC, RVN/USDC, and XRP/BNB. The actual delisting is scheduled for July 24.

Meanwhile, the same action will apply to several pairs from the Margin section on July 24. Those include the cross margin pairs CYBER/USDC, DOLO/USDC, PIXEL/USDC, and STEEM/USDC, as well as the isolated margin pairs DOLO/USDC, PIXEL/USDC, and STEEM/USDC.

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The announcements have not triggered a negative price impact for the involved cryptocurrencies. However, it is a completely different story when Binance terminates all services with a certain digital asset. Last month, it delisted Alchemix (ALCX), Ardor (ARDR), NFPrompt Token (NFP), and Marlin (POND), causing double-digit collapses for the affected ones. A very similar thing was observed at the start of June when it said goodbye to Contentos (COS), Dar Open Network (D), Highstreet (HIGH), and MOBOX (MBOX).

The post 4 Important Binance Announcements Concerning Tron (TRX), Zcash (ZEC), and Other Alts: Details appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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Survelliance Money, or a Better Alternative to Cash?

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Survelliance Money, or a Better Alternative to Cash?

The digital euro is one of Europe’s most contentious financial projects.

Supporters see it as a way to preserve the bloc’s monetary sovereignty, reduce its reliance on foreign payment providers, and ensure central bank money survives in an online economy dominated by USD stablecoins.

Critics, however, argue the digital euro could be a way for a supranational organization to surveil — and in certain circumstances, even control — the population of Europe.

The official view is that: “The digital euro will reduce Europe’s excessive dependence on non-European providers. It will ensure that Europeans can pay with their money — the sovereign money issued by their central bank — in the digital economy,” said Piero Cipollone, member of the executive board of the European Central Bank (ECB).

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The alternative perspective is that the Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) may curtail the freedom of citizens to spend money how they wish.

“These are the 8 most dangerous words if you care about freedom: “The digital euro is here to protect Europeans,” said former Deutsche Bank managing director Pius Sprenger.

“This is how they will be able to control EVERY euro you spend. Goodbye money. The ECB will decide how much digital money you can have,” said José Vizner, a Spanish financial commentator.

So who’s right? The suited Brussels bureaucrats who seem to get a kick out of reading your private messages or the tinfoil hat adjacent cypherpunks who want to separate money and state?

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What is the digital euro?

The digital euro is a proposed digital form of the euro that would be issued by the ECB, making it a digital form of central bank money, or CBDC.

The term “CBDC” tends to raise the hairs on the back of the necks of privacy-loving crypto folk, invoking 1984-style vibes of government overreach and surveillance.

President Donald Trump signed an executive order to ban CBDCs from the US in January, citing threats to the financial system, individual privacy and the country’s sovereignty. A ban until 2030 was formalized more recently in housing bill legislation. Despite this, the ECB says they’ll do just fine for Europe.

Related: US CBDC ban to go into effect without Trump signoff on housing bill

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It argues the digital euro would give people living in the euro zone another way to make everyday transactions with central bank money as payments move increasingly online; and that it will complement, rather than replace, physical banknotes and coins.

Not everyone is sold on the benefits of the digital euro. Source: Pius the Banker

“The main reason for issuing a digital euro is to preserve the benefits of cash in the digital era,” Cipellone said in an interview on July 14.

That’s nice, except that one of the major benefits of banknotes that is they can be tracked, traced and frozen at will, as Vizner pointed out. “They promise privacy… but it’s money that’s trackable by design.”

Why does Europe want one?

The ECB obviously isn’t talking up the benefits of spying on everyday payments. Instead, officials argue that as cash use declines, Europe risks becoming more reliant on private or overseas-operated payment systems like Visa or Mastercard.

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Some policymakers have expressed concern that the continent lacks control over its critical payment infrastructure, with ECB President Christine Lagarde saying in 2025:

“The entire infrastructure mechanism that allows for payment, credit and debit, is not a European solution… We need to make sure there is a European offer, just in case.”

Consumer groups such as the European Consumer Organization (BEUC) have also highlighted potential benefits for users.

Deputy head of communications, Andrew Canning, told Cointelegraph that the digital euro could provide consumers with a “secure and inclusive” payment option that complements existing solutions, particularly for people who face barriers accessing digital payments.

Related: South Korea eyes September launch for second phase of CBDC pilot: Report

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Yet critics argue that the digital euro would give governments and central banks control over how citizens can spend money.

These fears are not theoretical, even in Western democracies. During Canada’s 2022 Freedom Convoy protests, authorities ordered banks, crowdfunding platforms and other financial institutions to freeze accounts linked to the blockades.

Why do we need a digital euro? Source: ECB

Efrat Fenigson, a tech entrepreneur and privacy advocate, said that the digital euro could become “the infrastructure for programmable money, programmable identity and programmable behavior,” warning that “freedom doesn’t disappear overnight. It disappears one permission at a time.”

Patrick Schueffel, a professor of banking and finance at the Fribourg School of Management, also warned that CBDCs could significantly expand governments’ ability to monitor financial activity.

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Are there safeguards?

The EU’s own privacy watchdogs have said the project needs strong safeguards, with both the Data Protection Supervisor (EDPS) and the European Data Protection Board (EDPB) saying a high level of privacy and data protection is essential for the digital euro to gain public trust.

The ECB’s digital euro privacy materials assure skeptics that offline payments will exist to enable ‘cash-like’ privacy and insist that the bank will not see personal transaction data.

Canning told Cointelegraph that the BEUC is “currently happy” with the proposal and that “we trust that consumer safeguards are protected in the final negotiations between EU lawmakers.”

However, the ECB’s arguments may not be enough to persuade the doubters.

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How does the digital euro work?

Unlike privately issued stablecoins like Tether or USDC, which are denominated in US dollars, the digital euro would be denominated in euros and issued by the central bank. Consumers would still access it through their regular bank or payment provider.

Unlike physical cash, which people hold directly in their wallets, the digital euro would be accessed through electronic wallets and used to make payments in stores, online, or from wallet to wallet.

The underlying money would remain a liability of the ECB rather than a commercial bank, which supporters say would give it the same public backing as cash rather than being a claim on a commercial bank’s deposits.

Related: Bank of England governor denies Farage lobbying swayed CBDC policy: Report

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Unusual bedfellows: Crypto and the banks

Crypto and privacy advocates have an unusual ally in the fight against the digital euro, as parts of the banking industry isn’t too keen on it either.

They worry a shift to central bank digital euros would reduce bank deposits, forcing them to rethink loans to businesses and consumers.

Lorenzo Bini Smaghi, an Italian economist and banker who served on the executive board of the ECB from 2005 to 2011, said, “There is a high risk of financial instability, with strong repercussions for the real economy.”

The ECB argues that the design choices have been taken to “minimize any potential risks” to the banking sector. Users would be limited to holding a small amount of digital euros in their wallets at any time to “prevent excessive outflows of bank deposits,” and “as with cash in your wallet, no interest would be paid on digital euro holdings.”

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Estimated bank deposit outflows by holding limits. Source: ECB

How much will it cost?

The cost of implementing a digital euro has become a bone of contention among critics, as the ECB estimates that it will run to around 1.3 billion euros (approximately $1.5 billion) in investment, with ongoing operating costs of around €320 million ($370 million) annually.

Commercial banks and other payment providers face steep costs integrating the digital euro into their services. The ECB expects implementation costs for the banking sector of between $4.6 billion and $6.9 billion.

When is it coming?

After years of discussions, lawmakers across the European Parliament, EU member states and the European Commission have begun negotiations on the final legislation for the digital euro, and aim to reach an agreement within the next six months.

Cipollone said in an interview on July 13:

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“We hope the text will be finalized by the end of the year, at which point we’ll be in a position to take a decision on the future issuance of the digital euro.”

The road to a digital euro. Source: Cointelegraph

If that legislation goes through, the next move will be up to the ECB’s Governing Council, which will decide whether to launch the digital euro sometime in 2027. Europeans are unlikely to encounter it in their everyday lives before 2029, if it is approved at all.

Has this been tried before?

More than 100 countries started exploring CBDCs a few years ago, with most abandoning the idea or shifting to a wholesale model, rather than a retail currency. The few CBDCs in production have not been widely adopted.

China began piloting its digital yuan, or e-CNY, in 2019, later rolling it out across the country. Even though it has processed trillions of yuan in transactions, most Chinese consumers still prefer using familiar payment apps such as Alipay and WeChat Pay.

The Bahamas Sand Dollar project. Source: IMF

The Bahamas became the first country to roll out a nationwide retail CBDC when it launched the Sand Dollar in 2020. While the project was intended to improve financial inclusion, adoption was slower than many hoped, prompting authorities to push for wider distribution through commercial banks.

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Elsewhere, Nigeria’s eNaira also struggled to gain traction after its 2021 launch despite strong government support, and Brazil’s central bank shut down its Drex CBDC platform in 2025, citing cost and privacy concerns.

As the Bank for International Settlements concluded in 2023, “a retail CBDC is a complex undertaking, and not only for the central banks.”

Magazine: The British Virgin Islands are a top crypto hub no one ever talks about. Here’s why

Cointelegraph publishes long-form journalism, analysis and narrative reporting produced by Cointelegraph’s in-house editorial team with subject-matter expertise. All articles are edited and reviewed by Cointelegraph editors in line with our editorial standards. Content published in here does not constitute financial, legal or investment advice. Readers should conduct their own research and consult qualified professionals where appropriate. Cointelegraph maintains full editorial independence.

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Interpol Ties $122.5M Crypto Wallet to Romance Scam Ring

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Interpol Ties $122.5M Crypto Wallet to Romance Scam Ring


A 20-year-old's cryptocurrency wallet processed more than $122.5 million in suspected romance-scam proceeds over 10 months, Interpol said, after Thai police made two arrests tied to a cross-chain laundering scheme uncovered during a global crackdown. The case surfaced from Operation First Light… Read the full story at The Defiant

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Bitcoin Traders Watch for “Serious Volume” After Binance BTC Outflows Rise to 9K

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Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin buyers appear to be absorbing sell pressure more effectively around the $65,000 area, according to analysis tied to exchange flow data. The signal comes after Binance posted its largest single-day net outflow in nearly two years, with more BTC leaving the platform than entering.

Onchain analytics firm CryptoQuant highlighted that Binance withdrawals have recently been running ahead of deposits—an environment traders often watch for because it can indicate reduced immediate supply on the exchange order book. Still, analysts caution that exchange outflows alone do not confirm a fresh, sustainable uptrend.

Key takeaways

  • CryptoQuant data shows Binance daily netflows have oscillated between inflows and outflows, with a notable outflow spike on Tuesday.
  • More than 9,000 BTC net left Binance in a single day, the largest tally since November 2024, suggesting significant movement toward self-custody.
  • Analysts frame the latest pattern as improved “absorption” near $65,000–$66,000 rather than immediate proof of a new rally.
  • US spot Bitcoin ETF flows remain net positive, pointing to ongoing institutional demand even as spot market momentum appears uneven.

Binance’s outflow spike draws attention

A CryptoQuant research note released Wednesday focused on Binance’s spot exchange balances, showing that daily BTC withdrawals are outpacing inflows. The takeaway is that short-term pressure from supply moving onto Binance appears to be easing—at least on the days where net outflows dominate.

CryptoQuant contributor Rei Researcher wrote that this pattern typically reflects reduced urgency to send BTC to the exchange “for potential selling.” In other words, when a large exchange sees net withdrawals, it often suggests sellers are not adding to immediate market liquidity at that moment.

The broader context from CryptoQuant is that Binance netflows have been switching signs—turning positive and negative—after a stretch of positive days that ended in early June. One day, however, stands out: on Tuesday, Binance recorded a net outflow of more than 9,000 BTC, which CryptoQuant described as the largest single-day figure since November 2024.

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Ruga Research, another CryptoQuant contributor, argued that outsized outflows generally point to participants moving “serious volume” into self-custody. In a separate post, he emphasized that coins leaving an exchange are less likely to be sold directly into the order book, at least in the near term.

“When outflows hit this size, someone is moving serious volume into self-custody. Coins off exchanges are coins that won’t be sold into the order book,” Ruga Research said in that post.

Ruga also noted that on rolling 30-day time frames, netflows continue to repeat a fluctuation pattern and that sharp spikes can still reverse. His warning reflects a key nuance investors often overlook: exchange flow metrics can shift quickly, and a single dramatic day does not automatically define the next trend.

“Can this one fail? Absolutely. Momentum has been indecisive around the zero line for two weeks. It hasn’t committed. And what happens next, honestly, nobody knows,” he wrote, referring to mixed netflow days.

Absorption improves, but the trend still needs confirmation

Rei Researcher stopped short of claiming the outflow data by itself signals a durable new bull phase. Instead, he pointed to a more subtle implication: the presence of negative netflow while BTC trades around $65,000–$66,000 suggests buyers are doing a better job absorbing whatever supply remains in the system compared with an earlier weak period.

In his assessment, the key distinction is between “absorption” and a confirmed uptrend. Negative netflow can reduce exchange liquidity, but price still depends on spot demand, traded volume, and the market’s ability to maintain a stable structure.

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“However, negative netflow does not automatically confirm a new uptrend. It needs to be accompanied by spot demand, volume, and a more stable price structure,” Rei Researcher said.

This framing matters because BTC’s reaction has been relatively range-bound compared to the momentum traders typically look for when a sustained move begins. If exchange outflows are rising but price remains choppy, the market may be transitioning into a steadier equilibrium rather than launching immediately into a higher trajectory.

ETF inflows remain a supportive counterweight

While exchange flow data is one part of the picture, ETF activity is another. Earlier coverage from Cointelegraph noted that consensus expectations for a full bull-market rebound have been constrained by a perceived lack of consistent spot demand. In that context, derivatives-related improvement has been easier to observe than a corresponding surge in spot buying.

Cointelegraph previously reported that net inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs suggest a continuation of institutional interest. CryptoQuant’s flow-focused analysis aligns with that broader narrative: even if the spot market’s immediate impulse is inconsistent, larger investors and structured products can help sustain demand.

In the current setup described by CryptoQuant and referenced by Cointelegraph, the most relevant tension is this: Binance outflows may be reducing available supply on exchanges, but the market still needs clear evidence that spot buyers are expanding participation rather than simply absorbing intermittent supply.

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What to watch next for traders and long-term holders

For readers tracking whether this move becomes meaningful, the immediate question is whether Binance netflows keep favoring withdrawals and whether spot market behavior follows through. CryptoQuant contributors themselves underscored that netflow momentum has been mixed and that outflow spikes can fail. The next confirmations to monitor are steadier spot demand and improved price structure around the $65,000–$66,000 band, alongside continued net positive ETF inflows that could support broader risk appetite.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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SOL holds $77 as ETF inflows and bullish derivatives signal further upside

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SOL holds $77 as ETF inflows and bullish derivatives signal further upside

Key takeaways

  • Solana (SOL) trades around $78, gaining more than 2% this week.
  • Spot Solana ETFs recorded $5.83 million in inflows, marking the second straight day of institutional buying.
  • Derivatives data points to growing bullish sentiment, with the long-to-short ratio rising to 1.12.

Solana (SOL) remained steady around $77 on Wednesday, extending its weekly gains to more than 2% as institutional investors returned to the market.

Growing inflows into spot Solana exchange-traded funds (ETFs), combined with increasingly bullish derivatives positioning, are improving the outlook for the cryptocurrency despite technical resistance continuing to cap upside momentum.

Solana ETFs record strongest inflows in weeks

Institutional demand for Solana showed further improvement this week. According to SoSoValue, spot Solana ETFs attracted $5.83 million in net inflows on Tuesday, marking the second consecutive day of positive flows. 

It was also the largest single-day inflow since July 6, suggesting institutional confidence may be recovering after a quieter period.

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If ETF inflows continue throughout the week, they could provide additional buying pressure and support a broader price recovery for SOL.

The derivatives market is also showing signs of growing optimism. Data from CoinGlass reveals that Solana’s long-to-short ratio climbed to 1.12 on Wednesday, approaching its highest level in more than a month. 

The increase indicates that leveraged traders are increasingly positioning for additional price gains.

The stronger long positioning reinforces the improving institutional sentiment reflected in recent ETF inflows, suggesting both retail and professional traders are becoming more constructive on SOL’s near-term outlook.

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Solana price analysis: Can SOL break above $80?

From a technical standpoint, Solana continues to consolidate after recovering above its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).

SOL is currently trading near $78.05, holding above the 50-day EMA at $76.76 and the horizontal support level around $77.06. 

These levels continue to provide a solid foundation for the current recovery. However, the cryptocurrency remains below the 100-day EMA at $80.39 and well beneath the 200-day EMA at $92.87, leaving the broader trend cautious until these resistance levels are reclaimed.

Momentum indicators present a mixed picture. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits around 54, indicating modest bullish momentum without reaching overbought territory. 

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Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains slightly below the neutral line, suggesting buyers have gained some traction but have yet to establish a decisive uptrend.

The first resistance level lies at the 50% Fibonacci retracement around $79.27, followed closely by the 100-day EMA at $80.39.

A sustained daily close above this resistance zone would strengthen the bullish outlook and could open the door for a rally toward the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $83.78.

On the downside, immediate support remains at $77.06, reinforced by the 50-day EMA at $76.76. A break below this area could trigger a decline toward the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at $74.75.

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SOL/USD 4H Chart

If bearish momentum intensifies, additional support levels are located at $69.16 and $60.13, although those areas are likely to come into focus only if sellers regain firm control of the broader trend.

For now, improving ETF inflows, rising bullish positioning in the derivatives market, and resilient price action above key support suggest Solana retains a cautiously optimistic outlook, provided buyers can push the token above the critical $80.39 resistance level.

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US Seizes $25 Million in Crypto Linked to Global Fraud Schemes

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ZachXBT Disowns Copycat Meme Coins, Donates $25,000 to Venezuela Relief

US authorities seized more than $25 million in cryptocurrency linked to international fraud networks that targeted victims across the United States and Canada.

The latest action is part of a wider effort that has recovered over $800 million.

US Agents Seize $25 Million From Crypto Scam Networks

US Attorney Jeanine Ferris Pirro said the seizure stems directly from the Scam Center Strike Force she launched in November 2025. She framed it as proof that pressure on international fraud networks works.

“This seizure is the result of months of tireless work by Washington Field Office investigators, who are among the best in the world at tracking down cyber criminals and tracing their illicit transactions,” Special Agent in Charge Tara McLeese of the US Secret Service Washington Field Office added.

Meanwhile, the office filed the five complaints in federal court on July 21. Each seeks to forfeit crypto recovered in separate fraud probes. Those investigations exposed several money laundering networks and thousands of victims worldwide. 

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The five investigations trace distinct schemes. One involved more than 200 victims defrauded through online romance scams, with the complaint seeking roughly $12 million. In this case, Secret Service agents traced laundered proceeds through hundreds of intermediary wallets.

Another traced more than 270 suspected victim transactions tied to fraudulent investment platforms, seeking about $10.4 million.

A fifth case shows a secondary con. Scammers contacted a prior fraud victim and promised to recover lost money. The victim then made a series of payments, and the complaint seeks about $285,000, with more recovery ongoing. IP addresses across the cases pointed to China, Malaysia, and Cambodia.

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US authorities have doubled down on enforcement against crypto-linked scams. In one case, the Justice Department restrained more than $700 million in crypto in April, allegedly tied to money laundering from crypto scams.

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The post US Seizes $25 Million in Crypto Linked to Global Fraud Schemes appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Bitcoin Price Prediction: Bitcoin Volatility Hits 2016 Low, Could Trigger Liquidations

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Bitcoin realized volatility has dropped to its lowest level since 2016, placing its price prediction in the bottom 8% of its history.

Bitcoin price is trading around $66,100, after climbing above $66,500 earlier in the session, in a bullish prediction environment. Despite the recent rebound, its volatility has compressed to a level not seen since 2016, making many traders uneasy. CryptoQuant contributor Axel Adler Jr. noted on July 22 that Bitcoin’s 30-day realized volatility dropped to 28.3, down from 41.6 on June 25.

That places BTC in the bottom 8% of its volatility range since 2016. In other words, roughly 92% of trading days during that period recorded higher volatility. Such calm conditions rarely last for long, especially after a steady price recovery.

Bitcoin realized volatility has dropped to its lowest level since 2016, placing its price prediction in the bottom 8% of its history.
BTC 30-day Volatility, BitcoinCounterflow

Meanwhile, open interest has not expanded alongside Bitcoin’s recent gains, suggesting leverage remains relatively light. That lowers the immediate risk of large liquidation cascades. However, once volatility returns, price swings can accelerate quickly and catch overleveraged traders off guard.

Now, the market is waiting to see whether this quiet stretch leads to a breakout or a sharp reversal. Key technical levels and macro catalysts will likely decide the next move. Until then, Bitcoin may stay calm on the surface, but history suggests that calm rarely lasts.

Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio

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Bitcoin Price Prediction: Reclaim $72,000 Before Volatility Forces a Decision?

Bitcoin has gained more than 2% over the past seven days, trading between $64,700 and $66,700. The recovery looks encouraging, but it still falls short of confirming a lasting trend. Meanwhile, the 20-day and 50-day moving averages remain below the spot price, offering near-term support. The 200-day moving average, near $72,700, remains the key resistance.

Adler’s threshold remains straightforward. If realized volatility climbs above 35 while Bitcoin fails to reclaim the 200-day moving average, selling pressure could return. At the same time, the Fear Index remains in fear territory. Gold and Treasury demand also suggest investors have not fully shifted back into risk assets.

Bitcoin (BTC)
24h7d30d1yAll time

Options traders reflect that uncertainty. Instead of making aggressive directional bets, many continue hedging against sharp moves. That cautious positioning fits the current low-volatility environment, where sudden breakouts or breakdowns often come without much warning.

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In a bullish scenario, Bitcoin clears $68,000 and builds momentum toward the $72,000 to $72,700 area. A successful move above that zone could open the door to $75,000 and possibly $78,000. In the base case, BTC continues to range between $65,000 and $68,000, while volatility remains muted.

The bearish outlook returns if volatility jumps above 35 and the 200-day moving average rejects another rally. In that case, Bitcoin could revisit $61,800, followed by the $60,000 to $61,000 support area. If that floor breaks, $58,500 becomes the next level that traders will likely watch.

Trade Bitcoin and Altcoins on Bybit and Get a Chance to Win Our $1,000 USDT Airdrop

Bitcoin Hyper Eyes Early-Mover Window as BTC Consolidation Drags On

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Bitcoin consolidating in the mid-$60,000s with its 200-day MA nearly $7,000 overhead is not a compelling near-term risk/reward for traders chasing upside.

That ceiling is real, and the timeline to breach it is unclear. That dynamic is pushing some capital toward earlier-stage plays within the Bitcoin ecosystem that don’t require a BTC all-time high to generate returns.

Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is positioning itself as the first Bitcoin Layer 2 with Solana Virtual Machine (SVM) integration. It is targeting Bitcoin’s core bottlenecks: slow transaction finality, high fees, and the near-total absence of programmability.

The SVM integration is the hook here; it’s designed to deliver smart contract execution speeds that reportedly exceed Solana’s own performance, while anchoring to Bitcoin’s security model via a decentralized canonical bridge for BTC transfers.

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The presale has raised close to $33 million at a current price of $0.0136835, with staking available at high APY for early participants.

For traders watching BTC stall below a major moving average, research Bitcoin Hyper here to assess whether the infrastructure thesis fits the current cycle context. Also worth reviewing: Bitcoin Hyper’s presale trajectory as BTC and ETH post weekly gains.

Discover: The Best Token Presales

The post Bitcoin Price Prediction: Bitcoin Volatility Hits 2016 Low, Could Trigger Liquidations appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Bitcoin Could Rally to $173K if This Pattern Plays Out: Analyst

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Crypto analyst EGRAG CRYPTO posted on X on Wednesday that Bitcoin (BTC) is forming an Adam and Eve double bottom on its weekly chart, a pattern that is not yet confirmed but could open the door to $173,000 if it plays out.

The setup hinges on a decisive weekly close above $83,000, followed by a retest that holds that level as new support.

The Setup the Analyst Is Watching

According to EGRAG, the double bottom is forming inside the $51,000 to $67,000 support band, with an aggressive V-shaped low forming the Adam side and a slower, rounded base forming the Eve side. The neckline sits at $83,000.

Getting there, per EGRAG’s roadmap, means holding the current bottom, reclaiming $68,000, then breaking and retesting $83,000 before the move can extend toward $103,000, then $120,000 to $126,000, and finally $173,000.

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“$83K is the gateway,” wrote the analyst. “Break it, hold it, and the Adam & Eve structure can trigger the next major expansion.”

However, he did warn that a weekly close below approximately $51,000 would invalidate the whole setup.

Other traders have also chipped in with numbers of their own, including Ted Pillows, who pointed to Bitcoin’s daily Supertrend flipping green, noting that the last time that happened, BTC gained almost 15% in four weeks, and a repeat would put it near $76,000 by August.

But not everyone agrees the move up will continue, one of them being ChartNerd, who called this rally a countertrend move back in April. According to him, the 200-week EMA near $68,000 could be the local top before a final drop into late Q3 or Q4.

A separate note from Axel Adler Jr. added some nuance: realized volatility has fallen 31% this month to its lowest since 2016, and leverage, measured by open interest against market cap, has declined for 21 straight days, a combination he says makes the current bounce of more than 11% off the June 30 low near $59,000 less prone to a forced liquidation cascade.

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Meanwhile, Markus Thielen, in a report for BIT, said implied volatility on Bitcoin and Ethereum options has climbed back to 36% after dropping to 31% from 44%, a shift he read as rising demand for upside calls heading into the usually quieter summer months.

Why Bitcoin Has Been Climbing

BTC was trading near $66,000 at the time of writing, down slightly on the day but up over 2% in the past week and close to 3% in the last month.

Data from CoinGecko shows that at one point, the asset came within touching distance of $67,000 before it was dragged back to its current level, which puts it about 47% below its all-time high from October 2025 when it went past $126,000.

That bounce has come alongside a resumption in inflows for spot Bitcoin ETFs, after eight weeks of outflows, as well as improved sentiment following news that there has been some progress on the CLARITY Act’s ethics language.

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Bitfinex has flagged $68,000 as the next test for the OG cryptocurrency. It says there’s a reaction zone between $67,900 and $68,300 where short-term holders may look to sell, and that a real breakout will need spot buying rather than speculation to hold.

The post Bitcoin Could Rally to $173K if This Pattern Plays Out: Analyst appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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Upbit Puts Altcoin at Risk of Delisting Following Critical Ledger Flaw

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Zilliqa (ZIL) Price Performance. Source: TradingView

Upbit has put Zilliqa (ZIL) on delisting watch. The trigger was a critical Ledger flaw that exposed users’ private keys. ZIL fell about 10% as traders reacted.

Zilliqa is a layer-1 blockchain that launched in 2019. On Wednesday, it revealed that every version of its Ledger wallet app since launch carried the bug.

How the Ledger Flaw Exposed Zilliqa Private Keys

The app made a simple copying mistake. It zeroed out part of the random number that protects each signature. That leak adds up fast. After roughly five native transactions, attackers can work out a private key in seconds on an ordinary computer.

Exploitation began on July 19. A day later, an exchange partner reported ZIL stolen from a cold wallet. KuCoin then helped trace the bug, confirmed on July 21. The episode joins a string of key compromise attacks this year.

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“Any account that has broadcast approximately five or more native transactions signed through the Zilliqa Ledger app should be considered compromised,” Zilliqa said in its disclosure.

Native ZIL transfers are now suspended. Affected keys must be retired because the leaked signatures live on-chain forever. Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) transactions and software wallets are safe.

Zilliqa (ZIL) Price Performance. Source: TradingView
Zilliqa (ZIL) Price Performance. Source: TradingView

Upbit Review Puts ZIL Trading Support at Risk

Upbit acted under Korea’s Virtual Asset User Protection Act, a 2024 investor safety law. The tag covers the ZIL/KRW and ZIL/BTC pairs. Deposits and withdrawals have been frozen since July 20, per the exchange’s notice. The review runs until the week of August 17.

Risk labels like this often hit prices hard. Wanchain fell 34% after Binance’s monitoring tag. Flow’s backers even went to court over Korean exchange delistings.

ZIL now trades near $0.0025, per ZIL markets data. It hit a record low of $0.00235 on Wednesday. The token is down about 17% in a week and 99% from its May 2021 peak. Its market cap sits near $49 million.

ZIL Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto
ZIL Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto

Zilliqa has promised a recovery plan for affected balances. What that plan delivers may decide whether Upbit lifts the watch or ends trading support.

The post Upbit Puts Altcoin at Risk of Delisting Following Critical Ledger Flaw appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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