Aave has rebounded sharply from this week’s sell-off and is now testing a key long-term resistance level after renewed buying, short-covering activity, and fresh optimism around the DeFi lending protocol lifted market sentiment.

According to data from crypto.news, Aave (AAVE) climbed as much as 17% from its Wednesday low near $72 to trade around $82 on June 25, recovering nearly all of the previous session’s losses. The rally followed heavy buying around a long-standing support zone, where sellers lost control after failing to extend the breakdown.

The recovery also coincided with renewed interest across decentralized finance tokens as traders rotated back into higher-beta assets following a wave of liquidations that swept through the crypto market earlier this week.

Rebound has pushed AAVE into a decisive technical resistance zone

The daily chart shows AAVE rebounding directly from the $72-$75 demand area before reaching the upper boundary of a descending trendline that has capped every rally since late 2025. Price now sits just below trendline resistance near $85, a level that traders are closely watching for confirmation of a larger trend reversal.

Commenting on the setup, crypto analyst Master of Crypto wrote in a June 24 X post:

“$AAVE is testing the top of a 9-month descending channel. A daily close above $85-88 could confirm the breakout, with $102 as the first target and $132 next. If the breakout fails, $72-75 remains the key support zone.”

The four-hour chart reinforces that view. AAVE has broken above a multi-day consolidation range near $77.7 while reclaiming its 20, 50, 100, and 200 simple moving averages, which now cluster between roughly $71 and $76.

Holding above those averages would strengthen the bullish case, while rejection near the descending trendline could trigger another retest of the recent breakout area.

Momentum indicators have also improved. Daily RSI has climbed above 60 after rebounding from oversold territory earlier this month, while the MACD has completed a bullish crossover and continues to expand above the zero line.

On the four-hour timeframe, RSI has advanced toward the upper-60s, showing buyers remain in control without yet reaching extreme overbought conditions.

Derivatives positioning and DeFi flows have strengthened the recovery

The recovery follows an aggressive unwind of bearish positioning after AAVE found support at its long-term demand zone. As spot buyers stepped in, short sellers were forced to cover positions, accelerating the advance through successive resistance levels.

The move gained additional momentum once price reclaimed its short-term moving averages, encouraging systematic traders to add fresh long exposure.

On-chain activity has also improved. Fresh USDT deposits into Aave’s lending markets have increased available liquidity across the protocol, supporting borrowing activity and reinforcing investor confidence in one of DeFi’s largest lending platforms. Stronger stablecoin inflows often accompany periods of renewed capital deployment into decentralized finance, particularly after sharp market-wide corrections.

Derivatives positioning has added another layer of support. Rising open interest alongside positive funding rates suggests traders have continued building long exposure instead of simply closing shorts. That combination points to fresh capital entering the market rather than a temporary relief rally driven solely by liquidations.

Macro conditions remain mixed. The Federal Reserve’s higher-for-longer interest-rate stance continues to weigh on speculative assets, while a firm U.S. dollar has limited risk appetite across crypto markets.

Even so, established DeFi protocols such as Aave have continued attracting capital from investors seeking on-chain yield opportunities, allowing the token to outperform many large-cap altcoins during the latest rebound.

The next several sessions will likely determine whether buyers can convert the current recovery into a confirmed breakout. A daily close above the $85-$88 resistance zone would expose the next upside targets around $102 and $132, while failure to clear the descending trendline could send AAVE back toward support between $72 and $75.

Computer memory chipmaker Micron Technology (MU) delivered blowout Q3 earnings on Wednesday, lifting the entire AI memory sector, AI-related stocks and even giving crypto a slight boost.

Bitcoin BTC$58,435.85 climbed back above $60,000 after markets closed, but bullish AI sentiment will ultimately pull more liquidity away from crypto.

Micron shares surged 16% in premarket trading on Thursday after the memory chipmaker’s third quarter guidance exceeded Wall Street expectations. Third-quarter revenue came in at $41.5 billion versus estimates of $35.7 billion, while earnings per share (EPS) reached $25.11 compared with expectations of $20.49.

Memory chips have become the backbone of AI infrastructure, particularly high-bandwidth memory (HBM), which is essential for training and running large AI models. CEO Sanjay Mehrotra told analysts there was “no line of sight” to when supply would catch up with demand, with the shortage expected to persist well beyond 2027.

The company also issued strong fourth quarter guidance, forecasting revenue of approximately $50 billion, well ahead of Wall Street expectations of $43.2 billion.

The AI boom has weighed heavily on the crypto market this year, with bitcoin now more than 50% below its October all-time high, trading at the $60,000 level.

As AI floods the internet with convincing fake humans, proving that a user is a real, unique person is becoming one of crypto’s hardest and most valuable problems. This guide explains what proof of personhood is, how the leading approaches work, and why the cure raises concerns of its own.

Proof of personhood is a cryptographic mechanism that lets someone prove they are a real, unique human being, one person counted exactly once, without revealing who they actually are. That combination is what makes it both powerful and difficult: it must guarantee uniqueness, so that a single person cannot register as a thousand, while preserving anonymity, so that proving you are human does not force you to expose your identity. The problem it solves is old, but it has become urgent for a new reason. For most of the internet’s history, telling humans from machines was a minor nuisance handled by simple puzzles. 

Now, with artificial intelligence able to generate text, images, voices, and entire online personas indistinguishable from a real person’s, the open internet faces a verification crisis: bots can flood platforms, manipulate votes, drain airdrops, and impersonate humans at a scale and quality never seen before. This guide explains what proof of personhood is, the attack it defends against, the main approaches to building it, the leading real-world example and its controversies, and why a technology meant to protect humanity raises hard questions of its own.

The reason this topic has moved to the center of crypto and beyond is that “one real human, counted once,” turns out to be a foundational requirement for a surprising range of things. Fair token airdrops depend on it, or a handful of people with thousands of fake accounts will scoop up everything meant for a community. Democratic voting and decentralized governance depend on it, or whoever can spin up the most identities wins. 

Any system that distributes scarce resources to people, from community rewards to the long-discussed idea of a universal basic income, depends on being able to tell one person from a thousand sock puppets. And increasingly, the world of artificial intelligence depends on it, both to keep bots out of human spaces and, in a twist, to let trustworthy AI agents act on behalf of verified humans. 

Proof of personhood sits at the intersection of cryptography, identity, and the defining technological anxiety of the moment, which is why it has become one of the most watched and most contested ideas in the field.

The sybil attack: the problem at the root

To understand proof of personhood, you first have to understand the attack it exists to stop, which is called a sybil attack. The name comes from a famous case study of a person with many personalities, and in computing it describes a single actor creating many fake identities to gain influence they should not have. On a network where one identity equals one vote, one share, or one claim, a sybil attacker who controls a thousand identities controls a thousand times the influence of an honest participant who has just one. Almost every open online system that tries to be fair, every vote, every giveaway, every reputation score, every “one person, one share” distribution, is vulnerable to someone who can cheaply manufacture identities.

Historically, sybil attacks were limited by the friction of creating convincing fake accounts at scale, and by crude defenses like puzzles meant to slow bots down. Artificial intelligence demolishes both limits. Modern systems can generate unlimited unique-looking personas, complete with plausible writing, profile photos, and behavior, and can solve the puzzles that once filtered them out. 

The very technology that makes AI useful, its ability to produce human-like content, is what makes it the ultimate sybil weapon, capable of populating the internet with armies of fake humans cheaply and convincingly. This is the deeper reason proof of personhood has surged in importance: the old, informal defenses against sybil attacks have broken down precisely when the cost of mounting one has collapsed. If you cannot tell a real, unique human from a generated one, then every system that assumed it could is suddenly exposed, and rebuilding a reliable way to prove humanness becomes foundational infrastructure rather than a nice-to-have.

What a good proof-of-personhood system must achieve

Before looking at how anyone builds proof of personhood, it helps to define what success even requires, because the requirements pull against each other, and that tension shapes every design. A strong system needs to satisfy several properties at once. It must guarantee uniqueness, ensuring each real person can obtain exactly one verified identity and cannot register many. It must preserve privacy, so that proving you are a unique human does not force you to reveal your name, your face, or a linkable record of everything you do. It must resist attack, holding up against sophisticated adversaries, increasingly AI-powered, trying to fake or duplicate humanness. And ideally it must scale to billions of people across every country, language, and level of access, without excluding those who lack documents or technology.

The difficulty is that these goals are in tension. The strongest way to guarantee uniqueness is usually to collect something deeply personal and hard to fake, like a biometric, but collecting biometrics is exactly what threatens privacy and raises ethical alarms. The most privacy-preserving approaches, which avoid collecting sensitive data, often struggle to guarantee uniqueness or to resist a determined attacker. 

Scaling to everyone on earth conflicts with the careful, high-assurance verification that strong uniqueness demands. Every proof-of-personhood design is, in effect, a particular set of compromises among uniqueness, privacy, security, and inclusivity, and there is no design that maximizes all four at once. Understanding a given system, therefore, means asking which of these properties it prioritizes and which it sacrifices, because that choice, more than any technical detail, determines what the system is good for and what it puts at risk.

The main approaches to proving humanness

There are several broad families of proof-of-personhood design, each making a different bet about how to balance those competing goals. The first and most discussed is biometric verification, which uses a physical trait of the human body, an iris, a face, that is hard to fake and naturally unique, to guarantee one person equals one identity. The bet here is that specialized hardware reading a unique biological signal is the only approach robust enough to resist an adversarial, AI-saturated environment, because you cannot generate a real human iris with a language model. The strength is powerful uniqueness; the cost is the privacy and ethical weight of collecting biometric data and the need for physical hardware and in-person enrollment.

A second family is the social-graph approach, which builds humanness through webs of trust: real people vouch for other real people, and the network of mutual verification makes it hard for a lone attacker to fake many identities, because each fake one would need real humans willing to vouch for it. This avoids collecting biometrics and leans on human relationships instead, but it can struggle to scale and to resist a well-resourced attacker who infiltrates the graph. A third family relies on credentials and accumulated signals, combining evidence like existing verified accounts, on-chain history, or government documents into a score or a passport that suggests a unique human without a single biometric gatekeeper. 

This is flexible and privacy-conscious but generally offers softer guarantees of uniqueness than a biometric. A fourth, emerging family uses zero-knowledge identity techniques, proving facts about yourself, that you are an adult, that you are a unique holder of some credential, without revealing the underlying data, and increasingly leans on device-based passkeys and similar tools. Each family is a different answer to the same question, and the field has not settled on a winner, because each answer sacrifices something the others preserve.

The leading example: World and the Orb

The most prominent attempt to build proof of personhood at global scale is the project now called World, formerly Worldcoin, created by a company co-founded by the chief executive of a leading artificial intelligence lab alongside other founders, and launched in 2023. World made the boldest possible bet on the biometric approach, and examining it concretely shows both the promise and the problems of the whole field. Its centerpiece is a custom hardware device called the Orb, a polished sphere that scans a person’s iris. 

The reasoning is that the iris is highly unique and extremely hard to forge, so an in-person iris scan is a strong way to guarantee that each verified human is counted exactly once, even against AI adversaries that can fake almost anything made of pixels but cannot fake a living eye on demand.

The privacy design is central to World’s pitch, because iris scanning sounds alarming and the project knows it. According to the project, when the Orb scans your iris it generates a unique cryptographic code, deletes the actual image after processing, and distributes only anonymized fragments of the code across a network to confirm you have not enrolled before. 

The result is meant to be a credential, called a World ID, that proves you are a unique human without revealing your identity or storing your biometric image, with zero-knowledge techniques letting you later prove “I am a verified unique human” to an app without exposing anything else. The project reports a scale no other proof-of-personhood effort has reached, on the order of millions of people verified through Orbs and a widely used identity app, which is a meaningful achievement for a category that has historically struggled to grow. World is, in short, the clearest real-world test of whether the biometric approach can become global infrastructure, and its trajectory, successes and backlash alike, is where the abstract debate over proof of personhood becomes concrete.

The AI age and the pivot to verifying agents

What has thrust proof of personhood from a niche idea into a mainstream conversation is the arrival of capable artificial intelligence, and the relationship between the two is closer than it first appears. The same advances that make AI able to flood the internet with fake humans also make a reliable proof of humanness more valuable, because humanness is becoming the scarce, trustworthy thing in a sea of synthetic content. This is why a figure deeply associated with frontier AI is also behind the leading proof-of-personhood project: one venture helps create the problem of indistinguishable machine-generated humans, and the other proposes the verification layer to manage it. As AI-generated text, images, video, and behavior become impossible to tell from the real thing, a system that can certify “a unique human is behind this” turns into foundational infrastructure for trust online.

There is a striking twist in how the field is now evolving. Proof of personhood started as a way to keep bots out of human spaces, but it is increasingly being repurposed to let AI agents operate responsibly within human systems. As autonomous AI agents begin acting on people’s behalf, making purchases, sending messages, executing tasks, a new question arises: which human is this agent acting for, and is that human real and accountable? Proof-of-personhood projects have begun building tools that tie an AI agent to a verified human principal, so that an agent can prove it represents a genuine, unique person rather than running wild as an anonymous bot. 

The leading project has also pivoted toward enterprise use, selling proof-of-humanity verification to companies, video platforms, and identity providers that want high assurance a user is real, while keeping the service free for the individuals being verified. The through-line is that AI did not just create demand for proving humans are human; it is reshaping proof of personhood into a layer that governs both humans and the machines acting for them.

Where proof of personhood actually gets used

It is easy to treat proof of personhood as an abstraction, so it helps to ground it in the concrete situations where a reliable proof of unique humanness changes what is possible. The most immediate is fair distribution. Crypto projects frequently give away tokens to early users through airdrops, and the entire premise, rewarding a broad community, collapses if a handful of people can each register thousands of identities and vacuum up the supply meant for many. 

A proof-of-personhood gate, requiring each claimant to prove they are a unique human, restores the fairness the airdrop was supposed to deliver, and the same logic extends to any system handing scarce resources to people: community rewards, grants, promotional credits, or the long-discussed vision of a basic income distributed to verified individuals rather than to whoever runs the most bots.

A second arena is governance and voting. Decentralized organizations and online communities increasingly make decisions by vote, and a vote is only meaningful if each person counts once. Without proof of personhood, governance defaults to systems where influence is bought, whoever holds the most tokens or controls the most accounts decides, which concentrates power and invites manipulation. 

A reliable proof of unique humanness opens the door to genuine one-person-one-vote systems online, a building block for fairer collective decision-making that has been technically out of reach. A third arena is the everyday integrity of online spaces: social platforms drowning in AI-generated accounts, review systems gamed by fake humans, and communities overrun by bots all need a way to certify that a participant is a real, unique person, and proof of personhood offers exactly that certification without forcing users to surrender their identities.

The newest and fastest-growing arena is the one created by autonomous AI. As software agents begin acting on people’s behalf, the question of which human stands behind a given agent becomes urgent, both to assign accountability and to keep anonymous bots from masquerading as authorized representatives.

Proof-of-personhood tools that bind an agent to a verified human principal let an agent prove it acts for a genuine, unique, accountable person, which is becoming a prerequisite for trusting agents with real tasks and real money. Enterprises are also adopting proof-of-humanity checks to defend high-value interactions, from video calls to account access, against deepfakes and impersonation. 

Across all these cases, the common thread is the same: wherever a system needs to know that a participant is a real, unique human, and increasingly wherever it needs to know which human is behind a machine, proof of personhood is the missing layer that makes the guarantee possible. That breadth of application, spanning fairness, governance, online integrity, and the entire emerging world of AI agents, is why the idea has drawn so much attention despite its unresolved controversies.

The serious objections

A guide that only described the promise of proof of personhood would be misleading, because the field, and especially its biometric flagship, has drawn intense and substantive criticism that any honest reader should weigh. The first objection is the biometric honeypot problem. Building a system that scans the irises or faces of millions of people creates, by its nature, one of the largest collections of biometric data in the world, and even with deletion and anonymization, critics argue that such a database is an irresistible target and that the consequences of biometric data being compromised are uniquely severe, because you cannot change your eyes the way you change a password. The risk of normalizing mass biometric collection, and of who ultimately controls it, sits at the heart of the unease.

The second objection is centralization. A system built on specialized hardware that the project manufactures and controls creates a chokepoint: a single company decides who can verify, where the devices go, and how the system runs, which sits awkwardly with crypto’s ideals of decentralization and raises the prospect of a private entity becoming a gatekeeper of human identity online. The third objection is regulatory and ethical: the leading project has faced pushback, suspensions, and investigations from data-protection authorities in numerous countries worried about consent, privacy, and whether scanning eyes in exchange for tokens, sometimes in lower-income regions, is exploitative. 

A fourth, more technical critique questions whether a crypto token needs to be attached to identity verification at all, suggesting the financial layer may be unnecessary to the core function. And a fifth points out that large platforms or governments could build competing verification systems with less controversy, or that softer software-only methods might prove good enough, leaving the biometric approach burdened by risks its rivals avoid. None of these objections proves the technology is bad, but together they explain why proof of personhood, despite solving a real and growing problem, remains genuinely contested.

Why it matters and where it goes

Stepping back, proof of personhood is one of those rare ideas whose importance is rising in lockstep with the technology that makes it necessary, and that is the clearest way to understand its trajectory. The case for it is straightforward and getting stronger: as AI erases the line between human and machine online, almost every system that assumed it could tell the difference, fair distribution, honest voting, bot-free communities, accountable AI agents, needs a new foundation, and a reliable way to prove unique humanness is that foundation. The demand is real, it is growing, and it is not going away, which is why serious people and serious money keep flowing toward the problem even after years of difficulty and controversy.

The open question is not whether proof of personhood matters but which approach, if any, will earn enough trust to become a genuine standard. The biometric path offers the strongest uniqueness guarantees and the most scale so far, but carries the heaviest privacy, centralization, and regulatory baggage. The social-graph, credential, and zero-knowledge paths avoid some of that baggage but offer softer guarantees or struggle to scale. It is entirely possible that no single system wins, and that the future is a patchwork of methods suited to different contexts, a biometric proof for the highest-assurance needs, lighter software proofs for everyday ones. 

It is also possible that the privacy concerns prove decisive and the world rejects mass biometric identity altogether, pushing the field toward less invasive designs. What seems certain is that the underlying need, proving a real, unique human in a world full of convincing fakes, is now permanent, and that how society chooses to meet it, and who it trusts to run the infrastructure, will be one of the defining questions where crypto, artificial intelligence, and identity collide. Proof of personhood is the attempt to answer it, and the answer is still being written.

Frequently Asked Questions

This article is educational information, not investment or identity-security advice. Proof-of-personhood projects, their scale, and their regulatory status change quickly, and details reflect reporting available as of June 25, 2026. Consider the privacy and security implications carefully, and verify current information from primary sources before enrolling in or relying on any identity system.

Asset manager 21shares has revised down several of its bullish expectations for the crypto industry in 2026, arguing that while key market infrastructure is improving, weaker price action and slower retail and enterprise participation have dampened momentum.

In its midyear outlook, the firm said sectors ranging from exchange-traded products (ETPs) and stablecoin regulation to tokenization and prediction markets are continuing to mature. Still, it expects that major DeFi security incidents and enterprise adoption that is “slower-than-expected” will make a number of previously planned 2026 targets harder to reach.

Key takeaways

• 21shares says crypto infrastructure is advancing faster than market prices, leaving parts of the industry on track while broader growth is constrained.
• Despite more institutional involvement, 21shares maintains that Bitcoin’s four-year cycle remains intact.
• Prediction markets are highlighted as a standout growth area, with 21shares projecting annual trading volume could exceed $100 billion.
• Crypto ETPs are described as resilient in the long run, even as US spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen about $3 billion in net outflows this year.
• Regulatory clarity in the US is cited as helping convert ETF application backlogs into new launches beyond Bitcoin and Ether.

Bitcoin’s cycle still matters, even with institutions reshaping markets

One of 21shares’ clearest messages is that Bitcoin’s four-year market rhythm continues to play a central role. The firm pointed to Bitcoin’s post-halving behavior and argued that increased institutional involvement has changed how the asset trades during downturns without changing the cycle itself.

21shares said Bitcoin peaked at roughly $126,000 in October 2025 before pulling back sharply, and it has continued to trade in a manner consistent with past post-halving patterns. In its view, institutional ownership has helped limit how violently markets draw down, but the fundamental cyclical behavior has not been disrupted.

The firm’s stance also echoes commentary from former 21shares co-founder Ophelia Snyder, who left the company after its acquisition by FalconX in 2025. In a recent Substack post, Snyder argued that institutionalization makes crypto more entangled with broader financial and macroeconomic drivers. She wrote that the investor base is larger, more institutional, and more connected to the traditional financial system—meaning geopolitical developments and macro shifts can influence crypto pricing more than they once did.

Prediction markets and regulation-driven momentum

While 21shares trimmed some of its broader growth projections, it elevated specific segments where adoption dynamics appear stronger. The firm singled out prediction markets as one of the industry’s best-performing areas, forecasting that annual trading volume could surpass $100 billion this year.

The outlook also ties market development to regulation, particularly in the US. 21shares argued that improving regulatory clarity has helped transform a backlog of crypto ETF submissions into a more continuous stream of new product launches—expanding offerings beyond the initial wave of Bitcoin and Ether-focused vehicles.

In that context, 21shares referenced the Securities and Exchange Commission’s generic listing standards as a mechanism behind the pace of ETF conversions. It also highlighted a single case: Hyperliquid, which the firm described as standing out among newer US spot ETF tracking structures. According to 21shares, US spot ETFs tracking the asset pulled in over $150 million in net inflows in under a month, which it framed as evidence that traditional capital continues to find its way into digital-asset products.

ETPs show durability despite weaker spot inflows

21shares also addressed crypto ETP performance, arguing that short-term flows do not fully reflect investor behavior during weaker market conditions. The firm noted that while US spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded roughly $3 billion in net outflows this year, the total holdings are still just above 1.25 million BTC—close to an all-time high for Bitcoin holdings inside the category.

That balance matters because it suggests many investors are not rushing to exit after periods of volatility. 21shares said holdings remain supported by investors who either hold through downturns or accumulate strategically even when Bitcoin trades well below earlier highs.

Beyond Bitcoin-only flows, the report’s theme is that the institutional pipeline has not shut off; it has simply become more selective and less reflexive during drawdowns. For market participants, this distinction can be important: outflows can pressure near-term sentiment, but the level of cumulative holdings can point to longer-term positioning rather than capitulation.

Consolidation accelerates across treasuries and scaling ecosystems

Another major thread in 21shares’ midyear outlook is consolidation. The firm said public companies holding crypto on their balance sheets are increasingly diverging, with some smaller treasury players trading below the value of their digital assets. In 21shares’ framing, this gap can intensify pressure on weaker players and make mergers or strategic combinations more likely.

A similar dynamic, the report suggests, is playing out in Ethereum’s layer-2 ecosystem. 21shares said a handful of dominant rollups continue to take market share while many smaller networks struggle to attract meaningful user activity and liquidity. For builders and users, the implication is that network effects and capital efficiency are becoming more decisive differentiators—particularly in a market where growth is harder to come by.

What to watch next

As 21shares moves several 2026 targets out of reach, investors should watch whether regulatory catalysts (especially ETF-related) and segment-specific strength (like prediction markets) can offset the drag from weaker price conditions, security setbacks in DeFi, and slower enterprise adoption.

Boston-based stablecoin issuer Circle Internet Financial announced a partnership on Thursday with Japanese financial conglomerate Nomura Holdings to launch a digital asset settlement business. The firms plan to deploy a corporate payment service in Japan as early as 2027.

The agreement will let Japanese businesses exchange yen for USDC, Circle’s U.S. dollar-backed stablecoin, according to the announcement first reported by Nikkei. USDC is the world’s second-largest dollar-pegged stablecoin, boasting a market cap of $73.8 billion as of this writing.

The Circle stablecoin token can be used for cross-border supplier payments, transfers between overseas affiliates, and foreign exchange settlements.

The business aims at Japan’s import, export, and corporate currency markets. Bank for International Settlements data shows that Japan’s foreign exchange market handled $440 billion in daily transactions as of 2025. Standard bank wires take two to three business days to clear funds between yen and foreign currencies. This blockchain setup can drastically reduce that transfer time.

Bitcoin (BTC) hit new 21-month lows at Thursday’s Wall Street open as high US inflation unsettled stock markets.

Key points:

• Bitcoin returns to its lowest level since September 2024, dropping to $58,000.
• US PCE inflation rocks equities, with the Nasdaq 100 shedding 2% in just 30 minutes.
• BTC’s correction mirrors the price action seen throughout the 2022 bear market.

Crypto liquidations pass $600 million in an hour as BTC price drops

Data from TradingView showed BTC/USD dropping to $58,035 on Bitstamp — a level it last traded at in September 2024.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The May print of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index came in at 4.1%, setting a new three-year record.

“From the preceding month, the PCE price index for May increased 0.4 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 0.3 percent,” a data release from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) stated. 

“From the same month one year ago, the PCE price index for May increased 4.1 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 3.4 percent from one year ago.”

US PCE one-month % change (screenshot). Source: BEA

Stocks reacted with volatility, with the Nasdaq Composite Index down 0.5% at the time of writing, while the S&P 500 managed to eke out a gain.

The Nasdaq 100, meanwhile, saw a larger snap decline of 2% in just 30 minutes at the open.

“What a chart,” trading resource The Kobeissi Letter responded on X.

Bitcoin itself sparked considerable long position liquidations, with CoinGlass putting the cross-crypto liquidation total at $600 million over a single hour.

Crypto liquidation history (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

Commenting, market participants suggested that price moves were being artificially managed to squeeze positions.

“$BTC is in the manipulation phase,” pseudonymous trader Killa told X followers. 

“Every time $BTC trades sub-$60K, that is our manipulation beneath the significant $60K swing low on the weekly and quarterly. Precisely the reason why the orderbook is stacked below us.”

Source: Killa/X

Niels Klaver, cofounder of crypto platform STABL Agency, suggested that BTC/USD “seems to be going for its final leg down of this bear market.” 

“$55K remains the target,” he added, referring to an increasingly popular short-term price goal.

BTC/USDT one-week chart. Source: Niels Klaver/X

Bitcoin analysis sees new resistance near $65,000

As BTC price action attempted a modest rebound, trader and analyst Rekt Capital had already described $60,000 support as “clearly weakening.”

Related: BTC price four-year trend calls for $76K as analysis says Bitcoin ‘not broken’

“Once June Monthly Closes, we’ll know from which price July will be able to potentially spring into a post-breakdown relief rally,” an X post read.

BTC/USD one-month chart. Source: Rekt Capital/X

Rekt Capital maintained that the market was acting similarly to 2022, with the 50-month exponential moving average (EMA) tipped to become new resistance next.

BTC/USD one-month chart. with 50EMA. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

TLDR:

• Kulechov firmly denied reports of selling AAVE at a 70% discount, calling the media framing inaccurate.
• All Aave Protocol, GHO, and product revenue flows entirely to the AAVE token under the Aave Will Win proposal.
• Aave Labs is designing Aavenomics 3.0, featuring a new automated and non-discretionary AAVE buyback mechanism.
• Aave targets the entire financial asset market, including real-world assets, beyond the crypto-native TAM.

Aave co-founder Stani Kulechov has moved to address circulating discussions about AAVE token sales and the protocol’s revenue model.

In a post on X, Kulechov pushed back on what he called inaccurate media framing surrounding Aave Labs and its token allocation.

He confirmed that all protocol and GHO revenue flows to the AAVE token while teasing a new automated buyback mechanism. The protocol currently generates $134 million in annualized revenue.

Kulechov Rejects Discount Sale Reports, Outlines Revenue Framework

Kulechov was direct in dismissing reports suggesting AAVE tokens could be sold at a steep discount. Addressing the claim head-on, he wrote, “There is NO WAY we’d sell AAVE at a 70% discount lol.”

He then moved to clarify the structure governing all revenue flows within the Aave ecosystem. The Aave Will Win (AWW) proposal, already passed by the DAO, forms the backbone of that structure.

Under AWW, 100% of Aave Protocol and GHO revenue is directed to the AAVE token. Kulechov confirmed the framework also covers all product revenue streams. “AWW also applies to all product revenue, including the Aave App, Aave Pro, and Swaps,” he stated. None of that revenue flows to Aave Labs, which operates solely as a service provider to the DAO.

He also addressed Aave Labs’ own AAVE token allocation separately. Kulechov noted that “multiple market participants have discussed purchasing, directly or indirectly, through deeper long-term partnerships.”

That allocation is distinct from the DAO’s revenue framework and does not alter how protocol earnings are distributed to token holders.

On intellectual property, Kulechov was equally clear. He confirmed that “all intellectual property, including the Aave brand and any software built for Aave, belongs to AAVE.” Token holders, not Aave Labs, hold rights over these core assets under the current governance structure.

Aavenomics 3.0 and Aave’s Broader Financial Ambition

Beyond correcting the revenue narrative, Kulechov pointed to a coming upgrade. He revealed that “the Aave team is designing Aavenomics 3.0, which includes a new automated and non-discretionary buyback mechanism.” He noted that further details would follow in a later announcement, keeping the specifics close for now.

The planned buyback builds on a strong revenue foundation. Aave is generating $134 million in annualized revenue, all of which flows to the Aave DAO.

That base positions the DAO to sustain meaningful token buybacks without relying on discretionary decisions from any single party.

Kulechov also broadened the scope of Aave’s stated ambitions. He said Aave is “building not only for the crypto TAM, but for the entire finance asset TAM, including RWAs.” That framing places Aave alongside traditional finance infrastructure rather than solely within the DeFi space.

He closed his remarks with a pointed statement on organizational alignment. “Everyone at Aave Labs and Aave DAO works for AAVE,” he wrote.

That statement was directed at reassuring token holders that commercial and governance structures remain oriented around their interests above all else.