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Crypto World

South Korea’s KOSPI Hits New High After 100% Rally: Is Korean Retail Forgetting Bitcoin?

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KOSPI Year-to-Date Price Performance

South Korea’s KOSPI surged 4.56% to a fresh all-time high of 8,457 on Wednesday, officially doubling year-to-date in 2026. Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix powered the move, the two chipmakers that already represent roughly half of the index.

The benchmark added around $220 billion in market value in a single session and roughly $900 billion in May alone.

Memory Stocks Go Vertical

The KOSPI is now up roughly 100% year-to-date, after Samsung Electronics jumped 6.5% and SK Hynix added 9.5% on Wednesday. The two chipmakers control around 42% of the index, lifted by AI memory chip demand.

“Everything memory related has gone straight vertical,” market commentator Heisenberg observed.

JPMorgan recently raised its KOSPI target to 9,000, with a bull case of 10,000.

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KOSPI Year-to-Date Price Performance
KOSPI Year-to-Date Price Performance. Source: TradingView

Asian retail is doubling down. The 2x Leveraged SK Hynix ETF in Hong Kong has pulled in $1.3 billion year-to-date and tripled to $8 billion in assets in three months, the world’s largest single-stock leveraged ETF, the Kobeissi Letter reported.

A 2x Samsung ETF has matched those flows. Together, the two ETFs now eclipse comparable leveraged products on Tesla and Microsoft, with SK Hynix and Samsung accounting for nearly 50% of the $4.5 trillion KOSPI.

“Asian retail investors are rushing into leveraged chip stock bets like never before,” The Kobeissi Letter remarked.

Korean Crypto Pays the Opportunity Cost

Earlier, the same retail base used to anchor Korea’s Bitcoin (BTC) market. Upbit and Bithumb handle around 96% of Korean crypto volume.

But now, Korean crypto volumes have crashed roughly 80% as won liquidity has rotated into equities. The kimchi premium recently sat near negative 2.19%, signaling weak local demand for BTC.

Bitcoin Korea Premium Index
Bitcoin Korea Premium Index. Source: CryptoQuant

Past KOSPI corrections triggered a reverse rotation back to Korean exchanges. On May 15, the KOSPI breached 8,000 intraday before crashing 8.4% in a single session. That reversal wiped roughly $370 billion in market value and briefly nudged Korean crypto volumes higher.

President Lee Jae-myung’s won-pegged stablecoin push and Bitcoin spot ETF pledge add a structural pull on the other side. A consortium of eight banks is preparing a regulated KRW stablecoin under the Digital Asset Basic Act. Kookmin, Shinhan, and Woori lead the group.

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The motivation is concrete. Korean crypto exchanges sent roughly $40 billion overseas in Q1, with stablecoins making up half of that capital flight. A domestic won-backed token would let regulators keep more of that liquidity onshore.

With KOSPI now stretched 100% in five months on borrowed money, any unwind would land on a deep base. Korea counts nearly 10 million crypto investors, more than 30% of the population. A failed defense of 8,000 could change the tape fast. A pause in chip orders or a sharp won move sends retail back to Bitcoin and Korean altcoins.

The post South Korea’s KOSPI Hits New High After 100% Rally: Is Korean Retail Forgetting Bitcoin? appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Crypto News, June 9: BTC USD at a Breaking Point as Trump “Proportionally” Strikes Iran, CPI Shock and SpaceX IPO Risks Mount

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BTC USD and crypto brace for volatility as Trump Iran escalates right before the CPI print and SpaceX IPO launch.

BTC USD faces major battles today as Iran tensions flare with Trump proportional strikes while hinting at a deal days away. CPI data will also drop today amid energy spikes. The escalation has already triggered over $400 million in liquidations, pressuring BTC USD at the $61,000 level. Then add SpaceX IPO oversubscription 2 days away.

After proportional strikes, Trump hinted at a potential deal “days away,” yet the Iran escalation sent BTC USD sliding from recent highs. Over $400 million in liquidations hit the market, with more than $300 million coming from long positions. The temporary calm from the earlier de-escalation fractured quickly.

BTC USD and crypto brace for volatility as Trump Iran escalates right before the CPI print and SpaceX IPO launch.
Crypto Liquidations, Coinglass

Discover: The best crypto to diversify your portfolio with

Beyond Trump Iran Escalation: Fractured BTC USD, SpaceX IPO Over-Hype

BTC USD now holds unstable ground at $61-62k as energy prices surge from the conflict, feeding macro fears. Total crypto market cap sits steady at $2.2T as Bitcoin dominance slides, but swings could come at any time.

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Bitcoin (BTC)
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SpaceX IPO emerges as the big “market test” for June 12. Tom Lee calls any pullback short-lived. According to him, the IPO success helps the bull market and does not signal a top. Chip sell-offs from fund reallocation ahead of the debut will draw buyers back in, he insists.

Following his comment, his firm, Bitmine, scooped 75k ETH worth $123 million from Kraken and FalconX in recent hours, lifting total ETH holdings to about 5.5 million.

Realistically, the SpaceX IPO could channel fresh capital into tech and crypto ecosystems. People peg the IPO as the next catalyst despite short-term selling pressure. BTC USD dipped to $61k as some raised funds for the oversubscribed debut, yet Lee sees it as bullish long-term. As of today, the oversubscription has reached a $250 billion for a company with a $75 billion valuation.

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Discover: The best pre-launch token sales

Forecasting CPI Data Drops

CPI forecast points to +4.2 percent YoY for May, the highest in over three years, versus 4.2 percent in April. Energy spikes tied to the Trump and Iran conflict are blamed for the jump in gasoline and fuel oil. The drop itself lands at 12:30 UTC, with 70 percent odds of a Fed rate hike now baked in.

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BTC USD holds $61-62k pre-CPI in pure speculation mode, but historical patterns show a 9 percent pre-CPI pump is fading on release. Hot data risks a $60k test while cooler figures open $65k. Not just the U.S. CPI drops; Japan’s hot PPI adds yen carry-trade pressure, heightening the impact on crypto.

On the adoption front, Kraken has been named the official crypto exchange of the FIFA World Cup 2026, while Anthony Scaramucci stays a long-term BTC believer, predicting recovery by Q4 2026 or Q1 2027.

Crypto tax bills face House Committee pushback, offering potential relief for digital assets. Despite near-term fears from Iran, friction, looming CPI data, and SpaceX’s IPO reallocation, BTC USD has not fundamentally changed, nor has crypto. Institutional accumulation and a bullish stance on the SpaceX IPO bring confidence to the fragile market.

Geopolitical scare remains temporary while adoption milestones accelerate legitimacy. Cooler CPI could bring a liquidity relief rally, pushing BTC USD toward $65k as higher-for-longer fears ease. SpaceX IPO success would strengthen bull market narratives, drawing capital that likely flows into crypto.

The path forward looks bullish.

Discover: The best crypto to diversify your portfolio with

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The post Crypto News, June 9: BTC USD at a Breaking Point as Trump “Proportionally” Strikes Iran, CPI Shock and SpaceX IPO Risks Mount appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Japan’s three largest banks eye joint stablecoin issue by March 2027

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SBI, Sony back Startale’s $63 million push to expand Japan’s tokenized finance stack

Three of Japan’s largest banks said they will jointly issue a stablecoin this financial year, which ends in March.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG), Sumitomo ⁠Mitsui Financial Group (SMBC) and Mizuho Financial Group will establish a council to explore operational frameworks and prepare for the issuance of stablecoins, according to a statement on MUFG’s website.

The three banks will act as “joint settlors and a trust bank or similar institution will act as trustee,” the statement said.

Japan’s Financial Services Agency (FSA) signaled support for the development of a stablecoin by the three banks last November. More recently, the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) said the state should promote the usage of yen-based stablecoins.

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Stablecoins are digital tokens pegged to the value of a traditional financial asset, usually a fiat currency. The market is overwhelmingly dominated by U.S. dollar tokens, with Tether’s USDT and Circle Internet’s (CRCL) USDC alone accounting for a combined 84% market share.

Tokens pegged to the yen represent a negligible share of the market, accounting for less than $50 million in the $311 billion sector. The most prominent is JPYC with a market cap of around $18 million, issued by a Tokyo-based fintech of the same name.

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Euro Stabilises After Sell-Off as Markets Await US CPI and Bank of Canada Meeting

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Euro Stabilises After Sell-Off as Markets Await US CPI and Bank of Canada Meeting

The euro is showing signs of a modest recovery following a sharp decline triggered by a strong US employment report and increased demand for safe-haven assets amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Robust Nonfarm Payrolls data confirmed the resilience of the US labour market, allowing the dollar to strengthen against most major peers and reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a restrictive policy stance.

Investor attention today will be focused on the release of US inflation data. According to forecasts, annual consumer price growth may accelerate to 4.2% from 3.8% previously, while core inflation is expected to rise to 2.9% from 2.8%. Should the figures exceed expectations, markets may once again reassess the outlook for Federal Reserve rate cuts, providing additional support for the US dollar.

Another key event will be the Bank of Canada policy meeting. The central bank is widely expected to leave its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 2.25%, although market participants will be paying close attention to the accompanying statement and policymakers’ comments regarding the future path of monetary policy. Any signals pointing towards further easing could weigh on the Canadian dollar and support gains in EUR/CAD.

EUR/USD

After breaking below the key support level at 1.1580 last week, EUR/USD buyers managed to push the pair back towards this area. Technical analysis suggests the pair may retest support near 1.1500. A break below this level followed by sustained trading underneath it could trigger a fresh bearish impulse, with initial downside targets in the 1.1400–1.1440 region. The bearish scenario would be invalidated by a decisive move back above 1.1580.

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Key events for EUR/USD:

  • Today at 12:30 (GMT+3): German 10-year government bond auction;
  • Today at 15:30 (GMT+3): US Consumer Price Index (CPI);
  • Tomorrow at 15:00 (GMT+3): Germany’s seasonally unadjusted current account balance.

EUR/CAD

EUR/CAD is also undergoing a corrective recovery following its previous decline, although further direction will largely depend on the outcome of the Bank of Canada meeting and the market’s reaction to US inflation data. Ahead of these releases, traders are likely to remain cautious, potentially encouraging consolidation around current levels.

Technical analysis points to range-bound trading within the 1.6030–1.6150 corridor. Price behaviour near these boundaries over the coming sessions may provide clearer signals regarding the pair’s next directional move.

Key events for EUR/CAD:

  • Today at 16:45 (GMT+3): Bank of Canada interest rate decision;
  • Today at 17:30 (GMT+3): US crude oil inventories;
  • Today at 17:30 (GMT+3): Bank of Canada press conference.

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Hyperliquid price slides 11%: What’s behind the sell-off and what comes next

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Graphiques de trading
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  • The $54 support level is critical for the Hyperliquid price.
  • HYPE futures open interest has fallen to $5.86B, triggering a leveraged unwind.
  • Crypto Fear and Greed Index hit 15 as Bitcoin ETF outflows drove risk-off selling.

The Hyperliquid price has dropped 11% in 24 hours to $55.35, making it one of the hardest-hit assets in an already rough day for crypto.

While the broader crypto market is down, with Bitcoin falling 3.1% toward the $62,000 zone, HYPE’s losses were nearly four times larger; a pattern that tends to show up when a high-beta asset catches a deleveraging wave at the worst possible time.

The 7-day picture is even sharper. HYPE is down 23.7% over the past week and has now given back more than a quarter of its value from its all-time high of $75.48, set just eight days ago on June 2.

Why is the Hyperliquid price declining?

The clearest explanation for the size of the drop lies in the derivatives market.

Hyperliquid futures open interest has dropped to $5.86 billion, a signal that leveraged long positions were being closed rather than new short bets being placed.

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Hyperliquid open interest

At the same time, spot volume climbed 12.5%, meaning actual selling and not just funding rate shifts were hitting the market.

Traders who had built up leveraged positions during HYPE’s run to its all-time high were exiting, and the exits compounded each other.

Interestingly, the price drop was not driven by any negative news specific to the Hyperliquid protocol itself.

Daily buybacks continued as normal, and there were no reports of exploits or technical failures.

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It was a speculative unwind, not a fundamental breakdown.

But that unwind happened against a difficult macro backdrop.

The broader market continues to struggle

The Crypto Fear and Greed Index fell to 15, deep in extreme fear territory, down from 47 just a month ago, and total crypto market capitalisation dropped 2.24% in 24 hours to approximately $2.13 trillion.

Traders were pulling back ahead of the Federal Reserve’s June 16–17 meeting, with CME FedWatch data showing a 98.2% probability that rates would stay unchanged.

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Geopolitical tension added to the pressure after President Donald Trump indicated the US would respond to Iran allegedly shooting down an American Apache helicopter near the Strait of Hormuz.

Adding to the backdrop, the Hyperliquid Policy Centre (HPC) filed a joint comment letter with venture firm Paradigm on June 9, pushing back on a proposed rule from FinCEN and the Office of Foreign Assets Control that would implement anti-money laundering and sanctions requirements for stablecoin issuers under the GENIUS Act.

The GENIUS Act was signed into law in July 2025, establishing a federal framework for payment stablecoins, with implementation expected by January 2027.

The April-proposed rule would require stablecoin issuers to maintain AML programs, file Suspicious Activity Reports, and have the technical capability to block, freeze, or reject transactions violating US law, across both primary and secondary markets.

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HPC and Paradigm’s objection centres on the secondary market scope.

In permissionless blockchain environments, issuers can see wallet addresses and transaction amounts, but they cannot identify who is actually transacting.

As the filing put it: “Issuers are subject to strict liability for transactions they cannot meaningfully police.”

The groups propose keeping heavier compliance obligations on the primary market, where issuers have direct customer relationships, and want a narrower approach in secondary markets, with the Travel Rule applying to pseudonymous wallet transfers only when operators have a direct relationship with the parties involved.

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They also suggested that smart contract-level compliance measures, including address blocklists and transfer restrictions, should be recognized as sufficient, and that money laundering provisions should not extend to protocol developers and on-chain infrastructure participants.

HPC and Paradigm warned that if issuers are held responsible for every secondary-market interaction on permissionless networks, the likely outcome is that regulated stablecoins retreat from DeFi entirely, leaving a gap that unregulated offshore alternatives would fill.

What to watch next for HYPE

The immediate technical focus is the $54 level.

AltcoinSherpa notes that a break below the $54 support level would remove a key area that has been holding HYPE’s price action in place.

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If HYPE holds above $54, the token could settle into a consolidation range between $54 and $65.

According to AltcoinSherpa, a break below $54 opens the door to the $44–$54 gap, which would represent a significant further drawdown from current levels.

On the derivatives side, a stabilization or recovery in open interest, currently at $2.48 billion, would be a sign that the selling pressure is exhausting itself.

Notably, if open interest keeps falling while price drops, it suggests more unwinding is still ahead.

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One potential volatility catalyst worth monitoring is the SpaceX IPO listing, which could draw trading activity to Hyperliquid’s markets and introduce a new source of volume.

But whether that translates into price support for HYPE specifically is less certain, but it could shift the attention and activity on the platform.

Bitcoin reclaiming $63,000 would also improve the broader altcoin environment.

However, until that happens, altcoins like Hyperliquid (HYPE) remain exposed to further downside if macro sentiment stays cautious heading into the Fed meeting next week.

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XRP market shows signs of capitulation as holders sell at loss

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XRP's realized profit-to-loss ratio. (Glassnode)

XRP holders are increasingly selling at a loss in a textbook sign of market capitulation.

The 90-day moving average of XRP’s realized profit-to-loss ratio has plunged to 0.38, according to data tracked by Glassnode.

That means for every $1 of losses investors are realizing right now, they are taking in just 38 cents in profit. Essentially, most of the coins trading on the blockchain are underwater.

The situation marks a reversal from the 2025 peak, when the ratio hit 50. At that time, profit-takers were overwhelming loss-sellers by a staggering 50-to-1.

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XRP's realized profit-to-loss ratio. (Glassnode)

A ratio this far below 1 is widely viewed as a hallmark of capitulation, a market phase where exhausted holders finally throw in the towel and sell, often after bearing the prolonged pain of holding coins in loss. It reflects intense fear or forced selling in the market.

While capitulation doesn’t always mark the exact bottom, it frequently appears near exhaustion points in downtrends. For XRP traders, this could mean that the bear market is in its final stages.

The payments-focused cryptocurrency traded at around $1.11 at press time, down nearly 40% for the year, according to CoinDesk data. Prices peaked above $3.60 last July.

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Meta Platforms: Strong Earnings Fail to Support the Share Price

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Meta Platforms: Strong Earnings Fail to Support the Share Price

Meta’s revenue rose by 33% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2026, reaching $56.3 billion. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $7.31, comfortably ahead of the consensus forecast of $6.67. However, the positive earnings results were overshadowed by other developments.

Alongside the report, the company raised its 2026 capital expenditure forecast to between $125 billion and $145 billion, which the market interpreted as a signal of potential pressure on free cash flow. Additional pressure on the share price emerged in early June following reports that Meta was considering raising tens of billions of dollars through a new share offering to finance AI infrastructure projects. The company itself dismissed these reports as “pure speculation”.

Technical Picture

Since the beginning of April, Meta shares had been trading within an ascending trend structure that originated from the March low. Towards the end of April, however, a gap formed on the chart, followed by a break of the trendline. Since then, the stock has entered a sideways phase, losing its previous upward momentum.

The share price is currently trading below the lower boundary of the volume profile at 598 and below the point of control (POC) located in the 610–611 area — levels that could once again attract market attention should buying interest return.

The green support level near 565 may serve as a downside target if selling pressure continues. Meanwhile, the resistance zone around 641 remains the next major upside reference point in the event of a reversal and a break above the upper boundary of the profile.

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The RSI and its moving averages currently stand at 37, 44 and 46. The oscillator has moved below the neutral zone, while the moving averages continue to confirm the prevailing bearish direction.

Key Takeaways

Following the break of the ascending trendline and the formation of the April gap, Meta shares entered a consolidation phase and are currently testing its lower boundary. Future price action will largely depend on how transparent management proves to be regarding the financing of its AI initiatives and whether the company can demonstrate that its substantial capital investments translate into tangible operational results.

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Humanity Protocol Suffers $36M Hack Through Compromised Employee Device

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

Key Takeaways

  • A security breach involving an employee’s laptop led to the exposure of private keys controlling Humanity Protocol’s bridge infrastructure.
  • The attackers gained control of three out of six multisig keys, enabling them to manipulate token bridges on both Ethereum and BNB Chain.
  • Approximately 141 million H tokens were extracted from Ethereum, while 200 million tokens were illegally minted on BNB Chain.
  • H token’s value plummeted more than 85%, declining from approximately $0.67 to bottoming out at $0.05.
  • On-chain analysts detected suspicious wallet movements before the attack occurred, though no conclusive evidence of insider involvement has emerged.

Humanity Protocol revealed this Tuesday that cybercriminals successfully extracted more than $36 million in its H token following unauthorized access to private keys housed on a compromised employee computer.

The platform operates cross-chain bridges facilitating H token transfers between Ethereum and BNB Chain networks. These bridges were safeguarded using multisignature wallet technology—a security mechanism demanding multiple key approvals before executing transactions or modifying smart contracts.

According to founder Terence Kwok, the key distribution followed proper protocol across four separate individuals. However, a critical error occurred during the initial configuration phase when several keys were inadvertently stored on one device that subsequently fell victim to compromise.

“Some of the keys were accidentally backed up to a compromised device during setup,” Kwok said.

Breaking Down the Exploit

On Ethereum, the perpetrators secured three of the six keys associated with the bridge’s administrative account. This threshold gave them complete authority over the system. They swapped the authentic bridge smart contract with a fraudulent replacement and extracted approximately 141.2 million H tokens through one massive transaction.

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On BNB Chain, the attackers compromised three of five keys. They injected an unlimited minting capability into the bridge contract and exploited it to create 200 million fresh H tokens, transferring them straight into their controlled wallet.

The development team immediately suspended all deposit and withdrawal operations on both compromised bridges upon detecting the security breach.

Market Reaction and Price Collapse

The H token had experienced strong upward momentum during the weeks preceding the breach, surging from approximately $0.20 to $0.70. Following public disclosure of the exploit, the token’s value crashed to around $0.05—representing a catastrophic decline exceeding 85%.

While the token eventually rebounded toward the $0.20 level, significant damage had already occurred. In the aftermath, Humanity Protocol’s team information page was also taken down from their official website.

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Investigating the Attack’s Source

On-chain investigator ZachXBT initially raised concerns about potential connections between irregular market-making operations and over-the-counter H token transactions and the security breach. He subsequently clarified that these activities appeared unrelated to the key compromise incident.

Security researcher Elton Shehdula from Allium Labs suggested the blockchain evidence indicated a carefully orchestrated operation. He observed that wallets participating in the attack received funding from both an exchange and a mixing service several weeks beforehand. The attacker also seemingly tested minting permissions days before launching the full-scale exploit, with the drainage occurring simultaneously across both blockchain networks.

Shehdula indicated that such meticulous preparation suggests either an internal threat actor or an external adversary who had maintained covert possession of the compromised key for an extended period.

Cyvers security director Hakan Unal noted that the blockchain evidence presents an ambiguous picture. He explained that authentic external attacks typically display hasty characteristics—rapid fund transfers to newly created wallets, disadvantageous swap rates, and immediate mixer usage. Conversely, orchestrated events may exhibit more controlled timing patterns, particularly coinciding with token unlock schedules or vesting milestones.

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Currently, Humanity Protocol states it is collaborating with cryptocurrency exchanges and additional stakeholders to explore potential recovery strategies. The specific circumstances surrounding the initial laptop compromise remain undisclosed to the public.

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Wintermute Suggests a Scary Crypto Market Scenario: How True Is It?

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Bitcoin Positive Sentiment Score

The latest Wintermute crypto prediction says capital has not returned, and no bottom is confirmed. BeInCrypto analysts tested every checkable claim against on-chain data. The short answer is that the call holds, except for the one thing it dismisses.

Bitcoin trades near $62,000 after a 14% weekly drop, back to levels last seen in September 2024, while the Nasdaq fell 4.7% amid AI exhaustion.

What the Wintermute Crypto Prediction Actually Says

The market maker’s June 8 note argues the decline came from US institutional selling and Bitcoin ETF outflows, not from Strategy’s sale of 32 BTC.

That sale, the firm’s first since 2022, was immaterial in size and symbolic in signal, in Wintermute’s words. Disclosures this week even showed Strategy back on the bid with a 1,550 BTC purchase.

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Here, the desk pushes back on one point. The coins never hit order books, yet sentiment data reviewed by BeInCrypto shows Bitcoin’s positive sentiment score collapsing from 814 on June 3 to 61 now, a fall of more than 92%.

The crash brackets the sale’s circulation, suggesting the damage ran through psychology even if it skipped the tape.

Bitcoin Positive Sentiment Score
Bitcoin Positive Sentiment Score: Santiment

The macro half of the Wintermute crypto prediction reads good news as bad news. May payrolls printed 172,000 jobs against roughly 80,000 expected, services prices hit their hottest since August 2022, and the 10-year yield rose to 4.55% on Friday.

Consequently, the easing case faded, and some analyst commentary now frames oil-driven inflation as a potential trigger for a rate hike.

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Wintermute adds one structural worry. Bitcoin never spent meaningful time between $50,000 and $59,000 in 2024, so few shelves exist underneath, leaving capital flows to set direction.

So BeInCrypto analysts checked the flows first.

The Money Has Not Come Back, and the Reserves Prove It

The cleanest gauge is stablecoin exchange reserves, the pool of dollar-pegged tokens sitting on exchange wallets as ready-to-deploy buying power.

CryptoQuant data reviewed by BeInCrypto shows that the pool peaked at $75.12 billion on November 12, 2025. Roughly a month after BTC’s all-time high.

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Stablecoins Exchange Reserve Post Market Peak
Stablecoins Exchange Reserve Post Market Peak: CryptoQuant

It has since drained to $62.81 billion as of June 10, 2026, a fall of roughly 16%. That round-trips the entire fourth-quarter build and returns reserves to a level even lower than last seen in late September 2025, before the price peak even formed.

All Stablecoins Exchange Reserve
All Stablecoins Exchange Reserve: CryptoQuant

The broader stablecoin market cap tells the same story from another angle. DefiLlama shows the total float at $315.97 billion, down $3.25 billion in the past week after topping near $323 billion.

Dry powder is draining while the total money on crypto’s rails leaks at the same time.

DeFi Marketcap
DeFi Marketcap: DeFiLlama

On its core claim, the Wintermute crypto prediction verifies in full. Capital has not returned, by either measure. The ETF ledger then shows how unusual this drought already is.

An Outflow Streak With No Precedent

SoSoValue monthly data frames the whole cycle. Inflows of $6.02 billion in July 2025 began the setup, and September and October added $3.53 billion and $3.42 billion as prices peaked at $126,210.

Then the funds flipped. November through February printed four straight red months, the longest monthly outflow streak since the products launched, against a single two-month streak in February and March 2025. November alone bled a record $3.48 billion.

Total Bitcoin Spot ETF Monthly Flows
Total Bitcoin Spot ETF Monthly Flows: SoSoValue

May reopened the wound with $2.43 billion out, the worst month of 2026, and June has already shed $1.89 billion in just 10 days, nearly 80% of May’s total.

During the outflow era, fund assets nearly halved from $147.73 billion to $77.58 billion, while prices halved from the record high to $62,000.

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The dates further strengthen the Wintermute crypto prediction.

Rekt Capital called the October 2025 top in June 2024 using halving-cycle timing, and October proved to be the final month of meaningful inflows. His late-November macro triangle breakdown landed on the streak’s worst month.

His forward math is where the scenario sharpens.

The Verdict on the Wintermute Crypto Prediction

In an interview with BeInCrypto, the analyst capped this year’s upside at the falling macro downtrend, the series of lower highs running since October.

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“The mid-80s would probably be the top for this year, provided we don’t break the macro downtrend,” said Rekt Capital.

The pivot that changes everything is a sustained break above $82,500.

His floor runs deeper than current prices.

“This bear market should see a retracement of some 60% to 70%, which would mean we go sub-50 into the 40s, and that should be taking place in Q4 of this year,” he told BeInCrypto.

BeInCrypto’s projection highlights similar levels. Keeping the mid-January to early-May swing in play, a potential bottom for BTC comes at $44,627. That would be a 64% retracement from BTC’s peak.

The peak to breaking the bearish pattern lies around $82,824, aligning perfectly with Rekt Capital’s $82,500 pivot.

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Macro Downtrend Structure
Bitcoin Macro Downtrend Structure: TradingView

So, how true is Wintermute’s crypto prediction? The answer lands in three parts.

The flow claims verify in full, from the record streak to the drained reserves. The dismissal of the Strategy sale underplays a 92% collapse in Bitcoin sentiment that the desk can document.

And the one bullish crack is real, since long-term holder wallets keep absorbing coins even as their pace thins considerably.

However, weakening accumulation is what keeps Wintermute’s bearish case alive.

Weakening Holder Accumulation
Weakening Holder Accumulation: Glassnode

Wintermute named its own test in the SpaceX listing on June 12, and Rekt Capital named its at $82,500. Either one of those triggers breaks the pattern, or the flow math and the cycle math keep pointing at the same sub-$50,000 zone.

His ceiling stretches further out. Every cycle forms a three-year resistance that breaks only in the halving year, and this cycle’s level is $93,000. That makes $93,000 his absolute maximum for 2027, with new record highs unlikely before 2028.

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EU eyes ban on foreign crypto services linked to Russia sanctions evasion

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EU eyes ban on foreign crypto services linked to Russia sanctions evasion

The European Commission has proposed sanctions on 20 non-EU entities, including crypto platforms, as part of a new package that could introduce the bloc’s first country-level ban on foreign crypto services linked to Russian sanctions evasion.

Summary

  • The European Commission has proposed sanctions on 20 non-EU entities, including crypto platforms accused of helping Russia bypass existing restrictions.
  • New measures could introduce the EU’s first country-level ban on crypto services from jurisdictions hosting platforms linked to sanctions evasion.
  • Chainalysis reported $93.3 billion in transaction volume tied to the ruble-backed stablecoin A7A5, a network cited in growing scrutiny of Russia-linked crypto activity.

According to the European Commission, the proposed 21st sanctions package targets banks, oil traders, and cryptocurrency platforms that have allegedly provided services to sanctioned Russian individuals and entities. 

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said the measures are designed to close remaining channels used to bypass existing restrictions.

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Under the proposal, transaction bans would be extended to the listed non-EU entities. In addition, the commission is seeking authority to prohibit crypto services originating from entire non-EU jurisdictions if those countries host platforms that help sanctioned Russian actors continue operating.

“It will act as a strong deterrent for the countries hosting platforms that help Russia evade our sanctions,” von der Leyen said.

Crypto platforms face growing sanctions scrutiny

The proposal arrives as regulators on both sides of the Atlantic increase pressure on crypto infrastructure they believe supports sanctioned states and illicit financial networks.

Chainalysis reported that illicit cryptocurrency addresses received $154 billion in 2025. The blockchain analytics firm also identified substantial activity linked to Russia, citing approximately $93.3 billion in transaction volume involving the ruble-backed stablecoin A7A5, which it said represented a significant portion of state-linked crypto activity.

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Earlier this year, blockchain research firm Elliptic identified five crypto exchanges that it said provided financial pathways used to bypass sanctions while operating outside traditional banking oversight.

Recent enforcement actions have already targeted several crypto businesses accused of supporting sanctioned networks. In May, the United Kingdom sanctioned Huobi Global S.A., which authorities linked to HTX, over allegations that it provided services to the Russia-connected A7 network. The UK government imposed asset freezes, payment restrictions, internet service sanctions, and other measures against the company.

Elliptic said the UK action represented the first use of Regulation 17A against a cryptoasset exchange, extending restrictions on correspondent banking relationships and payment processing involving designated entities.

Across the globe, the U.S. Treasury in June designated four Iranian cryptocurrency exchanges, Nobitex, Wallex, Bitpin, and Ramzinex, alleging they helped sanctioned entities access the digital asset ecosystem. Treasury officials said cryptocurrency services had become part of Iran’s efforts to move funds outside traditional financial channels.

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Russia prepares domestic crypto framework

While European authorities move toward tighter restrictions, Russia is preparing a comprehensive cryptocurrency regulatory framework expected to be introduced in July.

The planned rules would establish licensed domestic trading platforms, creating a regulated structure for local crypto activity as international scrutiny of Russia-linked digital asset flows continues to increase.

Outside the crypto sector, the European Commission’s latest package also seeks to tighten pressure on Russia’s energy and trade sectors. Proposed measures include additional restrictions on oil vessels and the first sanctions targeting Russian fisheries.

“Our sanctions keep biting hard and cutting deep; they are weakening the economic foundations of Russia’s war effort,” von der Leyen added.

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FIFA Taps Kraken as Official Cryptocurrency Partner for 2026 World Cup

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Key Points

  • Kraken secured the position of Official Crypto Exchange Supporter for FIFA World Cup 2026
  • The agreement encompasses digital asset education, supporter engagement initiatives, and platform awareness throughout North America and European markets
  • The tournament will showcase an unprecedented 48 national teams competing in 104 fixtures across 16 metropolitan areas in three nations
  • Tournament organizers project a combined audience exceeding six billion spectators worldwide
  • Initial fan engagement launches with the FIFA World Cup 2026 Countdown Concert scheduled for June 10

The cryptocurrency exchange Kraken has secured official supporter status for the FIFA World Cup 2026 tournament. This arrangement spans North American and European territories, emphasizing supporter interaction, cryptocurrency literacy programs, and platform exposure surrounding the global football event.

Romy Gai, FIFA’s Chief Business Officer, indicated the collaboration aligns with the federation’s objectives for enhancing supporter experiences. Arjun Sethi, co-CEO of Kraken, emphasized that football transcends geographical and linguistic barriers, suggesting financial systems should operate similarly.

The 2026 tournament unfolds over seven weeks spanning the United States, Canada, and Mexico. This marks the inaugural expanded format featuring 48 participating nations and 104 total matches. FIFA anticipates cumulative viewership surpassing six billion people globally.

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Kraken’s Tournament Engagement Strategy

Kraken plans to leverage the World Cup’s massive platform for introducing football enthusiasts to cryptocurrency technology. The strategy prioritizes educational content, brand recognition, and seamless platform accessibility.

Supporter engagement activities are scheduled throughout the pre-tournament and competition periods. These initiatives will integrate with match broadcasts, football supporter networks, and tournament-related events across both continental regions.

The inaugural public engagement coincides with the FIFA World Cup 2026 Countdown Concert happening June 10. This multi-city concert series represents part of the broader pre-tournament promotional campaign.

The financial details of the FIFA partnership agreement remain undisclosed by Kraken.

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Existing Sponsorship Portfolio

Kraken maintains current partnerships with prominent football clubs including Tottenham Hotspur, Atlético de Madrid, and RB Leipzig. The platform additionally sponsors Atlassian Williams Racing in the Formula 1 championship.

These existing agreements positioned Kraken before substantial football and motorsport audiences prior to finalizing the World Cup arrangement. The FIFA deal significantly amplifies that exposure to a worldwide tournament audience.

With more than ten years of operational history, Kraken maintains service across over 190 nations. This established framework will support the company’s World Cup-related programming initiatives.

Cryptocurrency platforms have progressively utilized sports partnerships for reaching audiences beyond traditional trading demographics. Kraken’s strategy emphasizes educational outreach and brand awareness rather than direct trading solicitation.

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The 2026 World Cup represents FIFA’s most expansive tournament regarding participating teams and total matches. Spanning three nations and 16 host metropolitan areas, the arrangement provides Kraken extensive geographical reach for its engagement initiatives.

Sethi characterized the tournament as a worldwide platform where football culture and digital finance converge. Both FIFA and Kraken emphasized supporter engagement as the partnership’s fundamental objective.

The June 10 countdown concert launches Kraken’s public-facing World Cup programming. Engagement activities throughout North America and Europe will continue through the tournament’s conclusion.

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