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Stocks and crypto markets on edge as US inflation cools, Trump eyes steel tariff cuts

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Stocks and crypto markets on edge as US inflation cools, Trump eyes steel tariff cuts

The stock and crypto markets remained on edge today, February 13, as participants reacted to the latest US consumer inflation report, which continued moving downwards in January.

Summary

  • The stock and crypto markets retreated after the US published the latest US consumer inflation report.
  • Data by the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the headline Consumer Price Index fell to 2.4%.
  • Core inflation, which excludes the volatile food and energy prices, fell to 2.5%.

US stock indices retreated, with the futures tied to the Dow Jones. Nasdaq 100, and S&P 500 falling by over 35 basis points, continuing a trend that has continued on Thursday.

Similarly, crypto prices like Bitcoin (BTC) dropped to $66,000, while top altcoins like LayerZero (ZRO), Canton, Internet Computer, Uniswap, and Kaspa dropped by over 5% in the last 24 hours. The market capitalization of all tokens dropped to $2.29 trillion.

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US consumer inflation retreated in January 

A report released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the headline Consumer Price Index retreated from 2.7% in December to 2.4% in January, the lowest level in months. It retreated from 0.3% in December to 0.2% on a MoM basis.

The report showed that the core inflation, which excludes the volatile food and energy prices, dropped to 2.5% from the previous 2.6%. These numbers mean that US inflation has not surged as during President Donald Trump’s tariffs as most economists were expecting.

The report came a few hours after the Financial Times reported that Trump’s administration was considering tweaking his massive steel and aluminum tariffs, a move that will lead to lower prices in the long term  

The data came two days after the BLS released strong non-farm payrolls data, which showed that the economy created 130k jobs in January, while the unemployment rate slipped to 4.3%. 

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Still, it is unclear whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates more times this year, even as inflation retreats. A Polymarket poll has the odds of no cuts in March at 93%. Another poll estimates that there will be just two cuts this year.

Stocks and crypto markets do well in periods of low interest rate 

In theory, the stock and crypto markets do well when the Fed is cutting interest rates. A good example of this happened during the COVID-19 pandemic when these assets jumped as the Fed slashed rates to zero.

The assets then plunged in 2022, with Bitcoin moving below $16,000, as the Fed hiked interest rates to combat the elevated inflation.

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However, the current Federal Reserve cycle has happened amid a divergence in the two assets. The stock market has soared to a record high, while Bitcoin and most altcoins are stuck in a bear market.

One reason for this is that the market has had some major moving parts in the past few months. The stock market has been driven be the ongoing AI boom, while the crypto market crash has happened because of the elevated risks, including on Iran. 

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AAVE Price Still Under Duress Despite New Governance Model

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AAVE MFI

Aave Labs has unveiled a fresh governance initiative that could redefine the future direction of one of the crypto sector’s leading lending protocols.

While on paper the developments appear to be a sound initiative, the AAVE price has failed to reflect due to investors’ behavior.

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AAVE Launches New Governance Model

Dubbed “Aave Will Win,” the proposal calls on the Aave DAO to endorse a comprehensive roadmap centered on the forthcoming V4 upgrade. If approved, V4 would serve as the core infrastructure for the protocol’s next phase, establishing a framework where 100% of revenues from products developed by Aave Labs are allocated directly to the DAO.

AAVE price remains under pressure despite the rollout of its new governance model. The token is currently in oversold territory based on the Money Flow Index. Recent readings suggest macro-driven selling pressure may have peaked after several sessions of sustained outflows.

Historically, the AAVE price has rebounded after entering oversold conditions. Oversold signals often reflect selling saturation, where buyers gradually step in. However, broader crypto market weakness and cautious investor sentiment make this setup less straightforward than previous recovery cycles.

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Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

AAVE MFI
AAVE MFI. Source: TradingView

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AAVE Holders Are Still Selling

Exchange net position change data shows that selling pressure continues to dominate. Net inflows to exchanges indicate that holders are moving AAVE to trading platforms. This behavior typically signals an intention to sell rather than accumulate.

Strengthening outflows and persistent exchange inflows may delay any potential rebound. Even positive protocol developments have failed to spark immediate upside momentum. Market participants appear focused on liquidity conditions and risk appetite rather than governance upgrades.

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AAVE Exchange Net Position Change.
AAVE Exchange Net Position Change. Source: Glassnode

AAVE Price Is Holding Above Support

AAVE price trades at $111 at publication, holding above the 23.6% Fibonacci level at $109. This level is widely viewed as a bear market support floor. Maintaining this support is critical to prevent deeper structural weakness.

Mixed technical signals suggest AAVE may consolidate above $109 in the near term. Price could remain range-bound under the $119 resistance while momentum stabilizes. However, a confirmed break below $109 may expose AAVE to $100 or lower.

AAVE Price Analysis.
AAVE Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

If selling pressure eases and investors regain confidence, AAVE could rebound from $109. A move above $119 would signal improving sentiment. Breaching $128 may open the path toward $136, invalidating the prevailing bearish outlook.

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Ethereum price resembles adam and eve pattern, bottom forming?

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Ethereum price resembles adam and eve pattern, bottom forming? - 1

Ethereum price is showing early signs of a potential macro bottom, with price action forming an Adam and Eve reversal pattern that could trigger a rally if key resistance is reclaimed.

Summary

  • Adam and Eve reversal structure is developing, signaling bottom formation
  • Point of control reclaim is required, to confirm the bullish reversal
  • $2,450 resistance is the key upside target, if volume supports the breakout

Ethereum (ETH) price action is beginning to show characteristics commonly associated with bottoming formations as the market stabilizes after a prolonged corrective phase.

Following a sharp sell-off, ETH has produced a strong initial rebound and is now consolidating near key value levels. This behavior aligns closely with an Adam and Eve reversal pattern, a structure that often signals a transition from bearish control to early accumulation.

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While the broader trend remains cautious, the developing structure suggests that downside momentum may be exhausting. If confirmed, this setup could mark the early stages of a trend reversal and open the door for a meaningful recovery toward higher resistance levels.

Ethereum price key technical points

  • Adam and Eve bottoming pattern is developing, signaling a potential trend reversal
  • Point of control acts as the activation level, required for confirmation
  • Upside target sits near $2,450, aligned with high-timeframe resistance
Ethereum price resembles adam and eve pattern, bottom forming? - 1
ETHUSDT (4H) Chart, Source: TradingView

The first phase of the Adam and Eve pattern, known as the “Adam” leg, is characterized by a sharp and impulsive move off the lows. Ethereum established a notable swing low around $1,740, followed by a strong rally that reflected aggressive short-covering and early-dip buying.

This sharp rebound typically indicates capitulation exhaustion rather than a sustainable trend continuation. In Adam and Eve structures, the Adam leg serves as the initial signal that selling pressure is beginning to fade, even if price has not yet transitioned into a full bullish trend.

Rounded base signals the ‘Eve’ Formation

Following the initial rebound, Ethereum has entered a slower, more rounded consolidation near the value area low. This price behavior forms the “Eve” portion of the pattern, where the market begins absorbing supply and building a base.

Unlike the sharp Adam leg, the Eve structure develops gradually, reflecting increasing balance between buyers and sellers. This phase is critical, as it allows the market to establish higher lows and build the foundation required for a sustainable move higher.

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The fact that price is holding above the initial swing low suggests that sellers are losing dominance and that demand is beginning to stabilize near current levels.

Point of control is the key trigger

For the Adam and Eve pattern to be activated, Ethereum must reclaim the point of control on a closing basis. The point of control represents the price level with the highest traded volume and often acts as a pivot between bearish and bullish regimes.

A decisive reclaim of this level, particularly if backed by strong bullish volume, would confirm acceptance at higher prices and activate the reversal structure. Without this confirmation, the pattern remains speculative and vulnerable to further consolidation or downside retests.

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Upside targets and reversal implications

If the pattern confirms, Ethereum’s next major upside objective sits near the $2,450 level, which aligns with high-timeframe resistance. A rally toward this region would represent a significant recovery from the recent lows and validate the broader bottoming thesis.

However, it is important to note that Adam and Eve reversals often unfold over time. Initial breakouts can be volatile, with pullbacks and retests common before sustained continuation occurs.

What to expect in the coming price action

From a technical, price action, and market structure perspective, Ethereum appears to be in the early stages of a potential bottoming process. As long as price holds above the recent swing low near $1,740, the Adam and Eve pattern remains valid.

Confirmation will depend on Ethereum’s ability to reclaim the point of control with expanding bullish volume. If that occurs, a rotational move toward $2,450 becomes increasingly probable.

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Anchorage Enables SOL Borrowing Without Moving Custody

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Anchorage Enables SOL Borrowing Without Moving Custody

Anchorage Digital has partnered with Kamino and Solana Company to roll out a structure that allows institutions to borrow against staked Solana without moving assets out of regulated custody, potentially addressing a key friction between traditional finance and decentralized lending markets.

In a Friday announcement, Anchorage said the initiative expands its Atlas collateral management platform by integrating with Kamino, a Solana-based decentralized lending protocol.

The effort is being carried out in collaboration with Solana Company, a publicly traded Solana (SOL) treasury created in partnership with Pantera Capital and Summer Capital. 

Under the structure, institutions can use natively staked SOL as collateral for onchain borrowing while the assets remain held at Anchorage Digital Bank, a federally chartered crypto bank. That means investors can continue earning staking rewards while accessing liquidity through Kamino’s lending markets.

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Anchorage acts as collateral manager, overseeing loan-to-value ratios, margin requirements and, if necessary, liquidations. Because the collateral remains in segregated custody, institutions do not need to move assets into smart contracts, a requirement that has historically limited participation by regulated entities.

Solana Company is the second-largest SOL-based digital asset treasury, holding 2.3 million SOL. Source: CoinGecko

Related: Solana treasuries sitting on over $1.5B in paper SOL losses

DeFi legislation hangs in the balance

The integration between Anchorage Digital, Kamino and Solana Company underscores growing institutional interest in decentralized finance. However, that momentum is unfolding against an uncertain regulatory backdrop in the United States, where lawmakers are still debating how to oversee digital assets and DeFi platforms.

At the center of the debate is the proposed CLARITY Act, which aims to establish clearer jurisdictional boundaries and regulatory standards for digital assets, including DeFi protocols. 

While the bill is intended to reduce uncertainty for market participants, some DeFi advocates argue that it falls short of addressing how decentralized protocols, developers and governance structures should be treated under the law.

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Source: Yahoo Finance

Industry groups have raised concerns that earlier draft language, including amendments introduced in January, does not sufficiently distinguish between centralized intermediaries and decentralized systems.

Amid the deadlock over the CLARITY Act’s future, the Trump administration convened a meeting with industry representatives earlier this month to break the impasse and gather feedback on outstanding provisions related to DeFi oversight and market structure.

Related: Who gets the yield? CLARITY Act becomes fight over onchain dollars