Crypto World
Strategy Buys $370M Bitcoin in First Corporate Acquisition Since June
Michael Saylor’s Strategy acquired 4,603 Bitcoin for $370 million, marking the first acquisition from the largest corporate Bitcoin holder in two months.
Strategy acquired 4,603 Bitcoin (BTC) at an average purchase price of $80,318, pushing its holdings to 845,050 BTC, acquired for a total of $63.3 billion at an average price of $75,413, according to a Monday 8-k filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
The Bitcoin purchase was funded by the net proceeds of a 602 million MSTR common stock sale. The company used $30 million of the net proceeds to increase its USD Cash reserve and $151.8 million to repurchase its preferred STRC stock.
Nasdaq-traded MSTR was up less than 1% in Monday’s pre-market activity, after dropping more than 7% on Friday.
The move marks Strategy’s first corporate Bitcoin acquisition since mid-June, when the company last acquired 1,587 BTC for roughly $100 million.
On Sunday, Strategy’s co-founder and executive chairman, Michael Saylor, signaled that the company will resume accumulating Bitcoin, tweeting “We’re Back” in a widely viewed X post. Saylor has been known for posting cryptic weekend teasers before official announcements of the company’s larger treasury moves.
Strategy’s perpetual preferred stock, STRC, gained 0.44% in pre-market activity on Monday, to change hands at $97.33, or a 2.67% discount to its intended $100 par value, Yahoo Finance data shows.
STRC is one of Strategy’s main mechanisms to fund its Bitcoin accumulation. Trading below par limits Strategy’s ability to raise funds through STRC sales. It may also force the company to further increase its nominal dividend rate to attract buyers and protect STRC’s price.
In its June 29 8-K filing, Strategy unveiled a capital framework allowing Bitcoin sales to fund dividends and increased the annual dividend rate on its STRC preferred stock to 12%. Strategy disclosed the sale of 32 Bitcoin in early June, as its first reported Bitcoin sale since the 2022 tax-loss transaction.
Related: Standard Chartered wavers on $100K Bitcoin year-end call, says it may be ‘too low’
Crypto World
Bitcoin, Ethereum, Tron, and Cardano Tell Four Very Different Stories Through Active Addresses
A sharp contrast has emerged in active addresses across Bitcoin, Ethereum, Tron, and Cardano, as the four blockchains continue to show different patterns when it comes to network usage.
Bitcoin’s count, for one, has dropped significantly compared with previous major cycles, even though its price remains far above historical levels. According to the latest observation by Alphractal founder Joao Wedson, this does not necessarily indicate weaker usage.
Very Different Usage Trends
Bitcoin investors now tend to hold for longer and move coins less frequently, while ETFs, custodians, exchanges, and the Lightning Network are being used more often. The growing role of ETFs is particularly notable, as US-based spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds have recorded $3.31 billion in inflows so far in August. This shift in how investors access and hold BTC could help explain why on-chain activity is not increasing at the same pace as the asset’s price.
Rather than indicating that the crypto asset is necessarily being used less, the trend may reflect its growing role as a reserve asset, as more activity takes place through financial products and other structures instead of directly on the blockchain.
Ethereum’s network activity has once again begun to accelerate, and active addresses are now close to reaching 1 million, even with a significant share of the ecosystem operating on Layer 2 networks. Such a trend evidences that the asset remains highly relevant as financial infrastructure.
Meanwhile, Tron was found to have recorded more than 4 million active addresses, which makes it the strongest case among the four networks by this measure. According to Wedson, much of its activity appears to be driven by payments and stablecoins, particularly USDT, rather than simply speculation around TRX’s price. The network has become a major infrastructure layer for transferring digital dollars.
Is Cardano Struggling?
The same cannot be said for Cardano, which has witnessed its activity fall sharply since 2021 and remains at very low levels compared with its own history. Wedson explained that price can increase because of narratives, liquidity, and speculation, while on-chain activity offers a clearer indication of whether people are actually using a blockchain.
Cardano’s weak activity comes after years of criticism over the network’s slow development and its struggle to turn its technology into broader usage. More recently, the network has come under tremendous pressure, including a public warning from founder Charles Hoskinson about a “wave of failures” and closures of important dApps.
On the price side of things, ADA briefly reached $0.254 this month, before pulling back to $0.196 at the time of writing. Despite the recent weakness in price, market commentators remain optimistic. One such analyst, Sssebi, said that he expects the ADA to return to its previous all-time high of $3.10 during the coming bull market and believes it could push above that level.
The post Bitcoin, Ethereum, Tron, and Cardano Tell Four Very Different Stories Through Active Addresses appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Strategy Adds $370M Bitcoin to Treasury After Two-Month Gap
Strategy has added another sizable batch of Bitcoin to its corporate treasury, purchasing 4,603 BTC for about $370 million, according to an 8-K filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission released this week. The acquisition takes the company’s total holdings to 845,050 BTC.
The news also arrives shortly after Strategy last reported a Bitcoin buy in mid-June, and it follows a weekend signal from Strategy executive chairman Michael Saylor that the firm was preparing to resume accumulation. Investors are also watching how the company’s preferred stock funding mechanism—STRC—behaves as Strategy continues to finance new purchases.
Key takeaways
- Strategy bought 4,603 Bitcoin for an average price of $80,318 per BTC, bringing total holdings to 845,050 BTC.
- The purchase was funded using net proceeds from a $602 million common stock sale, with part of the proceeds added to USD cash reserves and part used for STRC repurchases.
- This is Strategy’s first corporate Bitcoin acquisition in roughly two months, after its prior buy of 1,587 BTC in mid-June.
- STRC trades below its $100 intended par value, which can affect the company’s ability to raise capital through STRC sales and may increase pressure on dividend terms.
A new Bitcoin tranche—and where the money came from
In its SEC filing, Strategy states it acquired 4,603 BTC at an average purchase price of $80,318, amounting to roughly $370 million. The company reports this brings its total Bitcoin holdings to 845,050 BTC, acquired for a cumulative $63.3 billion at an average price of $75,413.
The filing also outlines the capital flow behind the transaction. Strategy funded the purchase through the net proceeds of a 602 million MSTR common stock sale. It allocated $30 million of those net proceeds to increase its USD cash reserve, and it directed $151.8 million to repurchase its preferred STRC stock.
For investors, the mix of funding matters because Strategy’s Bitcoin program is designed to be capital-efficient while preserving flexibility—cash reserves provide liquidity, while repurchasing STRC can support the preferred stock’s market standing.
First buy in about two months, following Saylor’s “We’re Back” signal
The acquisition marks Strategy’s first reported corporate Bitcoin purchase since mid-June. At that time, the company last bought 1,587 BTC for roughly $100 million, according to earlier coverage referenced in the 8-K context.
On Sunday, Saylor posted a short teaser indicating a return to buying. He shared a widely viewed X post with the message “We’re Back,” a pattern that has previously preceded official announcements about Strategy’s treasury actions, as noted in earlier reporting. While weekend hints are not a substitute for filings, they often help investors anticipate the direction of future moves.
In Monday’s pre-market trading, Nasdaq-listed MSTR was reported up by less than 1% after falling more than 7% on Friday, according to the article’s market snapshot.
STRC discount and what it implies for future funding
Strategy’s STRC preferred stock remains central to how the company finances Bitcoin accumulation. In Monday’s pre-market activity, STRC rose about 0.44% to $97.33, which corresponds to a 2.67% discount to its intended $100 par value, based on Yahoo Finance data.
The discount is not just a pricing detail—it can influence how effective STRC becomes as a fundraising tool. As noted in the source reporting, trading below par can limit Strategy’s ability to raise funds through STRC sales. That limitation can create a feedback loop: if preferred shares consistently trade at discounts, Strategy may need to adjust economics—such as the dividend rate—to attract buyers and protect the instrument’s pricing.
The company previously signaled that it is willing to actively manage its capital structure. In a June 29 8-K filing, Strategy laid out a capital framework that contemplates using Bitcoin sales to fund dividends, and it increased the annual dividend rate on STRC to 12%. The same period included disclosure that Strategy sold 32 Bitcoin in early June, described as its first reported Bitcoin sale since a 2022 transaction tied to tax-loss considerations.
Taken together, the STRC discount and the dividend adjustments point to a consistent theme: Strategy wants the ability to keep buying Bitcoin while maintaining a workable funding channel through preferred stock. Whether the current discount narrows or widens in the weeks ahead could therefore influence how aggressively Strategy leans on STRC versus other sources of liquidity.
Why the details matter for traders and long-term holders
Strategy’s disclosed average purchase price—$80,318 per BTC—provides more than just a headline valuation. Because Strategy reports its total cost basis and holding size, each new acquisition affects how investors model the company’s treasury exposure over time, including how much unrealized gain or loss might be implied relative to recent market prices.
Just as important is the financing approach: the company used a common stock issuance rather than relying solely on balance-sheet liquidity. That choice can affect equity market dynamics and dilution expectations, while repurchasing STRC with $151.8 million suggests an effort to manage the preferred component alongside the Bitcoin program.
Meanwhile, the fact that Saylor’s “We’re Back” post preceded this acquisition reinforces how investors often treat Strategy’s leadership communications as early signals of treasury activity. The most reliable confirmation, however, remains the SEC filing and the detailed breakdown of how the Bitcoin was purchased and funded.
As Strategy continues to scale its portfolio—now at 845,050 BTC—readers should watch for two closely linked developments: whether STRC continues to trade at a discount to par, and how that pricing interacts with the company’s dividend and financing plans. Any future capital-structure changes could determine how smoothly Strategy converts access to capital into additional Bitcoin exposure.
Crypto World
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Crypto World
Wall Street Crypto Treasuries Are Buying Bitcoin and Ethereum Again. Why?
Strive, BitMine and MicroStrategy each disclosed fresh crypto purchases on Monday. The two Bitcoin buyers alone spent more than $500 million in a single week.
Buying high is the business model, not a failure of it. These firms turn share sales into coins, and shares sell best when coins are rising.
What the Three Firms Bought
Strive, run by chief executive Matt Cole, added 1,800 bitcoin (BTC) at an average of $79,431. Its stack reached 23,156 BTC, worth about $1.83 billion on Monday.
The filing shows the mechanism plainly, after Strive issued 3,579,147 new Class A shares that week, and its cash still climbed $11.6 million to $183.5 million.
BitMine is playing a different game. Its 53,501 ether (ETH) marked a 65th consecutive week of buying, a streak running back to June 2025.
Yield is the distinction, given BitMine has staked 5,067,309 ETH, or 86% of the pile, through MAVAN, its American validator network.
Chairman Tom Lee projects $335 million to $390 million a year from that. The company now holds 4.9% of ether supply, leaving it 133,888 tokens short of the 5% target Lee set.
MicroStrategy was the third buyer. Its 4,603 coins ended a 10-week pause, and unlike BitMine it publishes an average cost per coin, currently $75,412.
ETF Money Turned Before the Treasuries Did
So why now? The answer starts with fund flows. US spot bitcoin funds absorbed more than $3.3 billion in August, according to SoSoValue data. In June they bled $4.5 billion.
Ether funds traced the same arc, adding roughly $1.75 billion after two months of withdrawals. Prices answered, and Bitcoin climbed 25.7% over the month and ether rose 33.3%.
That sequence is the engine, seeing as fund demand lifts coins, coins lift the treasury stocks, and selling those stocks buys more coins.
What Else Changed in August
Crypto funds drew $3.2 billion in inflows last week, marking their largest weekly intake since October 2025, according to Bank of America. This suggests growing optimism in the market.
One popular story says money fled a wobbling AI bubble, but the calendar disagrees. July did that damage, where the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell 20.6% and Korea’s KOSPI shed 22%. August was kinder, with the Nasdaq 100 up 4.2%.
The rotation shows elsewhere, as foreign investors pulled 10.17 trillion won from Korean equities in August. Volumes on Upbit, the country’s largest exchange, jumped roughly eightfold.
America also helped, after President Donald Trump pressed Congress on August 19 to pass the CLARITY Act, and a Senate vote is expected on September 15.
In tandem, the Treasury also widened long-dated bond buybacks that day, from $2 billion to at least $4 billion per operation. That relief proved thin. The 30-year yield dipped to 5.19% before settling back at 5.25%.
Bitcoin traded near $78,818 on Monday. What halts these companies is not a falling coin price. It is a closed financing window.
The post Wall Street Crypto Treasuries Are Buying Bitcoin and Ethereum Again. Why? appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
The Stablecoin Race Could Make Bank Loans More Expensive
Stablecoins could make borrowing more expensive. That was the warning from Bank for International Settlements chief Pablo Hernández de Cos on August 28, as banks expand into digital money.
These digital assets are becoming an awkward asset class for banks. Because it’s almost killing their business model and forcing them to introduce new products.
The stablecoin market now holds roughly $304 billion, including about $183 billion in Tether and $74 billion in USDC. Federal Reserve researchers describe these tokens as potential competitors to traditional transaction accounts.
Arthur Firstov, Chief Business Officer at Mercuryo, told BeInCrypto why that matters.
“Stablecoins stopped being a crypto product and became a payments product. For years banks could wave it off as ‘crypto infrastructure’ – that’s a much harder line to hold when stablecoins are being used for payments, treasury, cross-border settlement, cards, merchant payouts, and institutional settlement. At that point they’re competing directly with one of the most valuable products a bank has: the transaction account.”
Banks are responding. A Federal Reserve survey in September 2025 found roughly half of respondents were prioritizing growth in at least one stablecoin or digital-asset area over the following three years.
What Happens to the Deposit?
J.P. Morgan’s JPM Coin represents a bank deposit on a blockchain. Société Générale-FORGE’s CoinVertible is a MiCA-regulated stablecoin backed by segregated collateral. Similar technology carries different promises to customers.
Nitin Gaur, Head of Institutions at Nethermind, explains the distinction.
“The interesting question stopped being whether a bank can issue and became what a bank is issuing. A tokenized deposit and a bank-issued stablecoin are two different liabilities with different legal character, different capital treatment, different insurance status and different settlement properties.”
A tokenized deposit remains bank funding. Under the US GENIUS Act, payment stablecoins require at least one-to-one backing with eligible reserves, such as cash or short-dated Treasuries. Treasury proposed implementation rules on August 17.
Gaur describes what that can mean for a bank’s balance sheet.
“A stablecoin issued under a GENIUS pathway is not a deposit. It is a payment instrument backed by segregated reserves the issuer cannot lend against. When a treasurer moves a hundred million from a demand deposit into the bank’s own coin, the bank has converted a funding source into a matched, non-lendable reserve pool,” Gaur said.
The wider effect depends on where reserves end up. Money deposited back at banks can still provide funding, although it may be more concentrated and quicker to leave.
Adrian Wall, Managing Director of the Digital Sovereignty Alliance, identifies the risk.
“If stablecoin adoption ultimately shifts funding away from bank deposits rather than recycling those funds back into the banking system, banks could face higher funding costs and potentially less capacity to extend credit.”
Payments Beyond Banking Hours
Customers already have reasons to use these products. In July, Citi reported a dollar payment from London to Thailand over a US holiday weekend, using its tokenized-deposit service alongside round-the-clock clearing.
Western Union launched USDPT in May, with Anchorage Digital Bank issuing the stablecoin on Solana.
The models are growing at different scales. J.P. Morgan reports around $7 billion in daily activity across Kinexys products. CoinVertible reported €156.6 million of euro tokens and $12.55 million of dollar tokens outstanding on August 31.
Those figures measure transaction volume and circulating supply respectively, so they cannot establish which model is winning.
37 Banks, One Coin
As more banks enter, separate coins could leave money scattered across smaller pools, with users having to exchange one bank’s token for another. Connecting the technology does not guarantee conversion at face value during market stress.
Europe’s Qivalis has assembled 37 banks across 15 countries around a planned euro stablecoin. It targets a launch in the second half of 2026, subject to regulatory authorization.
Ernesto Olmedo Pereira, Head of Strategy & DeFi at Qivalis, says sharing the currency is deliberate.
“If every bank launches its own token, you get dozens of thin, incompatible pools instead of one deep, liquid euro instrument. Qivalis, an independent company backed by 37 banks, exists precisely because the banks behind it decided to build one shared, interoperable euro rail together rather than compete with 37 separate ones.”
Banks could then compete through services surrounding that money, such as foreign exchange and corporate lending. The shared coin would carry payments between them.
Qivalis’s launch will test whether that cooperation can attract regular business beyond its founding banks.
Customers need money they can use across banking relationships. Banks will have to show that the services sold around those payments justify any higher cost of funding their loans.
The post The Stablecoin Race Could Make Bank Loans More Expensive appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Lazarus moves $30M through Hyperliquid as US talks advance
Wallets linked to North Korea’s Lazarus Group have sold more than $30 million in Bitcoin through Hyperliquid over three weeks as U.S. officials and Payward explore regulated access to the platform.
Summary
- Lazarus-linked wallets sold more than $30 million in Bitcoin through Hyperliquid, Arkham data showed.
- The wallets used the proceeds to buy Ethereum and Solana before transferring the assets to exchanges.
- Payward is reportedly discussing a structure that could offer selected Hyperliquid perpetuals to U.S. traders.
- Hyperliquid has processed $5.19 trillion in cumulative perpetual trading volume, according to DefiLlama.
Lazarus-linked wallets convert Bitcoin into ETH and SOL
Arkham blockchain data, wallets associated with the North Korean state-sponsored Lazarus Group sold more than $30 million in Bitcoin on Hyperliquid during the past three weeks.
The wallets used proceeds from the Bitcoin sales to purchase Ethereum and Solana before sending the assets to centralized exchanges, including Kraken, LBank, and KuCoin, according to the blockchain analysis. Crypto investigator ZachXBT first identified the addresses in 2024, while Arkham later labeled them as connected to Lazarus.
Public blockchain records show transfers between addresses but do not reveal who controls the receiving exchange accounts. CoinDesk said it could not identify the account holders or determine whether the exchanges knew about the reported source of the funds.
Kraken said compliance sits at the center of its operations and that it continuously monitors blockchain activity with support from analytics providers. According to the exchange, its controls are designed to identify and block assets connected to sanctioned wallets before they reach the platform.
LBank said it uses industry-standard compliance tools for continuous monitoring. The exchange described illicit transfers across platforms, blockchains and jurisdictions as an industry problem that no single company can independently detect or resolve.
KuCoin said it could not confirm the reported activity without reviewing the underlying wallet data. The exchange also cautioned that public blockchain records do not show every step taken after assets arrive at a centralized platform, including account restrictions, regulatory reports and other risk controls.
Hyperliquid activity raises US sanctions questions
The reported transfers carry a direct U.S. angle because the Treasury Department has sanctioned Lazarus Group and identified it as a cyber organization controlled by North Korea’s government.
U.S. authorities have linked Lazarus to several digital-asset thefts, including the $625 million Ronin Network attack in 2022. As previously reported by crypto.news, former Defense Secretary Mark Esper recently cited North Korean hacking groups while arguing that regulated domestic crypto markets could give U.S. law enforcement better access to customer and transaction records.
Using a decentralized venue can complicate enforcement because Hyperliquid allows users to connect a wallet and trade without opening a traditional brokerage account. The protocol’s public blockchain still records transactions, allowing firms such as Arkham to trace transfers between labeled addresses.
The presence of a sanctioned actor’s assets on a decentralized platform does not establish that Hyperliquid assisted the activity or knew who controlled the wallets. CoinDesk’s report also did not establish that Kraken, LBank or KuCoin credited the transferred assets to unrestricted customer accounts.
For U.S. regulators, any plan to offer Hyperliquid-linked products domestically would need to address sanctions screening, customer identification and account-level controls. Wallet checks can identify previously labeled addresses, but funds may pass through several assets or addresses before arriving at another venue.
A recent Hyperliquid testnet deployment showed how a permissioned version of its infrastructure might operate. In August, a deployer using Kraken’s name whitelisted 10 wallets and tested controls for canceling orders, reducing positions, and moving collateral.
Neither Kraken nor Hyperliquid had confirmed ownership of that deployment when the report appeared. Because Hyperliquid’s testnet permits outside deployments, the Kraken name alone did not prove that the exchange created or operated it.
Payward discusses regulated Hyperliquid access
At the same time, Bloomberg reported that Kraken parent Payward is in advanced discussions with Hyperliquid Labs over offering selected perpetual contracts to American traders through Bitnomial, its CFTC-regulated derivatives business.
People familiar with the talks told Bloomberg that Payward had presented the Commodity Futures Trading Commission with an outline of the proposed structure. Any agreement would still require regulatory approval, while the financial terms remain unknown. Payward and Hyperliquid Labs declined to comment to Bloomberg.
President Donald Trump brought the possible U.S. entry into public view during an Aug. 19 White House event. Referring to CFTC Chair Michael Selig, Trump said he understood that the regulator was working to bring Hyperliquid into the United States in a “fully compliant and legal fashion.”
A Payward arrangement would give eligible U.S. customers access through a registered operator rather than through Hyperliquid’s permissionless interface. Commodity derivatives offered to American retail traders generally must use CFTC-regulated entities, and wallet screening alone does not replace exchange, clearing, and brokerage requirements.
Payward already has the regulatory infrastructure needed to operate in the domestic derivatives market. The company completed its Bitnomial purchase in May after agreeing to pay as much as $550 million in cash and stock.
The acquisition gave Payward control of a designated contract market, derivatives clearing organization and futures commission merchant. Together, the three registrations cover trading, clearing and brokerage services under CFTC oversight.
Kraken then launched regulated perpetuals for eligible U.S. customers in June. The service allows supported users to trade spot, margin, traditional futures and perpetual futures through Kraken Pro while using Bitnomial’s regulated structure.
Hyperliquid leads decentralized perpetual trading
Hyperliquid operates its principal exchange through HyperCore, an on-chain trading system that handles order matching, margin calculations and liquidations. Users trade from connected crypto wallets, while the platform’s main permissionless interface does not require a conventional brokerage account.
Perpetual futures differ from dated futures because they have no fixed expiry. Funding payments between long and short traders help keep contract prices close to the value of their underlying assets, allowing positions to remain open as long as margin requirements are met.
DefiLlama data showed Hyperliquid had processed approximately $5.19 trillion in cumulative perpetual volume at the time of writing. Its perpetual markets recorded about $60.44 billion in seven-day volume and $204.95 billion during the previous 30 days.
Open interest stood at roughly $13.3 billion, representing the notional value of outstanding perpetual positions. DefiLlama also recorded more than $32.6 billion in cumulative liquidations on the platform, including approximately $2.25 billion over the preceding 30 days.
Beyond markets operated by the core protocol, Hyperliquid Improvement Proposal 3 allows outside builders to launch independent perpetual exchanges using HyperCore. Deployers select their contracts, collateral, leverage limits, funding settings, and price sources after staking 500,000 HYPE.
Validators can slash the stake when a deployer manipulates an oracle or violates market rules. HIP-3 operators receive half of the trading fees generated by their markets, while newer permission tools tested on the network could let individual deployers restrict access to approved wallets.
Crypto World
Kalshi Is Imposing Its First-Ever Lifetime Ban on Former Rep. George Santos. Here’s Why
In addition to permanently banning Santos from Kalshi, the company also levied a fine of $71,356 against him.
Santos responded to the news on Monday, saying in a post on X: “Hey @Kalshi thanks for the lifetime ban from your gambling platform. Let’s see how much longer you guys are around for.”
In another post on X, Santos alleged that Kalshi “violates its own notices and deadlines,” accusing the company of giving him a 30-day notice on Aug. 7 but announcing the lifetime ban ahead of the deadline.
Robert DeNault, head of enforcement at Kalshi, said on social media that the company was temporarily suspending other individuals over allegations of insider trading. He added, though, that Santos was the only person who didn’t cooperate with Kalshi’s investigation into the alleged violations.
Kalshi’s penalties against Santos come after the Commodity Futures Trading Commission fined the former Congressman more than $35,000 in July related to trading on his attendance at Trump’s State of the Union address. The commission alleged that Santos engaged “in manipulative activity in an event contract — whose underlying event Santos controlled — designed to affect the price of the swap.” Santos didn’t admit to the allegations, but he agreed to pay the penalties.
Crypto World
Metaplanet moves 4,800 BTC worth $377M to Coinbase

The Japanese Bitcoin treasury company has transferred 10,270 BTC to Coinbase Prime this week, an amount equal to more than 29% of its reported holdings.
Crypto World
Tom Lee Says September Crash Fear Could Trigger a Stock Rally, Push Bitcoin 2x
Fundstrat’s Tom Lee is treating September’s crash fear as a contrarian signal. He says a market this braced for weakness could rally instead, carrying Bitcoin (BTC) toward $150,000.
Lee has not dropped his correction call. He has moved it, pointing to the September 15 Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting as the moment that decides direction.
The September Fear Lee Is Betting Against
The fear has an evidence base, because across 10 US midterm election years since 1986, the average stock market low landed on September 2.
Those lows followed an average slide of 16.77% from the prior high. That history is what makes the current dangerous September pattern worth watching.
This year adds a hawkish twist. Three Fed presidents voted for a rate hike in July, not a cut. Chair Kevin Warsh then used his first Jackson Hole speech to put inflation first. Six-month PCE inflation was running at 4.1%.
Bonds tell the same story, with the 30-year Treasury yield has held above 5%, well clear of an effective fed funds rate near 3.63%.
“I’m actually now thinking because of all this mounting concern, the market might surprise us to the upside,” Lee said, suggesting he sees a crowd leaning too far one way.
Follow us on X to get the latest news as it happens
Why September 15 Decides Direction
Lee spent August expecting those worries to converge and cost equities roughly 10%. Weak seasonality, hike talk and the AI data center backlash all pointed the same way.
His base case now is that policymakers neither hike nor cut.
“If the Fed doesn’t cut, doesn’t hike, which is our base case, I think actually the markets could rally very strongly,” he added in a CNBC interview.
Should the pullback slip into October, Lee thinks it could start above 8,000 on the S&P 500. The low might land near 7,300.
Bitcoin Could Reach $150,000, Tom Lee Says
Bitcoin’s current price level sits near $78,875, up only 0.3% over 24 hours. BTC still trades about 37% below its record from October 2025.
Lee calls the past year a shallow crypto winter caused by forced selling, not broken fundamentals. Very few investors still hold crypto, he argues.
He counts four catalysts.
- Crypto led all macro assets in the third quarter
- The four-year crypto cycle ends next month
- Korean traders are rotating back from AI stocks
- The CLARITY Act, a US market structure bill setting which regulator oversees digital assets, could pass this year
Rising institutional crypto ETF inflows reinforce his view that larger buyers are positioning for a strong fourth quarter.
Lee still treats $150,000 as possible for Bitcoin, alongside an S&P 500 above 8,200. For Bitcoin, that constitutes a 1.9 times gain, or about 2x. Both rest on earnings estimates that keep climbing.
Fresh jobs and inflation prints land before the meeting. Lee says weak readings on both would stop traders pricing a hike at all.
The post Tom Lee Says September Crash Fear Could Trigger a Stock Rally, Push Bitcoin 2x appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Growing TIME’s AI Coverage
TIME Editor in Chief Sam Jacobs and Executive Editor Alex Altman sent the following memo to staff on Monday:
Dear all,
TIME aspires to lead in the coverage of the remaking of the world by artificial intelligence.
Last week, we released our annual TIME100 AI list, led by Ayesha Javed, and an exclusive cover story about OpenAI drawing on unprecedented access inside the company. Today, we’re announcing a significant investment in our AI and technology coverage.
In just a few weeks, we’ll relaunch In the Loop, our AI newsletter, with a new format. Later this year, we plan to expand it to five days a week, giving readers a daily, essential briefing on the industry and the influences shaping it. Next year, we’ll build on the success of this year’s AI events in Davos, Cannes, New York and San Francisco by launching our first-ever TIME100 AI Leadership Forum in Washington, D.C. We are exploring additional opportunities to convene the world’s most influential AI leaders internationally too.
To support our continued commitment to this work, we’re pleased to announce the following staff changes.
Naomi Nix joined us Aug. 17 as a Senior Correspondent based in Washington. Naomi comes to TIME after four years covering Meta and the broader social media industry for The Washington Post, where her reporting focused on how powerful platforms shape American democracy and global politics. Before The Post, she covered tech lobbying and corporate influence for Bloomberg News, and got her start covering beats including education and City Hall for The 74, The Star-Ledger and the Chicago Tribune. At TIME, Naomi will contribute to In the Loop, write ambitious features and investigations, and report across platforms with a focus on policy, regulation, tech’s political influence, and the nexus between Silicon Valley and the nation’s capital.
Manisha Ganguly joins us as a Senior Correspondent based in London, starting Nov. 1. Manisha is a decorated investigative journalist and a pioneer in using open-source intelligence to expose war crimes. She joins us from The Guardian, where she was investigations correspondent and led visual forensics; she previously built out open-source investigative workflows at the BBC. She holds the first PhD awarded for research into OSINT’s impact on investigative journalism, from the University of Westminster. Manisha is currently writing her first book. At TIME, she will pursue investigations and features on AI and national security, profile key leaders and policymakers, and contribute to In the Loop and our coverage across platforms.
Harry Booth, who joined TIME in 2024, becomes Staff Writer and will relocate to San Francisco in January to anchor our coverage of the world’s most important AI hub. Since joining the London bureau, Harry has been a force behind our TIME100 AI, Philanthropy, and Climate franchises and our Best Inventions coverage. He co-authored our March cover story on Anthropic’s rise and its standoff with the Trump Administration, based on reporting inside the company. Harry will lead our beat coverage of the AI boom on the ground in the Bay Area, covering the frontier labs, hyperscalers, and startups defining this moment.
The additions of Naomi and Manisha, and Harry’s expanded role in San Francisco, will strengthen a team that already includes two agenda-setting correspondents on the AI beat: Billy Perrigo, based in London, and Andrew Chow, based in Washington. All will work with Senior Editor Dayana Sarkisova, who has done a terrific job leading our global beat coverage of AI leaders, companies, and their impact on society. Charlie Campbell, reporting to Gemma Fox, will continue to contribute greatly to our AI coverage from Asia.
In recent years, this global team has brought readers inside companies like Anthropic, OpenAI, Google, Nvidia, and Waymo; broken robotics scoops showing what the next wave of automation looks like; and reported on the global data center boom and the political backlash it has provoked, taking readers from a remote valley above the Arctic Circle in Norway to frontline communities in Tennessee and Texas. Last December, we named “The Architects of AI” our Person of the Year.
Assembling this team reflects TIME’s commitment to covering the most consequential story of our time with the ambition it demands—across every platform, through access and accountability, and careful scrutiny of AI’s promise and perils. Please join us in welcoming Naomi and Manisha, and in congratulating Harry on his upcoming move to San Francisco.
Sam and Alex
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