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The Best Trade of the Week Wasn’t Crypto or Gold, It Was Your Morning Coffee

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The Best Trade of the Week Wasn’t Crypto or Gold, It Was Your Morning Coffee

One of the best trades of the week, was not Bitcoin or gold. It was sitting in your kitchen.The arabica coffee price jumped 16.19% on Monday, its biggest single-day gain this century, closing at a 5.5-month high. Robusta contracts climbed 8.83% to a five-month peak in the same session.

The move lifted coffee futures roughly 43% above their early June low near 239 cents per pound. Harvest delays in Brazil, shrinking exchange stocks, and El Nino risks fueled the rally.

Neither the crypto majors nor gold’s record run came anywhere near that one-day move.

Why the Coffee Price Is Surging After Brazil Harvest Delays

According to Barchart, September arabica gained 48.75 cents on Monday, its largest one-day advance since at least 2000. The spark came from Brazil, the world’s biggest coffee producer.

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Consultancy Safras & Mercado reported that Brazil’s 2026/27 harvest was 52% complete as of July 1. That lags last year’s 60% and the five-year average of 55%.

Weather adds pressure. Somar Meteorologia recorded no rain in Minas Gerais, Brazil’s top arabica region, in the week through July 5. Meanwhile, forecaster Rural Clima warned that rains expected in mid-July could prove “detrimental” to crops.

Inventories point the same way. ICE arabica stocks fell to a 2.25-year low of 366,756 bags on Monday. In addition, a stronger Brazilian real discourages exports, and farmers are reportedly withholding beans.

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El Nino threatens next season too. NOAA sees a 67% probability of a record “Super El Nino,” which could disrupt the September and October flowering that shapes Brazil’s 2026/27 crop.

The bearish case has not vanished, however. The USDA still projects a record 71.9 million-bag Brazilian crop, and Rabobank recently raised its arabica surplus estimate to 9.5 million bags. Those figures pushed arabica to a 19-month low just four weeks ago.

The reversal since then suggests the market abandoned that surplus story. Coffee also joined a broader commodity bid, with gold holding above $4,000 per ounce this month.

Coffee Futures Break Out of a Descending Channel on the Weekly Chart

The weekly chart shows a clean breakout from the descending parallel channel that guided prices lower from the October 2025 top. Price escaped the pattern in late June and now trades near 343 cents.

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The rally has already pierced the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at 339.5 cents. That level derives from the move between the June low at 238.7 and the October 2025 high at 440.26.

Coffee Futures weekly chart / Source: Tradingview

The next barrier stands at the 0.618 retracement of 363.26 cents. It overlaps a supply zone between 363 and 375 that rejected prices repeatedly in 2025. Therefore, this area remains the most important long-term resistance.

Rising weekly volume accompanied the breakout, which suggests genuine buying pressure rather than a thin short squeeze. If bulls stall, the reclaimed zone between 308 and 318 cents should provide first support.

Daily Chart and RSI Breakout Put 370 Cents in Sight

The daily chart confirms the momentum. Price broke above the March 24 swing high at 318.8 cents, a level that coincides with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement. The year’s largest volume bars accompanied the move.

The next target sits at 370.65 cents, the swing high from late January. It rests just above the 0.618 retracement, creating a tight resistance cluster between 363 and 370. On Tuesday, the contract cooled 2.4% to around 341 cents, still holding the 0.5 level.

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Coffee Futures daily chart
Coffee Futures daily chart / Source: Tradingview

Momentum indicators tell a similar story. The daily RSI broke above a descending resistance line that capped it from February 2025, with rejections in August and September 2025 validating that trendline. The indicator now reads near 75.

Such a reading signals strong bullish conviction but also overbought conditions. Historically, similar levels preceded short-term cooling phases, in line with Tuesday’s pullback. Recent positioning data already showed capital rotating into hard assets before the breakout.

Coffee daily RSI chart
Coffee daily RSI chart / Source: Tradingview

The structure stays bullish while the coffee price holds above 315 to 319 cents on a closing basis. A daily close back below that zone would mark the record rally as a squeeze, while a break through 363 to 370 would open the road to 397 and the psychological 400 cents.

For investors comparing commodities into year-end, coffee just forced its way onto the list.

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BoE Governor Rejects Claim Farage Lobbying Influenced CBDC Policy

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Crypto Breaking News

Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey has denied that lobbying or political pressure from Nigel Farage affected the central bank’s thinking on a potential UK central bank digital currency (CBDC), according to a report by The Guardian. Bailey’s remarks reportedly come in a letter obtained by the publication after a meeting between the two in which cryptocurrencies were among the topics discussed.

At the same time, the Bank of England continues its work on the proposed “digital pound,” stressing that it is still in the design stage and that no decision has been made about whether to introduce it. The juxtaposition of ongoing CBDC research with intensifying scrutiny of political figures underscores how UK crypto policy is increasingly intertwined with public trust and governance questions.

Key takeaways

  • Bailey reportedly said the BoE has mechanisms to recognize attempts to influence policymaking and that no policy changes followed any interventions by Farage.
  • Farage, a long-standing CBDC critic, resigned his parliamentary seat this week amid reports about accepted “gifts” connected to the crypto industry.
  • The Bank of England reiterated that it has not decided whether to launch a digital pound and that any move would require further analysis and public consultation.
  • Earlier this year, the BoE launched a six-month pilot exploring tokenized asset settlement using central bank money.

Bailey denies Farage influence on CBDC policy

In its Wednesday report, The Guardian said it obtained a letter written by Bailey following his meeting with Farage. The governor’s message, as described by the outlet, indicates that Bailey believes the BoE is “able to spot” efforts to sway central bank decision-making.

Bailey also reportedly addressed what (if anything) changed after the meeting. He wrote that it was a discussion covering “a range of topics, including cryptocurrencies,” and said he was “happy to confirm that no policy changes have taken place as a result of interventions” by Farage.

The reported denial arrives amid broader political controversy around Farage. Earlier this week, Farage resigned his parliamentary seat, with reports citing claims that he accepted “gifts” from individuals with ties to the crypto industry. Cointelegraph has previously covered the resignation in connection with those allegations.

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Separately, Farage has maintained that he did not break the law, according to an X livestream in which he stated he had “not broken the law in any way at all,” as referenced in his post.

BoE maintains that the digital pound is not decided

While the political noise grows, the Bank of England’s stance on CBDC development remains consistent: it is exploring the digital pound without committing to implementation.

In a recent update, the central bank said that “no decision has been made on whether to introduce a digital pound.” The BoE also emphasized that any future launch would depend on further work, including analysis and public consultation, according to the bank’s digital pound update referenced in the article.

This matters for markets and users because CBDCs—unlike purely speculative technology projects—depend heavily on institutional design choices and regulatory guardrails. Even when a central bank is actively experimenting, it can still decide not to proceed after weighing privacy, financial stability, and operational feasibility.

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Pilot work on tokenized settlement continues

The BoE’s digital pound timeline remains tied to experimentation rather than deployment. Earlier this year, the Bank launched a six-month pilot aimed at understanding how tokenized assets could be settled using central bank money.

As described in the source, the pilot involved 18 companies and was designed to test practical components of a future framework for on-chain settlement—part of a broader push to modernize UK financial infrastructure. Earlier coverage from Cointelegraph noted the BoE’s decision to select Chainlink for its synchronization lab to support the work.

For investors and builders, this type of pilot is significant because it can clarify which technical approaches are viable when the “asset” being moved is paired with central bank settlement rather than commercial bank money. It also helps explain how tokenized systems might interact with existing market practices—an area where many real-world asset tokenization efforts have struggled to translate concepts into resilient infrastructure.

At the same time, the BoE’s public messaging leaves room for uncertainty. Research pilots can inform future decisions, but they do not automatically translate into a CBDC launch. The key question moving forward will be whether the BoE concludes that the digital pound’s benefits outweigh the risks and whether the public consultation process produces sufficient confidence.

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Political scrutiny widens beyond CBDC debate

The report detailing Bailey’s denial comes as the UK government’s crypto-adjacent political controversy expands beyond CBDC opinions. The Guardian also reported that the UK’s National Crime Agency is investigating transactions involving other senior Reform UK figures over suspected money laundering.

That broader context is relevant to how CBDC narratives may develop in the UK. Even if policymakers insist that central bank decisions are made independently, public trust can be affected when high-profile political figures are connected to allegations involving the crypto industry. This can influence how comfortable lawmakers and the public feel about the governance and oversight of any future digital currency.

What to watch next is whether the BoE provides more detail on how it evaluates influence attempts and governance risks in its CBDC process, and how the ongoing investigations and Farage-related claims evolve alongside the Bank’s experimental work toward the digital pound’s potential role in the UK financial system.

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Bitcoin Slides to $60K as Traders Probe Causes of Renewed Selloff

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Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin is once again trading under pressure as broader markets shift toward risk-off positioning amid rising geopolitical uncertainty and higher energy prices. On Wednesday, BTC fell about 3.5% after new developments related to the US–Iran conflict pushed Brent crude higher and renewed stress in parts of global bond markets.

While some of the equity damage appeared to stabilize later in the session, Bitcoin’s inability to rebound—after failing to reclaim the $64,500 area earlier in the week—has traders focusing on factors specific to crypto. The latest concern: how continued spot selling from MicroStrategy’s corporate arm, Strategy (MSTR US), could weigh on sentiment, especially as the market watches the $60,000 support zone.

Key takeaways

  • BTC dropped roughly 3.5% on Wednesday as geopolitical risk drove oil prices higher and pressured broader risk appetite.
  • Brent crude rose to around $74 (from about $68 the prior week), increasing inflation concerns and reducing the odds of near-term Fed rate cuts.
  • Traders are recalibrating expectations after Strategy’s reported $216 million Bitcoin sales, with extra attention on whether those sales fall outside its main Monetization Program.
  • Concerns about tighter global regulatory posture—highlighted by policy signals from India—add a second layer of downside risk for crypto sentiment.
  • With sentiment fragile, a retest of the $60,000 support level is increasingly seen as plausible.

Geopolitics, oil, and why “higher-for-longer” risk matters for BTC

The immediate catalyst for Wednesday’s broad de-risking was the renewed escalation between the US and Iran, which also fed into energy markets. The article notes Brent crude rose to about $74 after the official breakdown of a US–Iran memorandum of understanding. US President Donald Trump said the deal was “over” after US strikes targeted Iranian sites in response to vessel attacks.

Higher oil prices can quickly translate into wider inflation risk. That matters for Bitcoin in a practical way: if inflation worries strengthen, the market tends to push back expectations for Federal Reserve easing. In turn, risk assets often face less support from liquidity expectations.

The direction of rate expectations appears to have shifted. According to the CME FedWatch Tool referenced in the article, traders were pricing roughly 69% odds of interest rate hikes by September—up from 42% about a month earlier. With Bitcoin still not widely treated as a hedge in the way traditional investors sometimes expect gold to function, tighter monetary expectations tend to weigh more directly on BTC demand.

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Bitcoin lags the rebound: a sign of extra crypto-specific pressure

Earlier in the week, Bitcoin struggled near the $62,000 region and failed to reclaim the $64,500 level on Monday. The piece highlights that the Nasdaq-100, a tech-heavy benchmark, was also in a downtrend around that time, linking Bitcoin’s underperformance to broader risk behavior.

However, the key difference on Wednesday was that markets later appeared to stabilize, while Bitcoin still couldn’t mount a durable bounce. The article interprets that divergence as evidence that additional forces—beyond just equities—are contributing to the current weakness.

Those forces center on two themes: the possibility of continued Bitcoin selling pressure from Strategy, and the perception that global regulation could tighten further rather than ease.

Strategy’s $216 million sales renew selling fears

Strategy (MSTR US) disclosed Bitcoin sales totaling about $216 million on Monday, according to coverage referenced in the article from Cointelegraph. The sell size itself drew attention, but the timing and structure of those sales raised additional questions among traders.

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The piece notes that many investors were surprised to learn the sales took place outside Strategy’s core $1.25 billion Monetization Program. The cited 8-K filing states that the program accounts only for proceeds used to fund the company’s cash reserves.

That distinction matters because it changes how the market models future flows. If selling is occurring outside a clearly defined monetization framework, investors may struggle to predict whether supply pressure is temporary or could persist as Strategy manages cash needs and debt obligations.

The article also points to Strategy’s financing commitments: it cites total annual dividends of $1.76 billion and notes the company holds more than $3.8 billion in convertible debt, with the earliest call date before April 2027. Together, those elements reinforce the idea that Strategy’s treasury management could continue to affect BTC supply and price sensitivity—particularly during periods of macro stress.

Regulatory signals and global uncertainty add to downside risk

Macro pressure isn’t the only negative input. The article also highlights regulatory developments outside the United States, citing signals from India. It points to documents described as showing India’s central bank backing policies that lean toward prohibiting crypto activities, including barring banks from any exposure to virtual assets intended to safeguard financial stability. It also notes that the India tax department highlighted risks associated with evasion.

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For Bitcoin traders, the relevance is straightforward: when oversight expectations rise across major jurisdictions, market participants often discount risk premia more aggressively. Even if policy changes take time to translate into enforceable outcomes, the sentiment impact can show up quickly in trading behavior.

Layer on top of that renewed economic uncertainty connected to geopolitical decisions at the NATO summit—along with stress in parts of the bond market, particularly Japan as described in the article—and the result is a market that appears less willing to absorb negative BTC-specific headlines.

What to watch around $60,000

With sentiment described as fragile and multiple headwinds converging—monetary expectations shifting toward tighter conditions, renewed focus on Strategy’s ongoing Bitcoin liquidity needs, and regulatory tightening signals—traders are increasingly treating the $60,000 support level as the next key test. The near-term question is whether macro pressure eases enough for BTC to reclaim momentum, or whether continued selling risk and tightening policy expectations push another move below that threshold.

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ADA Price Plunges 5% After Another Cardano Governance Mess

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Cardano (ADA) Price Performance: Source: BeInCrypto

The price of Cardano (ADA) plunged roughly 5% in 24 hours after the founding entity EMURGO stepped down from the Pentad governance group. The company said the SecondFi exploit forced it to redirect its resources.

Here is why EMURGO left, how the hack triggered the move, and what it means for Cardano’s governance.

What EMURGO’s Exit From the Pentad Means

The Pentad is Cardano’s key governance body, a collaborative structure that guides strategic decisions across the ecosystem (includes Input Output Global, the Cardano Foundation, Intersect, the Midnight Foundation, and EMURGO).

EMURGO, one of Cardano’s three founding entities, confirmed on X that it formally notified relevant parties of its decision to exit. The reason ties directly to the SecondFi exploit. EMURGO said its immediate priority is now the SecondFi recovery process for affected users.

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As a result, the company chose to concentrate its resources where they are needed most.

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The hack was significant in scale. The SecondFi exploit reportedly involved around $2.4 million and impacted hundreds of wallet users. Furthermore, EMURGO framed the departure as reflecting the accountability standard it holds as a founding entity.

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Recovery efforts are already underway. EMURGO activated a quarantine mode this week, allowing users to check affected addresses and submit tickets. Moreover, a secure wallet export feature is planned for next week to enable safe asset transfers.

“Our intention is that next week, the secure wallet export will be deployed to help affected users safely move assets to a new wallet. On asset recovery, we continue to make progress with the recovery tool, initiated through a portal, that keeps users in control while protecting their information,” EMURGO said on X.

EMURGO is among the founding entities alongside Input Output and the Cardano Foundation. Consequently, its exit raises questions about how responsibilities will be redistributed across Cardano’s evolving decentralized governance model going forward.

ADA Drops 5% From a Mix of Bearish Catalysts

ADA’s price reflects sentiment, and a founding entity leaving governance over a major hack can quickly shake investor confidence. Market observers note that EMURGO’s SecondFi-driven announcement directly contributed to the negative mood surrounding the token.

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The numbers show the stress clearly. ADA trades near $0.1665 with a market cap of around $6.2 billion, according to BeInCrypto data. Furthermore, trading volume surged above $340 million, signaling heightened activity as investors reacted quickly.

Cardano (ADA) Price Performance: Source: BeInCrypto
Cardano (ADA) Price Performance: Source: BeInCrypto

Broader market conditions also amplified the drop. Renewed US-Iran tensions rattled global risk appetite, pressuring crypto across the board. However, the timing of EMURGO’s SecondFi announcement appears to be the primary catalyst behind ADA’s steeper decline.

Community reactions have been mixed across social media. Some praised EMURGO for prioritizing the recovery of SecondFi. Meanwhile, others demanded greater transparency, including audits of past spending and clarity on Genesis ADA allocations.

Questions also emerged about EMURGO’s other roles. These include its wallet development work on Yoroi and its status as a Delegated Representative. Consequently, the exit reflects the growing pains of decentralized governance during a security crisis.

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Palantir (PLTR) Stock Tumbles 5% Amid Political Scrutiny Over Government Contracts Worth $2.2B

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PLTR Stock Card

Key Takeaways

  • Shares of Palantir closed approximately 4.8% lower at $127.88 on Wednesday, halting a seven-session rally that had driven the stock up 25%.
  • Concerns emerged following a Financial Times article discussing potential political opposition to Palantir’s government work from Democratic legislators.
  • Federal contract revenues reached approximately $2.2 billion in the twelve months since Trump’s presidential return, marking a 65% annual increase.
  • The stock continues to trade beneath both its 100-day and 200-day moving averages, maintaining a Death Cross pattern established in February.
  • Wall Street maintains a Buy consensus rating with a $174.10 average price target; the company’s next earnings release is projected for August 3.

Palantir Technologies (PLTR) experienced a significant decline Wednesday, ending a seven-session upward momentum. Shares retreated approximately 4.8% to close at $127.88, positioning the data analytics firm among the S&P 500’s weakest performers for the trading day.


PLTR Stock Card
Palantir Technologies Inc., PLTR

The downturn followed publication of a Financial Times piece highlighting internal company discussions and suggesting Democratic legislators might leverage subpoena authority to investigate Palantir’s federal government engagements should they reclaim House majority control.

DA Davidson’s Gil Luria spoke with Barron’s, attributing the price movement directly to the Financial Times coverage. Luria contested the political risk thesis, emphasizing that Palantir has maintained Defense Department relationships through five different administrations spanning both major political parties.

“Each successive administration has expanded its reliance on Palantir’s capabilities beyond what came before,” Luria noted.

The timing carries significance. PLTR had concluded Tuesday’s session precisely at its 50-day moving average near $134. Wednesday’s reversal indicates the stock encountered resistance at that technical threshold before retreating.

Palantir declined to provide commentary when contacted.

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Congressional Concerns and Federal Revenue Exposure

While political controversy surrounding Palantir isn’t unprecedented, the Financial Times piece elevated these concerns prominently. The company has faced ongoing criticism regarding its contracts with U.S. immigration authorities, defense entities, and involvement in Israel’s Gaza operations.

The heightened attention carries weight given the financial stakes involved. Federal contract revenues approached $2.2 billion during the twelve-month period following Trump’s presidential inauguration—representing a 65% year-over-year surge. Meanwhile, commercial segment revenues more than doubled during this timeframe.

Any material interruption to these government agreements would represent substantive business impact beyond mere reputational considerations.

Notably, investor Michael Burry has established a short position against PLTR, contending that Anthropic represents competitive pressure in the artificial intelligence domain. Chief Executive Alex Karp has countered this perspective, asserting that large-scale AI models generate challenges that Palantir’s solutions are specifically designed to address for enterprise clients.

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Technical Analysis of PLTR

The broader technical landscape remains challenging. PLTR currently trades 18.6% beneath its 200-day moving average of $157.31 and 7.9% under its 100-day moving average at $139.05. The Death Cross pattern—where the 50-day average crosses below the 200-day average—materialized in February and persists.

Year-to-date in 2026, Palantir shares have declined 29% and remain 39% off the all-time closing peak of $207.18 reached November 3, 2025.

The recent seven-day advance provided temporary respite. Following a June 25 trough at $107.27, PLTR rallied 25% across seven consecutive sessions. This momentum stemmed partially from an announced collaboration with Nvidia focused on developing specialized AI architectures for federal government applications, complemented by DA Davidson’s rating upgrade to Buy with a $175 price objective.

Wednesday’s retreat disrupted this positive trajectory.

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Investors now turn attention toward the company’s upcoming earnings announcement, anticipated for August 3. Analyst projections call for earnings per share of 33 cents, double the 16 cents reported in the year-ago quarter, alongside revenue expectations of $1.81 billion versus $1.00 billion previously.

Wall Street maintains a consensus Buy recommendation on the shares with an average twelve-month price target of $174.10.

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ESMA Reviews Crypto Custody Security Under EU Rules

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ESMA Reviews Crypto Custody Security Under EU Rules

The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA), a key EU regulator supporting the implementation of the Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework, is launching a dedicated process for reviewing crypto custody providers.

ESMA plans to conduct a common supervisory action (CSA) focused on the operational resilience of crypto-asset service providers (CASPs), with a specific emphasis on custody services, according to an official announcement on Wednesday.

“The CSA will assess the maturity of CASPs’ digital operational resilience frameworks in relation to custody activities,” ESMA said, adding that the reviews will focus on areas including key and storage management, alongside other operational risks.

The move comes shortly after the end of MiCA’s transition phase on July 1, prompting increased attention to how EU authorities will supervise compliance with the new framework, including potential enforcement questions.

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National regulators to conduct custody reviews

ESMA said the supervisory action will be conducted by national competent authorities (NCAs) across the EU, which will assess a risk-based sample of authorized CASPs.

The reviews will run from now through the first half of 2027, with regulators examining how companies handle custody-related operational risks.

In addition to reviewing key and storage management, NCAs are expected to assess areas such as governance structures, transaction controls, incident detection and response, and dependencies on external service providers.

Related: Belgian regulator flags 6 unauthorized crypto providers after MiCA deadline

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ESMA will later consolidate the findings into a final report to be submitted to its Board of Supervisors after the exercise concludes in the second half of 2027.

The review comes as some custody providers have stepped in to support crypto platforms adapting to Europe’s new regulatory environment.

Last month, crypto custody company BitGo launched a Europe-focused crypto-as-a-service platform aimed at helping platforms maintain access to the market while working through MiCA-related compliance requirements.

Magazine: How crypto laws changed in 2025 — and how they’ll change in 2026

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Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently.

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South Korea’s Toss Partners with Optimism to Test Won Stablecoins: Report

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South Korea's Toss Partners with Optimism to Test Won Stablecoins: Report

Viva Republica, the operator of South Korea-based mobile money transfer app Toss, reportedly signed a memorandum of understanding with blockchain company Optimism to test a Korean won-based stablecoin infrastructure for institutional payments.

The companies, along with privacy solutions provider Sunnyside Labs, will conduct a three-month proof of concept (PoC) using Optimism’s OP Stack and Sunnyside’s Privacy Boost protocol to develop a Korean won-based stablecoin and assess whether these technologies can be applied to domestic blockchain-based payment infrastructure for financial institutions, reported Yonhap News on Wednesday.

The PoC will explore whether financial institutions can control the settlement process, the feasibility of implementing know-your-customer (KYC) and anti-money laundering (AML) verification requirements and whether transactions can remain private on a public blockchain ledger.

Toss plans to use the three-month PoC as the foundation for building compliant stablecoin-based payment infrastructure in the country, according to the report.

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Cointelegraph has approached Toss for more details about the stablecoin pilot.

Toss app homepage. Source: Toss.im 

Optimism will provide the blockchain infrastructure, while Sunnyside Labs will provide the privacy-preserving technology to shield transfers. Sunnyside is a core developer for the Optimism Collective and has been building core OP Stack infrastructure.

Seoul-headquartered Toss was launched in 2015 and claims it has more than 30 million users on its mobile application.

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Related: Kiwoom eyes Bithumb stake as Korean brokerages push into crypto: Report

Payments giants test stablecoins for improved settlement

Toss’ PoC follows similar stablecoin-based initiatives from other large financial institutions in the country.

In late April, one of South Korea’s largest credit card providers, Shinhan Card, teamed with the Solana Foundation to test the commercial feasibility of stablecoin payments and the use of non-custodial wallets, after completing a joint pilot project earlier that month.

Shinhan Card said it hoped to eventually develop its own DeFi-linked services that implement blockchain oracles, a technology used to connect information in offchain and onchain environments.

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Late last year, payments giant Visa also launched USD Coin (USDC) settlement services for some US-based financial institutions on the Solana blockchain in one of the more advanced examples of stablecoin projects.

Other large payment providers exploring stablecoins for improved payments and settlement include Mastercard and South Korea’s BC Card.

Magazine: The biggest blockchain upgrades still to come in 2026

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Google Chrome Web Store To Block Prediction Market Extensions in 2026

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

Key Highlights

  • Chrome Web Store will prohibit prediction market extensions starting August 2026.
  • Real-money trading tools for outcome predictions will face enforcement measures.
  • Enhanced data privacy requirements mandate clearer user disclosures from developers.
  • Extension creators must report any modifications to data handling after launch.
  • Tools designed to circumvent AI safety mechanisms will be prohibited.

The Chrome Web Store will implement a comprehensive ban on prediction market extensions beginning August 1, 2026, according to revised developer guidelines announced by Google. These restrictions specifically target extensions facilitating real-money betting on future events while simultaneously introducing enhanced requirements for data transparency and expanding developer accountability.

Prediction Markets Join Chrome’s Restricted Category List

Google has designated prediction market extensions as prohibited items within its regulated goods and services framework. This categorization encompasses any tools enabling monetary transactions based on speculative outcomes. The decision effectively removes this entire class of applications from the approved extension marketplace.

The announcement arrives amid increasing regulatory oversight of prediction market operators. Polymarket and Kalshi have encountered heightened examination from state-level authorities regarding gambling-related issues. Multiple regulatory bodies contend these services function similarly to sports betting operations.

Google positioned this policy shift as a component of broader platform security enhancements. The technology company advised developers to audit their currently published extensions ahead of the enforcement deadline. Any extensions violating these guidelines after August 1, 2026, will be subject to removal from the Chrome Web Store.

Enhanced Data Privacy Standards For Extension Developers

Google has strengthened its Limited Use Policy governing user information collection. Extension developers are now restricted to gathering only data essential for their declared primary function. This means extensions cannot harvest user information for undisclosed or secondary purposes.

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The platform has simultaneously broadened mandatory disclosure obligations for publishers. Every instance of data collection must be transparently communicated to users, regardless of whether it directly supports the extension’s core functionality. Additionally, developers must notify users whenever data handling procedures are modified following initial installation.

These regulations impose significant new obligations on Chrome extension creators. Publishers must ensure that permissions, user notifications, and data practices remain consistent with their extension’s advertised purpose. Consequently, vague or overly broad data access requests may trigger compliance violations.

Restrictions On AI Safety Bypass Tools Implemented

Google has established an additional policy addressing extensions connected to AI-driven platforms. This regulation prohibits extensions specifically engineered to evade safety protocols or usage restrictions. It extends to tools that compromise protective features integrated into artificial intelligence products.

The company emphasized that these modifications aim to strengthen user confidence and platform reliability. Google seeks to ensure users maintain clear understanding of extension capabilities and data practices. The objective includes preventing the Chrome Web Store from hosting products that generate security vulnerabilities or regulatory complications.

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The prediction market prohibition establishes fresh parameters for developers working in evolving technology sectors. It simultaneously mirrors intensifying scrutiny surrounding event-based wagering and real-money forecasting applications. Google has provided developers until August 1, 2026, to either modify or withdraw non-compliant extensions.

 

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Judge Approves $1.5 Million Penalty for Elon Musk in Twitter SEC Case

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Twitter (TWTR) Stock Performance in March 2022. Source: TradingView

A federal judge has approved Elon Musk’s $1.5 million settlement with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), ending the case over his delayed disclosure of Twitter stock purchases in 2022.

US District Judge Sparkle Sooknanan signed off on the agreement on July 8 after warning she would not rubber-stamp the deal.

Why the Judge Scrutinized the Musk SEC Settlement

The SEC sued Musk in January 2025, according to the case docket. Its complaint said he crossed Twitter’s 5% ownership threshold on March 14, 2022, but disclosed his stake 11 days after the March 24 deadline.

By then, Musk had quietly built a 9% position. Twitter shares jumped more than 27% once he disclosed, and the SEC claimed the delay saved him at least $150 million.

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Twitter (TWTR) Stock Performance in March 2022. Source: TradingView
Twitter (TWTR) Stock Performance in March 2022. Source: TradingView

Sooknanan rejected Musk’s bid to dismiss the case in February. At a May 13 hearing, she questioned why his revocable trust would pay a penalty equal to 1% of those alleged savings, per Reuters.

The SEC defended the deal in June as the product of nearly a year of negotiations, per Bloomberg. Its filing described the penalty as follows.

“The largest penalty the SEC has ever obtained in a case involving a standalone violation of Section 13(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.”

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What the Ruling Means for Musk

Musk’s trust pays without admitting or denying the allegations, and the court dismissed the claims against him personally. He surrenders none of the alleged $150 million, the NYT reported.

The outcome is softer than Musk’s 2018 clash with the regulator. That case, over his “funding secured” Tesla tweet, cost him and Tesla $20 million each and his board chairmanship.

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The ruling clears a legal overhang as investors weigh Musk’s SpaceX pay package and the company’s Nasdaq-100 debut this week.

Tesla’s recent stock rally and SpaceX’s Bitcoin treasury moves keep his ventures in focus.

The approval settles one of the last regulatory disputes from the $44 billion Twitter takeover. How firmly the SEC polices disclosure deadlines after accepting a 1% recovery is the open question.

The post Judge Approves $1.5 Million Penalty for Elon Musk in Twitter SEC Case appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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ESMA Launches Custody Audits for EU Crypto Platforms Following MiCA Implementation

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

Key Highlights

  • European regulators initiate coordinated custody audits following MiCA’s full activation.
  • Crypto service providers undergo scrutiny on client asset safeguarding mechanisms.
  • Examination covers private key management, governance structures, and transaction oversight.
  • MiCA framework transitions from registration phase to active compliance verification.
  • Comprehensive findings expected by 2027 to identify custody vulnerabilities across member states.

European securities regulators have initiated a comprehensive custody examination targeting crypto firms operating under the new MiCA regulatory framework. The investigation evaluates how licensed providers safeguard customer holdings and address operational vulnerabilities. This coordinated effort aims to establish uniform protection standards throughout the European Union.

Pan-European Custody Investigation Underway

ESMA activated the joint examination on July 8, collaborating with financial regulators across all member nations. The investigation zeroes in on licensed crypto-asset service providers offering custody functions. This initiative follows MiCA’s transition deadline that concluded on July 1.

National supervisory bodies will identify firms using risk-weighted selection criteria. Oversight will concentrate on entities handling substantial operational volumes and significant customer asset exposures. Not all registered platforms will undergo examination.

ESMA directs regulators to evaluate the robustness of digital operational resilience protocols. The examination encompasses corporate governance, asset storage infrastructure, transaction authorization procedures, and emergency response capabilities. Authorities will verify whether firms maintain custody operations with transparent internal oversight structures.

Asset Protection Mechanisms Under Examination

The investigation prioritizes private key management and storage methodologies as central supervisory concerns. Custody providers maintain access authority over client cryptocurrency holdings, meaning inadequate security systems can trigger immediate financial losses. ESMA will determine whether firms implement robust safeguards surrounding these critical functions.

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Regulators will additionally scrutinize transaction approval workflows and security breach detection capabilities. These elements prove essential because custody breakdowns can rapidly cascade across platforms and service networks. Consequently, authorities expect firms to demonstrate comprehensive risk mitigation frameworks.

The examination will investigate external service dependencies and smart contract vulnerabilities. Numerous crypto platforms depend on third-party technology suppliers and infrastructure networks. ESMA directs national authorities to uncover weaknesses before system failures impact customers.

Regulatory Enforcement Reaches Operational Phase

MiCA establishes the European Union’s unified regulatory framework for crypto service platforms. Nevertheless, individual member-state authorities maintain primary supervisory responsibilities. ESMA will leverage this investigation to harmonize divergent national oversight methodologies.

The examination launches as the EU’s authorized crypto provider registry expands continuously. Recent licensing approvals have incorporated additional exchanges, custodians, and service platforms into the regulated ecosystem. This growth intensifies demands on supervisors to validate real-world compliance performance.

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ESMA anticipates the investigation will continue through mid-2027. Following completion, the regulator will compile unified conclusions for its Board of Supervisors. The comprehensive report will provide European authorities with detailed intelligence on custody vulnerabilities under MiCA’s operational framework.

 

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XRP Ledger AI Hub Launches As Agentic Payments Top 1M Mark

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XRP Ledger AI Hub Launches As Agentic Payments Top 1M Mark

TLDR:

  • The XRP Ledger AI Hub has launched as a new discovery point for AI builders, agents, services, merchants, and x402 payment activity on XRPL.
  • The XRP Ledger has surpassed 1 million agentic payments, showing rising machine-driven settlement activity across AI-linked services.
  • XRP price remains under pressure near $1.06, with sellers still controlling momentum below major daily moving averages.
  • Weak ETF flows, lower active addresses, and declining futures interest show that market demand has not matched the network milestone yet.

The XRP Ledger AI Hub has gone live as XRPL records a major milestone in AI-linked blockchain payments. t54.ai announced the platform as a single destination for AI agents, developer tools, payment services, and merchants building on the network.

The launch comes as the XRP Ledger Foundation says XRPL has surpassed 1 million agentic payments through the x402 protocol. The milestone adds a fresh utility narrative for XRP and RLUSD, although XRP price action remains weak near $1.06.

XRP is trading below $1.10 after four straight days of losses. Muted ETF flows, weaker active addresses, and lower futures demand continue to weigh on near-term sentiment.

XRP Ledger AI Hub Opens New Door For AI Builders

The XRP Ledger AI Hub is designed to help developers track what is already live across the XRPL AI ecosystem. It starts with three core areas covering x402 activity, developer resources, and a directory of AI projects.

The index section tracks live x402 payment activity on the network. The developer section includes docs, SDKs, repositories, and other resources. Meanwhile, the directory highlights AI projects, agents, services, and merchants using XRPL rails.

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The launch follows Ripple’s XRP Ledger AI Starter Kit, which introduced tools for agentic payments. The kit supports x402 payments using XRP and RLUSD, allowing AI agents to pay for APIs, compute, and inference services.

That structure matters as AI agents need fast, low-cost, and predictable settlement. XRPL offers short settlement times and fixed-style transaction costs, which can help software agents operate without manual approval loops.

The latest activity also points to deeper merchant adoption. Reports show 121 active merchants are now recorded, with Heurist Mesh, LucyOS, and AskSurf accounting for much of the transaction volume.

XRP Price Stays Weak Despite Agentic Payments Milestone

Nevertheless, the XRP Ledger AI Hub launch has not changed the short-term XRP price trend. XRP remains below key moving averages, keeping the market structure under pressure.

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The 50-day EMA sits near $1.18, while the 100-day EMA is around $1.28. The 200-day EMA near $1.49 remains a wider resistance zone for any stronger recovery attempt.

Source: TradingView

On the downside, traders are watching support near $1.05 and $1.02. A break below this range could expose XRP to another wave of selling, especially if broader crypto sentiment weakens.

On-chain activity also shows caution. Active addresses recently dropped to about 14,500 from nearly 31,000 a day earlier, after peaking near 43,000 on June 30.

ETF activity has also slowed, with no recorded spot XRP ETF flows on Monday and Tuesday. Cumulative inflows still stand near $1.49 billion, but fresh demand remains limited.

Futures data adds to the softer picture. Open interest has slipped from late-June levels, showing weaker speculative appetite as XRP struggles below resistance.

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The split between network utility and price action is now central to XRP’s next move. Agentic payments may support a longer-term XRPL adoption story, but traders still need a stronger price reaction above $1.18.

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