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The signal bitcoin (BTC) price momentum traders have been waiting for is here

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BTC's daily price swings in candlestick format with key averages. (TradingView)

Bitcoin pushed above $78,000, lifting the broader crypto market. The move came as risk sentiment improved after U.S. President Donald Trump extended the ceasefire with Iran. Stock index futures also gained.

The cryptocurrency’s ascent ended the weeks of choppy trading between $65,000 and $75,000 that defined March and early April, finally giving momentum traders the green signal they had been waiting for.

Momentum traders buy when they see proof that an upward trend is underway. Bitcoin’s breakout is exactly that, and more buyers could pile in as a result, adding to the momentum. As the first law of motion says: An object in motion stays in motion until an outside force acts upon it, though Sir Isaac Newton may not have been thinking of financial markets at the time.

“The market spent months capped in the 65 to 75 box. Breaking out of that kind of range matters because it changes behavior. Sellers who were comfortable fading rallies above 74 now have to reassess. Momentum buyers who were waiting for confirmation finally have something to lean on,” analysts at Marex said.

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Onchain indicators suggest the same. For instance, the number of coins held in wallets tied to centralized exchanges has dropped to a fresh multiyear low of 2.67 millon BTC, according to data source CryptoQuant. It points to continued investor accumulation, which could culminate in a supply shock.

“Bitcoin supply on exchanges continues to shrink, with fewer coins available to sell, more BTC moving to long-term holders, and liquidity tightening. Bitcoin is becoming increasingly scarce – supply down means volatility up,” Delta Exchange said on X.

Still, QCP Capital is urging caution, noting the persistent relative richness of bitcoin put options on Deribit. Puts are used as a hedge against potential price drops in the underlying asset. It added that crypto trends currently seem tied to the price of oil and the interest-rate outlook.

“The path forward remains anchored to oil and policy. A move lower in crude or clearer Fed signaling would support risk. Absent that, markets are likely to remain in a holding pattern, pricing uncertainty rather than resolution,” the Singapore-based firm said in a market update.

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In traditional markets, WTI crude futures are trading around $90, having bounced from a low of $78 on Friday.

In the broader market, DeFi security risks remain an issue as hacks proliferate. Early today, the Sui-based Volo protocol was drained of over $3 million just days after the KelpDAO event that caused collateral damage across the sector. Stay alert!

Read more: For analysis of today’s activity in altcoins and derivatives, see Crypto Markets Today . For a comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead.”

What’s trending

This is an excerpt from CoinDesk newsletter ‘Daybook.’ Sign up here, if you haven’t already.

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Today’s signal

BTC's daily price swings in candlestick format with key averages. (TradingView)

The chart shows bitcoin’s daily price movements in candlestick format, with lines indicating the 100-day and 200-day average prices.

BTC’s price has established a firm foothold above the 100-day average, represented by the white line. This is pivotal because the 100-day average capped the bounce in January, following which sellers re-established control, leading to a deeper crash to nearly $60,000.

Now the price has pierced through, which typically signals a strengthening of bullish momentum, focus shifts to the 200-day average, currently positioned at $85,900.

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Crypto World

Solana price forms bullish double bottom, eyes upside to over $110 on breakout

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Solana price is forming a double bottom pattern on the daily chart.

Solana price has rebounded by 6% since its Monday drop as investor confidence returns to the market. It is in the process of forming a double bottom pattern, which could position it for a significant trend reversal in the coming sessions.

Summary

  • Solana rose to $88.5 as market sentiment improved, supported by easing geopolitical tensions and rising trading volume.
  • The token is forming a double bottom pattern, with a breakout above $97.8 potentially targeting $118.
  • Liquidation data shows $20.5 million in short positions near $91, raising the likelihood of a short squeeze on further upside.

According to data from crypto.news, Solana (SOL) price rose 3% to $88.5 on Wednesday, bringing its market cap to over $50 billion. Its gains came amid its daily trading volume rising by 22% to $4.96 billion.

Solana price rose after U.S. President Donald Trump announced an extension of the Iran ceasefire, easing broader macro fears and leading to a relief rally across the entire crypto sector.

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The token has also benefited from institutional players doubling down on the token. Notably, Goldman Sachs recently disclosed that it holds $108 million in spot Solana ETFs. At the same time, assets in Solana spot ETFs, including those from Bitwise and Fidelity, have now surpassed $1 billion.

Solana is now in the process of completing a double bottom pattern on the daily, a setup that typically signals a bullish reversal on breakout from the neckline of the pattern. For Solana price, the neckline stands at $97.8, just 10% above the current price.

Solana price is forming a double bottom pattern on the daily chart.
Solana price is forming a double bottom pattern on the daily chart — April 22 | Source: crypto.news

A decisive breakout could position the token for an upside to $118 with no more major resistance levels on the way. The target is calculated by adding the height of the double bottom formed to the point at which the breakout occurs.

Meanwhile, the Solana weekly liquidation heat map shows a large cluster of dense liquidity at $91, where more than $20.5 million in short positions are currently sitting. If the price reaches this level, it could trigger a short squeeze that accelerates the move toward the neckline.

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Coinbase Shifts NY Prediction Markets Case to Federal Court

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Coinbase Shifts NY Prediction Markets Case to Federal Court

Coinbase’s chief legal officer, Paul Grewal, said Wednesday that the company had removed New York Attorney General Letitia James’ prediction markets lawsuit from state court to federal court, arguing that the case turns on disputed questions of federal law over how event contracts are regulated.

The move escalates a legal fight that could help define whether prediction markets fall under federal commodities regulation and the scope of the US Commodities and Futures Trading Commission’s (CFTC) or state gambling laws, with broader implications for the oversight of platforms like Coinbase and Gemini.

“We have removed this action to federal court,” wrote Grewal in a Wednesday X post, adding that New York’s claims raise “disputed and substantial questions of federal law” and are subject to “complete preemption.”

It comes in response to a Tuesday lawsuit filed by New York’s Attorney General Letitia James against Coinbase Financial Markets and Gemini Titan, alleging their prediction market offerings violate New York gambling law by allowing users to bet on sports, entertainment and elections without a state gaming license, including users between 18 and 20 years old.

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Related: Kalshi, Polymarket face trading halt in Nevada after court rulings

The lawsuit seeks fines, forfeiture of alleged illegal profits and restitution for customers, while also asking the court to stop the companies from offering similar products in New York without complying with state law.

Cointelegraph has approached Coinbase for comment on the matter and a copy of the court filing.

Notice of Removal. Source: Paul Grewal

State regulators battle for prediction markets jurisdiction

State regulators have stepped up pressure on prediction market platforms in recent months, with 11 states having pursued legal action against them, seeking to assert control over federal regulators.

Coinbase’s Grewal said in a Tuesday X post that prediction markets are “federally regulated national exchanges” under the CFTC and the company will continue to “fight for the federal oversight of these markets that Congress intended.”

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Coinbase launched prediction markets across 50 US states, including New York, on Jan. 28, offering trades on “any real-world outcomes” across sports, politics, culture and more.

The New York Attorney General’s lawsuit is the latest sign that state regulators are seeking to assert their jurisdiction over emerging prediction markets, contradicting the CFTC’s stance, which said it has exclusive jurisdiction over prediction markets registered as designated contract markets, such as Polymarket and Kalshi. 

On April 2, the CFTC filed three separate lawsuits against the gaming regulators of Illinois, Connecticut and Arizona, arguing that those states could not apply their gambling laws and licensing requirements to event contracts listed on CFTC-regulated platforms.

On April 8, the CFTC and US Department of Justice (DoJ) asked a federal court to block Arizona from enforcing state gambling law against Kalshi’s event contracts, arguing that they fall under the CFTC’s exclusive authority.

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