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Trump Urges Immediate Fed Rate Cut, Adding Macro Pressure to Markets

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Trump Urges Immediate Fed Rate Cut, Adding Macro Pressure to Markets

US President Donald Trump has demanded the Federal Reserve hold a “special meeting” to cut interest rates immediately, calling the current 3.50% to 3.75% target range a threat to national security.

While CME FedWatch data shows a 99% probability of rates holding steady at this week’s Federal Reserve meeting, the political pressure is adding volatility to Bitcoin and risk assets as traders bet on future liquidity injections.

(Source – FedWatch, CME Group)

Trump’s comments, likening the need for cuts to logic a “third-grade student” would understand, come as Bitcoin hovers near record highs, sensitive to any shift in the cost of capital. With the US national debt exceeding $39 trillion, the push for lower servicing costs is colliding with the Fed’s data-dependent stance on inflation.

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Key Takeaways:
  • Trump blasted Fed Chair Powell, demanding immediate cuts despite inflation holding at 2.4%.
  • Futures markets price a near-zero chance of a cut at the March 17 FOMC meeting.
  • Lower rate expectations typically boost Bitcoin as liquidity flows into risk-on assets.

Trump Calls for Rate Cuts as Fed Holds Steady


Speaking at a White House meeting, Trump explicitly called for a break in protocol, suggesting the central bank should not wait for scheduled FOMC gatherings to act. “What’s a better time to cut interest rates than now? A third-grade student would know that,” Trump said, according to videos shared on X.

This follows a Truth Social post on Thursday in which he stated that the Fed chair “should be dropping interest rates, IMMEDIATELY.”

The friction between the White House and the Federal Reserve is not new, but the stakes have risen. Trump has labeled Chair Jerome Powell “too late,” arguing that maintaining the federal funds rate between 3.50% and 3.75% is hurting the economy and national security.

It seems that the President’s urgency stems partially from the housing market, where 30-year fixed mortgage rates have surged to 6.11%.

Despite the rhetoric, the data do not support an emergency cut. CME futures markets indicate a 99% probability that rates will remain unchanged this week.

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The Fed has maintained a cautious approach, aiming to ensure inflation, currently at 2.4%, does not reignite, especially given oil price volatility driven by tensions in the Middle East.

How Lower Rates Could Unlock Crypto Liquidity


For crypto traders, the political pressure on the Fed is a direct signal regarding liquidity conditions. Lower interest rates reduce the cost of borrowing and typically weaken the dollar, prompting investors to seek higher-risk, scarce assets like Bitcoin.

This macro dynamic is already influencing institutional behavior, as institutional capital flows like BlackRock’s recent $600 million BTC purchase suggest smart money is positioning for a more dovish environment eventually.

The transmission mechanism is simple: cheaper money fuels broader market liquidity. When risk-free yields on Treasury bonds drop, capital rotates into speculative assets seeking higher returns. This correlation has been a primary driver of Bitcoin’s price since the 2020 quantitative easing cycle.

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However, the risk remains that premature cuts could spike inflation again. If the market senses that the Fed is losing its independence to political pressure, Bitcoin could see a different kind of bid, not just as a risk asset but as a hedge against monetary debasement.

Many analysts act on this premise, discussing why crypto is decoupling from traditional assets like gold to forge its own path as a liquidity sponge.

Bitcoin Price Outlook: Rate Cut Hopes vs. Macro Uncertainty


The tension between Trump’s demands and Powell’s caution creates volatile short-term price action for Bitcoin. Traders are watching key technical levels that align with these macro narratives.

Bull Scenario: If the Fed signals any openness to accelerated cuts in their statement, Bitcoin will likely target the $74,000 resistance level immediately. A breakout here opens the path to psychological targets at $80,000.

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On-chain data support this view, as large Bitcoin wallets have resumed accumulation near the $71,000 level, anticipating that the macro wind will eventually blow in their favor.

Bear Scenario: If the Fed holds firm and emphasizes “higher for longer” to combat 2.4% inflation, the disappointment could trigger a leverage flush. In this case, Bitcoin risks losing the $69,000 support level.

FOMC Timeline and Crypto Market Catalysts Ahead


The immediate focus is the Federal Reserve’s rate decision scheduled for Wednesday, March 18. While no cut is expected, the “dot plot” projections and the tone of Powell’s press conference will be critical. Traders should also watch the April 29 meeting odds; any uptick in cut probabilities there will be front-run by crypto markets.

If Bitcoin cannot reclaim $73,500 following the Fed’s commentary, the consolidation phase is likely to extend into Q2.

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Polymarket to rebuild engine, launch native dollar stablecoin

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Polymarket banned in Argentina after regulatory probe

Polymarket will rebuild its core engine, introduce a hybrid CLOB, and launch Polymarket USD, a USDC‑backed stablecoin on Polygon aimed at cheaper, more institution‑friendly trading.

Summary

  • Prediction market Polymarket plans its “largest infrastructure upgrade” in the next 2–3 weeks, overhauling its matching engine and smart contracts.
  • The upgrade will introduce a new hybrid CLOB model and a native stablecoin, Polymarket USD, pegged 1:1 to USDC on Polygon.
  • The changes aim to cut gas costs, boost efficiency, and make the platform friendlier to institutions via EIP‑1271 and multi‑sig support.

On‑chain prediction market Polymarket will roll out what it calls “the largest infrastructure upgrade since its launch” in the coming 2–3 weeks, rebuilding its core trading engine and debuting a native dollar stablecoin, Polymarket USD, according to plans shared with The Block. The company said the overhaul will “completely reconstruct” its matching engine via a new CTF Exchange V2 smart‑contract system, while introducing a native stablecoin pegged 1:1 to USDC to replace the current bridged USDC.e on Polygon. Existing order books will be cleared during the migration, with Polymarket promising to give users at least one week’s notice before maintenance begins.

At the heart of the upgrade is a redesigned Central Limit Order Book that uses a hybrid model of off‑chain order matching combined with on‑chain, non‑custodial settlement. In technical documentation for its CTF Exchange, Polymarket describes the architecture as a “hybrid‑decentralized model” where an operator handles off‑chain matching while settlement remains on‑chain, a setup it says optimizes “performance and security” for high‑volume event markets. The Block reports that CTF Exchange V2 will introduce new matching logic and order‑data structures intended to improve matching efficiency and reduce gas costs for traders.

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Polymarket has grown into one of the largest fully on‑chain prediction venues, recently drawing hundreds of millions of dollars in liquidity and a $600 million strategic investment from Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) as part of a broader bet on decentralized betting markets. ICE said its combined $1.6 billion of direct and secondary investment is not expected to be material to its financial results but positions the exchange operator as a key backer in what it calls a “David and Goliath battle” to bring prediction markets into the financial mainstream.

On the asset side, Polymarket USD formalizes a shift already underway in partnership with Circle to move from bridged USDC.e to native USDC on Polygon for all trading, order placement, and settlement. Circle has said native USDC, redeemable 1:1 for US dollars through its regulated entities, offers a “capital‑efficient” and more secure alternative to bridged tokens by eliminating cross‑chain bridge risk and tying collateral directly to its reserves. In line with that, Polymarket USD will be pegged 1:1 to USDC and used as the core collateral across the platform, with deposits from networks such as Ethereum, Solana, Arbitrum, and Base automatically converted into the new stablecoin on Polygon.

Polymarket will also add support for the EIP‑1271 (ERC‑1271) standard, allowing smart‑contract wallets such as Safe to validate signatures and trade directly, a move aimed at “expanding use cases for institutions and advanced users.” EIP‑1271 lets contracts define an isValidSignature method with arbitrary logic, making it easier for DAOs, funds, and multi‑sig setups to participate in non‑custodial markets without relying on externally owned accounts. The upgrade comes as competition in prediction markets intensifies, with Polymarket using performance, native dollar liquidity, and institutional‑grade wallet support to defend its lead in what it brands “The World’s Largest Prediction Market.”

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Bitcoin Profit Takers Keep BTC Price Action Away From $70,000 Reclaim

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Bitcoin Profit Takers Keep BTC Price Action Away From $70,000 Reclaim

Bitcoin found familiar resistance as it crossed the $70,000 mark to hit new April highs, with analysis blaming “profit-taking pressure.”

Bitcoin (BTC) coiled below $70,000 at Monday’s Wall Street open as analysis blamed profit taking for price inertia.

Key points:

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  • Bitcoin and stocks wobble as the US trading session begins amid nerves over the US-Iran war outcome.

  • Profit taking activity is keeping BTC price action away from a $70,000 reclaim, says research.

  • A Trader says $71,000 will act as fuel for a surge $10,000 higher.

BTC price meets “profit-taking pressure”

Data from TradingView showed BTC price action consolidating after hitting new April highs of $70,275 on Bitstamp.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Market nerves over the US-Iran war resulted in uncertain trading, with US stocks treading water at the open.

Speaking to the media at a military event, US President Donald Trump reiterated earlier comments that Iran would “have no bridges” and “no power plants” unless a deal was reached.

“I won’t go further because there are other things that are worse than those two,” he told reporters.

Trump previously stated that the deadline for a deal was 8pm Eastern time on Tuesday.

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With price pinned below the $70,000 mark, onchain analytics platform Glassnode pointed to internal market forces as the reason for the lack of continuation higher.

“As price probed the $70K region, Realized Profit/hour spiked above $20M, signalling a local exhaustion,” it noted in a post on X

“A pattern consistent since February 2026: Every approach to the $70k–$80K band meets thin liquidity and profit-taking pressure, capping the bounce.”

Bitcoin realized profit chart. Source: Glassnode/X

Pseudonymous trader LP added that Mondays and Thursdays had seen the upper and lower end of the week’s trading range throughout 2026.

“Price pushed higher into Monday, increasing the probability of this pivot forming a weekly high. If the correlation continues to play out, this would suggest Thursday forms the low of the week,” they told X followers. 

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“Watch price action closely today and tomorrow, it will confirm whether this intra-week pivot resolved as a high or a low.”

BTC price chart. Source: LP/X

Bitcoin trader eyes $71,000 springboard

Continuing, crypto trader Michaël Van de Poppe said the line in sand for bears lay slightly higher than Monday’s current peak.

Related: First real bull signal since 2025? Five things to know in Bitcoin this week

“Pretty strong momentum on the markets of Bitcoin,” he wrote on X about the initial move to $70,000. 

“Volatility picking up, and I think it’s fireworks during this week as we might be getting to the end stage of the entire situation in the Strait of Hormuz. If Bitcoin breaks $71K, then markets are in for a test at $80K.”

BTC/USDT one-day chart. Source: Michaël Van de Poppe

Van de Poppe further cautioned on following blanket market consensus over new lows coming next.

“Given that all the markets are so oversold at this point, all on-chain indicators are looking overextended and are at similar levels to the bottom areas in 2018, 2020 and 2022, I wouldn’t be surprised that we’re getting a relief run that’s going to turn the sentiment quickly,” he concluded.