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Crypto World

whale sells $9 billion over quantum concerns

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whale sells $9 billion over quantum concerns

$9 billion bitcoin sale by a single Galaxy client reignites quantum debate

A single Galaxy Digital (GLXY) client sold $9 billion worth of bitcoin last year, and quantum computing may have been the reason for it.

The sale, CEO Mike Novogratz said during the company’s Q4 2025 earnings call, helped drag crypto markets as the position took time to unwind. It came from a Satoshi-era investor as an estate planning move.

“It’s like distributing an IPO, price usually goes down then the distribution ends, it goes back up,” Novogratz said after revealing a single customer sold $9 billion worth of bitcoin. “I think that’s the part of the cycle we’re in right now. As I said earlier, I don’t know when the seller’s exhaustion happens. There’s not that much leverage in the system anymore.”

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Novogratz implied the decision to sell was part of a broader wave of profit-taking by early bitcoin adopters that the company has been seeing. While the community has long championed “HODLing” through volatility, that conviction appears to be weakening.

“There were a tremendous amount of these religious believers in this concept of HODLing and not letting go of your bitcoin ,” he said. “And somehow that fever broke and you started seeing some selling.”

While the sale isn’t new and was reported last year, it was seen as symbolic, igniting a debate among bitcoin’s OG holders about losing faith. What caught everyone’s attention now is the possibility that the reason was the risk posed by quantum computing to bitcoin.

‘Big excuse’

Novogratz called the quantum threat the “big excuse” being used for the sale. The crypto industry, he said, has expected quantum technology to be a threat.

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And he isn’t wrong, in recent times the debate has been heating up. Investors and industry observers alike are now weighing the real threat of quantum breaking Bitcoin’s encryption.

While some say quantum computing technology is still a long way from becoming a reality, some developers have argued that as we get closer to quantum threats, the Bitcoin network will need to be upgraded to become quantum-resistant. The risk, however, is that “developers all get obstinate and they fight amongst each other,” Novogratz said, although noting that’s an unlikely scenario.

“I just don’t see that happening. In the long run, quantum will not be a big issue for crypto,” he said. “It’ll be a big issue for the world but crypto, and Bitcoin especially will be able to handle it.”

Still, the break from the idea that one should hold on to their bitcoin forever, Novogratz mentioned, could be rooted in something deeper than the market’s current bearish trend.

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Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson has in the past highlighted Cardano’s proactive push for quantum-resistant upgrades, while early Bitcoin developer Adam Back has pointed to ongoing R&D on secure cryptographic schemes for Bitcoin.

To the CEO of Bitcoin technology firm JAN3, Samson Mow, quantum would first be a threat to the banking industry. Still, the Ethereum Foundation has just this month formally elevated post-quantum security to a strategic priority with the creation of a dedicated Post-Quantum team.

The quantum threat

Maybe one of the bigger stories on the threat that made a splash is that Coinbase has acknowledged that quantum computing could be a real, long-term threat to the cryptocurrency market, as Shor’s algorithm could break the signatures protecting the private keys of bitcoin addresses.

That would essentially allow bad actors to leverage quantum computers to access funds in any wallet whose public keys — often compared to an International Bank Account Number (IBAN) in crypto — are already exposed on the blockchain.

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Modern Bitcoin addresses hash their public keys, concealing them until funds are spent on the blockchain. This means that around one-third of bitcoin’s supply is estimated to be under threat from quantum computers.

Another threat, Grover’s algorithm, could outcompete the computing power protecting the network, disrupting Bitcoin’s economic and security model.

The threat, however, isn’t imminent. Current quantum computers aren’t at 1,000 qubits — the unit used to measure the power of quantum computers — while millions are estimated to be necessary to compromise Bitcoin’s cryptography.

The threat is nevertheless producing real-world consequences for Bitcoin.

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Jeffries’ global head of equity strategy, Christopher Wood, last month removed a 10% allocation to bitcoin from his model portfolio due to the threat quantum computing poses.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin Set To Sync With Stocks, Possibly Chasing New Range Highs

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Bitcoin Set To Sync With Stocks, Possibly Chasing New Range Highs

Bitcoin (BTC) treaded water at Thursday’s Wall Street open as the S&P 500 reached new all-time highs.

Key points:

  • Bitcoin stays locked on $74,000 after its local highs preceded a new record for the S&P 500.

  • Analysis warns that the US midterm elections may impact the stock rally.

  • Bitcoin could follow the Nasdaq 100 higher, a trader suggests.

BTC price tripped after fresh highs from the S&P 500

Data from TradingView showed $74,000 continuing to form an intraday BTC price focus.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

US jobless claims came in marginally below expectations at 207,000 versus 213,000, pointing to the labor market withstanding current geopolitical and inflation pressures.

These followed a new record for the S&P 500, which crossed 7,000 points for the first time in history after Bitcoin hit two-month highs.

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Commenting, trading resource Mosaic Asset Company noted that the S&P had advanced by nearly 11% in the past 11 trading sessions.

“It ranks as the fifth quickest recovery to record highs following a deep pullback,” it wrote in its latest “Mosaic Chart Alerts” update. 

“The S&P closed firmly above the 7,000 level for the first time in history despite the ongoing uncertainty in the Middle East that sparked a 9% drawdown in the index into late March.”

S&P 500 one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Gold dipped to intraday lows and WTI crude oil eyed $94 per barrel as markets awaited further cues over the US-Iran war.

QCP, meanwhile, warned that seasonal trends could still end the stock rally as the US entered midterm elections. The S&P 500, it noted, “tends to find its peak about now ahead of mid-term elections, and then recovering during the final quarter of the year.”

“I would not base any investment decision or outlook based on seasonals alone, which is why I’m also watching confirmation from breadth,” it cautioned.

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S&P 500 seasonality data. Source: Mosaic Asset Company

Trader sees “opportunity” in Bitcoin versus Nasdaq

With BTC price action finding resistance near its range highs, market participants eyed exchange order-book liquidity for clues as to where the next showdown could come.

Related: Bitcoin can grow ‘probably a lot bigger’ than $30T+ gold market — Analysis

“The price bucket at $72.2K – 72.4K has a large amount of open interest that has slowly accumulated,” Shubh Varma, CEO of crypto data platform Hyblock, told Cointelegraph on the day.

“We’ve seen this level where traders are often active, entering and exiting. Most recently, about $100 million longs and shorts opened here, bringing the total close to $400 million at that price bucket, over the last seven days (on Binance stablecoin perps).”

Varma added that this could form “an area to watch as potential support if price revisits it, as many of these longs and shorts may exit at breakeven ‘psychological’ level.”

BTC/USDT perpetual contract open interest data. Source: Hyblock

Continuing the stocks theme, crypto trader Michaël van de Poppe flagged Bitcoin’s relationship with the Nasdaq-100 index as a cause for optimism going forward.

“Bitcoin is about to follow Nasdaq,” he told X followers. 

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“The reason for this is quite simple: the correlation has been significantly strong most of the time. This period? The weakest correlation in the past 10 years.”

BTC/USD vs. Nasdaq 100 futures one-week chart. Source: Michaël van de Poppe/X

Van de Poppe eyed a “tremendous opportunity” for Bitcoin buyers, having recently seen a similar bullish setup in Bitcoin versus gold.