Crypto World
What is RWA tokenization? real-world assets explained
Tokenized real-world assets crossed $30 billion on-chain in 2026, with BlackRock, JPMorgan, and Franklin Templeton leading the charge. This guide explains what RWA tokenization actually is, how it works, why the biggest names in finance are betting on it, and the risks the hype tends to skip.
Summary
- Real-world asset tokenization is the process of creating a blockchain token that represents legal or economic rights to an asset that exists off-chain, such as a Treasury bill, a property, or a bar of gold.
- The token is not the asset itself; it is an on-chain record of a claim on an off-chain asset, and that claim is enforced by legal structures, custodians, and jurisdictions outside the blockchain.
- The on-chain RWA market grew from roughly $5.5 billion in early 2025 to around $30 billion by mid-2026, led by tokenized US Treasuries near $12.9 billion and private credit around $19 billion.
- The momentum comes from traditional finance, not retail traders, with BlackRock, JPMorgan, Franklin Templeton, and others building tokenized funds and settlement systems.
- The promise is fractional ownership, 24/7 settlement, and programmability, but the risks are real: the token is only as strong as the legal structure, the custodian, and the regulatory wrapper behind it.
Real-world asset tokenization is the process of creating a blockchain-based token that represents legal or economic rights to an asset that exists in the traditional, off-chain world, such as a US Treasury bill, a share in a building, a unit of a money market fund, or a gram of gold held in a vault.
The single most important thing to understand at the outset is that the token is not the asset. When you hold a tokenized Treasury, you do not hold the Treasury bill itself on the blockchain; you hold a digital record of a claim on an underlying bill that a custodian or legal entity holds on your behalf. The token is a convenient way to track and transfer ownership, but the actual legal and economic substance lives off-chain, in contracts, custody arrangements, and the laws of whatever jurisdiction governs the asset.
This distinction is the key to understanding everything else about real-world assets, often shortened to RWAs, because it explains both why tokenization is powerful and where its risks come from.
The reason RWA tokenization has become one of the most discussed topics in crypto in 2026 is that it represents a bridge between two worlds that have mostly stayed separate: the enormous, established markets of traditional finance, and the always-on, programmable infrastructure of blockchains.
The on-chain value of tokenized real-world assets grew from roughly $5.5 billion at the start of 2025 to around $30 billion by the middle of 2026, and the forces driving that growth are not retail speculators chasing the next memecoin but the largest financial institutions on earth.
This guide explains what RWA tokenization actually is, how the process works step by step, the main categories of assets being tokenized, why institutions are moving so fast, how RWAs differ from other crypto assets, a concrete worked example, and, crucially, the risks that the enthusiastic coverage often skips over. By the end, you should be able to tell the difference between the genuine innovation and the hype.
What a tokenized real-world asset actually is
Begin with a precise definition, because the term gets used loosely. A real-world asset, in the crypto sense, is any asset that exists outside the blockchain and has been given an on-chain representation through tokenization. The underlying asset can be tangible, such as real estate, gold, or commodities, or it can be a traditional financial instrument, such as a government bond, a corporate bond, a share of a fund, or a slice of private credit.
Tokenization is the process of issuing a token that stands in for defined rights related to that asset, so those rights can be tracked, held, and transferred on a blockchain. A useful working definition is this: an RWA token is an on-chain record of rights to an off-chain asset, enforced by legal and operational structures that exist outside the blockchain.
The phrase rights to an asset is doing important work in that definition, because what the token represents varies. In some cases, the token reflects fractional ownership of the asset itself. In others, it represents an entitlement to the cash flows the asset produces, such as the interest on a bond. In still others, it is a redemption right, a promise that the holder can exchange the token for the underlying asset or its cash value, or a claim secured by collateral.
What the token means in any specific case depends entirely on the legal structure behind it, which is why two tokens that both call themselves tokenized Treasuries can carry very different rights and protections. The blockchain provides a shared, transparent ledger for recording who holds what and for moving those holdings quickly, but it does not, by itself, create or enforce the underlying rights. That enforcement comes from the contracts, the custodians who hold the real asset, and the courts and regulators of the relevant jurisdiction. Tokenization, in short, changes the wrapper around the asset, not the asset itself.
How tokenization actually works
The lifecycle of a tokenized real-world asset connects the physical or financial world to the blockchain through a chain of legal, operational, and technical steps, and each link matters. It begins with asset selection and valuation, where an issuer identifies an asset suitable for tokenization and gets it properly valued, which, for real estate, means appraisals and, for private credit, means underwriting.
Next comes the legal structure, typically the creation of a special purpose vehicle, a separate legal entity that holds the underlying asset on behalf of token holders and defines their rights. This legal layer is the foundation of the whole arrangement, because it determines what holders actually own and what happens if the issuer fails. A well-designed structure with bankruptcy-remoteness, meaning the asset is insulated from the issuer’s other obligations, offers far stronger protection than a simple contractual promise.
With the legal structure in place, the token itself is issued, usually following an established standard such as ERC-20 for fungible tokens or specialized security-token standards built to carry compliance rules. Smart contracts, the self-executing programs on the blockchain, then handle much of the assets’ on-chain lifecycle, automating the minting of new tokens, transfer restrictions, distribution of yield such as interest or dividends, and the redemption process.
Because most tokenized RWAs fall under existing securities rules, compliance is woven throughout: many require identity verification, and once a holder is verified, their wallet address is often whitelisted, meaning the token can only be transferred to other approved addresses.
Custody arrangements guarantee that the real asset backing the token is held securely, and a redemption process defines how a holder converts the token back into the underlying asset or its value. Services such as proof-of-reserve attestations, which cryptographically confirm that the on-chain tokens are fully backed by real assets held with a custodian, and cross-chain interoperability standards that let tokens move between blockchains, are increasingly layered on top to build trust and avoid fragmented liquidity. The result is an asset that behaves like its traditional counterpart legally but moves with the speed and programmability of crypto.
The main categories of tokenized assets
The RWA label covers a wide and growing range of asset classes, and each behaves differently, so it helps to know the major categories. By distributed value on public blockchains, tokenized US Treasuries are the largest single category, at roughly $12.9 billion in 2026, prized because they bring the steady, low-risk yield of government debt on-chain in a form that settles 24/7 and can be used inside decentralized finance. Closely related are tokenized money market funds, which package short-duration government debt into a single yield-bearing token. Private credit is the other giant of the sector, with active on-chain private credit around $19 billion, representing loans to businesses that produce yield for token holders, and depending on how it is measured, private credit may be the largest category of all.
Beyond those two, tokenized equities and exchange-traded funds let investors hold on-chain exposure to stocks, though most such products provide economic exposure to a stock’s price and dividends rather than direct share ownership or voting rights, a distinction regulators have drawn sharply. Commodities, dominated by gold-backed tokens such as PAXG and XAUT, rose sharply to around $5.5 billion as gold itself climbed, each token backed 1-to-1 by physical metal in a vault.
Real estate tokenization lets people buy fractional stakes in properties and receive a share of rental income, lowering the entry cost of a market once reserved for the wealthy. Bonds, both government and corporate, round out the core categories.
It is worth noting that stablecoins, which are technically tokenized claims on real-world reserves like dollars, are usually tracked separately because of their enormous scale, around $300 billion, and their distinct role as payment instruments rather than investments. The breadth of these categories is part of why advocates describe tokenization as potentially touching nearly all of human economic activity, even if the reality today is concentrated in Treasuries, credit, and gold.
Why institutions are betting billions
The defining feature of the 2026 RWA boom, and what separates it from most crypto trends, is that the institutions driving it are the largest names in traditional finance rather than crypto-native startups. BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, has committed firmly to tokenization through its BUIDL fund, a tokenized money market fund that surpassed $2.5 billion in assets, and its chief executive Larry Fink has repeatedly described tokenization as the next generation for markets, comparing its current stage to where the internet was in 1996 and envisioning a future of one general ledger on which all assets are tokenized.
Alongside BlackRock sit Franklin Templeton with its BENJI token, Circle, Securitize, and the major banks: JPMorgan processes large volumes of tokenized transactions through its blockchain platform, while Goldman Sachs, HSBC, and UBS have explored or piloted tokenized issuances.
The reasoning behind these bets is a combination of efficiency and opportunity. Tokenization can consolidate the traditionally separate processes of distribution, trading, clearing, settlement, and safekeeping into a single layer, reducing the counterparty risk and operational cost that come from passing an asset through many intermediaries. It enables near-instant settlement instead of the days that traditional securities can take; it allows assets to trade around the clock, and it makes them programmable, so that compliance rules, yield distributions, and other functions can be automated in code.
For institutions managing vast portfolios, even modest efficiency gains translate into large savings, and the ability to offer clients 24/7 access and fractional products opens new markets. This is why the institutional move is best understood as a bet on the infrastructure of tomorrow’s financial system instead of a trade on today’s prices, and why forecasts from major consultancies, while varying widely, are strikingly large, with estimates of the tokenized market reaching figures from $2 trillion to $16 trillion by 2030. Whether those forecasts prove accurate or optimistic, the direction of institutional conviction is clear.
A worked example: tokenized gold
To make the abstract concrete, consider tokenized gold, one of the clearest illustrations of how RWA tokenization works in practice. A company that issues gold-backed tokens takes physical gold, held and audited in professional vaults, and issues tokens against it on a 1-to-1 basis, so that each token represents ownership of a specific quantity of gold, often one fine troy ounce. If the issuer holds a 400-ounce gold bar, it can issue 400 tokens, each backed by 1 ounce of that bar. A holder of 1 token owns the rights to 1 ounce of gold sitting in the vault, and can redeem the token for the physical metal or its cash value according to the issuer’s terms.
What tokenization adds to this otherwise ordinary gold ownership is the set of capabilities that come from the asset living on a blockchain. The token can be divided into very small fractions, in some cases as small as a millionth of a unit, so a person can own a tiny sliver of gold instead of a whole bar or coin. It can be transferred person to person in minutes, at any hour, without the logistics of moving physical metal. And because it is a programmable token, it can be used within decentralized finance, for example, as collateral to borrow against without selling the underlying gold.
The token’s value tracks the price of gold, because that is what backs it, so the holder gets the store-of-value characteristics of physical gold combined with the portability and programmability of crypto. This example captures the essence of the RWA thesis at the level of an individual asset: real-world value on one side, the flexibility of crypto infrastructure on the other, joined by a token whose worth depends entirely on the gold actually sitting in the vault and the legal right to claim it.
How RWAs differ from regular crypto
A common source of confusion is the difference between tokenized real-world assets and native crypto assets, and the distinction is fundamental to understanding what an RWA is and is not. Native crypto assets, such as Bitcoin or Ether, originate directly on a blockchain and have no claim on anything outside it. Their value comes from network activity, utility, governance roles, scarcity, and market demand, and they exist purely on-chain with no custodian or legal entity standing behind them holding a real-world counterpart. When you hold Ether, the asset itself is the on-chain token; there is no off-chain thing it represents.
A tokenized real-world asset is the opposite in this respect. Its value derives from an off-chain asset held by a custodian or structured through a legal entity, and the token is a representation of rights to that external asset instead of a self-contained on-chain asset. This difference shapes nearly everything about how the two are treated. RWA tokens typically fall within securities classifications because they reflect ownership, economic rights, or claims linked to a financial instrument, which means they usually require compliance, regulated custody, and clear legal documentation.
Native crypto tokens are often classified as utility tokens and regulated, where they are regulated at all, under different frameworks. A useful way to hold the distinction in mind is that tokenization does not change the regulatory nature of the underlying product: if an asset is treated as a security in the traditional world, it will generally be treated as a security once tokenized, because the token is just a new wrapper around the same legal substance. Crypto-native assets, having no such off-chain substance, sit in a different regulatory category entirely.
Risks and what can go wrong
For all the genuine promise of RWA tokenization, the risks are real and specific, and an honest understanding of them is essential before treating any token as a reliable claim on a real asset. The foundational risk is that the token is only as good as the legal structure behind it.
Because the enforceable rights live off-chain, a token’s value in a crisis depends on whether the legal arrangement actually holds up, and a well-designed special purpose vehicle with bankruptcy-remoteness offers far stronger protection than a loose contractual promise.
If the issuer becomes insolvent, the legal structure determines whether holders recover anything, which makes the quality of that structure the single most important thing to evaluate.
The other risks build on this foundation. Counterparty and custodial risk means that holding a tokenized Treasury requires trusting that the custodian actually holds the underlying bills and that the issuer will honor redemptions; if the custodian suffers a breach or the issuer fails, holders can face losses regardless of how sound the blockchain is.
Regulatory uncertainty is significant because the treatment of RWA tokens remains unsettled in many jurisdictions, and tokenization does not exempt an asset from securities laws. Smart contract and oracle risk means that bugs in the code, or manipulation of the price feeds some tokens rely on, can affect how the token functions.
Liquidity and redemption constraints are a practical danger: many RWA tokens restrict transfers to whitelisted, identity-verified addresses, and redemption may be limited to the issuer or approved purchasers, so a token that looks liquid can become hard to exit under stress, which is often the most underappreciated risk.
Issuers also typically hold administrative keys that let them pause transfers, blacklist addresses, or upgrade contracts, introducing a degree of central control. And it is worth remembering that only a small fraction of tokenized RWAs, around $2.5 billion of the roughly $30 billion on-chain, is actually active in decentralized finance, because compliance rails limit open-market use.
The blunt summary is that tokenization changes the wrapper, not the underlying exposure: an RWA token carries all the risks of the underlying asset plus a new set of technical, custodial, and legal risks layered on top.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is real-world asset tokenization in simple terms?
It is the process of creating a blockchain token that represents rights to an asset that exists in the traditional world, such as a Treasury bill, a property, or gold. The token is not the asset itself; it is an on-chain record of a claim on an off-chain asset, and that claim is enforced by legal structures, custodians, and jurisdictions outside the blockchain. Tokenization lets the asset be held, divided, and transferred on a blockchain with the speed and programmability of crypto, while the underlying legal and economic substance stays governed by traditional law.
What is the difference between an RWA token and a cryptocurrency like Bitcoin?
Bitcoin and Ether are native crypto assets that originate directly on a blockchain and have no claim on anything off-chain; their value comes from network activity, scarcity, and demand. An RWA token is the opposite: its value derives from an off-chain asset held by a custodian, and the token represents rights to that external asset. Because of this, RWA tokens usually fall under securities rules and require compliance and regulated custody, while native crypto tokens are typically treated differently. Tokenization does not change an asset’s legal nature, so a security stays a security once tokenized.
How big is the RWA tokenization market?
The on-chain value of tokenized real-world assets grew from roughly $5.5 billion in early 2025 to around $30 billion by mid-2026. Tokenized US Treasuries are the largest category by distributed on-chain value at approximately $12.9 billion, while private credit is around $19 billion and may be larger depending on the measurement. Tokenized gold rose to about $5.5 billion. Stablecoins, technically tokenized dollar claims, are tracked separately due to their roughly $300 billion scale. Forecasts for 2030 vary widely, from $2 trillion to $16 trillion.
Which companies are driving RWA tokenization?
The leaders are major traditional finance institutions instead of crypto startups. BlackRock’s BUIDL tokenized money market fund surpassed $2.5 billion, and its chief executive has called tokenization the next generation for markets. Franklin Templeton issues the BENJI token, JPMorgan processes large volumes of tokenized transactions through its blockchain platform, and Circle, Securitize, Goldman Sachs, HSBC, and UBS are all active. This institutional involvement is the defining feature of the 2026 RWA boom and the main reason it has continued to grow even while other parts of the crypto market struggled.
What can be tokenized?
In principle, almost anything of value, which is why advocates describe the potential market as enormous. In practice today, the activity is concentrated in US Treasuries and money market funds, private credit, commodities such as gold, equities, and exchange-traded funds, real estate, and bonds. Smaller emerging categories include non-US government debt, private equity, carbon credits, and art. Each category behaves differently in terms of risk, yield, and liquidity, and the legal structure varies by asset and jurisdiction, so the experience of holding a tokenized Treasury differs significantly from holding tokenized real estate or private credit.
Is RWA tokenization safe?
It carries real risks that should be understood before treating any token as a reliable claim. The token is only as good as the legal structure behind it, and in an issuer’s insolvency, recovery depends on how well that structure is designed. There is counterparty and custodial risk, regulatory uncertainty, smart contract and oracle risk, and liquidity constraints, since many RWA tokens restrict transfers to whitelisted addresses and limit redemption. Tokenization changes the wrapper, not the underlying exposure, so an RWA token carries all the risks of the underlying asset plus new technical, custodial, and legal risks. Careful due diligence on the issuer, custodian, and legal structure is essential.
This article is educational information, not financial, legal, or tax advice. Market sizes, products, and institutional activity reflect reporting available as of June 26, 2026, and the RWA sector is evolving quickly. Tokenized real-world assets carry significant risks and are not suitable for everyone. Verify current details and the specific legal structure of any product from primary sources, and consider your own circumstances before making any decision.
Crypto World
Institutional crypto trading hits a record 72% as Wall Street calms crypto’s wild swings
That concentration could make future altcoin rallies more selective.
“The result is a market where the flow that increasingly sets direction is concentrated in fewer names, traded more selectively,” the report said. It added that broad-based rallies, where most alternative cryptocurrencies rise together, are becoming less likely as institutional capital focuses on a handful of assets.
Derivatives and tokenization gain traction
The report also points to growing use of derivatives as another defining trend. Wintermute said notional trading volume in altcoin options on its OTC desk increased about 3.4 times from the second half of 2025 to the first half of 2026, driven largely by investors seeking yield rather than outright price exposure. At the same time, contracts for difference, or CFDs, are being used across a wider range of cryptocurrencies for directional trading, hedging and basket strategies.
Beyond trading, tokenized real-world assets continued to gain momentum, with the value of tokenized assets climbing nearly 50% to $31 billion during the first six months of the year, while average monthly transfer volume more than doubled to $9 billion. The firm said institutions are primarily adopting tokenized Treasuries, money market funds and private credit, while retail investors remain more active in tokenized equities.
While Wintermute expects retail participation to return during the next crypto bull market, it argues institutional influence is unlikely to fade. Instead, it said the market is increasingly taking on the characteristics of its largest participants, with professional investors shaping liquidity, pricing and the types of assets that attract capital.
Crypto World
Heatwave Boosts Ice Cream Sales as Magnum Beats Earnings Forecasts
The Magnum Ice Cream Company (MICC) posted first-half core earnings above analyst expectations on July 30. Cost cuts since its 2025 spinoff from Unilever (UL) drove the beat, alongside a heatwave-driven summer surge for Ben & Jerry’s.
Revenue reached €4.7 billion, up from €4.5 billion a year earlier, with organic sales growth of 4.7% across every region. Adjusted EBIT climbed 7.5% to €716 million, though separation costs pulled net profit down to €349 million.
Ben & Jerry’s Powers a Hot Start to Summer
Ben & Jerry’s led the gains across the portfolio. Growth accelerated sharply once summer heat set in across Europe. New stick and sandwich formats pulled fresh buyers into the brand, both in the Americas and in Europe.
“Ben & Jerry’s grew mid-single-digit and had an outstanding second quarter with 9.2% growth.”
Peter ter Kulve, the company’s CEO, praised a frontline-first operating model in a statement tied to the results. Sustained heat across Europe has already lifted other heatwave-driven cooling stocks this summer, and that trend now extends to frozen treats.
Magnum, Cornetto, and the Heartbrand also posted gains. All four core brands showed positive momentum, and Yasso, the company’s high-protein pint line, kept growing at a double-digit pace. The pattern echoes the seasonal plays behind several US stocks to watch this July.
Magnum’s Cost Cuts and Productivity Gains Lift Margins
A productivity programme launched in 2024 delivered €90 million in first-half savings, most of it from the supply chain. Waste reduction and better factory use both contributed. Meanwhile, a favorable working capital swing tied to the Unilever separation nearly doubled Free Cash Flow to €273 million.
Standalone financing pushed net finance costs up to €72 million, compared with just €10 million a year earlier. That shift lines up with the broader high-rate backdrop highlighted by the Fed’s July decision to hold rates steady, a move that rattled bond markets and pushed long-term borrowing costs to multi-year highs.
The earnings beat nonetheless continues a summer pattern of firms topping Wall Street estimates. It follows Robinhood’s earnings beat and Intel’s surprise profit beat earlier this season, both delivered despite mixed investor reactions.
Shares of Magnum Ice Cream (EURONEXT: MICC) were changing hands near €16.16 ahead of the print, up roughly 19% for the year and close to the all-time high of €16.74 hit on July 7. The stock has climbed steadily since bottoming near €11 in late April, and the chart shows that run largely intact heading into results day.
Management reaffirmed full-year guidance of 3% to 5% organic sales growth. The company now enters peak summer demand with momentum intact. A pending antitrust review of its freezer-cabinet practices in Türkiye adds a regulatory wrinkle to watch.
The next quarter should still show whether the heat and the cost discipline both hold.
The post Heatwave Boosts Ice Cream Sales as Magnum Beats Earnings Forecasts appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Robinhood Posts Record Quarter as Crypto Revenue Falls 38%
[Update 08:55 UTC, July 30: Updates with additional reporting and context.]
Online brokerage Robinhood posted record second-quarter revenue and earnings, though cryptocurrency transaction revenue fell 38% from a year earlier.
The company said Wednesday in its earnings report that crypto transaction revenue fell to $100 million from about $160 million a year earlier. Overall revenue rose 32% year-over-year to $1.31 billion, while net income increased 48% to $573 million. Transaction-based revenue climbed 44% to $776 million.
Robinhood reported $40 billion in crypto notional trading volume during the quarter. Of that total, $18 billion came from the Robinhood app, down 35% from a year earlier, while $22 billion came from Bitstamp, the crypto exchange it acquired in June 2025.
The price of Robinhood shares was down 3.15% on Wednesday ahead of the company’s earnings release, according to Yahoo Finance data.
Robinhood expands crypto ecosystem
Despite the decline in crypto trading revenue, Robinhood continued expanding its digital asset business during the quarter, completing its acquisition of Canadian crypto platform WonderFi as it broadened its crypto offerings beyond trading.
After the quarter ended, the company unveiled the public mainnet of Robinhood Chain, introduced tokenized US stocks to eligible users in more than 120 countries and debuted its first decentralized lending product, Robinhood Earn.
Related: Bernstein raises Robinhood price target, cites tokenization and prediction markets
Data from DefiLlama shows Robinhood’s new Ethereum layer-2 network had $348 million in total value locked on Thursday, more than $500 million in stablecoins and over $1 billion in bridged assets.
Platform growth offsets crypto slowdown
Cryptocurrency was the only major transaction category to decline during the quarter.
Robinhood said growth in event contracts, options and equities more than offset the weakness, with event contract revenue surging more than tenfold to $156 million, options revenue rising 29% to $342 million and equities revenue jumping 95% to $129 million.
The company also reported record net deposits of $21.7 billion during the quarter, while total platform assets increased 32% year over year to $369 billion and funded customers grew 7% to 28.4 million.
Robinhood lowered and narrowed its 2026 outlook for adjusted operating expenses and share-based compensation to between $2.675 billion and $2.775 billion, from $2.7 billion to $2.825 billion previously. Adjusted EBITDA rose 35% to $741 million, while total operating expenses increased 33% to $734 million.
Magazine: Bitcoin price wedged into ‘most divided’ FOMC as Iran war spikes oil prices 8%
Crypto World
30-Year Treasury Yield Hits 2007 High as Bond Market Doubts the Fed
The US government has not paid this much to borrow money since 2007. The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.20% on Wednesday, hours after the Federal Reserve left interest rates alone.
Three Fed officials wanted a rate hike instead. Bond traders sided with them.
Why the 30-Year Treasury Yield Jumped
A bond yield is what lenders charge to hold government debt. When it rises, borrowing gets pricier for everyone.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kept its rate range at 3.50% to 3.75%. The vote was 9 to 3.
Beth Hammack, Neel Kashkari and Lorie Logan each wanted a quarter point increase, the Fed statement shows.
Long-term bonds fell hardest. The 30-year yield rose from 5.09% to 5.20%, and the 10-year climbed to 4.67%.
Short-term bonds went the other way. The two-year yield slipped to 4.22%.
That split is the signal. Traders are worried about the next 30 years, not the next 30 days. Some intraday quotes ran as high as 5.244%.
Three dissents sound dramatic. They are not that rare, and four officials broke ranks in April. The direction is what stands out. Three votes for higher rates at one meeting last happened in September 2016.
The Fed has not raised rates since July 2023. The three dissenting officials want that streak to end.
Chair Kevin Warsh took the job on May 22. He refused to call the decision a pause and defended the 2% inflation target at his press conference.
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This Looks Like 2007, But It Is Not
The last time the 30-year yield sat here, the Fed was about to cut rates. In July 2007, the yield was 5.28%. The Fed’s own rate was 5.25%. The two were basically level.
Two months later the Fed cut by half a point. Warsh, then a Fed governor, voted for it. Today the picture is flipped. The 30-year yield sits roughly 1.45 percentage points above the Fed’s rate.
In 2007, long rates were falling toward a rescue. Now they are climbing away from one. Someone pays for that. The interest bill on US debt hit $857 billion in nine months, up 13% from a year earlier.
“Outlays for net interest on the public debt rose by $98 billion (or 13 percent) because the debt was larger than it was in the first nine months of fiscal year 2025 and because of higher long-term interest rates,” the Congressional Budget Office reported.
Interest now costs more than Medicare, at $778 billion. It also beats military spending, at $677 billion.
Total US debt reached about $39.8 trillion in late July.
Oil is not helping either. West Texas Intermediate crude settled 6.6% higher at $84.46 a barrel on Wednesday.
US Central Command said Iran fired ballistic missiles at American forces on July 28. All were intercepted. The US-Iran ceasefire collapse keeps oil risk alive.
Where Bitcoin and Gold Fit In
Crypto did not follow bonds down. Bitcoin (BTC) traded near $64,730 on Thursday, up 0.48% on the day.
Bitcoin’s recent price action shows a 9.2% gain over 30 days, though it is down 45% over a year.
Gold traded near $4,078 an ounce on Thursday. It had settled at $4,036.30 the day before.
Ellen Zentner, chief economic strategist at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, says traders only delayed the hike.
“September remains a live meeting, and the incoming inflation data between now and then will be all that matters,” Zentner said.
Thursday’s inflation data helped the doves. The Fed’s preferred gauge, personal consumption expenditures (PCE), rose 3.7% in the year to June, down from 4.1% in May.
Core PCE, which strips out food and fuel, came in at 3.3%.
Even so, inflation has topped 2% every month since March 2021. Global bond yields climbed to their highest since 2008 earlier this year, and the long end never came back down.
The Fed meets again on September 15 and 16. That is when the three dissenters find out if they were right.
The post 30-Year Treasury Yield Hits 2007 High as Bond Market Doubts the Fed appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
BitRiver founder charged in Russia over alleged $8M fraud

Russian authorities charged BitRiver founder Igor Runets with alleged fraud tied to a $8 million crypto mining equipment deal involving Russian billionaire Oleg Deripaska.
Crypto World
Malaysia arrests two over illegal Bitcoin mining operation, seizes 73 rigs
Malaysian police have dismantled an illegal Bitcoin mining operation and arrested two men after seizing 73 mining machines that investigators say were powered through stolen electricity.
Summary
- Malaysian police arrested two men and seized 73 Bitcoin mining machines during raids on three properties in Tronoh.
- Investigators said the mining operation used stolen electricity through illegal power connections confirmed by TNB inspections.
- The latest crackdown follows earlier Bitcoin mining raids in Terengganu and Kuala Lumpur linked to electricity theft across Malaysia.
According to a statement from Batu Gajah district police chief Assistant Commissioner Md Noor Aehawan Mohammad, officers carried out coordinated raids at three properties in Tronoh on Tuesday night under Op Elektrik, uncovering what investigators described as illegal Bitcoin mining activities supported by unauthorized electricity connections.
The operation began at about 9:02 p.m. and involved personnel from the district Criminal Investigation Department together with the Technical Unit of Malaysia’s national electricity provider, Tenaga Nasional Berhad (TNB), also known as the SEAL Team.
Police detained two local men, aged 40 and 52, to assist with the investigation. Alongside the arrests, officers confiscated 73 Bitcoin mining machines and additional equipment believed to have been used to operate the mining network.
Bitcoin mining operation used illegal power connections
Police said inspections carried out during the operation found that each of the three premises had been used for Bitcoin mining. Technical examinations conducted by TNB later confirmed electricity theft at two abandoned houses, while the third property involved in the case was an unoccupied house.
Md Noor Aehawan said investigators found evidence that the mining equipment had been connected through illegal electricity supply lines rather than legitimate metered connections.
Both suspects have been remanded for three days, beginning Wednesday and ending Friday, to facilitate further investigations.
Authorities are investigating the case under Section 427 of Malaysia’s Penal Code for committing mischief, including electricity theft, as well as Section 37(1) of the Electricity Supply Act 1990, which covers interference with electrical installations.
Police also urged residents to report suspicious activities linked to electricity theft or unauthorized cryptocurrency mining. Members of the public with relevant information have been asked to contact the Batu Gajah district police operations room or the nearest police station.
Malaysia has continued targeting illegal Bitcoin mining
The latest enforcement action follows several similar crackdowns carried out across Malaysia over the past year as authorities continue to target cryptocurrency mining operations that bypass electricity meters.
In May, Terengganu police dismantled another suspected Bitcoin mining syndicate during Op Letrik after raiding properties in the Hulu Terengganu and Marang districts. Working alongside TNB’s SEAL unit, officers seized 45 illegal Bitcoin mining machines from two premises, including a residential property in Bukit Perpat and a commercial building in Wakaf Tapai.
At the time, Terengganu police chief Datuk Mohd Khairi Khairuddin said investigators believed the premises had been modified to bypass electricity meters, causing estimated monthly losses of about RM36,000 for TNB. Authorities also seized mining-related equipment valued at approximately RM225,000, although no arrests were announced in that operation.
The Terengganu investigation proceeded under Sections 379 and 427 of the Penal Code together with Section 37 of the Electricity Supply Act 1990.
Earlier cases have exposed electricity theft
Another illegal mining operation came to light in February after firefighters responded to reports of an explosion and smoke at a house in Kuala Lumpur.
Authorities later discovered modified electrical wiring that had caused a fire before uncovering several Bitcoin mining rigs inside the property. Investigators also confirmed that the operation had been drawing electricity through unauthorized connections, prompting a separate investigation.
Malaysia’s national electricity provider has repeatedly warned about the financial impact of electricity theft linked to cryptocurrency mining. TNB reported in 2024 that illegal Bitcoin mining had caused losses of more than 440 million Malaysian ringgit, or roughly $101 million, due to stolen electricity.
The utility also estimated that electricity theft associated with illegal cryptocurrency mining resulted in losses of about $755 million between 2018 and 2023, highlighting the continued challenge posed by unauthorized mining operations across the country.
Outside Malaysia, governments have taken similar action against illicit cryptocurrency mining where unauthorized electricity use has strained national power systems. Iran has conducted repeated crackdowns on illegal mining operations, while Venezuela introduced a ban on crypto mining to protect its electricity grid from excessive energy demand.
Crypto World
Canopy and Fhenix make private the default for onchain apps
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
Fhenix and Canopy integrate confidential computation to simplify private onchain app development.
Summary
- Fhenix and Canopy integrate confidential computation, enabling developers to build privacy-preserving onchain apps with encrypted data.
- The two projects have launched a confidential app template, bringing fully homomorphic encryption to sovereign blockchain applications.
- Fhenix brings encrypted computation to the Canopy Stack, simplifying confidential onchain app development with familiar tooling.

Fhenix and Canopy are integrating confidential computation into the Canopy Stack, giving developers a direct way to build sovereign onchain apps that keep user data encrypted while it is being used. The integration removes the need for teams to assemble a separate cryptography stack or hire specialist cryptographers before they can ship private application logic.
The new Canopy Confidential App template is powered by Fhenix’s CoFHE coprocessor for fully homomorphic encryption (FHE). Developers will be able to add encrypted computation through a familiar TypeScript library, making confidentiality part of the app from the start rather than a feature added later. The approach extends Canopy’s existing platform model: the stack handles the underlying infrastructure so builders can focus on the application.
Public-by-default infrastructure works for many onchain use cases, but it breaks down when applications handle commercially sensitive, personal, or strategic data. Some teams respond by moving to closed networks. Fhenix and Canopy are taking a different approach: keep the network open while keeping the data encrypted.
Confidential operations are added through Canopy’s plugin and runtime layer without changing its base consensus. A user’s input is encrypted in the Canopy wallet and submitted as a standard transaction. CoFHE processes the encrypted data offchain, and when a result must be disclosed, a trust-minimized process returns a signed value for Canopy to verify before state is settled. Builders access the flow through familiar tooling, without managing a separate privacy stack or encryption keys.
The core Canopy components are already live, including plugin lifecycle hooks, the state bridge, plugin scaffolding, and the wallet runtime. CoFHE is currently deployed across Ethereum, Arbitrum, and Base. Work on the remaining encrypted-transaction components is in progress.
What it enables
In an onchain game, a player’s hand, units, and map knowledge can remain encrypted. Players submit moves privately and learn only the outcome of each encounter, such as who won, how much damage was dealt, or which territory changed hands.
The same model applies to business workflows. A buyer can open an RFP, receive encrypted bids from multiple suppliers, and publish only the winner and winning price at the deadline. The losing bids do not need to be revealed to the other participants.
The Fhenix integration is in development and is scheduled to roll out in Q4 2026. Canopy is currently live on public testnet, with 16.8k forks and more than 100,000 daily active wallets.
Disclosure: This content is provided by a third party. Neither crypto.news nor the author of this article endorses any product mentioned on this page. Users should conduct their own research before taking any action related to the company.
Crypto World
Bitcoin’s Next Bull Run Could Follow US Midterms: Analyst
Bitcoin’s market cycles could be more closely linked to the US political calendar than many investors think, according to a new analysis shared by Alphractal founder Joao Wedson.
In a July 30 post on X, he showed that the flagship cryptocurrency has repeatedly entered bear markets before US midterm elections, only to recover after voters head to the polls.
Recurring Election Cycle Patterns
Wedson compared Bitcoin’s price history against US election cycles and found what he described as a recurring sequence. According to his chart, BTC enters a bear market about one year before every US midterm election before starting a longer bull market right after the vote. In some cycles, the market bottom formed just days before the election, while in others it came shortly afterward.
He also noted that presidential elections have produced a different effect, with Bitcoin rallying strongly every time a president won an election before approaching a major cycle top not long after the president was inaugurated.
“Data reveals patterns that narratives often miss,” wrote the analyst.
According to Wedson, XRP offers an even more striking example, starting a steep rally on the day Donald Trump won the 2024 election and reaching a local peak on January 20, 2025, the day Trump was inaugurated.
His observations are quite similar to those made in a Binance Research report from earlier in the year, which found that BTC has historically struggled during US midterm election years before posting gains once the political uncertainty faded.
Per the report, Bitcoin dropped by an average of about 56% during completed midterm cycles since 2014, before returning an average gain of roughly 54% in the year after the elections.
Wedson had earlier contended that while many market participants believed Bitcoin has already established a bottom, “a price recovery alone does not confirm a structural shift.” He said there must be clear signs of capitulation and deleveraging, as well as short-term investors bringing in new capital before such a conclusion can be reached.
Macro Conditions Could Shape Whether History Repeats
There’s still about three months left before Americans go to the polls, and BTC is currently hovering around the $64,000 level, which is nearly 50% below its October 2025 all-time high of over $126,000, with data from CoinGecko showing it dipped about 2.5% in seven days.
However, it’s still up nearly 8% across the last month, after weathering the latest Federal Reserve decision to leave interest rates unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75%.
The post Bitcoin’s Next Bull Run Could Follow US Midterms: Analyst appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
‘Don’t Fear a Drop to $60K:’ Analyst Sees That as a Healthy Reset for BTC
The leading cryptocurrency experienced enhanced volatility over the past week, eventually stabilizing at around $64,500 (per CoinGecko’s data).
Given the ongoing bear market, though, the price may soon head south again, but one popular analyst claimed that a dip to around $60K should actually be welcomed as good news.
Exactly What BTC Needs?
The renowned analyst Ali Martinez argued that a drop by nearly five grand would complete a classic inverse head-and-shoulders pattern that could set the stage for a serious pump. The setup consists of three dips – a low (left shoulder), a deeper plunge (head), and another low (right shoulder) and signals that sellers are running out of steam.
According to Martinez, the completion of the pattern combined with a confirmed breakout above $66,500 could open the door to a pump to a two-month high of around $74,000.
The analyst has been quite focused on BTC lately, revealing that whales have purchased roughly 29,000 units (worth more than $1.8 billion at current rates) over the past week. Accumulation from this cohort of investors is considered a bullish sign as it suggests that they are preparing for a potential upward move. Their actions could encourage smaller players to hop on the bandwagon, too, thus distributing fresh capital into the ecosystem.
Another comment from Martinez was his recent prediction about when BTC will reach its bottom. If the 4-year cycle theory holds, he expects that to happen between October 6 and October 16. This is a common thesis among analysts, as many believe the cryptocurrency could nosedive to multi-year lows before entering a new bull run. Others, like Joao Wedson, anticipate that the pivotal moment when bulls would finally regain control is the midterm elections in the US scheduled for early November.
An Additional Bullish Forecast
Vivek Sen – an X user with almost 300,000 followers – presented another optimistic scenario for BTC, based on the formation of a cup-and-handle breakout.
The pattern represents a big rounded dip (the cup), followed by a smaller pullback (the handle) and typically shows that the asset has built up strength and is perhaps gearing up for a rally. According to the analyst, this formation could be a precursor to a giant increase, setting $220,000 as the minimum target.
“Most people will only find out after it happens,” he added.
The post ‘Don’t Fear a Drop to $60K:’ Analyst Sees That as a Healthy Reset for BTC appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Ark Invest Rotates Within Crypto Equities, Adding Coinbase and Circle While Trimming Other Names
Ark Invest sold shares of Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Bullish, and Block as crypto-related equities extended losses across U.S. markets. The move raised questions after months of aggressive buying during previous pullbacks. Rather than signaling a broad exit, the latest trades suggest Ark is actively rotating capital within its crypto portfolio instead of abandoning the sector.
That view is supported by recent buying activity. Over a three-day period, Ark purchased roughly $43.5 million in crypto stocks, including 122,544 Coinbase shares valued at nearly $18.6 million and 169,777 Circle shares worth about $12.9 million. The purchases came as both companies declined alongside Bitcoin and weakening expectations for U.S. crypto legislation.
The broader backdrop also explains the pressure. Falling digital asset prices have weighed on exchange revenues and crypto-related valuations. At the same time, uncertainty surrounding U.S. market structure legislation has cooled investor optimism. Stocks that previously benefited from expectations of regulatory progress have been among the hardest hit during the recent pullback.
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Position Rotation Looks More Likely Than a Thesis Change
Ark’s history with these companies provides important context. The firm invested roughly $16.8 million into Bullish and about $7.6 million into Bitmine during late 2025. It also deployed approximately $38.7 million into Coinbase, Bitmine, Circle, and Bullish during another sharp crypto equity decline. Those earlier purchases leave plenty of room to trim positions without changing the broader investment thesis.

The direction of recent trades reinforces that interpretation. Ark previously sold about $8.9 million worth of Block, Bullish, and Robinhood while purchasing roughly $12.5 million of SpaceX and Bitmine. That pattern suggests the firm is reallocating capital toward higher conviction ideas rather than reducing overall crypto exposure.
Block deserves separate attention because its business extends beyond cryptocurrency. Payments, merchant services, and Bitcoin products all contribute to its revenue. Selling Block alongside Bullish and Bitmine therefore points to a broader reduction in crypto equity risk instead of targeting only pure play digital asset companies.
Coinbase and Circle tell a different story. Ark continued adding to both positions during the latest selloff despite near-term losses. That approach signals conviction rather than retreat. While those investments may currently sit below Ark’s average purchase price, the firm appears willing to absorb short-term weakness in exchange for longer-term growth potential.
Circle also occupies a different position within the crypto ecosystem. Its outlook depends heavily on stablecoin adoption and regulatory clarity rather than exchange trading volumes. Continued buying suggests Ark sees stablecoin infrastructure as a stronger long-term opportunity than several other crypto-related equities currently under pressure.
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Bitcoin, Regulation Will Shape Ark Invest Next Moves
Ark’s daily trade disclosures remain the clearest indicator of its strategy. If the firm resumes buying Bitmine or Bullish during additional weakness, the recent sales will likely be viewed as routine portfolio management. However, continued net selling across multiple sessions without offsetting purchases would suggest a more meaningful reduction in risk appetite.
External conditions will ultimately drive that decision. Bitcoin price trends remain the biggest factor influencing crypto equity performance, while regulatory developments continue shaping investor sentiment. Delays to market structure legislation could pressure valuations further, whereas renewed momentum in Washington may revive demand for crypto-linked stocks.
Ark has already shown it will act quickly when conditions deteriorate. Earlier this year, the firm sold roughly $11.2 million of its ARKB spot Bitcoin ETF alongside about $84 million in technology holdings during a broader risk reduction move. That history suggests Cathie Wood remains flexible. For now, the latest transactions look more like selective portfolio rotation than a broad retreat from crypto equities.
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The post Ark Invest Rotates Within Crypto Equities, Adding Coinbase and Circle While Trimming Other Names appeared first on Cryptonews.
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