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why state-led identity is the future

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Welcome to our institutional newsletter, Crypto Long & Short. This week:

  • Tricia Gallagher on how the fix for broken digital identity systems will need to be state-led and user-controlled.
  • Top headlines institutions should pay attention to by Francisco Rodrigues.
  • Crypto TCG gacha volumes hit all-time high as CARDS token surges 52% in Chart of the Week.

Thanks for joining us!

-Alexandra Levis


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Fighting fraud in the digital age: why state-led identity is the future

By Tricia Gallagher, founder and principal, Treasury Solutions Info Tech (TSIT)

The United States has lost an estimated $5 trillion to fraud and improper payments across government programs.

That number should stop us in our tracks.

Yet most policy responses still focus on detection, recovery and enforcement. They miss the underlying issue. Fraud at this scale is not a compliance failure — it is an infrastructure failure and at its center is identity. Addressing it requires a shift away from band-aid solutions toward a re-architecture of our digital identity framework.

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There is a growing movement around the idea that identity — and control over access to personal data — belongs to the individual, not to banks, technology platforms or even the government. Even within the financial system, where data use is more tightly regulated, individuals often lack meaningful visibility or control. Data sharing operates through broad, one-time consent frameworks that enable ongoing access and reuse of financial data with limited transparency. More importantly, when consumers cannot actively direct how their data is shared and used, they are limited in their ability to access new and tailored financial services — constraining innovation, reducing competition and slowing economic growth.

This dynamic is even more pronounced in the technology sector, where personal data is routinely collected, aggregated and monetized at scale. Across both domains, individuals have limited awareness of who has access to their data and how it is used.

At its core, this model requires individuals to surrender control of their identity and personal data to participate. These systems are not only inefficient, they expand the surface area for misuse and security breaches. More fundamentally, they erode individual agency and undermine the very notion of inalienable rights in the digital age.

Two major policy debates in Washington reflect this tension: one focuses on reducing fraud and improper payments; the other centers on control of consumer financial data. They are treated as separate issues, but in reality reflect the same structural gap.

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Policymakers are responding, but largely within the constraints of the current system. Congressional efforts to update the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act focus on consumer data control through opt-in and opt-out regimes. At the same time, the Trump Administration has elevated fraud prevention through expanded oversight and increased data sharing across agencies. Since January 2025, more than a dozen federal initiatives — including an interagency fraud task force — have been launched.

On one side, policymakers are pursuing incremental privacy improvements. On the other, they are expanding access to sensitive government data to combat fraud. The result is continued reliance on centralized data pools, combined with limited individual control over how personally identifiable information (PII) is accessed and used. These architectures increase exposure, create attractive targets for bad actors and remain difficult to secure at scale.

The core challenge is not simply data protection. It is how to enable trusted verification and privacy while preserving individual control over access to personal data. Without that control, individuals are required to relinquish how their data is accessed and used, undermining a core inalienable right in the digital economy. This is where states have a critical role to play.

States have long served as the primary issuers of identity through birth records, driver’s licenses and other foundational credentials. This positions them to lead the next phase of digital identity infrastructure. The future of digital identity will require states to become the anchor of trust — not by expanding data collection, but by re-architecting how that trust is expressed: shifting from centralized data silos to privacy-preserving, user-controlled credentials.

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Utah provides a clear example. Through legislation taking effect in May 2026, the state has introduced a Digital Identity Bill of Rights that places individuals at the center of how their identity is used and shared. It establishes clear principles to enable user control, data minimization, restricted surveillance and verification based only on what is necessary. At its core is a simple reality: trust in financial systems requires authoritative identity. Access to public funds and services depends on verified eligibility, and states already fulfill this role.

The goal is not to remove the state, but to modernize how trust is expressed. By shifting to privacy-preserving, user-controlled credentials, states can reduce fraud, improve transparency and strengthen accountability.

As federal debates continue to focus on managing data within legacy systems, states have an opportunity to lead in a fundamentally different direction — one that reduces reliance on centralized data and restores individual control over identity and personal information. The future of digital finance will not be defined by speed alone, but by whether systems uphold both trust and rights.

Identity is the bridge between the two.

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Headlines of the Week

By Francisco Rodrigues

This week delivered a blend of significant developments across geopolitics, global regulation, and decentralized finance.

Stablecoins were a key focus globally, with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. formally proposing its approach to U.S. federal rules and a group led by HSBC and Standard Chartered receiving Hong Kong’s first stablecoin licenses.

Meanwhile, crypto entered geopolitical tensions as Iran explored collecting transit fees in cryptocurrency for oil tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz. The Strait has since been blockaded by the U.S. navy.

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Chart of the Week

Crypto TCG gacha volumes hit all-time high as CARDS token surges 52%

The crypto Trading Card Game (TCG) gacha market — where players spend crypto to open randomised digital card packs — hit a record $36 million+ in weekly volume on April 13th, 2026, continuing the uptrend post the range-bound move in February. CARDS/USD, the largest tokenised trading card index, appears to be responding, surging 52% in the last 24 hours as on-chain card collecting sentiment recovers.

Crypto Trading Card Game Gacha Market chart

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Crypto World

Bitcoin Price Faces $75,000 Barrier, Eyes $85,000 Target

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Bitcoin Price Faces $75,000 Barrier, Eyes $85,000 Target

TLDR

  • Bitcoin climbed to $76,100 but failed to close above the $75,000 resistance level.
  • The asset ended the session at $74,164 after sellers defended the key supply zone.
  • Bitcoin rebounded 15.8% from $65,692 earlier this month before pulling back.
  • The $72,000 level continues to act as short-term support for the current range.
  • The 50-day moving average at $69,680 could provide support if the price declines.

Bitcoin price faced renewed selling pressure near $75,000 after another failed breakout attempt. The asset reached $76,100 on Tuesday but closed below resistance. Despite the pullback, technical indicators still show room for further upside.

Bitcoin Price Tests $75,000 Resistance Again

Bitcoin (BTC) climbed to $76,100 on Tuesday, marking its highest level since early February. However, sellers pushed the price down before the daily close. The asset ended the session at $74,164 after failing to hold above $75,000.

Earlier this month, Bitcoin rebounded from $65,692 and gained 15.8% to reach the recent peak. It has since retained about 8.45% of that advance. On March 17, Bitcoin also touched $76,000 but fell back to $73,920 after facing strong supply.

The repeated rejection at $75,000 confirms the level as firm resistance. Sellers continue to defend the zone, which limits upward movement. Bitcoin trades at $74,036 at the time of writing.

The price also encountered the 100-day simple moving average near the resistance zone. This moving average stands at $94,935 and adds technical pressure. As a result, bulls failed to secure a daily close above the barrier.

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Failure to break resistance increases the risk of a decline toward $68,000 and $65,000. The 50-day moving average at $69,680 could provide support if the price drops. Market structure remains dependent on holding key levels.

Bitcoin Price Holds $72,000 Support as Indicators Stay Positive

Bitcoin price continues to hold the $72,000 micro support level identified by analyst Michael van de Poppe. He stated, “Holding $72,000 opens the path toward a new breakout.” The level now acts as a short-term foundation.

Van de Poppe projected a move toward $80,000 to $85,000 if Bitcoin closes above $75,000 with strong volume. He said the move could occur before the end of April. Such a rally would return Bitcoin to levels last seen in late January.

The daily Relative Strength Index stands at 60.74, which signals room before overbought conditions above 75. The reading reflects steady momentum without extreme conditions. Buyers still maintain control under current levels.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence also supports bullish momentum. The MACD line reads 1,201.91 and remains above the signal line at 590.84. Green histogram bars continue to expand on the daily chart.

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Bitcoin must secure a decisive close above $75,000 to confirm renewed upward momentum. Until then, the price remains within a defined range. Current data shows Bitcoin trading at $74,036.

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Bitcoin breaks $75k on Gate as bulls eye key resistance

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Bitcoin stalls near $75,000 on Gate as traders test a familiar resistance band after bouncing from $68,000 support that has repeatedly defined this cycle’s downside line.

Summary

  • Bitcoin trades at $75,000 on Gate with 1.19% daily gain.
  • Move comes after weeks of choppy range between $68,000 and $75,000.
  • Traders watch if BTC can finally clear the $75,000 ceiling.

Bitcoin (BTC) surged to $75,000 on Gate’s BTC/USDT market on April 15, marking another test of the level that has capped every major rally this year.

According to Gate market data, BTC/USDT is currently quoted at $75,000 with a 24‑hour increase of 1.19%, after touching an intraday high near $74,949 and a low around $73,510.

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The latest push higher extends a rebound that began when Bitcoin bounced from roughly $68,000 support, a range that crypto.news recently described as “the last line of defense” before deeper downside.

In a recent crypto.news story, Bitcoin was trading near $74,400 after a more than 5% intraday jump, with the outlet flagging $75,000 to $76,100 as the “next meaningful resistance” tied to February’s pre‑war swing high.

That zone has repeatedly rejected upside attempts; earlier coverage noted that $73,000 to $75,000 has “capped every rally” since the US‑Iran ceasefire, forcing altcoins like ETH, SOL and DOGE to lag whenever BTC stalls below a clean breakout.

RootData, citing Gate’s order book, similarly reported that “BTC/USDT is currently reported at $75,008.8, with a 24‑hour increase of 5.65%,” underscoring how quickly momentum can accelerate once Bitcoin approaches this band.

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The latest move unfolds against a backdrop of strong spot and derivatives flows, with prior crypto.news analysis highlighting that ETF inflows, whale accumulation and short liquidations have repeatedly driven spikes as Bitcoin reclaims key psychological levels such as $70,000 and $75,000.

While the current gain of 1.19% on Gate is modest compared with earlier 5% surges, traders are watching whether sustained closes above $75,000 can finally confirm a technical breakout and reopen the path toward Bitcoin’s all‑time high near $125,600 set in late 2025.

For broader context, previous reporting on Bitcoin’s sharp drop below $75,000 during April 2025 circuit‑breaker events showed how quickly the level can flip from support to resistance when macro risk and leverage unwind collide, a dynamic still in the back of traders’ minds as BTC revisits the mark today.

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Relevant crypto.news articles referenced in the piece include this story on Bitcoin’s $68,000 support and $75,000 ceiling, this analysis of BTC’s four‑week high near $74,400, and this breakdown of how $73,000 and $75,000 have repeatedly capped altcoin recoveries.

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Strategy CEO Michael Saylor Signals Path to 1,000,000 Bitcoin Goal

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR

  • Michael Saylor signaled a renewed plan to reach 1,000,000 Bitcoin through continued STRC issuance.
  • Strategy may have surpassed 800,000 Bitcoin in total corporate reserves.
  • The company raised funds this week to acquire 17,284.73 Bitcoin through STRC.
  • Strategy continues to purchase an average of 9,000 Bitcoin per working week.
  • The firm needs to increase its holdings by about 20% to reach 1,000,000 Bitcoin.

Michael Saylor signaled a renewed accumulation plan as Strategy approaches 1,000,000 BTC on its balance sheet. He posted an image with the caption, “Millions of Possibilities, One Solution,” which referenced STRC preferred shares. Meanwhile, the company continues raising capital and converting proceeds into Bitcoin purchases at a steady pace.

STRC Mechanism Drives Capital Toward Bitcoin Accumulation

Saylor shared a photo holding an orange Rubik’s Cube and wrote, “Millions of Possibilities, One Solution.” He linked the message to STRC, which Strategy uses to fund Bitcoin acquisitions. The post appeared as issuance levels for STRC preferred shares reached record highs.

According to the company’s weekly report starting April 13, STRC keeps channeling market liquidity into Bitcoin purchases. Data from strc.live shows Strategy raised funds this week to acquire 17,284.73 BTC. The firm continues executing purchases as capital becomes available.

STRC enables Strategy to buy Bitcoin by leveraging the spread between its cost of capital and the asset’s yield. Shares currently trade at parity near $100, which supports issuance efficiency. As a result, the company maintains steady access to funding under present market conditions.

Path to 1,000,000 BTC and Current Reserve Status

Strategy’s Bitcoin reserves may have surpassed 800,000 BTC based on recent disclosures. To reach 1,000,000 BTC, the company needs to increase holdings by about 20%. The firm continues accumulating coins through weekly purchases funded by STRC.

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At the current rate of roughly 9,000 BTC per working week, Strategy could reach its target within 24 weeks. That timeline points to completion by the end of 2026 if the pace remains unchanged. The company maintains a structured acquisition schedule tied to capital inflows.

Strategy’s Bitcoin holdings now carry a market value of more than $57.7 billion. The company reports it has reached breakeven on its aggregate position at current prices. It continues publishing updates that detail both issuance activity and Bitcoin purchases.

STRC issuance volume remains active as shares trade close to their $100 reference value. This pricing level supports continued capital raises without discount pressure. The company therefore, sustains its funding approach while expanding its Bitcoin reserves.

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Bitcoin Stalls at $76K As Profit-Taking Hit 63K BTC

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Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Adoption, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Liquidity, Whale

Bitcoin’s (BTC) rally stalled above $76,000 stalled on Tuesday after short-term profit-taking by traders reached its highest level in 2026. 

The activity coincided with continued accumulation by long-term holders, and this opposing interaction between the two cohorts may continue to impact Bitcoin’s attempts to break into the $80,000 range.

Bitcoin profit-taking meets whale demand

New Bitcoin short-term holders moved their holdings as BTC in profit sent to exchanges reached 63,000 BTC on April 14, the highest level in 2026, since the 44,800 spike on Jan. 14.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Adoption, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Liquidity, Whale
BTC short-term holder P&L to exchanges in 24-hours. Source: CryptoQuant

Onchain data shows that the one-day-to-one-week cohort moved nearly 2,000 BTC back to Binance during the same time. This implied that freshly acquired coins are rotating into sell-side liquidity as BTC traded near $76,000.

Crypto analyst Amr Taha flagged this as the first clear wave of profit-taking after the retest of the monthly highs. The activity aligns with cautious distribution, in which newer participants seek to secure gains at key resistance levels during a bear market.

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Taha noted that this indicates a natural cooling phase in momentum.

Meanwhile, BTC whale behavior shows a different pattern. Market analyst CW noted a single-day inflow of over 71,000 BTC into accumulation addresses, the largest bullish inflow since early 2022. The large holders appear to be absorbing available supply from the short-term sellers. 

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Adoption, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Liquidity, Whale
BTC inflows to accumulation addresses. Source: CryptoQuant

The relationship between these flows points to a transfer of coins from weaker hands to stronger ones, which may stabilize the price while limiting an immediate rally.

Related: Bitcoin ETFs post $412M in inflows as Goldman Sachs files for BTC ETF

Bitcoin liquidity cluster may lead to a small dip

After forming equal highs near $76,000, BTC’s price rejected near the 100-day exponential moving average (EMA), marking the first test of this trend since Jan. 14. The momentum slowed after the rejection, with price slipping to $73,500.

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Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Adoption, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Liquidity, Whale
BTC/USDT on the one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

However, on the lower time frame, the bullish trend remains intact. 

On the one-hour chart, internal liquidity levels are resting around $73,000 and $72,000. These zones may attract bid orders that may get filled before a trend continuation.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Adoption, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Liquidity, Whale
BTC/USDT on the one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The liquidation heatmap provides additional context, with $1.4 billion in cumulative long liquidations clustered around $73,000. That figure rises to $3.5 billion in long positions at risk near $70,500.

At the opposite end, a move toward $80,000 would expose $2 billion in leveraged short positions. The spread between the long and short liquidation zones suggests BTC may retest the $72,000 to $70,000 range before moving higher. 

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Adoption, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Liquidity, Whale
Bitcoin exchange liquidation map. Source: CoinGlass

Related: Bitcoin shows ‘bull market behavior’ as chart pattern targets $90K