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XRP Must Reclaim This Level to End the Bearish Trend

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XRP Must Reclaim This Level to End the Bearish Trend

Ripple’s XRP remains under clear bearish pressure, but instead of accelerating lower, the market has transitioned into a compression phase. The price action is now stabilizing near a key psychological floor, with volatility declining as both sides hesitate to commit aggressively.

Ripple Price Analysis: The Daily Chart

On the daily timeframe, XRP’s decisive breakdown below the descending channel’s midline triggered a strong impulsive sell-off that drove the price toward the $1 demand region. That breakdown confirmed a structural shift in favor of sellers. Although a rebound followed, it stalled beneath the $1.5 resistance zone, which now acts as a firm supply area.

The inability to reclaim $1.5 signals that the recent upside move was corrective rather than impulsive. Sellers remain active on rallies, defending overhead supply. As long as XRP trades below $1.5, the broader structure remains tilted to the downside.

Currently, the price is consolidating between $1 and $1.5, with $1 acting as the primary daily demand. A decisive breakdown below $1 could expose the market to deeper downside continuation, while only a strong daily close above $1.5 would shift short-term momentum back in favor of buyers.

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XRP/USDT 4-Hour Chart

On the 4-hour timeframe, the rebound from $1 appears as a sharp reaction move fueled by short-term profit-taking. The recovery pushed the price toward $1.5, but the structure shows clear hesitation and rejection inside that supply region.

The market is now compressing between $1 demand and $1.5 supply, forming a range-bound structure. This reflects temporary equilibrium rather than trend reversal. Buyers are defending $1, but they lack the strength to challenge $1.5 convincingly.

If Ripple manages a clean breakout above $1.5 with momentum, the next meaningful supply zone sits around $1.8. Conversely, a breakdown below $1 would likely reintroduce aggressive selling pressure and resume the broader bearish leg.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin’s Quantum Migration May Reveal Number of Satoshi Coins: Adam Back

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Bitcoin's Quantum Migration May Reveal Number of Satoshi Coins: Adam Back

Blockstream CEO Adam Back said Thursday that a future post-quantum migration of Bitcoin could help clarify how many coins linked to Satoshi Nakamoto remain accessible, because any owner wanting to protect vulnerable holdings would need to move them to a new address format.

Speaking at Paris Blockchain Week, Back said such a migration would likely give users ample time to move funds and argued that coins left unmoved after that process could reasonably be treated as lost.

“This migration to post-quantum address format may tell us how many of those coins [Satoshi] still has,” said Back, adding that the pseudonymous creator has an estimated 500,000 to 1 million Bitcoin (BTC).

Satoshi’s Bitcoin stash has ignited heated debate among Bitcoin holders concerned by the quantum computing threat. On Wednesday, Jameson Lopp and five co-authors published a Bitcoin Improvement Proposal aimed at restricting the future movement of coins held in quantum-vulnerable address formats, including older coins whose public keys have already been exposed.

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Adam Back, keynote speech at Paris Blockchain Week in 2026. Source: Cointelegraph

Blockchain data platform Arkham estimates that Nakamoto-linked wallets hold 1.09 million Bitcoin, currently valued at $81.6 billion.

Related: Bernstein says Bitcoin market already priced in quantum risk

Back sees long runway on quantum

Back said Bitcoin developers and holders still have substantial time to prepare, arguing that a quantum breakthrough capable of threatening Bitcoin signatures is at least 20 years away.

He argued that today’s quantum computers are “less powerful than a $5 calculator” and that some of their issues become more pressing as these systems scale, such as their energy consumption.

Back said that runway should give developers and users ample time to develop a post-quantum path and migrate to a new quantum-resistant standard underpinned by hash-based signatures.

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Hash-based signature schemes for Bitcoin, research paper. Source: Blockstream Research

In December 2025, Back’s Blockstream Research released a paper proposing a hash-based signature scheme that offers a “promising path for securing Bitcoin in a post-quantum world,” as a quantum-safe replacement for the ECDSA and Schnorr signatures. Under the proposal, security would rely solely on hash function assumptions, similar to the ones currently used in Bitcoin’s network design.

The Elliptic Curve Digital Signature Algorithm (ECDSA) uses elliptic-curve cryptography to verify the authenticity and integrity of a message. Schnorr signatures are another signature scheme praised for enhancing privacy and reducing data size, due to their ability to combine multiple signatures into one.

Magazine: Bitcoin vs. the quantum computer threat — Timeline and solutions (2025–2035)