Crypto World
XRP Price Prediction: Ripple Faces Strongest Derivatives Selling Pressure
XRP price is having a more complicated prediction than that single red number suggests. Beneath the surface, derivatives desks are running the most aggressive selling program of 2026, and yet leverage keeps piling in.
Binance net taker volume dropped to -$96 million, the strongest aggressive sell push reported this year. Open interest on the same exchange still climbed roughly 14.8%, meaning fresh positions kept entering a market where sellers held the upper hand.

A 90-day taker cumulative volume delta reading also flagged “sell dominance,” reinforcing the bearish tilt already visible in taker flow. This is an unusual setup, falling taker volume paired with rising open interest doesn’t happen when a market is simply losing interest. It happens when new money arrives and picks a side, and right now that side is short.
The question is whether XRP’s two-week rally has enough structural support left to absorb another wave of selling.
Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio
XRP Price Prediction: Can Ripple Token Hit $1.50 This Week?
XRP trades at the $1.40 level after a 24-hour swing between $1.40 and $1.46, a range that itself signals the tug-of-war between profit-taking and dip-buying.
Futures open interest sits near $3.46 billion, down about $30.17 million in 24 hours, a modest cooling rather than a full unwind. Roughly $20 million in leveraged longs were reportedly liquidated during the pullback, confirming forced deleveraging rather than pure spot rotation.
Immediate support sits at $1.41, then $1.39, with a firmer floor near $1.37–$1.38. Resistance clusters at $1.46–$1.49, and the real test is the $1.50–$1.55 supply zone that has capped rallies before.
The best scenario will materialize if XRP can hold $1.41 and then reclaim $1.46 that could open a path toward $1.50, with stretch targets near $1.80–$2.00 if that supply zone breaks.
The most likely scenario is a choppy consolidation between $1.39 and $1.49 while derivatives positioning resets. But a break below $1.37 invalidates the rebound structure and exposes $1.34.
Trade XRP on Bybit and Get a Chance to Win Our $1,000 USDT Airdrop
Bitcoin Hyper Targets Early Mover Upside as XRP Tests Key Levels
Getting XRP back to prior highs now requires grinding through a wall of aggressive sellers, not exactly the setup that rewards patience.
Traders who bought the rally are underwater on sentiment, even if not yet on price, and that’s pushing some capital toward earlier-stage plays where the entry point isn’t fighting a $3.46 billion open-interest overhang.
Bitcoin Hyper is one of those plays. It’s building the first Bitcoin Layer 2 with native SVM integration, aiming to process transactions faster than Solana itself while settling back to Bitcoin’s base layer.
The presale has raised $33 million at a token price of just $0.0136853, with staking rewards already live at a high 35% APY only for presale buyers. Its Decentralized Canonical Bridge targets one of Bitcoin’s oldest complaints: no programmability, no smart contracts, no speed.
Research Bitcoin Hyper before the next raise milestone.
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Crypto World
Justin Sun Says His Girlfriend Asked for $50 Million. AI Told Him No
Justin Sun has taken his breakup with Chinese actress Jing Tian to court. The TRON founder is suing her and her parents to recover roughly $4.5 million.
The filing landed alongside a sprawling personal essay Sun posted on X, which drew more than 33 million views in a day. Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) has since called for restraint.
How Justin Sun and Jing Tian Ended Up in Court
The two met in Hong Kong and dated through late 2025. Sun proposed on a Maldives island in January, then wired the 30 million yuan to two accounts held by her parents.
By late February, the relationship had moved to California. Jing Tian checked into a Laguna Beach resort ahead of an egg retrieval procedure, part of a surrogacy plan Sun says she raised herself.
The Tron founder writes that she phoned him on the 8th day and named a price of $50 million before proceeding. He says he ran his cash position through Claude AI, was told to refuse, and went quiet. She hung up and left.
Together with the bride price his lawyers are now chasing, that figure puts the dispute at $54.5 million.
“If I had given her the money that day, would she have stayed?” wrote Justin Sun.
He later told Hong Kong outlet The Standard that he still cannot say whether the machine’s judgment, or his own, was right.
Jing, 38, has now fired back without directly addressing Sun’s individual claims.
“I will never sell my love for money,” Jing Tian wrote on Weibo, adding that she believes the courts will ultimately establish the truth.
Her studio has similarly said the dispute should be handled through legal proceedings.
Why CZ Called Him Out
CZ drew a line between marketing and personal damage. Hard promotion is fair, he wrote. Wrecking a career is not.
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The framing matters. Zhao read the essay as a marketing exercise rather than a confession, and drew the line at reputational damage. This time his sparring partner is not Star Xu, the OKX founder whose long-running clash with CZ has flared repeatedly this year.
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Crypto World
Lazarus Group resurfaces with $19.4M Bitcoin move
North Korea-linked Lazarus Group has transferred 244.148 Bitcoin worth about $19.42 million, bringing fresh attention to wallets associated with one of the crypto industry’s most active hacking operations.
Summary
- Lazarus Group transferred 244.148 BTC worth about $19.42 million, according to Lookonchain.
- The transaction’s destination and connection to any earlier theft remain undisclosed.
- Another Lazarus-linked wallet moved 262.2 BTC to a new address earlier in August.
- U.S. sanctions generally prohibit Americans from dealing with property linked to the Lazarus Group.
Lazarus Group moves 244 BTC between wallets
Lookonchain reported the transfer in an Aug. 28 X post, saying wallets attributed to Lazarus Group had become active again and moved 244.148 BTC about an hour before its alert.
Bitcoin traded at roughly $79,500 when the analytics account published its estimate, placing the transaction’s value at $19.42 million. Lookonchain did not identify the receiving address in the text of the post or say whether the Bitcoin moved to an exchange, mixer, or another wallet controlled by the group.
Without a disclosed destination, the transaction alone does not show that Lazarus sold or attempted to cash out the Bitcoin. Public blockchain records confirm when funds move between addresses, but connecting those addresses to an organization usually depends on labels and analysis supplied by investigators or blockchain intelligence firms.
The Aug. 28 transaction followed another large Bitcoin movement attributed to the group earlier in the month. On Aug. 12, Lookonchain said Lazarus transferred 262.2 BTC, then valued at approximately $16.64 million, from an identified wallet to a newly created address.
At the time, the analytics account described the transaction as a wallet-to-wallet transfer rather than a sale. Taken at their reported dollar values, the two August movements involved more than $36 million in Bitcoin, though no source has confirmed that the transactions came from the same balance or served the same purpose.
Past wallet activity shows why the destination matters. In March 2025, five unknown addresses received a combined 44.07 BTC worth about $3.76 million from wallets attributed to Lazarus, according to earlier on-chain reporting. The transactions reduced the tracked wallet’s holdings to 13,441 BTC at the time.
Bybit theft left Bitcoin across thousands of addresses
As crypto.news previously reported, Bybit sued North Korea and Lazarus Group in a Washington, D.C., federal court on Aug. 7, seeking to recover assets tied to the exchange’s $1.5 billion theft.
The lawsuit also named North Korea’s Reconnaissance General Bureau, or RGB, which the U.S. Treasury identifies as the country’s main intelligence agency. A federal judge issued a preliminary injunction that blocked unidentified defendants from transferring, selling, or disposing of certain assets connected to the case.
Bybit filed the civil action separately from ongoing U.S. criminal investigations. A preliminary injunction preserves the identified property while litigation continues and does not amount to a final decision on ownership or liability.
The FBI attributed the February 2025 Bybit attack to North Korean actors operating under the TraderTraitor name. According to the agency, the attackers converted part of the stolen holdings into Bitcoin and other assets before spreading them across thousands of addresses on several blockchains.
In its public alert, the FBI said it expected the assets to be moved again and eventually exchanged for government-issued currency. The bureau asked exchanges, bridges, decentralized finance services, blockchain analytics companies, and node operators to block transactions involving the addresses it identified.
By April 2025, Bybit CEO Ben Zhou said 27.6% of the stolen funds could no longer be tracked, according to an August report on North Korea’s attack methods. The same report said the distribution of assets across many Bitcoin wallets had made blockchain tracing more difficult.
Lookonchain has not connected the latest 244.148 BTC transfer directly to the Bybit theft. No government agency or blockchain intelligence company cited in the available reporting has publicly identified the source of the coins involved in the Aug. 28 movement.
Lazarus-linked attacks continued into 2026
Chainalysis estimated that North Korean hackers stole at least $2.02 billion in cryptocurrency during 2025, an increase of 51% from the previous year. The firm placed the country’s cumulative crypto theft at no less than $6.75 billion by the end of that period.
According to its December 2025 report, North Korean operations accounted for 76% of the value lost through attacks on crypto services during the year. Chainalysis said the attackers carried out fewer confirmed incidents but extracted larger amounts from successful breaches.
The firm also found that North Korean operators had increasingly targeted companies through impersonation and employee access. Some actors posed as job applicants to enter crypto businesses, while others pretended to recruit for known Web3 and artificial intelligence companies, according to Chainalysis.
Activity attributed to Lazarus continued in April 2026 when attackers drained approximately 116,500 rsETH, worth about $292 million, from KelpDAO’s LayerZero-based bridge. LayerZero attributed the attack with preliminary confidence to Lazarus Group’s TraderTraitor unit.
Chainalysis later said the attackers compromised infrastructure that supplied blockchain information to LayerZero’s verification system. By feeding false data to the system, they caused an Ethereum contract to release assets even though no matching token burn had occurred on the source network.
Rapid intervention blocked a second attempted theft worth about $95 million, according to Chainalysis. The Arbitrum Security Council also froze more than 30,000 ETH that investigators connected to the attacker’s downstream transactions.
By June, the KelpDAO attacker had moved approximately $220 million in unfrozen assets through privacy services, according to subsequent tracking data. The routes included THORChain, Wasabi, Tornado Cash, and Umbra, while around $1.7 million remained in the original wallets.
U.S. sanctions restrict dealings with Lazarus Group
The U.S. Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control sanctioned Lazarus Group in September 2019 under an executive order targeting the North Korean government. OFAC identified Lazarus, Bluenoroff, and Andariel as state-controlled hacking groups connected to the RGB.
Under the designation, property belonging to Lazarus that enters the United States or comes under the possession or control of a U.S. person must be blocked and reported to OFAC. Treasury regulations also generally prohibit Americans from conducting transactions with sanctioned entities unless the agency authorizes them.
Treasury said Lazarus had targeted governments, financial institutions, media companies, manufacturers, infrastructure operators and cryptocurrency businesses through cyber theft, espionage and malware attacks. The department linked the group to the 2014 Sony Pictures breach and the WannaCry ransomware attack that affected computers across at least 150 countries.
U.S. authorities have also acted against services used to process funds tied to the group. In 2022, the Treasury sanctioned the virtual currency mixer Blender.io after saying it had handled more than $20.5 million from the roughly $620 million Ronin Network theft. The FBI later attributed the Ronin attack to Lazarus Group and APT38.
In August 2023, the FBI separately warned crypto companies about movements involving Bitcoin stolen by North Korean TraderTraitor actors. The agency said the group could attempt to cash out more than $40 million in Bitcoin and published six wallet addresses for private companies to examine.
Crypto World
Solana Validators Pass Proposal to Speed Up SOL Disinflation
Solana validators have approved a change to the network’s token supply schedule that accelerates how quickly inflation is reduced. In finalized governance results, the “Double Disinflation” proposal (SGP-0002) won 67% support, with 25.16% voting against and 7.84% abstaining, based on the participation of 60.7% of eligible stake.
The decision increases Solana’s annual disinflation rate from 15% to 30% while keeping the network’s long-term inflation target at 1.5% unchanged. That adjustment is expected to shorten the time to reach “terminal inflation” from about 5.7 years to roughly 2.8 years, according to Solana Compass reporting.
Key takeaways
- SGP-0002 passes: 67% of voting stake supported doubling Solana’s disinflation rate to 30%.
- Participation matters: 60.7% of eligible stake voted, setting the approval turnout for the first binding governance cycle.
- Terminal inflation arrives sooner: Solana Compass estimates ~2.8 years versus ~5.7 years under the prior schedule.
- Lower projected issuance: The change implies about 18.9 million fewer SOL to be issued over the next six years.
- Trade-offs for staking: Faster supply reduction may also reduce staking rewards for validators and delegators compared with the earlier plan.
What validators approved and what it changes
The approved proposal, identified as SGP-0002 (“Double Disinflation”), modifies how Solana reduces inflation over time. Per the finalized vote results published on Solana’s governance portal, the annual disinflation rate is set to rise from 15% to 30%, with Solana’s long-term inflation target remaining at 1.5%.
Practically, that means the network expects to reach its terminal inflation rate considerably faster. Solana Compass reported that the new schedule would bring the 1.5% target in about 2.8 years rather than the previously estimated ~5.7 years.
Impact on issuance, dilution, and staking economics
Supply changes tend to reshape incentives across the ecosystem, and SGP-0002 is no exception. Along with the timing shift, the proposal is expected to reduce future SOL issuance. The article’s figures cite an estimate of 18.9 million fewer SOL issued over the next six years, which would lower dilution pressure for existing holders.
At the same time, faster disinflation can also change the staking payoff profile. The updated approach is expected to reduce staking rewards for validators and delegators relative to what the slower schedule would have produced—an important consideration for participants who rely on rewards as part of their broader returns.
First binding governance cycle: Constitution passes, other fee proposal rejected
SGP-0002 was voted on as part of Solana’s first binding governance process. Alongside the supply change, the process also approved a proposed Solana Constitution, while rejecting a separate proposal related to resource and inclusion fees.
This broader package matters because it shows how Solana’s governance framework is being tested not only on monetary policy, but also on the rules that shape how future decisions are made and how the network structures certain operational costs.
Major voters were split—Kraken’s position shifted during the vote
Finalized governance data show that even large participants did not uniformly align behind the supply change. Figment—reported as the largest voter shown in the finalized dataset with 17.1 million SOL staked—voted entirely against SGP-0002, while other major stakeholders such as Helius and Jupiter overwhelmingly supported the measure.
Another notable development was Kraken’s changing stance. Solana Compass reported that Kraken initially voted against SGP-0002 at 12:33 UTC, which temporarily pushed support below the required threshold. By the end of voting, more than 90% of Kraken’s roughly 8.9 million SOL voting stake backed the proposal.
For investors and delegators, these splits highlight a key dynamic: while the final outcome was clear, major market participants evaluated the supply schedule trade-offs differently during the process.
Governance decision arrives alongside ETF momentum
Solana’s governance vote also landed as US-listed Solana investment products continue to pull in capital. According to an X post by Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas, Bitwise’s Solana ETF recently surpassed $1 billion in assets, becoming the first Solana ETF to reach that milestone.
The post also claimed that US Solana ETFs have accumulated roughly $1.7 billion in cumulative net inflows, with little sustained outflow since launch, even as SOL’s performance earlier in the year lagged relative to broader expectations.
While ETF flows are not directly tied to validator voting, both developments reflect the same underlying question for Solana: how governance outcomes around monetary policy can influence long-term holder incentives at the same time that traditional investment access expands.
Next, market participants will likely watch how the faster path to 1.5% terminal inflation affects staking yields and validator incentives over time, and whether future governance proposals continue to settle contentious economic questions with similar turnout and stakeholder alignment.
Crypto World
Bitcoin, Bonds, and Stocks Enter a Dangerous September Pattern
September has a bad reputation on Wall Street, especially during US midterm election years. Across the last 10 midterm cycles, the average stock-market low arrived on September 2.
By the time stocks reached those lows, they had fallen an average 16.77% from their previous high.
Bitcoin is entering the same period near $77,500, while US stocks remain close to record highs and long-term bond yields stay unusually elevated. The question now is whether 2026 follows the old pattern.
Midterm Lows Cluster in Early September
Hartford Funds studied 10 US midterm election years between 1986 and 2022. Every one saw stocks suffer a sizeable drop from their yearly high.
The damage varied enormously. Stocks fell 33.75% in 2002, while the biggest drop in 2014 was just 7.40%. The actual lows also occurred at very different points in the year.
So September 2 is a historical average, not a deadline for the next crash. And so far, 2026 has refused to follow the usual script.
The Fed is Debating a Rate Hike, Not a Cut
The macro setup has flipped since the spring, with Fed Chair Kevin Warsh using his first Jackson Hole speech on Friday to put prices first.
His own figures explain why, as the Fed chair said the PCE price index rose 3.7% over 12 months, while the six-month pace ran hotter at 4.1%. Inflation is not just high, it is accelerating.
Bonds add credence to the outlook, with the 30-year Treasury yield touching 5.28% on August 21 and closing August 26 at 5.17%. As of this writing, it stood at $5.20, with the effective fed funds rate at only 3.63%.
Fed presidents Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan already voted for a hike in July. The minutes showed officials fear repeated supply shocks keep delaying inflation’s return to target.
Kalshi traders now put September Fed hike odds at 53%, against roughly 48% for a hold.
Bitcoin Meets the Calendar at $80,000
Bitcoin just booked its record weekly dollar gain, adding $14,775 as spot ETF buying hit its fastest pace since October 2025. The rally then stalled at Bitcoin’s $80,000 ceiling.
BTC still trades 37% below its $126,080 peak from October 6, 2025. The wider crypto market slipped 0.80% on Friday to about $2.66 trillion.
Precedent argues for caution, because the last time the Fed tightened into a midterm autumn, Bitcoin’s last hiking cycle dragged it down roughly 65% to a $15,500 low in November 2022.
Meanwhile, dealer hedging offers a thin floor, as the SPY, the fund tracking the S&P 500, traded at $770.20 against a gamma flip at $767. Below that line, hedging stops cushioning drops and starts feeding them.
Still, the record cuts both ways because across those same 10 midterm cycles, the S&P 500 gained 27.80% on average in the year after the low.
The question is whether Bitcoin has to find that low first.
The post Bitcoin, Bonds, and Stocks Enter a Dangerous September Pattern appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Appeals court rules against prediction markets, tees up SCOTUS fight
A Kalshi advertisement seen in Washington D.C. on March 27, 2026.
Paul Lester | CNBC
The Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals rejected prediction markets platforms’ requests for injunctive relief against the Nevada Gaming Control Board, concluding that sports-related event contracts are not a derivative regulated by the federal government.
The court rejected appeals by Kalshi and Crypto.com, two prediction market platforms, to stop Nevada from halting their operations which the state claims are gambling offerings outside of the gaming control board’s framework. The court also ruled against Robinhood’s request for injunctive relief. That firm also features event contracts on its trading platform.
Under scrutiny were the platforms’ sports-related event contract offerings, which 44 states argue are nothing more than sports betting. However, the platforms — and their federal regulator, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission — claim all event contracts, no matter the topic, are swaps. Swaps are a type of derivative under the purview of the CFTC, and the agency asserts that it has the exclusive jurisdiction to regulate all event contracts.
The CFTC has even sued nine states to defend what it believes is its sole right to make rules for prediction markets.
But the ninth circuit rejected that argument. “The sports event contracts were not ‘swaps’ because they were sports bets,” the court said in its opinion against Kalshi.
The Nevada Attorney General’s office said the ruling was a major victory.
“Kalshi sought to sidestep Nevada’s gaming laws by claiming its sports wagering products were federally regulated financial instruments beyond the reach of state regulators,” deputy communications director for the office Alcinia Whiters said in a statement. “The Ninth Circuit rejected that argument and made clear what we have maintained from the beginning: sports betting does not become something else simply because a company calls it an ‘event contract’ … Our office is proud to have defended Nevada’s authority.”
“The Ninth Circuit rejected that argument and made clear what we have maintained from the beginning: sports betting does not become something else simply because a company calls it an ‘event contract.’
In a statement to CNBC, a CFTC spokesperson said that the court understood that swaps are exclusively regulated by the commission, but said it was wrong to believe that sports-related event contracts don’t fall under that definition.
“A derivative contract structured as a swap is a swap regardless of the underlying subject matter — the only exceptions in statute are onions and movie box office receipts,” the spokesperson said in a statement. “The Ninth Circuit erred today when it invented a new and atextual exception to the CEA,” referring to the Commodity Exchange Act, the law that details which event contracts the CFTC is allowed to permit and reject.
Legal experts have widely expected that the question of sports-related event contracts, and whether state gaming regulators or the CFTC has the right to regulate them, will eventually reach the Supreme Court.
That now appears very likely, as the ninth circuit’s decision contradicts a ruling from the Third Circuit Court of Appeals in early April. In that case, the third circuit ruled that only the CFTC has the jurisdiction to regulate sports-related event contracts.
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) headquarters in Washington, DC, US, on Thursday, Aug. 20, 2026.
Daniel Heuer | Bloomberg | Getty Images
“This is a classic circuit split,” said Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School. Circuit splits are when federal appeals courts rule differently on the same topic. “Ultimately, this is the kind of legal controversy or legal difference of opinion which will make its way to the Supreme Court.”
In a statement, Robinhood said it plans to appeal the decision. “Every eligible customer should have access to these markets, which are federally regulated by the CFTC and offered through our CFTC-registered Futures Commission Merchant,” a spokesperson said.
Kalshi and Crypto.com did not immediately respond to requests for comment.
Meanwhile, shares of two online sportsbooks, DraftKings and Flutter Entertainment — the parent company of FanDuel — rose in response to the ruling. Both stocks have been hit in the last year over concerns of prediction markets disrupting the industry, and the companies have rushed to get their own prediction market exchanges online.
DraftKings jumped 7%, while Flutter was up more than 6%.
Disclosure: CNBC and Kalshi have a commercial relationship that includes customer acquisition and a minority investment.
Crypto World
Bitcoin Price is Moving Like Gold, and Grayscale Says It's No Coincidence
Grayscale’s research arm warned this week that Bitcoin’s correlation with gold has climbed above 50%, a shift the asset manager frames as the return of the debasement trade.
The finding marks a sharp reversal from recent years, when Bitcoin frequently traded in step with growth stocks rather than hard assets.
How Grayscale Measured Bitcoin’s Shift Toward Gold
In a recent note, Grayscale Head of Research Zach Pandl reported that Bitcoin’s 90-day correlation with gold rose from near zero at the start of the year to above 50%. Over the same period, its correlation with the Nasdaq 100 slipped from more than 60% to roughly 33%.
Pandl said the shift may reflect renewed investor focus on Bitcoin’s scarcity, monetary independence, and role as a store of value, according to Grayscale’s ongoing research series. He stopped short of offering any specific price target tied to the finding.
“…As fiscal imbalances grow and investors reassess the long-term purchasing power of fiat currencies, Bitcoin can serve as a scarce, liquid alternative alongside gold. That combination of scarcity and differentiated return drivers can make Bitcoin a compelling addition to a modern diversified portfolio,” Grayscale Head of Research said.
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The debasement trade refers to the argument that hard, supply-capped assets tend to appreciate as fiat currencies lose purchasing power over time.
That framing has gained traction as US federal debt has passed $40 trillion, with persistent fiscal deficits renewing attention on scarce alternatives to cash.
Why the Gold Correlation Shift Matters
Gold has already been on an extended bull run this year, reinforcing the narrative that investors are rotating toward traditional hedges against currency weakness.
Bitcoin’s rising correlation with gold, rather than tech stocks, suggests at least part of that flow may now be extending into digital assets as well. Pandl argued that Bitcoin and other scarce digital assets may be entering a more favorable market regime under these conditions.
Grayscale’s broader research this year has repeatedly linked Bitcoin’s price action to the debasement trade, including a January note that described the asset’s disconnect from currency weakness amid regulatory uncertainty.
“…Unchecked government debt growth undermines the credibility of fiat currencies and drives investors to seek out alternative stores of value like physical gold and certain cryptocurrencies—in digital assets we think the so-called “debasement trade” will primarily benefit Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Zcash…,” Pandl noted.
The finding, however, describes a company’s research view rather than a realized market outcome. Correlation measures how assets have moved together in the past, not where prices will head next, and a 90-day rolling window can shift quickly if market conditions change.
Bitcoin’s relationship with both gold and stocks has changed meaningfully within a single calendar year before, and Grayscale itself has highlighted periods when Bitcoin tracked tech stocks far more closely than precious metals.
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Crypto World
Solana Governance Approves Faster Reduction in SOL Issuance
Solana validators have approved a proposal to double the network’s annual disinflation rate, reducing future SOL issuance.
According to finalized voting results, the proposal received 67% support, with 25.16% voting against and 7.84% abstaining. Overall participation reached 60.7% of eligible stake.
The proposal, known as SGP-0002 or Double Disinflation, increases Solana’s annual disinflation rate from 15% to 30%, while leaving the network’s long-term inflation target of 1.5% unchanged.
Under the new schedule, Solana is expected to reach its 1.5% terminal inflation rate in about 2.8 years, compared with roughly 5.7 years under the previous schedule, Solana Compass reported. The change would result in an estimated 18.9 million fewer SOL being issued over the next six years, reducing dilution for SOL holders but also lowering staking rewards for validators and delegators.

SGP-0002 passed with 67% support and 60.7% participation. Source: Solana Governance
The vote was part of Solana’s first binding governance process, which also approved a proposed Solana Constitution while rejecting a separate proposal on resource and inclusion fees.
Some of the largest participants were divided over SGP-0002. Figment, the largest voter shown in finalized governance data with 17.1 million SOL staked, voted entirely against the measure, while Helius and Jupiter overwhelmingly backed it.
Kraken was among those whose position shifted during the vote. The US-based crypto exchange initially voted against SGP-0002 at 12:33 UTC, temporarily pushing support below the required threshold. By the end of voting, more than 90% of its roughly 8.9 million SOL voting stake backed the proposal.

Top voters were split on SGP-0002. Source: Solana Governance
Related: Solana transactions hit record 4.2B as SOL rallies 40%
Solana ETF assets cross $1 billion
The governance vote comes as US-listed Solana investment products continue to attract investor capital despite SOL’s weaker performance earlier this year.
Bitwise’s Solana ETF recently surpassed $1 billion in assets, becoming the first Solana ETF to reach the milestone, according to an X post from Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas on Friday.
US Solana ETFs have attracted roughly $1.7 billion in cumulative net inflows, with little sustained outflow since their launch, Balchunas said Friday.

Source: Eric Balchunas
Magazine: Hugging Face hack exposes the open-weight AI cybersecurity paradox
Crypto World
Bitcoin Surges as Wall Street Finalizes Crypto Trade Paperwork
Bitcoin reclaimed levels above $80,000, pulling a wave of momentum through crypto equities and the broader digital-asset “plumbing” that links token demand to traditional finance. The rally has coincided with expectations around US long-dated Treasury bond buybacks and renewed political pressure for clearer US crypto regulation, helping lift miners, exchanges, and stablecoin-linked businesses.
At the same time, the market’s focus is narrowing onto how access to dollar-based capital markets and payment rails translates into real onchain activity and institutional balance sheets. From Circle’s USDC growth thesis to Strategy’s debt-servicing risk framework and Solana’s record throughput, this week’s developments underline a common theme: crypto performance is increasingly tied to traditional liquidity conditions and regulated financial infrastructure.
Key takeaways
- Bitcoin trading above $80,000 lifted crypto stocks, with miners and digital asset treasury firms posting double-digit gains as broader risk appetite improved.
- Bernstein says Circle’s USDC supply growth resumed after a six-month slowdown, pointing to a potential “next leg” driven by tokenized capital markets and payments adoption.
- Regime Intelligence frames Strategy’s main vulnerability as financing access rather than a BTC price collapse, emphasizing the ability to service annual obligations.
- Solana recorded a new high of 4.2 billion onchain transactions in July, supported by a concurrent 40% price move and accelerating real-world asset (RWA) tokenization activity.
Bitcoin’s rebound pulls crypto stocks higher
Bitcoin’s move back above $80,000 helped drive gains across public crypto markets. According to Cointelegraph Markets coverage, the week’s advance lifted miners and digital asset treasury companies, while broader sentiment tracked with expectations around the US Treasury’s plan to double certain long-dated bond buybacks.
Over the past week, Canaan, MARA Holdings, and Strive were cited among the biggest gainers. Coinbase and Robinhood also rallied as the recovery extended. CoinMarketCap data cited in the original reporting showed Bitcoin pushing its weekly advance beyond 23%, while Ether rose nearly 30% to trade above $2,500.
On the policy front, President Trump renewed calls for Congress to pass the CLARITY Act, though the bill remained stalled after lawmakers failed to move it forward before the August recess. The bill’s potential impact—clearer rules for US crypto markets—remains a key variable for long-term institutional participation. Trump also revived the idea of government Bitcoin purchases, but neither scenario is guaranteed.
For investors, the market’s reaction suggests that timing matters: risk-on conditions can quickly reprice shares tied to crypto asset exposure, even before regulatory clarity arrives. What remains important is whether the rally can persist without a further improvement in capital-market liquidity.
Bernstein renews its USDC growth cycle outlook for Circle
Circle has also come under fresh analyst attention, with Bernstein arguing that USDC could enter a renewed growth phase over the next 12 months as stablecoin supply growth picks up again.
In a Monday research note, Bernstein said USDC supply increased by roughly $2 billion in seven days, ending a six-month stretch of stagnant or declining growth. The firm maintained an Outperform rating on Circle and a $140 price target—an outlook that implies around 60% upside based on the assumptions in its coverage. The original report also noted that Circle’s shares had risen about 40% over the past month.
Bernstein’s thesis ties the next stage of USDC growth to several connected catalysts: renewed crypto momentum, improving US regulatory clarity, and broader adoption of tokenized capital markets and payments. The firm also pointed to early signs of demand from AI agents, though the underlying data for that claim was not detailed in the source.
One specific metric cited in the report—USDC’s share of adjusted transaction volume—helps explain the argument’s direction. Bernstein reported that USDC’s share rose from roughly 40% in 2025 to over 60% so far in 2026, overtaking Tether’s USDt on that measure. In a competitive stablecoin market, share of transaction volume can matter as much as raw supply growth because it reflects which asset is being used as the settlement layer in active flows.
The analyst backdrop is complicated by Circle’s own trading history since its June 2025 IPO, when shares were priced at $31. After an early post-IPO surge, the stock fell back toward that level by November 2025 as crypto markets entered a downturn—an episode that underscores how sensitive even “infrastructure” narratives can be to risk cycles.
Strategy’s key risk: capital market access, not a BTC price wipeout
While much of crypto reporting focuses on Bitcoin’s price path, a Regime Intelligence report highlighted a different risk channel for Strategy: the threat is not necessarily that BTC collapses, but that the company loses access to capital markets needed to service its obligations.
According to the original report, Strategy’s vulnerability centers on its ability to meet annual obligations of $1.76 billion without having to sell BTC, which is structurally relevant because Strategy’s balance sheet and financing model depend on continued funding conditions. The company holds 840,447 BTC backing $22 billion in debt and preferred claims, and the report stated there are no margin calls tied directly to Bitcoin’s price.
The stress-test framing is also notable. The cited analysis says Bitcoin would need to fall 96% for Strategy’s holdings to no longer cover its convertible notes, suggesting a wide buffer against a severe but not “catastrophic” drawdown. The report further said Strategy holds cash reserves equal to 2.6 times its annual obligations, and that its BTC holdings were worth $66.7 billion versus a cost basis of $63.36 billion.
Komodo Platform co-founder Kadan Stadelmann told Cointelegraph that even if equities unraveled, Strategy’s BTC holdings would put it in a relatively strong position to weather most scenarios—because the company holds far more Bitcoin than its annual cash obligations.
However, the risk is more about financing than mark-to-market. The report’s logic suggests that if financing conditions worsen—especially alongside a declining Strategy share price and lower mNAV—raising fresh capital could become harder. In that situation, Strategy might have to draw down reserves or sell BTC to maintain its operating structure.
Stadelmann emphasized that Strategy’s weakness lies in the need to issue capital to service its structure, adding that if equity markets collapse, the company could end up parting with Bitcoin as part of its operating needs. The original reporting also noted Strategy has sold BTC four times since May, while CEO Phong Le said the company accumulated 25 times more BTC over the same period and plans to resume purchases.
For readers, the practical takeaway is that “survivability” in institutional Bitcoin plays can be disconnected from short-term BTC volatility. Liquidity access can become the binding constraint even when downside math looks survivable.
Solana hits record throughput as RWA tokenization grows
On the network side, Solana’s activity surged alongside price. The original report said Solana processed a record 4.2 billion onchain transactions in July, preceding a 40% rally that pushed SOL above $100 for the first time since February.
The transaction data was attributed to onchain figures presented by The Kobeissi Letter. In the same coverage, activity was described as rising 13.5% from June and 91% from December—adding roughly 2 billion transactions over that span. Record throughput matters because it can signal that demand isn’t limited to a single category of applications; instead, it suggests broader usage that can translate into ecosystem fees and more robust onchain settlement.
Tokenization is a key part of that broader narrative. The Kobeissi Letter also cited RWA.xyz data indicating that nearly $4 billion worth of real-world assets are tokenized on Solana, up 11.8% over the past month. Across tracked networks, distributed RWAs were reported to have surpassed $38 billion.
The rally in SOL was also linked to macro conditions. The original article connected Solana’s upward move to a US Treasury Department announcement about doubling certain long-dated bond buybacks to at least $4 billion per operation, which was described as helping push yields lower and improve risk appetite. Still, the report cautioned that continued gains depend on ongoing network activity and further RWA adoption, not just a temporary macro tailwind.
Investors watching Solana may want to monitor whether transaction growth sustains after the initial repricing of risk assets, and whether RWA tokenization continues to scale into a deeper base of recurring usage rather than remaining concentrated in early categories.
Going forward, the market will likely keep oscillating between two drivers: traditional liquidity signals (such as Treasury buyback expectations) and crypto-specific infrastructure metrics (stablecoin usage shares, onchain transaction throughput, and institutional financing access). The next question is whether this week’s rebound turns into a durable shift—or fades if capital-market conditions tighten again.
Crypto World
Corn and wheat prices jump to highest prices in more than three years
A view of a grain field during the early harvest season in the Rostov region, southern Russia, on July 14, 2026.
Anadolu | Anadolu | Getty Images
Corn and wheat prices have surged to their highest levels in more than three years. But the forces driving recent rallies for these two crops are notably different.
Wheat futures settled 3.1% higher at 784 cents per bushel on Friday after hitting a high of 790.25 cents, the highest since Feb. 14, 2023 when it traded 797.5. Wheat jumped 12.1% this week, its biggest weekly gain since March 2022. Overall, wheat futures were up more than 54.5% year-to-date, amid escalating Russia-Ukraine tensions in the Black Sea.
Corn futures settled 0.6% higher at 536.5 cents per bushel Friday after hitting a high of 541.25 cents, the highest level since July 28, 2023. Corn gained 5.5% for the week and is up 15.6% in August, on pace for its best month since April 2021 when it rose 19.31%. The contract is up 21.8% year-to date on tighter U.S. supply expectations and strong demand, with constrained Ukrainian exports adding pressure to global supplies.
Corn’s recent rally is largely driven by mounting concerns around the supply of the U.S. crop and a weak outlook, while disruptions to Ukrainian exports continue to add pressure to the global supply.
“From the beginning of August to now, the consensus in the market is that there is less supply than we thought at the beginning of the month,” said William Osnato, Barchart director of commodity data research and analysis.
Osnato points to a number of reasons for this. A recent report by the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA’s) August World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report lowered corn yield estimates more than traders expected, despite projecting the second-largest harvest on record. The agency cut its yield forecast by 2.3 bushels per acre to 180.7.
In addition, Osnato said the crop’s outlook got further impacted by the disappointing field observations from the Pro Farmer’s Crop Tour. Pro Farmer found extreme July heat had impacted the crop, after excessive rain in June for many areas in the U.S.
“We are a little past the peak point of the growing season, which is late July, early August, but you can still have poor weather impact the crop at this point,” Osnato said. Several portions of the eastern Corn Belt were impacted by excessive rainfall during August, along with the development of corn fungal diseases later in the growing season.
Jim McCormick, co-founder and chief operating officer at AgMarket.Net, told CNBC that concerns about the U.S. crop have become more important because global supplies were already tight.
“We thought the world was going to be bailed out by the U.S. supply. Now the U.S. supply is becoming questionable, and the market’s moving up into a rationing mode,” he said.
While not as important as the U.S. crop itself, Osnato said other factors like the extreme high temperatures and drought in Europe over the whole summer significantly impacted their corn production. A strong export demand from Europe added pressure on the already constrained supply. In its report, the USDA raised exports by 75 million bushels to 3.3 billion, reflecting increased global demand and constrained exports for Ukraine, which is a major global corn exporter. Osnato said the effect, however, is less important for corn than for wheat, adding that some disruption to Ukrainian corn exports had already been priced into the market.
McCormick said Europe’s drought-hit corn crop could also add pressure to wheat, as less available corn may lead the region to use more wheat for animal feed and keep more of its wheat at home rather than export it.
Disruption of wheat supply
Wheat’s rally, unlike corn, is tied to disruption in the global supply.
Grain export disruptions have pushed prices up, after reports that tensions escalated between Russia and Ukraine in the Black Sea region. Russia and Ukraine together account for more than a quarter of global wheat exports. Growing fears around supply disruption in the region have been a strong catalyst to the price increase.
“You’ve had a number of different disruptions in the Black Sea. That’s definitely the main story,” Osnato said, explaining that damage to Russian grain-export infrastructure caused expectations for near-term Russian wheat shipments to fall. Black Sea being the largest point of exports.
Russia is the biggest wheat exporter and a low-cost supplier whose prices often influence the global market. But the crop has not been moving much through the Black Sea. Recent attacks in the Sea of Azov, which is a feeder into the Black Sea and additional military strikes on grain export facilities, oil tankers and vessels in the Black Sea region have made it challenging for shipping firms to even get insurance.
“What moves the market is a change in expectations, and Russia will not be able to ship as much wheat by several millions of tons because the capacity to ship out of the Black Sea has been significantly damaged,” Osnato said.
Weather has added another layer of pressure to wheat supplies. Osnato said a severe heat wave cut European wheat production by roughly 8 million to 10 million tons, while drought also reduced hard red winter wheat output in Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas.
Beyond the fundamental supply concerns driving both these crops, the move to multiyear highs can itself attract more buying.
“When a contract hits new highs and multi-year highs, then you start to get momentum and systematic traders interested. So now you have fundamental and systematic traders looking at the market positively, and so those are all sort of mixing together,” Osnato said.
Crypto World
The Trouble With Trump’s Attempt to Rename Lake Ontario
While the standard place naming process is not perfect, it at least establishes an institutional procedure for review, consultation, evidence gathering, and consideration of competing claims before a geographic name is changed. By contrast, what we are witnessing under Trump 2.0 is a unilateral naming by decree or whim with seemingly no public discussion or real government consideration of impacts and consequences.
It is clear to us that Trump’s renaming of Lake Ontario is symbolic political theater aimed at diverting our attention away from the fallout of his trade war with Canada. Yet symbols matter. Place naming is a world-making practice that shapes the very foundations of our geographical imaginations and how we come to know and engage with the world.
There is a risk in dismissing Trump’s cartography of mass distraction as a frivolous symbolic tactic, since it can have real consequences for what is taught in classrooms, reconciliation efforts with Indigenous peoples, and the badly needed repair of relations between the United States and Canada.
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