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XRP Rally Fails as Traders Take Early Profit: What’s Next?

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XRP Exchange Net Position Change

XRP price surged sharply, nearly posting an 18.7% intraday gain before surrendering half of that advance. The token now trades near $1.53 after closing with a 9% rise. 

Premature profit-taking by holders capped momentum and may influence XRP price direction in the coming sessions.

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XRP Selling Continues

Exchange net position change data indicates that selling among XRP holders remains consistent. Green bars on the metric show continued inflows to exchanges, which typically signal intent to sell. This steady movement suggests holders are offloading XRP during price rallies.

Outflows continue to dominate net flows despite the recent surge. Investors appear eager to secure profits after weeks of volatility. Such behavior often suppresses sustained breakouts and reinforces consolidation near resistance levels.

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

XRP Exchange Net Position Change
XRP Exchange Net Position Change. Source: Glassnode

The MVRV Long/Short Difference highlights the dominance of XRP short-term holder profits. This metric measures the distribution of unrealized gains between long-term and short-term investors. Current low readings indicate that short-term holders hold a larger share of profits.

Short-term holders typically react quickly to price increases. Their tendency to sell at the first sign of gains likely contributed to the rally’s abrupt halt.

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As long as STH profits dominate, upward momentum may encounter repeated resistance.

XRP MVRV Long/Short Difference.
XRP MVRV Long/Short Difference. Source: Santiment

XRP Price May Face Some Resistance

XRP nearly recorded an 18.7% rise during the latest trading session before settling at a 9% gain. The long wick and rapid reduction in upside reflect early profit booking. Such behavior highlights fragile bullish conviction despite renewed interest.

The immediate objective is securing $1.51 as a support floor. XRP trades slightly above that level at $1.53.

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Resistance near $1.62 may cap gains, and renewed selling from short-term holders could pull the price back toward $1.36.

XRP Price Analysis
XRP Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

If distribution slows and demand stabilizes, XRP could regain upward traction.

A decisive move above $1.62 would strengthen the technical structure. Sustained buying could drive the price toward $1.76, invalidating the bearish thesis and reinforcing recovery momentum.

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Crypto World

Grayscale Files With SEC to Convert Aave Trust Into ETF

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Grayscale Files With SEC to Convert Aave Trust Into ETF

Crypto asset manager Grayscale filed for regulatory approval to convert its trust tracking the token of the decentralized lending protocol Aave into an exchange-traded fund (ETF).

The company filed a Form S-1 registration statement with the Securities and Exchange Commission on Friday, saying it intends to convert the trust and rename it the Grayscale Aave Trust ETF.

Grayscale added that it plans to list the fund on NYSE Arca, one of the most popular exchanges for trading ETFs, under the ticker “GAVE.” It will charge a 2.5% fee, and Coinbase will serve as both its custodian and prime broker.

Source: Henry Jim

Grayscale’s filing is one of several ETFs seeking to track altcoins, suggesting that Wall Street still has an appetite for crypto exposure even amid a market downturn.

Aave is the largest decentralized finance protocol, with over $27 billion in total value locked, according to DefiLlama. The platform allows users to lend and borrow crypto across multiple blockchains, and the AAVE token can be staked to earn yield.

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Grayscale joins Bitwise in Aave ETF race

With its filing, Grayscale is the second to seek US regulatory approval for an ETF tied to Aave (AAVE), currently joining only Bitwise in looking to launch a similar fund.

Bitwise filed with the SEC in December to launch the Bitwise AAVE Strategy ETF, among a slew of filings that sought to create ETFs tied to popular altcoins, including Uniswap (UNI) and Zcash (ZEC).

Bitwise’s ETF plans to hold up to 60% of its assets directly in AAVE tokens and at least 40% in securities, such as other ETFs that are exposed to AAVE, while Grayscale’s would hold AAVE tokens directly.

Related: Roundhill’s election prediction ETFs are ‘potentially groundbreaking’: Analyst

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The two ETFs are set to be the first in the US to offer direct exposure to Aave, joining a short list of overseas products that have launched to track the token.

In Europe, 21Shares launched an Aave exchange-traded product on the Nasdaq Stockholm in November, several years after Global X launched a similar Aave product in Germany in early 2023.

The AAVE token has traded down 1.6% over the past day to $126 and is more than 80% off its all-time high of nearly $662, reached in May 2021 amid a bull market for altcoins, according to CoinGecko.

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