Panicking Labour MPs are looking north for a route out of the electoral doldrums as Keir Starmer battles to retain his grip on power after the local elections bloodbath
‘When the herd moves, it moves.’
That was how Boris Johnson described his own MPs turning against him when he was forced out of power in 2022. And once again, we find ourselves watching MPs try to decide whether to commit regicide as Keir Starmer’s grip on power is tested to breaking point.
Things are moving quickly, and the outcome is not at all certain. But the mood appears to be shifting towards Andy Burnham, the mayor of Greater Manchester, as panicking MPs look north for a route out of the electoral doldrums.
Backbencher Catherine West’s kamikaze bid to trigger a leadership contest looked like it could derail his chances. But she appears have bowed to pressure, and is now calling on the PM to set out a timetable for his departure.
Plenty of MPs are talking about this timetable idea. Read between the lines and what they really mean is ‘give Burnham time to get back to Parliament’.
READ MORE: Angela Rayner speech in full as she gives scathing verdict on Burnham rulingREAD MORE: All the Labour MPs calling for Keir Starmer to quit including former ministers and senior MPs
The Greater Manchester Mayor has rare popularity with voters at a time when almost every politician is viewed negatively by the electorate. But he faces significant hurdles before he could consider a leadership bid.
Labour’s rulebook says only MPs can stand in a contest – and Burnham doesn’t have a seat. His attempt to run in the Gorton and Denton by-election in February was blocked by Labour’s ruling National Executive Committee (NEC).
So he needs to find an MP willing to stand down and trigger a by-election in a seat where he can win. Then he needs the NEC to rubberstamp his nomination. Mr Starmer still holds sway over the NEC but he may not have the power to block his rival this time around.
Former Deputy PM Angela Rayner has said Burnham must be allowed to stand, which has been echoed by senior figures like Lisa Nandy and Sadiq Khan.
Burnham would still need to win the seat – no easy task with Reform and the Greens breathing down Labour’s neck. And then he would need to get 81 MP backers to even enter a leadership contest. He is not universally popular in Labour ranks, and has already made two unsuccessful bids to lead the party.
Starmer has made it clear he would fight any challenger, and he would automatically be on the ballot as leader of the Labour Party. There are also other potential successors to contend with, most notably Rayner and Wes Streeting.
Rayner has thrown her weight behind Burnham’s return to Parliament, and the pair have met privately in recent weeks. She is still waiting for the results of an HMRC probe into her tax affairs after she admitted to underpaying tax on her seaside flat.
But I have heard whispers from MPs who would have backed her who fear this may be too big an obstacle to overcome – even if HMRC clears her. She could decide to row in behind Burnham, but she is keeping her counsel for now.
And then there’s Wes Streeting. Speculation has been at fever pitch that the Health Secretary could move early to block Burnham from a contest. But his camp told me that he doesn’t intend to pull the trigger.
This could still fizzle out. Downing Street hopes the PM can cling on through this turbulence, and deliver a King’s Speech that brings MPs back together.
The longer his rivals hesitate, the better a position he will be in. But the threat from the King in the North won’t go away.






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